10/9/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

The Grade 3 L. A. Woman, a one turn sprint on the main track for fillies and mares, is Sunday's featured race at Santa Anita.  We'll be taking a look at that contest below, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 6 - [S] OC 20k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 6 Glory Bound (Morning Line 4-1)

B’s

# 2 Contemplate (ML 12-1)

C's

# 1 Red White and Dine (ML 30-1)
# 3 Temple Keys (ML 3-1)
# 9 Over Par (ML 7-2)

Scratch # 8 Anatolian Heat (No Line), as well as the following Also Eligibles: # 12 Junior Gilliam (ML 6-1; # 13 Royalist (ML 15-1); # 14 Plain Wrap (ML 15-1)

Glory Bound missed by just a nose at this class level two starts back.  Contemplate stretches out to two turns on the flats for the first time in his career; that, as well as this being his third start off the long layoff, suggests that Contemplate could upset today.

Red Wine and Dine tries the turf for the first time, and with his speed on the rail Red Wine and Dine could smoke the grass today.  Temple Keys and Over Par are top contenders at this class level that may deserve higher consideration than I am giving them here; but the way the new turf course at Santa Anita has been playing to speed so far this meet, in my opinion, puts Temple Keys and Over Par at too great a disadvantage.

RACE 7 - [S] MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 10 Sunday Nap (ML 4-1)
# 11 California Clone (ML 9-5)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Fandarel Dancer (ML 30-1)

# 3 Close to Midnight (ML 12-1)
# 6 P Town Titan (ML 12-1)

Sunday Nap showed good early speed while taking the Show in his debut at this class level last time out.  California Clone has finished in the Trifecta in each of his two career starts, both at today's class level.

Fandarel Dancer was quick early in his debut last time out, and could be speed on the rail.  Close to Midnight ran reasonably well at this class level two starts back, and now will run for the first time as a gelding after showing minimal interest last time out.  P Town Titan is a first time starter sired by Warrior's Reward, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.

RACE 8 - (F) The L. A. Woman (Grade 3) - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Luminance (ML 9-5)

B's

# 2 Indriya (ML 15-1)
# 5 Gloryzapper (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Wild At Heart (ML 9-2)
# 3 Perfect Pic (ML 3-1)

# 6 Juno (Brz) (ML 10-1)

Luminance, trained by Bob Baffert, defeated Bendable in an OC $62k/N2X last time out.  Since that contest Bendable has gone on to win the $75k Bob Lewis and take the Show in the Grade 2 T. C. O. A. Stakes at Keeneland.

Indriya, a Group Stakes winner in Brazil, makes her North American debut in this contest today, as well as trying the dirt for the first time.  If  Indriya can handle the surface switch, then she should do well here today.

Gloryzapper has finished in the Exacta in all six of her career dirt starts.  Wild At Heart took the Show in the Grade 1 Santa Anita Oaks back in April 2015 behind Luminance.  Perfect Pic regressed last time out in her second career start, and could return to the form that she showed in winning her debut.  Juno (Brz), a Group 1 Stakes winner in her native Brazil, took the Show in the $75k Desert Stormer II two starts back.

RACE 9 - OC 75k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 7 Letithappen (ML 15-1)

# 9 Mr. Roary (ML 8-1)

B’s

# 3 Tiz a Billy (ML 6-1)

# 4 Spanish Hombre (ML 8-1)

# 5 Mittersill (Ire) (ML 4-1)

# 6 Diplodocus (ML 4-1)

# 10 Alaskan Son (Ire) (ML 7-2)

C's

None

Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 11 Rye (ML 4-1); # 12 Gabo's Macondo (ML 20-1); # 13 Defiantly (ML 5-1); # 14 Fabozzi (ML 8-1)

Letithappen took the Place at this approximate class level upstate on the grass last time out.  Mr. Roary, winner of the $85k Rainbow the last time that he competed on this turf course, gets some much needed class relief today.

Tiz a Billy should improve with the stretchout today.  Spanish Hombre was within two lengths of the winner at the wire at this approximate class level two starts back.  Mittersill (Ire) missed by a half length at this class level last time out.  Diplodocus and Alaskan Son (Ire) fit well here on class but could be disadvantaged by their late running style, based upon the way that this turf course has been playing.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 6 with 10,11 with 4 with 7,9 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,6 with 10,11 with 2,4,5 with 3,4,5,6,7,9,10 $42.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,3,9 with 10,11 with 4 with 7,9 $6.00

$0.50 P4: 6 with 1,3,6 with 4 with 7,9 $3.00

$0.50 P4: 6 with 10,11 with 1,3,6 with 7,9 $6.00

Total: $61.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:00 EDT / 3:00 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo