Sunday, February 26, 2017

2/26/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Results

Race 6 - # 4 Incline Village (Final Odds 1.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 1 Kornwall (6.10) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Close the Show Lo (6.60) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 2 Big Adventure (1.30*) - "B" Selection

We thought enough of Kornwall in the second leg of the sequence to use him as a backup; had we thought more highly of Kornwall's chances, today would have been a day for us to collect instead of contribute.  But such was not to be.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 4 / 1 / 3 / 2 were rewarded with a payout of $265.60 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

2/26/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

The Golden Pick Six being hit for the second Saturday in a row yesterday makes for a nice excuse for us to again ease off the throttle a bit and give the jackpot a chance to grow.  So let's cut two from view and focus just on the final four events on the card today, as we take a run at The Late Pick Four at the place where the Bay comes to play.

RACE 6 - Clm $16k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Incline Village (Morning Line 2-1)

B’s

# 6 He's a Tiger (ML 9-2)
# 7 Midnight Bolt (ML 3-1)

C's

# 3 Oneandonlyloveman (ML 12-1)

Scratch # 2 Private Joke (ML 8-1)

Incline Village was within a length of the winner last time out against more expensive stock.  He's a Tiger just missed the Winner's Circle two starts back when facing classier competition.  Midnight Bolt, going third time off the layoff, drops in class after showing good early speed in each of his last two starts.  Oneandonlyloveman was victorious the last time that he competed at this class level.


RACE 7 - Clm $8k B - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Royal Alexei (ML 5-2)

B's

# 8 Nahem (ML 5-1)

C's

# 1 Kronwall (ML 10-1)
# 2 A Toast to You (ML 9-2)
# 6 Pete's Slew (ML 6-1)

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race since December 1, 2016; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

Excepting claiming and starter races for $6.25k or less; they don't count.

So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race.  If a horse has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have been since 12/1/2016 in order for the horse to be entered here.

Royal Alexei has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last three starts.  Nahem is cutting back from two turn racing; Trainer Bill McLean tends to do well with such.

Kronwall goes first off the claim for Trainer Bill Delia, who tends to do well with such.  A Toast to You has finished just behind Royal Alexei in each of his last two starts; perhaps today he can turn the tables.  Pete's Slew defeated cheaper last time out and could be ready to take another step forward.

RACE 8 - (F) OC 32k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 6 Flying Tee (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 1 Tiz a Tommy Town (ML 4-1)
# 3 Close the Show Lo (ML 5-1)

C's

# 9 Breakaway Dixie (ML 12-1)

Flying Tee was victorious each of the last two times that she competed at this class level.  Close the Show Lo and Tiz a Tommy Town took the Place and Show, respectively, last time out at this class level.  Breakaway Dixie took the Show the last time that she competed at this class level around two turns.

RACE 9 - (F) Md $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 She's Pretty Windy (ML 9-5)

B's

# 2 Big Adventure (ML 2-1)
# 5 Austria (ML 10-1)
# 7 Hellacious Hadlee (ML 3-1)

C's

None

She's Pretty Windy took the Show at this class level last time out.  Big Adventure ships in from downstate and could move up with the class drop.  Austria stretches out to two turns while dropping in class for her third career start.  Hellacious Hadlee may be settling for too many minor awards; but Hellacious Hadlee is the one that they'll have to catch if they want to win.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 4 with 4 with 6 with 1 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 4,6,7 with 4,8 with 1,3,6 with 1,2,5,7 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 3 with 4 with 6 with 1 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,2,6 with 6 with 1 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 4 with 9 with 1 $0.50

Total: $39.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:15 EST / 3:15 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Saturday, February 25, 2017

2/25/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Results

Race 4 - # 2 Everybody Does It (Final Odds 1.70*) - "B" Selection
Race 5 - # 7 Loma Cat (5.80) - "C" Selection
Race 6 - # 6 Cartoonist (9.10) - No Selection
Race 7 - # 3 Jury (6.00) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 7 Pepper Crown (7.20) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 8 Spanish Eyes (0.90*) - "A" Selection

We knew we were in trouble early, having hit the "ALL" button in the opening leg just to land on the Post Time Favorite.  Had we been more selective in that event we might have been able to go "ALL" in the third leg, which is about the only way we would have found the winner of that contest, Cartoonist, on our tickets.  But there's no point in being too hard on ourselves for missing the winning sequence, considering that everyone else missed it too.

Well, almost everyone.

Oh well; onto the next race.

And, yes, for the second Saturday in a row, the jackpot got scooped, as the correct Golden Pick Six sequence of  2 / 7 / 6 / 3 / 7 / 8  pays out $22,554.14 for a twenty cent wager to a single winning ticket holder.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

2/25/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Preview

We've come to the final Saturday in February; and that's all I've got by way of introduction.  So let's just get to it, as we take another run at The Golden Pick Six at the place where the Bay comes to play.

