11/21/20 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Preview

"I truly believe we can either see the connections, celebrate them, and express gratitude for our blessings, or we can see life as a string of coincidences that have no meaning or connection. For me, I'm going to believe in miracles, celebrate life, rejoice in the views of eternity, and hope my choices will create a positive ripple effect in the lives of others. This is my choice." - Mike Ericksen

Note that there is a chance of evening showers in the Oklahoma City forecast; something to keep in mind with Saturday's nightcap being scheduled for the turf.  So with that announcement out of the way let's get to it, as I take another run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.

RACE 6 - Clm $5k B - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Larch (Morning Line 4-1)

B's

# 3 Trustworthy (ML 3-1)

# 4 Cash Kitten (ML 8-1)

# 5 Proper Decorum (ML 5-1)

C's

# 1 Way Out West (ML 20-1)

# 6 Albireo (ML 12-1)

# 7 Towering Oak (ML 10-1)
# 8 Quality Production (ML 20-1)

# 9 John Allen (ML 30-1)
# 10 Earnednevergiven (ML 9-2)

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race at a mile or over since June 21, 2020; OR

2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as an entrant has fewer than four career Wins, then they're eligible to run in this race.  If a runner has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come in the past five months at a distance of eight furlongs or more.  For the record Trustworthy, Albireo, John Allen and Earnednevergiven are the four entrants in this field with fewer than four career Wins.  Finally, note that the claiming price for Oklahoma breds is $6.25k; or, rather, it would be if there were any Oklahoma breds in this field.

Larch was victorious at a very nice price over this main track last time out at a distance of seven furlongs.  Indeed, Larch has picked up three sprint Wins over the past five months, all at prices well worth having.  While I wouldn't expect Larch to leave the gate at high odds Saturday, I do think that Larch will do well with the stretch out; as Larch has run well at this distance in the past.

Trustworthy missed victory by just a head at this class level last time out.  The concern with Trustworthy is that he seems to settle for too many minor awards.

Cash Kitten took the Place against classier competition two starts back.  Incidentally, note that, for his career, Cash Kitten, son of Kitten's Joy, is oh-for-nine in his career on the grass; just a reminder that sometimes life doesn't turn out as you may have expected.  Proper Decorum took the Show at this class level last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 7 - Clm $7.5k N3L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Popfly Two Six (ML 4-1)

B’s

# 3 You Should Talk (ML 5-1)

C's

# 4 Midknightwar (ML 6-1)
# 5 Day Dreamer (ML 9-2)
# 6 Awesome Party (ML 15-1)
# 7 Fresh One (ML 12-1)

# 8 Bumblebee (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 2 Wolowitz (ML 3-1)

Take note that the claiming price for Oklahoma breds in this contest is $10k; so if you wish to purchase Popfly Two Six at the claiming box, you'll have to come across with an extra twenty-five hundred.

Popfly Two Six took the Place against more expensive stock two starts back; albeit on the grass.  You Should Talk took the Show at this class level last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 8 - OC 75k/N2L - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Frosted Prayer (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 1 Stone Cafe (ML 8-1)

# 4 Fast N Fine Worker (ML 5-2)

# 6 Red N Wild (ML 3-1)

C's

# 2 Waco Kid (ML 10-1)
# 3 The Influencer (ML 20-1)

# 9 Bizzy Legs (ML 20-1)
# 10 Vim and Vigor (ML 12-1)

Scratch the Bulls; # 7 Spotted Bull (ML 20-1) and # 8 Stans Hookin Bull (ML 20-1)

These are juveniles; and every entrant in this field, with the lone exception of Fast N Fine Worker, is in for the claim, even though all are eligible to run without a price tag on their head.  To be honest, that strikes me as rather odd; but, that's the way it is.

Frosted Prayer took the Show at this class level last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite.  Stone Cafe graduated last time out over this main track by as many as he wanted; perhaps Stone Cafe will be able to handle to step up in class.

Fast N Fine Worker won by the length of the stretch at today's distance two starts back.  Red N Wild missed victory in the $60k Clever Trevor by just a head last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - (F) ALW N2X - Five Furlongs Turf

A's

# 6 Forty Nine Model (ML 5-2)

B's

# 2 Lady Gwen (ML 4-1)

# 3 Wedding Dance (ML 5-1)

# 5 Wishful Quality (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Diva de Kela (ML 8-1)

# 8 Kasserine Pass (ML 5-1)

Scratch # 7 Seeing Double (ML 15-1)

Note that Sweet Mary M is entered for the main track only; and since, as I mentioned intro, there is rain in the forecast, as I type this there is a chance that this contest will be taken off the turf.

EDIT - # 4 Sweet Mary M (ML 15-1) has now been scratched

Forty Nine Model enters this contest with a two race winning streak, both at today's distance over this turf course.  Lady Gwen, a winner two starts back, should appreciate the return to one turn racing.

Wedding Dance closed well to win last time out in her first ever try on the turf; perhaps grass is what Wedding Dance wanted all along.  Wishful Quality showed nothing last time out back in September; perhaps rest is just what she needed.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 2 with 1 with 5 with 6 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,5 with 1,3 with 1,4,5,6 with 2,3,5,6 $64.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,6,7,8,9,10 with 1 with 5 with 6 $3.00

$0.50 P4: 2 with 4,5,6,7,8 with 5 with 6 $2.50

$0.50 P4: 2 with 1 with 2,3,9,10 with 6 $2.00

$0.50 P4: 2 with 1 with 5 with 1,8 $1.00

Total: $73.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 10:27 EST / 7:27 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo