Race 6 - # 6 Night At the Opera (Final Odds 1.20*) - "C" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Foreverinsummer (2.70) - "B" Selection*
Race 8 - # 5 Tribal Storm (3.40*) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 8 Kitten's Royal (10.80) - No Selection
* In Race 7, # 7 Exactamente (4.60), also a "B" Selection, crossed under the wire first, but was disqualified and placed second.
I had placed my hopes in the opening leg on the experienced entrants; but it was debut runner Night At the Opera who proved much the best. Meanwhile, the finale saw me landing on the wrong Kitten's Joy progeny, as Kitten's Royal achieved his first career turf victory in his fifth try on the grass, while "A" Selection # 5 Kittenmeister (3.00) could do no better than fourth. So for the second day this weekend my "A" Selections managed to avoid the Winner's Circle, making Sunday another day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 6 / 5 / 8 were rewarded with a payout of $391.65 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, August 27, 2017
8/27/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview
While I was playing Golden Gate Fields Saturday in preference to Ferndale, one lucky bettor took the opposite tack, taking down The Gold Rush Pick Six Jackpot with a single winning ticket that cashed to the tune of $27,426.40 for a twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings. As for me, I'll be attempting to do Sunday that which I had failed to accomplish on Saturday. So with all that let's get to it, as I take another run at at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 6 - [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 Lucky Cleric (Morning Line 5-1)
# 8 Bold Charmant (ML 4-1)
B's
None
C's
# 4 Power Time (ML 7-2)
# 5 Alive and Well (ML 9-2)
# 6 Night At the Opera (ML 3-1)
# 7 La Waun (ML 20-1)
Bold Charmant and Lucky Cleric took the Place and Show, respectively, against open company non-claiming maidens last time out. Alive and Well is the only runner in this field to have competed over this main track. Power Time, Night At the Opera, and La Waun are all first time starters that have been conditioned by trainers (Billy Morey, Jerry Hollendorfer, and Frank Lucarelli, respectively) whose chargers tend to do well at first asking.
RACE 7 - (F) Alw 4000s - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Warrens Goldnugget (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 6 Foreverinsummer (ML 3-1)
# 7 Exactamente (ML 7-2)
C's
# 3 Tanger (ML 6-1)
Note for future reference that, unlike many Starter Allowances run in California (such as Race 9 below) this event has no lifetime Win restrictions for entry. So any filly or mare that has started for a claiming price of $4k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Warrens Goldnugget, winner by open lengths last time out (albeit on the dirt) goes first off the claim (actually re-claim) for Trainer Bill McLean, who tends to do well with such. Warrens Goldnugget is three-for-eleven lifetime over this turf course.
Foreverinsummer should improve with the return to two turn racing. Exactamente fits well with these on class; though Exactamente may be on the wrong surface. Tanger could be the one running best late.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 2 Oil (ML 3-1)
B's
# 4 Paynes Prairie (ML 7-2)
# 5 Tribal Storm (ML 10-1)
# 6 Brownie Finale (ML 8-1)
# 7 Mi Bouchon (ML 12-1)
# 8 Sheer Flattery (ML 5-1)
# 11 Southern Loyalty (ML 6-1)
C's
# 10 Tentwelvefourteen (M 12-1)
Oil has finished in the Exacta in each of his last six races, and is three-for-five lifetime over this main track. Paynes Prairie returns to the barn of Jonathan Wong, for whom he has run well in the past. Tribal Storm took the Place at this class level last time out, albeit on real dirt.
Brownie Finale has run well in the past over this surface, and Trainer Victor Trujillo tends to do well when placing his last out winners. Mi Bouchon was victorious under these conditions earlier this year, and could improve with a return to the synthetic. Sheer Flattery is getting some much needed class relief.
Southern Loyalty could move up with the freshening, and could get a nice stalking trip with the outside post. Tentwelvefourteen fits well here with the contenders, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.
RACE 9 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Going for the Win (ML 6-1)
# 5 Kittenmeister (ML 7-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Tune to Win (ML 4-1)
# 6 Onefortheteam (ML 9-2)
# 7 Smoke and Burn (ML 12-1)
# 9 Whisky N Roses (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 3 Become an Insider (ML 8-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and just one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 4 Going for the Win (ML 6-1) is the only runner in this field to have gotten his picture taken twice.
As mentioned above, Going for the Win is the only multi-race winner in this field, and both of Going for the Win's career victories have come over this turf course. Kittenmeister took the Place at this class level two starts back.
Tune to Win closed well to graduate last time out, and could improve with the stretchout in distance. Onefortheteam won for fun while graduating over this turf course last time out, albeit for a different barn. Smoke and Burn took the Show at this class level last time out, albeit on dirt. Whisky N Roses took the Show at this class level over this turf course earlier this year.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 2,8 with 2 with 2 with 4,5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,8 with 2,6,7 with 2,4,5,6,7,8,11 with 4,5 $42.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,5,6,7 with 2 with 2 with 4,5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 2,8 with 3 with 2 with 4,5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2,8 with 2 with 10 with 4,5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2,8 with 2 with 2 with 1,6,7,9 $4.00
Total: $58.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:26 EDT / 4:26 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 Lucky Cleric (Morning Line 5-1)
# 8 Bold Charmant (ML 4-1)
B's
None
C's
# 4 Power Time (ML 7-2)
# 5 Alive and Well (ML 9-2)
# 6 Night At the Opera (ML 3-1)
# 7 La Waun (ML 20-1)
Bold Charmant and Lucky Cleric took the Place and Show, respectively, against open company non-claiming maidens last time out. Alive and Well is the only runner in this field to have competed over this main track. Power Time, Night At the Opera, and La Waun are all first time starters that have been conditioned by trainers (Billy Morey, Jerry Hollendorfer, and Frank Lucarelli, respectively) whose chargers tend to do well at first asking.
RACE 7 - (F) Alw 4000s - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Warrens Goldnugget (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 6 Foreverinsummer (ML 3-1)
# 7 Exactamente (ML 7-2)
C's
# 3 Tanger (ML 6-1)
Note for future reference that, unlike many Starter Allowances run in California (such as Race 9 below) this event has no lifetime Win restrictions for entry. So any filly or mare that has started for a claiming price of $4k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Warrens Goldnugget, winner by open lengths last time out (albeit on the dirt) goes first off the claim (actually re-claim) for Trainer Bill McLean, who tends to do well with such. Warrens Goldnugget is three-for-eleven lifetime over this turf course.
Foreverinsummer should improve with the return to two turn racing. Exactamente fits well with these on class; though Exactamente may be on the wrong surface. Tanger could be the one running best late.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 2 Oil (ML 3-1)
B's
# 4 Paynes Prairie (ML 7-2)
# 5 Tribal Storm (ML 10-1)
# 6 Brownie Finale (ML 8-1)
# 7 Mi Bouchon (ML 12-1)
# 8 Sheer Flattery (ML 5-1)
# 11 Southern Loyalty (ML 6-1)
C's
# 10 Tentwelvefourteen (M 12-1)
Oil has finished in the Exacta in each of his last six races, and is three-for-five lifetime over this main track. Paynes Prairie returns to the barn of Jonathan Wong, for whom he has run well in the past. Tribal Storm took the Place at this class level last time out, albeit on real dirt.
Brownie Finale has run well in the past over this surface, and Trainer Victor Trujillo tends to do well when placing his last out winners. Mi Bouchon was victorious under these conditions earlier this year, and could improve with a return to the synthetic. Sheer Flattery is getting some much needed class relief.
Southern Loyalty could move up with the freshening, and could get a nice stalking trip with the outside post. Tentwelvefourteen fits well here with the contenders, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.
RACE 9 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Going for the Win (ML 6-1)
# 5 Kittenmeister (ML 7-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Tune to Win (ML 4-1)
# 6 Onefortheteam (ML 9-2)
# 7 Smoke and Burn (ML 12-1)
# 9 Whisky N Roses (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 3 Become an Insider (ML 8-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and just one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 4 Going for the Win (ML 6-1) is the only runner in this field to have gotten his picture taken twice.
As mentioned above, Going for the Win is the only multi-race winner in this field, and both of Going for the Win's career victories have come over this turf course. Kittenmeister took the Place at this class level two starts back.
Tune to Win closed well to graduate last time out, and could improve with the stretchout in distance. Onefortheteam won for fun while graduating over this turf course last time out, albeit for a different barn. Smoke and Burn took the Show at this class level last time out, albeit on dirt. Whisky N Roses took the Show at this class level over this turf course earlier this year.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 2,8 with 2 with 2 with 4,5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,8 with 2,6,7 with 2,4,5,6,7,8,11 with 4,5 $42.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,5,6,7 with 2 with 2 with 4,5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 2,8 with 3 with 2 with 4,5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2,8 with 2 with 10 with 4,5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2,8 with 2 with 2 with 1,6,7,9 $4.00
Total: $58.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:26 EDT / 4:26 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, August 26, 2017
8/26/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 11 Amba (Final Odds 4.90) - "C" Selection
Race 7 - # 7 Almost Carla (2.60*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 9 Papaclem'smidnight (3.00*) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Out At Eight (4.90) - "C" Selection
Had 'em all, but not all on any one ticket; which, in this case, sounds much more impressive than it actually was. None of my "A" Selections managed to find the Winner's Circle Saturday, while only one of those that crossed under the wire first were on the big ticket. So call this a case of not really all that close, but no cigar.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 11 / 7 / 9 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $1,485.40 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 7 Almost Carla (2.60*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 9 Papaclem'smidnight (3.00*) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Out At Eight (4.90) - "C" Selection
Had 'em all, but not all on any one ticket; which, in this case, sounds much more impressive than it actually was. None of my "A" Selections managed to find the Winner's Circle Saturday, while only one of those that crossed under the wire first were on the big ticket. So call this a case of not really all that close, but no cigar.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 11 / 7 / 9 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $1,485.40 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
8/26/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview
Yes, Golden Gate Fields; not Ferndale. After giving the matter careful consideration I decided that, despite the jackpot carryover (of which a not insignificant amount is my money) I will not be following the Gold Rush Pick Six to Ferndale / Humbolt County Fair. Having looked at the card, I feel, for one, that I’d just rather not get involved with the quarter horse racing (which would be at least one leg of the sequence each day) at the fair; not because I think quarter horse races are lesser events, but rather because I know those are contests that I am not presently skilled at handicapping.
Another factor are the diminished fields (even by Northern California standards) that Ferndale offers; no doubt due to having to run concurrently with Golden Gate Fields. So for the above reasons, I will be focusing on the contests over at Golden Gate Fields rather than at Ferndale; at least for this weekend. So with all that let's get to it, as I take a run at at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 6 - (F) [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 5 She's an Eagle (Morning Line 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Perfect for Me (ML 3-1)
# 4 Well Spoken Lady (ML 20-1)
# 7 Pasz the Pepper (ML 10-1)
# 8 Evening Jazz (ML 12-1)
# 11 Amba (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 6 Lista Lucca and # 10 A Brides Song (ML 20-1)
These are juveniles, with She's an Eagle and # 1 Hot Honey Carol (ML 12-1) being the only two experienced runners in the field. She's an Eagle missed graduation by just a head last time out at Sacramento; and while that contest was run over real dirt, Trainer Ed Moger tends to do well when moving his charges from dirt to the synthetic surface.
Perfect for Me has been working well for this event. Well Spoken Lady and A Brides Song are both trained by Cliff DeLima, who is reasonably successful when sending out debut runners.
Pasz the Pepper has posted a couple of bullet works over this surface. Evening Jazz has Indian Charlie as a grandsire; the progeny of Indian Charlie tended to do well as juveniles. Amba was sired by Tribal Rule, whose descendants tend to do well at first asking.
RACE 7 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Flika (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 2 Namorita (ML 6-1)
# 5 Pequena Maty (ML 10-1)
# 7 Almost Carla (ML 5-2)
C's
# 6 Lady Chrome (ML 7-2)
# 8 Call Your Bluff (ML 12-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and just one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 4 Flika (ML 4-1) and # 8 Call Your Bluff (ML 12-1) are only two runners in this field to have made multiple trips to the Winner's Circle.
Flika enters this contest with a two race winning streak and seems to have learned how to rate. Namorita has taken the Show at this class level in each of her last two contests; and while those two events were on the dirt, Namorita's breeding suggests that she'll do well with the move to the turf.
Pequena Maty graduated against non-claiming maidens last time out, albeit on the dirt. Almost Carla graduated by open lengths last time out, and she has done well in her prior tries on this turf course. Lady Chrome could improve with the return to the grass. Call Your Bluff has finished in the Trifecta in each of her five career races around two turns.
RACE 8 - (F) ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 7 Whyugottabesomean (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Rebarules Again (ML 5-1)
# 6 Glamsquad (ML 6-1)
# 8 Propeppy (ML 6-1)
C's
# 5 Syndrome (ML 15-1)
# 9 Papaclem'smidnight (ML 4-1)
Scratch # 4 Tribal Headdress (ML 15-1)
Whyugottabesomean, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, steps up in class after wiring the field against $20k claimers at Santa Rosa last time out. Rebarules Again took the Show at this class level two starts back, albeit on the dirt.
Glamsquad is another returning from an extended leave who has done well in the past over this main track. Propeppy took the Show at this class level last time out. Syndrome graduated by daylight over this main track last time out. Papaclem'smidnight has proven to be competitive at this class level; but Papaclem'smidnight seems to settle for too many minor awards.
RACE 9 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 Sunset Dragunn (ML 2-1)
# 9 Uncle Hal (ML 6-1)
B's
# 2 Awhitesportscoat (ML 5-2)
# 8 Ice Cream Fame (ML 5-1)
C's
# 5 Out At Eight (ML 6-1)
# 6 Hawthorne Lane (ML 20-1)
# 7 Many Moods (ML 15-1)
Sunset Dragunn took the Place while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite last time out. Uncle Hal has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his three career starts. Awhitesportscoat took the Show at this class level two starts back, and could improve with the turn back in distance.
Ice Cream Fame has taken the Show at this class level in two of his last three starts. Out At Eight showed good early speed in his debut last time out, albeit against lesser company. Hawthorne Lane is a first time starter sired by Oh Tanner, whose progeny have shown good ability in their debuts. Many Moods showed good early speed in her debut last time.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 4 with 7 with 1,9 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,4,5,7 with 1,6,7,8 with 1,2,8,9 $32.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,4,7,8,11 with 4 with 7 with 1,9 $5.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 6,8 with 7 with 1,9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 4 with 5,9 with 1,9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 4 with 7 with 5,6,7 $1.50
Total: $44.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Another factor are the diminished fields (even by Northern California standards) that Ferndale offers; no doubt due to having to run concurrently with Golden Gate Fields. So for the above reasons, I will be focusing on the contests over at Golden Gate Fields rather than at Ferndale; at least for this weekend. So with all that let's get to it, as I take a run at at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 6 - (F) [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 5 She's an Eagle (Morning Line 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Perfect for Me (ML 3-1)
# 4 Well Spoken Lady (ML 20-1)
# 7 Pasz the Pepper (ML 10-1)
# 8 Evening Jazz (ML 12-1)
# 11 Amba (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 6 Lista Lucca and # 10 A Brides Song (ML 20-1)
These are juveniles, with She's an Eagle and # 1 Hot Honey Carol (ML 12-1) being the only two experienced runners in the field. She's an Eagle missed graduation by just a head last time out at Sacramento; and while that contest was run over real dirt, Trainer Ed Moger tends to do well when moving his charges from dirt to the synthetic surface.
Perfect for Me has been working well for this event. Well Spoken Lady and A Brides Song are both trained by Cliff DeLima, who is reasonably successful when sending out debut runners.
Pasz the Pepper has posted a couple of bullet works over this surface. Evening Jazz has Indian Charlie as a grandsire; the progeny of Indian Charlie tended to do well as juveniles. Amba was sired by Tribal Rule, whose descendants tend to do well at first asking.
RACE 7 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Flika (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 2 Namorita (ML 6-1)
# 5 Pequena Maty (ML 10-1)
# 7 Almost Carla (ML 5-2)
C's
# 6 Lady Chrome (ML 7-2)
# 8 Call Your Bluff (ML 12-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass by having one (and just one) win not considered, if one of their two career wins was for $16k or less. For the record, # 4 Flika (ML 4-1) and # 8 Call Your Bluff (ML 12-1) are only two runners in this field to have made multiple trips to the Winner's Circle.
Flika enters this contest with a two race winning streak and seems to have learned how to rate. Namorita has taken the Show at this class level in each of her last two contests; and while those two events were on the dirt, Namorita's breeding suggests that she'll do well with the move to the turf.
Pequena Maty graduated against non-claiming maidens last time out, albeit on the dirt. Almost Carla graduated by open lengths last time out, and she has done well in her prior tries on this turf course. Lady Chrome could improve with the return to the grass. Call Your Bluff has finished in the Trifecta in each of her five career races around two turns.
RACE 8 - (F) ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 7 Whyugottabesomean (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Rebarules Again (ML 5-1)
# 6 Glamsquad (ML 6-1)
# 8 Propeppy (ML 6-1)
C's
# 5 Syndrome (ML 15-1)
# 9 Papaclem'smidnight (ML 4-1)
Scratch # 4 Tribal Headdress (ML 15-1)
Whyugottabesomean, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, steps up in class after wiring the field against $20k claimers at Santa Rosa last time out. Rebarules Again took the Show at this class level two starts back, albeit on the dirt.
Glamsquad is another returning from an extended leave who has done well in the past over this main track. Propeppy took the Show at this class level last time out. Syndrome graduated by daylight over this main track last time out. Papaclem'smidnight has proven to be competitive at this class level; but Papaclem'smidnight seems to settle for too many minor awards.
RACE 9 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 Sunset Dragunn (ML 2-1)
# 9 Uncle Hal (ML 6-1)
B's
# 2 Awhitesportscoat (ML 5-2)
# 8 Ice Cream Fame (ML 5-1)
C's
# 5 Out At Eight (ML 6-1)
# 6 Hawthorne Lane (ML 20-1)
# 7 Many Moods (ML 15-1)
Sunset Dragunn took the Place while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite last time out. Uncle Hal has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his three career starts. Awhitesportscoat took the Show at this class level two starts back, and could improve with the turn back in distance.
