Saturday, October 8, 2016

10/8/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

There're a trio of stakes on the Saturday card at Santa Anita; one of which, the Grade 2 City of Hope Mile, has made it into the final four events on the day.  So we'll be looking at that contest below as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 7 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 9 Exemplar (Morning Line 5-1)
# 10 Redneck Crazy (ML 4-1)

B’s

# 1 H R Express (ML 30-1)
# 3 Unbridled Rocket (ML 8-1)
# 5 Curly Road (ML 8-1)
# 6 Rideo (ML 7-2)
# 8 Weirdhaircut Seth (ML 12-1)

C's

# 2 Boompa (ML 4-1)
# 4 My Son John (ML 20-1)
# 7 Etailer (ML 6-1)


Needless to say, I considered this race to be extremely contentious, as every runner is being used in some shape or form; so if you can do so and stay within your budget, you might want to give serious thought to just hitting the "ALL" button on your big ticket here.

Exemplar took the Show at this class level last time out.  Redneck Crazy finished in the Trifecta in each of his last two races against more expensive.

H R Express has shown good early speed in each of his last two contests and could be rounding up to a new best effort.  Unbridled Rocket took the Place against more expensive last time out.  Curly Road and Weirdharicut Seth both drop in for the lowest price tag of their respective careers.

Rideo was over-matched against more expensive last time out and should improve with the class drop.  The "C's" are everyone else.

RACE 8 - The City of Hope Mile (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 8 Obviously (Ire) (ML 9-5)

B's

None

C's

# 4 Om (ML 2-1)
# 10 Vyjack (ML 4-1)

Obviously (Ire), winner of the Grade 3 Poker on the east coast last time out, looks in good position to wire this field today.  Om, like Obviously a multiple Graded Stakes winner over this turf course, will hope to stay close and overtake Obviously in the stretch.  Vyjack, the "other" Phil D'Amato, could be in good position to get up late before the closers have a chance to get into gear.

RACE 9 - [S] Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Iron Curtain (ML 15-1)
# 11 Downside Up (ML 4-1)

B's

# 9 Westmont (ML 7-2)

C's

# 3 Joshuas Glory (ML 50-1)
# 6 Enter the Code (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 4 Loud Stalker (ML 6-1)

Iron Curtain showed good early speed in his debut last time out with the apprentice rider on his back.  Downside Up took the Place at this class level two and three starts back.  Westmont finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last two starts.

Joshuas Glory had a hard work early this week at Los Alamitos, after not showing much last time out in his debut.  Enter the Code finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last two starts.

RACE 10 - (F) MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf

A’s

# 10 Partyinthepaddock (ML 5-2)

B's

# 4 Diva La Mousse (ML 5-1)
# 6 Go Baby Run (ML 8-1)
# 7 Munny Spunt (ML 12-1)
# 8 Settle Down Eileen (ML 12-1)
# 9 Gio's Lady (ML 6-1)
# 11 Grand Prix (ML 6-1)

C's

None

Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 12 Street Love (ML 6-1); # 13 Ciao Bella Rosa (ML 3-1); # 14 Laura's Babydoll (ML 10-1)

Partyinthepaddock showed good form in her debut on dirt last time out, and having Harlan's Holiday as a sire suggests that she'll handle the turf well.  Diva La Mousse has shown good early speed in each of her two prior career starts, both on the main track.

Munny Spunt is a first time starter sired by Munnings, whose progeny tend to do well in their debuts.  Settle Down Eileen and Grand Prix have both shown good early speed sprinting on the dirt, while Gio's Lady and Go Baby Run showed some early quickness last time out while routing on the grass.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 9,10 with 8 with 2,11 with 10 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,3,5,6,8,9,10 with 8 with 2,9,11 with 4,6,7,8,9,10,11 $73.50

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,4,7 with 8 with 2,11 with 10 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 9,10 with 4,10 with 2,11 with 10 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 9,10 with 8 with 3,6 with 10 $2.00

Total: $86.50

Post Time for Race 7 is 6:30 EDT / 3:30 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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