Sunday, August 26, 2018

8/26/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Results

Race 7 - # 8 Surrender Now (Final Odds 1.90*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 9 Distinctive B (2.10*) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - The Torrey Pines - # 11 True Royalty (8.60) - "C" Selection
Race 10 - # 12 Catch Fire (2.70*) - "B" Selection

Jockey Drayden Van Dyke, who has been lights out in stakes when teamed with Trainer John Sadler this meet, showed the benefits of avoiding traffic in Sunday's Torrey Pines; as True Royalty simply went wide throughout, bypassing all the roughhousing that occurred on the inside, and thus easily winning by over three lengths.  Unfortunately for me, congestion considerations did not factor into my handicapping of this contest, so Sunday became a day for me to contribute instead of collect.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  8 / 9 / 11 / 12  were rewarded with a payout of $247.75 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

8/26/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Preview

The Grade 3 Torrey Pines, a two turn contest for three year old fillies, is Sunday's featured race in Southern California.  I'll be taking a look at that event below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 7 (F) - OC 100k B - Five Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 8 Surrender Now (Morning Line 7-2)

B’s

# 3 Mongolian Shopper (ML 15-1)
# 4 Fizzy Friday (ML 8-1)
# 6 Go On Mary (ML 3-1)

C's

# 5 Algorhythmic (ML 10-1)
# 7 Symposium (GB) (ML 10-1)
# 9 Deer Valley (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 1 Desert Steel (ML 15-1) and # 2 Rubilinda (ML 5-2)

This contest is restricted to distaff runners which have either:

1) Never won $10k three times, excluding Maiden, Claiming, Starter, or State Bred races; OR
2) Which have never won four races; OR
3) Which have not won $50k since November 21, 2017; OR
4) Are willing to run with a $100k price tag on their head.

For the record, none of the runners in this field are entered to be claimed.

Surrender Now goes second off the layoff after visiting the Winner's Circle last time out; Trainer Peter Miller, who is having a typical Peter Miller Del Mar meet, tends to be successful with both of those angles.

Go On Mary and Mongolian Shopper were first and third in the Daisycutter Handicap last time out.  Fizzy Friday fits well here on class, and appears quick enough to handle the five furlong distance.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 8 - OC 40k/N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Mo Soul (ML 15-1)

B’s

# 3 Make It a Triple (ML 5-1)
# 7 Acceptance (ML 12-1)
# 9 Distinctive B (ML 7-2)

C's

# 10 Jungle Warfare (ML 8-1)
# 11 Paddock Pick (ML 6-1)


Scratch # 5 Street Vision (ML 9-2) and # 8 More Honor (No Line)

Mo Soul returns from a nearly two year layoff; but his works over this main track suggests that Mo Soul is ready to roll.  Make It a Triple closed well last time out while taking the scenic route around this main track.  Acceptance can win today if he can replicate either of his performances from the last two times that he sprinted over a Fast dirt track.

Distinctive B fits well here on class, and has run well in the past over this main track.  Jungle Warfare could improve getting off the grass.  Paddock Pick graduated last time out, and may have finally figured out what this racing stuff is all about.

RACE 9 - (F) The Torrey Pines (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Thirteen Squared (ML 3-1)

B's

# 5 Well Hello (ML 10-1)
# 9 Just Grazed Me (ML 5-2)

C's

# 3 Spring Lily (ML 8-1)
# 4 Lemoona (ML 7-2)
# 7 Aunt Lubie (ML 20-1)
# 11 True Royalty (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 8 Wicked Storm (ML 20-1)

Thirteen Squared, trained by Bob Baffert, took the Place in the Grade 2 Summertime Oaks last time out.  Well Hello, who gains the services of Jockey Mike Smith, seems to have the breeding to handle the switch to two turn racing.  Just Grazed Me, trained by Phil D'Amato, has run well enough in each of her two prior starts to suggest that she can handle the class move up to open stakes company.

Spring Lily is probably better suited to sprinting; but as a daughter of Union Rags, Spring Lily deserves another shot at route racing.  Lemoona has proven on both coasts that she can handle today's distance.  Aunt Lubie was much improved last time out with the blinkers added.  True Royalty could get a nice stalking trip with the far outside draw.

RACE 10 - Md $20k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 13 Street Zombie (ML 4-1)

B's

# 7 Russell Drake (ML 15-1)
# 8 Fast Cotton (ML 6-1)
# 12 Catch Fire (ML 7-2)

C's

# 3 Supreme Giant (ML 9-2)
# 6 Flynn (ML 5-1)
# 10 Katie's Cowboy (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 1 Victor's Show (No Line) and # 14 Serve Me a Double (ML 15-1)

Street Zombie took the Show while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite at this class level last time out.  Russell Drake is a first time starter who appears well meant in this spot.  Fast Cotton could move up off the class drop.  Catch Fire took the Show at this class level last time out.

Supreme Giant, talented enough to win at this level, will be trying to prove that the twenty-seventh time is the charm.  Flynn and Katie's Cowboy are two that could move up with the class drop.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 8 with 6 with 2 with 13 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,4,6,8 with 3,6,7,9 with 2,5,9 with 7,8,12,13 $96.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 5,7,9 with 6 with 2 with 13 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 8 with 10,11 with 2 with 13 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 6 with 3,4,7,11 with 13 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 6 with 2 with 3,6,10 $1.50

Total: $103.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:05 EDT / 5:05 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Saturday, August 25, 2018

8/25/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Results

Race 7 - The Pat O'Brien - # 1 Catalina Cruiser (Final Odds 0.20*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 7 Regal Born (5.70) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - DEAD HEAT # 1 Kona Coast (3.30) - "B" Selection / # 5 Shirl's Ready (12.00) - "C" Selection
Race 10 - # 6 Novio (Ire) 2.70 - "A" Selection

Hindsight being twenty-twenty, the doubling of the cost of the big ticket with the inclusion of # 8 Battle of Midway (2.60) along with Catalina Cruiser in the Pat O'Brien was an error; but I still feel that move was justified, as Battle of Midway's poor start created an unforeseen circumstance that, had it not occurred, could have altered the outcome of that event.  Anyway, good Lord willing these two will have their rematch in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile this Fall.

For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other three runners to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:

# 4 Paladar (5.00) - $140.60 Finish: 10th
# 8 Henry County (5.70) - $105.00 Finish: 6th
# 10 Sellwood (2.30*) - $56.65 Finish: 2nd

But that's what might have been.  What actually came to be was a correct Late Pick Four sequence of  1 / 7 / 1,5 / 6  which paid $64.05 for a fifty cent wager; significantly less than my initial investment of $97.  So while I cashed Saturday, I certainly didn't win.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

8/25/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Preview

The Grade 2 Pat O'Brien is Saturday's featured race in Southern California; though the event has lost quite a bit of luster this year, as half the field has opted out of the running.  Regardless, I'll be looking at that contest below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 7 - The Pat O'Brien (Grade 2) - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Catalina Cruiser (Morning Line 8-5)

B's

# 8 Battle of Midway (ML 8-1)

C's

# 2 Vorticity (ML 20-1)
# 3 Threefiveindia (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 4 Roy H (ML 3-1); # 5 Ransom the Moon (ML 5-2); # 6 Horse Greedy (ML 20-1); # 7 St. Joe Bay (ML 10-1)

Shame that this one got gutted by scratches; but you play the hand you're dealt.  Catalina Cruiser, winner of the Grade 2 San Diego by as many as he wanted last time out, looks best here.  Battle of Midway is making his first start since winning the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile last year over this main track; and while Battle of Midway looks like he's ready to pick up where he left off last Fall, seven furlongs is probably not his best distance.  The two backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 8 - OC 40k/N1X - Five Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 6 Smiling Angelo (ML 3-1)

B’s

# 3 Ride to the Wire (ML 10-1)
# 4 Cats Blame (ML 6-1)
# 7 Regal Born (ML 9-2)
# 9 Circus Act (ML 8-1)

C's

# 1 Facts Matter (ML 6-1)
# 2 Placido (ML 4-1)
# 5 Stylistics United (ML 30-1)
# 8 My Heart Awakens (ML 20-1)
# 10 Lauren's Lad (ML 8-1)

Scratch the Also Eligibles, # 11 What'sontheagenda (ML 8-1) and # 12 Eskimo Roses (ML 7-2)

Smiling Angelo has been running well enough for Trainer Phil D'Amato that he should handle the move up from state bred to open company; and Smiling Angelo's breeding suggests that he should do fine with the move to the lawn.

Ride to the Wire and Cats Blame are two that could benefit from the cutback in distance.  Regal Born has run well in the past when competing at today's distance.  Circus Act took the Place in his first try on the turf at this class level last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - Clm $20k N3L - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Taniko (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 1 Kona Coast (ML 4-1)
# 7 Run Like Rhett (ML 3-1)
# 8 Bourque (ML 20-1)

C's

# 2 Pappou (ML 6-1)
# 3 We Go Now (ML 10-1)
# 4 Plum Daddy (ML 10-1)
# 5 Shirl's Ready (ML 6-1)
# 9 Premium Forest (ML 15-1)

Taniko goes first off the claim for Trainer Doug O'Neill, who tends to do well with such.  Kona Coast, also trained by O'Neill, could move up with the class drop.  Run Like Rhett fits well at this class level, though Run Like Rhett tends to settle for too many minor awards.  Bourque could improve going third off the layoff.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 10 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Noivo (Ire) (ML 3-1)
# 10 Sellwood (ML 5-2)

B's

# 4 Paladar (ML 5-1)
# 8 Henry County (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Breakers Isle (ML 12-1)
# 2 Pointed (ML 20-1)
# 3 Cupid's Claws (ML 8-1)
# 5 Malibu Magic (ML 20-1)
# 7 Cold Brew Kid (ML 30-1)
# 9 Blitzkrieg (ML 12-1)

Novio (Ire) and Sellwood each took the Place in separate contests at this class level last time out.  Paladar could improve with the move to the turf.  Henry County could move up going second off the layoff.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1 with 6 with 6 with 6,10 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,8 with 3,4,6,7,9 with 1,6,7,8 with 4,6,8,10 $80.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,3 with 6 with 6 with 6,10 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 1,2,5,8,10 with 6 with 6,10 $5.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 6 with 2,3,4,5,9 with 6,10 $5.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 6 with 6 with 1,2,3,5,7,9 $3.00

Total: $97.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:05 EDT / 5:05 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Sunday, August 19, 2018

8/19/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Results

Race 7 - # 10 Sunrise Royale (Final Odds 17.00) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Del Mar Mile - # 1 Catapult (5.20) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Policy (0.90*) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - # 1 Ohio (Brz) (3.80) - "C" Selection

Ultimately, there just wasn't enough of Jockey Drayden Van Dyke on the big ticket.  Congrats to Van Dyke on his seven wins on the day, tying a record also held by Jockey Victor Espinoza.

Oh well; onto the next race.

For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the three runners to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:

# 3 Secreto Primero (4.40) - $1,086.80 Finish: 3rd
# 5 Dano’s Dream (12.90) - $3,462.85 Finish: 9th
# 7 Rapid Red (6.10) - $1,692.35 Finish: 4th

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  10 / 1 / 5 / 1  were rewarded with a payout of $1,035.20 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

8/19/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Preview

The Grade 2 Del Mar Mile is Sunday's featured race in Southern California.  I'll be looking at that event below, as well as a pair of contests for California bred non-Claiming Maidens, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 7 - (F) [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Paprika (Morning Line 7-2)
# 8 Coco Kisses (ML 4-1)
# 10 Sunrise Royale (ML 10-1)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Desired Edge (ML 3-1)
# 3 Minister'smistretss (ML 20-1)
# 7 Zillinda (ML 12-1)
# 11 I'm Sassy (ML 10-1)

Paprika has taken the Place in each of her three career races, and Trainer Leonard Powell tends to do well when taking his runners off the lawn.  Coco Kisses took the Place at this class level last time out over this main track.  Sunrise Royale disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out; Trainer Eric Kruljac tends to do well with such.

Desired Edge was quick early in her debut last time out, and could benefit from the reduction in real estate.  Minister'smistress appears best of the three first time starters.  Zillinda could improve with the return to the main track.  I'm Sassy took the Place at this class level last time out.

RACE 8 - The Del Mar Mile (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 13 Hunt (Ire) (ML 6-1)

B's

# 1 Catapult (ML 9-2)
# 4 Sharp Samurai (ML 7-2)
# 6 Bowies Hero (ML 8-1)

C's

# 10 Om (ML 12-1)
# 12 Next Shares (ML 20-1)

Hunt (Ire), winner of the Grade 1 Shoemaker Mile and the Grade 2 Seabiscuit two and three starts back (respectively) may have needed that last race off the layoff.  Catapult and Sharp Samurai filled out the Quinella in the Grade 2 Eddie Read last time out.

Bowies Hero, winner of the Grade 1 Kilroe Mile back in March, fits well with the contenders here.  Om could improve going second off the layoff.  Next Shares could be the one running best late.

RACE 9 - [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Anniversary Sale (ML 4-1)

B's

# 2 Twisted Plot (ML 5-2)
# 5 Policy (ML 7-2)

C's

None

Anniversary Sale and Policy are a pair of first time starters who look to be well meant here.  Twisted Plot has twice taken the Place at this class level.

RACE 10 - Clm $32k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Secreto Primero (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 5 Dano's Dream (ML 8-1)
# 7 Rapid Red (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Ohio (Brz) (ML 9-2)
# 8 Vending Machine (ML 5-1)
# 9 Tiz a Billy (ML 8-1)
# 10 Cimpl Man (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 11 Upper Room (No Line) and # 13 Saxon Lord (NL)

Secreto Primero, a clear winner last time out, has finished in the Trifecta six of the seven times that he has competed over this turf course.  Dano's Dream could improve going second off the layoff.  Rapid Red, making his California debut, seems to fit well at this level.

Ohio (Brz) has been absent from the Winner's Circle for quite some time; but Ohio did take the Place against more expensive stock two starts back.  Vending Machine and Tiz a Billy are two that could move up with the class drop.  Cimpl Man, with the hood being removed, could be the one running best late.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 5,8,10 with 13 with 4 with 3 $3.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 5,8,10 with 1,4,6,13 with 2,4,5 with 3,5,7 $54.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,3,7,11 with 13 with 4 with 3 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5,8,10 with 10,12 with 4 with 3 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 5,8,10 with 13 with 4 with 1,8,9,10 $6.00

Total: $68.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Saturday, August 18, 2018

8/18/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Results

Race 8 - The Del Mar Oaks - # 5 Fatale Bere (Fr) (Final Odds 7.00) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 10 Game Winner (1.90) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - The Pacific Classic - # 5 Accelerate (0.40*) - "A" Selection
Race 11 - # 3 Morse Code (6.00) - "C" Selection

Jockey Joel Rosario had himself a splendid day Saturday, as he often does when he returns to Southern California; picking up four victories on the card, including the Win in the featured race, The Pacific Classic.  But unfortunately for me, Rosario could not get Win number five on the day in the nightcap; as # 12 Avalanche had to settle for the Place, and I had to settle for contributing instead of collecting.

Oh well; onto the next race.

For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the four runners to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:

# 2 Pioneer Lad (4.00) - $121.70 Finish: 6th
# 4 Royal Albert Hall (GB) (10.40) - $191.80 Finish: 7th
# 8 Ky. Colonel (9.50) - $178.55 Finish: 9th
# 12 Avalanche (1.20*) - $104.60 Finish: 2nd

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  5 / 10 / 5 / 3  were rewarded with a payout of $140.75 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

8/18/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Preview

It's Pacific Classic Day at Del Mar Saturday, with the featured race of the entire meet being run.  I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 8 - (F) The Del Mar Oaks (Grade 1) - Nine Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 6 Paved (Morning Line 6-1)

B's

# 4 Ollie's Candy (ML 9-2)
# 5 Fatale Bere (Fr) (ML 6-1)
# 7 Colonia (Fr) (ML 7-2)

# 8 Californiagoldrush (ML 8-1)
# 9 Ms Bad Behavior (ML 6-1)


C's

# 1 Ms Peintour (ML 20-1)
# 2 Streetwithnoname (ML 20-1)

# 3 Fool's Paradise (ML 20-1)
# 10 So Hi Society (Ire) (ML 12-1)
# 11 Movie Moment (ML 20-1)
# 12 Animosity (ML 8-1)


Paved and Fatale Bere (Fr) should both improve over their respective last out efforts in the Grade 1 Belmont Oaks with the cutback in distance.  Ollie's Candy misses by just a neck of being undefeated in her four race career.  Colonia (Fr) was the clear best in her North American debut for Trainer Graham Motion last time out.

Californiagoldrush has done nothing wrong in her two race career, and she has the circuit's best turf rider in Jockey Flavien Prat on her back.  Ms Bad Behavior could improve going second off the layoff.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 8 Dueling (ML 4-1)

B's

# 4 No Treble (ML 8-1)
# 7 Istanbul (ML 4-1)
# 9 Seven Scents (ML 8-1)
# 10 Game Winner (ML 3-1)

C's

# 6 Asano (ML 7-2)

Scratch the Also Eligibles, # 11 You Must Chill (ML 20-1) and # 12 Mind Trick (ML 20-1)

Dueling took the Place in his debut at this class level last time out for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer.  No Treble has finished in the Trifecta in both of his career starts, and could move up with the increase in real estate.  Istanbul took the Place in his debut at this class level last time out.

Seven Scents ran well in his debut last time out, once he realized that there was a race going on and he was in it.  Game Winner is a first time starter trained by Bob Baffert.  Asano is a first time starter out of the same mare that produced multiple Graded Stakes winner Wild Dude.

RACE 10 - The Pacific Classic (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Accelerate (ML 8-5)

B's

None

C's

# 1 The Lieutenant (ML 6-1)
# 2 Dr. Dorr (ML 6-1)
# 7 Pavel (ML 7-2)


Scratch # 6 Beach View (ML 15-1)

No surprises here; Accelerate simply looks to be a clear standout in this field.  The Lieutenant, Dr. Dorr, and Pavel strike me as the three with the best chances to upset the Favorite; but none of those three looks talented enough to justify doubling the cost of the big ticket by including them with Accelerate in this leg.  So if the big ticket is going to be cashed instead of trashed Saturday, then Accelerate must win the Pacific Classic.

RACE 11 - OC 40k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 8 Ky. Colonel (ML 5-1)

B’s

# 2 Pioneer Lad (ML 8-1)
# 4 Royal Albert Hall (GB) (ML 6-1)
# 12 Avalanche (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Fritz Johansen (ML 8-1)
# 3 Morse Code (ML 4-1)
# 5 Comma Sister (ML 20-1)
# 6 Any Questions (ML 10-1)
# 7 Incredible Luck (ML 20-1)

# 9 Alsatian (ML 20-1)
# 10 Dreams of Valor (ML 6-1)
# 11 Malibu Music (ML 15-1)

Ky. Colonel enters this contest having won three of his last four contests.  Ky. Colonel has also previously visited the Winner's Circle at this course.

Pioneer Lad took the Place at this class level two starts back.  Royal Albert Hall (GB) could move up with the cutback in distance.  Avalanche consistently contends at this class level.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 6 with 8 with 5 with 8 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 4,5,6,7,8,9 with 4,7,8,9,10 with 5 with 2,4,8,12 $60.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,10,11,12 with 8 with 5 with 8 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 6 with 5 with 8 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 8 with 1,2,7 with 8 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 8 with 5 with 1,3,5,6,7,9,10,11 $4.00

Total: $70.00

Post Time for Race 8 is 8:40 EDT / 5:40 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Sunday, August 12, 2018

8/12/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Results

Race 6 - # 2 Myrcella (Final Odds 2.20*) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 10 Spin Lightning (6.90) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 2 Shadow Sphinx (4.10) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 2 Give Me a Hint (9.20) - "C" Selection

Punching the "ALL" button in the opening leg just to watch the Post Time Favorite get the W is not what you would call a good result.  And, as I feared in the preview, my single on the grass, # 5 East Rand (2.30*), was beaten a half length by the the top turf rider on the Southern California circuit, Jockey Flavien Pratt.  Just not a good overall result, and the continuing absence of "A" Selections from the winner's circle remains a concern.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  2 / 10 / 2 / 2  were rewarded with a payout of $501.30 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

8/12/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Preview

Youth is the key word for today's sequence, as two of the final four races on the Southern California card are for juveniles, while the other two contests are restricted to runners that are three years old.  So with that as introduction let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Chiefs Lil Pearl (Morning Line 12-1)
# 9 We Will Re Joyce (ML 3-1)

B’s

# 1 Palace Paynter (ML 8-1)
# 2 Myrcella (ML 7-2)
# 3 Spirit of Shanghai (ML 12-1)
# 5 Altrevida (ML 4-1)
# 6 Millie Joel (ML 20-1)
# 8 Avail (ML 10-1)
# 10 Empress of Lov (ML 5-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 7 Smart Rachel (ML 20-1)

Chiefs Lil Pearl and We Will Re Joyce, both winners last time out, are the only two entrants in this field to have finished in the Trifecta last time out.  Most of the others in this field are runners that have contended against more expensive stock and are now being priced to sell.  Perhaps you can sort out a few that won't wake up even with a class drop; but I'm just going "ALL" out in this leg and moving on.

RACE 7 - MSW - Five Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Street Image (ML 8-1)

B's

# 3 Aardvark (ML 8-1)
# 4 Music to My Ears (ML 5-2)
# 8 My Mandate (ML 7-2)

# 10 Spin Lightning (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Absolute Control (ML 20-1)
# 2 Runningwscissors (ML 20-1)
# 6 Gray Magician (ML 10-1)

# 7 Gleyber (ML 10-1)
# 9 Midnight Swap (ML 20-1)

These are all two year olds, and they are all making their debut.  So this is another contest where punching the "ALL" button is a very reasonable option.  Actually, having a sequence with these two races back-to-back makes skipping The Late Pick Four altogether a very reasonable option; but what fun is that?  Anyway, I think I've sorted the field properly, with half the runners being placed on the big ticket, and the other half being used as backup "C" Selections.

RACE 8 - Clm $50k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 5 East Rand (ML 7-2)

B’s

None

C's

# 2 Shadow Spinx (ML 3-1)
# 3 Flip the Coin Jan (ML 4-1)
# 6 For Him (ML 12-1)
# 9 Upo (ML 5-1)

Scratch # 4 Chosen Vessel (ML 15-1) and # 7 Italiano (ML 6-1)

The scratch of the Jerry Hollendorfer trained Italiano went a long way towards keeping this play under budget while still having a reasonable expectation of cashing.  Granted, singling East Rand means that I have to beat the top two turf riders on this circuit: Jockey Flavien Prat (aboard Shadow Spinx) and Jockey Drayden Van Dyke (on top of Upo).

But while I think all four of my backup "C" Selections have realistic chances of winning, I think East Rand is a standout here with the class drop.  East Rand has also run well in the past over this turf course, having taken the Show in last year's running the Grade 3 Cecil B DeMille.  So this is where I'm taking my stand;  East Rand must win Sunday if the big ticket is to be cashed instead of trashed.

RACE 9 - (F) [S] Md $50k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 Pretty Hussar (ML 3-1)

B's

# 6 Athleisure (ML 4-1)
# 8 Gracie Belle (ML 9-2)

C's

# 2 Give Me a Hint (ML 5-1)
# 3 Sky Babe (ML 8-1)
# 4 Cat Holic (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 1 Lucky Again (ML 20-1)

These are juveniles; though, unlike Race 7 above, most have prior racing experience.

Pretty Hussar missed graduation by just a neck at this class level last time out.  Athleisure was squeezed at the start in her debut last time out; which makes it somewhat surprising that her connections are dropping her in for a tag without giving her another shot against non-claiming maidens.  Gracie Belle took the Show at this class level last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are the three first time starters.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 4,9 with 5 with 5 with 7 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: ALL with 3,4,5,8,10 with 5 with 6,7,8 $67.50

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 4,9 with 1,2,6,7,9 with 5 with 7 $5.00
$0.50 P4: 4,9 with 5 with 2,3,6,9 with 7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 4,9 with 5 with 5 with 2,3,4 $3.00

Total: $81.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 7:33 EDT / 4:33 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Saturday, August 11, 2018

8/11/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Results

Race 7 - # 4 Pulpit Rider (Final Odds 11.50) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 7 Ninety Nine Proof (2.40*) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 3 One Fast Broad (4.10) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - # 10 Hey Sal (2.20) - "B" Selection

First round knockouts are always tough to swallow; even more so when the winner at a nice price was a perfectly reasonable selection.  Pulpit Rider had not only proven herself to be a specialist at the distance, but also had a solid history of winning when running second off the layoff.  The lack of any "A" Selections finding their way into the winner's circle is also rather disheartening; but having the final three victors on the big ticket is encouraging, and offers good prospects for tomorrow.  Or so I hope.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  4 / 7 / 3 / 10  were rewarded with a payout of $852.60 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

8/11/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Preview

The Grade 2 Best Pal is the featured race in Southern California Saturday.  But as that event has been positioned in the early portion of the card, it is not a contest that I'll be looking at below.  Instead, I'll be giving my views on the final four races on the program, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 7 - (F) OC 80k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Luminoso (Morning Line 7-2)

B’s

# 1 Kodiak West (Ire) (ML 5-2)
# 8 Whirling (ML 6-1)

C's

# 6 Silken Spy (ML 12-1)
# 7 Ladybug (ML 12-1)
# 9 Camino Song (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 10 Hey Negrita (ML 10-1)

Note that Race 7 and Race 9 have identical conditions, as the race drew enough entrants for the contest to be divided into two divisions.

Luminoso took the Place behind a next out winner at this class level last time out.  Kodiak West (Ire) is making her North American debut for Trainer Neil Drysdale, and she appears classy enough to win at this level.  Whirling took the Show at this class level in her turf debut last time out.

Silken Spy should be prominent early, and she fits well here on class; but I'm not sure that Silken Spy will get early fractions soft enough to allow her to wire this field today.  Ladybug and Camino Song are two last out graduates running for conditioners (John Sadler and Phil D'Amato, respectively) who tend to do well when placing their last out maiden winners.  Hey Negrita, shipping in from the east, could get a nice stalking trip courtesy of the outside draw.

RACE 8 - Clm $16k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6  Burn Me Twice (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 2 Papa Turf (ML 6-1)
# 7 Ninety Nine Proof (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Twirling Tiger (ML 12-1)
# 4 Bow and Arrow (ML 5-1)
# 5 Braddock (ML 5-2)

Burn Me Twice took the Show at this class level last time out, and is two-for-five lifetime over this main track.  Papa Turf could be the speed of the speed in this field.  Ninety Nine Proof has been victorious both times that he has competed over this main track.

Twirling Tiger could improve with the turn back in distance.  Bow and Arrow enters this event with a three race winning streak, albeit against less competition.  Braddock looks to be ambitiously placed here; but if he can rate off the leaders, then Braddock just might be the one to get his picture taken Saturday.

RACE 9 - (F) OC 80k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 10 Highland Lass (ML 9-2)

B’s

# 3 One Fast Broad (ML 6-1)
# 7 Nice Ice (ML 6-1)

C's

# 5 Pacific Strike (ML 6-1)
# 6 Nonna Gianna (Ire) (ML 12-1)
# 8 Sappho (Ire) (ML 5-1)

Scratch # 2 Pursuing The Dream (Ire) (ML 7-2)

Note that Race 7 and Race 9 have identical conditions, as the race drew enough entrants for the contest to be divided into two divisions.

Highland Lass fits well here on class, and her breeding suggests that she'll do well with the surface switch.  One Fast Broad looks to be in good form, and One Fast Broad ran well in her one prior try over this turf course.

Pacific Ice, Nonna Gianna (Ire), and Sappho (Ire) all exit a common race at this class level, and all three appear to be in position to improve.  Nice Ice closed well to win last time out, and may be able to handle to rise in class.

RACE 10 - [S] Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Handsome John (ML 5-2)

B's

# 1 Red Clem (ML 10-1)
# 4 Irish Terrier (ML 7-2)
# 7 Silent Alarm (ML 9-2)
# 10 Hey Sal (ML 8-1)

C's

# 2 Small Town Boy (ML 20-1)
# 3 Lucky General (ML 8-1)
# 5 Cyprus Souljah (ML 20-1)
# 8 Empirical Data (ML 12-1)
# 9 Warrensdirtydancer (ML 8-1)

Handsome John and Silent Alarm filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out.  Red Clem took the Show at this class level two starts back.  Irish Terrier has missed graduation by less than a length in each of his two prior starts.  Hey Sal could improve in his second career start with the blinkers being added.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 3 with 6 with 10 with 6 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,3,8 with 2,6,7 with 3,7,10 with 1,4,6,7,10 $67.50

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 6,7,9,10 with 6 with 10 with 6 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,4,5 with 10 with 6 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 6 with 5,6,8 with 6 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 6 with 10 with 2,3,5,8,9 $2.50

Total: $76.00

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Sunday, August 5, 2018

8/5/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Results

Race 6 - # 6 Spring Lily (Final Odds 6.90) - "C" Selections
Race 7 - # 3 Drift Away (5.00) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - The Sorrento - # 3 Bellafina (3.20) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 10 Johnny Strong (18.90) - No Selection

When the only big ticket winner you have comes from the leg where you hit the "ALL" button, you know you had a bad day.  Quite frankly, there just isn't much to say about a sequence where none of your top picks managed to find their way into the Trifecta, other than,

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  6 / 3 / 3 / 10  were rewarded with a payout of $2,344.25 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

8/5/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Preview

Fillies and mares dominate the bottom portion of Sunday's thoroughbred card in Southern California, as three quarters of the program's final four races will be limited to those on the distaff side.  So with that as introduction let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 6 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Dis Smart Cat (Morning Line 7-2)

B’s

# 5 Tyfosha (ML 3-1)
# 7 Hot Autumn (ML 5-1)
# 8 Conquest Flatterme (ML 5-1)

C's

# 2 Dutch Mama (ML 20-1)
# 3 Summer's Indy (ML 4-1)
# 4 Demigoddess (ML 20-1)

# 6 Spring Lily (ML 4-1)

Dis Smart Cat and Conquest Flatterme filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out.  Tyfosha probably needs a race; but if she's ready to roll, then Tyfosha is certainly talented enough to defeat this field.  Hot Autumn took the Place at this class level last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 7 - (F) Clm $40k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 4 Tiny Tina (ML 3-1)

B’s

# 2 Chica La Habana (Ire) (ML 10-1)
# 5 Mischievous Song (ML 7-2)


C's

# 1 Bornonvalentineday (ML 4-1)
# 3 Drift Away (ML 6-1)
# 6 Bunny Yogurt (ML 4-1)


Tiny Tina fits well here are class, and should be in good position early.  Chica La Habana (Ire) could benefit from the class relief.  Mischievous Song is three-for seven lifetime on dirt, and looks like a better fit for Race 6 above; but Trainer Peter Miller tends to do well when moving his runners from turf to dirt, and if Mischievous Song's form holds with the surface switch, then she could win today.

Bornonvalentineday could benefit from the class drop.  Drift Away is moving way up in class; but Trainer Andrew Lerner has been done well of late when placing his last out winners.  Bunny Yogurt could improve with the barn change.

RACE 8 - (F) The Sorrento (Grade 2) - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 Stirred (ML 5-1)

B's

# 1 Madison's Quarters (ML 20-1)
# 2 Dragic (ML 8-1)
# 3 Bellafina (ML 7-2)
# 4 Lady Lucy (ML 8-1)
# 5 Dichotomy (ML 12-1)
# 6 Summerland (ML 12-1)
# 8 Reflect (ML 5-1)
# 9 Boujie Girl (ML 6-1)
# 10 Del Mar May (ML 9-2)

C's

None

I have no idea who's going to win this race; so I'm just going to buy it, punch the "ALL" button, and move on.  These are juvenile fillies with either one or two career starts, and quite frankly I can't point to any one or pair or trio and in this field and call them standouts.  Perhaps once this race is run it'll be clear which one is the best; but, for now, this will be a contest that I'm going to watch and root for a price.

RACE 9 - Md $20k - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 11 Twisted Road (ML 5-2)

B's

None

C's

# 1 Catch Fire (ML 8-1)
# 2 Supreme Giant (ML 6-1)
# 5 Odyssey Explorer (ML 8-1)

# 7 Working (ML 7-2)
# 12 Brag Dude (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 8 Grand Minister (ML 12-1); but don't bring in either of the Also Eligibles, # 13 The Chadinator (No Line) and # 14 Spend It (NL), as they get to chill in the barn. 

Twisted Road has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in three of his five prior career starts.  If he disappoints again on Sunday, then the big ticket is toast, as I've decided to make him my single in this play.

Catch Fire is making his second career start for Trainer David Hofmans, who tends to do well with such.  Supreme Giant just missed victory last time out at this class level by a head; but I'm not too keen on the "twenty-sixth time's the charm" angle.

Odyssey Explorer is another strong contender here who I feel has had enough chances.  Working has twice taken the Show at this class level; but working seems to have stamina issues.  Brag Dude was a well beaten third behind Supreme Giant last time out; perhaps Brag Dude will benefit from the cutback in distance.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1 with 4 with 7 with 11 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,5,7,8 with 2,4,5 with ALL with 11 $60.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,6 with 4 with 7 with 11 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 1,3,6 with 7 with 11 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 7 with 1,2,5,7,12 $2.50

Total: $67.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 7:33 EDT / 4:33 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

Saturday, August 4, 2018

8/4/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Results

Race 7 - # 6 Sigalert (Final Odds 2.80*) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - The Yellow Ribbon - # 11 Cambodia (1.70*) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 1 Tatters to Riches (6.70) - "C" Selection
Race 10 - # 9 Starting Bloc (9.30) - "C" Selection

Three backup "C" Selections among the four winners is a pretty good sign that I didn't have a real good handle on the sequence.  Perhaps an even more telling sign that I wasn't seeing the ball well is that the four entrants that made it onto the big ticket in the opening leg were the final four runners to cross under the wire in that contest.  But, miss by a nose or miss by a mile, it's all the same as far as the bottom line is concerned, as Saturday was clearly a day for me to contribute instead of collect.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of  6 / 11 / 1 / 9  were rewarded with a payout of $479.15 for their fifty cent wager.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

8/4/18 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Preview

Fillies and Mares going around two turns on the grass; that's Saturday's featured race in Southern California; specifically, the Grade 2 Yellow Ribbon.  I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 7 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 Dark Prince (Morning Line 7-2)
# 12 Babael (ML 5-2)

B's

# 8 Neptune's Storm (ML 6-1)
# 9 Lacazette (ML 20-1)

C's

# 2 Stubbins (ML 12-1)
# 6 Sigalert (ML 9-2)
# 7 Easy Shot (ML 4-1)


Scratch # 1 Absolute Control (ML 20-1).  Bring in # 12 Babael (ML 5-2) off the Also Eligible list to take his place.  Take out the other two Also Eligibles, # 11 Flying Scotsman (ML 20-1) and # 13 Easy Keeper (ML 20-1), as they get to hang out in the barn and watch on TV.

These are all two year old juveniles; and only one, the Bob Baffert trained Dark Prince, has any prior racing experience.  I expect Dark Prince to improve upon his initial effort, where he showed some early quickness before fading.

Babael is sired by Algorithma, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.  Babel is out of Just Joking, who has produced three winners from three starters.

Neptune's Storm had a sharp gate work on Sunday the 29th, over this main track.  Lacazette is a full brother to multiple Graded Stakes winner Vicar's in Trouble.

Stubbins is out of Morning Line, who has produced three winners from five starters, including Listed Stakes winner Golden Rifle.  Sigalert and Easy Shot have both been working well over this main track.

RACE 8 - (F) The Yellow Ribbon (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Grass

A’s

# 6 Storm the Hill (ML 9-2)

B's

# 5 Tisbutadream (ML 20-1)
# 8 Sophie P (GB) (ML 8-1)
# 9 Ancient Secret (ML 8-1)
# 11 Cambodia (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Beau Recall (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 2 Sassy Little Lila (ML 15-1)
# 3 Midnight Crossing (Ire) (ML 20-1)

# 4 Hallie Belle (ML 10-1)
# 7 Madame Stripes (Arg) (ML 8-1)
# 12 Pantsonfire (Ire) (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 10 Fahan Mura (ML 5-1)

Storm the Hill and Ancient Secret filled out the Exacta in the Grade 3 Wilshire at Santa Anita last time out.  Tisbutadream makes her North American debut after showing good early speed in several contests in Great Britain;  such tend to do well in North America.

Sophie P (GB) won the Grade 1 Gamely two starts back.  Cambodia is the defending champ, having won the 2017 running of this event.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - OC 40k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 4 Street Vision (ML 6-1)

B’s

# 5 All Out Blitz (ML 5-1)
# 6 Solid Wager (ML 6-1)
# 8 Grazen Sky (ML 12-1)
# 12 Make It a Triple (ML 20-1)

C's

# 1 Tatters to Riches (ML 7-2)
# 7 Shades of Victory (ML 20-1)
# 9 Flagstaff (ML 9-2)
# 10 Cats Blame (ML 12-1)


Street Vision has run well over this main track in the past, and is two-for-two since being claimed by Trainer David Jacobson.  All Out Blitz is getting some class relief, and has been working well for his return from holiday.  Solid Wager and Make It a Triple filled out the Exacta at this class level at Santa Anita back in June.  Grazen Sky could move up with the return to one turn racing.

Tatters to Riches ran well last year while winning his debut over this main track.  Shades of Victory could improve with the increased distance.  Flagstaff has run well in each of his two career starts.  Cats Blame goes first off the claim for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, whose runners have been doing well this meet.

RACE 10 - Md $62.5k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 2 Zipman (ML 7-2)

B's

None

C's

# 4 Aussie Fox (ML 8-1)
# 5 Dignitaire (ML 5-1)
# 6 Spirit Mission (ML 8-1)
# 7 Katie's Cowboy (ML 12-1)
# 8 Irish Spring (ML 8-1)

# 9 Starting Bloc (ML 8-1)

Zipman, trained by Bob Baffert, took the Place behind a next out winner the only prior time that he ran with a price tag on his head.  Aussie Fox returns from an extended leave and drops in for a tag; not exactly a vote of confidence from his connections; but Aussie Fox has been working well for his return.  Dignitaire was much improved last time out, his first time competing in the Maiden Claiming ranks.

Spirit Mission ships in from the East and tries the turf for the first time; his breeding suggests that he'll be able to handle the surface switch.  Katie's Cowboy, Irish Spring, and Starting Bloc are three more taking the plunge from MSW to Maiden Claiming.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 3,12 with 6 with 4 with 2 $2.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,8,9,12 with 5,6,8,9,11 with 4,5,6,8,12 with 2 $50.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,6,7 with 6 with 4 with 2 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3,12 with 1,2,3,4,7,12 with 4 with 2 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 3,12 with 6 with 1,7,9,10 with 2 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 3,12 with 6 with 4 with 4,5,6,7,8,9 $6.00

Total: $69.50

Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo