"The best luck of all is the luck you make for yourself." - Douglas MacArthur
Greetings one and all on this Saint Patrick's Day weekend. As the situation with California horse racing remains in a state of flux, I thought it might be a good idea to try my hand in another state. So with that, let's turn our attention to Florence, Kentucky, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at Turfway Park.
RACE 5 - Md $7.5k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 Loud Brand (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 2 Discreet Technique (ML 5-2)
# 7 Karas (ML 4-1)
# 9 Rock Werks (ML 12-1)
C's
# 3 Russian to Tapit (ML 12-1)
# 4 Harlinsdale (ML 5-1)
# 5 Road to Cairo (ML 8-1)
# 6 Signsofawarrior (ML 20-1)
# 8 Pepper's Concord (ML 6-1)
Loud Brand, Discreet Technique, and Karas all exit a common race at this class level; and while Discreet Technique and Karas crossed the wire about a length in front of Loud Brand in that contest, I think Loud Brand has the better chances Saturday, as he projects to be speed on the rail.
Along with the above trio I'll also be using first time starter Rock Werks on the big ticket, as none of the experienced runners in this field were within ten lengths of the winner at the wire last time out. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 6 - (F) ALW N3L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 2 Ethyl Ether (ML 2-1)
B's
# 1 Momenta Kat (ML 12-1)
# 3 Flawsome (ML 8-1)
# 5 Straitouttapopcorn (ML 5-2)
# 6 Starving Artist (ML 9-5)
C's
None
Scratch # 4 Sugar Shack (ML 8-1)
Ethyl Ether has failed as the Post Time Favorite in each of her last three races; which should probably be a giant red flag regarding using her as my "A" Selection here. But it's pretty clear to me that Ethyl Ether is the most talented runner in this field, which makes it difficult to slot her anywhere other than the top spot in my picks.
Flawsome took the Show behind Ethyl Ether last time out. Straitouttapopcorn, another who disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out, could improve with the stretch out in distance. Starving Artist is trying a synthetic track for the first time; but if Starving Artist can take to the surface, then she could do well here with the class relief. Momenta Kat is on the big ticket because everyone else is.
RACE 7 - Md $15k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 7 My Kinda Kid (ML 7-2)
B's
# 4 Crescent Warrior (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Tommy C Me (ML 7-2)
# 2 Sir Yarnallton (ML 6-1)
# 3 Celestial Orb (ML 5-1)
# 5 Roaring Ocean (ML 15-1)
# 6 Mine N Yours (ML 5-1)
# 8 Eagle Two (ML 12-1)
Sir Yarnallton drops back down to a more realistic class level. My Kinda Kid and Crescent Warrior filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta at this class level last time out; though it could be argued that My Kinda Kid and Crescent Warrior have already had more than enough chances to graduate. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - Clm $5k N3L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Fearless Kitty (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 6 On John (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Southern Cross (ML 15-1)
# 2 Jennysregalman (ML 5-1)
# 3 Vreeland (ML 15-1)
# 5 Hoosier Zip (ML 4-1)
# 7 Rontos Society (ML 12-1)
# 8 Silver Forked Sky (ML 30-1)
# 9 Balizar (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 10 Ain't in No Hurry (ML 30-1)
Fearless Kitty took the Place at this class level while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite last time out. On John could improve going third off the layoff. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1 with 2 with 7 with 4 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,7,9 with ALL with 4,7 with 4,6 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,4,5,6,8 with 2 with 7 with 4 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 2 with 1,2,3,5,6,8 with 4 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 2 with 7 with 1,2,3,5,7,8,9 $3.50
Total: $50.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 8:12 EDT / 5:12 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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