3/3/19 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

The rains continue in California, which makes for a nice excuse to play the synthetic surface upstate.  So with that let's just get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 6 Heavenly Holiday (Morning Line 5-2)

B’s

# 1 Get None (ML 9-5)

C's

# 3 Frisky Fox (ML 5-1)
# 4 Dafne Wildcat (ML 12-1)
# 5 Respect My Candor (ML 4-1)

Scratch # 2 Priest Lake (ML 9-2)

Heavenly Holiday and Get None were victorious in separate contests at this class level last time out.  Respect My Candor is one you might consider as she is running for a tag for the first time; but I have decided to designate her a backup "C" Selection, along with the remainder of the field.  Respect My Candor has yet to defeat winners; and the combination of her last race being such a clunker followed by her being put up for sale at such a cheap price strikes me as somewhat suspicious.  Still, Trainer Bill MacLean could just be bluffing in order to grab an easy purse; so if she looks good to you in the Post Parade you may want to give Respect My Candor more prominence in your play than I will be in mine.

RACE 7 - Md $25k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Bill's Happy Hour (ML 7-5)

B's

# 7 Qman'sspecialmagic (ML 4-1)

C's

# 1 Rustic Canyon (ML 6-1)
# 2 Clarence Heads (ML 15-1)
# 3 Glory Call (ML 10-1)
# 5 Hawthorne Lane (ML 20-1)

# 6 Getaloadofthis (ML 5-2)

Bill's Happy Hour drops in for a tag for the first time; and this looks to be a more realistic class level for his abilities.  Qman'sspecialmagic took the Place (albeit a well beaten Place) at this class level last time out.

Glory Call also took the Place at this class level last time out; but last time out for Glory Call was over a year ago, and I suspect that he may need a race.  Getaloadofthis is shipping in from downstate after disappointing three times in his six race career as the Post Time Favorite.  Getaloadofthis could find the competition easier in the Bay Area, but I think that Getaloadofthis needs more distance to show his best.  So I will be slotting Glory Call and Getaloadofthis, along with the rest of the field, in the backup "C" Selection section.

RACE 8 - Clm $4k B - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 7 Press Baron (GB) (ML 5-2)

B's

# 2 Freddies Dream (ML 9-5)

# 5 Make Money for Me (ML 3-1)

# 6 Sojourn (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Native Chieftain (ML 4-1)

# 3 Gurnick (ML 12-1)

# 4 On the Wings Of (ML 30-1)

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race since December 1, 2018; OR

2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as a runner has fewer than four career Wins, then he's eligible to run in this race.  If a horse has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come since the end of November (note that Claiming and Starter Races for $3.5k or less don't count when computing the Win totals).  For the record On the Wings Of, Make Money for Me, and Sojourn are the three runners in this field with fewer than four career Wins.

Press Baron (GB) has finished in the Trifecta in eleven of his last thirteen starts, including five Wins.  Freddies Dream and Sojourn were just a head apart at the wire while filling out the Exacta last time out.  Make Money for Me, three-for-six lifetime over this main track, has that on again / off again pattern going, which, if it continues, suggests that Make Money for Me will run big today.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - (F) ALW N1X - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 8 I Love Romance (ML 9-2)

B's

# 1 Maycee Jo (ML 7-2)

# 2 Ziarah (Ire) (ML 8-1)

# 3 Lucky Antares (ML 12-1)

# 7 Bezzy (ML 6-1)
# 9 Coco Bee (ML 6-1)

C's

# 4 Kelly (ML 8-1)
# 5 Plum Wild (ML 15-1)

# 6 Well Hello (ML 5-1)
# 10 Silken Queen (ML 20-1)

# 11 My Sweet Lou (ML 15-1)

I Love Romance, Mayce Jo, and Lucky Antares were just a neck apart at the wire while filling out the Trifecta at this class level last time out.  Coco Bee was fourth in that contest; but Coco Bee could return to the form that she showed two starts back when she was victorious at this class level.  And for those of you curious why I Love Romance and Coco Bee are still eligible to compete in an N1X contest after having already won an N1X, it's because they are California bred, and the conditions allow for Cal-bred runners that have won an N1X Allowance Race (but just one) to stay at that level.

Zirah (Ire) could move up with the return to one turn racing.  Bezzy, another Cal-bred who has previously won at this class level, would be my big ticket single in this leg if this event was being held early in the morning, because that's when Bezzy seems to run her best.  The rest of the field comprise the backup "C" Selections.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 6 with 4 with 7 with 8 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,6 with 4,7 with 2,5,6,7 with 1,2,3,7,8,9 $48.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 3,4,5 with 4 with 7 with 8 $1.50

$0.50 P4: 6 with 1,2,3,5,6 with 7 with 8 $2.50

$0.50 P4: 6 with 4 with 1,3,4 with 8 $1.50

$0.50 P4: 6 with 4 with 7 with 4,5,6,10,11 $2.50

Total: $57.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:36 EST / 3:36 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo