RACE 6 - Clm $8k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Relentless Heat (Morning Line 4-1)
# 7 My Slew (ML 5-2)
# 9 Coolington (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 8 Dekko (Arg) (ML 8-1)
Relentless Heat moves back up in class to open claimers after taking the Place against N1Y company; but Relentless Heat has been earning steadily increasing Beyer Speed Figures over his last five races, and is co-holder of the title of best last out Beyer in this field.
My Slew would have crushed this field last year, when he was regularly hitting the board and winning against much more expensive stock. But when My Slew cam back to the track this year after a greater than four month absence he obviously wasn't the same horse; and his connections at the time knew it, allowing him to be claimed by his current barn for just $16k. Well, now just two months later My Slew is running with a price tag of just half that $16k; and while he is a solid contender here, it is sad to see that My Slew is reaching the end of the line.
Coolington defeated slightly more expensive stock last time out, and even more expensive two starts prior to that one. Apparently Trainer Peter Miller is determined to keep dropping this horse in price until he is claimed, and Miller is more than happy to keep accumulating victories in the process.
Dekko (Arg) won clear at this class level last time out over this main track. But that was a year and a day ago; and Dekko's workouts leading up to this event have been, shall we say, intriguing. After the work of April 10 Dekko's public works skip a week, with Dekko then earning a bullet at six furlongs over at San Luis Rey on April 25. Dekko then worked again the next week, but after that May 2 workout four weeks pass before he's back on the San Luis Rey track again. Needless to say, those gaps are not encouraging. But then Dekko throws up a four furlong 46.4 for a bullet at SLR on June 2. So is Dekko ready to compete today? The gaps say no; that bullet on 6/2 says yes. My gut says that he needs a race; but we know that Dekko can win at this level, so on the ticket he goes.
RACE 7 - OC 40k/C - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 8 Brave Act (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 4 Somethings Unusual (ML 4-1)
# 5 Fueled by Bourbon (ML 8-1)
# 6 Eddie's First (ML 9-2)
# 7 Labour (Arg) (ML 3-1)
The conditions limit this contest to runners which:
1) Have never won $10k other than maiden, claiming, or starter; OR
2) Have never won two races; OR
3) Will run for a claiming price of $40k.
For the record, none of the runners here are running with the $40k price tag on their heads, so all fit either (or both) of conditions 1 & 2 above.
Brave Act moves up in class after defeating state bred company last time out charging down the hill. Trainer Eddie Truman is having a great meet, and does a fine job of placing his last out winners.
Labour (Arg) and Somethings Unusual took the Place and Show, respectively, last time out in the same event charging down the hill at this approximate class level. Eddie's First was a clear winner charging down the hill two starts back, earning a Beyer Speed Figure in the process that puts him in with the contenders today.
Fueled by Bourbon graduated charging down the hill last time out; and while Trainer Dan Blocker does not succeed all that often with his last out winners, Fueled by Bourbon's final time in that maiden victory looks quite impressive at this class level.
RACE 8 - (F) The Adoration (Grade 3) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Beholder (ML 2-5)
B's
None
# 3 Cast in Silver (ML 20-1) has been scratched.
Beholder, winner of nine-out-of-ten over this main track, is the clear class of this field. I consider Beholder to be a standout in this field; and while she may lose, I think the probability of that happening is low enough that there's no real percentage in trying to beat her today.
RACE 9 - [S] (F) MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 2 Dixie Tweet (ML 4-1)
# 7 Big Move (ML 9-5)
B's
# 1 Unusual Storm (ML 10-1)
# 3 Lily Kai (ML 10-1)
Dixie Tweet, competing on the downhill course for the first time, has show good early speed in her races on the flats, which is often a sign that she will do well charging down the hill. Big Move missed graduating by just a head charging down the hill at this class level last time out. Unusual Storm and Lily Kai, both sired by Unusual Heat, are making their second career starts, and both look to improve off their respective debut efforts.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in the abbreviated Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5,7,9 with 8 with 4 with 2,7 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,7,8,9 with 4,5,6,7,8 with 4 with 1,2,3,7 $40.00
Total: $46.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:07 EDT / 3:07 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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