10/16/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

Half of the final four events on the Santa Anita program Sunday are charges down the hill; races which tend to be exciting, and which are nearly always a challenge to figure out.  Did we get it right today?  Well, we'll know in a few hours, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 6 - Clm $40k - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A’s

# 4 Stormy Liberal (Morning Line 4-1)
# 9 Chips All In (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 5 Rangi (GB) (ML 5-1)
# 12 Bluegrass Bronco (ML 12-1)

C's

# 6 Wildfire Kid (ML 15-1)
# 10 Zuri Chop (Fr) (ML 8-1)

Scratch 2 Anthonysgotgame (No Line)

Stormy Liberal has finished in the Exacta in each of his last three trips down the hill, all against classier competition.  Chips All In takes a drop down the class ladder after disappointing as the Post Time Favorite in three of his last four starts.

Rangi (GB) missed by just a neck last time out on the flats at Del Mar.  Bluegrass Bronco runs with a price tag on his head for the first time in his career.

Wildfire Kid was a winner on the Del Mar turf at this class level two starts back, while Zuri Chop (Fr) was victorious at this class level on the Del Mar grass last time out.

RACE 7 - Md $20k - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 10 Marvelous Max (ML 3-1)

B's

# 9 Global Event (ML 2-1)

C's

# 2 Johann's Command (ML 12-1)

# 6 Resistanceisfutile (ML 5-1)

# 12 Little Mustard (ML 9-2)

Scratch # 1 Pinellas Pride (NL) and # 14 Sure Luck (NL)

Marvelous Max took the Show in each of his last two races, both against more expensive competition.  Global Event makes his second career start after being on the shelf for more than a year following a disappointing showing against non-claiming maidens.  The bullet work that Global Event tossed out over at Los Alamitos on Sept 20 suggests that he's ready to run today; while the fact that Global Event is trained by Bob Baffert pretty much guarantees that he will be over-bet today.

Johann's Command took the Show the last time that he was in this cheap.  Resistanceisfutile has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last four starts.  Little Mustard missed graduation by just half a length at this class level last time out.

RACE 8 - Clm $8k - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 Jonny's Choice (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 2 Tiz Jolie (ML 4-1)

C's

# 3 Celebrity Status (ML 8-1)
# 9 Alltheleavesrbrown (ML 12-1)
# 10 Black Tie (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 1 Broadway Nika (NL)

Jonny's Choice defeated more expensive at today's distance two starts back, with Tiz Jolie just a neck behind.  Celebrity Status is a re-claim for Trainer Peter Miller, for whom Celebrity Status won at this class level back in June.  Alltheleavesrbrown missed a trip to the Winner's Circle by just a nose at this class level three starts back.  Black Tie has taken the Place at this class level in two of his last three starts.

RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A’s

# 6 C. C. Zip (ML 4-1)

# 10 Could Be Magic (ML 7-2)

B's

# 2 Angel Eria (Ire) (ML 6-1)

# 4 Georgia Blue (ML 12-1)

# 7 Lori's Attitude (ML 4-1)
# 8 Special Gal (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Sassy Ashley (ML 12-1)
# 3 Fabulous Lady (ML 12-1)
# 5 Curricula (ML 12-1)

Scratch # 12 Blame the Weather (ML 12-1) who does not draw in off The Also Eligible List

C. C. Zip has taken the Place at this class level in each of her two prior turf races, both routes on the flats.  Could Be Magic took the Place in her debut last time out at this class level.

Angel Eria (Ire) may improve with the cut back in real estate.  Georgia Blue took the Place in her only prior try charging down the hill.  Lori's Attitude was within a length of the winner at the wire in each of her two prior charges down the hill.  Special Gal disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out, and could improve with the turn back in distance.

Sassy Ashley has shown good early speed when routing on the flats; such tend to do well when they try the hill.  Fabulous Lady tries the turf for the first time after showing good early speed on the main track.  Curricula makes his first start for Trainer Bill Spawr, who tends to do well with such.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 4,9 with 10 with 7 with 6,10 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 4,5,9,12 with 9,10 with 2,7 with 2,4,6,7,8,10 $48.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 6,10 with 10 with 7 with 6,10 $2.00

$0.50 P4: 4,9 with 2,6,12 with 7 with 6,10 $6.00

$0.50 P4: 4,9 with 10 with 3,9,10 with 6,10 $6.00

$0.50 P4: 4,9 with 10 with 7 with 1,3,5 $3.00

Total: $69.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:00 EDT / 3:00 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo