Saturday, June 18, 2016

6/18/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

The seventy-first running of the race formerly known as The Hollywood Oaks and the inaugural running of The Rainbow are the stakes on Saturday's card at Santa Anita.  We'll be analyzing both below, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 6 - The Rainbow $75k - Nine Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 6 Arcature (Morning Line 4-1)

B's

# 8 Undeniable U (ML 5-1)
# 9 Little Scotty (ML 8-1)
# 10 Ralis (ML 5-1)

C's

# 1 Lucky Bryan (ML 6-1)
# 7 Smokey Image (ML 8-1)

Arcature, winner of The Singletary last time out, has steadily improved in each of his four career starts.  Undeniable U and Little Scotty both took the Place in separate contests at today's distance against older horses last month.

Ralis took the Place in his turf debut last time out in the state-restricted Snow Chief.  Lucky Bryan took the Show behind Arcature in The Singletary last time out.  Smokey Image tries the turf for the first time.  While Smokey Image doesn't have a strong turf pedigree, he does have the back class and the talent to win here if he can handle the surface switch.

RACE 7 - [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Tengas Ransom (ML 5-2)
# 3 Counturluckystars (ML 12-1)

B's

# 2 Tatar (ML 8-1)
# 6 Gio Mio (ML 8-1)


C's

None

Tengas Ransom has taken the Place in four of his five career starts, all at this class level.  Counturluckystars and Tatar are a pair of first time starters who are each by sires that tend to produce runners that succeed in their debuts.  Gio Mio drops back into the state restricted ranks as well as returns to real dirt.

RACE 8 - The Summertime Oaks (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Songbird (ML 1-5)

B's

None

C's

None

Scratch # 3 Not Now Carolyn (ML 20-1) and # 5 Coppa (ML 5-1)

Good luck if you're trying to beat Songbird today.  As for me, if Songbird loses, then so does this Pick Four play.

RACE 9 - [S] (F) MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Kitty Chatter (ML 15-1)
# 4 Warm Endowment (ML 7-2)
# 11 Starlite Style (ML 4-1)

B's

# 1 Rebarules Again (ML 9-2)
# 7 Unusually Talented (ML 6-1)
# 10 All That Heat (ML 6-1)

C's

None

Take out the Also Eligibles, # 13 Malware (ML 6-1) and # 14 Lethal Legacy (ML 10-1)

Kitty Chatter is a first time starter by Tribal Rule, whose progeny tend to do well both in their debuts and on the turf.  Warm Endowment missed graduation by just nose at this class level last time out, which was also Warm Endowment's first try on the grass.  Starlite Style took the Show at this class level last time out, and could improve with the cutback in distance.

Rebarules Again and Unusually Talented took the Place and Show, respectively, at this class level last time out.  All That Heat disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out, and could improve with the stretch out.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4:  6 with 1,3 with 4 with 3,4,11 $6.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 6,8,9,10 with 1,2,3,6 with 4 with 1,3,4,7,10,11 $48.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,7 with 1,3 with 4 with 3,4,11 $6.00

Total: $60.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 7:02 EDT / 4:02 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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