10/30/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

The $70k Lure is Sunday's featured race at Santa Anita; and while there is rain in the forecast, we're going to proceed on the presumption that that contest will remain on the turf.  So with that let's get to it, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 6 - Md $75k - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 Picture Tube (Morning Line 5-1)
# 8 Westwood's Wizard (ML 6-1)

B's

# 9 Sense of Glory (ML 9-2)

C's

# 2 Zealous Tale (ML 6-1)
# 7 Chiksika (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 1 Uninvited (ML 5-2) and # 4 Is Trevor Clever (ML 8-1)

Picture Tube took the Show against non-Claiming Maidens last time out.  Westwood's Wizard and Sense of Glory are in for a tag for the first time in their respective careers.

Zealous Tale has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite against cheaper in all three of his career starts; but Zealous Tale has also consistently run his race each time, and he could move forward off the freshening.  Chiksika is a first time starter sired by Notional, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.

RACE 7 - OC 62k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Semper Fortis (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 1 Rockport Kat (ML 6-1)
# 3 Howdy (ML 12-1)
# 8 St. Joe Bay (ML 5-2)
# 10 Avanti Bello (ML 3-1)

C's

None

Semper Fortis was within a length of the winner at the wire in each of his last two contests, both against stakes company.  Rockport Cat won at this class level last time out; but that was around just one turn.

Howdy missed the Winner's Circle by less than a length at this class level last time out; but Howdy was well behind Avanti Bello at the wire in his two starts prior to that.  Avanti Bello took the Place at this class level last time out.  Avanti Bellow and St. Joe Bay, who seems to carry his form from turf course to main track, appear to be the quickest in this field.  

RACE 8 - The Lure $70k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 4 Twentytwentyvision (ML 9-5)

B's

# 8 Little Curlin (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Perfectly Majestic (ML 4-1)
# 2 A Red Tie Day (ML 3-1)
# 5 Drummer (Ger) (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 9 Touching Rainbows (ML 30-1) who does not draw in off the Also Eligible List

In his last five races, Twentytwentyvision has won one listed stakes and finished in the Trifecta in four Graded Stakes.  Little Curlin looks to be quickest in this field (since Touching Rainbows does not draw in) and could steal this one on the front end.

Perfectly Majestic could be the one running best late, provided he doesn't get caught in traffic.  A Red Tie Day could move forward with the cutback in distance.  Drummer (Ger) is Group Stakes placed in Europe.

RACE 9 - Clm $16k N3L - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Profound Visionary (ML 4-1)
# 4 Look Twice (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 1 Bluegrass Bronco (ML 5-1)
# 6 Thunder Basin (ML 7-2)

C's

# 3 What We Doing (ML 6-1)
# 7 Captain Akers (ML 8-1)

Profound Visionary took the Place against unconditioned $10k Claimers two starts back and now goes first off the claim for Trainer Robertino Diodoro, who tends to do well with such.  Look Twice appears to be rounding into top form.

Bluegrass Bronco is taking a huge class drop; but Bluegrass Bronco is also getting off the grass, which is where he seems to do his best running.  Thunder Basin goes first off the claim for Trainer Bob Hess Jr, who tends to do well with such.

What We Doing could be the one running best late.  Captain Akers may be more relaxed with the removal of the hood.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 3,8 with 6 with 4 with 2,4 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,8,9 with 1,3,6,8,10 with 4,8 with 1,2,4,6 $60.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,7 with 6 with 4 with 2,4 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 3,8 with 6 with 1,2,5 with 2,4 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 3,8 with 6 with 4 with 3,7 $2.00

Total: $74.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:00 EDT / 3:00 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo