Race 5 - # 1 Calling Me Home (Final Odds 5.50) - No Selection
Race 6 - # 2 Pioneer Pete (5.20) - "C" Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Heartbreaker Girl (6.40) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 6 Ana's Pride (3.40) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 2 Flash Jak (0.60*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 10 First Salute (2.80*) - "B" Selection
Calling Me Home and Pioneer Pete were each making their first start of 2016, and as can been seen by the results above, they were both ready to roll. Unfortunately for us, we weren't ready to roll them onto our big ticket, and for that reason Thursday was a day for us to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Rainbow Six sequence of 1 / 2 / 4 / 6 / 2 / 10 were rewarded with a payout of $3,234.24 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Thursday, June 30, 2016
6/30/16 Gulfstream Park Rainbow 6 - Preview
June 30 is the final day of the fiscal year for the state of Florida, so for that reason there will be a mandatory payout Thursday of Gulfstream Park's Jackpot Rainbow Pick Six. There's already over $100k in the pool before the windows open, so expect the final distributable amount to be several multiples of that figure. So let's get to it, as we take a run at The Rainbow Six at the home of the world's richest horse race.
RACE 5 - (F) Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Ginger Rush (Morning Line 5-2)
# 5 Avery Maeve (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Pat's Courage (ML 4-1)
Ginger Rush missed graduation by less than a length against non-claiming maidens the last time that she competed on the main track. While this is Ginger Rush's first time up for sale in a race, it's difficult to call this a class drop, as all the other experienced runners in here save one are also running for a tag for the first time. That one exception, the one that has competed in a maiden claiming event previously, is Avery Maeve, who showed good early speed in her debut last time out and looks to be the one to catch. Pat's Courage took the Show in her debut last time out against non-claiming maidens.
RACE 6 - Md $12.5k - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 No Hit No Run (ML 7-2)
B's
# 6 Tout Vient (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 Pioneer Pete (ML 6-1)
# 9 Spark to Ignite (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 8 Caribou Cat (ML 3-1)
No Hit No Run took the Show against more expensive last time out in his first try on the grass. Tout Vient should appreciate the turnback in distance.
Pioneer Pete missed graduation by just a head against more expensive two starts back; but that start was over a year ago. Spark to Ignite has shown good early speed in the past against more expensive stock.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $30k B - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Didnotmeanit (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 1 R Kinsley Doll (ML 7-2)
# 3 Will Be Magical (ML 8-1)
# 4 Heartbreaker Girl (ML 4-1)
C's
None
The conditions limit this contest to horses that have never won two races in their lifetime; unless they are three years old, in which case there is no limit on how many prior victories they may have in their career.
Didnotmeanit has twice this year won by over a half dozen lengths against stiffer competition over this main track. R Kinsley Doll took the Place against much more expensive two starts back. Will Be Magical may have needed that last race, and could move forward today. Heartbreaker Girl took the Place at this class level last time out.
RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Ana's Pride (ML 3-1)
B's
# 2 Perhaps Some Drama (ML 6-1)
# 7 Broadway Broad (ML 5-1)
# 8 Fortune Heir (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Awesome Meow (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 1 First Punch (ML 20-1). I expect # 11 Easier (ML 6-1) will also be scratched, as she was entered for the main track only; and while thunderstorms are a possibility later today, the turf course is currently listed as firm.
Ana's Pride missed graduation by less than a length the only previous time that she sprinted on the grass. Perhaps Some Drama showed good early speed in her debut last time out.
Broadway Broad took the Show in her debut at this class level last time out. Awesome Meow and Fortune Heir are a paid of first time starters trained by Mark Casse and sired by a pair of stallions (Awesome of Course and Wildcat Heir) whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.
RACE 9 - (F) Clm $6.25k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Flash Jak (ML 3-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 3 Twinkling Time (ML 7-2)
# 6 Breach of Duty (ML 4-1)
Flash Jak won at this class level at today's distance over this main track last time out, and looks like an excellent candidate to repeat. Twinkling Time took the Show behind Flash Jak in that win. Breach of Duty could be quickest early.
RACE 10 - (F) Clm $10k N2L - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Don's Girl (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 6 Dreaming of Eva (ML 6-1)
# 10 First Salute (ML 10-1)
C's
# 1 Love Flute (ML 8-1)
# 4 Red Hot n' Boom (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 8 Revolver Sessions (ML 3-1) and # 9 Lady Nura (Ire) (ML 4-1)
Don's Girl took the Place at this class level last time out. Don's Girl's form looks much better if you focus on just the turf sprints.
Dreaming of Eva and First Salute are both trying winners for the first time; but both should be forwardly placed early. Love Flute settles for way too many minor awards; but her talent must be respected. Red Hot n' Boom deserves another chance on the grass.
OK, that's the analysis. Since today is a mandatory payout day we can press our "A" Selections without fear of killing our jackpot chances. So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 3,5 with 7 with 7 with 6 with 2 with 3 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 3,5 with 6,7 with 1,3,4,7 with 2,6,7,8 with 2 with 3,6,10 $38.40
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 2 with 7 with 7 with 6 with 2 with 3 $0.20
$0.20 P6: 3,5 with 2,9 with 7 with 6 with 2 with 3 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 3,5 with 7 with 7 with 5 with 2 with 3 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 3,5 with 7 with 7 with 6 with 3,6 with 3 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 3,5 with 7 with 7 with 6 with 2 with 1,4 $0.80
Total: $43.40
Post Time for Race 5 is 3:21 EDT / 12:21 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 5 - (F) Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Ginger Rush (Morning Line 5-2)
# 5 Avery Maeve (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Pat's Courage (ML 4-1)
Ginger Rush missed graduation by less than a length against non-claiming maidens the last time that she competed on the main track. While this is Ginger Rush's first time up for sale in a race, it's difficult to call this a class drop, as all the other experienced runners in here save one are also running for a tag for the first time. That one exception, the one that has competed in a maiden claiming event previously, is Avery Maeve, who showed good early speed in her debut last time out and looks to be the one to catch. Pat's Courage took the Show in her debut last time out against non-claiming maidens.
RACE 6 - Md $12.5k - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 No Hit No Run (ML 7-2)
B's
# 6 Tout Vient (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 Pioneer Pete (ML 6-1)
# 9 Spark to Ignite (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 8 Caribou Cat (ML 3-1)
No Hit No Run took the Show against more expensive last time out in his first try on the grass. Tout Vient should appreciate the turnback in distance.
Pioneer Pete missed graduation by just a head against more expensive two starts back; but that start was over a year ago. Spark to Ignite has shown good early speed in the past against more expensive stock.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $30k B - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Didnotmeanit (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 1 R Kinsley Doll (ML 7-2)
# 3 Will Be Magical (ML 8-1)
# 4 Heartbreaker Girl (ML 4-1)
C's
None
The conditions limit this contest to horses that have never won two races in their lifetime; unless they are three years old, in which case there is no limit on how many prior victories they may have in their career.
Didnotmeanit has twice this year won by over a half dozen lengths against stiffer competition over this main track. R Kinsley Doll took the Place against much more expensive two starts back. Will Be Magical may have needed that last race, and could move forward today. Heartbreaker Girl took the Place at this class level last time out.
RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Ana's Pride (ML 3-1)
B's
# 2 Perhaps Some Drama (ML 6-1)
# 7 Broadway Broad (ML 5-1)
# 8 Fortune Heir (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Awesome Meow (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 1 First Punch (ML 20-1). I expect # 11 Easier (ML 6-1) will also be scratched, as she was entered for the main track only; and while thunderstorms are a possibility later today, the turf course is currently listed as firm.
Ana's Pride missed graduation by less than a length the only previous time that she sprinted on the grass. Perhaps Some Drama showed good early speed in her debut last time out.
Broadway Broad took the Show in her debut at this class level last time out. Awesome Meow and Fortune Heir are a paid of first time starters trained by Mark Casse and sired by a pair of stallions (Awesome of Course and Wildcat Heir) whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.
RACE 9 - (F) Clm $6.25k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Flash Jak (ML 3-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 3 Twinkling Time (ML 7-2)
# 6 Breach of Duty (ML 4-1)
Flash Jak won at this class level at today's distance over this main track last time out, and looks like an excellent candidate to repeat. Twinkling Time took the Show behind Flash Jak in that win. Breach of Duty could be quickest early.
RACE 10 - (F) Clm $10k N2L - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Don's Girl (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 6 Dreaming of Eva (ML 6-1)
# 10 First Salute (ML 10-1)
C's
# 1 Love Flute (ML 8-1)
# 4 Red Hot n' Boom (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 8 Revolver Sessions (ML 3-1) and # 9 Lady Nura (Ire) (ML 4-1)
Don's Girl took the Place at this class level last time out. Don's Girl's form looks much better if you focus on just the turf sprints.
Dreaming of Eva and First Salute are both trying winners for the first time; but both should be forwardly placed early. Love Flute settles for way too many minor awards; but her talent must be respected. Red Hot n' Boom deserves another chance on the grass.
OK, that's the analysis. Since today is a mandatory payout day we can press our "A" Selections without fear of killing our jackpot chances. So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P6: 3,5 with 7 with 7 with 6 with 2 with 3 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 3,5 with 6,7 with 1,3,4,7 with 2,6,7,8 with 2 with 3,6,10 $38.40
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 2 with 7 with 7 with 6 with 2 with 3 $0.20
$0.20 P6: 3,5 with 2,9 with 7 with 6 with 2 with 3 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 3,5 with 7 with 7 with 5 with 2 with 3 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 3,5 with 7 with 7 with 6 with 3,6 with 3 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 3,5 with 7 with 7 with 6 with 2 with 1,4 $0.80
Total: $43.40
Post Time for Race 5 is 3:21 EDT / 12:21 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, June 26, 2016
6/26/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 2 Gracie Ragazza (Final Odds 3.80) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 Surfing the Menu (0.60*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The McCann's Mojave - # 3 Soi Phet (1.90*) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 3 Hank the Tank (2.80) - "B" Selection
Soi Phet ended a fifteen race winless streak Sunday, visiting the Winner’s Circle for the first time since September 6, 2014. In our preview we said that if Soi Phet wins, this play loses. Soi Phet won; this play lost.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 2 / 5 / 3 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $87.75 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 5 Surfing the Menu (0.60*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The McCann's Mojave - # 3 Soi Phet (1.90*) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 3 Hank the Tank (2.80) - "B" Selection
Soi Phet ended a fifteen race winless streak Sunday, visiting the Winner’s Circle for the first time since September 6, 2014. In our preview we said that if Soi Phet wins, this play loses. Soi Phet won; this play lost.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 2 / 5 / 3 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $87.75 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
6/26/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
Hey, where did everybody go? No, I don't mean you dear reader; and I do mean dear reader, as I want you to know that I appreciate you all, even those of you who come here just to point and laugh. No, what I meant was, where did all the horses go? Sunday's card at Santa Anita has nine races with only fifty-four entrants; and that's before any scratches! Granted, the closing of the turf course no doubt is a huge factor in this equation; but did the "Keep Off The Grass" sign really scare aware that many runners? And what does this portend for the upcoming holiday weekend?
Of course, on the other side of the coin, small fields need not mean dull races. A contest with six entrants of equal ability is certainly more fun to handicap than a contest with one standout and nine also-rans fighting for minor awards (at least, if you're playing multi-race wagers, which is what we mostly do here). So with that, let's just play the hand we're dealt, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $32k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Big Break (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 1 Watch This Cat (ML 4-1)
# 2 Gracie Ragazza (ML 5-2)
C's
None
Big Break ran in the Grade 2 Santa Maria earlier this year. Well, perhaps "ran" is not quite the right term; but she was in the field. Big Break took the Show against OC $62k/N2X company last time out after doing all the heavy lifting on the front end in that contest.
Watch This Cat tries real dirt for the first time in her career; her workouts over this main track suggest that she should handle the surface switch just fine. Gracie Ragazza defeated $40k/N$Y Optional Claimers at today's distance two starts back.
RACE 7 - Alw 20000s N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Ish (ML 3-1)
# 5 Surfing the Menu (ML 9-5)
B’s
None
C's
None
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career (N2L), as the Daily Racing Form does not include that information in their Past Performances; at least not at the present time. Does anyone know why the DRF excludes that information?
Also note that this contest is only for those runners which broke their maiden for $20k or less. So whether or not a horse ran against winners for a tag of $20k or less is meaningless; the only way to qualify for this event is to have graduated at the $20k level or lower (and, for the record, all runners in this race graduated at the Md $20k level).
Ish won last time out by the length of the grandstand, crossing the wire more than a dozen lengths in front of her nearest rival. For Ish that was her first time in for a tag as well as her first time on real dirt. The only question here is will she be quick enough at this shortened distance.
Surfing the Menu missed victory by just a head last time out against classier competition. Surfing the Menu could benefit from having to cover less real estate today.
RACE 8 - [S] The McCann's Mojave $75k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 El Huerfano (ML 4-1)
B's
# 2 Songforjohnmichael (ML 5- 2)
# 4 Avanti Bello (ML 9-5)
C's
None
El Huerfano defeated non-state restricted company two starts back over this main track in an OC $62k/N2X contest. Songforjohnmichael disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out when he couldn't survive the speed duel against Avanti Bello in The Tiznow. I think Songforjohnmichael can improve off that effort at what I expect will be a much better price.
Avanti Bello hit the wire a nose in front of # 3 Soi Phet (ML 2-1) last time out in the Tiznow. Note that Soi Phet is not on today's ticket. While I think that Soi Phet is a must use in all your intra-race exotics, I feel that Soi Phet settles for far too many minor awards to considered a serious Win contender. So if Soi Phet wins today, this play loses.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Feldini (ML 8-1)
# 6 Picture Tube (ML 5-2)
B's
# 3 Hank the Tank (ML 7-2)
# 5 Candy Promises (ML 3-1)
# 7 Gabo's Macondo (ML 15-1)
C's
None
Feldini adds blinkers and will be administered Lasix for the first time; those factors, plus the return to one turn racing, suggest that Feldini could give a much improved effort. Picture Tube is a first time starter sired by Malibu Moon and trained by Bob Baffert, two factors that suggest that Picture Tube should be ready to roll at first asking.
Hank the Tank and Candy Promises are both going first off the claim for two trainers (Mike Puype and Bill Spawr, respectively) who tend to be successful with that move. Also enhancing the chances for Hank the Tank and Candy Promises is that, while these two are moving up in class, none of the other runners in this field have ever finished in the money at the MSW level.
Gabo's Macondo gets off the grass and competes on the main track for the first time in his career. Gabo's Macondo will also be adding blinkers today, and therefore should be more forwardly placed in the early going.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 4,5 with 5 with 2,6 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 2,4,5 with 2,3,5,6,7 $45.00
Total: $49.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:59 EDT / 3:59 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Of course, on the other side of the coin, small fields need not mean dull races. A contest with six entrants of equal ability is certainly more fun to handicap than a contest with one standout and nine also-rans fighting for minor awards (at least, if you're playing multi-race wagers, which is what we mostly do here). So with that, let's just play the hand we're dealt, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $32k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Big Break (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 1 Watch This Cat (ML 4-1)
# 2 Gracie Ragazza (ML 5-2)
C's
None
Big Break ran in the Grade 2 Santa Maria earlier this year. Well, perhaps "ran" is not quite the right term; but she was in the field. Big Break took the Show against OC $62k/N2X company last time out after doing all the heavy lifting on the front end in that contest.
Watch This Cat tries real dirt for the first time in her career; her workouts over this main track suggest that she should handle the surface switch just fine. Gracie Ragazza defeated $40k/N$Y Optional Claimers at today's distance two starts back.
RACE 7 - Alw 20000s N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Ish (ML 3-1)
# 5 Surfing the Menu (ML 9-5)
B’s
None
C's
None
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career (N2L), as the Daily Racing Form does not include that information in their Past Performances; at least not at the present time. Does anyone know why the DRF excludes that information?
Also note that this contest is only for those runners which broke their maiden for $20k or less. So whether or not a horse ran against winners for a tag of $20k or less is meaningless; the only way to qualify for this event is to have graduated at the $20k level or lower (and, for the record, all runners in this race graduated at the Md $20k level).
Ish won last time out by the length of the grandstand, crossing the wire more than a dozen lengths in front of her nearest rival. For Ish that was her first time in for a tag as well as her first time on real dirt. The only question here is will she be quick enough at this shortened distance.
Surfing the Menu missed victory by just a head last time out against classier competition. Surfing the Menu could benefit from having to cover less real estate today.
RACE 8 - [S] The McCann's Mojave $75k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 El Huerfano (ML 4-1)
B's
# 2 Songforjohnmichael (ML 5- 2)
# 4 Avanti Bello (ML 9-5)
C's
None
El Huerfano defeated non-state restricted company two starts back over this main track in an OC $62k/N2X contest. Songforjohnmichael disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out when he couldn't survive the speed duel against Avanti Bello in The Tiznow. I think Songforjohnmichael can improve off that effort at what I expect will be a much better price.
Avanti Bello hit the wire a nose in front of # 3 Soi Phet (ML 2-1) last time out in the Tiznow. Note that Soi Phet is not on today's ticket. While I think that Soi Phet is a must use in all your intra-race exotics, I feel that Soi Phet settles for far too many minor awards to considered a serious Win contender. So if Soi Phet wins today, this play loses.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Feldini (ML 8-1)
# 6 Picture Tube (ML 5-2)
B's
# 3 Hank the Tank (ML 7-2)
# 5 Candy Promises (ML 3-1)
# 7 Gabo's Macondo (ML 15-1)
C's
None
Feldini adds blinkers and will be administered Lasix for the first time; those factors, plus the return to one turn racing, suggest that Feldini could give a much improved effort. Picture Tube is a first time starter sired by Malibu Moon and trained by Bob Baffert, two factors that suggest that Picture Tube should be ready to roll at first asking.
Hank the Tank and Candy Promises are both going first off the claim for two trainers (Mike Puype and Bill Spawr, respectively) who tend to be successful with that move. Also enhancing the chances for Hank the Tank and Candy Promises is that, while these two are moving up in class, none of the other runners in this field have ever finished in the money at the MSW level.
Gabo's Macondo gets off the grass and competes on the main track for the first time in his career. Gabo's Macondo will also be adding blinkers today, and therefore should be more forwardly placed in the early going.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 4,5 with 5 with 2,6 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,5 with 4,5 with 2,4,5 with 2,3,5,6,7 $45.00
Total: $49.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:59 EDT / 3:59 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, June 25, 2016
6/25/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 7 Taman Guard (Final Odds 1.50*) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 2 Westfest (1.70) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Triple Bend - # 4 Lord Nelson (2.10) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - The Gold Cup at Santa Anita - # 7 Melatonin (1.80*) - "B" Selection
Few things will make a handicapper feel more foolish than using all eight runners in a leg of a multi-race wager just to see the 9-5 Favorite make his way to the Winner's Circle; which is what happened to us in The No Longer In Hollywood Gold Cup. And while it was nice to beat the Post Time Favorite in half of the races in the sequence, it wasn't so nice that those two winners were just 8-5 and 2-1, respectively. Our best shot at having a price on our ticket was with "B" Selection # 9 Curlin Road (22.80) taking the Place behind Westfest in Race 7 by just under three lengths.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other four runners to which we were alive in the finale:
# 1 Bal a Bali (Brz) (9.50) - $119.95 Finish: 8th
# 2 Second Summer (5.60) - $84.65 Finish: 7th
# 3 Hard Aces (8.20) - $132.95 Finish: 3rd
# 4 Lieutenant Colonel (13.60) - $104.80 Finish: 6th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Pick Four sequence of 7 / 2 / 4 / 7 which paid $50.05 for a fifty cent wager. Since our investment was $87.00, we cash at a loss; and while that definitely beats not cashing at all, it certainly isn’t what we had in mind when we placed our wagers.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 2 Westfest (1.70) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Triple Bend - # 4 Lord Nelson (2.10) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - The Gold Cup at Santa Anita - # 7 Melatonin (1.80*) - "B" Selection
Few things will make a handicapper feel more foolish than using all eight runners in a leg of a multi-race wager just to see the 9-5 Favorite make his way to the Winner's Circle; which is what happened to us in The No Longer In Hollywood Gold Cup. And while it was nice to beat the Post Time Favorite in half of the races in the sequence, it wasn't so nice that those two winners were just 8-5 and 2-1, respectively. Our best shot at having a price on our ticket was with "B" Selection # 9 Curlin Road (22.80) taking the Place behind Westfest in Race 7 by just under three lengths.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other four runners to which we were alive in the finale:
# 1 Bal a Bali (Brz) (9.50) - $119.95 Finish: 8th
# 2 Second Summer (5.60) - $84.65 Finish: 7th
# 3 Hard Aces (8.20) - $132.95 Finish: 3rd
# 4 Lieutenant Colonel (13.60) - $104.80 Finish: 6th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Pick Four sequence of 7 / 2 / 4 / 7 which paid $50.05 for a fifty cent wager. Since our investment was $87.00, we cash at a loss; and while that definitely beats not cashing at all, it certainly isn’t what we had in mind when we placed our wagers.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
6/25/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
They've got a pair of Grade 1 stakes running at Santa Anita Saturday; indeed, they make up the final Double on the card. So we'll be taking a look at those two contests below as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - [S] OC 20k/C - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Family Code (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 1 Hye I'm Jack (ML 4-1)
# 7 Taman Guard (ML 9-5)
C's
# 4 Devils Informer (ML 9-2)
Family Code took the Show against more expensive two starts back. All three of Family Code's career Wins have come against non-state restricted company.
Hye I'm Jack could be the one running best late. Devils Informer and Taman Guard look to be the quickest in this field. Devils Informer may have the early edge with the addition of blinkers; but the question is will Devils Informer be able to hold on late.
RACE 7 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Westfest (ML 5-2)
B's
# 7 Giant Expectations (ML 9-5)
# 9 Curlin Road (ML 12-1)
C's
# 3 Thermopylae (ML 12-1)
# 5 Tiz No Bluff (ML 6-1)
Westfest has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of his three prior career starts; but Westfest did run well enough in each of those contests to finish in the Trifecta. This will be Westfest's first try around two turns.
Giant Expectations took the Place at this class level last time out. Curlin Road has been showing steady improvement in each of his races. Curlin Road could make another move forward with the return to dirt despite his prior failures on the surface, as Trainer Steve Knapp tends to do well when his runners get off the grass.
Thermopylae is a first time starter that shows a nice, steady workout pattern leading up to this contest. Tiz No Bluff lost all chance in his debut last time out when he hopped at the start. A better break could put Tiz No Bluff in the mix today, though it would have been nice to have seen at least one gate work on the tab.
