Race 3 - # 2 Private Marini (Final Odds 1.30*) - "A" Selection
Race 4 - # 2 Uncle Kimo (1.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 5 - # 1 Mon Mousse (2.00) - "B" Selection
Race 6 - # 1 Assemble (1.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 1 Awaken My Soul (2.90) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 5 Mr. Shook (1.30*) - "A" Selection
As you can see from the above, no real surprises in the sequence, with two thirds of the contests going to the Post Time Favorite, and all six winners paying under eight dollars.
For the record, here are the $0.20 Will Pays for the other three runners to which I would have collected in the nightcap:
# 3 Percy Fawcett (3.70) - $137.88 Finish: 2nd
# 6 Dixie Pistol (6.90) - $167.44 Finish: 4th
# 7 Cackle the Cuda (4.60) - $130.22 Finish: 5th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of 2 / 2 / 1 / 1 / 1 / 5 which paid $57.16 for a twenty cent wager. That makes for a profit of $5.16 over my initial investment of $52; or approximate odds of 0.10-1. Which certainly isn't much; but it is profit; and as my close personal friend Sully likes to say, no one ever went broke cashing tickets.
I hope that you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, July 30, 2017
7/30/17 Sacramento Gold Rush Pick Six - Preview
It's the final Sunday of July, meaning that it is also the final day of the thoroughbred meet at the California State Fair in Sacramento. Now keep in mind that, even though this is the final day of the meet, there is no mandatory payout today for the jackpot pool. The jackpot will carryover to Santa Rosa, the next stop on the fair circuit; provided, of course, that is doesn't get scooped on Sunday. [EDIT - THIS IS INCORRECT - While the Jackpot Pick Six Pool (which reached $22,085 at the close of Sunday's racing) does carryover, it does NOT carryover to Santa Rosa. Rather, the carryover will be added to the pool when racing moves to The Humbolt County Fair (Ferndale). The Santa Rosa (Sonoma County) meet is separate from the other California Authority of Racing Fairs (CARF), which are being run this year as a single meet. Full details are here; and my sincere apologies for the earlier error and any confusion that it may have caused. - Jimbo] So with all that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Sacramento.
RACE 3 - Clm $8k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Private Marini (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 3 Jury (ML 2-1)
# 4 The Natural (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Southern Darling (ML 8-1)
# 5 Jackotree (ML 9-2)
Private Marini took the Place at this class level last time out, with The Natural taking the Show behind him. Jury could be the speed of the speed here. Southern Darling is on the ticket because everyone else is. Jackotree ran well enough last time out while defeating lesser that his form may hold with the class rise today.
RACE 4 - Md $5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Uncle Kimo (ML 5-2)
B's
# 3 Gunner Grey (ML 3-1)
# 6 Tailored (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 5 Royal Charter (ML 9-5)
Uncle Kimo took the Show at this class level last time out. Gunner Grey just didn't have it last time out; perhaps Gunner Grey will return to the form that he showed two starts back. Tailored looks to be quickest here, though Tailored's stamina is a concern.
RACE 5 - Clm $10k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Gurnick (ML 4-1)
# 6 Storm Fashion (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 1 Mon Mousse (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Neptune's Spear (ML 6-1) and # 7 Pocket Prince (ML 10-1)
Storm Fashion took the Place at this class level last time out, with Gurnick taking the Show behind him. Mon Mousse could improve with the change of surface.
RACE 6 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Assemble (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Daylur Bold (ML 12-1)
# 6 She's an Eagle (ML 3-1)
# 7 She's My Winner (ML 7-2)
Assemble took the Show in her debut last time out, and could be speed on the rail today. Daylur Bold is a first time starter that looks like she could be ready to roll at first asking. She's an Eagle could improve in this, her second career start. She's My Winner took the Place in her debut last time out with a price tag on her head; perhaps her form will hold with the class rise.
RACE 7 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Unbroken Code (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 1 Awaken My Soul (ML 7-2)
C's
# 6 Golden Squeeze (ML 4-1)
Note for future reference that this contest is for fillies and mares which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career victories was for $16k or less. For the record, # 2 Singapore Tune and # 3 Unbroken Code are the only runners in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle more than once in their career.
Unbroken Code made a nice move forward last time out off the freshening, and could improve upon that effort today. Awaken My Soul has taken the Place at this class level in each of her last two starts. Golden Squeeze graduated in her first try on the dirt last time out, and could be the one running best late.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Percy Fawcett (ML 4-1)
# 5 Mr. Shook (ML 3-1)
B's
# 6 Dixie Pistol (ML 7-2)
# 7 Cackle the Cuda (ML 9-2)
C's
None
Percy Fawcett and Mr. Shook crossed under the wire just a head apart at this class level last time out. Dixie Pistol ran well enough while defeating lesser by daylight last time out that his form may hold with the class rise today. Cackle the Cuda took the Show at this class level two starts back, albeit on the turf.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 2 with 2 with 4,6 with 1 with 3 with 3,5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 2,3,4 with 2,3,6 with 1,4,6 with 1 with 1,3 with 3,5,6,7 $43.20
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 2 with 4,6 with 1 with 3 with 3,5 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 2 with 2 with 4,6 with 3,6,7 with 3 with 3,5 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 2 with 2 with 4,6 with 1 with 6 with 3,5 $0.80
Total: $52.00
Post Time for Race 3 is 5:46 EDT / 2:46 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 3 - Clm $8k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Private Marini (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 3 Jury (ML 2-1)
# 4 The Natural (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Southern Darling (ML 8-1)
# 5 Jackotree (ML 9-2)
Private Marini took the Place at this class level last time out, with The Natural taking the Show behind him. Jury could be the speed of the speed here. Southern Darling is on the ticket because everyone else is. Jackotree ran well enough last time out while defeating lesser that his form may hold with the class rise today.
RACE 4 - Md $5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Uncle Kimo (ML 5-2)
B's
# 3 Gunner Grey (ML 3-1)
# 6 Tailored (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 5 Royal Charter (ML 9-5)
Uncle Kimo took the Show at this class level last time out. Gunner Grey just didn't have it last time out; perhaps Gunner Grey will return to the form that he showed two starts back. Tailored looks to be quickest here, though Tailored's stamina is a concern.
RACE 5 - Clm $10k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Gurnick (ML 4-1)
# 6 Storm Fashion (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 1 Mon Mousse (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Neptune's Spear (ML 6-1) and # 7 Pocket Prince (ML 10-1)
Storm Fashion took the Place at this class level last time out, with Gurnick taking the Show behind him. Mon Mousse could improve with the change of surface.
RACE 6 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Assemble (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Daylur Bold (ML 12-1)
# 6 She's an Eagle (ML 3-1)
# 7 She's My Winner (ML 7-2)
Assemble took the Show in her debut last time out, and could be speed on the rail today. Daylur Bold is a first time starter that looks like she could be ready to roll at first asking. She's an Eagle could improve in this, her second career start. She's My Winner took the Place in her debut last time out with a price tag on her head; perhaps her form will hold with the class rise.
RACE 7 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Unbroken Code (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 1 Awaken My Soul (ML 7-2)
C's
# 6 Golden Squeeze (ML 4-1)
Note for future reference that this contest is for fillies and mares which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career victories was for $16k or less. For the record, # 2 Singapore Tune and # 3 Unbroken Code are the only runners in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle more than once in their career.
Unbroken Code made a nice move forward last time out off the freshening, and could improve upon that effort today. Awaken My Soul has taken the Place at this class level in each of her last two starts. Golden Squeeze graduated in her first try on the dirt last time out, and could be the one running best late.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Percy Fawcett (ML 4-1)
# 5 Mr. Shook (ML 3-1)
B's
# 6 Dixie Pistol (ML 7-2)
# 7 Cackle the Cuda (ML 9-2)
C's
None
Percy Fawcett and Mr. Shook crossed under the wire just a head apart at this class level last time out. Dixie Pistol ran well enough while defeating lesser by daylight last time out that his form may hold with the class rise today. Cackle the Cuda took the Show at this class level two starts back, albeit on the turf.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 2 with 2 with 4,6 with 1 with 3 with 3,5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 2,3,4 with 2,3,6 with 1,4,6 with 1 with 1,3 with 3,5,6,7 $43.20
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,5 with 2 with 4,6 with 1 with 3 with 3,5 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 2 with 2 with 4,6 with 3,6,7 with 3 with 3,5 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 2 with 2 with 4,6 with 1 with 6 with 3,5 $0.80
Total: $52.00
Post Time for Race 3 is 5:46 EDT / 2:46 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, July 29, 2017
7/29/17 Sacramento Gold Rush Pick Six - Results
Race 4 - # 2 Golden Bubbles (Final Odds 1.70*) - "C" Selection
Race 5 - # 4 Aloha Spirit (1.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 3 Melinda's Girl (2.60) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Kern Ridge (24.20) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 5 Awe (3.80) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Speed Saver (3.20) - "A" Selection
I was able to get my big ticket single home in Race 5, and the leg in which I hit the "ALL" button (Race 8) saw the entrant that was the fourth longest shot on the board (in a field of five) get the head bob over the Post Time Favorite, # 2 Black Sona (1.60*). I even got non-Favorite "A" Selections home in two other legs. So I must have cleaned up today; right?
Well, no. The public saw something in Golden Bubbles that I had not, betting the class dropping filly down from her Morning Line of 5-2 to the Post Time Favoritism odds of 8-5; and, unfortunately for me, the public was right. In retrospect, using my 20-20 hindsight, I perhaps should have found room for Golden Bubbles on my big ticket. As for Kern Ridge; well, when a runner like Kern Ridge beats you, there's little to say other than:
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of 2 / 4 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 5 were non-existent. Nobody picked six on Saturday. Those who picked five out of six were rewarded with a payout of $71.06 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 5 - # 4 Aloha Spirit (1.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 3 Melinda's Girl (2.60) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Kern Ridge (24.20) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 5 Awe (3.80) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Speed Saver (3.20) - "A" Selection
I was able to get my big ticket single home in Race 5, and the leg in which I hit the "ALL" button (Race 8) saw the entrant that was the fourth longest shot on the board (in a field of five) get the head bob over the Post Time Favorite, # 2 Black Sona (1.60*). I even got non-Favorite "A" Selections home in two other legs. So I must have cleaned up today; right?
Well, no. The public saw something in Golden Bubbles that I had not, betting the class dropping filly down from her Morning Line of 5-2 to the Post Time Favoritism odds of 8-5; and, unfortunately for me, the public was right. In retrospect, using my 20-20 hindsight, I perhaps should have found room for Golden Bubbles on my big ticket. As for Kern Ridge; well, when a runner like Kern Ridge beats you, there's little to say other than:
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of 2 / 4 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 5 were non-existent. Nobody picked six on Saturday. Those who picked five out of six were rewarded with a payout of $71.06 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/29/17 Sacramento Gold Rush Pick Six - Preview
And so we come to the final weekend in July, as well as the final weekend for racing this year in the state capitol. As the Jackpot Pick Six pool has passed the $10k mark, I think this is a good time for me to jump in. So with that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Sacramento.
RACE 4 - (F) Md $8k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Nang Noi (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 5 Bulkan (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Omigata (ML 2-1)
# 2 Golden Bubbles (ML 5-2)
# 3 Bella Ronski (ML 9-2)
# 4 Monarca's Journey (ML 10-1)
Nang Noi could improve with the stretch out, and she ran well enough last time out to suggest that she can handle the rise in class. Bulkan took the Show at this class level last time out. The "C" Selections are everyone else. With the exception of Bulkan, none of the runners in this field made it into the Trifecta last time out; and none of these runners in their career (or, in the case of Bella Ronski, in her last ten races at least) has left the gate as the betting Favorite. So none of these runners has ever been well regarded by the public, and (with very few exceptions) none have ever run as if to show that the punters were wrong in their collective evaluation. So this one could be a real chaos race; and if your budget can stand it, you may want to give serious consideration to punching the "ALL" button.
RACE 5 - (F) Md $16k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Aloha Spirit (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Equites (ML 5-2)
# 2 Kolocha (ML 4-1)
# 3 Reva Bella (ML 5-1)
# 5 C C the Bartender (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 6 Weltheon (ML 8-1)
Aloha Spirit looks to be quickest in this field, and Trainer Steve Sherman tends to do well when bringing a runner back from an extended vacation. As with the previous contest, I'm using the rest of the field as backup "C" Selections. Aloha Spirit's speed should allow her to take this field from gate to wire; but if Aloha Spirit can't hold on until the finish, then this in my opinion becomes anyone's race; as you again have a field where none of the runners finished in the money last time out; and (with the exception of Equites in her debut) none were ever supported well enough at the windows to be the Post Time Favorite in any of their prior contests.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Melinda's Girl (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Intwo Mypossession (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Candy Pink (ML 5-1)
# 4 Ronnie's Girl (ML 9-2)
# 5 Grape Juice (ML 6-1)
# 6 Truly Ponti (ML 7-2)
Melinda's Girl took the Show at this class level last time out. Intwo Mypossession could improve with the shortened distance. Candy Pink could be speed on the rail.
Ronnie's Girl has been working well for her 2017 debut. Grape Juice and Truly Ponti are two that could move up with the class drop.
RACE 7 - Clm $10k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Betting McCann Can (ML 2-1)
# 5 Van Lingle Mungo (ML 7-2)
B’s
None
C's
None
Scratch # 2 The Dandy Man Can (ML 6-1)
Betting McCann Can defeated more expensive stock two starts back. Van Lingle Mungo won at this price two starts back, and missed by just a length of making it two in a row last time out. These two in my opinion appear to be head and shoulders above the rest of this field; so if anyone other than these two should win this race, then this pick six play will lose.
RACE 8 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Baroque (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Italian Fling (ML 5-1)
# 2 Black Sona (ML 2-1)
# 4 Native Chieftain (ML 3-1)
# 5 Awe (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Note for future reference that this contest is for fillies and mares which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 2 Black Sona and # 3 Baroque are the only runner in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle more than once in their career.
Baroque has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last two starts. The "B" Selections are everyone else, as I'll be using the "ALL" button on the big ticket for this leg. In my opinion this is a very competitive field, with each runner having demonstrated the ability to contend at this class level. Gazing upon the listed odds above, it would appear that whoever is setting the Morning Line agrees, as no runner is priced higher than 5-1.
RACE 9 - Clm $3.2k N1Y - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Lucky Mark (ML 5-2)
# 5 Speed Saver (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 3 West a While (ML 5-1)
# 4 Swiss Game (ML 4-1)
# 7 Our Maserati (ML 20-1)
C's
None
This contest is for three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming, and Starter contests for $2.5k or less.
Lucky Mark goes second off the claim for Trainer Rene Amescua, who tends to do well with such. Speed Saver could move up with the cut back in distance. West a While took the Show at this class level last time out.
Swiss Game may be the quickest in this field. Our Maserati has been working well for his return after an extended layoff.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 6 with 4 with 3 with 3,5 with 3 with 2,5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 5,6 with 4 with 2,3 with 3,5 with ALL with 2,3,4,5,7 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,2,3,4 with 4 with 3 with 3,5 with 3 with 2,5 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 6 with 1,2,3,5 with 3 with 3,5 with 3 with 2,5 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 6 with 4 with 1,4,5,6 with 3,5 with 3 with 2,5 $3.20
Total: $53.60
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:17 EDT / 3:17 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 4 - (F) Md $8k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Nang Noi (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 5 Bulkan (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Omigata (ML 2-1)
# 2 Golden Bubbles (ML 5-2)
# 3 Bella Ronski (ML 9-2)
# 4 Monarca's Journey (ML 10-1)
Nang Noi could improve with the stretch out, and she ran well enough last time out to suggest that she can handle the rise in class. Bulkan took the Show at this class level last time out. The "C" Selections are everyone else. With the exception of Bulkan, none of the runners in this field made it into the Trifecta last time out; and none of these runners in their career (or, in the case of Bella Ronski, in her last ten races at least) has left the gate as the betting Favorite. So none of these runners has ever been well regarded by the public, and (with very few exceptions) none have ever run as if to show that the punters were wrong in their collective evaluation. So this one could be a real chaos race; and if your budget can stand it, you may want to give serious consideration to punching the "ALL" button.
RACE 5 - (F) Md $16k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Aloha Spirit (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Equites (ML 5-2)
# 2 Kolocha (ML 4-1)
# 3 Reva Bella (ML 5-1)
# 5 C C the Bartender (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 6 Weltheon (ML 8-1)
Aloha Spirit looks to be quickest in this field, and Trainer Steve Sherman tends to do well when bringing a runner back from an extended vacation. As with the previous contest, I'm using the rest of the field as backup "C" Selections. Aloha Spirit's speed should allow her to take this field from gate to wire; but if Aloha Spirit can't hold on until the finish, then this in my opinion becomes anyone's race; as you again have a field where none of the runners finished in the money last time out; and (with the exception of Equites in her debut) none were ever supported well enough at the windows to be the Post Time Favorite in any of their prior contests.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Melinda's Girl (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Intwo Mypossession (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Candy Pink (ML 5-1)
# 4 Ronnie's Girl (ML 9-2)
# 5 Grape Juice (ML 6-1)
# 6 Truly Ponti (ML 7-2)
Melinda's Girl took the Show at this class level last time out. Intwo Mypossession could improve with the shortened distance. Candy Pink could be speed on the rail.
Ronnie's Girl has been working well for her 2017 debut. Grape Juice and Truly Ponti are two that could move up with the class drop.
RACE 7 - Clm $10k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Betting McCann Can (ML 2-1)
# 5 Van Lingle Mungo (ML 7-2)
B’s
None
C's
None
Scratch # 2 The Dandy Man Can (ML 6-1)
Betting McCann Can defeated more expensive stock two starts back. Van Lingle Mungo won at this price two starts back, and missed by just a length of making it two in a row last time out. These two in my opinion appear to be head and shoulders above the rest of this field; so if anyone other than these two should win this race, then this pick six play will lose.
RACE 8 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Baroque (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Italian Fling (ML 5-1)
# 2 Black Sona (ML 2-1)
# 4 Native Chieftain (ML 3-1)
# 5 Awe (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Note for future reference that this contest is for fillies and mares which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 2 Black Sona and # 3 Baroque are the only runner in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle more than once in their career.
Baroque has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last two starts. The "B" Selections are everyone else, as I'll be using the "ALL" button on the big ticket for this leg. In my opinion this is a very competitive field, with each runner having demonstrated the ability to contend at this class level. Gazing upon the listed odds above, it would appear that whoever is setting the Morning Line agrees, as no runner is priced higher than 5-1.
RACE 9 - Clm $3.2k N1Y - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Lucky Mark (ML 5-2)
# 5 Speed Saver (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 3 West a While (ML 5-1)
# 4 Swiss Game (ML 4-1)
# 7 Our Maserati (ML 20-1)
C's
None
This contest is for three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming, and Starter contests for $2.5k or less.
Lucky Mark goes second off the claim for Trainer Rene Amescua, who tends to do well with such. Speed Saver could move up with the cut back in distance. West a While took the Show at this class level last time out.
Swiss Game may be the quickest in this field. Our Maserati has been working well for his return after an extended layoff.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 6 with 4 with 3 with 3,5 with 3 with 2,5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 5,6 with 4 with 2,3 with 3,5 with ALL with 2,3,4,5,7 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,2,3,4 with 4 with 3 with 3,5 with 3 with 2,5 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 6 with 1,2,3,5 with 3 with 3,5 with 3 with 2,5 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 6 with 4 with 1,4,5,6 with 3,5 with 3 with 2,5 $3.20
Total: $53.60
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:17 EDT / 3:17 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, July 23, 2017
7/23/17 Sacramento Late Pick Four - Results
Race 5 - # 2 Chiefs Lil Pearl (Final Odds 3.80) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 3 Amber Louise (1.70*) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 Brownie Finale (2.40) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 My Friend George (2.30*) - "B" Selection
"A" Selection # 2 Cartoonist (2.20*) won the speed duel but lost Race 7; as Cartoonist out-dueled # 1 All Indians (2.50) through the early fractions, but couldn't hold off Brownie Finale late, allowing that one to cross under the wire a neck in front. And that neck was the difference between me cashing or trashing Sunday, as the other three winners in the sequence were all to be found on my big ticket.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 2 / 3 / 5 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $94.00 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 3 Amber Louise (1.70*) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 Brownie Finale (2.40) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 My Friend George (2.30*) - "B" Selection
"A" Selection # 2 Cartoonist (2.20*) won the speed duel but lost Race 7; as Cartoonist out-dueled # 1 All Indians (2.50) through the early fractions, but couldn't hold off Brownie Finale late, allowing that one to cross under the wire a neck in front. And that neck was the difference between me cashing or trashing Sunday, as the other three winners in the sequence were all to be found on my big ticket.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 2 / 3 / 5 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $94.00 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/23/17 Sacramento Late Pick Four - Preview
Sticking with the final four at the California State Fair to close out the weekend, as I decided to give The Gold Rush Pick Six a little more time to grow. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Sacramento.
RACE 5 - (F) Md $16k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Chiefs Lil Pearl (Morning Line 2-1)
# 3 Hyphy (ML 5-2)
# 6 Oklahoma Red (ML 4-1)
B's
# 7 Love You Too (ML 8-1)
C's
# 4 Wynn Direction (ML 10-1)
# 5 One Smart Gal (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 1 Dayjur Bold (ML 12-1)
Note that, while this contest for juvenile fillies was carded for open company, all entrants are California bred.
Chiefs Lil Pearl is making his second career start for Trainer Billy Morey, who tends to do well with such. Hyphy may be the quickest in the field. Oklahoma Red is the only runner in this field to have ever finished in the Trifecta.
Love You Too is a first time starter who really hasn't looked all the special; but against the experienced runners in this field, she may not have to be. The "C" Selections are the rest of the field, because this looks to be a pretty mediocre bunch, which means that anything can happen.
