RACE 6 - Clm $25k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Big Champion (Morning Line 7-2)
B’s
# 2 Jimmy the Juice (ML 8-1)
# 4 Tribal Roar (ML 6-1)
# 5 Forest Blue (ML 5-2)
# 6 Big Energy (ML 6-1)
# 7 Always Never (ML 8-1)
C's
# 3 Red Car Mac (ML 20-1)
# 8 Pete's Play Call (ML 6-1)
# 9 Zarqa Star (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 10 Blue Ridge Mtn (ML 30-1)
Everyone into the pool; or onto the ticket, as the case may be. Yeah, this one looks pretty wide open to me; mostly because the horse that looks to be clearly the best on paper, Forest Blue, seems determined to avoid the winner's circle at all costs.
Forest Blue was victorious in his debut, and has taken either the Place or Show in nine of his twelve starts since. This horse obviously did not enjoy getting his picture taken; but he's just too talented in my opinion to leave completely off our big ticket.
Big Champion graduated last time out, but this is not his first time taking on winners; as Big Champion took the Place against Starter Allowance company three starts back while still a maiden. Tribal Roar drops back into a class level where he has proven to be competitive. Big Energy took the Place against Starter Allowance company two starts back.
Red Car Mac is on the ticket because everyone else is. Always Never removes the hood; Trainer Mike Puype tends to do well when making this move. Pete's Play Call could improve going second off the freshening. Zarqa Star could get a nice tracking trip from the widest post.
RACE 7 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Americanize (ML 5-2)
B's
# 6 Gotnoquit (ML 6-1)
# 10 Lord Simba (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 1 Pageau (ML 20-1) and # 8 Blame It On Kenji (ML 20-1)
Americanize, trained by Bob Baffert, took the Place in his debut in front of a next out winner last time out. Gotnoquit has proven to be competitive at this class level on the grass; and Gotnoquit's bullet work over this track on the first suggests that the neither the surface switch nor the layoff should pose any problems for him today. Lord Simba, the "other" Baffert, took the Place at this class level over this track in his debut last time out.
RACE 8 - OC 40k/N$Y - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Indygo Holiday (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 1 Hoffenheim (ML 5-1)
# 2 Curlin Road (ML 5-1)
# 6 Ebadan (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 6 Ebadan (Ire) (ML 6-1)
C's
# 8 Terzetto (Brz) (ML 6-1)
Indygo Holiday returns to two turn racing, where he seems to do his best. Hoffenheim, trained by Bob Baffert, tries winners for the first time, having graduated last time out, in his fifth race as the Post Time Favorite.
Curlin Road took the Place at this approximate class level two starts back. Ebadan (Ire) gets some much needed class relief. Terzetto (Brz) has won multiple allowance races in his native Brazil; and besides, it must mean something that his connections are running him on the dirt here rather than waiting for the grass at Santa Anita.
RACE 9 - The Winter Challenge $180k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 10 California Chrome (ML 1-5)
B's
None
C's
# 4 Point Piper (ML 6-1)
# 7 Avanti Bello (ML 10-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles, # 11 Air Pocket (ML 30-1) and # 12 Ground Rules (ML 20-1)
In a stakes that was written specifically for him, California Chrome makes what is expected to be his final California start, as well as his only at his home base track. Looking at the rest of the field, it's my opinion that California Chrome could walk out of the gate backwards and still stand an excellent chance of winning today. But, this is horse racing, so we're tossing a couple of backups on the ticket just in case.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1 with 4 with 4 with 10 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,4,5,6,7 with 4,6,10 with 1,2,4,6 with 10 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,8,9 with 4 with 4 with 10 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 8 with 10 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 4 with 4,7 $1.00
Total: $40.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:58 EST / 2:58 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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