RACE 8 - The Triple Bend (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Lord Nelson (ML 3-1)
# 6 Subtle Indian (ML 3-1)
B's
# 2 Kobe's Back (ML 5-2)
C's
# 7 Home Run Kitten (ML 12-1)
Lord Nelson looked ultra-sharp last time out, his first race of 2016; if he holds that form, then he should win here. Subtle Indian could have things all to himself in the early going even without having to run the opening quarter as if his tail was on fire, as he did last time out. Kobe's Back should be the one running best late. Home Run Kitten is on the wrong surface; but Home Run Kitten's works on the main track warrant him a spot on the backup ticket.
RACE 9 - The Gold Cup (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Bal a Bali (Brz) (ML 9-2)
# 2 Second Summer (ML 4-1)
# 3 Hard Aces (ML 6-1)
B's
# 4 Lieutenant Colonel (ML 8-1)
# 7 Melatonin (ML 7-2)
C's
# 5 Win the Space (ML 20-1)
# 6 Hoppertunity (ML 3-1)
# 8 Imperative (ML 6-1)
Everybody goes on the ticket in this one. That's because in my opinion the two best horses in this field (Hoppertunity and Imperative) settle for far too many minor awards, while the entrants with the best form coming into this contest (Lieutenant Colonel and Melatonin) stand an excellent chance of running each other into the ground before they reach the finish line. So with that, I think this race has an excellent chance of turning into chaos.
Bal a Bali (Brz) is trying dirt for the first time. Bal a Bali's works show that he can handle the surface, and he has the stamina to still be running well when they hit the wire. Second Summer enters this contest having won his last three, and his breeding suggests that Second Summer should have no problems with the added distance. Hard Aces took this event last year, and appears to be rounding into top form.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 8 with 2 with 4,6 with 1,2,3 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,7,8 with 2,7,9 with 2,4,6 with 1,2,3,4,7 $67.50
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 4,6 with 1,2,3 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 3,5 with 4,6 with 1,2,3 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 2 with 7 with 1,2,3 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 8 with 2 with 4,6 with 5,6,8 $3.00
Total: $87.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:05 EDT / 4:05 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - [S] OC 20k/C - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Family Code (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 1 Hye I'm Jack (ML 4-1)
# 7 Taman Guard (ML 9-5)
C's
# 4 Devils Informer (ML 9-2)
Family Code took the Show against more expensive two starts back. All three of Family Code's career Wins have come against non-state restricted company.
Hye I'm Jack could be the one running best late. Devils Informer and Taman Guard look to be the quickest in this field. Devils Informer may have the early edge with the addition of blinkers; but the question is will Devils Informer be able to hold on late.
RACE 7 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Westfest (ML 5-2)
B's
# 7 Giant Expectations (ML 9-5)
# 9 Curlin Road (ML 12-1)
C's
# 3 Thermopylae (ML 12-1)
# 5 Tiz No Bluff (ML 6-1)
Westfest has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of his three prior career starts; but Westfest did run well enough in each of those contests to finish in the Trifecta. This will be Westfest's first try around two turns.
Giant Expectations took the Place at this class level last time out. Curlin Road has been showing steady improvement in each of his races. Curlin Road could make another move forward with the return to dirt despite his prior failures on the surface, as Trainer Steve Knapp tends to do well when his runners get off the grass.
Thermopylae is a first time starter that shows a nice, steady workout pattern leading up to this contest. Tiz No Bluff lost all chance in his debut last time out when he hopped at the start. A better break could put Tiz No Bluff in the mix today, though it would have been nice to have seen at least one gate work on the tab.
RACE 8 - The Triple Bend (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Lord Nelson (ML 3-1)
# 6 Subtle Indian (ML 3-1)
B's
# 2 Kobe's Back (ML 5-2)
C's
# 7 Home Run Kitten (ML 12-1)
Lord Nelson looked ultra-sharp last time out, his first race of 2016; if he holds that form, then he should win here. Subtle Indian could have things all to himself in the early going even without having to run the opening quarter as if his tail was on fire, as he did last time out. Kobe's Back should be the one running best late. Home Run Kitten is on the wrong surface; but Home Run Kitten's works on the main track warrant him a spot on the backup ticket.
RACE 9 - The Gold Cup (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Bal a Bali (Brz) (ML 9-2)
# 2 Second Summer (ML 4-1)
# 3 Hard Aces (ML 6-1)
B's
# 4 Lieutenant Colonel (ML 8-1)
# 7 Melatonin (ML 7-2)
C's
# 5 Win the Space (ML 20-1)
# 6 Hoppertunity (ML 3-1)
# 8 Imperative (ML 6-1)
Everybody goes on the ticket in this one. That's because in my opinion the two best horses in this field (Hoppertunity and Imperative) settle for far too many minor awards, while the entrants with the best form coming into this contest (Lieutenant Colonel and Melatonin) stand an excellent chance of running each other into the ground before they reach the finish line. So with that, I think this race has an excellent chance of turning into chaos.
Bal a Bali (Brz) is trying dirt for the first time. Bal a Bali's works show that he can handle the surface, and he has the stamina to still be running well when they hit the wire. Second Summer enters this contest having won his last three, and his breeding suggests that Second Summer should have no problems with the added distance. Hard Aces took this event last year, and appears to be rounding into top form.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 8 with 2 with 4,6 with 1,2,3 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,7,8 with 2,7,9 with 2,4,6 with 1,2,3,4,7 $67.50
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 4,6 with 1,2,3 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 3,5 with 4,6 with 1,2,3 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 2 with 7 with 1,2,3 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 8 with 2 with 4,6 with 5,6,8 $3.00
Total: $87.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:05 EDT / 4:05 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, June 19, 2016
6/19/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 6 Nine Point Nine (12.80) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 My Samurai Warrior (1.80) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Honeymoon - # 5 Cheekaboo (23.80) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 7 My Son John (5.70) - "C" Selection
Our two "A" Selections in The Honeymoon, # 6 Be Mine (3.30) and # 3 Stays In Vegas (3.20*), were a head behind Cheekaboo at the wire; but it turned out to have been just as well, because if either of those two had won the photo, it would have only set us up for the disappointment of having all the winners without having them all on one ticket.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 6 / 5 / 5 / 7 were rewarded with a payout of $7,130.35 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 5 My Samurai Warrior (1.80) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Honeymoon - # 5 Cheekaboo (23.80) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 7 My Son John (5.70) - "C" Selection
Our two "A" Selections in The Honeymoon, # 6 Be Mine (3.30) and # 3 Stays In Vegas (3.20*), were a head behind Cheekaboo at the wire; but it turned out to have been just as well, because if either of those two had won the photo, it would have only set us up for the disappointment of having all the winners without having them all on one ticket.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 6 / 5 / 5 / 7 were rewarded with a payout of $7,130.35 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
6/19/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
Happy Fathers Day to all you sires out there, and especially so to all of you who were dads when you didn't have to be. Hopefully today will be a grand day, and hopefully a grand part of the day will be enjoying some horse racing at your preferred venue. As for me, that venue will be Santa Anita, where Sunday's featured race is the Grade 2 Honeymoon. We'll be looking at that contest below, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - (F) OC 75k/C - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 Mrs. Norris (Morning Line 10-1)
B’s
# 6 Nine Point Nine (ML 6-1)
# 9 Sweet Queen (ML 8-1)
# 11 Friulian (ML 10-1)
C's
# 1 Cover Song (ML 7-2)
# 3 Not Now Carolyn (ML 5-1)
# 4 Optimism And Hope (Ire) (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 2 Candy Boss (No Line). Do not bring in Mitzi Winks (ML 15-1) off the Also Eligible List.
Mrs. Norris took the Place at this approximate class level upstate last time out. Nine Point Nine took the Place at this class level charging down the hill last time out.
Sweet Queen, making her first start of 2016, took the Show in The Blue Norther last time out. You'll know early if Sweet Queen is ready to roll, as she should be the one leading the field from the gate. Friulian, like Sweet Queen, is trained by Paddy Gallagher, and could be the one getting first run at the leaders.
Cover Song tries winners for the first time after graduating in her turf debut last time out. Optimism and Hope (Ire) has twice taken the Show at this class level in her last four starts.
Not Now Carolyn took the Show at this approximate class level last time out, and she should benefit from the cutback in distance. Not Now Carolyn's connections made the decision to scratch out of facing Songbird Saturday in order to run here instead. The concern with Not Now Carolyn is that she seems to have developed the habit of following up a solid effort with a poor effort.
Also note that, if those fancy new symbols in DRF's Past Performances are to be believed, Not Now Carolyn couldn't hold the lead last time out despite a race pace shape that strongly favored early speed. In addition, Not Now Carolyn's lone career win came wiring the field in a contest where the race pace shape strongly favored early speed. I still think Not Now Carolyn should be respected in this spot; but I can see her getting over bet today based upon her last effort.
RACE 7 - Clm $16k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 My Samurai Warrior (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 2 No Contingency (ML 9-2)
# 3 Ain't Misbehavin (ML 5-2)
# 8 Carlot Cowboy (ML 6-1)
C's
# 7 Time Jumper (ML 6-1)
My Samurai Warrior and Ain't Misbehavin go first off the claim for a pair of trainers (Mark Glatt and Steve Miyadi, respectively) who tend to be successful with such. No Contingency should appreciate the class drop.
Carlot Cowboy should improve with the return to one turn racing. Time Jumper has finished in the Trifecta in each of his two career starts on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 8 - (F) The Honeymoon (Grade 2) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Stays in Vegas (ML 4-1)
# 6 Be Mine (ML 7-2)
B's
# 4 Decked Out (ML 4-1)
# 9 Where's the D (ML 12-1)
C's
RACE 6 - (F) OC 75k/C - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 Mrs. Norris (Morning Line 10-1)
B’s
# 6 Nine Point Nine (ML 6-1)
# 9 Sweet Queen (ML 8-1)
# 11 Friulian (ML 10-1)
C's
# 1 Cover Song (ML 7-2)
# 3 Not Now Carolyn (ML 5-1)
# 4 Optimism And Hope (Ire) (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 2 Candy Boss (No Line). Do not bring in Mitzi Winks (ML 15-1) off the Also Eligible List.
Mrs. Norris took the Place at this approximate class level upstate last time out. Nine Point Nine took the Place at this class level charging down the hill last time out.
Sweet Queen, making her first start of 2016, took the Show in The Blue Norther last time out. You'll know early if Sweet Queen is ready to roll, as she should be the one leading the field from the gate. Friulian, like Sweet Queen, is trained by Paddy Gallagher, and could be the one getting first run at the leaders.
Cover Song tries winners for the first time after graduating in her turf debut last time out. Optimism and Hope (Ire) has twice taken the Show at this class level in her last four starts.
Not Now Carolyn took the Show at this approximate class level last time out, and she should benefit from the cutback in distance. Not Now Carolyn's connections made the decision to scratch out of facing Songbird Saturday in order to run here instead. The concern with Not Now Carolyn is that she seems to have developed the habit of following up a solid effort with a poor effort.
Also note that, if those fancy new symbols in DRF's Past Performances are to be believed, Not Now Carolyn couldn't hold the lead last time out despite a race pace shape that strongly favored early speed. In addition, Not Now Carolyn's lone career win came wiring the field in a contest where the race pace shape strongly favored early speed. I still think Not Now Carolyn should be respected in this spot; but I can see her getting over bet today based upon her last effort.
