“Fairy tales are more than true: not because they tell us that dragons exist, but because they tell us that dragons can be beaten.” - Neil Gaiman
Believe it or not, this is the last Thursday card of this Turfway Park meeting, with the final race day being Saturday, April 1. Of course, that means that all pools must payout on Saturday, April 1, including the Jackpot Pick Six. Currently the Pick Six carryover is at approximately $3.6k, as it was scooped Friday to the tune of $111,723.83. Typically the Pick Six pool at Turfway Park pulls in between $30k-$40k per card; so it's possible that I may be chasing that carryover Saturday. However, it's also possible that the Late Pick Five Saturday will have an even more attractive carryover. So we'll see.
But that's enough looking ahead. Turning back to tonight, we have the usual menu of full and competitive fields that we've become accustomed to in Florence, KY. So let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Turfway Park.
RACE 5 - OC 40k/N2X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
Scratch # 2 California Angel (Morning Line 9-2); # 6 Johnny's Fireball (ML 20-1); and # 9 Nautilus (Brz) (ML 10-1)
For those who note such things, # 3 Be Here (ML 12-1) and # 13 Beaver Hat (ML 20-1) are the only two entrants in this field to be competing with the $40k price tag on their head.
I spent a significant amount of time debating what to do with California Angel, the daughter of California Chrome that would be trying synthetic for the first time while competing against the boys. I was going back and forth between a runner that was clearly the best closer in the field; but who had a form that was screaming "Needs race!" Of course, now that California Angel has been scratched, all that deliberation was just time wasted. Which is a moral of something, I'm sure; though I'm not sure what.
RACE 6 - (F) Md $30k - Six Furlongs Synthetic
Scratch # 5 Honeytown (ML 20-1)
Funny how things can change over a (relatively) brief period of time. In the early weeks of this meeting, I almost certainly would have made a horse similar to # 2 Beautiful Temple (ML 5-2), trained by Jonathan Wong, a main ticket single. But, for whatever reason, Wong's trainees at Turfway Park have grown cold over the past month or two. I finally decided to leave Beautiful Temple off the main ticket, slotting her in as a "C+" Selection. If Beautiful Temple beats me, she beats me; and I'll just be happy for Jonathan Wong.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 25k/N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
Scratch # 4 Mean Sue (ML 8-1) and # 11 Chi Town Heat (ML 15-1)
This leg would have been a lot easier if I knew for certain how # 13 Send for Me (ML 5-2) was going to handle the synthetic. Send for Me had a nice work over the Gulfstream Park all-weather track earlier this month; and Send for Me was sired by Into Mischief. Both of those things speak well to how Send for Me will handle the Turfway Park track surface. But, I leaned on being safe rather than sorry; so while Send for Me is my "A" Selection, I also included # 8 Hideki (ML 4-1) on the main ticket; just in case.
RACE 8 - OC 25k/N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
Scratch # 5 Ready Soul (ML 4-1); # 13 Bullbriar (ML 6-1); and # 14 Towing (ML 3-1)
I'm reasonably confident that I got this leg right, finding the right blend of coverage and value. That is, I'm reasonably confident that I have the correct three runners on my main ticket. Do I have them in the correct order? That, I'm not so confident about. But we'll see.
Alright; here are all my Selections in colorful chart form:
And, with a tip of the cap to Steve Crist, here are the tickets that I'll be playing:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 11 with 1 with 13 with 1 $1.00
All A Entries with All B+ Entries
$1.00 P4: 11,12 with 1 with 13 with 1,4 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,7,11,12,14 with 1,6 with 8,13 with 1,4,9 $30.00
A's and B+'s with One C+
$0.50 P4: 4,8 with 1 with 13 with 1,4 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 11,12 with 2 with 13 with 1,4 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 11,12 with 1 with 5,7,9,14 with 1,4 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 11,12 with 1 with 13 with 2 $1.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 10,13 with 1 with 13 with 1 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 11 with 3,11 with 13 with 1 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 11 with 1 with 1,2,12 with 1 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 11 with 1 with 13 with 3 $0.50
Total: $52.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 7:55 EST / 4:55 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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