Ice Cream Fame has taken the Show at this class level in two of his last three starts. Out At Eight showed good early speed in his debut last time out, albeit against lesser company. Hawthorne Lane is a first time starter sired by Oh Tanner, whose progeny have shown good ability in their debuts. Many Moods showed good early speed in her debut last time.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 4 with 7 with 1,9 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,4,5,7 with 1,6,7,8 with 1,2,8,9 $32.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,4,7,8,11 with 4 with 7 with 1,9 $5.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 6,8 with 7 with 1,9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 4 with 5,9 with 1,9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 4 with 7 with 5,6,7 $1.50
Total: $44.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:15 EDT / 4:15 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, August 20, 2017
8/20/17 Del Mar Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - # 5 Classy Tune (Final Odds 1.30*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Del Mar Mile - # 5 Blackjackcat (8.80) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 10 Zatter (1.70*) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - # 7 Brooks House (10.80) - No Selection
I had given strong consideration to making Blackjackcat a "B" Selection in The Del Mar Mile based upon his victory over # 1 Vyjack (3.60) last time out in the Wickerr. Had I done so, I would have just set myself up for disappointment in the nightcap, which was the epitome of the old Allen Jerkens quote: "Turf racing, where one horse wins and six should have!" As I had given little thought to the possibility that that one horse today might be Brooks House, this was going to be a day for me to contribute instead of collect regardless of what I had done in the prior legs.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 5 / 5 / 10 / 7 were rewarded with a payout of $738.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - The Del Mar Mile - # 5 Blackjackcat (8.80) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 10 Zatter (1.70*) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - # 7 Brooks House (10.80) - No Selection
I had given strong consideration to making Blackjackcat a "B" Selection in The Del Mar Mile based upon his victory over # 1 Vyjack (3.60) last time out in the Wickerr. Had I done so, I would have just set myself up for disappointment in the nightcap, which was the epitome of the old Allen Jerkens quote: "Turf racing, where one horse wins and six should have!" As I had given little thought to the possibility that that one horse today might be Brooks House, this was going to be a day for me to contribute instead of collect regardless of what I had done in the prior legs.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 5 / 5 / 10 / 7 were rewarded with a payout of $738.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
8/20/17 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview
So it's Sunday, the day after the Pacific Classic; and it seems best to me to stay with Del Mar to close out the weekend, rather than shifting back upstate for closing day of the Santa Rosa meet. Good Lord willing, I'll be back to handicapping the fair circuit next weekend, chasing after the Jackpot Pick Six carryover that will (hopefully) be waiting for me in Humbolt County/Ferndale. But that's next weekend; let's now get to this weekend's puzzle, as I take another run at The Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Classy Tune (Morning Line 7-2)
# 6 Freedom Journey (ML 8-1)
B’s
# 9 Discatsonthesquare (ML 6-1)
# 11 Plane Lucky (ML 9-2)
C's
# 4 Go On Mary (ML 12-1)
# 10 Sandy's Surprise (ML 8-1)
Scratch #2 Vai (No Line) and # 7 Little Jude (NL)
Classy Tune graduated over this main track last time, and has yet to finish out of the Trifecta in three career starts. Freedom Journey makes her first start against open (non-state bred restricted) company; Freedom Journey seems quick enough to handle the tougher assignment.
Discatsonthesquare seems to settle for too many minor awards; but the class is certainly there, and Discatsonthesquare looks to be the one that will be running best late. Plane Lucky may do well off the freshening.
Go On Mary could improve with the hood being added. Sandy's Surprise could move up with the return to the main track.
RACE 8 - The Del Mar Mile (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A's
# 3 Bal a Bali (Brz) (ML 5-2)
# 4 Midnight Storm (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 5 Blackjackcat (ML 6-1)
Bal a Bali (Brz) and Midnight Storm appear to be the class of this field. Look for Midnight Storm early and Bal a Bali late. Blackjackcat appears to be in top form, and could get first run at Midnight Storm before Bal a Bali can get into top gear.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Jungle Warfare (ML 5-2)
B's
# 3 St Patrick's Day (ML 2-1)
#10 Zatter (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Holy Ghost (ML 20-1)
# 7 Haulin' Freight (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 9 Honeymoonz Over (ML 8-1)
Jungle Warfare, one of the few experienced runners in this field, has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his two prior career starts. St Patrick's Day and Zatter are two first time starters that are trained by Bob Baffert. Note that St Patrick's Day is a full brother to American Pharoah, which pretty much guarantees that he will be overbet in the Win Pool, despite the fact that his renowned older sibling did not win his debut.
Holy Ghost, sired by Ghostzapper, appears to have been working well for this, his first time out. Haulin' Freight, trained by Doug O'Neill, had a nice gate work back on the 6th.
RACE 10 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A's
# 8 Arethusa (GB) (ML 3-1)
B's
# 5 Domestic Village (ML 10-1)
# 6 La Force (Ger) (ML 12-1)
# 9 Heavenly Thought (ML 5-1)
# 10 Pistol Packin Rose (ML 15-1)
C's
# 3 Ok Doll (ML 7-2)
# 4 Bombilate (ML 5-1)
# 11 Lucy De (ML 6-1)
Arethusa (GB) appears to be rounding into top form, and could move forward with the change in barn. Domestic Village graduated by daylight last time out, and also performed well in her only prior try on this turf course. La Force (Ger) is getting some class relief here.
Heavenly Thought could do well off the freshening. Pistol Packin Rose could be quick enough to overcome the outside post. Lucy De, Bombilate, and Ok Doll were third, fourth, and fifth (respectively) at this class level last time out, over this turf course.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5,6 with 3,4 with 6 with 8 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,6,9,11 with 3,4 with 3,6,10 with 5,6,8,9,10 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,10 with 3,4 with 6 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 5 with 6 with 8 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 3,4 with 1,7 with 8 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 3,4 with 6 with 3,4,11 $6.00
Total: $77.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Classy Tune (Morning Line 7-2)
# 6 Freedom Journey (ML 8-1)
B’s
# 9 Discatsonthesquare (ML 6-1)
# 11 Plane Lucky (ML 9-2)
C's
# 4 Go On Mary (ML 12-1)
# 10 Sandy's Surprise (ML 8-1)
Scratch #2 Vai (No Line) and # 7 Little Jude (NL)
Classy Tune graduated over this main track last time, and has yet to finish out of the Trifecta in three career starts. Freedom Journey makes her first start against open (non-state bred restricted) company; Freedom Journey seems quick enough to handle the tougher assignment.
Discatsonthesquare seems to settle for too many minor awards; but the class is certainly there, and Discatsonthesquare looks to be the one that will be running best late. Plane Lucky may do well off the freshening.
Go On Mary could improve with the hood being added. Sandy's Surprise could move up with the return to the main track.
RACE 8 - The Del Mar Mile (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A's
# 3 Bal a Bali (Brz) (ML 5-2)
# 4 Midnight Storm (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 5 Blackjackcat (ML 6-1)
Bal a Bali (Brz) and Midnight Storm appear to be the class of this field. Look for Midnight Storm early and Bal a Bali late. Blackjackcat appears to be in top form, and could get first run at Midnight Storm before Bal a Bali can get into top gear.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Jungle Warfare (ML 5-2)
B's
# 3 St Patrick's Day (ML 2-1)
#10 Zatter (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Holy Ghost (ML 20-1)
# 7 Haulin' Freight (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 9 Honeymoonz Over (ML 8-1)
Jungle Warfare, one of the few experienced runners in this field, has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his two prior career starts. St Patrick's Day and Zatter are two first time starters that are trained by Bob Baffert. Note that St Patrick's Day is a full brother to American Pharoah, which pretty much guarantees that he will be overbet in the Win Pool, despite the fact that his renowned older sibling did not win his debut.
Holy Ghost, sired by Ghostzapper, appears to have been working well for this, his first time out. Haulin' Freight, trained by Doug O'Neill, had a nice gate work back on the 6th.
RACE 10 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A's
# 8 Arethusa (GB) (ML 3-1)
B's
# 5 Domestic Village (ML 10-1)
# 6 La Force (Ger) (ML 12-1)
# 9 Heavenly Thought (ML 5-1)
# 10 Pistol Packin Rose (ML 15-1)
C's
# 3 Ok Doll (ML 7-2)
# 4 Bombilate (ML 5-1)
# 11 Lucy De (ML 6-1)
Arethusa (GB) appears to be rounding into top form, and could move forward with the change in barn. Domestic Village graduated by daylight last time out, and also performed well in her only prior try on this turf course. La Force (Ger) is getting some class relief here.
Heavenly Thought could do well off the freshening. Pistol Packin Rose could be quick enough to overcome the outside post. Lucy De, Bombilate, and Ok Doll were third, fourth, and fifth (respectively) at this class level last time out, over this turf course.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5,6 with 3,4 with 6 with 8 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,6,9,11 with 3,4 with 3,6,10 with 5,6,8,9,10 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,10 with 3,4 with 6 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 5 with 6 with 8 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 3,4 with 1,7 with 8 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 3,4 with 6 with 3,4,11 $6.00
Total: $77.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, August 19, 2017
8/19/17 Del Mar Pick Four - Results
Race 8 - The Pacific Classic - # 2 Collected (Final Odds 3.00) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 10 Edwards Going Left (1.70*) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - The Del Mar Oaks - # 10 Dream Dancing (6.60) - No Selection
Race 11 - # 6 Powder (3.30) - "C" Selection
The Del Mar Oaks saw one of my two "B" Selections in that contest, # 12 Beau Recall (Ire) (5.40) lose the head bob at the wire; but winning that photo would have only set me up for the disappointment of having all the winners on my tickets without having them all on any one ticket. So it was a "close, but no cigar" day; which is just another way of saying that it was a day to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 2 / 10 / 10 / 6 were rewarded with a payout of $304.05 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 9 - # 10 Edwards Going Left (1.70*) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - The Del Mar Oaks - # 10 Dream Dancing (6.60) - No Selection
Race 11 - # 6 Powder (3.30) - "C" Selection
The Del Mar Oaks saw one of my two "B" Selections in that contest, # 12 Beau Recall (Ire) (5.40) lose the head bob at the wire; but winning that photo would have only set me up for the disappointment of having all the winners on my tickets without having them all on any one ticket. So it was a "close, but no cigar" day; which is just another way of saying that it was a day to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 2 / 10 / 10 / 6 were rewarded with a payout of $304.05 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
8/19/17 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview
It's Pacific Classic Day at Del Mar Saturday, the biggest day of the Summer meet; and the card does not disappoint, teeming as it is with quality stakes, including the aforementioned Pacific Classic, as well as the Del Mar Oaks. I'll be looking at both of those contests below, as I take another run at The Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 8 - The Pacific Classic (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Collected (Morning Line 5-2)
# 3 Accelerate (ML 3-1)
# 8 Arrogate (ML 1-1)
B's
None
C's
# 6 Donworth (ML 15-1)
# 7 Curlin Road (ML 20-1)
So what happened to Arrogate last time out in the Grade 2 San Diego? Beats me. Can it happen again Saturday? Maybe. How's that for insightful analysis! Obviously, if Arrogate's trainer Bob Baffert doesn't know what went wrong with his horse, than no one knows. What I do know is that Arrogate is the classiest runner in this field, and there's no way I'm going to lose a Pick Four because I didn't cover the most obvious Favorite on the card.
Collected, the "other" Baffert, is undefeated in his 2017 campaign thus far, and seems to be getting better with each effort. Accelerate has now finished in front of Arrogate twice in his career. Donworth and Curlin Road are both trained by Doug O'Neill; and if anyone can upset this apple cart, I would expect it to be an O'Neill trained runner.
RACE 9 - OC 40k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Street Vision (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 2 Nardo (ML 15-1)
# 6 Tell Me a Story (ML 15-1)
# 8 Americanize (ML 3-1)
# 10 Edwards Going Left (ML 5-2)
C's
# 4 The Rule of King's (ML 20-1)
Street Vision has looked much improved over his last two starts; so while he has failed multiple times at this class level in the past, Street Vision may at last be ready to take that class step forward. Nardo has previously won at this level, and could improve off the freshening. Tell Me a Story could improve with the turn back in distance.
Americanize took the Place at this class level last time out. Edwards Going Left is making the move from state bred stakes company; I'd call that a lateral move, in which case Edwards Going Left fits well here with the contenders. The Rule of King's graduated by daylight last time out; the question Saturday is will his speed hold with the class jump.
RACE 10 - (F) The Del Mar Oaks (Grade 1) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A's
# 2 Madam Dancealot (Ire) (ML 9-2)
B's
# 5 Con Te Partiro (ML 7-2)
# 12 Beau Recall (Ire) (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Kenda (ML 20-1)
# 11 Pacific Wind (ML 12-1)
# 13 Tapped (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 4 Pistol Packin Rose (ML 30-1) and # 14 Bernina Star (ML 30-1)
Madam Dancealot (Ire) won the Grade 2 San Clemente over this turf course last time out by daylight, and seems to have the breeding to handle the increased real estate. Con Te Partiro returns from overseas after taking the Sandringham at Royal Ascot last time out; a repeat of that effort could get the job done today.
Beau Recall (Ire) is multi-times Graded Stakes placed, and could improve with a return to the West Coast. Kenda was through early last time out; perhaps she'll have an easier time of it in the early going today. Pacific Wind and Tapped are two that could move up with the increase in real estate.
RACE 11 - (F) [S] MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Halley Rachele (ML 6-1)
# 8 Laynee (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 4 Jabber Now (ML 8-1)
# 5 Warm It Up (ML 12-1)
# 6 Powder (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 1 Meet and Greet (ML 7-2)
Halley Rachele has twice missed graduation by less than a length at this class level in her three career starts. Laynee took the Place in front of Halley Rachele last time out.
Jabber Now adds blinkers while changing surfaces; perhaps she'll improve with the adjustments. Warm It Up took the Place at this class level last time out at Los Al. Powder may improve with the freshening.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,3,8 with 3 with 2 with 2,8 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,8 with 2,3,6,8,10 with 2,5,12 with 2,8 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6,7 with 3 with 2 with 2,8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2,3,8 with 4 with 2 with 2,8 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,3,8 with 3 with 1,11,13 with 2,8 $9.00
$0.50 P4: 2,3,8 with 3 with 2 with 4,5,6 $4.50
Total: $69.50
Post Time for Race 5 is 8:45 EDT / 5:45 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 8 - The Pacific Classic (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Collected (Morning Line 5-2)
# 3 Accelerate (ML 3-1)
# 8 Arrogate (ML 1-1)
B's
None
C's
# 6 Donworth (ML 15-1)
# 7 Curlin Road (ML 20-1)
So what happened to Arrogate last time out in the Grade 2 San Diego? Beats me. Can it happen again Saturday? Maybe. How's that for insightful analysis! Obviously, if Arrogate's trainer Bob Baffert doesn't know what went wrong with his horse, than no one knows. What I do know is that Arrogate is the classiest runner in this field, and there's no way I'm going to lose a Pick Four because I didn't cover the most obvious Favorite on the card.
Collected, the "other" Baffert, is undefeated in his 2017 campaign thus far, and seems to be getting better with each effort. Accelerate has now finished in front of Arrogate twice in his career. Donworth and Curlin Road are both trained by Doug O'Neill; and if anyone can upset this apple cart, I would expect it to be an O'Neill trained runner.
RACE 9 - OC 40k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Street Vision (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 2 Nardo (ML 15-1)
# 6 Tell Me a Story (ML 15-1)
# 8 Americanize (ML 3-1)
# 10 Edwards Going Left (ML 5-2)
C's
# 4 The Rule of King's (ML 20-1)
Street Vision has looked much improved over his last two starts; so while he has failed multiple times at this class level in the past, Street Vision may at last be ready to take that class step forward. Nardo has previously won at this level, and could improve off the freshening. Tell Me a Story could improve with the turn back in distance.
Americanize took the Place at this class level last time out. Edwards Going Left is making the move from state bred stakes company; I'd call that a lateral move, in which case Edwards Going Left fits well here with the contenders. The Rule of King's graduated by daylight last time out; the question Saturday is will his speed hold with the class jump.
RACE 10 - (F) The Del Mar Oaks (Grade 1) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A's
# 2 Madam Dancealot (Ire) (ML 9-2)
B's
# 5 Con Te Partiro (ML 7-2)
# 12 Beau Recall (Ire) (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Kenda (ML 20-1)
# 11 Pacific Wind (ML 12-1)
# 13 Tapped (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 4 Pistol Packin Rose (ML 30-1) and # 14 Bernina Star (ML 30-1)
Madam Dancealot (Ire) won the Grade 2 San Clemente over this turf course last time out by daylight, and seems to have the breeding to handle the increased real estate. Con Te Partiro returns from overseas after taking the Sandringham at Royal Ascot last time out; a repeat of that effort could get the job done today.
Beau Recall (Ire) is multi-times Graded Stakes placed, and could improve with a return to the West Coast. Kenda was through early last time out; perhaps she'll have an easier time of it in the early going today. Pacific Wind and Tapped are two that could move up with the increase in real estate.
RACE 11 - (F) [S] MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Halley Rachele (ML 6-1)
# 8 Laynee (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 4 Jabber Now (ML 8-1)
# 5 Warm It Up (ML 12-1)
# 6 Powder (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 1 Meet and Greet (ML 7-2)
Halley Rachele has twice missed graduation by less than a length at this class level in her three career starts. Laynee took the Place in front of Halley Rachele last time out.
Jabber Now adds blinkers while changing surfaces; perhaps she'll improve with the adjustments. Warm It Up took the Place at this class level last time out at Los Al. Powder may improve with the freshening.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,3,8 with 3 with 2 with 2,8 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,8 with 2,3,6,8,10 with 2,5,12 with 2,8 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6,7 with 3 with 2 with 2,8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2,3,8 with 4 with 2 with 2,8 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,3,8 with 3 with 1,11,13 with 2,8 $9.00
$0.50 P4: 2,3,8 with 3 with 2 with 4,5,6 $4.50
Total: $69.50
Post Time for Race 5 is 8:45 EDT / 5:45 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Thursday, August 17, 2017
8/17/17 Del Mar Pick Four - Results
Race 5 - # 4 Silverspun Pickup (Final Odds 4.30) - No Selection
Race 6 - # 7 Jennyway U Want It (8.50) - "C" Selection
Race 7 - # 7 Cuddle Alert (14.10) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 9 Go Ghetto (4.40) - "B" Selection
Thursday wasn't a complete shut-out; and hopefully this run over the Del Mar track will put me in good shape for Saturday's play. But first round knockouts are never any fun; and you're not going to have many winning multi-race wagers where you fail to get any "A" Selections home.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 4 / 7 / 7 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $4,924.75 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 7 Jennyway U Want It (8.50) - "C" Selection
Race 7 - # 7 Cuddle Alert (14.10) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 9 Go Ghetto (4.40) - "B" Selection
Thursday wasn't a complete shut-out; and hopefully this run over the Del Mar track will put me in good shape for Saturday's play. But first round knockouts are never any fun; and you're not going to have many winning multi-race wagers where you fail to get any "A" Selections home.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 4 / 7 / 7 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $4,924.75 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
8/17/17 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview
As I mentioned last weekend, good Lord willing I'll be playing the Pacific Classic card at Del Mar on Saturday. That being the plan, it seemed wise to get one in over the track, if you will, prior to that day. So, with that as added incentive to go along with the usual motivation of having some fun, let's get to it, as I take a run at The Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 5 - (F) [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Callie Mesa (Morning Line 20-1)
# 7 Super Patriot (ML 3-1)
# 9 Star of Kobol (ML 6-1)
B's
# 3 Sweet Sophie Grace (ML 7-2)
# 8 My Claw (ML 9-2)
C's
None
Scratch # 5 It's About Alex (ML 8-1)
These are juvenile fillies; and, with the exception of My Claw, all are first time starters. Since experience should count for something, My Claw is on the ticket.
Callie Mesa, Super Patriot, and Star of Kobol are trained by conditioners (Tim Yakteen. Bob Baffert, and Bob Hess, Jr., respectively) whose runners tend to do well at first asking. Sweet Sophie Grace was sired by Curlin, whose progeny tend to do well when debuting.
RACE 6 - (F) [S] ALW N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A's
# 4 Sea Smoke (ML 5-2)
# 6 Lethal Legacy (ML 6-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Moonshine Annie (ML 3-1)
# 7 Jennyway U Want It (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 3 Easy Song (ML 5-1)
Sea Smoke, Lethal Legacy, and Moonshine Annie filled out the bottom seventy-five percent of the Superfecta at this class level over this turf course last time out. Jennyway U Want It could be the one running best late.
RACE 7 - OC $62.5k/N2X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Avicii (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Noted and Quoted (ML 9-5)
C's
# 3 Auntjenn (ML 6-1)
# 5 Fact of Life (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 8 Dis Smart Cat (ML 8-1)
Avicii was victorious at this class level three starts back, and finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her two most recent contests. Noted and Quoted gets some class relief while returning to one turn racing. Auntjenn could move up with the return to the main track. Fact of Life, trained by Bob Baffert, moves up in class after defeating OC $40k/N1X company by daylight last time out.
RACE 8 - Md $20k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Harrovian (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Marq One (ML 5-2)
# 2 Big Day Tomorrow (ML 10-1)
# 8 Sumday Sumday (ML 6-1)
# 9 Go Ghetto (ML 9-2)
# 11 Rick's Dream (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 10 Alpha Uno (ML 30-1). Bring in # 11 Rick's Dream (ML 6-1) off the Also Eligible List; but not # 12 Second Gear (ML 20-1), who gets to stay in the barn.
Harrovian gets some class relief here, and seems well suited to the distance. Marq One took the Show against more expensive stock last time out, albeit on the turf. Big Day Tomorrow could move up with the class drop.
Sumday Sumday missed graduation by less than a length at this class level last time out. Go Ghetto could move up with the drop in class and the surface switch. Rick's Dream has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his five career starts.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6,7,9 with 4,6 with 6 with 6 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,6,7,8,9 with 4,6 with 2,6 with 1,2,6,8,9,11 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6,7,9 with 2,7 with 6 with 6 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6,7,9 with 4,6 with 3,5 with 6 $6.00
Total: $75.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 7:03 EDT / 4:03 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 5 - (F) [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Callie Mesa (Morning Line 20-1)
# 7 Super Patriot (ML 3-1)
# 9 Star of Kobol (ML 6-1)
B's
# 3 Sweet Sophie Grace (ML 7-2)
# 8 My Claw (ML 9-2)
C's
None
Scratch # 5 It's About Alex (ML 8-1)
These are juvenile fillies; and, with the exception of My Claw, all are first time starters. Since experience should count for something, My Claw is on the ticket.
Callie Mesa, Super Patriot, and Star of Kobol are trained by conditioners (Tim Yakteen. Bob Baffert, and Bob Hess, Jr., respectively) whose runners tend to do well at first asking. Sweet Sophie Grace was sired by Curlin, whose progeny tend to do well when debuting.
RACE 6 - (F) [S] ALW N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A's
# 4 Sea Smoke (ML 5-2)
# 6 Lethal Legacy (ML 6-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Moonshine Annie (ML 3-1)
# 7 Jennyway U Want It (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 3 Easy Song (ML 5-1)
Sea Smoke, Lethal Legacy, and Moonshine Annie filled out the bottom seventy-five percent of the Superfecta at this class level over this turf course last time out. Jennyway U Want It could be the one running best late.
RACE 7 - OC $62.5k/N2X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Avicii (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Noted and Quoted (ML 9-5)
C's
# 3 Auntjenn (ML 6-1)
# 5 Fact of Life (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 8 Dis Smart Cat (ML 8-1)
Avicii was victorious at this class level three starts back, and finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of her two most recent contests. Noted and Quoted gets some class relief while returning to one turn racing. Auntjenn could move up with the return to the main track. Fact of Life, trained by Bob Baffert, moves up in class after defeating OC $40k/N1X company by daylight last time out.
RACE 8 - Md $20k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Harrovian (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Marq One (ML 5-2)
# 2 Big Day Tomorrow (ML 10-1)
# 8 Sumday Sumday (ML 6-1)
# 9 Go Ghetto (ML 9-2)
# 11 Rick's Dream (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 10 Alpha Uno (ML 30-1). Bring in # 11 Rick's Dream (ML 6-1) off the Also Eligible List; but not # 12 Second Gear (ML 20-1), who gets to stay in the barn.
Harrovian gets some class relief here, and seems well suited to the distance. Marq One took the Show against more expensive stock last time out, albeit on the turf. Big Day Tomorrow could move up with the class drop.
Sumday Sumday missed graduation by less than a length at this class level last time out. Go Ghetto could move up with the drop in class and the surface switch. Rick's Dream has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his five career starts.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6,7,9 with 4,6 with 6 with 6 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,6,7,8,9 with 4,6 with 2,6 with 1,2,6,8,9,11 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6,7,9 with 2,7 with 6 with 6 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6,7,9 with 4,6 with 3,5 with 6 $6.00
Total: $75.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 7:03 EDT / 4:03 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, August 13, 2017
8/13/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - # 7 Private Marini (Final Odds 1.60*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 7 Matter of Luck (0.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - The Jess Jackson Juvenile - # 6 Artie B Good (0.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 2 Fiery Lady (1.80*) - "A" Selection
Sunday's Late Pick Four was pretty much the epitome of a chalk fest, as the public had it right in each of the final four contests on the Santa Rosa card. Fortunately for me, Sunday also proved to be a fine example of why it's a good idea to press your top selections.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other three runners to which I would have cashed in the finale:
# 3 Dreamy Gal (8.20) - $55.70 Finish: 4th
# 4 The Incident (14.50) - $119.55 Finish: 7th
# 6 Beautiful Becca (3.10) - $30.45 Finish: 5th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Late Pick Four sequence of 7 / 7 / 6 / 2 which paid $20.80 for a fifty cent wager. Since I had it three times, I collect $62.40. That makes for a profit of $21.40 on the initial $41 investment, or approximate odds of 0.52-1; which, while not as profitable as if I had just put it all on my big ticket single, Matter of Luck, to Win, is still profit; and is therefore greatly appreciated.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - # 7 Matter of Luck (0.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - The Jess Jackson Juvenile - # 6 Artie B Good (0.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 2 Fiery Lady (1.80*) - "A" Selection
Sunday's Late Pick Four was pretty much the epitome of a chalk fest, as the public had it right in each of the final four contests on the Santa Rosa card. Fortunately for me, Sunday also proved to be a fine example of why it's a good idea to press your top selections.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other three runners to which I would have cashed in the finale:
# 3 Dreamy Gal (8.20) - $55.70 Finish: 4th
# 4 The Incident (14.50) - $119.55 Finish: 7th
# 6 Beautiful Becca (3.10) - $30.45 Finish: 5th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Late Pick Four sequence of 7 / 7 / 6 / 2 which paid $20.80 for a fifty cent wager. Since I had it three times, I collect $62.40. That makes for a profit of $21.40 on the initial $41 investment, or approximate odds of 0.52-1; which, while not as profitable as if I had just put it all on my big ticket single, Matter of Luck, to Win, is still profit; and is therefore greatly appreciated.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
8/13/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Preview
Two year olds highlight Sunday's card at The Sonoma County Fair at Santa Rosa, with the $50k Jess Jackson Juvenile serving as the featured race. I'll be looking at that contest below, but before I do I want to look ahead just a bit to next weekend. Saturday, September 19 is Pacific Classic Day at Del Mar; so, good Lord willing, I'll be focusing my efforts next weekend on the southern California racetrack. So with that let's return back to today's action, as I take another run at Wine Country Racing's Late Pick Four at Santa Rosa.
RACE 7 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Weyand (Morning Line 3-1)
# 7 Private Marini (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Tough Timber (ML 4-1)
# 3 Brave Julian (ML 20-1)
# 4 Tribal Again (ML 9-2)
# 8 Nevadan (ML 12-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Wise Tale (ML 8-1) and # 5 Monsajem Accrete (ML 8-1)
Weyand took the Place at this class level last time out, and will be going second off the claim for Trainer Rene Asescua, who tends to do well with such. Private Marini could be the speed of the speed in this field, and will be going first off the claim for Trainer Jonathan Wong, who has frequent success with such.
Tough Timber missed the Winner's Circle by less than a length at this class level last time out. Brave Julian ships in from downstate; perhaps he'll appreciate the change of scenery. Tribal Again could be the one running best late. Nevadan is on the ticket because everyone else is.
