Found myself with some spare time today, so I figured why not get an early start on the weekend's handicapping? So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Sacramento.
RACE 4 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Plum Lucky (Morning Line 5-1)
B's
# 2 Song for the Crowd (ML 2-1)
C's
# 1 Tiz a Warrior (ML 4-1)
# 6 Excessive Gambler (ML 6-1)
Plum Lucky took the Place at this class level last time out. Song for the Crowd wanted no part of two turns last time out, and could move up with the drop in class.
Tiz a Warrior is a first time starter by Tiz Wonderful, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking. Excessive Gambler seems to settle for too many minor awards; but Excessive Gambler could be the one here running best late.
RACE 5 - Md $12.5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Tiz Jims (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Holy Clem (ML 6-1)
# 4 You're a Daisy (ML 5-1)
# 7 His Legacy (ML 5-2)
C's
# 6 Drinks at Sunset (ML 3-1)
Tix Jims and You're a Daisy filled out the bottom two thirds of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. Holy Clem took the Show behind a next out winner last time out.
His Legacy crossed under the wire in front of Tiz Jims two starts back, and may improve with the blinkers added. Drinks at Sunset could move up with the class relief; but in my opinion Drinks at Sunset's best form isn't to be found on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 6 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 She Sang (ML 5-2)
# 5 No Spin Zone (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 2 Namorita (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Note for future reference that this contest is for fillies and mares which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 1 She Sang is the only runner in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle more than once in her career.
As mentioned above, She Sang is the only one in this field with multiple victories, and she has proven to be a top contender at this class level. The only question with She Sang is how she'll handle the change in surface.
No Spin Zone took the Place at this class level last time out, crossing under the wire in front of She Sang. Namorita has twice taken the Show at this class level, in just four career starts.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $4k N2L - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Silky Specter (ML 9-2)
# 4 Last Minute (ML 7-2)
# 7 Runninforhoody (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Big Adventure (ML 8-1)
# 5 C J Knows Best (ML 10-1)
Last Minute and Silky Specter filled out the bottom two thirds of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. Runninforhoody gets some much needed class relief here, and could be the speed of the speed. Note also that Runninforhoody was victorious is her only prior try over this track.
Big Adventure took the Show at this class level two starts back. C J Knows Best could be the one running best late.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 2 with 1,5 with 2,4,7 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,4 with 1,2,4,7 with 1,2,5 with 2,4,7 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,6 with 2 with 1,5 with 2,4,7 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 6 with 1,5 with 2,4,7 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 1,5 with 1,5 $2.00
Total: $53.00
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:45 EDT / 3:45 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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