RACE 7 - Clm $16k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 My Samurai Warrior (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 2 No Contingency (ML 9-2)
# 3 Ain't Misbehavin (ML 5-2)
# 8 Carlot Cowboy (ML 6-1)
C's
# 7 Time Jumper (ML 6-1)
My Samurai Warrior and Ain't Misbehavin go first off the claim for a pair of trainers (Mark Glatt and Steve Miyadi, respectively) who tend to be successful with such. No Contingency should appreciate the class drop.
Carlot Cowboy should improve with the return to one turn racing. Time Jumper has finished in the Trifecta in each of his two career starts on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 8 - (F) The Honeymoon (Grade 2) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Stays in Vegas (ML 4-1)
# 6 Be Mine (ML 7-2)
B's
# 4 Decked Out (ML 4-1)
# 9 Where's the D (ML 12-1)
C's
# 7 Jeremy's Legacy (Ire) (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 10 Sutton's Smile (ML 12-1) who finished last in Saturday's Summertime Oaks
Stays in Vegas took the Grade 3 Senorita last time out, a head in front of Be Mine, with Decked Out just a length behind. I expect these three to be close together at the wire again today. Where's the D will try to steal this one on the front end. Jeremy's Legacy (Ire) took the Place behind Decked Out in the Grade 3 Providencia two starts back, and is showing a steadily improving form.
RACE 9 - Md $20k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Chanito (ML 5-1)
# 13 Bundesliga (ML 7-2)
B's
None
C's
# 5 Cheap O Charlie (ML 6-1)
# 7 My Son John (ML 6-1)
# 9 Dig for Gold (ML 4-1)
Scratch # 1 Coltonsgrace (NL)
# 7 My Son John (ML 6-1)
# 9 Dig for Gold (ML 4-1)
Scratch # 1 Coltonsgrace (NL)
Chanito is oh-for-twenty-three lifetime; not exactly what you look for in your "A" Selections. But only three of those twenty-three starts for Chanito had him in for a tag; and in those three he has twice taken the Show. Chanito may also be lone speed on the rail in this contest.
Bundesliga is a first time starter for Trainer Bob Baffert. It looks like Bundesliga's connections are just looking to grab a purse and say good-bye to this runner. Cheap O Charlie took the Show at this class level at today's distance two starts back.
My Son John took the Show against more expensive three starts back. Dig for Gold makes his second career start, and may be more focused after having undergone the ultimate equipment change.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 7 with 5 with 3,6 with 2,13 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 6,7,9,11 with 2,3,5,8 with 3,4,6,9 with 2,13 $64.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4 with 5 with 3,6 with 2,13 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 7 with 3,6 with 2,13 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 5 with 7 with 2,13 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 5 with 3,6 with 5,7,9 $3.00
Total: $80.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:30 EDT / 2:30 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 7 with 5 with 3,6 with 2,13 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 6,7,9,11 with 2,3,5,8 with 3,4,6,9 with 2,13 $64.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4 with 5 with 3,6 with 2,13 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 7 with 3,6 with 2,13 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 5 with 7 with 2,13 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 5 with 3,6 with 5,7,9 $3.00
Total: $80.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:30 EDT / 2:30 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, June 18, 2016
6/18/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - The Rainbow - # 3 Mr. Roary (Final Odds 38.00) - No Selection
Race 7 - # 1 Tengas Ransom (0.90*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Summertime Oaks - # 4 Songbird (0.05*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 10 All That Heat (5.30) - "B" Selection
Mr. Roary entered today's Rainbow Stakes still a maiden, having failed to hit the wire first in any of his eight previous starts. But Mr. Roary took it to the field today, leading the pack from first call right up to finish line, hitting the wire a nose in front of # 10 Ralis (7.80), one of the "B" Selections on our tickets. So for the second Saturday in a row, our Pick Four play loses by a nose.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 3 / 1 / 4 / 10 were rewarded with a payout of $607.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 1 Tengas Ransom (0.90*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Summertime Oaks - # 4 Songbird (0.05*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 10 All That Heat (5.30) - "B" Selection
Mr. Roary entered today's Rainbow Stakes still a maiden, having failed to hit the wire first in any of his eight previous starts. But Mr. Roary took it to the field today, leading the pack from first call right up to finish line, hitting the wire a nose in front of # 10 Ralis (7.80), one of the "B" Selections on our tickets. So for the second Saturday in a row, our Pick Four play loses by a nose.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 3 / 1 / 4 / 10 were rewarded with a payout of $607.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
6/18/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
The seventy-first running of the race formerly known as The Hollywood Oaks and the inaugural running of The Rainbow are the stakes on Saturday's card at Santa Anita. We'll be analyzing both below, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - The Rainbow $75k - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Arcature (Morning Line 4-1)
B's
# 8 Undeniable U (ML 5-1)
# 9 Little Scotty (ML 8-1)
# 10 Ralis (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Lucky Bryan (ML 6-1)
# 7 Smokey Image (ML 8-1)
Arcature, winner of The Singletary last time out, has steadily improved in each of his four career starts. Undeniable U and Little Scotty both took the Place in separate contests at today's distance against older horses last month.
Ralis took the Place in his turf debut last time out in the state-restricted Snow Chief. Lucky Bryan took the Show behind Arcature in The Singletary last time out. Smokey Image tries the turf for the first time. While Smokey Image doesn't have a strong turf pedigree, he does have the back class and the talent to win here if he can handle the surface switch.
RACE 7 - [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Tengas Ransom (ML 5-2)
# 3 Counturluckystars (ML 12-1)
B's
# 2 Tatar (ML 8-1)
# 6 Gio Mio (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Tengas Ransom has taken the Place in four of his five career starts, all at this class level. Counturluckystars and Tatar are a pair of first time starters who are each by sires that tend to produce runners that succeed in their debuts. Gio Mio drops back into the state restricted ranks as well as returns to real dirt.
RACE 8 - The Summertime Oaks (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Songbird (ML 1-5)
B's
None
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Not Now Carolyn (ML 20-1) and # 5 Coppa (ML 5-1)
Good luck if you're trying to beat Songbird today. As for me, if Songbird loses, then so does this Pick Four play.
RACE 9 - [S] (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Kitty Chatter (ML 15-1)
# 4 Warm Endowment (ML 7-2)
# 11 Starlite Style (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Rebarules Again (ML 9-2)
# 7 Unusually Talented (ML 6-1)
# 10 All That Heat (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Take out the Also Eligibles, # 13 Malware (ML 6-1) and # 14 Lethal Legacy (ML 10-1)
Kitty Chatter is a first time starter by Tribal Rule, whose progeny tend to do well both in their debuts and on the turf. Warm Endowment missed graduation by just nose at this class level last time out, which was also Warm Endowment's first try on the grass. Starlite Style took the Show at this class level last time out, and could improve with the cutback in distance.
Rebarules Again and Unusually Talented took the Place and Show, respectively, at this class level last time out. All That Heat disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out, and could improve with the stretch out.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 1,3 with 4 with 3,4,11 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 6,8,9,10 with 1,2,3,6 with 4 with 1,3,4,7,10,11 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,7 with 1,3 with 4 with 3,4,11 $6.00
Total: $60.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:02 EDT / 4:02 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - The Rainbow $75k - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Arcature (Morning Line 4-1)
B's
# 8 Undeniable U (ML 5-1)
# 9 Little Scotty (ML 8-1)
# 10 Ralis (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Lucky Bryan (ML 6-1)
# 7 Smokey Image (ML 8-1)
Arcature, winner of The Singletary last time out, has steadily improved in each of his four career starts. Undeniable U and Little Scotty both took the Place in separate contests at today's distance against older horses last month.
Ralis took the Place in his turf debut last time out in the state-restricted Snow Chief. Lucky Bryan took the Show behind Arcature in The Singletary last time out. Smokey Image tries the turf for the first time. While Smokey Image doesn't have a strong turf pedigree, he does have the back class and the talent to win here if he can handle the surface switch.
RACE 7 - [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Tengas Ransom (ML 5-2)
# 3 Counturluckystars (ML 12-1)
B's
# 2 Tatar (ML 8-1)
# 6 Gio Mio (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Tengas Ransom has taken the Place in four of his five career starts, all at this class level. Counturluckystars and Tatar are a pair of first time starters who are each by sires that tend to produce runners that succeed in their debuts. Gio Mio drops back into the state restricted ranks as well as returns to real dirt.
RACE 8 - The Summertime Oaks (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Songbird (ML 1-5)
B's
None
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Not Now Carolyn (ML 20-1) and # 5 Coppa (ML 5-1)
Good luck if you're trying to beat Songbird today. As for me, if Songbird loses, then so does this Pick Four play.
RACE 9 - [S] (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Kitty Chatter (ML 15-1)
# 4 Warm Endowment (ML 7-2)
# 11 Starlite Style (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Rebarules Again (ML 9-2)
# 7 Unusually Talented (ML 6-1)
# 10 All That Heat (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Take out the Also Eligibles, # 13 Malware (ML 6-1) and # 14 Lethal Legacy (ML 10-1)
Kitty Chatter is a first time starter by Tribal Rule, whose progeny tend to do well both in their debuts and on the turf. Warm Endowment missed graduation by just nose at this class level last time out, which was also Warm Endowment's first try on the grass. Starlite Style took the Show at this class level last time out, and could improve with the cutback in distance.
Rebarules Again and Unusually Talented took the Place and Show, respectively, at this class level last time out. All That Heat disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out, and could improve with the stretch out.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 1,3 with 4 with 3,4,11 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 6,8,9,10 with 1,2,3,6 with 4 with 1,3,4,7,10,11 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,7 with 1,3 with 4 with 3,4,11 $6.00
Total: $60.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:02 EDT / 4:02 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, June 12, 2016
6/12/16 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Results
Race 7 - DEAD HEAT - # 2 Frenchy Bobcat (Final Odds 17.30) - No Selection / # 3 Llobo (6.60) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 7 Bottle Blonde (GB) (4.60) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 3 Foxtrot Romero (Ire) (3.70) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - # 7 Beautranda (10.50) - ALL SELECTIONS WIN
Race 11 - # 5 Dutchessa (GB) (3.20) - "A" Selection
Race 12 - # 5 Golden Ocean (6.70) - ALL SELECTIONS WIN
After the running of Race 8 on the turf, the jockeys convened and concluded that the turf course was not safe for further racing. The jockeys' decision was relayed to management, which announced at the conclusion of Race 9 (which was run over the main track, as scheduled) that the two remaining turf contests, Races 10 and 12, would be moved off the turf course and onto the main track. Since the surface switch was announced after the multi-race sequence had commenced, for purposes of The Golden Pick Six (as well as The Late Pick Four) all horses entered would be considered to have won.
Basically it's the same as if all horses in each of those two races had finished in a Dead Heat for first. So no matter who you had for those two legs you won; and you won for each entrant you used on those two legs. So if, for example, you went two deep in Race 10 and three deep in Race 12, you had the winning sequence six times (two times three). Provided, of course, that you had the winner in the other four legs.
Which we did not; as we had no part whatsoever of Bottle Blonde (GB) in Race 8.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Golden Pick Six sequence of 2,3 / 7 / 3 / ALL / 5 / ALL were rewarded with a payout of $146.16 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - # 7 Bottle Blonde (GB) (4.60) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 3 Foxtrot Romero (Ire) (3.70) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - # 7 Beautranda (10.50) - ALL SELECTIONS WIN
Race 11 - # 5 Dutchessa (GB) (3.20) - "A" Selection
Race 12 - # 5 Golden Ocean (6.70) - ALL SELECTIONS WIN
After the running of Race 8 on the turf, the jockeys convened and concluded that the turf course was not safe for further racing. The jockeys' decision was relayed to management, which announced at the conclusion of Race 9 (which was run over the main track, as scheduled) that the two remaining turf contests, Races 10 and 12, would be moved off the turf course and onto the main track. Since the surface switch was announced after the multi-race sequence had commenced, for purposes of The Golden Pick Six (as well as The Late Pick Four) all horses entered would be considered to have won.