RACE 8 - (F) Alw 4000s - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 Matter of Luck (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Foreverinsummer (ML 7-2)
# 6 Shez a Griller (ML 8-1)
# 9 Croix Du Soleil (ML 3-1)
Scratch # 8 Panshir (ML 10-1)
Note for future reference that, unlike many Starter Allowances run in California, this event has no lifetime Win restrictions for entry. So any filly or mare that has started for a claiming price of $4k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Matter of Luck took the Place at this class level in front of a next out winner last time out. Foreverinsummer fits well here on class; but Foreverinsummer may be better suited to longer distances.
Shez a Griller closed well sprinting on the turf course just ten days ago. Croix Du Soleil goes first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.
RACE 9 - The Jess Jackson Juvenile $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Artie B Good (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Walk On Water (ML 6-1)
# 4 Holy Yodeler (ML 10-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Jacks Masterpiece (ML 2-1)
Artie B Good won by daylight in his debut last time out, and looks to be at least on par with many of those running here. Walk On Water and Holy Yodeler are two that can contend, if they can rebound off their respective performance in the Everett Nevin and return to the form they displayed when graduating.
RACE 10 - (F) OC 25k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Fiery Lady (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 3 Dreamy Gal (Ire) (ML 9-2)
# 4 The Incident (ML 12-1)
# 6 Hal's Buddy (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Fiery Lady was victorious at this approximate class level last time over the Golden Gate turf course. Dreamy Gal (Ire) could improve with the return to grass, and should certainly be forwardly placed early.
The Incident's only prior grass experience was navigating the Santa Anita hill; perhaps she'll prefer the flats. Hal's Buddy fits well here on class, though her time away from the Winner's Circle is a concern.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6,7 with 7 with 6 with 2 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: ALL with 7 with 1,4,6 with 2,3,4,6 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6,7 with 2,6,9 with 6 with 2 $3.00
Total: $41.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 7 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Weyand (Morning Line 3-1)
# 7 Private Marini (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Tough Timber (ML 4-1)
# 3 Brave Julian (ML 20-1)
# 4 Tribal Again (ML 9-2)
# 8 Nevadan (ML 12-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Wise Tale (ML 8-1) and # 5 Monsajem Accrete (ML 8-1)
Weyand took the Place at this class level last time out, and will be going second off the claim for Trainer Rene Asescua, who tends to do well with such. Private Marini could be the speed of the speed in this field, and will be going first off the claim for Trainer Jonathan Wong, who has frequent success with such.
Tough Timber missed the Winner's Circle by less than a length at this class level last time out. Brave Julian ships in from downstate; perhaps he'll appreciate the change of scenery. Tribal Again could be the one running best late. Nevadan is on the ticket because everyone else is.
RACE 8 - (F) Alw 4000s - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 Matter of Luck (ML 5-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Foreverinsummer (ML 7-2)
# 6 Shez a Griller (ML 8-1)
# 9 Croix Du Soleil (ML 3-1)
Scratch # 8 Panshir (ML 10-1)
Note for future reference that, unlike many Starter Allowances run in California, this event has no lifetime Win restrictions for entry. So any filly or mare that has started for a claiming price of $4k or less, either this year or last, is eligible to run here.
Matter of Luck took the Place at this class level in front of a next out winner last time out. Foreverinsummer fits well here on class; but Foreverinsummer may be better suited to longer distances.
Shez a Griller closed well sprinting on the turf course just ten days ago. Croix Du Soleil goes first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.
RACE 9 - The Jess Jackson Juvenile $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Artie B Good (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Walk On Water (ML 6-1)
# 4 Holy Yodeler (ML 10-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Jacks Masterpiece (ML 2-1)
Artie B Good won by daylight in his debut last time out, and looks to be at least on par with many of those running here. Walk On Water and Holy Yodeler are two that can contend, if they can rebound off their respective performance in the Everett Nevin and return to the form they displayed when graduating.
RACE 10 - (F) OC 25k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Fiery Lady (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 3 Dreamy Gal (Ire) (ML 9-2)
# 4 The Incident (ML 12-1)
# 6 Hal's Buddy (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Fiery Lady was victorious at this approximate class level last time over the Golden Gate turf course. Dreamy Gal (Ire) could improve with the return to grass, and should certainly be forwardly placed early.
The Incident's only prior grass experience was navigating the Santa Anita hill; perhaps she'll prefer the flats. Hal's Buddy fits well here on class, though her time away from the Winner's Circle is a concern.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6,7 with 7 with 6 with 2 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: ALL with 7 with 1,4,6 with 2,3,4,6 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6,7 with 2,6,9 with 6 with 2 $3.00
Total: $41.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, August 12, 2017
8/12/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - # 4 Mini Bar (Final Odds 2.20*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 2 Hidden Zensation (1.40*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - The Joseph T Grace - # 4 Street Lad (4.90) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 5 Magik Pepper (1.20) - "A" Selection
Needless to say, I picked the wrong race to hit the "ALL" button; as having everybody in the second leg proved to be rather silly, as Hidden Zensation ran away and hid from the rest of the field, winning by as many as he wanted. Meanwhile, neither of my two "A" Selections in the featured race, # 7 G. G. Ryder (3.30) and # 8 A Red Tie Day (1.90*), were able to find their way into the Exacta, let alone the Winner's Circle; and for that reason, Saturday was a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 4 / 2 / 4 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $82.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - # 2 Hidden Zensation (1.40*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - The Joseph T Grace - # 4 Street Lad (4.90) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 5 Magik Pepper (1.20) - "A" Selection
Needless to say, I picked the wrong race to hit the "ALL" button; as having everybody in the second leg proved to be rather silly, as Hidden Zensation ran away and hid from the rest of the field, winning by as many as he wanted. Meanwhile, neither of my two "A" Selections in the featured race, # 7 G. G. Ryder (3.30) and # 8 A Red Tie Day (1.90*), were able to find their way into the Exacta, let alone the Winner's Circle; and for that reason, Saturday was a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 4 / 2 / 4 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $82.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
8/12/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Preview
Thoroughbred racing continues at The Sonoma County Fair at Santa Rosa Saturday, with The Joseph T Grace Handicap serving as the featured race. I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take another run at Wine Country Racing's Late Pick Four at Santa Rosa.
RACE 7 - Md $25k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Cedar Rapids (ML 9-2)
B's
# 1 Girls and Guts (ML 15-1)
# 4 Mini Bar (ML 6-1)
# 6 The Ice Box Kid (ML 5-1)
C's
# 3 Day 'n Night (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 7 Six Cider (ML 8-5)
Cedar Rapids goes first time for the barn of Trainer Jonathan Wong, who tends to do well with such. Girls and Guts took the Show the only prior time that he ran with a price tag on his head. Mini Bar took the Show each of the last three times that he competed in a turf route.
The Ice Box Kid took the Place the last time that he competed around two turns on the grass for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer. Day 'n Night, trained by Neil Drysdale, is a first time starter that shows a good turf pedigree; though the gaps in the published works are a concern.
RACE 8 - Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Hidden Zensation (ML 2-1)
# 5 Eddie and the King (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 3 Presidentsky (ML 4-1)
# 4 King Budrick (ML 9-2)
# 6 Drouillard (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 1 Zorrito (ML 12-1)
Hidden Zensation wired the field against more expensive last time out, defeating a next out winner in the process. The drop after a win could be a concern, but it could also be a sign that the connections would prefer not to pay the shipping costs as the circuit moves on to its next stop.
Eddie and the King, trained by Steve Sherman, looks ready to move up in class after defeating $10k claimers last time out. Presidentsky goes first off the claim for Quinn Howey, and might appreciate the return to upstate California. King Burdrick will have the hood off today; Trainer Jeff Bonde tends to do well with runners making that equipment change. Drouillard is on the ticket because everyone else is.
RACE 9 - The Joseph T Grace $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 G. G. Ryder (ML 5-2)
# 8 A Red Tie Day (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Squidward (ML 12-1)
# 6 Anythingscookin (ML 6-1)
G. G. Ryder defeated class competition on the synthetic surface at Gulfstream Park two starts back. A Red Tie Day gets some much needed class relief, as well as a reduction in real estate. Anythingscookin and Squidward filled out the Exacta in an OC $62.5k/N2X last time out, and could be the front running pair that the others will have to catch in order to win.
RACE 10 - Md $5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Bobby Magic (ML 4-5)
# 5 Magik Pepper (ML 9-5)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Mookie's Wish (ML 5-1)
Bobby Magic has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last two starts. Magik Pepper, trained by Steve Sherman, has finished behind Bobby Magic in each of his last two starts; but Magik Pepper could improve with the rider switch. Mookie's Wish took the Show against more expensive two starts back.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 2,5 with 7,8 with 1,5 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,4,5,6 with ALL with 7,8 with 1,5 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2,5 with 7,8 with 1,5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,5 with 1,6 with 1,5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,5 with 7,8 with 2 $2.00
Total: $58.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 7 - Md $25k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Cedar Rapids (ML 9-2)
B's
# 1 Girls and Guts (ML 15-1)
# 4 Mini Bar (ML 6-1)
# 6 The Ice Box Kid (ML 5-1)
C's
# 3 Day 'n Night (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 7 Six Cider (ML 8-5)
Cedar Rapids goes first time for the barn of Trainer Jonathan Wong, who tends to do well with such. Girls and Guts took the Show the only prior time that he ran with a price tag on his head. Mini Bar took the Show each of the last three times that he competed in a turf route.
The Ice Box Kid took the Place the last time that he competed around two turns on the grass for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer. Day 'n Night, trained by Neil Drysdale, is a first time starter that shows a good turf pedigree; though the gaps in the published works are a concern.
RACE 8 - Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Hidden Zensation (ML 2-1)
# 5 Eddie and the King (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 3 Presidentsky (ML 4-1)
# 4 King Budrick (ML 9-2)
# 6 Drouillard (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 1 Zorrito (ML 12-1)
Hidden Zensation wired the field against more expensive last time out, defeating a next out winner in the process. The drop after a win could be a concern, but it could also be a sign that the connections would prefer not to pay the shipping costs as the circuit moves on to its next stop.
Eddie and the King, trained by Steve Sherman, looks ready to move up in class after defeating $10k claimers last time out. Presidentsky goes first off the claim for Quinn Howey, and might appreciate the return to upstate California. King Burdrick will have the hood off today; Trainer Jeff Bonde tends to do well with runners making that equipment change. Drouillard is on the ticket because everyone else is.
RACE 9 - The Joseph T Grace $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 G. G. Ryder (ML 5-2)
# 8 A Red Tie Day (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Squidward (ML 12-1)
# 6 Anythingscookin (ML 6-1)
G. G. Ryder defeated class competition on the synthetic surface at Gulfstream Park two starts back. A Red Tie Day gets some much needed class relief, as well as a reduction in real estate. Anythingscookin and Squidward filled out the Exacta in an OC $62.5k/N2X last time out, and could be the front running pair that the others will have to catch in order to win.
RACE 10 - Md $5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Bobby Magic (ML 4-5)
# 5 Magik Pepper (ML 9-5)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Mookie's Wish (ML 5-1)
Bobby Magic has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last two starts. Magik Pepper, trained by Steve Sherman, has finished behind Bobby Magic in each of his last two starts; but Magik Pepper could improve with the rider switch. Mookie's Wish took the Show against more expensive two starts back.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 2,5 with 7,8 with 1,5 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,4,5,6 with ALL with 7,8 with 1,5 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2,5 with 7,8 with 1,5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,5 with 1,6 with 1,5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 2,5 with 7,8 with 2 $2.00
Total: $58.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, August 6, 2017
8/6/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - # 6 Solomon Bay (Final Odds 4.30) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Warrens Goldnugget (3.50) - No Selection
Race 9 - The Robert Dupret Derby - # 3 Summersimage (3.30) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 2 Lucky Lucciana (2.30*) - "A" Selection
Needless to say, when you completely whiff on half the events, you did not have a good day of handicapping. Adding insult to injury was seeing the Post Time Favorite in the nightcap grab the victory in a contest where I had punched the "ALL" button.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 3 / 3 / 2 were rewarded with a payout of $289.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - # 3 Warrens Goldnugget (3.50) - No Selection
Race 9 - The Robert Dupret Derby - # 3 Summersimage (3.30) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 2 Lucky Lucciana (2.30*) - "A" Selection
Needless to say, when you completely whiff on half the events, you did not have a good day of handicapping. Adding insult to injury was seeing the Post Time Favorite in the nightcap grab the victory in a contest where I had punched the "ALL" button.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 3 / 3 / 2 were rewarded with a payout of $289.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
8/6/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Preview
The Robert Dupret Derby is Sunday's featured race at The Sonoma County Fair at Santa Rosa; and that's about all I have by way of introduction. So let's get to it, as I take a run at Wine Country Racing's Late Pick Four at Santa Rosa.
RACE 7 - Clm $8k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Sizzlin' Joe (Morning Line 4-1)
B’s
# 1 Danas Best (Aus) (ML 7-2)
# 6 Solomon Bay (ML 3-1)
C's
# 3 Nahem (ML 6-1)
# 4 American Aristocat (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 5 Press Baron (GB) (ML 10-1)
Sizzlin' Joe was victorious last time out for a higher price tag; though with so many other class droppers in this field, I would consider this to be a lateral class move for Sizzlin' Joe. Danas Best (Aus) goes first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such. Solomon Bay should improve with the move back to the grass.
Nahem and Danas Best have taken turns finishing in front of each other lately; but Nahem appears to need the early lead to win, and he may have problems getting to the front today. American Aristocat could move up with the return to the turf.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Exactamente (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 5 Optimism and Hope (ML 2-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 4 Bow Tie Belle (ML 8-1)
Exactamente wired the field against more expensive last time out, and looks to be the quickest in this field. Optimism and Hope disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of her last two starts; but perhaps Optimism and Hope can move up in her first try over the main track, as Trainer John Martin tends to do well when moving his runners from the turf to the dirt.
RACE 9 - The Robert Dupret Derby $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Grecian Fire (ML 3-1)
B's
# 6 Alsatian (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Golden Doughnut (ML 10-1)
# 4 Harvest a Storm (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 2 Singaprayer (ML 20-1) and # 9 Perfect Come Back (ML 8-1)
Grecian Fire, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, has done well in the past when shipping in from downstate for a listed stake. Alsatian, trained by Neil Drysdale, has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in exactly half of his eight career races. The talent is certainly there for Alsatian; perhaps the change of scenery will spur him to move up today.
Golden Doughnut and Harvest a Storm have taken turns finishing in front of each other of late. While I don't think either is of the same class as Grecian Fire or Alsatian, I do think that either Golden Doughnut or Harvest a Storm could get the win today with the proper pace setup (Harvest a Storm early or Golden Doughnut late).
RACE 10 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Lucky Lucciana (ML 2-1)
# 4 Song for the Crowd (ML 4-1)
# 5 Cheap O Charlie (ML 12-1)
B's
# 1 Genuwine Wine (ML 15-1)
# 6 A J's Hope (ML 7-2)
# 7 Atsina Warrior (ML 6-1)
# 8 Reuben James (ML 6-1)
# 9 Mister Fancy Bean (ML 20-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Tiz Jims (ML 15-1)
Lucky Lucciana took the Place against more expensive two starts back, and could move up with the return to one turn racing. Song for the Crowd took the Show at this class level last time out.
Cheap O Charlie returns from an extended vacation after taking the Place against more expensive last time out. Cheap O Charlie appears to be working well for this; though the published workout of July 11 at Sacramento of three furlongs in over forty-two seconds is a bit of a head scratcher. Not sure if the clocker punched in the wrong number, or if Cheap O Charlie stopped midway through the work to sign some autographs before continuing on.
The "B" Selections are everyone else in the field. This one looks to be wide open to me, and if I make it this far in my play I don't want to lose out because I eliminated the wrong long shot from my big ticket.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 8 with 6 with 8 with 2,4,5 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,6,8 with 5,6 with 6,8 with ALL $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,4 with 6 with 8 with 2,4,5 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 6 with 1,4 with 2,4,5 $3.00
Total: $57.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 7 - Clm $8k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Sizzlin' Joe (Morning Line 4-1)
B’s
# 1 Danas Best (Aus) (ML 7-2)
# 6 Solomon Bay (ML 3-1)
C's
# 3 Nahem (ML 6-1)
# 4 American Aristocat (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 5 Press Baron (GB) (ML 10-1)
Sizzlin' Joe was victorious last time out for a higher price tag; though with so many other class droppers in this field, I would consider this to be a lateral class move for Sizzlin' Joe. Danas Best (Aus) goes first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such. Solomon Bay should improve with the move back to the grass.
Nahem and Danas Best have taken turns finishing in front of each other lately; but Nahem appears to need the early lead to win, and he may have problems getting to the front today. American Aristocat could move up with the return to the turf.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Exactamente (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 5 Optimism and Hope (ML 2-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 4 Bow Tie Belle (ML 8-1)
Exactamente wired the field against more expensive last time out, and looks to be the quickest in this field. Optimism and Hope disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of her last two starts; but perhaps Optimism and Hope can move up in her first try over the main track, as Trainer John Martin tends to do well when moving his runners from the turf to the dirt.
RACE 9 - The Robert Dupret Derby $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Grecian Fire (ML 3-1)
B's
# 6 Alsatian (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Golden Doughnut (ML 10-1)
# 4 Harvest a Storm (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 2 Singaprayer (ML 20-1) and # 9 Perfect Come Back (ML 8-1)
Grecian Fire, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, has done well in the past when shipping in from downstate for a listed stake. Alsatian, trained by Neil Drysdale, has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in exactly half of his eight career races. The talent is certainly there for Alsatian; perhaps the change of scenery will spur him to move up today.
Golden Doughnut and Harvest a Storm have taken turns finishing in front of each other of late. While I don't think either is of the same class as Grecian Fire or Alsatian, I do think that either Golden Doughnut or Harvest a Storm could get the win today with the proper pace setup (Harvest a Storm early or Golden Doughnut late).
RACE 10 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Lucky Lucciana (ML 2-1)
# 4 Song for the Crowd (ML 4-1)
# 5 Cheap O Charlie (ML 12-1)
B's
# 1 Genuwine Wine (ML 15-1)
# 6 A J's Hope (ML 7-2)
# 7 Atsina Warrior (ML 6-1)
# 8 Reuben James (ML 6-1)
# 9 Mister Fancy Bean (ML 20-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Tiz Jims (ML 15-1)
Lucky Lucciana took the Place against more expensive two starts back, and could move up with the return to one turn racing. Song for the Crowd took the Show at this class level last time out.
Cheap O Charlie returns from an extended vacation after taking the Place against more expensive last time out. Cheap O Charlie appears to be working well for this; though the published workout of July 11 at Sacramento of three furlongs in over forty-two seconds is a bit of a head scratcher. Not sure if the clocker punched in the wrong number, or if Cheap O Charlie stopped midway through the work to sign some autographs before continuing on.
The "B" Selections are everyone else in the field. This one looks to be wide open to me, and if I make it this far in my play I don't want to lose out because I eliminated the wrong long shot from my big ticket.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 8 with 6 with 8 with 2,4,5 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,6,8 with 5,6 with 6,8 with ALL $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,4 with 6 with 8 with 2,4,5 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 6 with 1,4 with 2,4,5 $3.00
Total: $57.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, August 5, 2017
8/5/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - # 6 Urban Bourbon (Final Odds 5.70) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Small Town Shuffle (3.50) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - The Luther Burbank - # 2 Lady Valeur (Ire) (1.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 10 Tune to Win (9.70) - "A" Selection
You've seen this enough times to know how this works: had 'em all, but not all on any one ticket. Perhaps Urban Bourbon deserved better consideration in the opening leg; but how to justify including Urban Bourbon on the big ticket without also including # 1 Call Saul (3.90), the horse who had crossed the wire in front of him last time out? Of course, leaving that leg alone but upgrading Small Town Shuffle from a "B" Selection to an "A" Selection in the next contest would have had the same effect of turning a losing play into a winning one. But all these "what ifs" do nothing to change history, which will record that this was a day to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 3 / 2 / 10 were rewarded with a payout of $348.40 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - # 3 Small Town Shuffle (3.50) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - The Luther Burbank - # 2 Lady Valeur (Ire) (1.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 10 Tune to Win (9.70) - "A" Selection
You've seen this enough times to know how this works: had 'em all, but not all on any one ticket. Perhaps Urban Bourbon deserved better consideration in the opening leg; but how to justify including Urban Bourbon on the big ticket without also including # 1 Call Saul (3.90), the horse who had crossed the wire in front of him last time out? Of course, leaving that leg alone but upgrading Small Town Shuffle from a "B" Selection to an "A" Selection in the next contest would have had the same effect of turning a losing play into a winning one. But all these "what ifs" do nothing to change history, which will record that this was a day to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 6 / 3 / 2 / 10 were rewarded with a payout of $348.40 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
8/5/17 Santa Rosa Late Pick Four - Preview
The California Fair Circuit makes its way to Sonoma County; but note that (correcting what I wrote last weekend) the Gold Rush Pick Six does not travel with it. Sonoma County / Santa Rosa has a standard two dollar Pick Six; not a twenty cent jackpot. So the $22,085 currently sitting in the pool will rest easy for the next three weeks, until racing moves onto Humbolt County / Ferndale.
So, with no jackpot to shoot for, and a Pick Six minimum wager that would destroy my budget, I'll be taking a semi-vacation this weekend and focusing my energies on The Late Pick Four. And, quite frankly, it's not a bad little Pick Four at that. Turf racing is back, as seventy-five percent of the final four races will be run on some California grass, including The Luther Burbank Handicap. So with all that let's get to it, as I take a run at Wine Country Racing's Late Pick Four at Santa Rosa.
RACE 7 - Clm $16k N2X - Eight and a Half furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Thirty Pepperonis (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 7 Carville (ML 9-2)
C's
# 1 Call Saul (ML 3-1)
# 5 Undeniable U (ML 6-1)
# 6 Urban Bourbon (ML 5-1)
Thirty Pepperonis won by daylight two starts back, the last time that he competed on the lawn. Thirty Pepperonis will also be going first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.
Carville should move up with the return to turf. Call Saul and Urban Bourbon filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta last time out over the Gold Gate turf against slightly cheaper company. Undeniable U fits well here on class, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.
RACE 8 - Clm $6.25k N1Y - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 North Pacific (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 3 Small Town Shuffle (ML 7-2)
# 4 Outlook (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Royal Alexei (ML 5-2)
# 6 Jet Seeker (ML 6-1)
This contest is for three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming, and Starter contests for $5k or less.
North Pacific took the Place against open (no conditions) $6.25k claimers last time out. Small Town Shuffle missed the Winner's Circle by just a nose last time out against $6.25k N2Y company, with Outlook taking the Show behind him.
Royal Alexei is expected to be a pace presence early, and could be tough to catch if he gets loose on the lead. Jet Seeker ships in from downstate, and may appreciate the change of scenery.
RACE 9 - (F) The Luther Burbank $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Lady Valeur (Ire) (ML 2-1)
B's
# 1 Elegant Bel (ML 10-1)
# 3 Laseen (Ire) (ML 5-2)
# 8 Charming Starlet (ML 10-1)
# 9 Central Heat (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Lady Valeur (Ire) has demonstrated the ability to win at this level in the past, and is getting some serious class relief over her more recent starts. Elegant Bel and Central Heat are past winners of this event, in 2016 and 2015, respectively.
Laseen (Ire) fits well here on class, though she may need more distance to display her best. Charming Starlet appears to be in top form, and could be the one running best late.
RACE 10 - Md $25k - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Into Kings (ML 4-1)
# 4 River House (ML 7-2)
# 10 Tune to Win (ML 10-1)
B's
# 9 Patience Ofa Saint (ML 5-2)
C's
# 2 Cocktails At Six (ML 20-1)
# 3 Reno Johnny (ML 8-1)
Into Kings joins the barn of Trainer Jonathan Wong after taking the Show in each of his last two starts, both against classier competition downstate. River House, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, took the Place at this class level on the dirt last time out.
Tune to Win took the Place at this class level on the dirt last time out. Patience Ofa Saint fits well with the contenders here; but Patience Ofa Saint may need more distance to show her best. Cocktails At Six and Reno Johnny are a pair of first time starters whose breeding suggests that they should handle the turf well.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 1,4,10 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,7 with 2,3,4 with 1,2,3,8,9 with 1,4,9,10 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,5,6 with 2 with 2 with 1,4,10 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5,6 with 2 with 1,4,10 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 2,3 $1.00
Total: $71.50
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
So, with no jackpot to shoot for, and a Pick Six minimum wager that would destroy my budget, I'll be taking a semi-vacation this weekend and focusing my energies on The Late Pick Four. And, quite frankly, it's not a bad little Pick Four at that. Turf racing is back, as seventy-five percent of the final four races will be run on some California grass, including The Luther Burbank Handicap. So with all that let's get to it, as I take a run at Wine Country Racing's Late Pick Four at Santa Rosa.
RACE 7 - Clm $16k N2X - Eight and a Half furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Thirty Pepperonis (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 7 Carville (ML 9-2)
C's
# 1 Call Saul (ML 3-1)
# 5 Undeniable U (ML 6-1)
# 6 Urban Bourbon (ML 5-1)
Thirty Pepperonis won by daylight two starts back, the last time that he competed on the lawn. Thirty Pepperonis will also be going first off the claim for Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.
Carville should move up with the return to turf. Call Saul and Urban Bourbon filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta last time out over the Gold Gate turf against slightly cheaper company. Undeniable U fits well here on class, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.
RACE 8 - Clm $6.25k N1Y - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 North Pacific (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 3 Small Town Shuffle (ML 7-2)
# 4 Outlook (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Royal Alexei (ML 5-2)
# 6 Jet Seeker (ML 6-1)
This contest is for three year olds and upward that have not won a race in 2017, excluding Maiden races, and Claiming, and Starter contests for $5k or less.
North Pacific took the Place against open (no conditions) $6.25k claimers last time out. Small Town Shuffle missed the Winner's Circle by just a nose last time out against $6.25k N2Y company, with Outlook taking the Show behind him.
Royal Alexei is expected to be a pace presence early, and could be tough to catch if he gets loose on the lead. Jet Seeker ships in from downstate, and may appreciate the change of scenery.
RACE 9 - (F) The Luther Burbank $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Lady Valeur (Ire) (ML 2-1)
B's
# 1 Elegant Bel (ML 10-1)
# 3 Laseen (Ire) (ML 5-2)
# 8 Charming Starlet (ML 10-1)
# 9 Central Heat (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Lady Valeur (Ire) has demonstrated the ability to win at this level in the past, and is getting some serious class relief over her more recent starts. Elegant Bel and Central Heat are past winners of this event, in 2016 and 2015, respectively.
Laseen (Ire) fits well here on class, though she may need more distance to display her best. Charming Starlet appears to be in top form, and could be the one running best late.
RACE 10 - Md $25k - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Into Kings (ML 4-1)
# 4 River House (ML 7-2)
# 10 Tune to Win (ML 10-1)
B's
# 9 Patience Ofa Saint (ML 5-2)
C's
# 2 Cocktails At Six (ML 20-1)
# 3 Reno Johnny (ML 8-1)
Into Kings joins the barn of Trainer Jonathan Wong after taking the Show in each of his last two starts, both against classier competition downstate. River House, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, took the Place at this class level on the dirt last time out.
Tune to Win took the Place at this class level on the dirt last time out. Patience Ofa Saint fits well with the contenders here; but Patience Ofa Saint may need more distance to show her best. Cocktails At Six and Reno Johnny are a pair of first time starters whose breeding suggests that they should handle the turf well.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 1,4,10 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,7 with 2,3,4 with 1,2,3,8,9 with 1,4,9,10 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,5,6 with 2 with 2 with 1,4,10 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5,6 with 2 with 1,4,10 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 2,3 $1.00
Total: $71.50
Post Time for Race 7 is 7:18 EDT / 4:18 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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