Race 5 - # 5 Noble Kent (Final Odds 2.90) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 3 Little Curlin (10.60) - No Selection
Race 7 - The Eddie Logan - # 7 Path of David (1.10*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 6 Xerxes (7.40) - "B" Selection
The second leg of the sequence saw "A" Selection # 8 Grazen Sky (2.60*), who was eighth after six furlongs, come five wide out of the final turn to take the lead in the stretch; only to lose the photo by a neck to a determined Little Curlin. And, in a refrain that has become all too familiar, that lost photo was the difference between us cashing or trashing our tickets, as we had the other three winners covered on our big ticket.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 5 / 3 / 7 / 6 were rewarded with a payout of $888.30 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Thursday, December 31, 2015
12/31/15 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
Juveniles running around on the grass are the featured performers on Thursday's card, as they'll be competing in the $75k Eddie Logan. That contest will go as Race 7; so we'll be looking at it below as we take our final run in 2015 at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 5 - Clm $16k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Noble Kent (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Carlsbad Mountain (ML 3-1)
# 3 Mucho Besos (ML 15-1)
C's
# 4 Duke of Doom (ML 7-2)
Noble Kent missed winning by a head at this class level two starts back. Carlsbad Mountain enters this contest with a two race winning streak, albeit versus lesser company. Carlsbad Mountain's form looks much better if you focus on just those contests where he went around two turns. Mucho Besos took the Place against more expensive stock two starts back.
Duke of Doom has hit the board against more expensive company in several of his more recent contests. But all those affairs were upstate on either the grass or synthetic; and while Trainer Steve Miyadi does quite well when moving his runners from turf to dirt, Duke of Doom's poor performance in his most recent race suggests that this gelding may have been brought here more to increase his chances of being sold rather than his probability of finding the Winner's Circle. By the way, note that Duke of Doom and Noble Kent, in addition to both being trained by Steve Miyadi, are also both owned by CM Racing.
Luckbox Sam was just a neck behind Carlsbad Mountain at the wire last time out; but Luckbox Sam will be going for a new barn in this contest as well as losing Victor Espinoza as a rider.
RACE 6 - OC 40k/N1X - Nine Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Grazen Sky (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 1 China Girl Lover (ML 6-1)
# 5 Tribal Jewel (ML 5-1)
C's
# 6 Avanti Bello (ML 7-2)
# 9 Got Even (ML 5-1)
# 2 Day in the Sun (ML 15-1) has been scratched.
Grazen Sky took the Place at this class level last time out, and has finished in the Exacta in all four of his career starts over this main track. China Girl Lover has been performing well since joining the barn of Trainer Dan Hendricks, and could be the one running best late.
Tribal Jewel steps up from state bred to open company; but Tribal Jewel is three-for-six in his career at Santa Anita, and he looked much improved last time out with the removal of the blinkers. Avanti Bello disappointed as the Post Time Favorite at this class level last time out; but Avanti Bello had to steady early in that contest, so perhaps that effort can be excused.
Got Even settles for too many minor awards; but Got Even may be the speed of the speed here, and thus could be so far in front in the stretch that despite his best efforts he may not be able to slow down enough to allow anyone to catch him.
RACE 7 - The Eddie Logan $75k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Bully Pulpit (ML 20-1)
# 10 Canada (ML 3-1)
B's
# 7 Path of David (ML 5-2)
C's
# 4 Storming Candy (ML 12-1)
# 11 Tiz a Billy (ML 7-2) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List.
Bully Pulpit is the only runner in this contest to have beaten winners. In his only prior try on the turf, Billy Pulpit took the Show in the Zuma Beach, which was run over this turf course at today's distance. The main concern with Bully Pulpit is the addition of blinkers today; a move with which Trainer Craig Lewis does not enjoy much success.
Canada has been showing steadily improving form over the course of his four race career. Path of David earned this field's best career Beyer Speed Figure last time out in his first attempt at graduating after switching to the barn of Trainer Kristin Mulhall. Storming Candy could improve with the addition of Jockey Mike Smith as well as a Post Position closer to the rail.
RACE 8 - Md $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Spirit World (ML 3-1)
# 9 Adair (ML 5-1)
B's
# 1 What We Doing (ML 15-1)
# 6 Xerxes (ML 8-1)
C's
None
# 3 S M Royal Image (ML 15-1) has been scratched.
Spirit World just missed graduating by a head at this class level last time out. Adair took the Show in his debut last time out. What We Doing should improve with the return to sprinting. Xerxes took the Place at this class level last time out, and could have things all his own way in the early going.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 8 with 3,10 with 4,9 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,5 with 1,5,8 with 3,7,10 with 1,4,6,9 $54.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,7 with 8 with 3,10 with 4,9 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 6,9 with 3,10 with 4,9 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 8 with 4 with 4,9 $1.00
Total: $67.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 5:33 EST / 2:33 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 5 - Clm $16k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Noble Kent (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 2 Carlsbad Mountain (ML 3-1)
# 3 Mucho Besos (ML 15-1)
C's
# 4 Duke of Doom (ML 7-2)
# 7 Luckbox Sam (ML 4-1)
Noble Kent missed winning by a head at this class level two starts back. Carlsbad Mountain enters this contest with a two race winning streak, albeit versus lesser company. Carlsbad Mountain's form looks much better if you focus on just those contests where he went around two turns. Mucho Besos took the Place against more expensive stock two starts back.
Duke of Doom has hit the board against more expensive company in several of his more recent contests. But all those affairs were upstate on either the grass or synthetic; and while Trainer Steve Miyadi does quite well when moving his runners from turf to dirt, Duke of Doom's poor performance in his most recent race suggests that this gelding may have been brought here more to increase his chances of being sold rather than his probability of finding the Winner's Circle. By the way, note that Duke of Doom and Noble Kent, in addition to both being trained by Steve Miyadi, are also both owned by CM Racing.
Luckbox Sam was just a neck behind Carlsbad Mountain at the wire last time out; but Luckbox Sam will be going for a new barn in this contest as well as losing Victor Espinoza as a rider.
RACE 6 - OC 40k/N1X - Nine Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Grazen Sky (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 1 China Girl Lover (ML 6-1)
# 5 Tribal Jewel (ML 5-1)
C's
# 6 Avanti Bello (ML 7-2)
# 9 Got Even (ML 5-1)
# 2 Day in the Sun (ML 15-1) has been scratched.
Grazen Sky took the Place at this class level last time out, and has finished in the Exacta in all four of his career starts over this main track. China Girl Lover has been performing well since joining the barn of Trainer Dan Hendricks, and could be the one running best late.
Tribal Jewel steps up from state bred to open company; but Tribal Jewel is three-for-six in his career at Santa Anita, and he looked much improved last time out with the removal of the blinkers. Avanti Bello disappointed as the Post Time Favorite at this class level last time out; but Avanti Bello had to steady early in that contest, so perhaps that effort can be excused.
Got Even settles for too many minor awards; but Got Even may be the speed of the speed here, and thus could be so far in front in the stretch that despite his best efforts he may not be able to slow down enough to allow anyone to catch him.
RACE 7 - The Eddie Logan $75k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Bully Pulpit (ML 20-1)
# 10 Canada (ML 3-1)
B's
# 7 Path of David (ML 5-2)
C's
# 4 Storming Candy (ML 12-1)
# 11 Tiz a Billy (ML 7-2) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List.
Bully Pulpit is the only runner in this contest to have beaten winners. In his only prior try on the turf, Billy Pulpit took the Show in the Zuma Beach, which was run over this turf course at today's distance. The main concern with Bully Pulpit is the addition of blinkers today; a move with which Trainer Craig Lewis does not enjoy much success.
Canada has been showing steadily improving form over the course of his four race career. Path of David earned this field's best career Beyer Speed Figure last time out in his first attempt at graduating after switching to the barn of Trainer Kristin Mulhall. Storming Candy could improve with the addition of Jockey Mike Smith as well as a Post Position closer to the rail.
RACE 8 - Md $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Spirit World (ML 3-1)
# 9 Adair (ML 5-1)
B's
# 1 What We Doing (ML 15-1)
# 6 Xerxes (ML 8-1)
C's
None
# 3 S M Royal Image (ML 15-1) has been scratched.
Spirit World just missed graduating by a head at this class level last time out. Adair took the Show in his debut last time out. What We Doing should improve with the return to sprinting. Xerxes took the Place at this class level last time out, and could have things all his own way in the early going.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 8 with 3,10 with 4,9 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,5 with 1,5,8 with 3,7,10 with 1,4,6,9 $54.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,7 with 8 with 3,10 with 4,9 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 6,9 with 3,10 with 4,9 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 8 with 4 with 4,9 $1.00
Total: $67.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 5:33 EST / 2:33 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, December 27, 2015
12/27/15 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 6 Tiz Jolie (Final Odds 4.50) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 Chief Lion (11,50) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - The Robert J Frankel - # 11 Gender Agenda (GB) (10.90) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 10 Demonslayer (2.60) - "A" Selection
Gender Agenda (GB) hit the wire a neck in front of # 7 Stormy Lucy (4.10), one of our two "A" Selections in The Bobby Frankel; and that was the difference between us cashing or trashing our tickets, as three "A's" and a "C" would have been good enough to collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 6 / 5 / 11 / 10 were rewarded with a payout of $1,910.35 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 5 Chief Lion (11,50) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - The Robert J Frankel - # 11 Gender Agenda (GB) (10.90) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 10 Demonslayer (2.60) - "A" Selection
Gender Agenda (GB) hit the wire a neck in front of # 7 Stormy Lucy (4.10), one of our two "A" Selections in The Bobby Frankel; and that was the difference between us cashing or trashing our tickets, as three "A's" and a "C" would have been good enough to collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 6 / 5 / 11 / 10 were rewarded with a payout of $1,910.35 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/27/15 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
It's Day Two of the extra-long meet at Santa Anita; and that's pretty much all I've got as far as introductions go. So let's just get to it as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - Clm $16k N3L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Eagle Rock (Morning Line 9-2)
# 6 Tiz Jolie (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 10 Sciatica (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Eagle Rock moves up in class after winning at the N2L level last time, and could be the pacesetter in this field. Tiz Jolie took the Place for this claiming price two and three starts back; but those two contests were against open claimers, while this is for non-winners of three races lifetime; which makes this a huge drop down the class ladder for Tiz Jolie.
The speed figures that Sciatica has earned fit well with the contenders here; but the concerns are that Sciatica is coming back from a six month layoff, as well as switching to a barn with a lower winning percentage.
RACE 7 - OC 40k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Logan's Moon (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 1 Wolf Man Rocket (ML 5-2)
# 4 Dream Team (ML 5-1)
# 8 Roy H (ML 6-1)
C's
# 5 Chief Lion (ML 8-1)
# 6 Horse Laugh (ML 15-1)
Logan's Moon has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last three starts. Wolf Man Rocket, trained by Bob Baffert, drops in class while returning from an extended layoff. Dream Team, also trained by Bob Baffert, should improve with the turn back in distance.
Roy H has been competitive at this class level on the turf, and his recent works suggests that he'll do well getting off the grass. Chief Lion took the Show two starts back at this class level, and has been working well over this main track. Horse Laugh could wake up with the drop in class.
RACE 8 - (F) The Robert J Frankel (Grade 3) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Rusty Slipper (ML 9-2)
# 7 Stormy Lucy (ML 6-1)
B's
# 3 Alexis Tangier (ML 5-1)
C’s
# 6 Peace and War (ML 12-1)
# 12 Glory (ML 4-1)
# 1 Nancy From Nairobi (GB) (ML 12-1) and # 10 Sweet as a Rose (ML 30-1) have been scratched.
Rusty Slipper won the Grade 3 Red Carpet last time out. Stormy Lucy, winner of the Grade 1 Matriarch last time, has the best last out Beyer Speed Figure in this field.
Alexis Tangier could improve with the stretch out in distance. Peace and War's breeding suggests that he should do well with the switch to grass. Glory is undefeated since going from dirt to turf.
RACE 9 - [S] MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 True Brilliance (ML 3-1)
# 10 Demonslayer (ML 7-2)
B's
# 1 Etailer (ML 5-1)
C's
# 5 Lost Dutchman (ML 7-2)
# 6 Ski Utah (No Line), # 8 Junior Gilliam (NL), and # 13 Speedin With Eddie (NL) are all program scratches.
Etailer, True Brilliance, and Demonslayer all did well in their respective debuts last time out. The concern with Etailer is that his works have been dull of late. Lost Duchman is a first time starter sired by Awesome Spirit, whose progeny have been doing quite well in their debuts (in a small sample size).
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4,6 with 3 with 4,7 with 7,10 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,6,10 with 1,3,4,8 with 3,4,7 with 1,7,10 $54.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,6 with 5,6 with 4,7 with 7,10 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 4,6 with 3 with 6,12 with 7,10 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 4,6 with 3 with 4,7 with 5 $2.00
Total: $76.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:04 EST / 3:04 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - Clm $16k N3L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Eagle Rock (Morning Line 9-2)
# 6 Tiz Jolie (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 10 Sciatica (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Eagle Rock moves up in class after winning at the N2L level last time, and could be the pacesetter in this field. Tiz Jolie took the Place for this claiming price two and three starts back; but those two contests were against open claimers, while this is for non-winners of three races lifetime; which makes this a huge drop down the class ladder for Tiz Jolie.
The speed figures that Sciatica has earned fit well with the contenders here; but the concerns are that Sciatica is coming back from a six month layoff, as well as switching to a barn with a lower winning percentage.
RACE 7 - OC 40k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Logan's Moon (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 1 Wolf Man Rocket (ML 5-2)
# 4 Dream Team (ML 5-1)
# 8 Roy H (ML 6-1)
C's
# 5 Chief Lion (ML 8-1)
# 6 Horse Laugh (ML 15-1)
Logan's Moon has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last three starts. Wolf Man Rocket, trained by Bob Baffert, drops in class while returning from an extended layoff. Dream Team, also trained by Bob Baffert, should improve with the turn back in distance.
Roy H has been competitive at this class level on the turf, and his recent works suggests that he'll do well getting off the grass. Chief Lion took the Show two starts back at this class level, and has been working well over this main track. Horse Laugh could wake up with the drop in class.
RACE 8 - (F) The Robert J Frankel (Grade 3) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Rusty Slipper (ML 9-2)
# 7 Stormy Lucy (ML 6-1)
B's
# 3 Alexis Tangier (ML 5-1)
C’s
# 6 Peace and War (ML 12-1)
# 12 Glory (ML 4-1)
# 1 Nancy From Nairobi (GB) (ML 12-1) and # 10 Sweet as a Rose (ML 30-1) have been scratched.
Rusty Slipper won the Grade 3 Red Carpet last time out. Stormy Lucy, winner of the Grade 1 Matriarch last time, has the best last out Beyer Speed Figure in this field.
Alexis Tangier could improve with the stretch out in distance. Peace and War's breeding suggests that he should do well with the switch to grass. Glory is undefeated since going from dirt to turf.
RACE 9 - [S] MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 True Brilliance (ML 3-1)
# 10 Demonslayer (ML 7-2)
B's
# 1 Etailer (ML 5-1)
C's
# 5 Lost Dutchman (ML 7-2)
# 6 Ski Utah (No Line), # 8 Junior Gilliam (NL), and # 13 Speedin With Eddie (NL) are all program scratches.
Etailer, True Brilliance, and Demonslayer all did well in their respective debuts last time out. The concern with Etailer is that his works have been dull of late. Lost Duchman is a first time starter sired by Awesome Spirit, whose progeny have been doing quite well in their debuts (in a small sample size).
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4,6 with 3 with 4,7 with 7,10 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,6,10 with 1,3,4,8 with 3,4,7 with 1,7,10 $54.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,6 with 5,6 with 4,7 with 7,10 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 4,6 with 3 with 6,12 with 7,10 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 4,6 with 3 with 4,7 with 5 $2.00
Total: $76.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:04 EST / 3:04 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, December 26, 2015
12/26/15 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - The Mathis Brothers Mile - # 10 Om (Final Odds 1.20*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - The La Brea - # 1 Birdatthewire (10.90) - No Selection
Race 8 - The Malibu - # 4 Runhappy (0.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 11 What a View (3.90) - "B" Selection
Not a good job of handicapping on our part, as we used five runners in the opening leg and then another four in The Malibu just to find the Post Time Favorite in each. However, despite our errors, we didn't miss cashing by much, as one of our two "A" Selections in The La Brea, # 2 Hot City Girl (3.50) was two lengths clear in the stretch, only to get caught by the winner in the shadow of the wire. But close doesn't get it done, and we find ourselves today trashing our tickets instead of cashing them.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 10 / 1 / 4 / 11 were rewarded with a payout of $209.65 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - The La Brea - # 1 Birdatthewire (10.90) - No Selection
Race 8 - The Malibu - # 4 Runhappy (0.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 11 What a View (3.90) - "B" Selection
Not a good job of handicapping on our part, as we used five runners in the opening leg and then another four in The Malibu just to find the Post Time Favorite in each. However, despite our errors, we didn't miss cashing by much, as one of our two "A" Selections in The La Brea, # 2 Hot City Girl (3.50) was two lengths clear in the stretch, only to get caught by the winner in the shadow of the wire. But close doesn't get it done, and we find ourselves today trashing our tickets instead of cashing them.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 10 / 1 / 4 / 11 were rewarded with a payout of $209.65 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
10/11/15 Santa Anita Pick Five - Results
Race 1 - # 3 Airfoil (Final Odds 3.20) - "A" Selection
Race 2 - # 9 Nusret (8.40) - No Selection
Race 3 - # 6 Asian's Way (2.60*) - No Selection
Race 4 - The Daytona - # 13 Toowindytohaulrox (21.30) - No Selection
Race 5 - # 3 Danzing Candy (1.40*) - "B" Selection
We got off an excellent beginning, as our lone "A" Selection in the opening leg won for fun without being the Post Time Favorite. But that was to be the only highlight for us in this sequence, as the only other winner on our tickets was a Post Time Favorite that we had to use eight runners to find.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of 3 / 9 / 6 / 13 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $11,273.90 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 2 - # 9 Nusret (8.40) - No Selection
Race 3 - # 6 Asian's Way (2.60*) - No Selection
Race 4 - The Daytona - # 13 Toowindytohaulrox (21.30) - No Selection
Race 5 - # 3 Danzing Candy (1.40*) - "B" Selection
We got off an excellent beginning, as our lone "A" Selection in the opening leg won for fun without being the Post Time Favorite. But that was to be the only highlight for us in this sequence, as the only other winner on our tickets was a Post Time Favorite that we had to use eight runners to find.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Five sequence of 3 / 9 / 6 / 13 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $11,273.90 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
10/11/15 Santa Anita Pick Five - Preview
It's Opening Day at Santa Anita, one of the most anticipated race days of the year; and in honor of the excitement surrounding the event, we're going to ambitiously attempt to cover the full card. The next post will spell out how we'll be playing The Late Pick Four; while this post will detail the run that we'll be taking at The Pick Five at The Great Race Place.
RACE 1 - Clm $20k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Airfoil (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 5 Sacred Ovation (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 El Nino Terrible (ML 7-2)
Airfoil goes first off the claim for Trainer Jonathan Wong for a price cheaper than that for which he was purchased. Generally such a move is a red flag, but while Airfoil has finished in the money in his last two tries against move expensive, this step down the class ladder gives him a more realistic shot at finding the Winner's Circle.
Sacred Ovation goes first off the claim for Trainer Peter Miller, who tends to do well with such. Sacred Ovation won last time out against much less expensive stock; but that was a pretty steep drop from where Sacred Ovation had been competing, as he has hit the board recently at this class level.
El Nino Terrible drops in class and removes the blinkers, a move which Trainer Doug O'Neill has frequently been successful. El Nino Terrible had been claimed from the O'Neill barn last time out earlier this month, but that claim was subsequently voided; so it is fair to question if El Nino Terrible's health is at one hundred percent.
RACE 2 - [S] Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 12 Little Mustard (ML 7-2)
# 13 Star Express (ML 5-1)
B's
# 5 Gambler's Wish (ML 10-1)
C's
RACE 1 - Clm $20k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Airfoil (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 5 Sacred Ovation (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 El Nino Terrible (ML 7-2)
Airfoil goes first off the claim for Trainer Jonathan Wong for a price cheaper than that for which he was purchased. Generally such a move is a red flag, but while Airfoil has finished in the money in his last two tries against move expensive, this step down the class ladder gives him a more realistic shot at finding the Winner's Circle.
Sacred Ovation goes first off the claim for Trainer Peter Miller, who tends to do well with such. Sacred Ovation won last time out against much less expensive stock; but that was a pretty steep drop from where Sacred Ovation had been competing, as he has hit the board recently at this class level.
El Nino Terrible drops in class and removes the blinkers, a move which Trainer Doug O'Neill has frequently been successful. El Nino Terrible had been claimed from the O'Neill barn last time out earlier this month, but that claim was subsequently voided; so it is fair to question if El Nino Terrible's health is at one hundred percent.
RACE 2 - [S] Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 12 Little Mustard (ML 7-2)
# 13 Star Express (ML 5-1)
B's
# 5 Gambler's Wish (ML 10-1)
C's
# 7 Bobby Z (ML 6-1)
# 8 Mike's Benchmark (ML 6-1)
# 10 Da Brooklyn Kid (ML 4-1)
# 6 Salah Loves Teagan (ML 50-1) is scratched. # 14 Roaln With Bolen (ML 15-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List, but Star Express will run.
Little Mustard has taken the Show at this class level in each of his prior two starts. Star Express just missed graduating by a neck last time out, earning this field's best last out Beyer Speed Figure in the process.
Gambler's Wish fought for the early lead against more expensive last time out against non-claiming state bred maidens before throwing in the towel. The step back down the class ladder should bring about a return to form, and the quick turnout by Trainer Cesar Dominguez is intriguing.
Bobby Z and Da Brooklyn Kid are a pair of first time starters from sires (Marino Marini and Decarchy, respectively) whose offspring tend to do well at first asking. Mike's Benchmark took the Show at this class level in his debut two starts back.
RACE 3 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Everqueen (ML 20-1)
B’s
# 9 Quigley's Corner (ML 8-1)
C's
# 7 Cobia (ML 8-1)
# 10 Josie the E F Five (ML 6-1)
# 8 Power Cat (No Line) is a program scratch. # 11 Candy Boss (ML 9-2) has also been scratched.
Everqueen showed good early speed in her debut at Del Mar last time out. Everqueen has been moved to the barn of Trainer Ron Ellis, who tends to do well with new chargers.
Quigley's Corner and Cobia are a pair of first time starters going for Trainer Tom Proctor. Both are by sires whose progeny tends to do well at first asking. Giving the edge to Quigley's Corner as she she seems to be the one with the better morning workouts.
Josie the E F Five looked sharp in her debut, but disappointed last time out as the Post Time Favorite. Perhaps the change of time zone will bring about a return to form.
RACE 4 - The Daytona (Grade 3) - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 1 Richard's Boy (ML 6-1)
B's
# 7 Alert Bay (ML 5-1)
C's
# 9 Holy Lute (ML 9-2)
# 12 No Silent (ML 7-2)
# 6 Plainview (NL) is a program scratch. # 3 Mystery Train (Arg) (ML 30-1) has also been scratched.
Richard's Boy, trained by Peter Miller, is a perfect two-for-two in his career charging down the hill, and appears to be rounding nicely into form. Alert Bay is this field's top earner, and is a career four-for-five on the Santa Anita turf course. But all five of those were on the flats; so it is a concern as to how Alert Bay will handle charging down the hill.
Holy Lute seems to settle for too many minor awards, and looks to be trending downward; but his back class must be respected. No Silent won the Grade 3 Eddie D charging down the hill two starts back; but it's unlikely that a repeat of that effort would be good enough to get the job done today.
RACE 5 - MSW - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Weirdhaircut Seth (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 3 Danzing Candy (ML 7-2)
# 4 Mr. Coker (ML 8-1)
# 7 Prince of Arabia (ML 12-1)
# 9 Mad Bum (ML 12-1)
# 11 An Khe Pass (ML 10-1)
C's
# 2 Speed Check (ML 12-1)
# 5 Oppidum (ML 6-1)
# 13 Full of Hope (ML 8-1) and # 14 Eric the Trojan (ML 6-1) do not draw in off the Also Eligible List.
Weirdhaircut Seth, trained by Bob Hess Jr., moves up in company after taking the Place in his debut last time out, earning this field's best last out Beyer Speed Figure in the process. Danzing Candy and Prince of Arabia earned respectable Beyers in their respective debuts last time out; but both come from barns that don't often see their runners move forward when making their second attempt at graduation.
Mr. Coder and An Khe Pass are a pair of first time starters trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, whose debut runners tend to do well. Speed Check and Oppidum, both trained by Bob Baffert, seem likely to improve off their respective freshening.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P5: 3 with 12,13 with 4 with 1 with 6 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P5: 3,5 with 5,12,13 with 4,9 with 1,7 with 3,4,6,7,9,11 $72.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P5: 1 with 12,13 with 4 with 1 with 6 $1.00
$0.50 P5: 3 with 7,8,10 with 4 with 1 with 6 $1.50
$0.50 P5: 3 with 12,13 with 7,10 with 1 with 6 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 3 with 12,13 with 4 with 9,12 with 6 $2.00
$0.50 P5: 3 with 12,13 with 4 with 1 with 2,5 $2.00
Total: $82.50
Post Time for Race 1 is 3:00 EST / 12:00 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/26/15 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
Moving on to the latter part of the card on Opening Day at The Great Race Place: The Late Pick Four, featuring three Graded Stakes for runners less than one week away from turning four years old.
RACE 6 - The Mathis Brothers Mile (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 10 Om (Morning Line 5-2)
B's
# 5 Soul Driver (ML 8-1)
C’s
# 4 Professor Berns (ML 15-1)
# 9 Vigilante (ML 6-1)
# 11 Ocho Ocho Ocho (ML 10-1)
# 1 Ground Rules (ML 12-1) has been scratched.
Om looks to be much the best on paper, both in terms of class and Beyer Speed Figures; but since Om also looked to be much the best last time out when he disappointed as the Post Time odds-on favorite in the Hollywood Derby, it seems prudent to use a few others in this leg as well.
Soul Driver's form looks a lot better when you toss his last three races at nine furlongs and look just at the prior three at today's distance of eight furlongs. Soul Driver, along with Professor Berns and Vigilante, also figures to be running well late into what could be a hotly contested early pace.
Ocho Ocho Ocho returns to action after spending move than half a year on the bench. Trainer James Cassidy tends to do well with those returning from an extended layoff , and the sharp work on December 7 suggests Ocho Ocho Ocho is ready to roll.
RACE 7 - (F) The La Brea (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Hot City Girl (ML 3-1)
# 3 Cavorting (ML 5-2)
B's
# 6 Ben's Duchess (ML 3-1)
C’s
None
# 5 Lily Pod (ML 20-1) has been scratched.
Hot City Girl is much improved since donning the hood, having won all three contests in which she wore the blinkers. Cavorting, winner of the Grade 1 Test and the Grade 2 Prioress, seems to have developed a pattern where her Beyer Speed Figures run hot and cold. If the pattern holds, Saturday should be the day that she runs hot.
Ben's Duchess, winner of the Grade 3 LA Woman, is the local hero, with a career three-for-five record over this main track. Ben's Duchess has been working well for this one; note especially the best of seventy-one bullet fired Monday.
RACE 8 - The Malibu (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Runhappy (ML 6-5)
# 7 Lord Nelson (ML 5-1)
B's
# 2 Marking (ML 5-2)
C’s
# 3 Watershed (ML 4-1)
Runhappy had a great deal of success with Maria Borell as his trainer; and while Runhappy is an obviously talented runner, it remains to be seen if that success will continue with the change in conditioner.
Lord Nelson, winner of the Grade 2 San Vicente over this main track back in February, last competed back in May on the Kentucky Derby undercard; but Trainer Bob Baffert does rather well when bringing runners back from an extended vacation, and Lord Nelson has shown the ability in the past to win off just works.
Marking and Watershed, both trained by Kiaran McLaughlin, have both earned Beyer Speed Figures that fit well with this field, albeit against lesser company. I give the edge to Marking as he's the one who goes faster in their morning workouts.
RACE 9 - OC 40k/N1X - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Hunt (Ire) (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 4 Tale of Life (Jpn) (ML 7-2)
# 9 Second Summer (ML 8-1)
C's
None
# 3 China Girl Lover (ML 15-1) has been scratched. # 14 Kenjisstorm (ML 12-1) does not draw in from the Also Eligible List, but # 13 Tuco (Ire) (ML 8-1) will run.
Hunt (Ire) took the Place at this class level his last time out. Tale of Life (Jpn) gets some much needed class relief. Second Summer could be the one running best late; but there may not be enough pace here for him to chase.
Unusually Green seems to settle for a lot of minor awards; so I may have him overvalued as a "B" Selection. But make sure Unusually Green is on your tickets if you're playing the vertical wagers. What a View looks like the probable pacesetter here, so the main concern is can he hold on for nine furlongs.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10 with 2,3 with 4,7 with 5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 2,3,6 with 2,4,7 with 4,5,9,10,11 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,9,11 with 2,3 with 4,7 with 5 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 2,3 with 3 with 5 $1.00
Total: $56.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:47 EST / 2:47 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - The Mathis Brothers Mile (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 10 Om (Morning Line 5-2)
B's
# 5 Soul Driver (ML 8-1)
C’s
# 4 Professor Berns (ML 15-1)
# 9 Vigilante (ML 6-1)
# 11 Ocho Ocho Ocho (ML 10-1)
# 1 Ground Rules (ML 12-1) has been scratched.
Om looks to be much the best on paper, both in terms of class and Beyer Speed Figures; but since Om also looked to be much the best last time out when he disappointed as the Post Time odds-on favorite in the Hollywood Derby, it seems prudent to use a few others in this leg as well.
Soul Driver's form looks a lot better when you toss his last three races at nine furlongs and look just at the prior three at today's distance of eight furlongs. Soul Driver, along with Professor Berns and Vigilante, also figures to be running well late into what could be a hotly contested early pace.
Ocho Ocho Ocho returns to action after spending move than half a year on the bench. Trainer James Cassidy tends to do well with those returning from an extended layoff , and the sharp work on December 7 suggests Ocho Ocho Ocho is ready to roll.
RACE 7 - (F) The La Brea (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Hot City Girl (ML 3-1)
# 3 Cavorting (ML 5-2)
B's
# 6 Ben's Duchess (ML 3-1)
C’s
None
# 5 Lily Pod (ML 20-1) has been scratched.
Hot City Girl is much improved since donning the hood, having won all three contests in which she wore the blinkers. Cavorting, winner of the Grade 1 Test and the Grade 2 Prioress, seems to have developed a pattern where her Beyer Speed Figures run hot and cold. If the pattern holds, Saturday should be the day that she runs hot.
Ben's Duchess, winner of the Grade 3 LA Woman, is the local hero, with a career three-for-five record over this main track. Ben's Duchess has been working well for this one; note especially the best of seventy-one bullet fired Monday.
RACE 8 - The Malibu (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Runhappy (ML 6-5)
# 7 Lord Nelson (ML 5-1)
B's
# 2 Marking (ML 5-2)
C’s
# 3 Watershed (ML 4-1)
Runhappy had a great deal of success with Maria Borell as his trainer; and while Runhappy is an obviously talented runner, it remains to be seen if that success will continue with the change in conditioner.
Lord Nelson, winner of the Grade 2 San Vicente over this main track back in February, last competed back in May on the Kentucky Derby undercard; but Trainer Bob Baffert does rather well when bringing runners back from an extended vacation, and Lord Nelson has shown the ability in the past to win off just works.
Marking and Watershed, both trained by Kiaran McLaughlin, have both earned Beyer Speed Figures that fit well with this field, albeit against lesser company. I give the edge to Marking as he's the one who goes faster in their morning workouts.
RACE 9 - OC 40k/N1X - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Hunt (Ire) (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 4 Tale of Life (Jpn) (ML 7-2)
# 9 Second Summer (ML 8-1)
# 10 Unusually Green (ML 9-2)
# 11 What a View (ML 5-1)C's
None
# 3 China Girl Lover (ML 15-1) has been scratched. # 14 Kenjisstorm (ML 12-1) does not draw in from the Also Eligible List, but # 13 Tuco (Ire) (ML 8-1) will run.
Hunt (Ire) took the Place at this class level his last time out. Tale of Life (Jpn) gets some much needed class relief. Second Summer could be the one running best late; but there may not be enough pace here for him to chase.
Unusually Green seems to settle for a lot of minor awards; so I may have him overvalued as a "B" Selection. But make sure Unusually Green is on your tickets if you're playing the vertical wagers. What a View looks like the probable pacesetter here, so the main concern is can he hold on for nine furlongs.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10 with 2,3 with 4,7 with 5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 2,3,6 with 2,4,7 with 4,5,9,10,11 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,9,11 with 2,3 with 4,7 with 5 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 2,3 with 3 with 5 $1.00
Total: $56.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:47 EST / 2:47 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Friday, December 25, 2015
Merry Christmas!
“Christmas day is a day of joy and charity. May God make you very rich in both.” - Phillips Brooks
Here's hoping that Santa brought you plenty of sure things that you'll be cashing throughout the New Year. Merry Christmas!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Here's hoping that Santa brought you plenty of sure things that you'll be cashing throughout the New Year. Merry Christmas!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, December 20, 2015
12/20/15 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 9 Good for It (Final Odds 8.20) - "C" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 My Secret Affair (2.60*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 6 Cyrus Alexander (4.70) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 10 Zeekid (3.30) - "C" Selection
We've seen this before, so we all know how it works: all the winners on our tickets, but no one ticket with all the winners. For the record, here's the $0.50 Will Pay for the runner to which we were alive in the finale:
# 9 Mad Mango (0.80*) - $325.40 Finish: 2nd
Had Mad Mango won the actual payout would have been lower than the $325.40 stated above, as there were several scratches in the finale, and Mad Mango was the Post Time Favorite. But all that became moot once Zeekid pulled away and won by the length of the stretch.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 9 / 6 / 6 / 10 were rewarded with a payout of $839.85 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 6 My Secret Affair (2.60*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 6 Cyrus Alexander (4.70) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 10 Zeekid (3.30) - "C" Selection
We've seen this before, so we all know how it works: all the winners on our tickets, but no one ticket with all the winners. For the record, here's the $0.50 Will Pay for the runner to which we were alive in the finale:
# 9 Mad Mango (0.80*) - $325.40 Finish: 2nd
Had Mad Mango won the actual payout would have been lower than the $325.40 stated above, as there were several scratches in the finale, and Mad Mango was the Post Time Favorite. But all that became moot once Zeekid pulled away and won by the length of the stretch.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 9 / 6 / 6 / 10 were rewarded with a payout of $839.85 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/20/15 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Preview
Today's the closing day of the Los Al mini-meet, so this marks our final chance in 2015 to take another run at The Late Pick Four at Orange County's own Los Alamitos Race Course.
RACE 6 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 10 Blue Navy Blue (ML 7-2)
B's
# 3 Basinca (ML 5-1)
# 4 Cupid (ML 9-2)
# 7 Legitimate (ML 5-1)
C's
# 9 Good for It (ML 6-1)
# 12 It's Just Bob (ML 20-1)
# 1 One More Orman (ML 8-1) has been scratched.
Blue Navy Blue was a well beaten second in his debut behind Drefong at Del Mar last month. Blue Navy Blue is trained by John Sadler, whose chargers tend to move forward when making their second attempt to graduate. Basinca disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in his second career start last time out, but could rebound back to his debut performance for Trainer Doug O'Neill.
Cupid is a first time starter sired by Tapit and trained by Bob Baffert. Cupid was purchased for $900k as a yearling, so it's fair to say that his connections are expecting big things from him. Still, it's worth considering that they've decided to debut Cupid here, rather than wait a week for the higher MSW purses at Santa Anita; especially since Santa Anita is where Cupid has been working out.
Legitimate was the Show horse behind Blue Navy Blue last time out. Good for It adds the hood today, which may help him return to the form that he showed in his debut. It's Just Bob is a first time starter sired by Big Drama, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.
RACE 7 - Alw 25000s - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 My Secret Affair (ML 4-1)
# 7 Limited Response (ML 15-1)
B’s
# 3 No Contingency (ML 8-1)
C's
None
# 1 Athens (ML 3-1) and # 8 Bandido Too (ML 6-1) have been scratched.
Note for future reference that there are no lifetime Win restrictions on this contest. This race is open to all runners which have started for a claiming price of $25k or less either this year or last, and have not since that race won a claiming, starter, or optional claiming race exceeding $25k.
My Secret Affair took a nice step forward last time out after getting some much needed class relief, missing by just a neck while running in a $25k open claimer. Limited Response closed well two starts back to win a $25k claimer, and could get a similar pace set up today. No Contingency is a front runner who has been doing well against cheaper stock and could be a danger if he gets loose on the lead.
RACE 8 - OC 62k/N$Y - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Just Kidding (ML 5-2)
# 2 Texas Two Step (ML 7-2)
# 6 Cyrus Alexander (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 5 Prime Issue (ML 9-2)
# 7 Alfa Bird (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Just Kidding took the Place at this approximate class level last time out, earning this field's best last out Beyer Speed Figure in the process. Texas Two Step arrives from the East having shown himself to be competitive at this approximate class level. Cyrus Alexander returns to action for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, who does quite well when bringing runners back from an extended vacation.
Prime Issue, also trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, showed good early speed in his return to competition last time out, and should improve with the stretch out in distance. Alpha Bird, another returning from an extended time on the bench, shows a nice, steady work pattern leading into this. Note especially the stamina building back-to-back seven furlong works.
RACE 9 - (F) Md $20k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Mad Mango (ML 7-2)
B's
# 8 Daphne's Day (ML 9-2)
C's
# 7 Sarah Bell (ML 8-1)
# 10 Zeekid (ML 5-1)
# 2 Amitie Pour La Vie (ML 6-1) has been scratched. # 11 Sailor's Cry (ML 15-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List; but # 12 Punk Fever (ML 30-1) will run.
Mad Mango goes first off the claim for Trainer Doug O'Neill, after having taken the Place at this class level last time out. Daphne's Day, making her sixth career start, was the Show horse behind Mad Mango in that contest.
Sarah Bell took the Show at this class level last time out. Zeekid was claimed last time out after having taken the Place at this class level; but the claim was voided, and Zeekid went on the shelf for about seven months. Still, Zeekid has proven to be competitive at this class level, and Trainer Jorge Periban has had some success in bringing runners back from extended layoffs.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10 with 6,7 with 1,2,6 with 9 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,4,7,10 with 3,6,7 with 1,2,5,6,7 with 8,9 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 9,12 with 6,7 with 1,2,6 with 9 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 6,7 with 1,2,6 with 7,10 $6.00
Total: $78.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:58 EST / 2:58 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 10 Blue Navy Blue (ML 7-2)
B's
# 3 Basinca (ML 5-1)
# 4 Cupid (ML 9-2)
# 7 Legitimate (ML 5-1)
C's
# 9 Good for It (ML 6-1)
# 12 It's Just Bob (ML 20-1)
# 1 One More Orman (ML 8-1) has been scratched.
Blue Navy Blue was a well beaten second in his debut behind Drefong at Del Mar last month. Blue Navy Blue is trained by John Sadler, whose chargers tend to move forward when making their second attempt to graduate. Basinca disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in his second career start last time out, but could rebound back to his debut performance for Trainer Doug O'Neill.
Cupid is a first time starter sired by Tapit and trained by Bob Baffert. Cupid was purchased for $900k as a yearling, so it's fair to say that his connections are expecting big things from him. Still, it's worth considering that they've decided to debut Cupid here, rather than wait a week for the higher MSW purses at Santa Anita; especially since Santa Anita is where Cupid has been working out.
Legitimate was the Show horse behind Blue Navy Blue last time out. Good for It adds the hood today, which may help him return to the form that he showed in his debut. It's Just Bob is a first time starter sired by Big Drama, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.
RACE 7 - Alw 25000s - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 My Secret Affair (ML 4-1)
# 7 Limited Response (ML 15-1)
B’s
# 3 No Contingency (ML 8-1)
C's
None
# 1 Athens (ML 3-1) and # 8 Bandido Too (ML 6-1) have been scratched.
Note for future reference that there are no lifetime Win restrictions on this contest. This race is open to all runners which have started for a claiming price of $25k or less either this year or last, and have not since that race won a claiming, starter, or optional claiming race exceeding $25k.
My Secret Affair took a nice step forward last time out after getting some much needed class relief, missing by just a neck while running in a $25k open claimer. Limited Response closed well two starts back to win a $25k claimer, and could get a similar pace set up today. No Contingency is a front runner who has been doing well against cheaper stock and could be a danger if he gets loose on the lead.
RACE 8 - OC 62k/N$Y - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Just Kidding (ML 5-2)
# 2 Texas Two Step (ML 7-2)
# 6 Cyrus Alexander (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 5 Prime Issue (ML 9-2)
# 7 Alfa Bird (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Just Kidding took the Place at this approximate class level last time out, earning this field's best last out Beyer Speed Figure in the process. Texas Two Step arrives from the East having shown himself to be competitive at this approximate class level. Cyrus Alexander returns to action for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, who does quite well when bringing runners back from an extended vacation.
Prime Issue, also trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, showed good early speed in his return to competition last time out, and should improve with the stretch out in distance. Alpha Bird, another returning from an extended time on the bench, shows a nice, steady work pattern leading into this. Note especially the stamina building back-to-back seven furlong works.
RACE 9 - (F) Md $20k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Mad Mango (ML 7-2)
B's
# 8 Daphne's Day (ML 9-2)
C's
# 7 Sarah Bell (ML 8-1)
# 10 Zeekid (ML 5-1)
# 2 Amitie Pour La Vie (ML 6-1) has been scratched. # 11 Sailor's Cry (ML 15-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List; but # 12 Punk Fever (ML 30-1) will run.
Mad Mango goes first off the claim for Trainer Doug O'Neill, after having taken the Place at this class level last time out. Daphne's Day, making her sixth career start, was the Show horse behind Mad Mango in that contest.
Sarah Bell took the Show at this class level last time out. Zeekid was claimed last time out after having taken the Place at this class level; but the claim was voided, and Zeekid went on the shelf for about seven months. Still, Zeekid has proven to be competitive at this class level, and Trainer Jorge Periban has had some success in bringing runners back from extended layoffs.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10 with 6,7 with 1,2,6 with 9 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,4,7,10 with 3,6,7 with 1,2,5,6,7 with 8,9 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 9,12 with 6,7 with 1,2,6 with 9 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 6,7 with 1,2,6 with 7,10 $6.00
Total: $78.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:58 EST / 2:58 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, December 19, 2015
12/19/15 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 6 Roper (Final Odds 5.90) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 10 Show Stealer (19.90) - No Selection
Race 8 - The Los Alamitos Futurity - # 5 Mor Spirit (0.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 10 Eddie Haskell (1.70*) - "C" Selection
We lost a heart breaker in the second leg, as Show Stealer won the photo over our "B" Selection # 2 Holograeme (3.70) by the slimmest of margins. But as it turned out, losing that nail biter saved us from the even bigger heartbreak of once again having all the winners on our tickets, but not having all the winners on any single ticket.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 6 / 10 / 5 / 10 were rewarded with a payout of $343.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 10 Show Stealer (19.90) - No Selection
Race 8 - The Los Alamitos Futurity - # 5 Mor Spirit (0.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 10 Eddie Haskell (1.70*) - "C" Selection
We lost a heart breaker in the second leg, as Show Stealer won the photo over our "B" Selection # 2 Holograeme (3.70) by the slimmest of margins. But as it turned out, losing that nail biter saved us from the even bigger heartbreak of once again having all the winners on our tickets, but not having all the winners on any single ticket.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 6 / 10 / 5 / 10 were rewarded with a payout of $343.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/19/15 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Preview
It's the final weekend of the current Los Alamitos meet, and Saturday's card includes the meet's featured event, the Grade 1 Los Alamitos Futurity. That's Race 8 in the program, and we'll be looking at it below as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at Orange County's own Los Alamitos Race Course.
RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Percy's Bluff (Morning Line 4-1)
# 6 Roper (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Okaad (ML 5-2)
# 3 Syndicated (ML 7-2)
# 8 Bound for Heaven (ML 10-1)
C's
None
Percy's Bluff is running for a more expensive price tag than the one that he had on his head when he won last time out; but it's not really much, if any, of a class jump, as the prior race was for open claimers, while this one is limited to runners in the N2X category. The main concern with Percy's Bluff is how well his form will hold with the move back to dirt.
It took Roper eleven tries to graduate; but his form is much improved since he put on the hood three starts back. Okaad won with a nice come from behind effort last time out; and there should be enough pace for him to chase in this field.
Syndicated and Bound for Heaven are both trained by Kelly Castaneda. Syndicated has shown a tendency to settle for a lot of minor awards; but the drop in class should do him well. Bound for Heaven projects to be the speed of the speed, and could be tough to catch if he gets loose.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N$Y - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Madam Aamoura (ML 12-1)
# 9 Runaway Cherie (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 2 Holograeme (ML 3-1)
# 5 Enduring Erin (ML 5-1)
# 6 Wonderful Lie (ML 6-1)
C's
None
# 11 Grazenette (ML 6-1) and # 12 Backintheacademy (ML 12-1) do not draw in off the Also Eligible List.
Madam Aamoura, trained by Bob Baffert, sure didn't like charging down the hill at Santa Anita last time out. Madam Aamoura should appreciate a return to dirt, where she has yet to finish out of the Trifecta in five tries.
Runaway Cherie, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, will be adding blinkers today. Runaway Cherie's five furlong workout last week over the Santa Anita main track, where she was best out of seventy-six, suggests that she's ready to roll.
Holograeme's lone career victory came in her only prior start on this track. Enduring Erin could be the one running best late. Wonderful Lie moves up in class from the state restricted ranks; but the Beyer Speed Figures that Wonderful Lie has been earning fit well with the contenders here.
RACE 8 - The Los Alamitos Futurity (Grade 1) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Toews On Ice (ML 9-5)
# 5 Mor Spirit (ML 8-5)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Urlacher (ML 10-1)
# 6 Sorryaboutnothing (ML 12-1)
Toews On Ice and Mor Spirit, both trained by Bob Baffert, appear to be head and shoulders above the rest of the field at this point in time. In the unlikely event that the two Baffert runners should both falter today, Urlacher and Sorryaboutnothing appear to be the best of the rest, especially if they can stay out of each other's way.
RACE 9 - [S] MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Lymebyrd (ML 3-1)
B's
# 5 Blue Ridge Mtn (ML 20-1)
C's
# 2 Pee Wee Reese (ML 5-1)
# 9 Nat's Nation (ML 12-1)
# 10 Eddie Haskell (ML 5-2)
# 1 Bobby Z (No Line) is a program scratch. # 8 Gutsy Effort (ML 12-1) has also been scratched.
Lymebyrd just missed graduating by a neck at this class level in his debut last time out. Bleu Ridge Mtn showed some quickness in his debut last time out, and should benefit from the drop in class from open company to state bred. Pee Wee Reese, Nat's Nation, and Eddie Haskell are a trio of first time starters from sires whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.
RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Percy's Bluff (Morning Line 4-1)
# 6 Roper (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Okaad (ML 5-2)
# 3 Syndicated (ML 7-2)
# 8 Bound for Heaven (ML 10-1)
C's
None
Percy's Bluff is running for a more expensive price tag than the one that he had on his head when he won last time out; but it's not really much, if any, of a class jump, as the prior race was for open claimers, while this one is limited to runners in the N2X category. The main concern with Percy's Bluff is how well his form will hold with the move back to dirt.
It took Roper eleven tries to graduate; but his form is much improved since he put on the hood three starts back. Okaad won with a nice come from behind effort last time out; and there should be enough pace for him to chase in this field.
Syndicated and Bound for Heaven are both trained by Kelly Castaneda. Syndicated has shown a tendency to settle for a lot of minor awards; but the drop in class should do him well. Bound for Heaven projects to be the speed of the speed, and could be tough to catch if he gets loose.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N$Y - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Madam Aamoura (ML 12-1)
# 9 Runaway Cherie (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 2 Holograeme (ML 3-1)
# 5 Enduring Erin (ML 5-1)
# 6 Wonderful Lie (ML 6-1)
C's
None
# 11 Grazenette (ML 6-1) and # 12 Backintheacademy (ML 12-1) do not draw in off the Also Eligible List.
Madam Aamoura, trained by Bob Baffert, sure didn't like charging down the hill at Santa Anita last time out. Madam Aamoura should appreciate a return to dirt, where she has yet to finish out of the Trifecta in five tries.
Runaway Cherie, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, will be adding blinkers today. Runaway Cherie's five furlong workout last week over the Santa Anita main track, where she was best out of seventy-six, suggests that she's ready to roll.
Holograeme's lone career victory came in her only prior start on this track. Enduring Erin could be the one running best late. Wonderful Lie moves up in class from the state restricted ranks; but the Beyer Speed Figures that Wonderful Lie has been earning fit well with the contenders here.
RACE 8 - The Los Alamitos Futurity (Grade 1) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Toews On Ice (ML 9-5)
# 5 Mor Spirit (ML 8-5)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Urlacher (ML 10-1)
# 6 Sorryaboutnothing (ML 12-1)
Toews On Ice and Mor Spirit, both trained by Bob Baffert, appear to be head and shoulders above the rest of the field at this point in time. In the unlikely event that the two Baffert runners should both falter today, Urlacher and Sorryaboutnothing appear to be the best of the rest, especially if they can stay out of each other's way.
RACE 9 - [S] MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Lymebyrd (ML 3-1)
B's
# 5 Blue Ridge Mtn (ML 20-1)
C's
# 2 Pee Wee Reese (ML 5-1)
# 9 Nat's Nation (ML 12-1)
# 10 Eddie Haskell (ML 5-2)
# 1 Bobby Z (No Line) is a program scratch. # 8 Gutsy Effort (ML 12-1) has also been scratched.
Lymebyrd just missed graduating by a neck at this class level in his debut last time out. Bleu Ridge Mtn showed some quickness in his debut last time out, and should benefit from the drop in class from open company to state bred. Pee Wee Reese, Nat's Nation, and Eddie Haskell are a trio of first time starters from sires whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5,6 with 8,9 with 4,5 with 7 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,5,6,8 with 2,5,6,8,9 with 4,5 with 5,7 $50.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 8,9 with 1,6 with 7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 8,9 with 4,5 with 2,9,10 $12.00
Total: $74.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:58 EST / 2:58 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, December 12, 2015
12/12/15 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 1 Kellianne Can Can (Final Odds 3.10) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - The King Glorious - # 9 Found Money (1.00*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - The Starlet - # 2 Street Fancy (6.30) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 3 Dixie Spice (12.00) - No Selection
Just for grins and giggles, here are the Place finishers in each of the above four races:
Race 6 - # 3 Room On the Broom (3.80) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - The King Glorious - # 8 Glory Bound (16.70) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Starlet - # 3 Stays in Vegas (3.60) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 7 Two Steps of Glory (1.40*) - "A" Selection
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 1 / 9 / 2 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $529.25 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - The King Glorious - # 9 Found Money (1.00*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - The Starlet - # 2 Street Fancy (6.30) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 3 Dixie Spice (12.00) - No Selection
Just for grins and giggles, here are the Place finishers in each of the above four races:
Race 6 - # 3 Room On the Broom (3.80) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - The King Glorious - # 8 Glory Bound (16.70) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Starlet - # 3 Stays in Vegas (3.60) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 7 Two Steps of Glory (1.40*) - "A" Selection
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 1 / 9 / 2 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $529.25 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/12/15 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Preview
It's the middle weekend of the Los Al Fall-Winter Thoroughbred Meet, and to mark the occasion we've been gifted an all juvenile Late Pick Four. There are a pair of stakes on the card, as Race 7 is the state-restricted King Glorious, while Race 8 is the Grade 1 Starlet for the fillies. We'll be looking at both of those in depth, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at Orange County's own Los Alamitos Race Course.
RACE 6 - (F) OC 40k/Alw 40000s - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Room On the Broom (Morning Line 5-2)
# 4 Pico Chick (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Kellianne Can Can (ML 3-1)
C's
RACE 6 - (F) OC 40k/Alw 40000s - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Room On the Broom (Morning Line 5-2)
# 4 Pico Chick (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Kellianne Can Can (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Seaside Fantasy (ML 4-1)
# 5 Story of Her Life (ML 10-1)
The conditions for this contest for juvenile fillies are as follows:
1) Have started for a claiming price of $40k or less (make it $50k or less if the horse is California bred or sired);
AND
2) Have never won two races;
OR
3) Claiming price of $40k.
Last things first: if you're willing to let your two year old filly run with a $40k price tag on her head, then you can enter her in this race regardless of how many career wins she may or may not have, or what if any claiming price she may have run with in any of her prior races. If you don't want to put your juvenile filly up for sale, then she has to match both of the first two conditions. For the record, none of the runners competing in this field have more than one career victory, while three of the entrants (Room On the Broom; Seaside Fantasy; and # 6 Central Casting (ML 15-1)) will be running for a tag.
Room On the Broom took the Place upstate last time out against OC 40k/N1X company, though that was more of a case of the rest of the field other than the winner backing up faster than she did in the stretch. Room On the Broom is the only runner in this field to have won at today's distance, and her works over the Santa Anita main track suggest that she should improve moving away from Golden Gate's synthetic surface.