Basically it's the same as if all horses in each of those two races had finished in a Dead Heat for first. So no matter who you had for those two legs you won; and you won for each entrant you used on those two legs. So if, for example, you went two deep in Race 10 and three deep in Race 12, you had the winning sequence six times (two times three). Provided, of course, that you had the winner in the other four legs.
Which we did not; as we had no part whatsoever of Bottle Blonde (GB) in Race 8.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Golden Pick Six sequence of 2,3 / 7 / 3 / ALL / 5 / ALL were rewarded with a payout of $146.16 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
6/12/16 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Preview
The Golden Pick Six has a current carryover of $1.4 million, and Sunday is mandatory payout day. What more do you need to know by way of introduction? So let's get to it, as we take a run at The Golden Pick Six at the place where the Bay comes to play.
RACE 7 - MSW - Five Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Shackmeister (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Llobo (ML 12-1)
# 6 Justice Due (ML 6-1)
# 7 Gallant Heat (ML 9-2)
# 10 Thetimeiznow (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 9 Manila Mischief (No Line)
Shackmeister is a first time starter trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, who does quite well when sending out runners for their debut.
Llobo is sired by Tribal Rule, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking. Thetimeiznow is a first time starter trained by Bill Morey, who often succeeds when sending out runners for their first try. Justice Due and Gallant Heat are the only experienced entrants in this field. Justice Due flashed some early speed in his debut, while Gallant Heat took the Place at this class level his first time out.
RACE 8 - (F) OC 62k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Elegant Bel (ML 2-1)
# 5 Dreamarcher (ML 8-1)
B’s
# 8 Castellani (ML 7-2)
C's
None
Scratch # 1 Miss Forty Niner (ML 20-1)
Elegant Bel won at this level last time out, with Dreamarcher just a neck behind at the wire. Castellani is a new shooter with this group. While many of these have faced each other multiple times, Castellani has done most of her running in the Eastern Time Zone, and she seems so far to be enjoying her new work environment. Look for Elegant Bel up front early, with Castellani not too far behind, and Dreamarcher doing the best running late.
RACE 9 - OC 32k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Press Baron (GB) (ML 8-1)
# 7 Crusher (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Argyle Cut (ML 8-1)
# 3 Foxtrot Romeo (Ire) (ML 5-2)
# 4 Beast of Bourbon (ML 12-1)
# 5 Freddies Dream (ML 4-1)
# 6 Larry Birdstone (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 8 Tebowing (ML 12-1)
Allthatnmore too the Show against more expensive last time out. A Little Luckier took the Place in two of his last three starts over this turf course, both against more expensive.
RACE 11 - Clm $12.5k - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 5 Dutchessa (GB) (ML 5-2)
# 6 Run Sophia Run (ML 2-1)
B’s
None
C's
RACE 7 - MSW - Five Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Shackmeister (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Llobo (ML 12-1)
# 6 Justice Due (ML 6-1)
# 7 Gallant Heat (ML 9-2)
# 10 Thetimeiznow (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 9 Manila Mischief (No Line)
Shackmeister is a first time starter trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, who does quite well when sending out runners for their debut.
Llobo is sired by Tribal Rule, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking. Thetimeiznow is a first time starter trained by Bill Morey, who often succeeds when sending out runners for their first try. Justice Due and Gallant Heat are the only experienced entrants in this field. Justice Due flashed some early speed in his debut, while Gallant Heat took the Place at this class level his first time out.
RACE 8 - (F) OC 62k/N2X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Elegant Bel (ML 2-1)
# 5 Dreamarcher (ML 8-1)
B’s
# 8 Castellani (ML 7-2)
C's
None
Scratch # 1 Miss Forty Niner (ML 20-1)
Elegant Bel won at this level last time out, with Dreamarcher just a neck behind at the wire. Castellani is a new shooter with this group. While many of these have faced each other multiple times, Castellani has done most of her running in the Eastern Time Zone, and she seems so far to be enjoying her new work environment. Look for Elegant Bel up front early, with Castellani not too far behind, and Dreamarcher doing the best running late.
RACE 9 - OC 32k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Press Baron (GB) (ML 8-1)
# 7 Crusher (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Argyle Cut (ML 8-1)
# 3 Foxtrot Romeo (Ire) (ML 5-2)
# 4 Beast of Bourbon (ML 12-1)
# 5 Freddies Dream (ML 4-1)
# 6 Larry Birdstone (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Press Baron (GB) was victorious the last time that he routed over this main track. Crusher has finished in the Trifecta nine of the eleven times that he has competed over this main track.
The "B's" are everyone else. Freddies Dream and Larry Birdstone are competing for the first time in their respective careers on a synthetic surface, so there's no way to be completely confident regarding how they each will handle it. The rest of the field seems to be comprised of runners who are all competitive at this class level but seem to have a strong aversion to the Winner's Circle; so the "ALL" button it is.
RACE 10 - Clm $16k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Allthatnmore (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 10 A Little Luckier (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 8 Tebowing (ML 12-1)
Allthatnmore too the Show against more expensive last time out. A Little Luckier took the Place in two of his last three starts over this turf course, both against more expensive.
RACE 11 - Clm $12.5k - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 5 Dutchessa (GB) (ML 5-2)
# 6 Run Sophia Run (ML 2-1)
B’s
None
C's
None
Scratch # 8 Good Stats (ML 10-1)
Dutchessa (GB) was victorious at this class level last time out over this main track. Run Sophia Run drops in class after finishing in the Trifecta in each of her last three starts, all against more expensive.
RACE 12 - (F) Md $20k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Belle's Command (ML 20-1)
# 8 Thegirlwiththecurl (ML 9-2)
B's
# 7 Slew's Charm (ML 5-2)
C's
None
Scratch the two Also Eligibles, # 13 Madame Clouet (ML 7-2) and # 14 Coronado Cool (ML 5-1)
Belle's Command has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her last two starts, albeit on the synthetic main track. Thegirlwiththecurl looks much improved since switching to the grass. Slew's Charm will be trying to prove that the twentieth time's the charm; not the most profitable of angles, but it's worth noting that only three of those tries were on the turf.
OK, that's the analysis. Since today is a mandatory payout day we can press our "A" Selections without fear of killing our jackpot chances. So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$0.40 P6: 4 with 2,5 with 2,7 with 3 with 5,6 with 6,8 $6.40
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 4 with 2,5,8 with ALL with 3,10 with 5,6 with 6,7,8 $50.40
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 3,6,7,10 with 2,5 with 2,7 with 3 with 5,6 with 6,8 $12.80
Total: $69.60
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:02 EDT / 4:02 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, June 11, 2016
6/11/16 Belmont Park All Grade 1 Pick Four - Results
Race 8 - The Just A Game - # 8 Celestine (Final Odds 7.50) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - The Metropolitan Handicap - # 5 Frosted (2.35*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - The Manhattan - # 10 Flintshire (GB) (0.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 11 - The Belmont - # 13 Creator (16.40) - No Selection
# 2 Destin (8.40) was ahead by a length and a half in the stretch in The Belmont, and he gave it his all 'til the end; but Destin's best just wasn't enough, as Creator was able to get his nose down on the wire first; and that nose was the difference between us cashing or trashing our tickets today.
Oh well; onto the next race.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the runners to which we were alive in the finale:
# 2 Destin (8.40) - $317.25 Finish: 2nd
# 5 Stradivari (6.60) - $285.00 Finish: 5th
# 6 Gettysburg (55.00) - $2,698.75 Finish: 8th
# 10 Lani (12.20) - $871.25 Finish: 3rd
# 11 Exaggerator (1.45*) - $173.50 Finish: 11th
Had Exaggerator won, we would have cashed for $520.50, because we would have collected not only on our big fifty cent ticket, but also on our one dollar “All A Entries” ticket.
But such was not to be.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 8 / 5 / 10 / 13 were rewarded with a payout of $898.50 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 9 - The Metropolitan Handicap - # 5 Frosted (2.35*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - The Manhattan - # 10 Flintshire (GB) (0.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 11 - The Belmont - # 13 Creator (16.40) - No Selection
# 2 Destin (8.40) was ahead by a length and a half in the stretch in The Belmont, and he gave it his all 'til the end; but Destin's best just wasn't enough, as Creator was able to get his nose down on the wire first; and that nose was the difference between us cashing or trashing our tickets today.
Oh well; onto the next race.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the runners to which we were alive in the finale:
# 2 Destin (8.40) - $317.25 Finish: 2nd
# 5 Stradivari (6.60) - $285.00 Finish: 5th
# 6 Gettysburg (55.00) - $2,698.75 Finish: 8th
# 10 Lani (12.20) - $871.25 Finish: 3rd
# 11 Exaggerator (1.45*) - $173.50 Finish: 11th
Had Exaggerator won, we would have cashed for $520.50, because we would have collected not only on our big fifty cent ticket, but also on our one dollar “All A Entries” ticket.
But such was not to be.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 8 / 5 / 10 / 13 were rewarded with a payout of $898.50 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
6/11/16 Belmont Park All Grade 1 Pick Four - Preview
It's Belmont Stakes Day in New York, and to complement the third leg of The Triple Crown NYRA has put together a monster card that is comparable to those usually reserved for The Breeders' Cup. Along with the great races on the program there's a plethora of wagering options available Saturday. For our purposes we're going to focus in on the creme de la creme, if you will, as we take a run at The All Grade 1 Pick Four at The Championship Track, Belmont Park.
RACE 8 - (F) The Just A Game (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Widener Turf
A's
# 7 Mrs McDougal (Morning Line 4-1)
# 8 Celestine (ML 12-1)
B's
# 1 Strike Charmer (ML 8-1)
# 5 My Miss Sophia (ML 8-1)
# 9 Irish Rookie (Ire) (ML 10-1)
# 12 Rainha Da Bateria (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Mrs McDougal seems well suited to today's one mile distance. Indeed, toss her efforts beyond a mile and a sixteenth and Mrs McDougal's turf record is four Wins in five tries, including a victory in the Grade 2 Lake George last Summer. Celestine wired the field in the Grade 2 Honey Fox last time out; and while she probably won't be the front runner today, Celestine has shown the ability in the past to win coming off the pace, as she did in The Wait a While last year over this turf course.
Strike Charmer, winner of the Grade 3 Beaugay last time out, has been showing a steadily improving form in her 2016 starts. My Miss Sophia had to settle for fourth behind Strike Charmer in that Beaugay when she ran out of gas in the stretch. I expect My Miss Sophia to display better stamina in this, her second start off the layoff.
Irish Rookie (Ire) makes her North American debut and may find the competition in this one somewhat softer than the Group Stakes company that she has been facing. Rainha Da Bateria took the Place last time out in the Grade 2 Distaff Turf Mile and may be able to build off that effort in her second start for the barn of Trainer chad Brown.
RACE 9 - The Metropolitan Handicap (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Blofeld (ML 10-1)
# 5 Frosted (ML 7-2)
# 7 Stanford (ML 5-1)
B's
# 11 Calculator (ML 10-1)
# 13 Marking (ML 8-1)
C's
# 4 Noble Bird (ML 9-2)
# 6 Upstart (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 1 El Kabeir (ML 30-1), # 3 Donworth (ML 20-1), and # 9 Sloane Avenue (ML 15-1)
Blofeld hit the wire a head in front of Stanford two starts back in the Grade 2 Gulfstream Park Handicap, which was the last time each of those runners competed at today's distance. Frosted stands out as the class of this field; though it's fair to wonder if one mile is enough distance for Frosted to do his best work.
Calculator has finished in the Trifecta in each of his last three starts, all against Graded Stakes company. Marking makes his first North American starts since taking the Place in the Grade 1 Malibu.
Noble Bird won the Grade 3 Pimlico Special by the length of the stretch last time out; but it's unlikely that Noble Bird will get to have things all his own way up front again today. Upstart won the Grade 3 Oaklawn Handicap two starts back; though it't fair to question the need to add blinkers at this stage of his career.
RACE 10 - The Manhattan (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Inner Turf
A's
# 10 Flintshire (ML 8-5)
B's
# 2 Slumber (GB) (ML 10-1)
C's
# 6 Ironicus (ML 4-1)
# 11 Divisidero (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 3 Wake Forest (Ger) (ML 10-1) and # 4 Take the Stand (Arg) (ML 15-1)
Flintshire (GB) is the standout class of this field, with earnings of over $7.5 million is nineteen career starts. The one concern I have is how Flintshire will handle a softer going should the storms arrive prior to Post Time for this event.
Slumber (GB) is the defending champ, having won this event by daylight last year. Yeah, Slumber hasn't seen the Winner's Circle since; but it had also been a long time since Slumber had seen the Winner's Circle prior to winning The Manhattan last year.
Ironicus steps up in company after finishing in the Exacta in each of his last eight starts. Divisidero won the Grade 1 Turf Classic last time out, but will need to show a better effort than he did in last year's Belmont Derby, the last time that Divisidero tried ten furlongs.
RACE 11 - The Belmont (Grade 1) - Twelve Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 11 Exaggerator (ML 9-5)
B's
# 5 Stradivari (ML 5-1)
C's
RACE 8 - (F) The Just A Game (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Widener Turf
A's
# 7 Mrs McDougal (Morning Line 4-1)
# 8 Celestine (ML 12-1)
B's
# 1 Strike Charmer (ML 8-1)
# 5 My Miss Sophia (ML 8-1)
# 9 Irish Rookie (Ire) (ML 10-1)
# 12 Rainha Da Bateria (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Mrs McDougal seems well suited to today's one mile distance. Indeed, toss her efforts beyond a mile and a sixteenth and Mrs McDougal's turf record is four Wins in five tries, including a victory in the Grade 2 Lake George last Summer. Celestine wired the field in the Grade 2 Honey Fox last time out; and while she probably won't be the front runner today, Celestine has shown the ability in the past to win coming off the pace, as she did in The Wait a While last year over this turf course.
Strike Charmer, winner of the Grade 3 Beaugay last time out, has been showing a steadily improving form in her 2016 starts. My Miss Sophia had to settle for fourth behind Strike Charmer in that Beaugay when she ran out of gas in the stretch. I expect My Miss Sophia to display better stamina in this, her second start off the layoff.
Irish Rookie (Ire) makes her North American debut and may find the competition in this one somewhat softer than the Group Stakes company that she has been facing. Rainha Da Bateria took the Place last time out in the Grade 2 Distaff Turf Mile and may be able to build off that effort in her second start for the barn of Trainer chad Brown.
RACE 9 - The Metropolitan Handicap (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Blofeld (ML 10-1)
# 5 Frosted (ML 7-2)
# 7 Stanford (ML 5-1)
B's
# 11 Calculator (ML 10-1)
# 13 Marking (ML 8-1)
C's
# 4 Noble Bird (ML 9-2)
# 6 Upstart (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 1 El Kabeir (ML 30-1), # 3 Donworth (ML 20-1), and # 9 Sloane Avenue (ML 15-1)
Blofeld hit the wire a head in front of Stanford two starts back in the Grade 2 Gulfstream Park Handicap, which was the last time each of those runners competed at today's distance. Frosted stands out as the class of this field; though it's fair to wonder if one mile is enough distance for Frosted to do his best work.
Calculator has finished in the Trifecta in each of his last three starts, all against Graded Stakes company. Marking makes his first North American starts since taking the Place in the Grade 1 Malibu.
Noble Bird won the Grade 3 Pimlico Special by the length of the stretch last time out; but it's unlikely that Noble Bird will get to have things all his own way up front again today. Upstart won the Grade 3 Oaklawn Handicap two starts back; though it't fair to question the need to add blinkers at this stage of his career.
RACE 10 - The Manhattan (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Inner Turf
A's
# 10 Flintshire (ML 8-5)
B's
# 2 Slumber (GB) (ML 10-1)
C's
# 6 Ironicus (ML 4-1)
# 11 Divisidero (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 3 Wake Forest (Ger) (ML 10-1) and # 4 Take the Stand (Arg) (ML 15-1)
Flintshire (GB) is the standout class of this field, with earnings of over $7.5 million is nineteen career starts. The one concern I have is how Flintshire will handle a softer going should the storms arrive prior to Post Time for this event.
Slumber (GB) is the defending champ, having won this event by daylight last year. Yeah, Slumber hasn't seen the Winner's Circle since; but it had also been a long time since Slumber had seen the Winner's Circle prior to winning The Manhattan last year.
Ironicus steps up in company after finishing in the Exacta in each of his last eight starts. Divisidero won the Grade 1 Turf Classic last time out, but will need to show a better effort than he did in last year's Belmont Derby, the last time that Divisidero tried ten furlongs.
RACE 11 - The Belmont (Grade 1) - Twelve Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 11 Exaggerator (ML 9-5)
B's
# 5 Stradivari (ML 5-1)
C's
# 2 Destin (ML 6-1)
# 6 Gettysburg (ML 30-1)
# 6 Gettysburg (ML 30-1)
# 10 Lani (ML 20-1)
Exaggerator is the best horse in this field; the only question I can see is will he be able to make the full mile and a half. Stradivari should be forwardly placed early and may get first run on the leaders. Destin, winner of the Grade 2 Tampa Bay Derby two starts back, should improve over his effort in the Kentucky Derby.
Gettysburg could be all alone up front in the early going; and as a son of Pioneerof the Nile, Gettysburg may still be all alone up front at the wire. The connections of Lani have had this race as their focus since the Triple Crown season began; and for that reason alone Lani deserves consideration.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 7,8 with 2,5,7 with 10 with 11 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,5,7,8,9,12 with 2,5,7,11,13 with 2,10 with 5,11 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 7,8 with 4,6 with 10 with 11 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 7,8 with 2,5,7 with 6,11 with 11 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 7,8 with 2,5,7 with 10 with 2,6,10 $9.00
Total: $83.00
Post Time for Race 8 is 3:58 EDT / 12:58 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Friday, June 10, 2016
6/10/16 Belmont Park Late Pick Four - Results
Race 8 - The True North - # 2 Joking (Final Odds 9.90) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - The New York - # 2 Dacita (Chi) (4.90) - "C" Selection
Race 10 - The Belmont Gold Cup - # 5 Da Big Hoss (2.20*) - "A" Selection
Race 11 - # 9 Rooftop View (5.20) - "B" Selection
The story of today's result is that we picked the wrong leg in which to spread, as we used six runners in The Belmont Gold Cup just to watch the Favorite win comfortably. Had we been more laser focused in that contest rather than scattershot in our approach, we may have found room for Joking and Dacita (Chi) on our big ticket, rather than using them both in backup slots. But we didn't; and for that reason today was a day for us to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 2 / 2 / 5 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $693.25 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 9 - The New York - # 2 Dacita (Chi) (4.90) - "C" Selection
Race 10 - The Belmont Gold Cup - # 5 Da Big Hoss (2.20*) - "A" Selection
Race 11 - # 9 Rooftop View (5.20) - "B" Selection
The story of today's result is that we picked the wrong leg in which to spread, as we used six runners in The Belmont Gold Cup just to watch the Favorite win comfortably. Had we been more laser focused in that contest rather than scattershot in our approach, we may have found room for Joking and Dacita (Chi) on our big ticket, rather than using them both in backup slots. But we didn't; and for that reason today was a day for us to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 2 / 2 / 5 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $693.25 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
6/10/16 Belmont Park Late Pick Four - Preview
It's Belmont Stakes Eve, and the good people at NYRA have put together a fine card loaded with stakes and other competitive contests. As is our wont we'll be looking at the final four races on the program, as we take a run at The Late Pick Four at The Championship Track.
RACE 8 - The True North (Grade 2) - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Catalina Red (Morning Line 2-1)
# 6 Always Sunshine (ML 7-2)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Holy Boss (ML 6-1)
# 2 Joking (ML 20-1)
# 4 Dads Caps (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 3 Private Zone (ML 8-5)
The scratch of Private Zone is certainly one of the more bizarre stories in horse racing this year. Briefly, the New York State Gaming Commission announced Wednesday that Private Zone's trainer, Brian Lynch. is ineligible to participate in New York racing for an indefinite period. According to Private Zone's owner, Rene Douglas, the reason for the suspension is because Lynch tested positive for marijuana in a random drug test.
Leaving aside any debate as to whether or not the punishment fits the crime for Lynch, it's difficult to justify why Private Zone should be scratched for Lynch's transgression. After all, jockeys can be changed right up until Post Time. Even ownership can change in many jurisdictions after the programs have been printed. So there's no logical reason why Private Zone shouldn't be allowed to run with a different trainer. To put it in other sports terms, it would be as if the manager or coach of a team tested positive for marijuana use, and for that reason the team was forced to forfeit an upcoming game scheduled two days later, rather than being allowed to play with a different manager or coach.
But of course, that's just my opinion.
Catalina Red had a breakout performance last time out, winning the Grade 2 Churchill Downs while competing for the first time for the barn of Trainer Jorge Navarro. Always Sunshine, winner of the Grade 3 Maryland Sprint Handicap last time out, has four Wins and two seconds in his last six starts. The "C" Selections are everyone else. I feel the scratch of Morning Line Favorite Private Zone adds the possibility of chaos to this contest, and for the reason I want to be sure that I survive this leg.
RACE 9 - (F) The New York (Grade 2) - Ten Furlongs Inner Turf
A’s
# 1 Sea Calisi (Fr) (ML 2-1)
# 5 Photo Call (Ire) (ML 4-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Dacita (Chi) (ML 3-1)
# 3 Trophee (Fr) (ML 12-1)
Sea Calisi (Fr) won the Grade 2 Sheepshead Bay in her North American debut last time out, and could improve competing over a firmer surface. Photo Call (Ire), winner of the Grade 3 Orchid last time out, could have things all her own way through the early going and perhaps right up to the wire.
Dacita (Chi) has yet to return to the form that she showed in her North American debut last Summer, when she won the Grade 2 Ballston Spa up at Saratoga. But Dacita did close well two starts back in the Grade 3 The Very One, and she certainly has the talent to compete at this level.
Trophee (Fr) looked much improved picking up the Win last time out against lesser company; perhaps Trophee is finally ready to take the next step forward.
RACE 10 - The Belmont Gold Cup Invitational $300k - Sixteen Furlongs Widener Turf
A’s
# 5 Da Big Hoss (ML 3-1)
B's
# 7 Rum Tum Tugger (ML 20-1)
# 9 Kaigun (ML 4-1)
# 10 My Afleet (ML 30-1)
# 12 Twilight Eclipse (ML 8-1)
# 13 Now We Can (GB) (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 6 Tiz Town (ML 15-1)
Da Big Hoss has three Graded Stakes Wins at the twelve furlong distance over the past nine months, and looks to have the breeding to make it the full two miles without having to stop first for air. Rum Tum Tugger finished well in the twelve furlong Secretariat down in Virginia last time out.
Kaigun won the Grade 2 Pan American at the twelve furlong distance back in April. My Afleet may have needed that last race after the twelve month layoff.
Twilight Eclipse seems to have made a career out of being not quite good enough; but perhaps Jockey Javier Castellano, who was on board the last time that Twilight Eclipse got his picture taken, can lead him back into the Winner's Circle today. Now We Can (GB), making his North American debut, has shown steady improvement in each of his 2016 starts.
RACE 11 - [S] Md $40k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Inner Turf
A’s
# 3 Great Skellig (ML 3-1)
# 7 Street Fightin Man (ML 7-2)
B's
# 4 Courageous Colonel (ML 15-1)
# 9 Rooftop View (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 11 Cuckoo's Saloon (ML 5-1); # 12 Irish Prayer (ML 7-2); # 13 Vino Blanco (ML 6-1); # 14 Oh So Sinister (ML 50-1). Also take out # 15 Fa Niente (ML 5-2) and # 16 No Tanx Blue Chip (ML 2-1), as they were entered for the main track only, and this baby is staying on the grass.
Great Skellig adds the hood and drops in for a tag for his second career start; Trainer Christophe Clement tends to do well when making those moves. Street Fightin Man, making his 2016 debut after undergoing the ultimate equipment change, has taken the Show at this class level three times in his last five starts.
Courageous Colonel took the Show at this class level last time out, and could be the controlling speed here, even with the blinkers coming off. Rooftop View gets some much needed class relief.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5,6 with 1,5 with 5 with 3,7 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 1,5 with 5,7,9,10,12,13 with 3,4,7,9 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,4 with 1,5 with 5 with 3,7 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 2,3 with 5 with 3,7 $4.00
Total: $66.00
Post Time for Race 8 is 4:42 EDT / 1:42 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 8 - The True North (Grade 2) - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Catalina Red (Morning Line 2-1)
# 6 Always Sunshine (ML 7-2)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Holy Boss (ML 6-1)
# 2 Joking (ML 20-1)
# 4 Dads Caps (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 3 Private Zone (ML 8-5)
The scratch of Private Zone is certainly one of the more bizarre stories in horse racing this year. Briefly, the New York State Gaming Commission announced Wednesday that Private Zone's trainer, Brian Lynch. is ineligible to participate in New York racing for an indefinite period. According to Private Zone's owner, Rene Douglas, the reason for the suspension is because Lynch tested positive for marijuana in a random drug test.
Leaving aside any debate as to whether or not the punishment fits the crime for Lynch, it's difficult to justify why Private Zone should be scratched for Lynch's transgression. After all, jockeys can be changed right up until Post Time. Even ownership can change in many jurisdictions after the programs have been printed. So there's no logical reason why Private Zone shouldn't be allowed to run with a different trainer. To put it in other sports terms, it would be as if the manager or coach of a team tested positive for marijuana use, and for that reason the team was forced to forfeit an upcoming game scheduled two days later, rather than being allowed to play with a different manager or coach.
But of course, that's just my opinion.
Catalina Red had a breakout performance last time out, winning the Grade 2 Churchill Downs while competing for the first time for the barn of Trainer Jorge Navarro. Always Sunshine, winner of the Grade 3 Maryland Sprint Handicap last time out, has four Wins and two seconds in his last six starts. The "C" Selections are everyone else. I feel the scratch of Morning Line Favorite Private Zone adds the possibility of chaos to this contest, and for the reason I want to be sure that I survive this leg.
RACE 9 - (F) The New York (Grade 2) - Ten Furlongs Inner Turf
A’s
# 1 Sea Calisi (Fr) (ML 2-1)
# 5 Photo Call (Ire) (ML 4-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Dacita (Chi) (ML 3-1)
# 3 Trophee (Fr) (ML 12-1)
Sea Calisi (Fr) won the Grade 2 Sheepshead Bay in her North American debut last time out, and could improve competing over a firmer surface. Photo Call (Ire), winner of the Grade 3 Orchid last time out, could have things all her own way through the early going and perhaps right up to the wire.
Dacita (Chi) has yet to return to the form that she showed in her North American debut last Summer, when she won the Grade 2 Ballston Spa up at Saratoga. But Dacita did close well two starts back in the Grade 3 The Very One, and she certainly has the talent to compete at this level.
Trophee (Fr) looked much improved picking up the Win last time out against lesser company; perhaps Trophee is finally ready to take the next step forward.
RACE 10 - The Belmont Gold Cup Invitational $300k - Sixteen Furlongs Widener Turf
A’s
# 5 Da Big Hoss (ML 3-1)
B's
# 7 Rum Tum Tugger (ML 20-1)
# 9 Kaigun (ML 4-1)
# 10 My Afleet (ML 30-1)
# 12 Twilight Eclipse (ML 8-1)
# 13 Now We Can (GB) (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 6 Tiz Town (ML 15-1)
Da Big Hoss has three Graded Stakes Wins at the twelve furlong distance over the past nine months, and looks to have the breeding to make it the full two miles without having to stop first for air. Rum Tum Tugger finished well in the twelve furlong Secretariat down in Virginia last time out.
Kaigun won the Grade 2 Pan American at the twelve furlong distance back in April. My Afleet may have needed that last race after the twelve month layoff.
Twilight Eclipse seems to have made a career out of being not quite good enough; but perhaps Jockey Javier Castellano, who was on board the last time that Twilight Eclipse got his picture taken, can lead him back into the Winner's Circle today. Now We Can (GB), making his North American debut, has shown steady improvement in each of his 2016 starts.
RACE 11 - [S] Md $40k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Inner Turf
A’s
# 3 Great Skellig (ML 3-1)
# 7 Street Fightin Man (ML 7-2)
B's
# 4 Courageous Colonel (ML 15-1)
# 9 Rooftop View (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 11 Cuckoo's Saloon (ML 5-1); # 12 Irish Prayer (ML 7-2); # 13 Vino Blanco (ML 6-1); # 14 Oh So Sinister (ML 50-1). Also take out # 15 Fa Niente (ML 5-2) and # 16 No Tanx Blue Chip (ML 2-1), as they were entered for the main track only, and this baby is staying on the grass.
Great Skellig adds the hood and drops in for a tag for his second career start; Trainer Christophe Clement tends to do well when making those moves. Street Fightin Man, making his 2016 debut after undergoing the ultimate equipment change, has taken the Show at this class level three times in his last five starts.
Courageous Colonel took the Show at this class level last time out, and could be the controlling speed here, even with the blinkers coming off. Rooftop View gets some much needed class relief.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5,6 with 1,5 with 5 with 3,7 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 1,5 with 5,7,9,10,12,13 with 3,4,7,9 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,4 with 1,5 with 5 with 3,7 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 2,3 with 5 with 3,7 $4.00
Total: $66.00
Post Time for Race 8 is 4:42 EDT / 1:42 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, June 5, 2016
6/5/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 9 Blackjackcat (Final Odds 5.00) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Celebrity Status (2.90) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Navy Hymn (1.80) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 1 Second Proposal (7.70) - "B" Selection
The last two times that Celebrity Status had competed around just one turn he had been defeated by a combined eighteen lengths. Lifetime Celebrity Status was a career oh-for-seven at today's distance. So while Celebrity Status fit Race 7 on class, it was my opinion that he did not deserve a spot on our big ticket; and for that reason, today was a day for us to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 9 / 6 / 3 / 1 were rewarded with a payout of $433.55 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 6 Celebrity Status (2.90) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Navy Hymn (1.80) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 1 Second Proposal (7.70) - "B" Selection
The last two times that Celebrity Status had competed around just one turn he had been defeated by a combined eighteen lengths. Lifetime Celebrity Status was a career oh-for-seven at today's distance. So while Celebrity Status fit Race 7 on class, it was my opinion that he did not deserve a spot on our big ticket; and for that reason, today was a day for us to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 9 / 6 / 3 / 1 were rewarded with a payout of $433.55 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
6/5/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
I really don't have anything useful to say by way of introduction today. So instead I'll just link to this article by Bob Ehalt on ESPN called "When to use the 'All' button". I suspect it may come in handy on occasion. And with that, let's get to it as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 6 Scuderia (Morning Line 2-1)
B's
# 5 Giant Influence (ML 5-2)
# 9 Blackjackcat (ML 8-1)
C's
# 2 Airlite (ML 9-2)
# 3 Guapo Diablo (ML 8-1)
# 4 Jagger Swagger (ML 15-1)
The conditions state that this contest is for maidens three years old and upward; but all entrants are in fact three years old. Something worth keeping in mind for future reference.
Scuderia missed victory by just a head charging down the hill at this class level last time out. Giant Influence took the Show on the main track in his debut last time out. As Giant Influence was sired by Giant's Causeway, I would expect him to, at the very least, hold his form with the surface switch. Blackjackcat showed brief early speed on the dirt in his debut last time out, and should do well with the move to the turf.
The "C" Selections are all the other experienced runners in the field. I won't have any of the three first time starters (# 1 Uber Star (ML 15-1); # 7 Can't Touch That (ML 15-1); and # 8 Oregon (ML 10-1)) on my tickets; so if one of them win, I lose.
RACE 7 - Clm $8k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 10 Dustin's Passion (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 4 Destino (ML 20-1)
# 8 Northern Iowa (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Misdeed (ML 4-1)
# 6 Celebrity Status (ML 4-1)
Dustin's Passion has finished in the Trifecta in nine of his eleven career starts, and seems to hold his form well in both sprints and routes. Destino has two (one, two) career Wins in sixty-one career starts; not exactly your typical "B" Selection on a Pick Four ticket. But Destino has the best last out Beyer Speed Figure in this field, earned at a distance (6.5 Furlongs) very close to today's. So while I may not be the world's biggest fan of Beyer Speed Figures, when the one with the best in the field is a Morning Line 20-1, I think he deserves a spot on the big ticket.
Northern Iowa missed victory by just a neck the last time he raced around just one turn. The last time prior to that that Northern Iowa competed around just one turn, he got the Win.
Misdeed was backing up in the stretch last time out going around two turns; perhaps he improves with the cutback in distance. Celebrity Status won the last two times that he competed at this class level.
RACE 8 - OC 75k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Navy Hymm (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 1 Annie's Candy (ML 3-1)
# 6 Who's Out (ML 9-5)
C's
RACE 6 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 6 Scuderia (Morning Line 2-1)
B's
# 5 Giant Influence (ML 5-2)
# 9 Blackjackcat (ML 8-1)
C's
# 2 Airlite (ML 9-2)
# 3 Guapo Diablo (ML 8-1)
# 4 Jagger Swagger (ML 15-1)
The conditions state that this contest is for maidens three years old and upward; but all entrants are in fact three years old. Something worth keeping in mind for future reference.
Scuderia missed victory by just a head charging down the hill at this class level last time out. Giant Influence took the Show on the main track in his debut last time out. As Giant Influence was sired by Giant's Causeway, I would expect him to, at the very least, hold his form with the surface switch. Blackjackcat showed brief early speed on the dirt in his debut last time out, and should do well with the move to the turf.
The "C" Selections are all the other experienced runners in the field. I won't have any of the three first time starters (# 1 Uber Star (ML 15-1); # 7 Can't Touch That (ML 15-1); and # 8 Oregon (ML 10-1)) on my tickets; so if one of them win, I lose.
RACE 7 - Clm $8k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 10 Dustin's Passion (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 4 Destino (ML 20-1)
# 8 Northern Iowa (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Misdeed (ML 4-1)
# 6 Celebrity Status (ML 4-1)
Dustin's Passion has finished in the Trifecta in nine of his eleven career starts, and seems to hold his form well in both sprints and routes. Destino has two (one, two) career Wins in sixty-one career starts; not exactly your typical "B" Selection on a Pick Four ticket. But Destino has the best last out Beyer Speed Figure in this field, earned at a distance (6.5 Furlongs) very close to today's. So while I may not be the world's biggest fan of Beyer Speed Figures, when the one with the best in the field is a Morning Line 20-1, I think he deserves a spot on the big ticket.
Northern Iowa missed victory by just a neck the last time he raced around just one turn. The last time prior to that that Northern Iowa competed around just one turn, he got the Win.
Misdeed was backing up in the stretch last time out going around two turns; perhaps he improves with the cutback in distance. Celebrity Status won the last two times that he competed at this class level.
RACE 8 - OC 75k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Navy Hymm (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 1 Annie's Candy (ML 3-1)
# 6 Who's Out (ML 9-5)
C's
# 5 Big Finish (ML 6-1)
Navy Hymm has finished in the Exacta in all seven of his career starts, and is a perfect four-for-four lifetime over this main track. Annie's Candy should appreciate the class relief that he is getting today.
Who's Out tries winners for the first time after graduating by as many as he wanted to last time out. Who's Out is making his first start of 2016, but his work over this main track on May 29 suggests that Who's Out is ready to fire. Big Finish made a big move forward last time out after shipping out to Arizona. If he can bring that form with him in his return to California, then Big Finish can be right in the mix today.
RACE 9 - Hcp 25000s - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 4 Rangi (GB) (ML 5-1)
# 5 Incline Village (ML 6-1)
# 6 Atta Boy Pete (ML 7-2 )
B’s
# 1 Second Proposal (ML 8-1)
# 8 Infinite Magic (ML 6-1)
# 8 Infinite Magic (ML 6-1)
C's
# 2 Back to Bako (ML 20-1)
# 3 Image of Joplin (ML 9-2)
# 7 Pray Hard (ML 6-1)
# 3 Image of Joplin (ML 9-2)
# 7 Pray Hard (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 9 Eddie's First (ML 6-1)
Rangi (GB) and Incline Village took the Place and Show, respectively, in the same contest charging down the hill last time out. Atta Boy Pete, trained by Phil D'Amato, took was a well beaten seventh in that contest, disappointing as the Post Time Favorite. As Atta Boy Pete has won both of his prior tries charging down the hill, it's fair to presume that Attab Boy Pete will rebound off that effort.
Second Proposal exits the same last out race as the three "A" Selections, having filled out bottom position in the Superfecta in that contest. As Second Proposal has won his prior try charging down the hill, he stands an excellent chance of improving today.
Infinite Magic took the Place in each of his two prior lifetime tries charging down the hill. The "C" Selections are everyone else. This appears to be a very competitive contest, which probably explains why it was chosen to be the Super High Five race despite the relatively small field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 10 with 3 with 4,5,6 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,6,9 with 4,8,10 with 1,3,6 with 1,4,5,6,8 $67.50
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3,4 with 10 with 3 with 4,5,6 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 1,6 with 3 with 4,5,6 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 10 with 5 with 4,5,6 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 10 with 3 with 2,3,7 $1.50
Total: $81.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:29 EDT / 4:29 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, June 4, 2016
6/4/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 8 - # 1 Reflected Star (Final Odds 7.60) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 8 Horse Greedy (4.90) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - # 8 Ike Walker (7.40) - No Selection
Race 11 - # 12 Skelton Pass (24.00) - No Selection
We had "B" Selections take the Place in each of the final two races: # 2 Fusaichi Samurai (2.70) in Race 10; # 2 Film Freak (3.80) in Race 11. And while I could have made a case for the Doug O'Neill trained Ike Walker, there was no way that I was going to find Skelton Pass without hitting the "ALL" button.
Skelton Pass had lost ground in the stretch in three of his four prior career races against winners, all dirt sprints, and was now trying two turns for the first time. Skelton Pass was also trying grass for the first time. As Skelton Pass was sired by a stallion whose progeny succeeded fewer than six percent of the time in their turf debuts, and was conditioned by a trainer whose runners won approximately eight percent of their first tries on the grass, I did not consider Skelton Pass a candidate to improve with the surface switch. I was proven wrong.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 1 / 8 / 8 / 12 were rewarded with a payout of $3,049.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 9 - # 8 Horse Greedy (4.90) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - # 8 Ike Walker (7.40) - No Selection
Race 11 - # 12 Skelton Pass (24.00) - No Selection
We had "B" Selections take the Place in each of the final two races: # 2 Fusaichi Samurai (2.70) in Race 10; # 2 Film Freak (3.80) in Race 11. And while I could have made a case for the Doug O'Neill trained Ike Walker, there was no way that I was going to find Skelton Pass without hitting the "ALL" button.
Skelton Pass had lost ground in the stretch in three of his four prior career races against winners, all dirt sprints, and was now trying two turns for the first time. Skelton Pass was also trying grass for the first time. As Skelton Pass was sired by a stallion whose progeny succeeded fewer than six percent of the time in their turf debuts, and was conditioned by a trainer whose runners won approximately eight percent of their first tries on the grass, I did not consider Skelton Pass a candidate to improve with the surface switch. I was proven wrong.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 1 / 8 / 8 / 12 were rewarded with a payout of $3,049.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
6/4/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
There's a pair of Grade 1 stakes on the Santa Anita card Saturday, including The Vanity Mile featuring Beholder. And while neither of those events are a part of the final four races on the program, we have been given a set of competitive contests to sort out. So let's get to it as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 8 - Alw 40000s N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 1 Reflected Star (Morning Line 12-1)
# 2 Nat's Nation (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 10 Broken Up (ML 6-1)
C's
# 7 Moose Skowron (ML 10-1)
# 11 Schillairess (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 3 Dream Police (ML 8-1) and # 6 If You Dream (ML 6-1). # 13 Melville (ML 30-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List, but the maiden, # 14 Mischievous Bull (ML 20-1), will run.
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career (N2L), as the Daily Racing Form does not include that information in their Past Performances; at least not at the present time.
Reflected Star ran reasonably well in each of his three prior career tries charging down the hill, all against classier competition. Nat's Nation tries both winners and open (non-state bred restricted) company for the first time; quite a step up in class; but if Nat's Nation can repeat his last out performance, then he stands an excellent chance of getting his picture taken today.
Broken Up was within two lengths of the winner at the wire at this class level last time out on the grass upstate. Moose Skowron tries the turf for the first time for Trainer Phil D'Amato. After spending fifty-one weeks on the shelf since winning his debut, Schillairess goes first off the claim for Trainer Peter Miller, who is often successful with such.
RACE 9 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Westfest (ML 5-2)
B's
# 7 Alley Boss (ML 12-1)
# 8 Horse Greedy (ML 9-2)
# 10 Jaw Dropper (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Mucho Chrome (ML 15-1)
# 2 Americanize (ML 6-1)
Westfest has finished in the Trifecta in each of his two career starts, each at this class level. Alley Boss is a first time starter sired by Twirling Candy, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking. Also note that Alley Boss's Tomlinson Rating suggests that he is well suited to today's distance.
Horse Greedy took the Place at this class level last time out. Jaw Dropper was up close early in his debut last time out. Mucho Chrome may not have liked the off going last time out. Americanize is a debut runner sired by Concord Point, whose descendants tend to do well in their first attempts.
RACE 10 - OC 40k/C - Nine Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Dreaming of Gold (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Fusaichi Samurai (ML 3-1)
# 5 Carlsbad Mountain (ML 6-1)
C's
RACE 8 - Alw 40000s N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 1 Reflected Star (Morning Line 12-1)
# 2 Nat's Nation (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 10 Broken Up (ML 6-1)
C's
# 7 Moose Skowron (ML 10-1)
# 11 Schillairess (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 3 Dream Police (ML 8-1) and # 6 If You Dream (ML 6-1). # 13 Melville (ML 30-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List, but the maiden, # 14 Mischievous Bull (ML 20-1), will run.
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career (N2L), as the Daily Racing Form does not include that information in their Past Performances; at least not at the present time.
Reflected Star ran reasonably well in each of his three prior career tries charging down the hill, all against classier competition. Nat's Nation tries both winners and open (non-state bred restricted) company for the first time; quite a step up in class; but if Nat's Nation can repeat his last out performance, then he stands an excellent chance of getting his picture taken today.
Broken Up was within two lengths of the winner at the wire at this class level last time out on the grass upstate. Moose Skowron tries the turf for the first time for Trainer Phil D'Amato. After spending fifty-one weeks on the shelf since winning his debut, Schillairess goes first off the claim for Trainer Peter Miller, who is often successful with such.
RACE 9 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Westfest (ML 5-2)
B's
# 7 Alley Boss (ML 12-1)
# 8 Horse Greedy (ML 9-2)
# 10 Jaw Dropper (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Mucho Chrome (ML 15-1)
# 2 Americanize (ML 6-1)
Westfest has finished in the Trifecta in each of his two career starts, each at this class level. Alley Boss is a first time starter sired by Twirling Candy, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking. Also note that Alley Boss's Tomlinson Rating suggests that he is well suited to today's distance.
Horse Greedy took the Place at this class level last time out. Jaw Dropper was up close early in his debut last time out. Mucho Chrome may not have liked the off going last time out. Americanize is a debut runner sired by Concord Point, whose descendants tend to do well in their first attempts.
RACE 10 - OC 40k/C - Nine Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Dreaming of Gold (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Fusaichi Samurai (ML 3-1)
# 5 Carlsbad Mountain (ML 6-1)
C's
# 3 Warden of the West (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 6 D Day Dude (ML 12-1)
Dreaming of Gold, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, took the Place at this approximate class level last time out. Fusaichi Samurai has finished in the Exacta in each of his career starts on a Fast dirt track. Carlsbad Mountain has taken the Show in each of his last two starts at this approximate class level. Warden of the West should improve with the return to dirt.
RACE 11 - OC 40k/C - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Hobbits Hero (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Tristan's Trilogy (ML 6-1)
# 2 Film Freak (ML 12-1)
C's
# 7 To the Bar (ML 12-1)
# 11 St. Joe Bay (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 3 Little Scotty (ML 12-1), # 6 Act (ML 8-1), and # 10 Undeniable U (ML 4-1). Do not bring in # 13 Opsec (ML 8-1) from the Also Eligible List, but # 14 Awesome Return (ML 12-1) will run.
Hobbits Hero defeated classier competition over this turf course last time out. Tristan's Trilogy missed victory by a head against stakes competition last time out. Film Freak took the Place at this approximate class level two starts back.
To the Bar took the Show at this approximate class level last time out, and could improve with the cutback in distance. St. Joe Bay has shown himself to be competitive at this class level, and may have things all his own way in the early going.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1,2 with 9 with 7 with 8 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,10 with 7,8,9,10 with 2,5,7 with 1,2,8 $54.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 7,11 with 9 with 7 with 8 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 1,2 with 1,2 with 7 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1,2 with 9 with 3 with 8 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 1,2 with 9 with 7 with 7,11 $2.00
Total: $62.00
Post Time for Race 8 is 5:29 EDT / 8:29 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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