RACE 6 - (F) ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Time and Chance (ML 4-1)
B's
# 3 Amber Louise (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Papaclem'smidnight (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 5 Breakaway Dixie (ML 3-1)
Time and Chance has demonstrated a distinct liking for a Fast dirt track, as was evidenced in her daylight victory last time out. Amber Louise took the Place at this class level last time out. Papaclem'smidnight, who took the Show behind Time and Chance last time out.
RACE 7 - Clm $16k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 All Indians (ML 2-1)
# 2 Cartoonist (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 3 Hot Market (ML 4-1)
# 4 Stellar Sea (ML 5-1)
# 5 Brownie Finale (ML 3-1)
All Indians and Cartoonist look to be the quickest here, as both have recently demonstrated good early speed against more expensive stock. The most likely scenario is that these two battle each other from gate to wire; but should All Indians and Cartoonist run each other into the ground, then any of the other three entrants is capable of coming in late and picking up the pieces.
RACE 8 - Clm $20k N2X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Synnin (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 3 My Friend George (ML 3-1)
# 5 Rainbow North (ML 4-1)
# 7 Bay Area (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Synnin fits well at this class level, though the lifetime oh-for-seven on a Fast dirt track is somewhat concerning. My Friend George took the Place against open $16k Claimers last time out; so while the claiming price today is higher, the fact that this race is conditioned (N2X) makes this pretty much a lateral class move for My Friend George.
Rainbow North has demonstrated a steadily improving form in each of his last few races. Bay Area could move up with the change in surface.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,3,6 with 2 with 1,2 with 2 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,6,7 with 2,3 with 1,2 with 2,3,5,7 $32.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,5 with 2 with 1,2 with 2 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2,3,6 with 1 with 1,2 with 2 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,3,6 with 2 with 3,4,5 with 2 $4.50
Total: $47.50
Post Time for Race 5 is 6:48 EDT / 3:48 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 5 - (F) Md $16k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Chiefs Lil Pearl (Morning Line 2-1)
# 3 Hyphy (ML 5-2)
# 6 Oklahoma Red (ML 4-1)
B's
# 7 Love You Too (ML 8-1)
C's
# 4 Wynn Direction (ML 10-1)
# 5 One Smart Gal (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 1 Dayjur Bold (ML 12-1)
Note that, while this contest for juvenile fillies was carded for open company, all entrants are California bred.
Chiefs Lil Pearl is making his second career start for Trainer Billy Morey, who tends to do well with such. Hyphy may be the quickest in the field. Oklahoma Red is the only runner in this field to have ever finished in the Trifecta.
Love You Too is a first time starter who really hasn't looked all the special; but against the experienced runners in this field, she may not have to be. The "C" Selections are the rest of the field, because this looks to be a pretty mediocre bunch, which means that anything can happen.
RACE 6 - (F) ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Time and Chance (ML 4-1)
B's
# 3 Amber Louise (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Papaclem'smidnight (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 5 Breakaway Dixie (ML 3-1)
Time and Chance has demonstrated a distinct liking for a Fast dirt track, as was evidenced in her daylight victory last time out. Amber Louise took the Place at this class level last time out. Papaclem'smidnight, who took the Show behind Time and Chance last time out.
RACE 7 - Clm $16k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 All Indians (ML 2-1)
# 2 Cartoonist (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 3 Hot Market (ML 4-1)
# 4 Stellar Sea (ML 5-1)
# 5 Brownie Finale (ML 3-1)
All Indians and Cartoonist look to be the quickest here, as both have recently demonstrated good early speed against more expensive stock. The most likely scenario is that these two battle each other from gate to wire; but should All Indians and Cartoonist run each other into the ground, then any of the other three entrants is capable of coming in late and picking up the pieces.
RACE 8 - Clm $20k N2X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Synnin (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 3 My Friend George (ML 3-1)
# 5 Rainbow North (ML 4-1)
# 7 Bay Area (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Synnin fits well at this class level, though the lifetime oh-for-seven on a Fast dirt track is somewhat concerning. My Friend George took the Place against open $16k Claimers last time out; so while the claiming price today is higher, the fact that this race is conditioned (N2X) makes this pretty much a lateral class move for My Friend George.
Rainbow North has demonstrated a steadily improving form in each of his last few races. Bay Area could move up with the change in surface.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,3,6 with 2 with 1,2 with 2 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,6,7 with 2,3 with 1,2 with 2,3,5,7 $32.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,5 with 2 with 1,2 with 2 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2,3,6 with 1 with 1,2 with 2 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,3,6 with 2 with 3,4,5 with 2 $4.50
Total: $47.50
Post Time for Race 5 is 6:48 EDT / 3:48 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, July 22, 2017
7/22/17 Sacramento Late Pick Four - Preview
The California Governor's Cup for fillies and mares is Saturday's featured race at the California State Fair. I'll be taking a look at that contest and others below as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Sacramento.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $20k N2X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Sea Myrtle (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Constant Craving (ML 2-1)
# 4 Warrens Goldnugget (ML 7-2)
C's
None
Sea Myrtle appears to have a class edge here over the rest of the field. Warrens Goldnugget and Constant Craving filled out the bottom two slots in the Trifecta at this class level last time out, crossing under the wire just a head apart from each other.
RACE 7 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 7 Tribal Storm (ML 3-1)
B's
# 2 Tentwelvefourteen (ML 5-1)
# 6 Sir Vronski (ML 5-2)
C's
# 3 Southern Loyalty (ML 9-2)
# 4 An Khe Pass (ML 8-1)
Tribal Storm has finished in the Trifecta in all three of his career starts on a Fast dirt track; all of which were against stiffer competition than that which he will be facing here. Tentwelvefourteen has proven that he can contend at this class level.
Sir Vronski was victorious is his only prior try over this track, and he could move up with the return to one turn racing. Southern Loyalty and An Khe Pass are two that are moving up after defeating lesser last time out at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 8 - (F) The California Governor's Cup $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Princess Ashlyn (ML 5-2)
# 9 Ashley's Sassy (ML 6-1)
B's
# 6 Invested Prospect (ML 3-1)
# 8 Alliford Bay (ML 15-1)
# 10 Fast and Foxy (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Princess Ashlyn misses by just a head and a neck of entering this contest with a five race winning streak. Ashley's Sassy could be the one that benefits most from what looks to be a very fast pace setup, while Fast and Foxy could be the speed of the speed. Invested Prospect and Alliford Bay are a pair trained by Blaine Wright that should be well up on the pace, and either could be dangerous should they get loose early.
RACE 9 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Weyand (ML 3-1)
# 7 Tribal Again (ML 8-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Jimmy the Juice (ML 6-1)
# 5 Tremors Code (ML 5-1)
# 9 Nevadan (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 2 Barton Lodge (Ire) (ML 4-1) and # 4 Compadre Sam (ML 15-1)
Weyand goes first off the claim for Trainer Rene Amescua, who tends to do well with such. Weyand misses by less than a length of entering this contest with a four race winning streak.
Tribal Again was victorious three of the last four times that he competed around one turn on a dirt track. Jimmy the Juice gets some much needed class relief here. Tremors Code and Nevadan look to be the quickest in this field; so if either should falter, the other could be long gone before the others get going.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 7 with 1,9 with 6,7 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,4,6 with 2,6,7 with 1,6,8,9,10 with 6,7 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6 with 3,4 with 1,9 with 6,7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 7 with 1,9 with 1,5,9 $3.00
Total: $56.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $20k N2X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Sea Myrtle (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Constant Craving (ML 2-1)
# 4 Warrens Goldnugget (ML 7-2)
C's
None
Sea Myrtle appears to have a class edge here over the rest of the field. Warrens Goldnugget and Constant Craving filled out the bottom two slots in the Trifecta at this class level last time out, crossing under the wire just a head apart from each other.
RACE 7 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 7 Tribal Storm (ML 3-1)
B's
# 2 Tentwelvefourteen (ML 5-1)
# 6 Sir Vronski (ML 5-2)
C's
# 3 Southern Loyalty (ML 9-2)
# 4 An Khe Pass (ML 8-1)
Tribal Storm has finished in the Trifecta in all three of his career starts on a Fast dirt track; all of which were against stiffer competition than that which he will be facing here. Tentwelvefourteen has proven that he can contend at this class level.
Sir Vronski was victorious is his only prior try over this track, and he could move up with the return to one turn racing. Southern Loyalty and An Khe Pass are two that are moving up after defeating lesser last time out at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 8 - (F) The California Governor's Cup $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Princess Ashlyn (ML 5-2)
# 9 Ashley's Sassy (ML 6-1)
B's
# 6 Invested Prospect (ML 3-1)
# 8 Alliford Bay (ML 15-1)
# 10 Fast and Foxy (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Princess Ashlyn misses by just a head and a neck of entering this contest with a five race winning streak. Ashley's Sassy could be the one that benefits most from what looks to be a very fast pace setup, while Fast and Foxy could be the speed of the speed. Invested Prospect and Alliford Bay are a pair trained by Blaine Wright that should be well up on the pace, and either could be dangerous should they get loose early.
RACE 9 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Weyand (ML 3-1)
# 7 Tribal Again (ML 8-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Jimmy the Juice (ML 6-1)
# 5 Tremors Code (ML 5-1)
# 9 Nevadan (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 2 Barton Lodge (Ire) (ML 4-1) and # 4 Compadre Sam (ML 15-1)
Weyand goes first off the claim for Trainer Rene Amescua, who tends to do well with such. Weyand misses by less than a length of entering this contest with a four race winning streak.
Tribal Again was victorious three of the last four times that he competed around one turn on a dirt track. Jimmy the Juice gets some much needed class relief here. Tremors Code and Nevadan look to be the quickest in this field; so if either should falter, the other could be long gone before the others get going.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 7 with 1,9 with 6,7 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,4,6 with 2,6,7 with 1,6,8,9,10 with 6,7 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6 with 3,4 with 1,9 with 6,7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 7 with 1,9 with 1,5,9 $3.00
Total: $56.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Friday, July 21, 2017
7/21/17 Sacramento Late Pick Four - Results
Race 4 - # 4 Plum Lucky (Final Odds 2.70) - "A" Selection
Race 5 - # 5 Pepper Magic (38.30) - No Selection
Race 6 - # 5 No Spin Zone (1.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Belle's Command (4.70) - No Selection
Should I have had Belle's Command on my tickets? Well, last time out she finished behind two others who ran in Friday's nightcap. In addition, Belle's Command entered Friday's contest a lifetime one-for-eighteen, with six other in the money finishes; the profile of a horse who settles far too often for minor awards. Still, a case perhaps could have been made for finding room for Belle's Command on my tickets.
On the other hand, God bless you if you had Pepper Magic on your tickets Friday, in his second career start; because the only way I would have used Pepper Magic in my play based off his debut effort would have been by hitting the "ALL" button.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 4 / 5 / 5 / 6 were rewarded with a payout of $797.35 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 5 - # 5 Pepper Magic (38.30) - No Selection
Race 6 - # 5 No Spin Zone (1.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Belle's Command (4.70) - No Selection
Should I have had Belle's Command on my tickets? Well, last time out she finished behind two others who ran in Friday's nightcap. In addition, Belle's Command entered Friday's contest a lifetime one-for-eighteen, with six other in the money finishes; the profile of a horse who settles far too often for minor awards. Still, a case perhaps could have been made for finding room for Belle's Command on my tickets.
On the other hand, God bless you if you had Pepper Magic on your tickets Friday, in his second career start; because the only way I would have used Pepper Magic in my play based off his debut effort would have been by hitting the "ALL" button.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 4 / 5 / 5 / 6 were rewarded with a payout of $797.35 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/21/17 Sacramento Late Pick Four - Preview
Found myself with some spare time today, so I figured why not get an early start on the weekend's handicapping? So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Sacramento.
RACE 4 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Plum Lucky (Morning Line 5-1)
B's
# 2 Song for the Crowd (ML 2-1)
C's
# 1 Tiz a Warrior (ML 4-1)
# 6 Excessive Gambler (ML 6-1)
Plum Lucky took the Place at this class level last time out. Song for the Crowd wanted no part of two turns last time out, and could move up with the drop in class.
Tiz a Warrior is a first time starter by Tiz Wonderful, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking. Excessive Gambler seems to settle for too many minor awards; but Excessive Gambler could be the one here running best late.
RACE 5 - Md $12.5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Tiz Jims (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Holy Clem (ML 6-1)
# 4 You're a Daisy (ML 5-1)
# 7 His Legacy (ML 5-2)
C's
# 6 Drinks at Sunset (ML 3-1)
Tix Jims and You're a Daisy filled out the bottom two thirds of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. Holy Clem took the Show behind a next out winner last time out.
His Legacy crossed under the wire in front of Tiz Jims two starts back, and may improve with the blinkers added. Drinks at Sunset could move up with the class relief; but in my opinion Drinks at Sunset's best form isn't to be found on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 6 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 She Sang (ML 5-2)
# 5 No Spin Zone (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 2 Namorita (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Note for future reference that this contest is for fillies and mares which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 1 She Sang is the only runner in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle more than once in her career.
As mentioned above, She Sang is the only one in this field with multiple victories, and she has proven to be a top contender at this class level. The only question with She Sang is how she'll handle the change in surface.
No Spin Zone took the Place at this class level last time out, crossing under the wire in front of She Sang. Namorita has twice taken the Show at this class level, in just four career starts.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $4k N2L - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Silky Specter (ML 9-2)
# 4 Last Minute (ML 7-2)
# 7 Runninforhoody (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Big Adventure (ML 8-1)
# 5 C J Knows Best (ML 10-1)
Last Minute and Silky Specter filled out the bottom two thirds of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. Runninforhoody gets some much needed class relief here, and could be the speed of the speed. Note also that Runninforhoody was victorious is her only prior try over this track.
Big Adventure took the Show at this class level two starts back. C J Knows Best could be the one running best late.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 2 with 1,5 with 2,4,7 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,4 with 1,2,4,7 with 1,2,5 with 2,4,7 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,6 with 2 with 1,5 with 2,4,7 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 6 with 1,5 with 2,4,7 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 1,5 with 1,5 $2.00
Total: $53.00
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:45 EDT / 3:45 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 4 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Plum Lucky (Morning Line 5-1)
B's
# 2 Song for the Crowd (ML 2-1)
C's
# 1 Tiz a Warrior (ML 4-1)
# 6 Excessive Gambler (ML 6-1)
Plum Lucky took the Place at this class level last time out. Song for the Crowd wanted no part of two turns last time out, and could move up with the drop in class.
Tiz a Warrior is a first time starter by Tiz Wonderful, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking. Excessive Gambler seems to settle for too many minor awards; but Excessive Gambler could be the one here running best late.
RACE 5 - Md $12.5k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Tiz Jims (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Holy Clem (ML 6-1)
# 4 You're a Daisy (ML 5-1)
# 7 His Legacy (ML 5-2)
C's
# 6 Drinks at Sunset (ML 3-1)
Tix Jims and You're a Daisy filled out the bottom two thirds of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. Holy Clem took the Show behind a next out winner last time out.
His Legacy crossed under the wire in front of Tiz Jims two starts back, and may improve with the blinkers added. Drinks at Sunset could move up with the class relief; but in my opinion Drinks at Sunset's best form isn't to be found on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 6 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 She Sang (ML 5-2)
# 5 No Spin Zone (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 2 Namorita (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Note for future reference that this contest is for fillies and mares which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 1 She Sang is the only runner in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle more than once in her career.
As mentioned above, She Sang is the only one in this field with multiple victories, and she has proven to be a top contender at this class level. The only question with She Sang is how she'll handle the change in surface.
No Spin Zone took the Place at this class level last time out, crossing under the wire in front of She Sang. Namorita has twice taken the Show at this class level, in just four career starts.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $4k N2L - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Silky Specter (ML 9-2)
# 4 Last Minute (ML 7-2)
# 7 Runninforhoody (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Big Adventure (ML 8-1)
# 5 C J Knows Best (ML 10-1)
Last Minute and Silky Specter filled out the bottom two thirds of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. Runninforhoody gets some much needed class relief here, and could be the speed of the speed. Note also that Runninforhoody was victorious is her only prior try over this track.
Big Adventure took the Show at this class level two starts back. C J Knows Best could be the one running best late.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 2 with 1,5 with 2,4,7 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,4 with 1,2,4,7 with 1,2,5 with 2,4,7 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,6 with 2 with 1,5 with 2,4,7 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 6 with 1,5 with 2,4,7 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 1,5 with 1,5 $2.00
Total: $53.00
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:45 EDT / 3:45 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, July 16, 2017
7/16/17 Sacramento Late Pick Four - Results
Race 5 - # 4 Tuscan Warrior (Final Odds 1.60*) - "A" and "C" Selection*
Race 6 - # 4 Barton Lodge (Ire) (2.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 8 Artie B Good (7.30) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 7 Midvale Magic (5.60) - "C" Selection
* # 3 Pepper and Salt, a "C" Selection, was a late scratch in Race 5. I therefore received the Post Time Favorite, # 4 Tuscan Warrior, as his replacement on my tickets.
As anticipated, the class drop allowed # 4 No Problem (1.20*) to be much closer to the pace in the nightcap than he had been in his more recent starts. However, as was not anticipated, No Problem was not the one running best late through the stretch in the finale; and for that reason and others, today was a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the two runners to which I would have cashed in the finale:
# 2 Outlook (4.10) - $271.35 Finish: 3rd
# 4 No Problem (1.20*) - $111.80 Finish: 4th
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 4 / 4 / 8 / 7 were rewarded with a payout of $249.05 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 4 Barton Lodge (Ire) (2.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 8 Artie B Good (7.30) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 7 Midvale Magic (5.60) - "C" Selection
* # 3 Pepper and Salt, a "C" Selection, was a late scratch in Race 5. I therefore received the Post Time Favorite, # 4 Tuscan Warrior, as his replacement on my tickets.
As anticipated, the class drop allowed # 4 No Problem (1.20*) to be much closer to the pace in the nightcap than he had been in his more recent starts. However, as was not anticipated, No Problem was not the one running best late through the stretch in the finale; and for that reason and others, today was a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the two runners to which I would have cashed in the finale:
# 2 Outlook (4.10) - $271.35 Finish: 3rd
# 4 No Problem (1.20*) - $111.80 Finish: 4th
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 4 / 4 / 8 / 7 were rewarded with a payout of $249.05 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/16/17 Sacramento Late Pick Four - Preview
As promised in Saturday's preview, I'm sticking with the shorter sequence today, forgoing The Gold Rush Pick Six so that the jackpot will have an opportunity to build. And that's all I have today by way of introduction. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Sacramento.
RACE 5 - Clm $8k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Tuscan Warrior (Morning Line 9-2)
B’s
# 1 Satin Ruler (ML 5-2)
# 2 Silver Jester (ML 2-1)
C's
# 3 Pepper and Salt (ML 5-1)
# 5 Mystical (ML 12-1)
# 6 Union Wine (ML 4-1)
Tuscan Warrior graduated with ease last time out in his first ever try on a Fast dirt track. It's extremely unlikely that Tuscan Warrior will get away with such soft fractions again today; but it's quite likely that Tuscan Warrior has a preference for the surface that will allow him to score again even with the class rise.
Satin Ruler could be speed on the rail, and Trainer Victor Trujillo has had better than average success with runners going first off the claim. Silver Jester could move up with the class drop. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else, as this field in my opinion lacks any real good matches for the conditions, and thus could devolve into anyone's race.
RACE 6 - Clm $8k N2X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Barton Lodge (Ire) (ML 7-2)
# 7 Giant Mark (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 2 Bountiful Desert (ML 5-2)
# 6 Hock (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Barton Lodge (Ire) has finished in the Exacta in all four of his non-turf races; indeed, remove the grass races from his Past Performances and Barton Lodge shows a phenomenal form for this class level. If Barton Lodge can carry his form with him onto the dirt track, then he will be tough to beat here.
Giant Mark has finished in the Exacta in each of his two prior starts on a Fast dirt track, including a Win last time out over at Pleasanton. Bountiful Desert could benefit from the class drop. Hock has demonstrated good form in the past when competing on a Fast dirt track, and he seems well meant here.
RACE 7 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Cash Limit (ML 5-2)
B's
# 3 Cascadia (ML 5-1)
# 8 Artie B Good (ML 8-1)
C's
# 4 Let's Play Ball (ML 12-1)
# 7 Alive and Well (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 5 Wasco (ML 9-2)
Cash Limit took the Place at this class level in his debut last time out. Cascadia and Artie B Good are two first time starters that could do well in a field lacking a true standout. Let's Play Ball took the Show at this class level in his debut two starts back, albeit for a different barn. Alive and Well ran reasonably well in his debut last time out, once he figured out that there was a race going on and that he was in it.
RACE 8 - Clm $6.25k N2Y - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 No Problem (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Outlook (ML 4-1)
C's
# 3 Boldly True (ML 3-1)
# 6 Small Town Shuffle (ML 15-1)
# 7 Midvale Magic (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 1 In Control (ML 9-2) and # 5 Pocket Prince (ML 10-1)
This contest is for three year olds and upward that have not won two races in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming, and Starter contests for $5k or less.
No Problem is getting some significant class relief here, which should allow him to be much closer to the early pace than he has been of late; a huge benefit to a runner who looks to be the one that will be running best in the home stretch.
Outlook closed well in victory last time out, and looks like he will maintain his form with the class rise. Boldly True could do well with the change of surface. Small Town Shuffle is on the ticket because everyone else is. Midvale Magic could do well off the freshening.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 4,7 with 6 with 4 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,4 with 2,4,6,7 with 3,6,8 with 2,4 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,5,6 with 4,7 with 6 with 4 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 4,7 with 4,7 with 4 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 4,7 with 6 with 3,6,7 $3.00
Total: $46.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 6:45 EDT / 3:45 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 5 - Clm $8k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Tuscan Warrior (Morning Line 9-2)
B’s
# 1 Satin Ruler (ML 5-2)
# 2 Silver Jester (ML 2-1)
C's
# 3 Pepper and Salt (ML 5-1)
# 5 Mystical (ML 12-1)
# 6 Union Wine (ML 4-1)
Tuscan Warrior graduated with ease last time out in his first ever try on a Fast dirt track. It's extremely unlikely that Tuscan Warrior will get away with such soft fractions again today; but it's quite likely that Tuscan Warrior has a preference for the surface that will allow him to score again even with the class rise.
Satin Ruler could be speed on the rail, and Trainer Victor Trujillo has had better than average success with runners going first off the claim. Silver Jester could move up with the class drop. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else, as this field in my opinion lacks any real good matches for the conditions, and thus could devolve into anyone's race.
RACE 6 - Clm $8k N2X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Barton Lodge (Ire) (ML 7-2)
# 7 Giant Mark (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 2 Bountiful Desert (ML 5-2)
# 6 Hock (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Barton Lodge (Ire) has finished in the Exacta in all four of his non-turf races; indeed, remove the grass races from his Past Performances and Barton Lodge shows a phenomenal form for this class level. If Barton Lodge can carry his form with him onto the dirt track, then he will be tough to beat here.
Giant Mark has finished in the Exacta in each of his two prior starts on a Fast dirt track, including a Win last time out over at Pleasanton. Bountiful Desert could benefit from the class drop. Hock has demonstrated good form in the past when competing on a Fast dirt track, and he seems well meant here.
RACE 7 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Cash Limit (ML 5-2)
B's
# 3 Cascadia (ML 5-1)
# 8 Artie B Good (ML 8-1)
C's
# 4 Let's Play Ball (ML 12-1)
# 7 Alive and Well (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 5 Wasco (ML 9-2)
Cash Limit took the Place at this class level in his debut last time out. Cascadia and Artie B Good are two first time starters that could do well in a field lacking a true standout. Let's Play Ball took the Show at this class level in his debut two starts back, albeit for a different barn. Alive and Well ran reasonably well in his debut last time out, once he figured out that there was a race going on and that he was in it.
RACE 8 - Clm $6.25k N2Y - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 No Problem (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Outlook (ML 4-1)
C's
# 3 Boldly True (ML 3-1)
# 6 Small Town Shuffle (ML 15-1)
# 7 Midvale Magic (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 1 In Control (ML 9-2) and # 5 Pocket Prince (ML 10-1)
This contest is for three year olds and upward that have not won two races in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming, and Starter contests for $5k or less.
No Problem is getting some significant class relief here, which should allow him to be much closer to the early pace than he has been of late; a huge benefit to a runner who looks to be the one that will be running best in the home stretch.
Outlook closed well in victory last time out, and looks like he will maintain his form with the class rise. Boldly True could do well with the change of surface. Small Town Shuffle is on the ticket because everyone else is. Midvale Magic could do well off the freshening.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 4,7 with 6 with 4 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,4 with 2,4,6,7 with 3,6,8 with 2,4 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,5,6 with 4,7 with 6 with 4 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 4,7 with 4,7 with 4 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 4,7 with 6 with 3,6,7 $3.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 6:45 EDT / 3:45 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, July 15, 2017
7/15/17 Sacramento Late Pick Four - Results
Race 5 - # 7 Singapore Tune (Final Odds 2.40) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 3 Lovley Spy (1.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 Tough Penny (3.10) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Proudtobesicilian (1.00*) - "A" Selection
The third leg saw # 2 Kaja (10.40) do all the heavy lifting, setting all the fractions, only to be caught at the wire by Tough Penny, who won Race 7 at Sacramento by a head. And that head was the difference between me cashing or trashing; for while Kaja was a "C" Selection in my play, Tough Penny was nowhere to be found on my tickets.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 7 / 3 / 5 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $38.35 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 3 Lovley Spy (1.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 Tough Penny (3.10) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Proudtobesicilian (1.00*) - "A" Selection
The third leg saw # 2 Kaja (10.40) do all the heavy lifting, setting all the fractions, only to be caught at the wire by Tough Penny, who won Race 7 at Sacramento by a head. And that head was the difference between me cashing or trashing; for while Kaja was a "C" Selection in my play, Tough Penny was nowhere to be found on my tickets.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 7 / 3 / 5 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $38.35 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/15/17 Sacramento Late Pick Four - Preview
Northern California thoroughbred horse racing moves to the state fair at Sacramento, where it will reside through the end of July. Opening Day for the meet was Friday, which was when some fortunate individual scooped the jackpot Pick Six pool, walking away with $24,526.90 for their twenty cent wager. That being the case, I'm going to opt for a lighter workload this weekend and set my sights a bit lower, moving away from the Pick Six as I allow time for the jackpot to build back up, and instead taking a run at The Late Pick Four at Sacramento.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $8k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Miss Show Stopper (Morning Line 5-2)
# 7 Singapore Tune (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 1 Padawon (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Miss Show Stopper graduated for $8k at Golden Gate Fields three starts back. Miss Show Stopper was then rather ambitiously placed into an Alw 40000s N2L, followed by an Clm $16k. Saturday's entry is a much more realistic placing for a runner of Miss Show Stopper's ability. I expect Miss Show Stopper to set the pace in this contest, and be the one that the others will have to run down to win.
Singapore Tune is another getting some much needed class relief. Padawon moves up in class after closing well against lesser company last time out.
RACE 6 - (F) Md $25k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Lovley Spy (ML 3-1)
# 8 Almost Carla (ML 5-2)
B's
# 6 Reva Bella (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Lovley Spy showed good early speed against non-claiming maidens in her debut last time out. Almost Carla took the Show against more expensive stock two starts back, albeit on the grass. Almost Carla seems to have been working well for this, her first start of 2017, and Trainer Billy Morey tends to do well when bringing runners back from an extended vacation. Reva Bella took the Show at this class level last time out.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $10k N3L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Rebeccas in Charge (ML 2-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Kaja (ML 6-1)
# 4 Who Said Lucky (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 3 Liana Skye (ML 3-1)
Rebeccas in Charge should benefit from the sharp class drop. Rebeccas in Charge looks to be the one that will be running best late.
Kaja goes third off the layoff after being a pace presence in each of her prior 2017 starts. Who Said Lucky won by daylight against N2L company last time out, and might be the quickest in this field.
RACE 8 - Md $5k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Proudtobesicillian (ML 9-5)
B's
# 1 Swiss Empire (ML 5-1)
# 5 Reuben James (ML 8-1)
# 7 Awesome Run (ML 7-2)
C's
# 2 Toro John (ML 20-1)
# 4 Diablo Way (ML 12-1)
# 6 Irish Jack (ML 3-1)
Proudtobesicillian drops in class while returning to one turn racing. Swiss Empire took the Show at this class level last time out. Reuben James is a first time starter out of a dam that has produced five winners. Awesome Run has proven to be competitive at this class level.
Toro John gets Lasix for the first time Saturday. Diablo Way is on the ticket because everyone else is. Irish Jack could move up with the class drop.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3,7 with 3,8 with 6 with 3 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,3,7 with 3,6,8 with 6 with 1,3,5,7 $18.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 3 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 3,8 with 6 with 2,4,6 $6.00
Total: $32.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 6:45 EDT / 3:45 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $8k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Miss Show Stopper (Morning Line 5-2)
# 7 Singapore Tune (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 1 Padawon (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Miss Show Stopper graduated for $8k at Golden Gate Fields three starts back. Miss Show Stopper was then rather ambitiously placed into an Alw 40000s N2L, followed by an Clm $16k. Saturday's entry is a much more realistic placing for a runner of Miss Show Stopper's ability. I expect Miss Show Stopper to set the pace in this contest, and be the one that the others will have to run down to win.
Singapore Tune is another getting some much needed class relief. Padawon moves up in class after closing well against lesser company last time out.
RACE 6 - (F) Md $25k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Lovley Spy (ML 3-1)
# 8 Almost Carla (ML 5-2)
B's
# 6 Reva Bella (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Lovley Spy showed good early speed against non-claiming maidens in her debut last time out. Almost Carla took the Show against more expensive stock two starts back, albeit on the grass. Almost Carla seems to have been working well for this, her first start of 2017, and Trainer Billy Morey tends to do well when bringing runners back from an extended vacation. Reva Bella took the Show at this class level last time out.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $10k N3L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Rebeccas in Charge (ML 2-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Kaja (ML 6-1)
# 4 Who Said Lucky (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 3 Liana Skye (ML 3-1)
Rebeccas in Charge should benefit from the sharp class drop. Rebeccas in Charge looks to be the one that will be running best late.
Kaja goes third off the layoff after being a pace presence in each of her prior 2017 starts. Who Said Lucky won by daylight against N2L company last time out, and might be the quickest in this field.
RACE 8 - Md $5k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Proudtobesicillian (ML 9-5)
B's
# 1 Swiss Empire (ML 5-1)
# 5 Reuben James (ML 8-1)
# 7 Awesome Run (ML 7-2)
C's
# 2 Toro John (ML 20-1)
# 4 Diablo Way (ML 12-1)
# 6 Irish Jack (ML 3-1)
Proudtobesicillian drops in class while returning to one turn racing. Swiss Empire took the Show at this class level last time out. Reuben James is a first time starter out of a dam that has produced five winners. Awesome Run has proven to be competitive at this class level.
Toro John gets Lasix for the first time Saturday. Diablo Way is on the ticket because everyone else is. Irish Jack could move up with the class drop.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3,7 with 3,8 with 6 with 3 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,3,7 with 3,6,8 with 6 with 1,3,5,7 $18.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 3,8 with 2,4 with 3 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 3,8 with 6 with 2,4,6 $6.00
Total: $32.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 6:45 EDT / 3:45 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Friday, July 14, 2017
Still Going
A couple of weeks ago I passed the five year mark of blogging here; and, to be quite honest, I'm more than a bit surprised that I have stuck with this project this long; but I've really enjoyed doing this, and, Good Lord willing, I'll continue to enjoy it for quite some time to come. Anyway, this being an anniversary of sorts, I thought now would be a good time to repeat and expand upon some of things that I mentioned in my initial post and in other posts.
First, this is not a gambling site. You can't place bets here. I'm not booking your wagers, and you're not booking mine. Finding websites and physical locations where you can place legal wagers is as easy as a Google search; provided, of course, that you are of legal age and live in a locale where such activity is legal. And I believe that I have just set a personal record for using the word legal in a single paragraph.
The majority of posts that I publish on this blog concern multi-race wagers that I will be placing (but not with you; again, you are not booking my bets). It's a wonderful thing if and when the information that I place on this blog helps you to make a profitable wager or (even better) wagers. But whether you wager and win or wager and lose, and regardless of the amount on either side of the ledger, I am not a party to those transactions. Your wagers are between you and whatever legal entity you are placing your wagers; which, again, is not here. Again: You can't place bets here.
By the way, always keep in mind that the one thing you can control when playing the horses is how much you lose. You can never be guaranteed that your picks will win; and you can never tell how much those winners will pay until the results are Official; but you have full control over the amount that you wager, and therefore the maximum amount that you can lose.
I have found handicapping horse races to be a fun and challenging endeavor; a pastime which I hope The Good Lord will allow me to enjoy right up until the time that He calls me home. But playing the ponies is an activity that must be done responsibly. If you are concerned about your own gambling and think that you might have a problem; or if you are worried about someone you care about (or even someone that you don't really care all that much about) and think that they may have a problem, then I strongly, strongly urge you to seek professional help and guidance. Among the places where help is available are the following:
National Council on Problem Gambling
Gamblers Anonymous
GamCare
Lifeline
Finally, always remember that the whole point of this exercise is to have fun. We all want to win; and winning is a wonderful thing. But if additional funds in your bank account is the only thing that you are seeking, then I would suggest that you just get another job. Playing the ponies is not the pathway to guaranteed profits; but watching horses run around in circles can be a fun and wonderful pastime that sometimes allows you to finish the day with more than what you started.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
First, this is not a gambling site. You can't place bets here. I'm not booking your wagers, and you're not booking mine. Finding websites and physical locations where you can place legal wagers is as easy as a Google search; provided, of course, that you are of legal age and live in a locale where such activity is legal. And I believe that I have just set a personal record for using the word legal in a single paragraph.
The majority of posts that I publish on this blog concern multi-race wagers that I will be placing (but not with you; again, you are not booking my bets). It's a wonderful thing if and when the information that I place on this blog helps you to make a profitable wager or (even better) wagers. But whether you wager and win or wager and lose, and regardless of the amount on either side of the ledger, I am not a party to those transactions. Your wagers are between you and whatever legal entity you are placing your wagers; which, again, is not here. Again: You can't place bets here.
By the way, always keep in mind that the one thing you can control when playing the horses is how much you lose. You can never be guaranteed that your picks will win; and you can never tell how much those winners will pay until the results are Official; but you have full control over the amount that you wager, and therefore the maximum amount that you can lose.
I have found handicapping horse races to be a fun and challenging endeavor; a pastime which I hope The Good Lord will allow me to enjoy right up until the time that He calls me home. But playing the ponies is an activity that must be done responsibly. If you are concerned about your own gambling and think that you might have a problem; or if you are worried about someone you care about (or even someone that you don't really care all that much about) and think that they may have a problem, then I strongly, strongly urge you to seek professional help and guidance. Among the places where help is available are the following:
National Council on Problem Gambling
Gamblers Anonymous
GamCare
Lifeline
Finally, always remember that the whole point of this exercise is to have fun. We all want to win; and winning is a wonderful thing. But if additional funds in your bank account is the only thing that you are seeking, then I would suggest that you just get another job. Playing the ponies is not the pathway to guaranteed profits; but watching horses run around in circles can be a fun and wonderful pastime that sometimes allows you to finish the day with more than what you started.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, July 9, 2017
7/9/17 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Gold Rush Pick Six - Results
Race 4 - # 4 Elle Woods Too (Final Odds 5.10) - "C" Selection
Race 5 - # 6 Miekallon (9.20) - No Selection
Race 6 - # 5 Ultimate Game (1.60*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 Loma Cat (6.60) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 4 Saxon Lord (8.00) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 8 I'm Focused (13.10) - No Selection
Sort of a mixed bag Sunday. Having a $15.20 winner as an "A" Selection is a beautiful thing to behold; but having over half the winners absent from your big ticket suggests that your handicapping wasn't all that it could be. Anyway, this being a wager that requires a hit on every leg means that a mixed bag day is just another way of saying that I contributed Sunday and did not collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of 4 / 6 / 5 / 5 / 4 / 8 were non-existent. Nobody picked six on Sunday. Those who picked five out of six were rewarded with a payout of $646.26 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 5 - # 6 Miekallon (9.20) - No Selection
Race 6 - # 5 Ultimate Game (1.60*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 Loma Cat (6.60) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 4 Saxon Lord (8.00) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 8 I'm Focused (13.10) - No Selection
Sort of a mixed bag Sunday. Having a $15.20 winner as an "A" Selection is a beautiful thing to behold; but having over half the winners absent from your big ticket suggests that your handicapping wasn't all that it could be. Anyway, this being a wager that requires a hit on every leg means that a mixed bag day is just another way of saying that I contributed Sunday and did not collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of 4 / 6 / 5 / 5 / 4 / 8 were non-existent. Nobody picked six on Sunday. Those who picked five out of six were rewarded with a payout of $646.26 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/9/17 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Gold Rush Pick Six - Preview
And so we come to the final day of racing at the Alameda County Fairgrounds; at least until Autumn. Now keep in mind that, even though this is the final day of the meet, there is no mandatory payout today for the jackpot pool. The jackpot will carryover to the State Fair at Sacramento; provided, of course, that it doesn't get scooped. So with all that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 4 - (F) Clm $20k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Inside Scoop (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Marynetta (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Classy Lady (ML 6-1)
# 4 Elle Woods Too (ML 9-2)
Inside Scoop could improve with the surface switch, and looks to be the one that will be running best late. Marynetta may be the speed of the speed here, and could improve with the freshening. Classy Lady has finished in the Trifecta both times that she has competed on a Fast dirt track. Elle Woods Too was a winner at this class level last time out; but Elle Woods Too probably won't get the easy early lead today that she had in that contest.
RACE 5 - Md $16k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Zachian (ML 3-1)
B's
# 1 Out At Eight (ML 6-1)
# 3 Ron Again (ML 8-1)
# 4 Sheer Prince (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Kaluha (ML 5-1)
# 8 El Alteno (ML 9-2)
Zachian could improve with the reduction in real estate that he needs to cover today. Out At Eight and Ron Again are a pair of first time starters in a field where none of the experienced runners has shown themselves to be consistently competitive.
Sheer Prince could improve going second off the layoff. Kaluha's bullet work on June 29 would suggest that whatever was effecting him in his last outing is no longer an issue. El Alteno flashed brief early foot in his debut last time out.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $4k 2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Ultimate Game (ML5-2)
B’s
# 2 Im Your Pulpet (ML 9-2)
# 7 Dollemma (ML 20-1)
C's
# 4 Uncle Steve's Girl (ML 5-1)
# 6 Millennium Brew (ML 12-1)
Ultimate Game showed good early speed against more expensive stock last time out. Im Your Pulpet graduated by daylight last time out; and while last time out was eleven months ago for Im Your Pulpet, Trainer Cliff DeLima tends to do well when bringing runners back from an extended leave.
Dollemma took the Show against classier stock downstate two starts back. Uncle Steve's Girl has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last three starts.
Millennium Brew is the only runner in this field who has visited the Winner's Circle twice; which is odd, since neither the conditions printed with the Past Performances, nor the conditions printed in the track program state any exemptions to the Non-Winners of Two condition (for example, for a Win when the purse was less than $X). I presume that this was an unfortunate omission when these items were printed; and while I don't have a great deal of faith in Millennium Brew's chances today, I do believe that having such an advantage over the rest of the field warrants her inclusion as a backup "C" Selection.
RACE 7 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight and One Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Loma Cat (ML 5-1)
# 7 Baroque (ML 7-2)
# 8 Savrola (ML 4-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 4 Lil' Chieftain (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Onefortheteam (ML 9-2)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 7 Baroque and # 8 Savrola are the only two runners in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle twice in their career.
Savrola, Loma Cat, and Baroque filled out the Trifecta (in that order) at this class level last time out, all three crossing under the wire within a length of each other. Lil' Chieftain graduated by daylight last time out; perhaps Lil' Chieftain finally figured out what this racing stuff was all about; or maybe he just really likes this surface.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 9 Mr. Shook (ML 3-1)
B's
# 6 Donji (ML 5-1)
C's
# 3 Harvest a Storm (ML 9-2)
# 4 Saxon Lord (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Cackle the Cuda (ML 6-1)
Mr. Shook, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, was within two lengths of the winner at the wire at this class level last time. Mr. Shook's breeding suggests that he should do well today in his first try at two turn racing.
Donji has finished in the Trifecta all three times that he has competed over this track. Harvest a Storm took the Show at this class level last time out, albeit on the grass. Saxon Lord could improve with the change of surface.
RACE 9 - Md $8k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 This's How We Roll (ML 4-1)
B's
# 5 Atila's War (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Genuwine Wine (ML 10-1)
# 2 Atsina Warrior (ML 8-1)
# 4 Plum Lucky (ML 15-1)
# 9 D G Man (ML 7-2)
This's How We Roll took the Show against more expensive last time out. Atila's War showed good early speed against classier foes last time out.
Genuwine Wine has proven competitive at this class level. Atsina Warrior returns from an extended vacation; as stated above, Trainer Cliff DeLima tends to do well with such.
Plum Lucky may have needed that last race. D G Man flashed some good early speed in his debut last time out.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 2,3 with 1,2,3,4 with 2,5,7 with 5,7,8 with 6,9 with 3,5 $57.60
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,4 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 5,8 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 4,6 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 9 with 3 $0.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 3,4 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 1,2,4,9 $2.40
Total: $68.00
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:15 EDT / 3:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 4 - (F) Clm $20k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Inside Scoop (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Marynetta (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Classy Lady (ML 6-1)
# 4 Elle Woods Too (ML 9-2)
Inside Scoop could improve with the surface switch, and looks to be the one that will be running best late. Marynetta may be the speed of the speed here, and could improve with the freshening. Classy Lady has finished in the Trifecta both times that she has competed on a Fast dirt track. Elle Woods Too was a winner at this class level last time out; but Elle Woods Too probably won't get the easy early lead today that she had in that contest.
RACE 5 - Md $16k - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Zachian (ML 3-1)
B's
# 1 Out At Eight (ML 6-1)
# 3 Ron Again (ML 8-1)
# 4 Sheer Prince (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Kaluha (ML 5-1)
# 8 El Alteno (ML 9-2)
Zachian could improve with the reduction in real estate that he needs to cover today. Out At Eight and Ron Again are a pair of first time starters in a field where none of the experienced runners has shown themselves to be consistently competitive.
Sheer Prince could improve going second off the layoff. Kaluha's bullet work on June 29 would suggest that whatever was effecting him in his last outing is no longer an issue. El Alteno flashed brief early foot in his debut last time out.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $4k 2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Ultimate Game (ML5-2)
B’s
# 2 Im Your Pulpet (ML 9-2)
# 7 Dollemma (ML 20-1)
C's
# 4 Uncle Steve's Girl (ML 5-1)
# 6 Millennium Brew (ML 12-1)
Ultimate Game showed good early speed against more expensive stock last time out. Im Your Pulpet graduated by daylight last time out; and while last time out was eleven months ago for Im Your Pulpet, Trainer Cliff DeLima tends to do well when bringing runners back from an extended leave.
Dollemma took the Show against classier stock downstate two starts back. Uncle Steve's Girl has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last three starts.
Millennium Brew is the only runner in this field who has visited the Winner's Circle twice; which is odd, since neither the conditions printed with the Past Performances, nor the conditions printed in the track program state any exemptions to the Non-Winners of Two condition (for example, for a Win when the purse was less than $X). I presume that this was an unfortunate omission when these items were printed; and while I don't have a great deal of faith in Millennium Brew's chances today, I do believe that having such an advantage over the rest of the field warrants her inclusion as a backup "C" Selection.
RACE 7 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight and One Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Loma Cat (ML 5-1)
# 7 Baroque (ML 7-2)
# 8 Savrola (ML 4-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 4 Lil' Chieftain (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Onefortheteam (ML 9-2)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 7 Baroque and # 8 Savrola are the only two runners in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle twice in their career.
Savrola, Loma Cat, and Baroque filled out the Trifecta (in that order) at this class level last time out, all three crossing under the wire within a length of each other. Lil' Chieftain graduated by daylight last time out; perhaps Lil' Chieftain finally figured out what this racing stuff was all about; or maybe he just really likes this surface.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 9 Mr. Shook (ML 3-1)
B's
# 6 Donji (ML 5-1)
C's
# 3 Harvest a Storm (ML 9-2)
# 4 Saxon Lord (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Cackle the Cuda (ML 6-1)
Mr. Shook, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, was within two lengths of the winner at the wire at this class level last time. Mr. Shook's breeding suggests that he should do well today in his first try at two turn racing.
Donji has finished in the Trifecta all three times that he has competed over this track. Harvest a Storm took the Show at this class level last time out, albeit on the grass. Saxon Lord could improve with the change of surface.
RACE 9 - Md $8k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 This's How We Roll (ML 4-1)
B's
# 5 Atila's War (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Genuwine Wine (ML 10-1)
# 2 Atsina Warrior (ML 8-1)
# 4 Plum Lucky (ML 15-1)
# 9 D G Man (ML 7-2)
This's How We Roll took the Show against more expensive last time out. Atila's War showed good early speed against classier foes last time out.
Genuwine Wine has proven competitive at this class level. Atsina Warrior returns from an extended vacation; as stated above, Trainer Cliff DeLima tends to do well with such.
Plum Lucky may have needed that last race. D G Man flashed some good early speed in his debut last time out.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 2,3 with 1,2,3,4 with 2,5,7 with 5,7,8 with 6,9 with 3,5 $57.60
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,4 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 5,8 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 4,6 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 4 with 9 with 3 $0.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 3,4 with 3 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 5,7,8 with 9 with 1,2,4,9 $2.40
Total: $68.00
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:15 EDT / 3:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, July 8, 2017
7/8/17 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Gold Rush Pick Six - Results
Race 5 - # 5 Contessa B. (Final Odds 0.70*) - "C" Selection
Race 6 - # 2 Omdurman (2.40) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 3 Little Doe (3.60) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Everett Nevin - # 4 Kimberlea K (0.90*) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Lucky Patrick (2.30) - "C" Selection
Race 10 - # 4 Blushing Bug (6.90) - "B" Selection
It's never a good idea to have a single on your big ticket in which you don't have full confidence; and Saturday was a good example of that. As I mentioned in the preview, my big ticket single, # 6 Knoll (2.80) in the opening leg, was a lifetime two-for-twenty-nine going into Saturday's contest. Such a runner should not be a single on any ticket, excepting the rarest of circumstances. But more importantly, the fact that I was expressing such doubts about Knoll's win chances in the preview should have been a clear signal that she was not the single that I was looking for, and I should have adjusted my play accordingly.
However, with that said, had I moved Contessa B from backup to the big ticket, I most likely still would not have collected Saturday. I certainly wouldn't have doubled the cost of my big ticket, which simply adding Contessa B while making no other adjustments would have done. And while I will never know exactly how the play would have gone down, I feel confident that I still would have had Kimberlea K and Blushing Bug on the big ticket. But Lucky Patrick almost certainly would have remained a backup "C" Selection, which would have doomed all tickets to the trash bin anyway.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of 5 / 2 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 4 were rewarded with a payout of $528.96 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 2 Omdurman (2.40) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 3 Little Doe (3.60) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Everett Nevin - # 4 Kimberlea K (0.90*) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Lucky Patrick (2.30) - "C" Selection
Race 10 - # 4 Blushing Bug (6.90) - "B" Selection
It's never a good idea to have a single on your big ticket in which you don't have full confidence; and Saturday was a good example of that. As I mentioned in the preview, my big ticket single, # 6 Knoll (2.80) in the opening leg, was a lifetime two-for-twenty-nine going into Saturday's contest. Such a runner should not be a single on any ticket, excepting the rarest of circumstances. But more importantly, the fact that I was expressing such doubts about Knoll's win chances in the preview should have been a clear signal that she was not the single that I was looking for, and I should have adjusted my play accordingly.
However, with that said, had I moved Contessa B from backup to the big ticket, I most likely still would not have collected Saturday. I certainly wouldn't have doubled the cost of my big ticket, which simply adding Contessa B while making no other adjustments would have done. And while I will never know exactly how the play would have gone down, I feel confident that I still would have had Kimberlea K and Blushing Bug on the big ticket. But Lucky Patrick almost certainly would have remained a backup "C" Selection, which would have doomed all tickets to the trash bin anyway.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Gold Rush Pick Six sequence of 5 / 2 / 3 / 4 / 5 / 4 were rewarded with a payout of $528.96 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/8/17 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Gold Rush Pick Six - Preview
"If no one ever took risks, Michelangelo would have painted the Sistine Floor." - Neil Simon
The Everett Nevin Stakes, a five and a half furlong sprint for California bred or California sired juveniles, is the featured race on Saturday's card at the Alameda County Fair. And telling you that is pretty much all I have by way of introduction; so let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $3.2k N1Y - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Knoll (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Tanned Mistress (ML 8-1)
# 2 Deep Thought (ML 10-1)
# 3 Raja's Rose (ML 5-1)
# 5 Contessa (ML 5-2)
Scratch # 4 Warrens Lil Margie (ML 2-1)
This contest is for fillies and mares three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming, and Starter contests for $2.5k or less.
Knoll's lifetime record of two Wins in twenty-nine tries isn't exactly what you look for in a big ticket single. But, with the scratch of Warrens Lil Margie, Knoll is clearly (in my humble opinion) the most talented runner in this field, and a repeat of any of her most recent efforts should put her in the Winner's Circle today.
The "C" Selections are everyone else. As I said, two-for-twenty-nine doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. If Knoll fails to fire today, at least this play won't suffer a first round knockout.
RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Omdurman (ML 5-1)
# 6 Tremors Code (ML 4-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 3 Tough Timber (ML 7-2)
Omdurman took the Show at this class level last time out. Tremors Code took the Show against classier foes last time out. Tough Timber has finished in the Exacta in all three of his career starts on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Little Doe (ML 5-1)
B's
# 4 Boot Scootin' Kid (ML 10-1)
# 5 Assemble (ML 3-1)
# 7 Angelofmontgomery (ML 2-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Truth Matters (ML 7-2)
These are juveniles, with Little Doe and Boot Scootin' Kid being the only two runners in the field with any prior racing experience. Assemble and Angelofmontgomery are both trained by Blaine Wright, who tends to do reasonably well with first time starters.
RACE 8 - [S] The Everett Nevin $100k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Schulace (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Jacks Masterpiece (ML 7-2)
# 3 Walk On Water (ML 10-1)
# 4 Kimberlea (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Schulace was an easy winner in his debut at Santa Anita last time out. Jacks Masterpiece won by as many as he wanted over this track in his initial try last time out.
Walk on Water graduated while making the jump up in class from Maiden Claiming to Maiden Non-Claiming last time out in his first start after being claimed by Trainer Steve Miyadi. Kimberlea, the only filly in this field, was another that won in her debut last time out, and she just might be the quickest of the bunch.
RACE 9 - MSW - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Pavelski (ML 2-1)
# 2 Alleycat (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 5 Lucky Patrick (ML 3-1)
Pavelski could improve with the switch back to dirt. Alleycat took the Place at this class level last time out, albeit on the turf. Lucky Patrick could be quickest in a field that looks a little light on early speed.
RACE 10 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight and Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Moscato Girl (ML 9-2)
B's
# 4 Blushing Bug (ML 10-1)
# 5 Hal's Buddy (ML 4-1)
# 7 Breakaway Dixie (ML 7-2)
# 9 Californiasunshine (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Moscato Girl fits well here on class, and has run well in the past on Fast dirt tracks. Blushing Bug appears to be in top form, but Blushing Bug may not have enough pace in this field to chase.
Hal's Buddy took the Place at this class level last time out, with Breakaway Dixie taking the Show behind her. Californiasunshine was a winner at this class level two starts back.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 6 with 2,6 with 3 with 8 with 1,2 with 3 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 6 with 2,6 with 3,4,5,7 with 1,3,4,8 with 1,2 with 3,4,5,7,9 $64.00
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,2,3,5 with 2,6 with 3 with 8 with 1,2 with 3 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 6 with 3 with 3 with 8 with 1,2 with 3 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 6 with 2,6 with 3 with 8 with 5 with 3 $0.40
Total: $72.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 6:46 EDT / 3:46 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
The Everett Nevin Stakes, a five and a half furlong sprint for California bred or California sired juveniles, is the featured race on Saturday's card at the Alameda County Fair. And telling you that is pretty much all I have by way of introduction; so let's get to it, as I take another run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 5 - (F) Clm $3.2k N1Y - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Knoll (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Tanned Mistress (ML 8-1)
# 2 Deep Thought (ML 10-1)
# 3 Raja's Rose (ML 5-1)
# 5 Contessa (ML 5-2)
Scratch # 4 Warrens Lil Margie (ML 2-1)
This contest is for fillies and mares three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming, and Starter contests for $2.5k or less.
Knoll's lifetime record of two Wins in twenty-nine tries isn't exactly what you look for in a big ticket single. But, with the scratch of Warrens Lil Margie, Knoll is clearly (in my humble opinion) the most talented runner in this field, and a repeat of any of her most recent efforts should put her in the Winner's Circle today.
The "C" Selections are everyone else. As I said, two-for-twenty-nine doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. If Knoll fails to fire today, at least this play won't suffer a first round knockout.
RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Omdurman (ML 5-1)
# 6 Tremors Code (ML 4-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 3 Tough Timber (ML 7-2)
Omdurman took the Show at this class level last time out. Tremors Code took the Show against classier foes last time out. Tough Timber has finished in the Exacta in all three of his career starts on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Little Doe (ML 5-1)
B's
# 4 Boot Scootin' Kid (ML 10-1)
# 5 Assemble (ML 3-1)
# 7 Angelofmontgomery (ML 2-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Truth Matters (ML 7-2)
These are juveniles, with Little Doe and Boot Scootin' Kid being the only two runners in the field with any prior racing experience. Assemble and Angelofmontgomery are both trained by Blaine Wright, who tends to do reasonably well with first time starters.
RACE 8 - [S] The Everett Nevin $100k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Schulace (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Jacks Masterpiece (ML 7-2)
# 3 Walk On Water (ML 10-1)
# 4 Kimberlea (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Schulace was an easy winner in his debut at Santa Anita last time out. Jacks Masterpiece won by as many as he wanted over this track in his initial try last time out.
Walk on Water graduated while making the jump up in class from Maiden Claiming to Maiden Non-Claiming last time out in his first start after being claimed by Trainer Steve Miyadi. Kimberlea, the only filly in this field, was another that won in her debut last time out, and she just might be the quickest of the bunch.
RACE 9 - MSW - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Pavelski (ML 2-1)
# 2 Alleycat (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 5 Lucky Patrick (ML 3-1)
Pavelski could improve with the switch back to dirt. Alleycat took the Place at this class level last time out, albeit on the turf. Lucky Patrick could be quickest in a field that looks a little light on early speed.
RACE 10 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight and Half Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Moscato Girl (ML 9-2)
B's
# 4 Blushing Bug (ML 10-1)
# 5 Hal's Buddy (ML 4-1)
# 7 Breakaway Dixie (ML 7-2)
# 9 Californiasunshine (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Moscato Girl fits well here on class, and has run well in the past on Fast dirt tracks. Blushing Bug appears to be in top form, but Blushing Bug may not have enough pace in this field to chase.
Hal's Buddy took the Place at this class level last time out, with Breakaway Dixie taking the Show behind her. Californiasunshine was a winner at this class level two starts back.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I also think it's safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket; so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 6 with 2,6 with 3 with 8 with 1,2 with 3 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 6 with 2,6 with 3,4,5,7 with 1,3,4,8 with 1,2 with 3,4,5,7,9 $64.00
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 1,2,3,5 with 2,6 with 3 with 8 with 1,2 with 3 $3.20
$0.20 P6: 6 with 3 with 3 with 8 with 1,2 with 3 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 6 with 2,6 with 3 with 8 with 5 with 3 $0.40
Total: $72.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 6:46 EDT / 3:46 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Tuesday, July 4, 2017
7/4/17 Oak Tree At Pleasanton Gold Rush Pick Six - Preview
"You have to love a nation that celebrates its independence every July 4, not with a parade of guns, tanks, and soldiers who file by the White House in a show of strength and muscle, but with family picnics where kids throw Frisbees, the potato salad gets iffy, and the flies die from happiness. You may think you have overeaten, but it is patriotism." - Erma Bombeck
Happy Independence Day, America! Hopefully everyone has been enjoying this holiday in a manner of their own choosing, and hopefully that enjoyment will be extended throughout the day.
So it turns out that I waited a bit too long to jump into the Jackpot Pick Six pool at the Alameda County Fair, as someone scooped the pot Monday, taking home $28,207.28 for their twenty cent wager (may God bless them as they spend their winnings). But having already handicapped the sequence for Tuesday, I decided to just go with it; and while it won't be a big blast, who knows; maybe it will produce some sparkles and pop. So with all that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 4 - Alw 40000s N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 An Khe Pass (Morning Line 5-2)
# 3 Mirror Image (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 4 Pick One (ML 4-1)
# 6 Boleo (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Twice as Fast (ML 5-1)
# 5 At Twilight Time (ML 8-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 1 An Khe Pass, # 3 Mirror Image, and # 6 Boleo are the three runners in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle twice in their career.
An Khe Pass missed victory by just a nose last time out at this class level. Mirror Image has finished in the Trifecta in each of his last six races at this class level. Mirror Image is the only runner in this contest with a prior Win over a Fast dirt track.
Pick One could benefit from the return to one turn racing. Boleo could get a nice pace pressing trip from the outside post. Twice as Fast looked sharp while winning his debut last time out. At Twilight Time is on the ticket because everyone else in this field is.
RACE 5 - (F) MSW - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 The Incident (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 2 A Lucky Carry (ML 3-1)
# 3 Bridal Arch (ML 6-1)
# 7 Beau Rocks (ML 4-1)
The Incident Took the Place at this class level last time out, and has been showing steady improvement in each of her three prior career starts. A Lucky Carry has proven to be competitive at this class level, by may be settling for too many minor awards. Bridal Arch could improve with the stretch out. Beau Rocks took the Show at this class level (behind The Incident) last time out.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $16k N2L - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Misty Bay (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Unbroken Code (ML 3-1)
# 4 Bishops of Compton (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Misty Bay and Bishops of Compton filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta last time out. Unbroken Code would be a single in this leg if I had more faith in her ability to hold her form as she tries two turn racing for the first time.
RACE 7 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 7 Mi Bouchon (ML 9-2)
B's
# 6 Nightime Olympics (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Beaumarchais (ML 6-1)
# 4 Mr Kerry Hara (ML 7-2)
# 5 You Play the Bench (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Elegant Tanner (ML 3-1)
Mi Bouchon was within a length of the winner at the wire at this class level last time out, and should benefit from the freshening. Nightime Olympics missed victory by just a head at this class level last time out.
Beaumarchais could be speed on the rail. Mr Kerry Hara has proven competitive at this class level, but seems to settle for too many minor awards. You Play the Bench is undefeated in three career starts, and may be able to handle the class rise today.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2X - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Sooner Time (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 5 Whyugottabesomean (ML 3-1)
# 7 Newcomb (ML 6-1)
C's
# 3 Ballerina Headline (ML 4-1)
# 8 Hurricaine Callie (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Midnight Seeker (ML 9-2)
Sooner Time has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last two starts. All four of Sooner Time's career Wins have come over a Fast dirt track.
Whyugottabesomean was right behind Sooner Time at the wire last time out. Newcomb could move up with the class drop.
Ballerina Headline crossed the wire in front of Sooner Time last time out, but the lesser distance today may work to Sooner Time's advantage. Hurricaine Callie fits well at this class level, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.
RACE 9 - The Oak Tree Sprint $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Algenon (ML 5-1)
B's
# 6 Kaabraaj (ML 9-2)
# 8 Quick and Silver (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Rocket Heat (ML 7-2)
# 4 Yahoo Tahoe (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 7 Raised a Secret (ML 8-1)
Algenon has finished in the Trifecta in both of his career starts over this track. Kaabraaj was a Listed Stakes winner in each of his last two starts over a Fast dirt track. Quick and Silver could return to form off the freshening.
Rocket Heat could be the speed of the speed on the rail; but Rocket Heat may have difficulty making the full six furlongs. Yahoo Tahoe could be the one running best late.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I think it's also safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 1,3 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 4 with 5 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 1,3,4,6 with 5 with 2,4,6 with 6,7 with 4,5,7 with 5,6,8 $43.20
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 2,5 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 4 with 5 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 1,3 with 2,3,7 with 6 with 7 with 4 with 5 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 1,3 with 5 with 6 with 1,4,5 with 4 with 5 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 1,3 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 3,8 with 5 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 1,3 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 4 with 1,4 $0.80
Total: $49.60
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:18 EDT / 3:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Happy Independence Day, America! Hopefully everyone has been enjoying this holiday in a manner of their own choosing, and hopefully that enjoyment will be extended throughout the day.
So it turns out that I waited a bit too long to jump into the Jackpot Pick Six pool at the Alameda County Fair, as someone scooped the pot Monday, taking home $28,207.28 for their twenty cent wager (may God bless them as they spend their winnings). But having already handicapped the sequence for Tuesday, I decided to just go with it; and while it won't be a big blast, who knows; maybe it will produce some sparkles and pop. So with all that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Gold Rush Pick Six at Oak Tree at Pleasanton.
RACE 4 - Alw 40000s N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 An Khe Pass (Morning Line 5-2)
# 3 Mirror Image (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 4 Pick One (ML 4-1)
# 6 Boleo (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Twice as Fast (ML 5-1)
# 5 At Twilight Time (ML 8-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and only one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 1 An Khe Pass, # 3 Mirror Image, and # 6 Boleo are the three runners in this field to have visited the Winner's Circle twice in their career.
An Khe Pass missed victory by just a nose last time out at this class level. Mirror Image has finished in the Trifecta in each of his last six races at this class level. Mirror Image is the only runner in this contest with a prior Win over a Fast dirt track.
Pick One could benefit from the return to one turn racing. Boleo could get a nice pace pressing trip from the outside post. Twice as Fast looked sharp while winning his debut last time out. At Twilight Time is on the ticket because everyone else in this field is.
RACE 5 - (F) MSW - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 The Incident (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 2 A Lucky Carry (ML 3-1)
# 3 Bridal Arch (ML 6-1)
# 7 Beau Rocks (ML 4-1)
The Incident Took the Place at this class level last time out, and has been showing steady improvement in each of her three prior career starts. A Lucky Carry has proven to be competitive at this class level, by may be settling for too many minor awards. Bridal Arch could improve with the stretch out. Beau Rocks took the Show at this class level (behind The Incident) last time out.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $16k N2L - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Misty Bay (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Unbroken Code (ML 3-1)
# 4 Bishops of Compton (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Misty Bay and Bishops of Compton filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta last time out. Unbroken Code would be a single in this leg if I had more faith in her ability to hold her form as she tries two turn racing for the first time.
RACE 7 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 7 Mi Bouchon (ML 9-2)
B's
# 6 Nightime Olympics (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Beaumarchais (ML 6-1)
# 4 Mr Kerry Hara (ML 7-2)
# 5 You Play the Bench (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Elegant Tanner (ML 3-1)
Mi Bouchon was within a length of the winner at the wire at this class level last time out, and should benefit from the freshening. Nightime Olympics missed victory by just a head at this class level last time out.
Beaumarchais could be speed on the rail. Mr Kerry Hara has proven competitive at this class level, but seems to settle for too many minor awards. You Play the Bench is undefeated in three career starts, and may be able to handle the class rise today.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2X - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Sooner Time (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 5 Whyugottabesomean (ML 3-1)
# 7 Newcomb (ML 6-1)
C's
# 3 Ballerina Headline (ML 4-1)
# 8 Hurricaine Callie (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 2 Midnight Seeker (ML 9-2)
Sooner Time has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last two starts. All four of Sooner Time's career Wins have come over a Fast dirt track.
Whyugottabesomean was right behind Sooner Time at the wire last time out. Newcomb could move up with the class drop.
Ballerina Headline crossed the wire in front of Sooner Time last time out, but the lesser distance today may work to Sooner Time's advantage. Hurricaine Callie fits well at this class level, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.
RACE 9 - The Oak Tree Sprint $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Algenon (ML 5-1)
B's
# 6 Kaabraaj (ML 9-2)
# 8 Quick and Silver (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Rocket Heat (ML 7-2)
# 4 Yahoo Tahoe (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 7 Raised a Secret (ML 8-1)
Algenon has finished in the Trifecta in both of his career starts over this track. Kaabraaj was a Listed Stakes winner in each of his last two starts over a Fast dirt track. Quick and Silver could return to form off the freshening.
Rocket Heat could be the speed of the speed on the rail; but Rocket Heat may have difficulty making the full six furlongs. Yahoo Tahoe could be the one running best late.
OK, that's the analysis. While this is a jackpot wager, I won't be putting all my selections on one ticket. While I still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of my life, budgetary constraints must be respected. I think it's also safe to presume that my "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so I should be safe in pressing those up. So with all that, playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 1,3 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 4 with 5 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 1,3,4,6 with 5 with 2,4,6 with 6,7 with 4,5,7 with 5,6,8 $43.20
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 2,5 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 4 with 5 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 1,3 with 2,3,7 with 6 with 7 with 4 with 5 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 1,3 with 5 with 6 with 1,4,5 with 4 with 5 $1.20
$0.20 P6: 1,3 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 3,8 with 5 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 1,3 with 5 with 6 with 7 with 4 with 1,4 $0.80
Total: $49.60
Post Time for Race 4 is 6:18 EDT / 3:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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