Pico Chick broke her maiden in her third try last time out, winning by as many as she pleased, and earning a Beyer Speed Figure in the process that towers over the career bests of the other entrants. The concern with Pico Chick is that this will be her first try around two turns, and she may may find herself with a lot more company today on the front end early than she did in her last contest.
Kellianne Can Can and Story of Her Life each took the Show in separate events at this class level last time out. Kellianne Can Can could move forward with the switch from turf to dirt. Seaside Fantasy has been showing steady improvement over her last several races.
RACE 7 - [S] The King Glorious $100k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Glory Bound (ML 12-1)
B's
# 6 Family Code (ML 5-1)
# 9 Found Money (ML 7-2)
C's
# 3 Record Highs (ML 5-1)
# 7 Tough It Out (ML 4-1)
# 10 Xingontothebone (ML 6-1)
# 11 Gosofar (ML 20-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List.
Glory Bound, possessor of the best last out Beyer Speed Figure in this field, in the only runner in this contest with a prior victory at today's distance on a fast dirt track. Family Code looks to be the speed of the speed here and may improve with the added distance. Found Money is the only prior stakes winner in this field, having defeated open company in the $125k Santa Anita Juvenile back in June.
Record Highs could improve with the added distance. Tough It Out graduated around two turns last time out; but that was on the Del Mar grass, and he may regress with the return to dirt. Xingontothebone made a nice move forward with the blinkers being put back on last time out.
RACE 8 - (F) The Starlet (Grade 1) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Stays in Vegas (ML 7-2)
B's
# 6 Surfside Tiara (ML 6-1)
# 9 Pretty N Cool (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Treasuring (ML 6-1)
# 4 Pacific Heat (ML 3-1)
Stays in Vegas is four-for-five for her career, all four wins coming in listed stakes. Stays in Vegas' last two wins came on the grass, but Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer does quite well when moving his runners from turf to dirt.
Surfside Tiara, also trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, has been progressing nicely and could make another move forward today. Pretty N Cool, trained by Bob Baffert, is the only prior Graded Stakes winner in this field. But Pretty N Cool's only two career losses came in the only two races where she went beyond six and a half furlongs; perhaps that's just a coincidence, or perhaps Pretty N Cool just doesn't want the added distance.
Treasuring, also trained by Bob Baffert, has been progressing nicely and could be speed on the rail. Pacific Heat was an easy winner in both races of her two race career. But this will be Pacific Heat's first try against open company, and the Beyer Speed Figures that she earned in those two victories were not especially strong.
RACE 9 - (F) Md $30k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Two Steps of Glory (ML 7-2)
# 9 Sarno's B F F (ML 8-1)
B's
# 2 Avaudrey (ML 3-1)
C's
# 4 B K Miss (ML 9-2)
# 6 Betty's Joy (ML 8-1)
# 10 Reinhermosa (ML 5-1)
# 1 Papa's Maggie (No Line) is a program scratch.
Last time out Two Steps of Glory dropped in class, cut back in distance, moved from turf to dirt, and added blinkers; only to disappoint as the Post Time Favorite. Still, she did hold the Place after a strong pace duel, and having to travel a half furlong less today may make the difference.
Sarno's B F F, trained by Doug O'Neill, wanted no part of two turns last time out, and should improve today with the turn back in distance and the addition of blinkers. Avaudrey took the Show in her debut last time out. The concern with Avaudrey is that runners trained by George Papaprodromou rarely move forward when making their second attempt to graduate.
B K Miss and Betty's Joy both ran well in their respective debuts last time out, and could move forward today. Reinhermosa has finished in the money several times at this class level; so the talent is there, now it's just a matter of desire.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3,4 with 8 with 3 with 7,9 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4 with 6,8,9 with 3,6,9 with 2,7,9 $40.50
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,5 with 8 with 3 with 7,9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 3,4 with 3,7,10 with 3 with 7,9 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 3,4 with 8 with 1,4 with 7,9 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 3,4 with 8 with 3 with 4,6,10 $3.00
Total: $59.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:58 EST / 2:58 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, December 6, 2015
12/6/15 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 1 Flyin for a Livin (Final Odds 1.80) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Basmati (1.20*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 9 Follow Me Crev (11.60) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 8 Afleet Domination (0.90*) - "A" Selection
For the second time this weekend we were alive in The Late Pick Four heading into the final leg. Today, however, the horse was with us.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other runners to which we were alive in the finale:
# 3 Academic Affair (3.80) - $243.40 Finish: 4th
# 4 Dominic’s Way (16.60) - $998.00 Finish: 3rd
# 7 William Crotty (3.30) - $369.20 Finish: 5th
But that's what might have been. The actual winning Pick Four sequence of 1 / 4 / 9 / 8 paid $152.85 for a fifty cent wager. That makes for a profit of $93.85 on our $59 investment, or approximate odds of 1.59-1.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 4 Basmati (1.20*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 9 Follow Me Crev (11.60) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 8 Afleet Domination (0.90*) - "A" Selection
For the second time this weekend we were alive in The Late Pick Four heading into the final leg. Today, however, the horse was with us.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other runners to which we were alive in the finale:
# 3 Academic Affair (3.80) - $243.40 Finish: 4th
# 4 Dominic’s Way (16.60) - $998.00 Finish: 3rd
# 7 William Crotty (3.30) - $369.20 Finish: 5th
But that's what might have been. The actual winning Pick Four sequence of 1 / 4 / 9 / 8 paid $152.85 for a fifty cent wager. That makes for a profit of $93.85 on our $59 investment, or approximate odds of 1.59-1.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/6/15 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Preview
No stakes on the card Sunday in SoCal, so an Optional Claimer will have to suffice as the featured race. Still, what the card may lack in class it more than makes up for in competitiveness, as the quartet of races that we'll be examining all look as if they will be closely contested. So with that, let's get ready to take a run at The Late Pick Four at Orange County's own Los Alamitos Race Course.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $8k N2X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Mudge (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Flyin for a Livin (ML 2-1)
C's
# 3 Summers Dignity (ML 4-1)
# 4 Hidden Reality (ML 3-1)
Mudge, two-for-two lifetime over this main track, took the Show at this class level last time out at Del Mar at today's distance. Flyin for a Livin gets some much needed class relief.
Summer Dignity took the Place against more expensive stock the last time she routed on a fast dirt track. Hidden Reality has finished in the Trifecta two of the three times in her career that she has competed on dirt.
RACE 7 - Clm $32k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Basmati (ML 8-5)
B’s
# 3 Juansagain (ML 5-1)
# 6 Guns Loaded (ML 3-1)
C's
None
# 7 Oh Daddy Oh (ML 15-1) has been scratched.
Basmati won at this level last time out, but his claim was voided due to unsoundness; so will he be healthy enough to win at this level again today? Basmati has worked a couple of times since that win/voided claim; and while those works weren't all that sharp, his works prior to winning last time out weren't all that sharp either. Without much more to go on, I'm going to presume that if the track vet lets him compete today, then that means that Basmati is healthy enough to win.
Juansagain has the best last out Beyer's Speed Figure in this field; but Juansagain had things pretty much all his own way in that one, and this will be a much tougher class test. Guns Loaded took the Show behind Basmati last time out, and may improve with the turn back in distance.
RACE 8 - OC 40k/N$Y - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 J Serino (ML 5-1)
# 6 Grazen (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 2 Avanti Bello (ML 3-1)
# 9 Follow Me Crev (ML 6-1)
C's
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $8k N2X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Mudge (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Flyin for a Livin (ML 2-1)
C's
# 3 Summers Dignity (ML 4-1)
# 4 Hidden Reality (ML 3-1)
Mudge, two-for-two lifetime over this main track, took the Show at this class level last time out at Del Mar at today's distance. Flyin for a Livin gets some much needed class relief.
Summer Dignity took the Place against more expensive stock the last time she routed on a fast dirt track. Hidden Reality has finished in the Trifecta two of the three times in her career that she has competed on dirt.
RACE 7 - Clm $32k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Basmati (ML 8-5)
B’s
# 3 Juansagain (ML 5-1)
# 6 Guns Loaded (ML 3-1)
C's
None
# 7 Oh Daddy Oh (ML 15-1) has been scratched.
Basmati won at this level last time out, but his claim was voided due to unsoundness; so will he be healthy enough to win at this level again today? Basmati has worked a couple of times since that win/voided claim; and while those works weren't all that sharp, his works prior to winning last time out weren't all that sharp either. Without much more to go on, I'm going to presume that if the track vet lets him compete today, then that means that Basmati is healthy enough to win.
Juansagain has the best last out Beyer's Speed Figure in this field; but Juansagain had things pretty much all his own way in that one, and this will be a much tougher class test. Guns Loaded took the Show behind Basmati last time out, and may improve with the turn back in distance.
RACE 8 - OC 40k/N$Y - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 J Serino (ML 5-1)
# 6 Grazen (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 2 Avanti Bello (ML 3-1)
# 9 Follow Me Crev (ML 6-1)
C's
# 3 Waymond Boyd (ML 20-1)
# 7 Dream Team (ML 5-1)
J Serino, going third off the layoff, is the possessor of this field's best last out Beyer's Speed Figure, earned at this approximate class level. Grazen Sky took the Place at this approximate class level two starts back. Avanti Bello has earned speed figures of late that fit well with the contends here; but this will be his first start this year in a race not restricted to California bred runners. Follow Me Crev had a sharp workout over the Santa Anita main track on 11/23, which is a pretty good indicator that his turf form will carry over to dirt.
Waymond Boyd and Dream Team, both trained by Bob Baffert, are a little light in the speed figure department to be considered among the top contenders here; but when else are you going to get these kinds of odds on a pair of Baffert horses?
RACE 9 - Md $30k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 William Crotty (ML 3-1)
# 8 Afleet Domination (ML 5-2)
B's
# 3 Academic Affair (ML 3-1)
# 4 Dominic's Way (ML 6-1)
C's
# 6 Sunny Truce (ML 6-1)
William Crotty, running for the first time with a price tag on his head, looks to be the speed of the speed here, especially with the addition of blinkers. Afleet Domination took the Show against more expensive last time out.
Academic Affair's sire and dam sire were both Grade One Stakes winners on the dirt; it therefore would not be a surprise to see Academic Affair improve moving from synthetic to dirt. Dominic's Way showed good early speed in his debut two starts back. Sunny Truce may improve with the stretch out to two turns.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2 with 4 with 5,6 with 7,8 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2 with 3,4,6 with 2,5,6,9 with 3,4,7,8 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,4 with 4 with 5,6 with 7,8 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 4 with 3,7 with 7,8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 4 with 5,6 with 6 $1.00
Total: $59.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:58 EST / 2:58 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, December 5, 2015
12/5/15 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 6 Red Toro (Final Odds 5.50) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 Privileged One (1.30*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Soviet Problem - # 3 Roo's Valentine (2.50) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 11 Zorro's Storm (16.80) - No Selection
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other runners to which we were alive in the finale:
# 4 Small Town Shuffle (2.10*) - $149.75 Finish: 4th
# 7 Five Star Jack (2.80) - $197.45 Finish: 3rd
# 8 Swiss Missile (4.50) - $376.05 Finish: 5th
But such was not to be.
The winner of the finale, Zorro's Storm, had entered today's race after having finished sixth his last time out, seventeen lengths behind the winner, in a contest at today's class level. Zorro's Storm had earned a Beyer's Speed Figure of seventeen for that effort, making it the best result of his three race career, both in terms of speed figure earned and distance from the winner at the wire. Four of Zorro's Storm's opponents today had earned a Beyer's Speed Figure at least double that seventeen in their most recent races.
Still, Zorro's Storm had shown some quick foot in two of his prior starts; and his Jockey / Trainer tandem of Edwin Maldonado and Jorge Periban have shown themselves to be better together than separately. And besides, we didn't have the Place horse, # 2 Star Express (8.20) either, so we weren't going to win this race regardless of what Zorro's Storm did.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 6 / 5 / 3 / 11 were rewarded with a payout of $1,038.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 5 Privileged One (1.30*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Soviet Problem - # 3 Roo's Valentine (2.50) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 11 Zorro's Storm (16.80) - No Selection
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other runners to which we were alive in the finale:
# 4 Small Town Shuffle (2.10*) - $149.75 Finish: 4th
# 7 Five Star Jack (2.80) - $197.45 Finish: 3rd
# 8 Swiss Missile (4.50) - $376.05 Finish: 5th
But such was not to be.
The winner of the finale, Zorro's Storm, had entered today's race after having finished sixth his last time out, seventeen lengths behind the winner, in a contest at today's class level. Zorro's Storm had earned a Beyer's Speed Figure of seventeen for that effort, making it the best result of his three race career, both in terms of speed figure earned and distance from the winner at the wire. Four of Zorro's Storm's opponents today had earned a Beyer's Speed Figure at least double that seventeen in their most recent races.
Still, Zorro's Storm had shown some quick foot in two of his prior starts; and his Jockey / Trainer tandem of Edwin Maldonado and Jorge Periban have shown themselves to be better together than separately. And besides, we didn't have the Place horse, # 2 Star Express (8.20) either, so we weren't going to win this race regardless of what Zorro's Storm did.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 6 / 5 / 3 / 11 were rewarded with a payout of $1,038.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/5/15 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Preview
It's the first Saturday of Los Alamitos' "Just a Few More Weeks Until Santa Anita Opens" Meet. The Soviet Problem for California bred two year old fillies is the featured race on the card; we'll be looking at that one as we take a run at The Late Pick Four at Orange County's own Los Alamitos Race Course.
RACE 6 - Md $20k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Upbeat Tempo (Morning Line 2-1)
B's
# 6 Red Toro (ML 5-1)
# 8 Magic Moon (ML 9-5)
C's
# 7 I'm a Keeper Too (ML 10-1)
Upbeat Tempo took the Place last time out at this class level, earning a Beyer's Speed Figure in the process that towers over anything his competitors have earned in their most recent starts. But Upbeat Tempo's last race was back in June, and runners for Trainer Ron Ellis don't fare exceptionally well when returning from an extended layoff. So some caution is advised; though the steady workout pattern that Upbeat Tempo has been following would seem to indicate that he is ready to roll.
Red Toro drops in for his cheapest price yet, and could be the quickest out of the gate. Magic Moon, trained by Bob Baffert, is another class dropper that has shown good early speed against more expensive stock.
The best Beyer Speed Figure that I'm a Keeper Too has earned in his two race career is a six (s-i-x; six). But he is adding blinkers today, a move with which Trainer Jerry Fanning has had some success. I'm a Keeper Too also had that nice bullet work over the Santa Anita main track back on November 18. I'm a Keeper Too certainly needs to show a great deal of improvement in order to contend here; but, the more I look, the more I think that maybe, just maybe, he will.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $16k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Privileged One (ML 5-2)
# 6 Private Terrace (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 3 My Silver Cat (ML 3-1)
# 4 Cause Ur My Babe (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Runningwiththelute (ML 5-1)
# 2 Smil'n From Above (ML 6-1)
I'm seeing this contest as being pretty wide open, so all six runners are being used on our tickets in some form.
Privileged One wanted no part of the grass last time out. We'll find out today if there was an injury involved in that poor effort, as Privileged One at 100% shouldn't have too much trouble with this field.
Private Terrace takes a major class drop from open company at today's price tag to this conditioned field. Two starts back Private Terrace defeated open $12.5k claimers over this main track.
My Silver Cat is a lightly raced three year old with a two race winning streak. Cause Ur My Babe has shown good early speed in her recent races upstate on the synthetic stuff; should that early speed carry over to the dirt, it could put My Silver Cat in a commanding position early.
Runningwiththelute hasn't been able to find the Winner's Circle in over a year; but her recent workouts were sharp, and Runningwiththelute has yet to finish out of the Exacta in her five career starts over this main track. Smil'n From Above has too much talent to ignore, but settles for too many minor awards to be considered and "A" or "B" Selection.
RACE 8 - (F) The Soviet Problem $100k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Roo's Valentine (ML 3-1)
# 7 Just Google Me (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
None
# 5 Patriotic Diamond (ML 9-5) has been scratched.
It took four tries for Roo's Valentine to graduate; but her Beyer's Speed Figures show steady improvement, and she could be alone on the front end in today's contest. Just Google Me, with the scratch of Patriotic Diamond, is the only runner in this field with multiple victories, one of which was in The Barretts Debutante Stakes two starts back.
RACE 9 - Md $30k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Small Town Shuffle (ML 3-1)
B's
# 7 Five Star Jack (ML 5-2)
# 8 Swiss Missile (ML 6-1)
C's
RACE 6 - Md $20k - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Upbeat Tempo (Morning Line 2-1)
B's
# 6 Red Toro (ML 5-1)
# 8 Magic Moon (ML 9-5)
C's
# 7 I'm a Keeper Too (ML 10-1)
Upbeat Tempo took the Place last time out at this class level, earning a Beyer's Speed Figure in the process that towers over anything his competitors have earned in their most recent starts. But Upbeat Tempo's last race was back in June, and runners for Trainer Ron Ellis don't fare exceptionally well when returning from an extended layoff. So some caution is advised; though the steady workout pattern that Upbeat Tempo has been following would seem to indicate that he is ready to roll.
Red Toro drops in for his cheapest price yet, and could be the quickest out of the gate. Magic Moon, trained by Bob Baffert, is another class dropper that has shown good early speed against more expensive stock.
The best Beyer Speed Figure that I'm a Keeper Too has earned in his two race career is a six (s-i-x; six). But he is adding blinkers today, a move with which Trainer Jerry Fanning has had some success. I'm a Keeper Too also had that nice bullet work over the Santa Anita main track back on November 18. I'm a Keeper Too certainly needs to show a great deal of improvement in order to contend here; but, the more I look, the more I think that maybe, just maybe, he will.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $16k N2X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Privileged One (ML 5-2)
# 6 Private Terrace (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 3 My Silver Cat (ML 3-1)
# 4 Cause Ur My Babe (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Runningwiththelute (ML 5-1)
# 2 Smil'n From Above (ML 6-1)
I'm seeing this contest as being pretty wide open, so all six runners are being used on our tickets in some form.
Privileged One wanted no part of the grass last time out. We'll find out today if there was an injury involved in that poor effort, as Privileged One at 100% shouldn't have too much trouble with this field.
Private Terrace takes a major class drop from open company at today's price tag to this conditioned field. Two starts back Private Terrace defeated open $12.5k claimers over this main track.
My Silver Cat is a lightly raced three year old with a two race winning streak. Cause Ur My Babe has shown good early speed in her recent races upstate on the synthetic stuff; should that early speed carry over to the dirt, it could put My Silver Cat in a commanding position early.
Runningwiththelute hasn't been able to find the Winner's Circle in over a year; but her recent workouts were sharp, and Runningwiththelute has yet to finish out of the Exacta in her five career starts over this main track. Smil'n From Above has too much talent to ignore, but settles for too many minor awards to be considered and "A" or "B" Selection.
RACE 8 - (F) The Soviet Problem $100k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Roo's Valentine (ML 3-1)
# 7 Just Google Me (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
None
# 5 Patriotic Diamond (ML 9-5) has been scratched.
It took four tries for Roo's Valentine to graduate; but her Beyer's Speed Figures show steady improvement, and she could be alone on the front end in today's contest. Just Google Me, with the scratch of Patriotic Diamond, is the only runner in this field with multiple victories, one of which was in The Barretts Debutante Stakes two starts back.
RACE 9 - Md $30k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Small Town Shuffle (ML 3-1)
B's
# 7 Five Star Jack (ML 5-2)
# 8 Swiss Missile (ML 6-1)
C's
# 3 Blue Copper (ML 6-1)
# 5 Tough Spot (ML 8-1)
# 1 Sunny Truce (No Line) is a program scratch.
Small Town Shuffle has the best last out Beyer Speed Figure in this field, and projects to be the early speed. The concern with Small Town Shuffle is that his two best races, in each of which he took the Place at this class level, were both at six furlongs or longer.
Five Star Jack drops in for the cheapest tag of his career after showing good early speed against more expensive stock. Swiss Missile took the Place at this class level two starts back.
Blue Copper gets a change of barn after failing as the Post Time Favorite at this class level in his debut last time out. Tough Spot is a debut runner sired by Papa Clem, whose first time starters tend to do well.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 5,6 with 3,7 with 4 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,6,8 with 3,4,5,6 with 3,7 with 4,7,8 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 7 with 5,6 with 3,7 with 4 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,2 with 3,7 with 4 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5,6 with 3,7 with 3,5 $4.00
Total: $48.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:58 EST / 2:58 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, November 29, 2015
11/29/15 Del Mar Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - The Cecil B DeMille - # 10 Dressed in Hermes (Final Odds 3.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 11 Arabian Legend (7.50) - No Selection
Race 8 - The Matriarch - # 10 Stormy Lucy (65.40) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 2 Uncle Lino (7.50) - "B" Selection
We dodged a bullet in the opening leg when Dressed in Hermes came on late to pass # 2 Collected (8.90) in the stretch, as Collected was a runner who most certainly should have been on our tickets but wasn't. Collected had won his debut effort charging down the Santa Anita hill last time out without ever having been more than a half length away from the lead. Such a strong effort should have merited Collected consideration by us, and we were fortunate that he came up second best.
Should we have used Race 7 winner Arabian Legend on our tickets? Well, hindsight being twenty / twenty the answer is of course; he won. But pre-race it was a legitimate question as to whether or not the improvement Arabian Legend showed in his last race was due to the switch to the turf; which, as a son of Scat Daddy, is where you would expect Arabian Legend to succeed. Still, the bullet work over the Santa Anita main track on 11/20 (where Arabian Legend covered four furlongs in forty-six and two fifths seconds) should have alerted us that he was ready to run huge, regardless of which surface he was on.
But while we hope to learn from our errors in the first half of the sequence, it's hard to feel truly bad about the end result; because no matter how perfectly we may have played Races 6 and 7, there was no way we were hitting today's Pick Four, because there was not way I was going to have Stormy Lucy on any of my tickets.
Today was Stormy Lucy's first win since she took the Grade 3 Santa Barbara Handicap (as the Post Time Favorite) back on April 13, 2014. Not only had she failed to win any of her eight races since that event, Stormy Lucy had not even taken the Place in any race since that victory. Stormy Lucy had not earned a Beyer Speed Figure above 94 in any of her previous thirty races in her career; meanwhile, six of her opponents today had topped that 94 figure in either or both of their two most recent contests. My congratulations to those lucky few who won with her today; but going into today's race, I wouldn't have bet Stormy Lucy on a dare.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 10 / 11 / 10 / 2 were rewarded with a payout of $25,229.95 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 11 Arabian Legend (7.50) - No Selection
Race 8 - The Matriarch - # 10 Stormy Lucy (65.40) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 2 Uncle Lino (7.50) - "B" Selection
We dodged a bullet in the opening leg when Dressed in Hermes came on late to pass # 2 Collected (8.90) in the stretch, as Collected was a runner who most certainly should have been on our tickets but wasn't. Collected had won his debut effort charging down the Santa Anita hill last time out without ever having been more than a half length away from the lead. Such a strong effort should have merited Collected consideration by us, and we were fortunate that he came up second best.
Should we have used Race 7 winner Arabian Legend on our tickets? Well, hindsight being twenty / twenty the answer is of course; he won. But pre-race it was a legitimate question as to whether or not the improvement Arabian Legend showed in his last race was due to the switch to the turf; which, as a son of Scat Daddy, is where you would expect Arabian Legend to succeed. Still, the bullet work over the Santa Anita main track on 11/20 (where Arabian Legend covered four furlongs in forty-six and two fifths seconds) should have alerted us that he was ready to run huge, regardless of which surface he was on.
But while we hope to learn from our errors in the first half of the sequence, it's hard to feel truly bad about the end result; because no matter how perfectly we may have played Races 6 and 7, there was no way we were hitting today's Pick Four, because there was not way I was going to have Stormy Lucy on any of my tickets.
Today was Stormy Lucy's first win since she took the Grade 3 Santa Barbara Handicap (as the Post Time Favorite) back on April 13, 2014. Not only had she failed to win any of her eight races since that event, Stormy Lucy had not even taken the Place in any race since that victory. Stormy Lucy had not earned a Beyer Speed Figure above 94 in any of her previous thirty races in her career; meanwhile, six of her opponents today had topped that 94 figure in either or both of their two most recent contests. My congratulations to those lucky few who won with her today; but going into today's race, I wouldn't have bet Stormy Lucy on a dare.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 10 / 11 / 10 / 2 were rewarded with a payout of $25,229.95 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
11/29/15 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview
This is it, the final day of The Bing Crosby Meet at Del Mar. That makes it a mandatory payout day, though there are no carryovers to speak of. We've got a pair of Graded Stakes on the back end of the card; but the real focus will be on finding the right two year olds, as juveniles comprise three of the final four events. So with all that let's get to it, as we take yet another run at the Pick Four at the place where the turf meets the surf.
RACE 6 - The Cecil B DeMille (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 10 Dressed in Hermes (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 6 Ninety One Assault (ML 8-1)
C’s
# 3 Tusk (ML 6-1)
# 7 Hot Ore (ML 12-1)
# 13 Archaeo (No Line) is a program scratch.
This is the two year old male's counterpart to yesterday's Jimmy Durante Stakes. Dressed in Hermes is the only stakes winner in the field; indeed, Dressed in Hermes is the only runner in this field with more than one victory.
Tusk and Ninety One Assault exit the same maiden contest where they both closed well Even though Tusk won the photo, I think Ninety One Assault has the better upside. Hot Ore didn't care much for the soft surface at Keeneland last time out, and should improve with the return to the firmer SoCal grass.
RACE 7 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Triple Clown (ML 5-1)
# 5 Hoffenheim (ML 5-2)
B's
# 4 Hard Gale (ML 3-1)
# 6 Film Juror (ML 20-1)
# 12 Eric the Trojan (ML 12-1)
C's
# 8 My Patate (ML 20-1)
# 3 Lord Walton (NL) is a program scratch.
This race and Race 9 share the same conditions. First time starter Triple Clown, trained by Peter Miller, was sired by You Luckie Mann, who won as a two year old at first asking. Hoffenheim, trained by Bob Baffert, ran well in his debut last time out once he figured out that there was a race going on and that he was a part of it.
Film Juror, trained by Art Sherman, Hard Gale, trained by Phil D'Amato, and My Patate, trained by Victor Garcia, are all first time starters from sires whose progeny win more then their fair share of debuts; though My Patate's works seem somewhat less impressive than the others. Eric the Trojan, trained by Peter Miller, showed some early quickness in his debut last time out before he ran out of gas.
RACE 8 - (F) The Matriarch (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Stellar Path (Fr) (ML 8-1)
# 9 Filimbi (ML 7-2)
B's
# 1 Hard Not to Like (ML 9-2)
C’s
# 3 Recepta (ML 8-1)
# 15 Alexis Tangier (15-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List.
Stella Path (Fr), trained by Chrstophe Clement, closed well while winning the Grade 3 Athenia last time out. Filimbi, trained by Bill Mott, missed by just a half length of taking the Grade 1 Just a Game two starts back, and took the Place ahead of Hard Not to Like in the Grade 1 Jenny Wiley in the start before that.
Hard Not to Like, trained by Christophe Clement, is the top career earner in this field; but I suspect that she needs more than eight furlongs to show her best. Recepta, trained by Jimmy Toner, won the Grade 3 Noble Damsel two starts back, defeating (among others) # 6 Crowley's Law (GB) (ML 6-1). Recepta should appreciate a return to a firm turf surface.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Mighty Moses (ML 9-2)
B's
# 2 Uncle Lino (ML 12-1)
# 11 Miner's Light (ML 7-2)
C's
# 4 Wild About Deb (ML 12-1)
This race and Race 7 share the same conditions. Mighty Moses, trained by Bob Baffert, has taken the Place at this class level in each of his two career starts on dirt. Miner's Light, trained by Carla Gaines, just missed graduating in his debut last time out when he lost the photo to Exaggerator, winner of last week's Delta Downs Jackpot. The concern with Miner's Light is that he hasn't raced since that July contest.
Uncle Lino missed by a neck of graduating in his debut last time out. But that contest was back in July, and, like Miner's Light, Uncle Lino has not competed since. Wild About Deb is a first time starter trained by Phil D'Amato and sired by Eskendereya.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10 with 1,5 with 8,9 with 3 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 6,10 with 1,4,5,6,12 with 1,8,9 with 2,3,11 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 1,5 with 8,9 with 3 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 8 with 8,9 with 3 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 1,5 with 3 with 3 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 1,5 with 8,9 with 4 $2.00
Total: $57.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - The Cecil B DeMille (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 10 Dressed in Hermes (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 6 Ninety One Assault (ML 8-1)
C’s
# 3 Tusk (ML 6-1)
# 7 Hot Ore (ML 12-1)
# 13 Archaeo (No Line) is a program scratch.
This is the two year old male's counterpart to yesterday's Jimmy Durante Stakes. Dressed in Hermes is the only stakes winner in the field; indeed, Dressed in Hermes is the only runner in this field with more than one victory.
Tusk and Ninety One Assault exit the same maiden contest where they both closed well Even though Tusk won the photo, I think Ninety One Assault has the better upside. Hot Ore didn't care much for the soft surface at Keeneland last time out, and should improve with the return to the firmer SoCal grass.
RACE 7 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Triple Clown (ML 5-1)
# 5 Hoffenheim (ML 5-2)
B's
# 4 Hard Gale (ML 3-1)
# 6 Film Juror (ML 20-1)
# 12 Eric the Trojan (ML 12-1)
C's
# 8 My Patate (ML 20-1)
# 3 Lord Walton (NL) is a program scratch.
This race and Race 9 share the same conditions. First time starter Triple Clown, trained by Peter Miller, was sired by You Luckie Mann, who won as a two year old at first asking. Hoffenheim, trained by Bob Baffert, ran well in his debut last time out once he figured out that there was a race going on and that he was a part of it.
Film Juror, trained by Art Sherman, Hard Gale, trained by Phil D'Amato, and My Patate, trained by Victor Garcia, are all first time starters from sires whose progeny win more then their fair share of debuts; though My Patate's works seem somewhat less impressive than the others. Eric the Trojan, trained by Peter Miller, showed some early quickness in his debut last time out before he ran out of gas.
RACE 8 - (F) The Matriarch (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Stellar Path (Fr) (ML 8-1)
# 9 Filimbi (ML 7-2)
B's
# 1 Hard Not to Like (ML 9-2)
C’s
# 3 Recepta (ML 8-1)
# 15 Alexis Tangier (15-1) does not draw in off the Also Eligible List.
Stella Path (Fr), trained by Chrstophe Clement, closed well while winning the Grade 3 Athenia last time out. Filimbi, trained by Bill Mott, missed by just a half length of taking the Grade 1 Just a Game two starts back, and took the Place ahead of Hard Not to Like in the Grade 1 Jenny Wiley in the start before that.
Hard Not to Like, trained by Christophe Clement, is the top career earner in this field; but I suspect that she needs more than eight furlongs to show her best. Recepta, trained by Jimmy Toner, won the Grade 3 Noble Damsel two starts back, defeating (among others) # 6 Crowley's Law (GB) (ML 6-1). Recepta should appreciate a return to a firm turf surface.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Mighty Moses (ML 9-2)
B's
# 2 Uncle Lino (ML 12-1)
# 11 Miner's Light (ML 7-2)
C's
# 4 Wild About Deb (ML 12-1)
This race and Race 7 share the same conditions. Mighty Moses, trained by Bob Baffert, has taken the Place at this class level in each of his two career starts on dirt. Miner's Light, trained by Carla Gaines, just missed graduating in his debut last time out when he lost the photo to Exaggerator, winner of last week's Delta Downs Jackpot. The concern with Miner's Light is that he hasn't raced since that July contest.
Uncle Lino missed by a neck of graduating in his debut last time out. But that contest was back in July, and, like Miner's Light, Uncle Lino has not competed since. Wild About Deb is a first time starter trained by Phil D'Amato and sired by Eskendereya.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10 with 1,5 with 8,9 with 3 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 6,10 with 1,4,5,6,12 with 1,8,9 with 2,3,11 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,7 with 1,5 with 8,9 with 3 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 8 with 8,9 with 3 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 1,5 with 3 with 3 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 1,5 with 8,9 with 4 $2.00
Total: $57.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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