RACE 4 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 3 Karma Queen (Morning Line 5-2)
# 4 Dumont (ML 2-1)

B’s

# 1 Constant Craving (ML 15-1)
# 2 Everybody Does It (ML 9-5)

# 5 Thissideofheaven (ML 6-1)
# 6 Belle de France (ML 10-1)


C's

None

Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with one exemption, as runners get a pass for having one (and just one) win against winners, provided that win was for $16k or less.

The entire field for this event exits the same last out contest, where Dumont crossed under the wire a neck in front of Karma Queen.  Interestingly enough, the Morning Line Favorite for this race is Everybody Does It, who disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in that last out affair, taking the Show a little over a length behind Dumont.

In my opinion, there are two ways to use this leg of the sequence in our play: either presume that the top two finishers will repeat their efforts, and therefore just go two deep; or treat this like a deck of cards that has been reshuffled, where anything can happen this time around.  The reason why I have chosen the latter option is because I don't think any of the top finishers last time out proved themselves to be a true standout from the rest of the field; so the "ALL" button it is.

RACE 5 - Md $16k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Secret Prana (ML 5-2)

B's

# 3 Phenomena (ML 9-2)

C's

# 1 If Ur Not Early (ML 6-1)
# 7 Loma Cat (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 2 Become an Insider (ML 2-1)

Secret Prana drops in for a tag for the first time in his career.  Phenomena took the Place against more expensive stock last time out.  If Ur Not Early ships in from downstate, and could move up with the class drop.  Loma Cat projects to be the one that they'll have to catch.

RACE 6 - Clm $40k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Administer (ML 2-1)

B’s

# 3 Awesome Silver (ML 5-2)

C's

None

Administer won at this level last time out, and will try to do it again with an additional four pounds on his back.  Awesome Silver was a multi-time winner at this class level in 2016.

RACE 7 - Clm $3.2k N2Y - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 6 Mandala (ML 3-1)

B’s

# 3 Jury (ML 6-1)

C's

# 2 Man From Lagos (ML 7-2)
# 7 Weirdhaircut Seth (ML 5-2)

As long as you haven't won two races since New Year's Day 2016 (excepting maiden, claiming, and starter races for $2.5k or less; they don't count, so you could've won as many of those as you wanted) you're good to go under these conditions.

Mandala just missed by a nose at this class level last time out, with Man From Lagos crossing under the wire about three quarters of a length behind.  Jury, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, took the Place at this class level three starts back.  Weirdhaircut Seth quit early last time out; hard to tell if that's an anomaly, or a sign that Weirdhaircut Seth needs to spend some time on the sidelines.

RACE 8 - OC 32k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 6 Eagle Screams (ML 2-1)

B’s

# 2 Taelyns Prince (ML 9-2)
# 5 Street Lad (ML 6-1)

C's

# 8 Donji (ML 7-2)

Eagle Screams disappointed as the Post Time Favorite at this class level last time out, taking the Place a head behind the winner, with Taelyns Prince grabbing the Show behind him, and Donji completing the Superfecta.  Street Lad is the new shooter here, facing winners for the first time after winning by the length of the stretch last time out in his first try around two turns.

RACE 9 - Md $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 8 Spanish Eyes (ML 9-5)

B's

# 4 The Dandy Man Can (ML 2-1)

C's

# 3 Al's Harley (ML 15-1)

Spanish Eyes crossed under the wire first at this class level last time out, but was DQ'd back to third, behind The Dandy Man Can, who was moved up to second.  On paper, it looks like Spanish Eyes is the one that they'll have to catch.  Al's Harley was the pace setter last time out and ran out of gas; if Al's Harley can be taken back in the early going, he may be able to pull off the upset late.

OK, that's the analysis.  While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket.  While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected.  I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up.  So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 3,4 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 6 with 8 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: ALL with 3,4 with 3,4 with 3,6 with 2,5,6 with 4,8 $57.60

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 3,4 with 1,7 with 4 with 6 with 6 with 8 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 3,4 with 4 with 4 with 2,7 with 6 with 8 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 3,4 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 8 with 8 $0.40
$0.20 P6: 3,4 with 4 with 4 with 6 with 6 with 3 $0.40

Total: $62.00

Post Time for Race 4 is 5:14 EDT / 2:14 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Sunday, February 19, 2017

2/19/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Results

Race 6 - # 4 Percy's Bluff (Final Odds 2.90) - No Selection
Race 7 - # 7 Tentwelvefourteen (6.10) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Westley (1.40*) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - DEAD HEAT - # 4 Little Jack (2.50*) - "B" Selection / # 8 Rock 'n On Home (3.40) - "A" Selection

We thought in our preview that the final leg of the sequence was an extremely competitive affair, and having it end in a Dead Heat would seem to justify that assessment.  Unfortunately our assessments of the initial two legs of the sequence were significantly less justified, as we had no part of either winner, despite using more than half the field in each contest; thus making this a day for us to contribute instead of collect.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  4 / 7 / 1 / 4, 8  were rewarded with a payout of $94.55 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

2/19/17 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

The Golden Pick Six being hit Saturday on El Camino Real Derby Day makes for a nice excuse for us to ease off the throttle a bit, as it'll take a few cards before there's a jackpot of which to dream.  So let's cut two from view and focus just on the final four events on the card today, as we take a run at The Late Pick Four at the place where the Bay comes to play.

RACE 6 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 7 Mi Bouchon (ML 7-2)

B's

# 3 Mr Kerry Hara (ML 10-1)

C's

# 1 Letithappen (ML 3-1)
# 6 Brownie Finale (ML 6-1)

Races 6 and 8 are two divisions of the same contest, both carded with identical conditions and distance.

Mi Bouchon won under these conditions last time out, and gets to compete in this class again thanks to being a California bred runner.  Letithappen moves up the moves up the class ladder after defeating open $40k Claimers last time out.  The conditioners for Mi Bouchon and Letithappen (Bill Delia and Jeff Bonde, respectively) tend to do well when placing their last out runners.

Mr Kerry Hara tries winners for the first time after winning by daylight last time out.  The concern with Mr Kerry Hara is that last time out was back in September.  Brownie Finale got caught in a speed duel last time out, and could move up if he can relax early, as he has in the past.

RACE 7 - Alw 40000s N2X - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Code for Glory (ML 7-2)
# 4 Macho Marini (ML 8-5)

B’s

# 3 Boleo (ML 12-1)

C's

# 6 We Own the Night (ML 6-1)

Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career; but with an exception (N2X) as runners get a pass for having one win against winners, provided that win was for $16k or less.

Code for Glory took the Place at this class level both two and three starts back, each time crossing under the wire within a length of the winner.  Macho Marini took the Place while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite at this class level last time out.

Boleo could be the one running best late if it all falls apart on the front end.  We Own the Night goes first time for the barn of Trainer Jonathan Wong, who tends to do well with such.

RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 2 I'm Lock N Load (ML 9-2)

B's

# 1 Westley (ML 4-1)
# 6 Pulmarack (ML 3-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 5 An Khe Pass (ML 10-1)

Races 6 and 8 are two divisions of the same contest, both carded with identical conditions and distance.

I'm Lock N Load took the Place at this class level two starts back.  I'm Lock N Load could move up with the addition of blinkers, as Trainer Bill Delia tends to do well with such, and there isn't much in the way of early speed in this contest.

Westley took the Place at this class level last time out.  Pulmarack took the Show at this class level two starts back.  Pulmarack lost all chance at the start last time out, when he got squeezed coming out of the gate.

RACE 9 - Clm $4k B - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Trelawny (ML 9-2)
# 5 Pazmeifucan (ML 5-2)
# 8 Rock 'n On Home (ML 7-2)

B's

# 1 Peppered Pro (ML 20-1)
# 3 Sharp Hooq (ML 10-1)
# 4 Little Jack (ML 4-1)
# 6 Unbridled Fire (ML 15-1)
# 7 Dayjur Hooq (ML 9-2)


C's

None

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race since December 1, 2016; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

Excepting claiming and starter races for $3.5k or less; they don't count.

So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race.  If a horse has four career Wins or more, than none of those Wins could have been since 12/1/2016 in order for the horse to be entered here.

Trelawny defeated open $3.2k Claimers over this main track two starts back; and while today's claiming price is larger than that one, the fact that Trelawny's win came against open company rather than conditioned claimers makes this a step down on the class ladder.

Pazmeifucan two race experiment with the blinkers on is over, so he should move up just on that basis; but Pazmeifucan is also taking a big class drop today.  Rock 'n On Home showed good early speed against move expensive last time out.

The "B" Selections are everyone else.  We'll be punching the "ALL" Button on our big ticket for this contest, as this field seems to lack a clear standout, as well as attracting a larger than usual number of class droppers.  Good luck to those of you who will be chasing the Super High Five here.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 7 with 1,4 with 2 with 2,5,8 $6.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 1,3,4 with 1,2,6 with ALL $72.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,6 with 1,4 with 2 with 2,5,8 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 6 with 2 with 2,5,8 $1.50

Total: $85.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:15 EST / 3:15 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Saturday, February 18, 2017

2/18/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Results

Race 4 - # 1 Emmett Park (Final Odds 2.80) - "A" Selection
Race 5 - # 1 Paynes Prairie (1.60*) - "C" Selection
Race 6 - # 6 Lets Say Grace (15.30) - No Selection
Race 7 - The El Camino Real Derby - # 1 Zakaroff (48.80) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 6 Fervent Femme (4.20) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 11 The Natural (17.90) - No Selection

When a 15-1 shot is only the third highest priced winner in the sequence, you know that it was a day for chaos.  And there's no point in being too hard on ourselves for missing it on a day like today, especially considering that everyone else missed it too.

Well, almost everyone.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Yes, everybody minus one missed having the correct sequence today.  The one who didn't miss the correct Golden Pick Six sequence of  1 / 1 / 6 / 1 / 6 / 11  was rewarded with a payout of $240,030.54 for their twenty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

2/18/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Preview

The Road to the Kentucky Derby passes through Golden Gate Fields Saturday, as the Grade 3 El Camino Real Derby has its thirty-sixth running.  We'll be taking a look at that contest below, as we take another run at The Golden Pick Six at the place where the Bay comes to play.

RACE 4 - Clm $25k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Emmett Park (Morning Line 6-1)

B’s

# 2 Royal Banker (GB) (ML 5-2)
# 6 Indygo Bo (ML 2-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 3 Mr. Jay D (ML 3-1)

Emmett Park won by over two lengths the last time he competed at today's claiming price, which was three starts back.  Royal Banker (GB) and Indygo Bo (ML 2-1) filled out the Trifecta behind Lucky J Lane last time out under these conditions.

RACE 5 - Clm $20k N2X - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Stellar Sea (ML 8-1)
# 7 Betting McCann Can (ML 5-2)

B’s

None

C's

# 1 Paynes Prairie (ML 3-1)
# 2 Nightime Olympics (ML 7-2)
# 3 Gloria's Angelo (ML 8-1)


Note that certain editions of The Daily Racing Form's Past Performances (and perhaps others) have this contest as an N2L (non-winners of two lifetime); but this is in fact an N2X (non-winners of two lifetime other than....) as certain races (maiden, as well as claiming and starter races for $16k or less) are not considered when determining each runner's lifetime wins in accordance with the conditions.  Be aware that each entrant in this field, with the exception of Paynes Prairie, has visited the Winner's Circle multiple times.

Stellar Sea returns after an extended vacation to one turn racing, which he seems to prefer over routing.  Betting McCann Can has finished in the trifecta at this class level in each of his last two starts.

Paynes Prairie didn't show much last time out in his first start on the synthetic surface.  Paynes Prairie (as mentioned above) is also the only runner in this field to have not defeated winners.  But Paynes Prairie is dropping quite a bit in class, and Trainer Doug O'Neill has been doing quite well here with the runners that he ships in from SoCal.

Nightime Olympics was just a head behind Betting McCann Can at the wire last time out.  Gloria's Angelo may get a nice stalking trip here.

RACE 6 - Md $8k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 3 Awesome Run (ML 3-1)

B's

# 9 Italian Fling (ML 5-2)

C's

# 4 Seattle Smoke (ML 12-1)
# 10 Blitz and a Chair (ML 10-1)

Awesome Run took the Show at this class level last time out.  Italian Fling took the Place at this class level last time out, crossing under the wire a length and a half in front of the Show horse, Blitz and a Chair.  Expect Italian Fling to be leading the field out of the gate and (at least) most of the way.  Seattle Smoke could improve with the class drop, as well as the return to one turn racing.

RACE 7 - The El Camino Real Derby (Grade 3) - Nine Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 5 Sheer Flattery (ML 7-5)

B's

None

C's

# 2 More Power to Him (ML 6-1)
# 3 Ann Arbor Eddie (ML 2-1)
# 7 Kona Dreams (ML 8-1)


Sheer Flattery, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, took the Show in the Grade 3 Robert B Lewis at Santa Anita last time out.  Sheer Flattery appears to be a standout in this field; that is, provided that he handles the switch to the synthetic surface well.

More Power to Him took the Place in the California Derby over this main track last time out.  Ann Arbor Eddie has done all his winning against state bred company, though he did take the Show in the Grade 3 Bob Hope in December at Los Alamitos.  Kona Dreams, despite being a maiden, could be the speed of the speed here; especially with the blinkers being put back on.

RACE 8 - (F) ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 8 Meet Miss Kitty (ML 7-2)

B's

# 5 Calm the Sea (ML 5-1)
# 6 Fervent Femme (ML 3-1)

C's

# 3 Run for Retts (ML 9-2)

Scratch # 1 Claudia Mae (ML 8-1) and # 4 Rose Among Thorns (ML 6-1)

Meet Miss Kitty has taken the Place at this class level in each of her last three starts.  Calm the Sea, shipping in from downstate for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, has yet to finish out of the Trifecta in her three race career.  Fervent Femme, also shipping in from downstate, goes first time for the barn of Trainer John Martin, who tends to do well with such.  Run for Retts took the Show behind Meet Miss Kitty last time out.

RACE 9 - Clm $4k N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Star Express (ML 3-1)
# 6 My Son John (ML 7-2)
# 10 Gato Pimiento (ML 5-1)


B’s

# 1 Continental Song (ML 9-2)
# 12 H R Express (ML 10-1)
# 13 Keeping the Faith (ML 4-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 2 Time On the Run (ML 20-1) and # 9 Heroes for Ghosts (ML 20-1).  Bring in # 13 Keeping the Faith off the Also Eligible list.

Note that, unlike Race 5, this is legitimately an N2L contest, as each of the entrants in this field has visited the Winner's Circle just one time apiece.

Star Express has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last two starts.  My Son John took the Place against more expensive stock last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite.  Gato Pimiento took the Place at this class level last time out; and while last time out was last May for Gato Pimiento, Trainer Steve Miyadi tends to do well with those returning from an extended vacation.

Continental Song fits well at this level, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.  H R Express could be the speed of the speed here.  Keeping the Faith goes first time for Trainer Jonathan Wong, who tends to do well with such.

OK, that's the analysis.  While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket.  While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected.  I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up.  So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 1 with 4,7 with 3 with 5 with 8 with 4,6,10 $6.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 1,2,6 with 4,7 with 3,9 with 5 with 5,6,8 with 1,4,6,10,12,13 $43.20

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 1 with 1,2,3 with 3 with 5 with 8 with 4,6,10 $1.80
$0.20 P6: 1 with 4,7 with 4,10 with 5 with 8 with 4,6,10 $2.40
$0.20 P6: 1 with 4,7 with 3 with 2,3,7 with 8 with 4,6,10 $3.60
$0.20 P6: 1 with 4,7 with 3 with 5 with 3 with 4,6,10 $1.20

Total: $58.20

Post Time for Race 4 is 5:14 EDT / 2:14 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Sunday, February 12, 2017

2/12/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Preview

“That some achieve great success, is proof to all that others can achieve it as well.” - Abraham Lincoln

As I don't have anything of substance to add to the above quote on this, the anniversary of the birth of the sixteenth President of the United States, let's just get to it, as we take another run at The Golden Pick Six at the place where the Bay comes to play.

RACE 4 - Alw 4000s - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Papa George (Morning Line 6-5)

B’s

None

C's

# 1 Saint Adalbert (ML 2-1)
# 4 Preacher's Bluff (ML 3-1)


Note that, unlike most Stater Allowances run in the state of California, there is no career Win restriction for entry into this contest.  Any runner four years old and upward that has started for a claiming price of $4k or less last year or this year is eligible to enter.

Papa George looks almost like a ringer in this field, his only defeat in five career contests coming last time out when he took the Place against much stiffer competition than he will be facing here.  Saint Adalbert was victorious at this class level last time out, with Preacher's Bluff taking the Place a length and a quarter behind him.

RACE 5 - (F) Md $12.5k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 5 Hillside Queen (ML 7-2)

B's

# 3 Miss Show Stopper (ML 5-2)
# 4 Keihl Crissia (ML 2-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 2 Jesstastic (ML 6-1)

Miss Show Stopper is a first time starter sired by Hold Me Back, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.  Keihl Crissia looks to be the best of the experienced runners here, but Keihl Crissia's inability to finish in the Trifecta in her two prior tries at this class level is troubling.  Hillside Queen, who disappointed as the Post Time Favorite at this class level last time out, projects to be the quickest early; even more so today as Hillside Queen will be donning the hood for the first time.

RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 5 Baruch (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 1 Rainbow North (ML 3-1)

C's

# 3 Mojo Street (ML 8-5)
# 4 Motoring Around (ML 4-1)


Baruch won at this class level two starts back, with Motoring Around taking the Place behind him.  Last time out Baruch faced much stiffer competition in the form of open $16k claimers, and was not embarrassed.

Rainbow North gets some class relief and could be speed on the rail.  Mojo Street enters this contest with a two race winning streak, albeit against much weaker competition.

RACE 7 - Md $8k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Pop Pop's Pizza (ML 4-1)
# 7 Hopesky (ML 8-5)

B's

None

C's

# 4 Silver Chrome (ML 3-1)

Pop Pop's Pizza ships in from downstate, where he has four times taken the Place against more expensive stock.  Pop Pop's Pizza will be going first time for the barn of Trainer Steve Miyadi, who tends to do well with such.

Hopesky missed graduation by just a neck last time out at this class level.  Silver Chrome has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in two of his last three races, and will be trying to prove today that the eighteenth time is the charm.

RACE 8 - Clm $25k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Incline Village (ML 7-5)
# 5 Holdthismiss (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 1 Midnight Destiny (ML 10-1)
# 3 Native Treasure (ML 5-1)

C's

None

Incline Village defeated classier competition by daylight last time out; though the drop in for a tag after such an effort is a concern.  Holdthismiss drops in class while returning from a six month vacation; but the bullet workouts that Holdthismiss has been posting suggests that he'll be ready to fire today.

Midnight Destiny misses by less than a length of entering this contest with a three race winning streak, albeit against weaker opposition.  Native Treasure took the Place at this class level last time out.

RACE 9 - MSW - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 3 J C's Nightcap (ML 7-2)

B's

# 5 Pamper Me Now (ML 2-1)
# 6 Crawford's Glove (ML 3-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 4 Silken Chief (ML 6-1)

J C's Nightcap has twice finished in the Trifecta at this class level.  Note also that J C's Nightcap tends to improve in his second start off the layoff line.  Pamper Me Now and Crawford's Glove are both making their second career start, and could improve with the experience.

OK, that's the analysis.  While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket.  While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected.  I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up.  So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 2 with 5 with 5 with 2,7 with 4,5 with 3 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 2 with 3,4,5 with 1,5 with 2,7 with 1,3,4,5 with 3,5,6 $28.80

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 1,4 with 5 with 5 with 2,7 with 4,5 with 3 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 2 with 5 with 3,4 with 2,7 with 4,5 with 3 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 2 with 5 with 5 with 4 with 4,5 with 3 $0.40

Total: $36.40

Post Time for Race 4 is 5:14 EDT / 2:14 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Saturday, February 11, 2017

2/11/17 Golden Gate Fields Golden Pick 6 - Preview

Back we go to upstate California for this weekend's action.  The current plan regarding the immediate future is to keep our weekend action in the Bay Area; certainly for the remainder of the month of February.  In fact, let's go further; one weekend further, to be precise; and state that, Good Lord willing, the plan for this blog is to focus its weekend action on Golden Gate Fields from now until Big Cap Day at Santa Anita (Saturday, March 11).  So with that bit of scheduling out of the way, let's get to it, as we take another run at The Golden Pick Six at the place where the Bay comes to play.

RACE 4 - Clm $6.25k B - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Sizzlin' Joe (Morning Line 6-5)

B's

# 3 Underwrite (ML 15-1)

C's

# 5 Bay Area (ML 7-5)

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race since December 1, 2016; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as a horse has fewer than four career Wins, he's eligible to run in this race.  If a horse has four or more career Wins, then none of those Wins could have come since 12/1/2016 in order for the horse to be entered here.

Sizzlin' Joe missed the Winner's Circle by less than a length last time out against classier competition.  Underwrite looks to be the quickest in this field, and could steal it on the front end.  Bay Area could wake up with the class drop.

RACE 5 - (F) Md $8k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 5 Sarumba (ML 5-2)

B's

# 2 Willie's Angel (ML 15-1)
# 3 One Afleet Star (ML 7-5)

C's

# 7 Intwo Mypossession (ML 6-1)

Sarumba took the Place at this class level two starts back, and could be the one running best late.  Willie's Angel took the Show in her debut last time out against more expensive; however, that last time out was over seventeen months ago.

One Afleet Star has failed as the Post Time Favorite at this class level in two of her last three starts.  Intwo Mypossession could improve with the drop in class.

RACE 6 - MSW - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Pageau (ML 7-2)
# 5 Kaluha (ML 3-1)

B's

None

C's

# 1 General Strelnikov (ML 6-1)
# 2 Black Sona (ML 8-1)
# 3 Mini Bar (ML 4-1)
# 6 Arch Kisser (ML 2-1)

Arch Kisser is the only one of the experienced runners in this field to have ever finished in the money at this class level.  It's also worth noting that all of the experienced runners in this field made their respective debuts versus weaker company.  Finally, the experienced runners all seem devoid of early speed.  For those reasons I've placed the two first time starters at the top of our ticket, and have decided to let the fate of our big ticket rest with them.

RACE 7 - Clm $3.2k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Barrel Knot (ML 9-2)
# 5 Trelawny (ML 2-1)

B's

# 1 Bargaining (ML 12-1)
# 2 One More Roll (ML 3-1)
# 3 Himalaya Star (ML 9-2)
# 6 Go Mojave Go (ML 4-1)
# 7 Broderick Street (ML 20-1)

C's

None

Trelawny won at this class level last time out against several that are also in this field.  Barrel Knot seems to be the best of the new shooters.  As regards our big ticket it's everyone into the pool, as Trelawny's win was not all that convincing, and all runners here show in their respective forms recent failures as the Post Time Favorite; which suggests that they all have a tendency to just mail it in on days when they should be getting their picture taken.

RACE 8 - (F) The California Oaks $50k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 9 Simmy's Temple (ML 5-1)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Tap It All (ML 5-2)
# 3 Tapped (ML 7-5)

Simmy's Temple was victorious by three quarters of a length over Tapped last Fall in the Pike Place Dancer, the only time that either of these two runners have competed on a synthetic surface in their respective careers.  In my mind, Tap It All and Tapped may be at least the equal to Simmy's Temple; perhaps even better, on the turf; but not on synthetic.  If this contest was being held on the lawn then my ranking of these three contenders would no doubt be different; but on the fake stuff I think Simmy's Temple's edge over the other two is clear; and for that reason I decided to make Simmy's Temple our big ticket single.

RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 Reginella (ML 4-1)

B's

# 9 Irish Luck (ML 6-1)
# 11 Arabesque (ML 7-2)


C's

None

Scratch # 3 Alliford Bay (ML 9-2)

Reginella took the Place at this class level last time out.  Irish Luck could move up with the cutback to one turn racing.  Arabesquein has taken the Place at this class level in three of his four career starts over this main track.

OK, that's the analysis.  While this is a jackpot wager, we won't be putting all our selections on one ticket.  While we still hold out hope that this could be the luckiest day of our lives, budgetary constraints must be respected.  I think it's also safe to presume that our "A" Selections won't form the basis of a unique ticket, so we should be safe in pressing those up.  So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P6: 4 with 5 with 4,5 with 4,5 with 9 with 1 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P6: 3,4 with 2,3,5 with 4,5 with ALL with 9 with 1,9,11 $50.40

A's with One C

$0.20 P6: 5 with 5 with 4,5 with 4,5 with 9 with 1 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 4 with 7 with 4,5 with 4,5 with 9 with 1 $0.80
$0.20 P6: 4 with 5 with 1,2,3,6 with 4,5 with 9 with 1 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 4 with 5 with 4,5 with 4,5 with 1,3 with 1 $1.60

Total: $59.20

Post Time for Race 4 is 5:14 EDT / 2:14 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Sunday, February 5, 2017

2/5/17 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results

Race 5 - # 3 Changing Karma (Final Odds 12.00) - No Selection
Race 6 - The Las Virgenes - # 4 Unique Bella (0.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 7 Papacoolpapacool (6.70) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 10 Potente Alba (1.70*) - "B" Selection

So Unique Bella really is that good.  Good to know.  Oh, and if you let me go back and re-handicap the opening leg, I'm still not sure that I could find a reason to put Changing Karma on our tickets.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  3 / 4 / 7 / 10  were rewarded with a payout of $313.50 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

2/5/17 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

We're off to an early start today, as Post Times have been moved up so as to have all races complete prior to the kickoff of Super Bowl LI.  So with that let's sprint out of the gate as well, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 5 - Clm $8k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Swiss Cheese (Morning Line 9-2)

B’s

# 1 Lucky Mark (ML 3-1)
# 6 Pat the Bear (ML 7-2)
# 9 Swiss Wager (ML 9-2)

C's

# 2 Second Proposal (ML 7-2)

Swiss Cheese returns off a two month freshening for Trainer Bob Hess Jr, who tends to do well with such.  Lucky Mark has finished in the Exacta four of the five times in his career that he has competed on a fast dirt track.  Pat the Bear took the Place at this class level two starts back.  Swiss Wager could be the speed of the speed in this one.

Second Proposal probably should be charging down the hill rather than sprinting on the dirt; but Second Proposal must be respected because of the huge drop in class.  Perhaps someone will scoop us Second Proposal for the eight grand and move him back to the turf.

RACE 6 - (F) The Las Virgenes (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Champagne Room (ML 5-2)
# 4 Unique Bella (ML 3-5)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Mopotism (ML 6-1)
# 5 Miss Southern Miss (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 3 Mistressofthenight (ML 15-1)

Yes, I know Unique Bella is supposed to be this year's Songbird and that she won the Grade 2 Santa Yzez by the length of the stretch and gee, can't I see that 3-5 Morning Line?  Yeah, well, maybe she is all that; maybe she's all that and more; but for now, I'm going to also use the runner here that has two Graded Stakes wins, including one around two turns over this main track against some pretty fair company.  Oh, and Mopotism and Miss Southern Miss also go on the ticket as backups, because in a four horse Graded Stakes race, if you're not using just one, then you might as well use all.

RACE 7 - OC 75k/C - Nine Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 1 Hayabusa One (Fr) (ML 7-2)
# 7 Papacoolpapacool (ML 5-1)

B’s

# 5 Prospect Park (ML 4-1)

C's

# 6 Gustnado (ML 6-1)
# 9 Power Foot (ML 6-1)


Hayabusa One (Fr) has turned in two solid performances since coming to North America, and should appreciate the class relief.  Papacoolpapacool and Prospect Park should both improve with the return to the turf course.

Gustnado closed well to win at this distance over this turf course last time out; but there may not be enough pace for Gustnado to chase today.  Power Foot could improve with the drop in class.

RACE 8 - [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 Lil Awecim (ML 7-2)

B's

# 5 Vidaks Back (ML 15-1)
# 9 Two Hail Marys (ML 4-1)
# 10 Potente Alba (ML 5-2)

C's

# 2 Tony Blackjack (ML 6-1)
# 6 Patience Ofa Saint (ML 12-1)
# 8 Candy's Martini (ML 12-1)


Scratch # 11 Edwards Going Left (ML 8-1)

Lil Awecim took the Place at this class level in his debut two starts back.  Vidaks Back showed good early speed in his debut last time out.  Two Hail Marys is a first time starter who has been working well over this main track.

Potente Alba has finished in the Trifecta in each of her three career starts at this class level.  Tony Blackjack is a first time starter who seems to be well bred for today's distance.  Patience Ofa Saint showed good early speed in his debut last time out.  Candy's Martini is a debut runner sired by Marino Marini, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 4 with 2,4 with 1,7 with 7 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,4,6,9 with 2,4 with 1,5,7 with 5,7,9,10 $48.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2 with 2,4 with 1,7 with 7 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,5 with 1,7 with 7 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2,4 with 6,9 with 7 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2,4 with 1,7 with 2,6,8 $6.00

Total: $64.00

Post Time for Race 5 is 3:58 EST / 12:58 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Saturday, February 4, 2017

2/4/17 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results

Race 6 - # 8 Fabozzi (Final Odds 7.10) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Avicii (2.70) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - The San Antonio - # 1 Hoppertunity (2.50) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - The San Marcos - # 11 Isotherm (7.60) - No Selection

Back on October 12, 2013 Jockey Corey Nakatani swept The Late Pick Four at Santa Anita, getting his picture taken after each contest, without having been on the Post Time Favorite in any one of the four races.  Saturday, Jockey Flavien Prat turned that same trick.  Unfortunately for us, our tickets only had Prat's horse as the selection for three of those four events, thus making it a day for us to contribute instead of collect.

Oh well; onto the next race.

For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the two runners to which we were alive in the finale:

# 5 Texas Ryano (2.20*) - $152.85 - Finish: 6th
# 12 Hi Happy (Arg) (5.30) - $609.20 - Finish: 4th

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  8 / 6 / 1 / 11  were rewarded with a payout of $421.45 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

2/4/17 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

As expected, Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner Classic Empire's return to racing has scared away a significant number of runners from today's Kentucky Derby prep.  What wasn't expected was that those runners were scared away from the Robert B Lewis at Santa Anita, since Classic Empire is making his return in the Holy Bull at Gulfstream Park.  But all that is just a secondary concern to us, as we focus on the final four races on the Santa Anita card as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 6 - OC 62k/C - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 2 Play Hard to Get (Morning Line 5-1)
# 12 Gangster (ML 6-1)

B’s

# 5 Zip the Monkey (ML 15-1)
# 6 Path of David (ML 6-1)
# 8 Fabozzi (ML 6-1)
# 9 Curlin Rules (ML 7-2)

C's

# 10 Kenjistorm (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 11 Hoffenheim (ML 8-1) and # 14 Sugar Buzz (ML 15-1).  Bring in # 13 Sawyer's Hill (ML 8-1) off the Also Eligible list.

Play Hard to Get gets some class relief for his 2017 debut, and there should be enough pace in here for him to chase.  The only concern for Play Hard to Get is if eight furlongs is enough real estate for him to shift into his highest gear.

Gangster and Zip the Monkey are two that could benefit from the cutback in distance.  Path of David gets some much needed class relief.  Fabozzi moves up in class after winning by daylight last time out.  Kenjistorm goes first time for the barn of Richard Baltas, who tends to do well with such.

Curlin Rules would rate much higher in my book if he wasn't adding blinkers today, as the one prior race in which Curlin Rules wore the hood resulted in the worst defeat of his career.  But that contest was also the only time that Curlin Rules tried Graded Stakes company, so it's possible that the equipment change wasn't to blame.

RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/C - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Plane Lucky (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 2 Calm the Sea (ML 7-2)
# 6 Avicii (ML 3-1)

C's

None

Plane Lucky took the Place at this approximate class level last time out, with Calm the Sea taking the Show behind him.  Calm the Sea could move up today going second off the freshening for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, who tends to do well with such.  Avicii goes first off the claim for Trainer Peter Miller, who's been winning everything in sight of late.

RACE 8 - The San Antonio (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Hoppertunity (ML 2-1)

B's

# 4 El Huerfano (ML 12-1)
# 7 Accelerate (ML 5-2)


C's

# 5 Mor Spirit (ML 3-1)
# 6 Dalmore (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 3 Prospect Park (ML 10-1)

Hopportunity's poor outing last time out in the Grade 1 Clark could be the start of an inevitable decline; or it could be just a one off poor performance from which he will no doubt rebound.  Needless to say, my opinion rests with the latter rather than the former, which is one reason why Hoppertunity sits atop my selections for this contest.  But the primary reason why I have Hoppertunity as an "A" Selection here is because, even if he's not at his best, Hoppertunity is clearly the best horse in this field.

El Huerfano could be the speed of the speed here, and could steal it on the front end if today's distance proves to be insufficient to allow Hoppertunity to hit his best stride.  Accelerate could find himself with a good stalking trip, getting first run at the early leaders.

Mor Spirit, the "other" Baffert, tries older opponents for the first time.  Dalmore took the Show behind Accelerate in the Grade 2 San Pasquale last time out.

RACE 9 - The San Marcos (Grade 2) - Ten Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 5 Texas Ryano (ML 3-1)
# 12 Hi Happy (Arg) (ML 10-1)

B's

None

C's

# 1 A Red Tie Day (ML 15-1)
# 2 Flamboyant (Fr) (ML 4-1)
# 3 Itsinthepost (Fr) (ML 12-1)

Scratch # 4 Blue Tone (ML 12-1); # 7 Gustnado (ML 20-1); # 9 Conquest Daddyo (ML 12-1); # 10 Some in Tieme (Brz) (ML 15-1); and # 14 Frank Consequence (ML 6-1)

Texas Ryano won the Grade 2 Hollywood Turf Cup by as many as he wanted to last time out.  Hi Happy (Arg) could improve off his North American debut with the increase in real estate.

A Red Tie Day has enough early foot that he could find himself with a nice rail trip here.  Flamboyant (Fr) won last year's running of this event.  Itsinthepost (Fr) could get a nice stalking trip here, with first run at the early leaders.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 2,12 with 5 with 1 with 5,12 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,5,6,8,9,12 with 2,5,6 with 1,4,7 with 5,12 $54.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 10 with 5 with 1 with 5,12 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 2,12 with 5 with 5,6 with 5,12 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 2,12 with 5 with 1 with 1,2,3 $3.00

Total: $66.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo