6/3/15 Woodbine Pick Four - Preview

They held the draw for the Belmont Stakes today, and all connections seemed to come away satisfied; at least, there were no further defections.  Meanwhile, I found myself with some free time today, so I set my sights north of the border and decided to take a run at Woodbine's $100k Guaranteed Pick Four.

RACE 4 - (F) Clm $10k N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1A Declansnumberone (Morning Line 8-5)
# 3 Gladys's Ring (ML 15-1)

B’s

# 2 La Nena Del Valle / # 2B Madeline Jennings (ML 4-1)

# 6 Irish Gem (ML 10-1)

# 1 Awesome Secret (ML 8-5) has been scratched.

Declansnumberone took the Place against more expensive two starts back at today's distance.  

Gladys's Ring raced above her paygrade last time out, taking on N3L company.  Gladys's Ring is returning after a near six month layoff; note that Trainer Josie Carroll wins with over twenty percent of such, and note also the bullet work over this main track on 5/25.

Irish Gem last time out and Madeline Jennings two starts back each earned Beyer Speed Figures that fit in well with the contenders in this field.

RACE 5 - (F) Clm $8k - Seven Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Be Mind Phil (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 6 Mindfulness (ML 6-1)

# 7 Miss Victoria (ML 3-1)

# 3 Two Brews to Go (ML 2-1) has been scratched.

Be Mind Phil took the Place against more expensive last time out.  Mindfulness was just a length behind Miss Victoria as those two filled out the Exactor last time out at today's distance.

RACE 6 - (F) Clm $10k N3L - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 3 Crafty Gizmo (ML 6-5)

B’s

# 1 Probably (ML 3-1)

# 7 D'forest Diva (ML 4-1)

Crafty Gizmo won for the second time in four career starts last time out against state bred Allowance company, earning this field's best last-out Beyer Speed Figure in the process.  The concern with Crafty Gizmo is that she has followed each Win or near-Win with an out of the money finish.

Probably has finished in the Exactor is all three of her races on synthetic surfaces.  D'forest Diva is undefeated thus far in 2015; perhaps the light bulb went on after having been oh-for-seven in her career prior to this year.

RACE 7 - Md $32k - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Lateral Hazard (ML 8-5)

# 4 Executiveguts (ML 30-1)

# 6 Flatter the Ladies (ML 6-1)

B's

# 8 Winstanley (Ire) (ML 4-1)

# 1 Got  Connections (ML 3-1) and # 3 Soul n' Spirit (ML 20-1) have been scratched.

Lateral Hazard took the Show against non-claiming Maidens in his debut last time out.  Executiveguts could be the lone speed here; and while that doesn't mean as much on synthetics as it does on dirt, it's not nothing.  Flatter the Ladies drops in for a tag for the first time in his career.  Winstanley (Ire) earned a Beyer Speed Figure the last time he sprinted that could get the job done today if repeated.  

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in a modified Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$0.20 P4: 1,3 with 2 with 3 with 2,4,6 $1.20

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P4: 1,2,3,6 with 2,6,7 with 1,3,7 with 2,4,6,8 $28.80

Total: $30.00

Post Time for Race 4 is 8:15 EDT / 5:15 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo