Race 5 - # 10 Hail to the Chief (Final Odds 2.20*) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 4 Too Crowded (15.50) - "C" Selection
Race 7 - # 9 Torazo (1.80*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 14 Patsy J (3.80) - "C" Selection
Had I singled on the main ticket in the opening leg rather than the nightcap, I almost certainly would have moved nightcap winner Patsy J up from a "C" Selection to a "B" Selection. But Too Crowded in the second stanza? There's no way I'm finding Too Crowded without the "ALL" button; and with a field of twelve, the "ALL" button can be a mighty expensive proposition.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 10 / 4 / 9 / 14 were rewarded with a payout of $858.00 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, December 28, 2019
12/28/19 Turfway Park Late Pick Four - Preview
Hopefully everyone enjoyed their holiday earlier this week, as we now come upon the final Saturday card for 2019. A bit of history to note, as it was on this day, December 28, in 2014 that Runhappy won his debut in Race 9 @ Turfway. Finally a programming note: while I won't have a column here for New Year's Eve nor New Year's Day, for those who are playing either or both of those cards, please be aware that those races will be run during the afternoon hours, not at night, with a first race Post Time of 1:10 EST / 10:10 PST both days. So with that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at Turfway Park.
RACE 5 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 10 Hail to the Chief (Morning Line 3-1)
B's
# 1 Subliminalcriminal (ML 4-1)
# 5 Gold Account (ML 12-1)
# 9 Gold Endeavor (ML 7-2)
# 12 Katama Bay (ML 12-1)
C's
# 2 Major Silas (ML 15-1)
# 3 Machine Gunner (ML 30-1)
# 6 Mr. Axel (ML 20-1)
# 7 Have a Plan (ML 8-1)
# 8 Datza Five Oh (ML 30-1)
# 11 Bird in the Hat (ML 12-1)
# 13 Drakesboro Wildcat (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 4 Tradin Up (ML 6-1) and # 14 Peerless Brown (ML 12-1)
Hail to the Chief, trained by Wesley Ward, took the Show at this class level at Churchill Downs last time out. Subliminalcriminal, trained by Kenny McPeek, took the Place at this class level two starts back.
Gold Account seems to have been working well for this, his debut. Gold Endeavor took the Place at this class level two starts back and may improve with the blinkers coming back off.
Katama Bay, trained by Steve Asmussen, should improve off that last effort. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $5k N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 9 Bivian B (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 7 Noble Destiny (ML 5-1)
# 10 Magna Belle (ML 15-1)
C's
# 1 On the Come (ML 30-1)
# 2 Fleetress (ML 10-1)
# 3 Treasure Wilburnya (ML 10-1)
# 4 Too Crowded (ML 8-1)
# 5 Nitassweetpea (ML 30-1)
# 6 Jr's Joy (ML 20-1)
# 8 Passionate Star (ML 8-1)
# 11 Green Garnet (ML 5-1)
# 12 Nosy Parker (ML 15-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles, # 13 Templesis (ML 5-1) and # 14 Kitty Zip (ML 5-2)
Note that this race is being run in two divisions, as Race 8 has the identical conditions.
Bivian B has run well in the past over this track, and Bivian B appears to be in good form, having taken the Show in each of his last two starts against more expensive stock. Noble Destiny and Magna Belle look to be the ones running best late. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - OC 25k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 8 Eagle Pass (ML 12-1)
B’s
# 2 Franknjymme (ML 4-1)
# 5 Ucanthankmelater (ML 8-1)
# 7 Times Square (ML 12-1)
# 9 Torazo (ML 7-2)
# 10 Animus (ML 9-2)
C's
# 1 Fine Tune (ML 15-1)
# 3 Ransack (ML 30-1)
# 4 Untraceable (ML 5-1)
# 11 Uncle Mitcho (ML 30-1)
# 12 Machtree (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 6 California Swing (ML 12-1) as well as the Also Eligibles, # 13 United Stand (ML 20-1), and # 14 Cloud to Ground (ML 20-1)
Eagle Pass, very popular at the claim box of late, showed little while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite last time out at Churchill Downs, and should improve off that effort. Franknjymme ran well in his one prior try over this main track, and Franknjymme fits well here on class.
Ucanthankmelater could move up with the cutback in distance. Times Square graduated last time going twelve furlongs over this track. Times Square also ran well in his only other try over this track, at least until he decided to toss his mount.
Torazo won at this class level over the turf at Indianapolis last time out. Animus gets the blinkers put back on, a move with which Trainer Tommy Drury has done well of late. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $5k N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 9 Aspens Little Zip (ML 7-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 She Got It (ML 15-1)
# 2 Rubys Memory (ML 10-1)
# 3 Flash n' Dance (ML 3-1)
# 4 La Dama (ML 10-1)
# 5 Sheza Fast (ML 50-1)
# 6 Hope and a Dream (ML 5-1)
# 7 Bank Numbers (ML 50-1)
# 8 Don't Dally (ML 30-1)
# 11 Spoofy Doo (ML 30-1)
# 12 My Temple (ML 8-1)
# 14 Patsy J (ML 3-1)
Scratch # 10 Alberta Maximus (ML 50-1) and # 13 Fancy M (ML 30-1)
Note that this race is being run in two divisions, as Race 6 has the identical conditions.
Aspens Little Zip took the Place over this track while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite against more expensive stock last time out.
If you're a little squeamish about singling in the nightcap, then She's Got It, who took the Place at this class level at Belterra Park (nee River Downs) last time out could be live at a price. Another to consider is Patsy J, who draws in off the Also Eligible list, and should benefit from the class drop. But I decided to go one deep in this leg, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10 with 9 with 8 with 9 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,5,9,10,12 with 7,9,10 with 2,5,7,8,9,10 with 9 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3,6,7,8,11,13 with 9 with 8 with 9 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 10 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,8,11,12 with 8 with 9 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 10 with 9 with 1,3,4,11,12 with 9 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 10 with 9 with 8 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,11,12,14 $5.50
Total: $62.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 8:12 EST / 5:12 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 5 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 10 Hail to the Chief (Morning Line 3-1)
B's
# 1 Subliminalcriminal (ML 4-1)
# 5 Gold Account (ML 12-1)
# 9 Gold Endeavor (ML 7-2)
# 12 Katama Bay (ML 12-1)
C's
# 2 Major Silas (ML 15-1)
# 3 Machine Gunner (ML 30-1)
# 6 Mr. Axel (ML 20-1)
# 7 Have a Plan (ML 8-1)
# 8 Datza Five Oh (ML 30-1)
# 11 Bird in the Hat (ML 12-1)
# 13 Drakesboro Wildcat (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 4 Tradin Up (ML 6-1) and # 14 Peerless Brown (ML 12-1)
Hail to the Chief, trained by Wesley Ward, took the Show at this class level at Churchill Downs last time out. Subliminalcriminal, trained by Kenny McPeek, took the Place at this class level two starts back.
Gold Account seems to have been working well for this, his debut. Gold Endeavor took the Place at this class level two starts back and may improve with the blinkers coming back off.
Katama Bay, trained by Steve Asmussen, should improve off that last effort. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $5k N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 9 Bivian B (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 7 Noble Destiny (ML 5-1)
# 10 Magna Belle (ML 15-1)
C's
# 1 On the Come (ML 30-1)
# 2 Fleetress (ML 10-1)
# 3 Treasure Wilburnya (ML 10-1)
# 4 Too Crowded (ML 8-1)
# 5 Nitassweetpea (ML 30-1)
# 6 Jr's Joy (ML 20-1)
# 8 Passionate Star (ML 8-1)
# 11 Green Garnet (ML 5-1)
# 12 Nosy Parker (ML 15-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles, # 13 Templesis (ML 5-1) and # 14 Kitty Zip (ML 5-2)
Note that this race is being run in two divisions, as Race 8 has the identical conditions.
Bivian B has run well in the past over this track, and Bivian B appears to be in good form, having taken the Show in each of his last two starts against more expensive stock. Noble Destiny and Magna Belle look to be the ones running best late. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - OC 25k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 8 Eagle Pass (ML 12-1)
B’s
# 2 Franknjymme (ML 4-1)
# 5 Ucanthankmelater (ML 8-1)
# 7 Times Square (ML 12-1)
# 9 Torazo (ML 7-2)
# 10 Animus (ML 9-2)
C's
# 1 Fine Tune (ML 15-1)
# 3 Ransack (ML 30-1)
# 4 Untraceable (ML 5-1)
# 11 Uncle Mitcho (ML 30-1)
# 12 Machtree (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 6 California Swing (ML 12-1) as well as the Also Eligibles, # 13 United Stand (ML 20-1), and # 14 Cloud to Ground (ML 20-1)
Eagle Pass, very popular at the claim box of late, showed little while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite last time out at Churchill Downs, and should improve off that effort. Franknjymme ran well in his one prior try over this main track, and Franknjymme fits well here on class.
Ucanthankmelater could move up with the cutback in distance. Times Square graduated last time going twelve furlongs over this track. Times Square also ran well in his only other try over this track, at least until he decided to toss his mount.
Torazo won at this class level over the turf at Indianapolis last time out. Animus gets the blinkers put back on, a move with which Trainer Tommy Drury has done well of late. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $5k N2L - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 9 Aspens Little Zip (ML 7-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 She Got It (ML 15-1)
# 2 Rubys Memory (ML 10-1)
# 3 Flash n' Dance (ML 3-1)
# 4 La Dama (ML 10-1)
# 5 Sheza Fast (ML 50-1)
# 6 Hope and a Dream (ML 5-1)
# 7 Bank Numbers (ML 50-1)
# 8 Don't Dally (ML 30-1)
# 11 Spoofy Doo (ML 30-1)
# 12 My Temple (ML 8-1)
# 14 Patsy J (ML 3-1)
Scratch # 10 Alberta Maximus (ML 50-1) and # 13 Fancy M (ML 30-1)
Note that this race is being run in two divisions, as Race 6 has the identical conditions.
Aspens Little Zip took the Place over this track while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite against more expensive stock last time out.
If you're a little squeamish about singling in the nightcap, then She's Got It, who took the Place at this class level at Belterra Park (nee River Downs) last time out could be live at a price. Another to consider is Patsy J, who draws in off the Also Eligible list, and should benefit from the class drop. But I decided to go one deep in this leg, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10 with 9 with 8 with 9 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,5,9,10,12 with 7,9,10 with 2,5,7,8,9,10 with 9 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3,6,7,8,11,13 with 9 with 8 with 9 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 10 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,8,11,12 with 8 with 9 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 10 with 9 with 1,3,4,11,12 with 9 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 10 with 9 with 8 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,11,12,14 $5.50
Total: $62.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 8:12 EST / 5:12 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Tuesday, December 24, 2019
Merry Christmas!
"Christmas is a necessity. There has to be at least one day of the year to remind us that we're here for something else besides ourselves." - Eric Sevareid
Here's hoping that Santa brought you plenty of sure things that you'll be cashing throughout the New Year. Merry Christmas!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Here's hoping that Santa brought you plenty of sure things that you'll be cashing throughout the New Year. Merry Christmas!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, December 21, 2019
12/21/19 Turfway Park Late Pick Four - Results
Race 5 - # 11 Seventy Seventycat (Final Odds 7.10) - "C" Selection
Race 6 - # 8 Flirty (2.90) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Mojo Man (1.70*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Tarnish (7.50) - "C" Selection
A bit of a mixed bag Saturday; an "A", a "B", and a couple of "C's". Positives are that I caught a non-Post Time Favorite as a top pick; and the fact that the two that weren't on the main ticket both left the gate at greater than 7-1 means that I didn't miss anything obvious. Still, mistakes were made; hopefully mistakes that won't be repeated in the future. But for now, let's just say that I needed one over the track, as Saturday was a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 11 / 8 / 6 / 1 were rewarded with a payout of $721.30 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 8 Flirty (2.90) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Mojo Man (1.70*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Tarnish (7.50) - "C" Selection
A bit of a mixed bag Saturday; an "A", a "B", and a couple of "C's". Positives are that I caught a non-Post Time Favorite as a top pick; and the fact that the two that weren't on the main ticket both left the gate at greater than 7-1 means that I didn't miss anything obvious. Still, mistakes were made; hopefully mistakes that won't be repeated in the future. But for now, let's just say that I needed one over the track, as Saturday was a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 11 / 8 / 6 / 1 were rewarded with a payout of $721.30 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/21/19 Turfway Park Late Pick Four - Preview
"When we give cheerfully and accept gratefully, everyone is blessed." - Maya Angelou
Season's Greetings, one and all! Hopefully this holiday season finds you all well, full of comfort and joy. My current plan is to spend the coming cold Winter months playing the ponies at Turfway Park in Florence, Kentucky; which, for those of you who may not know, is now owned Churchill Downs Inc, having been purchased from Hard Rock International, who back in April had bought the joint from JACK Entertainment; thus giving the racetrack three owners in one calendar year.
Some basics: The track at Turfway Park is synthetic (Tapeta, to be exact) and the maximum distance for a one turn race is six and a half furlongs. There is no turf course. Maiden Special Weights have a purse of $46k. Takeout on the Single 6 and the 50-cent Pick 5 is 15%; takeout on the 50-cent Pick 4 is 14%. So with all that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at Turfway Park.
RACE 5 - Clm $7.5k N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 10 Lucky Lookin (Morning Line 12-1)
B’s
# 2 Icy Street (ML 5-1)
# 12 Lil Pistola (ML 10-1)
C's
# 1 Due Time (ML 20-1)
# 3 Run This Town (ML 10-1)
# 4 It's Game Time (ML 15-1)
# 5 Mr. Sarcastic (ML 8-1)
# 6 Cape Crush (ML 12-1)
# 7 Darkness Beauty (ML 8-1)
# 8 Sunday Scaries (ML 3-1)
# 9 Sergeant McNerney (ML 12-1)
# 11 Seventy Seventycat (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 1A Candy Kingdom (ML 20-1)
Lucky Lookin goes first off the claim for Trainer Ron Brown, who tends to do well with such. Icy Street wanted no part of the dirt track at Churchill Downs last time out; but perhaps Icy Street's turf form will carry over to the Tapeta. If nothing else, the class relief that Icy Street is getting here makes him one to consider.
Lil Pistola is one-for-fifty-eight lifetime; generally not a record that garners a spot on the main ticket. But Lil Pistola just missed by half a length last time of two-for-fifty-eight lifetime; and that last time out was over this track, Lil Pistola's first ever race over a synthetic surface. So maybe Tapeta is what Lil Pistola has been waiting for his whole career. Then again, maybe not; but if the 10-1 Morning Line holds true, it's certainly a price which makes it worth finding out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 8 Flirty (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Lady Leah (ML 5-2)
# 5 Sour Peach (ML 15-1)
C's
# 2 Cook Memories (ML 8-1)
# 3 Grams Future (ML 15-1)
# 4 Majestic Bold (ML 5-1)
# 6 Patti Patti Patti (ML 6-1)
# 9 Tempestuous Amy (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 7 Secret Trick (ML 6-1)
Flirty could move up with the drop in class. Lady Leah could move up moving from dirt to synthetic. Sour Peach has finished in the Trifecta eight times in her ten attempts over this racetrack. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 7 - ALW N3L - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 4 Hide the Demon (ML 8-1)
B's
# 6 Mojo Man (ML 3-1)
# 8 Infinite (ML 3-1)
# 10 Stay Happy (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1A Augie (ML 15-1)
# 2 Extra Medium (ML 12-1)
# 3 Giant Honor (ML 15-1)
# 7 Majestic Valley (ML 20-1)
# 9 Frosted Ice (ML 10-1)
# 11 Two Bit Kid (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 1 Never Even Called (ML 15-1) and # 5 Jimmy Joe (ML 20-1)
Hide the Demon has run well in the past on synthetic surfaces, and Hide the Demon is getting significant class relief here. Mojo Man is another class dropper that has run well previously on the synthetic.
Infinite and Stay Happy are two lightly raced runners moving up in class with trainers whose chargers always merit consideration (Wesley Ward and Tom Drury, respectively). The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) Md $7.5k - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 13 My Discreet Secret (ML 10-1)
B's
# 2 Happy Peddler (ML 5-1)
# 8 Smarty Artie (ML 7-2)
# 10 Teton Thai (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Tarnish (ML 8-1)
# 3 Miss Jaba (ML 12-1)
# 4 Rathrbluckythngood (ML 4-1)
# 5 Saint Gloria (ML 20-1)
# 6 West Virginia Pam (ML 20-1)
# 7 Sweaty Betty (ML 20-1)
# 9 Gold Ladybug (ML 10-1)
# 12 Cyclone Millie (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 11 Mysterious Lew (ML 20-1) and # 14 Devils Daughter (ML 12-1)
These are juveniles; and none of the ten experienced runners in this field of twelve has ever finished in the Trifecta. So for that reason I made my top pick here My Discreet Secret, as she looks to be the better of the two debut runners (Miss Jaba being the other).
Happy Peddler showed good early speed against more expensive stock in each of her two prior starts. Rathrbluckythngood ran the best race of her five start career in her only prior try on a synthetic surface (Arlington Park).
Smarty Artie is making her second career start after showing nothing in her debut at Woodbine. But Smarty Artie is trained by Wesley Ward, who tends to do well with second time runners. In addition Smarty Artie is taking the blinkers off, another move with which Ward tends to succeed. Finally, that initial contest turned out to be a key race, with the two Exacta finishers (Juxtapose and Onezy's Dream) coming back to win next time out. Add it all up, and Smarty Artie probably still shouldn't be on the main ticket; especially when you consider that she will most likely be over bet. But Smarty Artie ticks off a lot of boxes in a field where most runners don't tick any; so onto the big ticket she goes.
Teton Thai ran very well on the grass last time out; perhaps that form will carry over to the synthetic. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10 with 8 with 4 with 13 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,10,12 with 1,5,8 with 4,6,8,10 with 2,8,10,13 $72.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,11 with 8 with 4 with 13 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 10 with 2,3,4,6,9 with 4 with 13 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 10 with 8 with 1,2,3,7,9,11 with 13 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 8 with 4 with 1,3,4,5,6,7,9,12 $4.00
Total: $87.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 8:12 EST / 5:12 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Season's Greetings, one and all! Hopefully this holiday season finds you all well, full of comfort and joy. My current plan is to spend the coming cold Winter months playing the ponies at Turfway Park in Florence, Kentucky; which, for those of you who may not know, is now owned Churchill Downs Inc, having been purchased from Hard Rock International, who back in April had bought the joint from JACK Entertainment; thus giving the racetrack three owners in one calendar year.
Some basics: The track at Turfway Park is synthetic (Tapeta, to be exact) and the maximum distance for a one turn race is six and a half furlongs. There is no turf course. Maiden Special Weights have a purse of $46k. Takeout on the Single 6 and the 50-cent Pick 5 is 15%; takeout on the 50-cent Pick 4 is 14%. So with all that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at Turfway Park.
RACE 5 - Clm $7.5k N2L - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 10 Lucky Lookin (Morning Line 12-1)
B’s
# 2 Icy Street (ML 5-1)
# 12 Lil Pistola (ML 10-1)
C's
# 1 Due Time (ML 20-1)
# 3 Run This Town (ML 10-1)
# 4 It's Game Time (ML 15-1)
# 5 Mr. Sarcastic (ML 8-1)
# 6 Cape Crush (ML 12-1)
# 7 Darkness Beauty (ML 8-1)
# 8 Sunday Scaries (ML 3-1)
# 9 Sergeant McNerney (ML 12-1)
# 11 Seventy Seventycat (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 1A Candy Kingdom (ML 20-1)
Lucky Lookin goes first off the claim for Trainer Ron Brown, who tends to do well with such. Icy Street wanted no part of the dirt track at Churchill Downs last time out; but perhaps Icy Street's turf form will carry over to the Tapeta. If nothing else, the class relief that Icy Street is getting here makes him one to consider.
Lil Pistola is one-for-fifty-eight lifetime; generally not a record that garners a spot on the main ticket. But Lil Pistola just missed by half a length last time of two-for-fifty-eight lifetime; and that last time out was over this track, Lil Pistola's first ever race over a synthetic surface. So maybe Tapeta is what Lil Pistola has been waiting for his whole career. Then again, maybe not; but if the 10-1 Morning Line holds true, it's certainly a price which makes it worth finding out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 8 Flirty (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Lady Leah (ML 5-2)
# 5 Sour Peach (ML 15-1)
C's
# 2 Cook Memories (ML 8-1)
# 3 Grams Future (ML 15-1)
# 4 Majestic Bold (ML 5-1)
# 6 Patti Patti Patti (ML 6-1)
# 9 Tempestuous Amy (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 7 Secret Trick (ML 6-1)
Flirty could move up with the drop in class. Lady Leah could move up moving from dirt to synthetic. Sour Peach has finished in the Trifecta eight times in her ten attempts over this racetrack. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 7 - ALW N3L - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 4 Hide the Demon (ML 8-1)
B's
# 6 Mojo Man (ML 3-1)
# 8 Infinite (ML 3-1)
# 10 Stay Happy (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1A Augie (ML 15-1)
# 2 Extra Medium (ML 12-1)
# 3 Giant Honor (ML 15-1)
# 7 Majestic Valley (ML 20-1)
# 9 Frosted Ice (ML 10-1)
# 11 Two Bit Kid (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 1 Never Even Called (ML 15-1) and # 5 Jimmy Joe (ML 20-1)
Hide the Demon has run well in the past on synthetic surfaces, and Hide the Demon is getting significant class relief here. Mojo Man is another class dropper that has run well previously on the synthetic.
Infinite and Stay Happy are two lightly raced runners moving up in class with trainers whose chargers always merit consideration (Wesley Ward and Tom Drury, respectively). The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) Md $7.5k - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 13 My Discreet Secret (ML 10-1)
B's
# 2 Happy Peddler (ML 5-1)
# 8 Smarty Artie (ML 7-2)
# 10 Teton Thai (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Tarnish (ML 8-1)
# 3 Miss Jaba (ML 12-1)
# 4 Rathrbluckythngood (ML 4-1)
# 5 Saint Gloria (ML 20-1)
# 6 West Virginia Pam (ML 20-1)
# 7 Sweaty Betty (ML 20-1)
# 9 Gold Ladybug (ML 10-1)
# 12 Cyclone Millie (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 11 Mysterious Lew (ML 20-1) and # 14 Devils Daughter (ML 12-1)
These are juveniles; and none of the ten experienced runners in this field of twelve has ever finished in the Trifecta. So for that reason I made my top pick here My Discreet Secret, as she looks to be the better of the two debut runners (Miss Jaba being the other).
Happy Peddler showed good early speed against more expensive stock in each of her two prior starts. Rathrbluckythngood ran the best race of her five start career in her only prior try on a synthetic surface (Arlington Park).
Smarty Artie is making her second career start after showing nothing in her debut at Woodbine. But Smarty Artie is trained by Wesley Ward, who tends to do well with second time runners. In addition Smarty Artie is taking the blinkers off, another move with which Ward tends to succeed. Finally, that initial contest turned out to be a key race, with the two Exacta finishers (Juxtapose and Onezy's Dream) coming back to win next time out. Add it all up, and Smarty Artie probably still shouldn't be on the main ticket; especially when you consider that she will most likely be over bet. But Smarty Artie ticks off a lot of boxes in a field where most runners don't tick any; so onto the big ticket she goes.
Teton Thai ran very well on the grass last time out; perhaps that form will carry over to the synthetic. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10 with 8 with 4 with 13 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,10,12 with 1,5,8 with 4,6,8,10 with 2,8,10,13 $72.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,11 with 8 with 4 with 13 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 10 with 2,3,4,6,9 with 4 with 13 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 10 with 8 with 1,2,3,7,9,11 with 13 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 8 with 4 with 1,3,4,5,6,7,9,12 $4.00
Total: $87.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 8:12 EST / 5:12 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, December 15, 2019
12/15/19 Remington Park All-Stakes Pick Four - Results
Race 10 - The Useeit - # 3 Lady Orchid (Final Odds 1.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 11 - The Jim Thorpe - # 11 Cowboy Mischief (5.00) - "C" Selection
Race 12 - The Springboard Mile - # 9 Shoplifted (4.30) - "B" Selection
Race 13 - The Jeffrey A Hawk Memorial - # 9 Sleepy Eyes Todd (2.70) - "A" Selection
# 4 Answer In (0.60*), my "A" Selection in the Springboard Mile, was a head too slow in getting under the wire in the third leg of the sequence. Which is unfortunate; for had the juvenile by 2011 Florida Derby winner Dialed In gotten to the line in time, Sunday would have been a day for me to collect, instead of contribute.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct All-Stakes Pick Four sequence of 3 / 11 / 9 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $184.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 11 - The Jim Thorpe - # 11 Cowboy Mischief (5.00) - "C" Selection
Race 12 - The Springboard Mile - # 9 Shoplifted (4.30) - "B" Selection
Race 13 - The Jeffrey A Hawk Memorial - # 9 Sleepy Eyes Todd (2.70) - "A" Selection
# 4 Answer In (0.60*), my "A" Selection in the Springboard Mile, was a head too slow in getting under the wire in the third leg of the sequence. Which is unfortunate; for had the juvenile by 2011 Florida Derby winner Dialed In gotten to the line in time, Sunday would have been a day for me to collect, instead of contribute.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct All-Stakes Pick Four sequence of 3 / 11 / 9 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $184.10 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/15/19 Remington Park All-Stakes Pick Four - Preview
You never know what you’re going to get, and children have their own personalities immediately. I was watching little kids on a carousel, some kids were jumping on the horses, some kids were afraid of the horses, and some kids were betting on the horses. - Rita Rudner
And so we come to the final day of the 2019 Remington Park meet, and the good people in Oklahoma City have put together an incredible card featuring a half dozen stakes, all grouped together as the final six contests on the program, primary among them being the $400k Springboard Mile for juveniles. I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take a run at The All-Stakes Pick Four at Remington Park.
RACE 10 - (F) [S] The Useeit $70k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Lady Orchid (Morning Line 6-5)
B's
# 4 Country Daisy (ML 4-1)
# 9 Alternative Slew (ML 3-1)
C's
And so we come to the final day of the 2019 Remington Park meet, and the good people in Oklahoma City have put together an incredible card featuring a half dozen stakes, all grouped together as the final six contests on the program, primary among them being the $400k Springboard Mile for juveniles. I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take a run at The All-Stakes Pick Four at Remington Park.
RACE 10 - (F) [S] The Useeit $70k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Lady Orchid (Morning Line 6-5)
B's
# 4 Country Daisy (ML 4-1)
# 9 Alternative Slew (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Our Musical Moment (ML 15-1)
# 2 Shobiz Superstar (ML 50-1)
# 5 She's Shiney (ML 8-1)
# 6 Stormieis Blue (ML 20-1)
# 7 Dicey (ML 15-1)
# 8 Runaround Rosey (ML 30-1)
# 10 Eutychia (ML 30-1)
# 12 Miss Orienta (ML 30-1)
Scratch # 11 Northern Dynasty (ML 30-1)
Lady Orchid disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out in her first try at going beyond seven furlongs; perhaps the shortened distance will help today. Country Daisy will be routing for the first time Sunday; Trainer Ray Ashford Jr tends to do well with such.
Alternative Slew has finished in the Trifecta in each of her last eight starts, which represents the totality of her career excepting her debut. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 11 - [S] The Jim Thorpe $70k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Gospel Musketeer (ML 15-1)
B's
# 5 Fast Breakin' Cash (ML 9-5)
# 8 D Toz (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Sedaris (ML 20-1)
# 2 Last I Knew (ML 20-1)
# 3 Dance to My Song (ML 9-2)
# 6 Dobbins G (ML 5-1)
# 7 Eurowest (ML 30-1)
# 9 Fearless Weill (ML 20-1)
# 10 Dak Da Man (ML 15-1)
# 11 Cowboy Mischief (ML 12-1)
# 12 Kwik (ML 50-1)
Gospel Musketeer has shown steady improvement in each of his four career starts, and has yet to finish out of the Trifecta. Fast Breakin' Cash could romp if he can handle the distance; though it's fair to wonder if this grandson of Forestry will handle the distance. D Toz looks to be forwardly placed early. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 12 - The Springboard Mile $400k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Answer In (ML 5-2)
B's
# 3 Rowdy Yates (ML 7-2)
# 8 Embolden (ML 9-2)
# 9 Shoplifted (ML 5-1)
C's
# 2 Alternate Time (ML 20-1)
# 5 Jungle Runner (ML 15-1)
# 6 Shipman's Song (ML 30-1)
# 7 Southgate (ML 30-1)
# 10 Maximiliano (ML 5-1)
# 11 Kirkcules (ML 30-1)
# 12 Slew Tang Clan (ML 50-1)
Scratch # 1 Piece of Work (ML 12-1)
Answer In, trained by Brad Cox, graduated last time out by over five lengths versus a next out winner at Churchill Downs. Rowdy Yates is Graded Stakes Placed, and enters this contest with a two race winning streak, both in state bred stakes over this main track.
Embolden took the Show in the Grade 3 Futurity at Belmont Park two starts back. Shoplifted took the Place in the Grade 1 Hopeful at Saratoga back in September. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 13 - The Jeffrey A. Hawk Memorial $100k - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Sleepy Eyes Todd (ML 7-2)
B's
# 3 Timeline (ML 15-1)
# 11 Popularity (ML 3-1)
# 12 Shotgun Kowboy (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 United Patriot (ML 20-1)
# 2 Net Gain (ML 20-1)
# 4 Pinson (ML 15-1)
# 5 Lookin At lee (ML 15-1)
# 6 D' Rapper (ML 15-1)
# 7 Catdaddy (ML 20-1)
# 10 Chris and Dave (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 8 Quality Rocket (ML 30-1)
Sleepy Eyes Todd took the Place in the Grade 3 Oklahoma Derby last time out; and Sleepy Eyes Todd could move up with the reduction in real estate. Timeline is making his third start of 2019; and if Timeline can return to the form that he showed in 2018, then he can win here.
Popularity took the Place in the $175k Governor's Cup the last time that he competed over this main track. Shotgun Kowboy, four time winner of the Oklahoma Classics Cup, is the local hero, as he attempts to top one million dollars in earnings at Remington Park. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 4 with 4 with 9 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,4,9 with 4,5,8 with 3,4,8,9 with 3,9,11,12 $72.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,5,6,7,8,10,12 with 4 with 4 with 9 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,2,3,6,7,9,10,11,12 with 4 with 9 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 4 with 2,5,6,7,10,11,12 with 9 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 4 with 4 with 1,2,4,5,6,7,10 $3.50
Total: $88.50
Post Time for Race 10 is 8:21 EST / 5:21 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
# 2 Shobiz Superstar (ML 50-1)
# 5 She's Shiney (ML 8-1)
# 6 Stormieis Blue (ML 20-1)
# 7 Dicey (ML 15-1)
# 8 Runaround Rosey (ML 30-1)
# 10 Eutychia (ML 30-1)
# 12 Miss Orienta (ML 30-1)
Scratch # 11 Northern Dynasty (ML 30-1)
Lady Orchid disappointed as the Post Time Favorite last time out in her first try at going beyond seven furlongs; perhaps the shortened distance will help today. Country Daisy will be routing for the first time Sunday; Trainer Ray Ashford Jr tends to do well with such.
Alternative Slew has finished in the Trifecta in each of her last eight starts, which represents the totality of her career excepting her debut. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 11 - [S] The Jim Thorpe $70k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Gospel Musketeer (ML 15-1)
B's
# 5 Fast Breakin' Cash (ML 9-5)
# 8 D Toz (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Sedaris (ML 20-1)
# 2 Last I Knew (ML 20-1)
# 3 Dance to My Song (ML 9-2)
# 6 Dobbins G (ML 5-1)
# 7 Eurowest (ML 30-1)
# 9 Fearless Weill (ML 20-1)
# 10 Dak Da Man (ML 15-1)
# 11 Cowboy Mischief (ML 12-1)
# 12 Kwik (ML 50-1)
Gospel Musketeer has shown steady improvement in each of his four career starts, and has yet to finish out of the Trifecta. Fast Breakin' Cash could romp if he can handle the distance; though it's fair to wonder if this grandson of Forestry will handle the distance. D Toz looks to be forwardly placed early. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 12 - The Springboard Mile $400k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Answer In (ML 5-2)
B's
# 3 Rowdy Yates (ML 7-2)
# 8 Embolden (ML 9-2)
# 9 Shoplifted (ML 5-1)
C's
# 2 Alternate Time (ML 20-1)
# 5 Jungle Runner (ML 15-1)
# 6 Shipman's Song (ML 30-1)
# 7 Southgate (ML 30-1)
# 10 Maximiliano (ML 5-1)
# 11 Kirkcules (ML 30-1)
# 12 Slew Tang Clan (ML 50-1)
Scratch # 1 Piece of Work (ML 12-1)
Answer In, trained by Brad Cox, graduated last time out by over five lengths versus a next out winner at Churchill Downs. Rowdy Yates is Graded Stakes Placed, and enters this contest with a two race winning streak, both in state bred stakes over this main track.
Embolden took the Show in the Grade 3 Futurity at Belmont Park two starts back. Shoplifted took the Place in the Grade 1 Hopeful at Saratoga back in September. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 13 - The Jeffrey A. Hawk Memorial $100k - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Sleepy Eyes Todd (ML 7-2)
B's
# 3 Timeline (ML 15-1)
# 11 Popularity (ML 3-1)
# 12 Shotgun Kowboy (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 United Patriot (ML 20-1)
# 2 Net Gain (ML 20-1)
# 4 Pinson (ML 15-1)
# 5 Lookin At lee (ML 15-1)
# 6 D' Rapper (ML 15-1)
# 7 Catdaddy (ML 20-1)
# 10 Chris and Dave (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 8 Quality Rocket (ML 30-1)
Sleepy Eyes Todd took the Place in the Grade 3 Oklahoma Derby last time out; and Sleepy Eyes Todd could move up with the reduction in real estate. Timeline is making his third start of 2019; and if Timeline can return to the form that he showed in 2018, then he can win here.
Popularity took the Place in the $175k Governor's Cup the last time that he competed over this main track. Shotgun Kowboy, four time winner of the Oklahoma Classics Cup, is the local hero, as he attempts to top one million dollars in earnings at Remington Park. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 4 with 4 with 9 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,4,9 with 4,5,8 with 3,4,8,9 with 3,9,11,12 $72.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,5,6,7,8,10,12 with 4 with 4 with 9 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,2,3,6,7,9,10,11,12 with 4 with 9 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 4 with 2,5,6,7,10,11,12 with 9 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 4 with 4 with 1,2,4,5,6,7,10 $3.50
Total: $88.50
Post Time for Race 10 is 8:21 EST / 5:21 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, December 7, 2019
12/7/19 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Results
Race 5 - # 4 Holt County (Final Odds 1.30*) - "A" Selection
Race 6 - # 3 A J's Grand (1.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 9 Flat Out Phat (0.50*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 9 Franki D Oro (2.80) - "B" Selection
When the sequence shows three Post Time Favorites and one second choice on the tote board, you know that it's not going to pay much. So it was deja vu all over again at Remington Park, as I collect, but not enough.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other three runners to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:
# 1 Natalie’s Toccet (2.80) - $23.75 Finish: 3rd
# 3 Fox Alert (2.50*) - $21.65 Finish: 2nd
# 8 Tayla (6.80) - $48.40 Finish: 9th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Primetime Pick Four sequence of 4 / 3 / 9 / 9 which paid $26.80 for a fifty cent wager; less than half my initial investment of $58.50. And while cashing at a loss definitely beats not cashing at all, it's certainly not what I had in mind when I placed my bets.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 3 A J's Grand (1.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 9 Flat Out Phat (0.50*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 9 Franki D Oro (2.80) - "B" Selection
When the sequence shows three Post Time Favorites and one second choice on the tote board, you know that it's not going to pay much. So it was deja vu all over again at Remington Park, as I collect, but not enough.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other three runners to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:
# 1 Natalie’s Toccet (2.80) - $23.75 Finish: 3rd
# 3 Fox Alert (2.50*) - $21.65 Finish: 2nd
# 8 Tayla (6.80) - $48.40 Finish: 9th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Primetime Pick Four sequence of 4 / 3 / 9 / 9 which paid $26.80 for a fifty cent wager; less than half my initial investment of $58.50. And while cashing at a loss definitely beats not cashing at all, it's certainly not what I had in mind when I placed my bets.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/7/19 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Preview
A programming note: next Sunday, December 15, in addition to being closing day for the 2019 meet, is Springboard Mile Day at Remington Park. Good Lord willing, that will be the card that I will be playing next weekend. So there will be no new post on this site next Saturday, December 14; but hopefully there will be a Pick Four play here on Sunday, December 15. So, with that out of the way, let's get to it, as I take another run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.
RACE 5 - Clm $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Holt County (Morning Line 5-1)
B’s
# 3 Galactica (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Texas Long Bow (ML 15-1)
# 2 Aboout Our Time (ML 7-2)
# 5 Rise Up (ML 20-1)
# 7 Imma Wild Bling (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 6 Eurobond (ML 8-5)
As per usual, Oklahoma breds cost more; $5k more, to be exact. But with the scratch of Eurobond, there are no Oklahoma breds in the field; so all runners are for sale for $20k.
Holt County could be quickest here. Holt County also does quite well at today's distance, with five Wins in eight tries, as well as two Place finishes.
Galactica missed victory by just a neck at this class level last time out, albeit over an off track. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 A J's Grand (ML 7-5)
B’s
# 1 Desert Madam (ML 15-1)
# 4 Eye On Harper (ML 6-1)
# 6 Miss Wekati (ML 2-1)
C's
# 2 Starship Impulse (ML 6-1)
# 5 River Deputy (ML 12-1)
# 7 Toskiko (ML 30-1)
As per usual, Oklahoma breds are more expensive; so if you want to claim River Deputy or Toskiko, it'll cost you an extra $1.25k.
A J's Grand goes first off the claim for Trainer Steve Asmussen. Desert Madam could improve with the cutback in distance. Eye On Harper fits well with the contenders.
Miss Wekati, making her first start outside the state of Louisiana, could move up with the drop in class. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - (F) [S] Md $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Tomey's Lexus (ML 9-5)
B's
# 3 First After Klaria (ML 20-1)
# 9 Flat Out Phat (ML 8-5)
C's
# 1 Seeing Double (ML 8-1)
# 2 Real Rhythm (ML 15-1)
# 4 Oneida Won (ML 10-1)
# 5 River Liberty (ML 15-1)
# 6 Dede's Trick (ML 12-1)
# 7 River Wild (ML 20-1)
For those who note such things, connections had the option to shed three pounds off their juvenile filly's back in exchange for running for $15k instead of $20k. None in this field chose that option.
Tomey's Lexus took the Place at this class level last time out; albeit a well beaten Place. First After Klaria is a debut runner who hasn't shown much in the morning; but, then again, she's not facing much in this field, so why not. Flat Out Phat is running for the first time with a price tag on her head. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $7.5k N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Tayla (ML 8-1)
B’s
# 1 Natalie's Toccet (ML 7-2)
# 3 Fox Alert (ML 5-2)
# 9 Franki D Oro (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Communicado (ML 20-1)
# 5 Rose Larue (ML 5-1)
# 6 Louisiana Lily (ML 30-1)
# 7 All the Juice (ML 12-1)
# 10 Temple Tower (ML 15-1)
# 11 Kiss Me Lily (ML 50-1)
Scratch # 4 I'm a Okie Lady (ML 20-1)
As you've come to expect, Oklahoma breds have a surcharge at the claiming box; so if you want to purchase Natalie's Toccet or Kiss Me Lily, it'll cost you and extra $2.5k.
Tayla took the Place at this class level last time out. Natalie's Toccet gets her fifth rail draw in her seven most recent starts; too bad she's not quicker. Anyway, Natalie'd Toccet looks to be the one running best late, provided she doesn't get stuck in traffic.
Fox Alert is in for a tag for the first time in her career. Franki D Oro is getting some much needed class relief. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 3 with 8 with 8 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,4 with 1,3,4,6 with 3,8,9 with 1,3,8,9 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,5,7 with 3 with 8 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2,5,7 with 8 with 8 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 3 with 1,2,4,5,6,7 with 8 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 3 with 8 with 2,5,6,7,10,11 $3.00
Total: $58.50
Post Time for Race 5 is 9:59 EST / 6:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 5 - Clm $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Holt County (Morning Line 5-1)
B’s
# 3 Galactica (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Texas Long Bow (ML 15-1)
# 2 Aboout Our Time (ML 7-2)
# 5 Rise Up (ML 20-1)
# 7 Imma Wild Bling (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 6 Eurobond (ML 8-5)
As per usual, Oklahoma breds cost more; $5k more, to be exact. But with the scratch of Eurobond, there are no Oklahoma breds in the field; so all runners are for sale for $20k.
Holt County could be quickest here. Holt County also does quite well at today's distance, with five Wins in eight tries, as well as two Place finishes.
Galactica missed victory by just a neck at this class level last time out, albeit over an off track. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $5k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 A J's Grand (ML 7-5)
B’s
# 1 Desert Madam (ML 15-1)
# 4 Eye On Harper (ML 6-1)
# 6 Miss Wekati (ML 2-1)
C's
# 2 Starship Impulse (ML 6-1)
# 5 River Deputy (ML 12-1)
# 7 Toskiko (ML 30-1)
As per usual, Oklahoma breds are more expensive; so if you want to claim River Deputy or Toskiko, it'll cost you an extra $1.25k.
A J's Grand goes first off the claim for Trainer Steve Asmussen. Desert Madam could improve with the cutback in distance. Eye On Harper fits well with the contenders.
Miss Wekati, making her first start outside the state of Louisiana, could move up with the drop in class. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - (F) [S] Md $20k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Tomey's Lexus (ML 9-5)
B's
# 3 First After Klaria (ML 20-1)
# 9 Flat Out Phat (ML 8-5)
C's
# 1 Seeing Double (ML 8-1)
# 2 Real Rhythm (ML 15-1)
# 4 Oneida Won (ML 10-1)
# 5 River Liberty (ML 15-1)
# 6 Dede's Trick (ML 12-1)
# 7 River Wild (ML 20-1)
For those who note such things, connections had the option to shed three pounds off their juvenile filly's back in exchange for running for $15k instead of $20k. None in this field chose that option.
Tomey's Lexus took the Place at this class level last time out; albeit a well beaten Place. First After Klaria is a debut runner who hasn't shown much in the morning; but, then again, she's not facing much in this field, so why not. Flat Out Phat is running for the first time with a price tag on her head. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $7.5k N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Tayla (ML 8-1)
B’s
# 1 Natalie's Toccet (ML 7-2)
# 3 Fox Alert (ML 5-2)
# 9 Franki D Oro (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Communicado (ML 20-1)
# 5 Rose Larue (ML 5-1)
# 6 Louisiana Lily (ML 30-1)
# 7 All the Juice (ML 12-1)
# 10 Temple Tower (ML 15-1)
# 11 Kiss Me Lily (ML 50-1)
Scratch # 4 I'm a Okie Lady (ML 20-1)
As you've come to expect, Oklahoma breds have a surcharge at the claiming box; so if you want to purchase Natalie's Toccet or Kiss Me Lily, it'll cost you and extra $2.5k.
Tayla took the Place at this class level last time out. Natalie's Toccet gets her fifth rail draw in her seven most recent starts; too bad she's not quicker. Anyway, Natalie'd Toccet looks to be the one running best late, provided she doesn't get stuck in traffic.
Fox Alert is in for a tag for the first time in her career. Franki D Oro is getting some much needed class relief. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 3 with 8 with 8 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,4 with 1,3,4,6 with 3,8,9 with 1,3,8,9 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,5,7 with 3 with 8 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2,5,7 with 8 with 8 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 3 with 1,2,4,5,6,7 with 8 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 3 with 8 with 2,5,6,7,10,11 $3.00
Total: $58.50
Post Time for Race 5 is 9:59 EST / 6:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, November 30, 2019
11/30/19 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Results
Race 5 - # 11 Bizzar Brown (Final Odds 4.50) - "B" Selection
Race 6 - # 6 Absaroka (0.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 Drifting West (3.10) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 7 Rose of Malibu (0.60*) - "A" Selection
It was another case of choosing the wrong leg in which to punch the "ALL" button. I had three covered on the big ticket in the penultimate race; but that wasn't enough, as I let Drifting West slip on by me. Meanwhile, I went "ALL" in for the nightcap, only to see my top pick and odds-on Post Time Favorite win for fun. Mistakes like that often prove costly, and tonight was no exception. So despite getting my big ticket single home in the second leg, Saturday was a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Primetime Pick Four sequence of 11 / 6 / 5 / 7 were rewarded with a payout of $36.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 6 Absaroka (0.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 5 Drifting West (3.10) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 7 Rose of Malibu (0.60*) - "A" Selection
It was another case of choosing the wrong leg in which to punch the "ALL" button. I had three covered on the big ticket in the penultimate race; but that wasn't enough, as I let Drifting West slip on by me. Meanwhile, I went "ALL" in for the nightcap, only to see my top pick and odds-on Post Time Favorite win for fun. Mistakes like that often prove costly, and tonight was no exception. So despite getting my big ticket single home in the second leg, Saturday was a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Primetime Pick Four sequence of 11 / 6 / 5 / 7 were rewarded with a payout of $36.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
11/30/19 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Preview
Greetings one and all; and here's hoping that everyone had a safe and wonderful Thanksgiving. As we continue on with this holiday weekend in the U.S., please take special note that Saturday's card in Oklahoma City has just eight contests; meaning that today's sequence begins with Race 5, rather than the more customary Race 6. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.
RACE 5 - (F) Md $7.5k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Flashin the Cash (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 2 Rathmeister (ML 5-2)
# 11 Bizzar Brown (ML 7-2)
# 12 No Relief in Sight (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Electrick County (ML 30-1)
# 3 Pojoaque (ML 50-1)
# 4 Goddess of Wonder (ML 30-1)
# 6 Night's Magic (ML 6-1)
# 7 Trapani (ML 12-1)
# 8 Miss Independent (ML 20-1)
# 9 Data Baby (ML 15-1)
# 10 Gretoouki (ML 30-1)
Note that, per usual, Oklahoma breds cost more; specifically, $2.5k more. So if you want to claim Oklahoma breds Electrick County or Goddess of Wonder or Bizzar Brown, the cost will be $10k, not $7.5k. However, if you claim Oklahoma breds Pojoaque or Miss Independent or Data Baby, the price tag is just $7.5k.
Having researched this further, it appears that a requirement for the Oklahoma bred claiming price bonus is not just that the runner be bred in Oklahoma, but also that the sire is an accredited Oklahoma bred stallion. So what exactly is an accredited Oklahoma-bred stallion? Well, quoting from Chapter 75 of the Oklahoma Horse Racing Commission Rules of Racing:
"An accredited Oklahoma-Bred is one that is domiciled in Oklahoma, stands for service in Oklahoma, and is enrolled in the Oklahoma-Bred stallion registry."
So while Pojoaque, for example, is an Oklahoma bred filly, Pojoaque's sire, Temple City, stands at Spendthrift Farm in Kentucky. Likewise Data Link, the sire of Oklahoma bred Data Baby, stood at Claiborne Farm in Kentucky prior to his retirement from stud duty. Since neither of those sires were domiciled in Oklahoma, their progeny are not eligible for the claiming price bonus. So one more mystery in life is solved.
Returning to the mystery of Race 5, Flashin the Cash looks quickest here, and Flashin the Cash should benefit from the class drop. Rathmeister and Bizzar Brown filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out; though I would not be surprised if they swapped positions today, as I think the cutback in distance favors Bizzar Brown.
No Relief in Sight took the Show at this class level last time out. No Relief in Sight is also going second off the claim for Trainer Steve Asmussen, who tends to do well with such. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 6 - [S] MSW - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Absaroka (ML 4-5)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Poppy's Oats (ML 6-1)
# 2 Wild Paint (ML 12-1)
# 3 Georgia Deputy (ML 5-1)
# 4 Yip Yip Kip (ML 12-1)
# 5 Oklahoma Line (ML 4-1)
# 7 Talk Big Money (ML 20-1)
Absaroka was much improved last time out, going two turns for the first time, as he took the Place at this class level behind a next out winner. Debut runner Wild Paint, like Absaroka, is by 2013 Cigar Mile winner Flat Out; so if you're unsure about singling in this leg, that's one that you could consider. But as for me I'm going one deep here, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 7 - ALW N1X - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 1 Gray Hope (ML 7-2)
B's
# 9 Kenai Bob (ML 4-1)
# 10 Forestdungone (ML 6-1)
C's
# 2 Comedian (ML 3-1)
# 3 Gospel Carlo (ML 30-1)
# 4 Cowboy Pride (ML 30-1)
# 5 Drifting West (ML 7-2)
# 6 Fallstar (ML 10-1)
# 7 Sonic Jet (ML 20-1)
# 8 Yak (ML 30-1)
# 11 Towering Oak (ML 30-1)
Gray Hope, son of Paddy O'Prado, would be much more preferred if this contest was on the turf. Be that as it may, Gray Hope was successful on this main track last time out, and won by enough to suggest that he can handle the rise in class.
Kenai Bob and Forestdungone filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. If I was looking to save some bankroll, I would be very tempted to drop Kenai Bob from the main ticket, as Kenai Bob seems to settle for too many minor awards. But tempting as that may be, I ultimately decided to go with Kenai Bob as a "B" Selections, while using the rest of the field as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 8 - (F) OC 40k B - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Rose of Malibu (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 1 Inagoodway (ML 7-2)
# 2 Broadway County (ML 20-1)
# 4 Keetonville (ML 15-1)
# 5 Pinup Girl (ML 20-1)
# 6 Sure Thing Sheila (ML 8-1)
# 8 Terra's Angel (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Clever Serve (ML 5-2)
For those who note such things, just three runners in this field are in for a tag: Broadway County and Sure Thing Sheila are up for sale at $40k apiece; while Oklahoma bred Inagoodway will cost you $45k at the claim box.
Rose of Malibu hasn't visited the Winner's Circle in over a year; but Rose of Malibu seems to have a solid class edge over the rest of the field. Inagoodway could be speed on the rail. Keetonville was victorious going a mile on the grass; maybe that form will carry over to the main track.
Pinup Girl is making her first career start over this main track; though she seems to have been working well over this surface. Pinup Girl is a bit of specialist at today's distance, having won three out of her six lifetime tries at a mile, along with two other in the money finishes.
Sure Thing Sheila is the horse for the course in this field, with five Wins and two Place finishes in her eight career races over this main track. Terra's Angel got under the wire in front of Rose of Malibu at this class level back in July at Lone Star Park; but that was in Rose of Malibu's only career turf start.
That leaves Broadway County; and, well, I can't go "ALL but one" in a leg; so "ALL" it is.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 6 with 1 with 7 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,5,11,12 with 6 with 1,9,10 with ALL $42.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4,6,7,8,9,10 with 6 with 1 with 7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1,2,3,4,5,7 with 1 with 7 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 6 with 2,3,4,5,6,7,8,11 with 7 $4.00
Total: $54.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 9:59 EST / 6:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 5 - (F) Md $7.5k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Flashin the Cash (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 2 Rathmeister (ML 5-2)
# 11 Bizzar Brown (ML 7-2)
# 12 No Relief in Sight (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Electrick County (ML 30-1)
# 3 Pojoaque (ML 50-1)
# 4 Goddess of Wonder (ML 30-1)
# 6 Night's Magic (ML 6-1)
# 7 Trapani (ML 12-1)
# 8 Miss Independent (ML 20-1)
# 9 Data Baby (ML 15-1)
# 10 Gretoouki (ML 30-1)
Note that, per usual, Oklahoma breds cost more; specifically, $2.5k more. So if you want to claim Oklahoma breds Electrick County or Goddess of Wonder or Bizzar Brown, the cost will be $10k, not $7.5k. However, if you claim Oklahoma breds Pojoaque or Miss Independent or Data Baby, the price tag is just $7.5k.
Having researched this further, it appears that a requirement for the Oklahoma bred claiming price bonus is not just that the runner be bred in Oklahoma, but also that the sire is an accredited Oklahoma bred stallion. So what exactly is an accredited Oklahoma-bred stallion? Well, quoting from Chapter 75 of the Oklahoma Horse Racing Commission Rules of Racing:
"An accredited Oklahoma-Bred is one that is domiciled in Oklahoma, stands for service in Oklahoma, and is enrolled in the Oklahoma-Bred stallion registry."
So while Pojoaque, for example, is an Oklahoma bred filly, Pojoaque's sire, Temple City, stands at Spendthrift Farm in Kentucky. Likewise Data Link, the sire of Oklahoma bred Data Baby, stood at Claiborne Farm in Kentucky prior to his retirement from stud duty. Since neither of those sires were domiciled in Oklahoma, their progeny are not eligible for the claiming price bonus. So one more mystery in life is solved.
Returning to the mystery of Race 5, Flashin the Cash looks quickest here, and Flashin the Cash should benefit from the class drop. Rathmeister and Bizzar Brown filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out; though I would not be surprised if they swapped positions today, as I think the cutback in distance favors Bizzar Brown.
No Relief in Sight took the Show at this class level last time out. No Relief in Sight is also going second off the claim for Trainer Steve Asmussen, who tends to do well with such. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 6 - [S] MSW - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Absaroka (ML 4-5)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Poppy's Oats (ML 6-1)
# 2 Wild Paint (ML 12-1)
# 3 Georgia Deputy (ML 5-1)
# 4 Yip Yip Kip (ML 12-1)
# 5 Oklahoma Line (ML 4-1)
# 7 Talk Big Money (ML 20-1)
Absaroka was much improved last time out, going two turns for the first time, as he took the Place at this class level behind a next out winner. Debut runner Wild Paint, like Absaroka, is by 2013 Cigar Mile winner Flat Out; so if you're unsure about singling in this leg, that's one that you could consider. But as for me I'm going one deep here, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 7 - ALW N1X - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 1 Gray Hope (ML 7-2)
B's
# 9 Kenai Bob (ML 4-1)
# 10 Forestdungone (ML 6-1)
C's
# 2 Comedian (ML 3-1)
# 3 Gospel Carlo (ML 30-1)
# 4 Cowboy Pride (ML 30-1)
# 5 Drifting West (ML 7-2)
# 6 Fallstar (ML 10-1)
# 7 Sonic Jet (ML 20-1)
# 8 Yak (ML 30-1)
# 11 Towering Oak (ML 30-1)
Gray Hope, son of Paddy O'Prado, would be much more preferred if this contest was on the turf. Be that as it may, Gray Hope was successful on this main track last time out, and won by enough to suggest that he can handle the rise in class.
Kenai Bob and Forestdungone filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. If I was looking to save some bankroll, I would be very tempted to drop Kenai Bob from the main ticket, as Kenai Bob seems to settle for too many minor awards. But tempting as that may be, I ultimately decided to go with Kenai Bob as a "B" Selections, while using the rest of the field as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 8 - (F) OC 40k B - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Rose of Malibu (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 1 Inagoodway (ML 7-2)
# 2 Broadway County (ML 20-1)
# 4 Keetonville (ML 15-1)
# 5 Pinup Girl (ML 20-1)
# 6 Sure Thing Sheila (ML 8-1)
# 8 Terra's Angel (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Clever Serve (ML 5-2)
For those who note such things, just three runners in this field are in for a tag: Broadway County and Sure Thing Sheila are up for sale at $40k apiece; while Oklahoma bred Inagoodway will cost you $45k at the claim box.
Rose of Malibu hasn't visited the Winner's Circle in over a year; but Rose of Malibu seems to have a solid class edge over the rest of the field. Inagoodway could be speed on the rail. Keetonville was victorious going a mile on the grass; maybe that form will carry over to the main track.
Pinup Girl is making her first career start over this main track; though she seems to have been working well over this surface. Pinup Girl is a bit of specialist at today's distance, having won three out of her six lifetime tries at a mile, along with two other in the money finishes.
Sure Thing Sheila is the horse for the course in this field, with five Wins and two Place finishes in her eight career races over this main track. Terra's Angel got under the wire in front of Rose of Malibu at this class level back in July at Lone Star Park; but that was in Rose of Malibu's only career turf start.
That leaves Broadway County; and, well, I can't go "ALL but one" in a leg; so "ALL" it is.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 6 with 1 with 7 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,5,11,12 with 6 with 1,9,10 with ALL $42.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4,6,7,8,9,10 with 6 with 1 with 7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 1,2,3,4,5,7 with 1 with 7 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 6 with 2,3,4,5,6,7,8,11 with 7 $4.00
Total: $54.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 9:59 EST / 6:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Thursday, November 28, 2019
Happy Thanksgiving
"Gratitude unlocks the fullness of life. It turns what we have into enough, and more. It turns denial into acceptance, chaos to order, confusion to clarity. It can turn a meal into a feast, a house into a home, a stranger into a friend. Gratitude makes sense of our past, brings peace for today and creates a vision for tomorrow."
- Melody Beattie
“One of the very first things I figured out about life is that it’s better to be a grateful person than a grumpy one, because you have to live in the same world either way, and if you’re grateful, you have more fun.”
- Barbara Kingsolver
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
- Melody Beattie
“One of the very first things I figured out about life is that it’s better to be a grateful person than a grumpy one, because you have to live in the same world either way, and if you’re grateful, you have more fun.”
- Barbara Kingsolver
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, November 23, 2019
11/23/19 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 6 Bazooka (Final Odds 1.30*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Eurobond (0.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 2 Bright Bling (0.10*) - "A" Selection & "C" Selection*
Race 9 - # 4 C P Quality (1.00*) - "B" Selection
* - # 6 Sooner Surprise, a "C" Selection, was a late scratch from Race 8; I therefore received Post Time Favorite Bright Bling in her place.
My play was looking good when the field came into the stretch in the nightcap; but then "A" Selection # 2 I'mabarncat, on the inside rail, began to drift, and drift, and then drift some more; eventual ending up on the outside rail. And while I'mabarncat was still able to hold onto the Place, all that sideways movement allowed # 4 C P Quality to get under the wire first; which, for me, was a significantly less satisfying result.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other four runners to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:
# 1 Hana Highway (10.60) - $32.95 Finish: 4th
# 2 I’mabarnkat (1.40) - $6.15 Finish: 2nd
# 3 Lunera (Mex) (18.80) - $37.30 Finish: 5th
# 7 Valokie (4.50) - $12.40 Finish: 3rd
Note that had I'mabarnkat won I would have collected the above payout four times: once for the big ticket; twice for the all “A” Selections ticket; and once for a Three A’s and One “C” ticket, thanks to the late scratch of Sooner Surprise in the third leg.
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Primetime Pick Four sequence of 6 / 6 / 2 / 4 which paid $8.65 for a fifty cent wager. Since I originally invested $12.50 in my play, I manage once again at Remington Park to cash at a loss; an annoying habit to have acquired. For while cashing at a loss is definitely better than not cashing at all, it's certainly not what I had in mind when I placed my bets.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 6 Eurobond (0.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 2 Bright Bling (0.10*) - "A" Selection & "C" Selection*
Race 9 - # 4 C P Quality (1.00*) - "B" Selection
* - # 6 Sooner Surprise, a "C" Selection, was a late scratch from Race 8; I therefore received Post Time Favorite Bright Bling in her place.
My play was looking good when the field came into the stretch in the nightcap; but then "A" Selection # 2 I'mabarncat, on the inside rail, began to drift, and drift, and then drift some more; eventual ending up on the outside rail. And while I'mabarncat was still able to hold onto the Place, all that sideways movement allowed # 4 C P Quality to get under the wire first; which, for me, was a significantly less satisfying result.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other four runners to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:
# 1 Hana Highway (10.60) - $32.95 Finish: 4th
# 2 I’mabarnkat (1.40) - $6.15 Finish: 2nd
# 3 Lunera (Mex) (18.80) - $37.30 Finish: 5th
# 7 Valokie (4.50) - $12.40 Finish: 3rd
Note that had I'mabarnkat won I would have collected the above payout four times: once for the big ticket; twice for the all “A” Selections ticket; and once for a Three A’s and One “C” ticket, thanks to the late scratch of Sooner Surprise in the third leg.
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Primetime Pick Four sequence of 6 / 6 / 2 / 4 which paid $8.65 for a fifty cent wager. Since I originally invested $12.50 in my play, I manage once again at Remington Park to cash at a loss; an annoying habit to have acquired. For while cashing at a loss is definitely better than not cashing at all, it's certainly not what I had in mind when I placed my bets.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
11/23/19 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Preview
For those who may have not yet heard, I have the sad news to report that multiple cases of equine herpesvirus type 1 (EHV-1) have been diagnosed among the horse population at Remington Park; one of whom unfortunately succumbing to the disease. Because of that, the track is effectively on lock down, with no runners being shipped in or out. This is especially heartbreaking news for those who were scheduled to compete in the Land of Enchantment card this coming Wednesday at Zia Park.
Also affected by the outbreak is Saturday's card in Oklahoma City; for example, three entrants in the nightcap who are stabled outside of the track will not be running tonight, and have been scratched. Because of the depleted fields, honesty compels me to confess that there may not be much to see here; but this is horse racing, and there's no telling what may happen until the "OFFICIAL" sign lights up. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.
RACE 6 - Clm $7.5k N3L - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Bazooka (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
# 2 Bernardian (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Nations Hope (ML 9-2)
# 3 Sensational Sam (ML 3-1)
# 4 John Allen (ML 15-1)
# 5 Spring for Gold (ML 10-1)
# 7 Air Force Cadet (ML 6-1)
If you want to claim an Oklahoma bred from this contest, it'll cost you an extra $2.5k; or, rather, it would if there were any Oklahoma breds running.
Bazooka moves up to non-Winners of Three Lifetime company after obtaining his second career victory last time out by coming from off the pace. Bernardian took the Show at this class level last time out, and could be quickest here. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 7 - Clm $20k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Eurobond (ML 7-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Googleado (Arg) (ML 15-1)
# 3 Mallory's Bandit (ML 20-1)
# 5 Texas Long Bow (ML 10-1)
# 7 Louden's Gray (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 2 Drc All Inclusive (ML 9-5) and # 4 Euramaster (ML 6-1)
As per usual, Oklahoma breds cost more; so if you want to claim Eurobond, it'll cost you an extra $5k.
With the scratch of Drc All Inclusive, Eurobond, winner of his last three, looks much the best here. For those who prefer not to single in this leg, or who just want to go in a different direction, Louden's Gray could move up with the cutback in distance; though ultimately I decided to go just one deep here, thereby slotting Louden's Gray as a backup "C" Selection, along with the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) [S] Clm $25k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Bright Bling (ML 1-1)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Natalie's Toccet (ML 15-1)
# 5 Sherry Babe (ML 20-1)
# 6 Sooner Surprise (ML 20-1)
# 7 Baudette (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 1 Mighty Heidi (ML 2-1) and # 4 Flashy Bisonette (ML 10-1)
Bright Bling took the Place against open (non-state bred restricted) $25k N2L company last time out. A concern with Bright Bling is that she may settle for too many minor awards; but Bright Bling just looks too much the best here to justify doubling the cost of the ticket by adding another runner. So Bright Bling will be a big ticket single in my play, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 9 - (F) ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 I'mabarnkat (ML 6-5)
B's
# 1 Hana Highway (ML 8-1)
# 3 Lunera (ML 20-1)
# 4 C P Quality (ML 5-2)
# 7 Valokie (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 5 Another Rocket (ML 20-1); # 6 Fabulous Girl (ML 12-1); and # 8 Gorgeouswitha G (ML 20-1)
I'mabarnkat, C P Quality, and Valokie filled out the bottom three rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out. Hana Highway could be speed on the rail; and Hana Highway should appreciate the class relief. Lundera showed signs of waking up last time out, and could improve going third off the layoff. And that's everyone, so it looks like I'm going "ALL" in this leg.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 6 with 2 with 2 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,6 with 6 with 2 with ALL $5.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4,5,7 with 6 with 2 with 2 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 1,3,5,7 with 2 with 2 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 6 with 3,5,6,7 with 2 $2.00
Total: $12.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 10:27 EST / 7:27 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Also affected by the outbreak is Saturday's card in Oklahoma City; for example, three entrants in the nightcap who are stabled outside of the track will not be running tonight, and have been scratched. Because of the depleted fields, honesty compels me to confess that there may not be much to see here; but this is horse racing, and there's no telling what may happen until the "OFFICIAL" sign lights up. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.
RACE 6 - Clm $7.5k N3L - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Bazooka (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
# 2 Bernardian (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Nations Hope (ML 9-2)
# 3 Sensational Sam (ML 3-1)
# 4 John Allen (ML 15-1)
# 5 Spring for Gold (ML 10-1)
# 7 Air Force Cadet (ML 6-1)
If you want to claim an Oklahoma bred from this contest, it'll cost you an extra $2.5k; or, rather, it would if there were any Oklahoma breds running.
Bazooka moves up to non-Winners of Three Lifetime company after obtaining his second career victory last time out by coming from off the pace. Bernardian took the Show at this class level last time out, and could be quickest here. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 7 - Clm $20k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Eurobond (ML 7-5)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Googleado (Arg) (ML 15-1)
# 3 Mallory's Bandit (ML 20-1)
# 5 Texas Long Bow (ML 10-1)
# 7 Louden's Gray (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 2 Drc All Inclusive (ML 9-5) and # 4 Euramaster (ML 6-1)
As per usual, Oklahoma breds cost more; so if you want to claim Eurobond, it'll cost you an extra $5k.
With the scratch of Drc All Inclusive, Eurobond, winner of his last three, looks much the best here. For those who prefer not to single in this leg, or who just want to go in a different direction, Louden's Gray could move up with the cutback in distance; though ultimately I decided to go just one deep here, thereby slotting Louden's Gray as a backup "C" Selection, along with the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) [S] Clm $25k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Bright Bling (ML 1-1)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Natalie's Toccet (ML 15-1)
# 5 Sherry Babe (ML 20-1)
# 6 Sooner Surprise (ML 20-1)
# 7 Baudette (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 1 Mighty Heidi (ML 2-1) and # 4 Flashy Bisonette (ML 10-1)
Bright Bling took the Place against open (non-state bred restricted) $25k N2L company last time out. A concern with Bright Bling is that she may settle for too many minor awards; but Bright Bling just looks too much the best here to justify doubling the cost of the ticket by adding another runner. So Bright Bling will be a big ticket single in my play, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 9 - (F) ALW N1X - Six Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 I'mabarnkat (ML 6-5)
B's
# 1 Hana Highway (ML 8-1)
# 3 Lunera (ML 20-1)
# 4 C P Quality (ML 5-2)
# 7 Valokie (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 5 Another Rocket (ML 20-1); # 6 Fabulous Girl (ML 12-1); and # 8 Gorgeouswitha G (ML 20-1)
I'mabarnkat, C P Quality, and Valokie filled out the bottom three rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out. Hana Highway could be speed on the rail; and Hana Highway should appreciate the class relief. Lundera showed signs of waking up last time out, and could improve going third off the layoff. And that's everyone, so it looks like I'm going "ALL" in this leg.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 6 with 2 with 2 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,6 with 6 with 2 with ALL $5.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,3,4,5,7 with 6 with 2 with 2 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 1,3,5,7 with 2 with 2 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 6 with 3,5,6,7 with 2 $2.00
Total: $12.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 10:27 EST / 7:27 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, November 17, 2019
11/16/19 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 4 Nacogdoches (Final Odds 1.20*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 1 Catdaddy (3.90) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 4 Eva's Candy (53.60) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 3 Lucky Every Day (2.20*) - "B" Selection
As can be seen above, I chose the wrong leg in which in punch the "ALL" button; for it was the penultimate race, rather than the nightcap, which saw the chaos result; while the Post Time Favorite was a clear winner to end the sequence.
"A" Selection and Post Time Favorite # 2 Alternative Slew (1.00*) gave it her all in Race 8, fighting on the front end and grabbing the lead in stretch; but Alternative Slew could not hold off the late charging Eva's Candy on the line. Meanwhile, # 8 Cardi Deville (63.00) tried her best in the finale to make me look smart by grabbing the Place; though it should be noted that I would have been smart only in advice but not in my play, as Cardi Deville was one of the four runners that I left off my main ticket for the last leg. So make the Place finishing Favorite in the third leg the winner, and make the Place finishing long shot the winner of the nightcap, and Saturday is still a day for me to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Primetime Pick Four sequence of 4 / 1 / 4 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $19,455.85 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, November 16, 2019
11/16/19 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Preview
Hopefully at least a few of you caught the action at Remington Park last night, as a trio of stakes featuring Oklahoma breds headlined what was a very fine card. Looking forward to tonight's action, while there are no stakes on the program, there are a pair of Allowance races among the final four contests on the card, as well as what looks to be a very competitive juvenile Maiden Special Weights, which is scheduled as the nightcap. So with all that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.
RACE 6 - Clm $20k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Nacogdoches (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Cha Cha Now Y'all (ML 6-1)
# 3 Officer Sid (ML 10-1)
# 5 Wil of Fortune (ML 15-1)
# 6 Clipboard Money (ML 7-2)
# 7 Jazz Music (ML 3-1)
Scratch # 1 Lons Shackleford (ML 5-1)
For those who note such things, there is no surcharge for Oklahoma breds in this contest; so if you want to claim Wil of Fortune, it will cost you the same twenty grand as it would for any of the other entrants. For the record, the conditions did contain the option to put your runner in for only $15k in exchange for getting a couple of pounds off your horse's back; but none entered checked that box.
The Steve Asmussen trained Nacogdoches closed well last time out to take the Place at Ellis Park. Nacogdoches broke his maiden in his debut in his only prior try over this main track.
Singling Nacogdoches on the main ticket may prove to be an unwise move, as Clipboard Money (who graduated last time) may prove to be too quick to catch; and Jazz Music (the "other" Asmussen) could benefit from the cutback in distance. But I think Nacogdoches is well meant here, and I want to spread in the upcoming events; so going three deep, or even just two, is out of the question. Besides, if you're going to single, the first leg is the best time to do it. So Nacogdoches will be going solo on the big ticket, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 7 - ALW N2X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Cookies Are Good (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Catdaddy (ML 3-1)
# 7 Dobbins G (ML 15-1)
# 9 Drop of Golden Sun (ML 7-2)
C's
# 3 Praetorian (ML 6-1)
# 5 Molleck (ML 8-1)
# 6 Charlie's Schiller (ML 20-1)
# 8 Itsallaboutyou (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 4 Bo Tee (ML 20-1)
Cookies Are Good closed well to win each of his last two contests. Catdaddy's lifetime record is a very unimpressive 2-for-28; but both of those Wins came over this main track, in just eleven tries.
Dobbins G could be quickest here. Drop of Golden Sun could improve competing on a drier surface. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Alternative Slew (ML 2-1)
B's
# 5 North of Eden (ML 8-1)
# 7 Wild Moment (ML 7-5)
C's
# 1 Beryl's Flight (ML 20-1)
# 3 Franki D Oro (ML 20-1)
# 4 Eva's Candy (ML 30-1)
# 6 Mizz Fabulous (ML 6-1)
# 8 Baladera (ML 12-1)
# 9 Primary Cause (ML 15-1)
Alternative Slew misses by just a neck of entering this contest with a four race winning streak. North of Eden moves up in class from the claiming ranks; but Trainer Miguel Silva tends to do well when placing his last out victors.
Wild Moment took the Show behind a next out winner in an ALW N2X contest last time out, and now joins the barn of Trainer Steve Asmussen. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Restore Harmony (ML 15-1)
B's
# 2 Gurl You Fine (ML 9-2)
# 3 Lucky Every Day (ML 5-2)
# 6 Cleverly (ML 6-1)
# 7 Lady Ave (ML 8-1)
# 10 Sailsinthesunset (ML 4-1)
# 11 Lil Red Vette (ML 10-1)
# 12 Miss Aggie Bling (ML 30-1)
C's
# 1 Dial Dish (ML 20-1)
# 4 Shot At Stardom (ML 30-1)
# 5 Triple Account (ML 20-1)
# 8 Cadi Deville (ML 20-1)
These are juvenile fillies, and only one of the half dozen experienced runners has ever finished in the Trifecta. So if you've got the budget, my best advice here is to just punch the "ALL" button. As for my play, I think I've got it right. I put Restore Harmony as my top pick because I like her chances of carrying her speed further with the cutback in distance and getting to compete on a drier track. The backup "C" Selections are those which I think have the least chance of hurting me; but, again, if it's within your budget, I strongly suggest going "ALL" in on this leg.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 9 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,2,7,9 with 2,5,7 with 2,3,6,7,9,10,11,12 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3,5,6,7 with 2 with 2 with 9 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 3,5,6,8 with 2 with 9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 1,3,4,6,8,9 with 9 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 1,4,5,8 $2.00
Total: $58.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 10:27 EST / 7:27 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - Clm $20k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Nacogdoches (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Cha Cha Now Y'all (ML 6-1)
# 3 Officer Sid (ML 10-1)
# 5 Wil of Fortune (ML 15-1)
# 6 Clipboard Money (ML 7-2)
# 7 Jazz Music (ML 3-1)
Scratch # 1 Lons Shackleford (ML 5-1)
For those who note such things, there is no surcharge for Oklahoma breds in this contest; so if you want to claim Wil of Fortune, it will cost you the same twenty grand as it would for any of the other entrants. For the record, the conditions did contain the option to put your runner in for only $15k in exchange for getting a couple of pounds off your horse's back; but none entered checked that box.
The Steve Asmussen trained Nacogdoches closed well last time out to take the Place at Ellis Park. Nacogdoches broke his maiden in his debut in his only prior try over this main track.
Singling Nacogdoches on the main ticket may prove to be an unwise move, as Clipboard Money (who graduated last time) may prove to be too quick to catch; and Jazz Music (the "other" Asmussen) could benefit from the cutback in distance. But I think Nacogdoches is well meant here, and I want to spread in the upcoming events; so going three deep, or even just two, is out of the question. Besides, if you're going to single, the first leg is the best time to do it. So Nacogdoches will be going solo on the big ticket, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 7 - ALW N2X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Cookies Are Good (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Catdaddy (ML 3-1)
# 7 Dobbins G (ML 15-1)
# 9 Drop of Golden Sun (ML 7-2)
C's
# 3 Praetorian (ML 6-1)
# 5 Molleck (ML 8-1)
# 6 Charlie's Schiller (ML 20-1)
# 8 Itsallaboutyou (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 4 Bo Tee (ML 20-1)
Cookies Are Good closed well to win each of his last two contests. Catdaddy's lifetime record is a very unimpressive 2-for-28; but both of those Wins came over this main track, in just eleven tries.
Dobbins G could be quickest here. Drop of Golden Sun could improve competing on a drier surface. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Alternative Slew (ML 2-1)
B's
# 5 North of Eden (ML 8-1)
# 7 Wild Moment (ML 7-5)
C's
# 1 Beryl's Flight (ML 20-1)
# 3 Franki D Oro (ML 20-1)
# 4 Eva's Candy (ML 30-1)
# 6 Mizz Fabulous (ML 6-1)
# 8 Baladera (ML 12-1)
# 9 Primary Cause (ML 15-1)
Alternative Slew misses by just a neck of entering this contest with a four race winning streak. North of Eden moves up in class from the claiming ranks; but Trainer Miguel Silva tends to do well when placing his last out victors.
Wild Moment took the Show behind a next out winner in an ALW N2X contest last time out, and now joins the barn of Trainer Steve Asmussen. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Restore Harmony (ML 15-1)
B's
# 2 Gurl You Fine (ML 9-2)
# 3 Lucky Every Day (ML 5-2)
# 6 Cleverly (ML 6-1)
# 7 Lady Ave (ML 8-1)
# 10 Sailsinthesunset (ML 4-1)
# 11 Lil Red Vette (ML 10-1)
# 12 Miss Aggie Bling (ML 30-1)
C's
# 1 Dial Dish (ML 20-1)
# 4 Shot At Stardom (ML 30-1)
# 5 Triple Account (ML 20-1)
# 8 Cadi Deville (ML 20-1)
These are juvenile fillies, and only one of the half dozen experienced runners has ever finished in the Trifecta. So if you've got the budget, my best advice here is to just punch the "ALL" button. As for my play, I think I've got it right. I put Restore Harmony as my top pick because I like her chances of carrying her speed further with the cutback in distance and getting to compete on a drier track. The backup "C" Selections are those which I think have the least chance of hurting me; but, again, if it's within your budget, I strongly suggest going "ALL" in on this leg.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 9 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,2,7,9 with 2,5,7 with 2,3,6,7,9,10,11,12 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3,5,6,7 with 2 with 2 with 9 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 3,5,6,8 with 2 with 9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 1,3,4,6,8,9 with 9 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 1,4,5,8 $2.00
Total: $58.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 10:27 EST / 7:27 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, November 10, 2019
Free Brisnet Past Performances - An Update and Redirection
It was approximately six years ago that I created this post providing links for those so interested to obtain free Brisnet Past Performances. I commented at the time that, since many ADW's now offer free past performances to their customers, many of you would find little use for such; and I imagine that this is even more true today. However, I am aware that a good number of you do still refer to that page for the free PPs; often times when you just want to look at a race or two, and you aren't yet sure if you're going to find the race playable (as most ADW's do require a wager or two in return for them providing free PPs).
Another reason why I know that the free Brisnet Past Performances page is still finding an audience is because I've been getting reports that some of the links are not working. I've updated and tested all of them; yet it appears that some are still not firing as they should for all users. So, rather than doing the hard and perhaps impossible work of trying to figure out why something computer related is not working properly, I've decided instead to simply direct you elsewhere; specifically, to HorseRacingNation.com
If you go on over to HorseRacingNation.com you'll find pretty much what you find on my page: links that will direct you to free Brisnet Past Performances listed by owners, trainers, and farms for any race in which one of the listed owners or trainers have an entry; or for the farms that have an entry that was sired by one of their stallions. So, for example, if you were to click the link for Doug O'Neill, you would be taken to a page from where you can download free Brisnet Past Performances for any race containing an entrant trained by O'Neill. Likewise if you were to click the link for Winstar Farm, you would be directed to a page where you could download free PPs for any race that had an entrant that was sired by a Winstar Farm stallion (such as Carpe Diem or Paynter).
Incidentally, for the sake of full disclosure, I will note here that, contrary to what was true six years ago, I personally primarily use Past Performances from Brisnet, having switched over from Daily Racing Form PPs some time ago. Without going into specifics, I simply find that the Brisnet PPs work best for me; and really, that's the most important part of choosing which brand of Past Performances you should use; determining which one, be it Brisnet, DRF, Equibase, TimeFormUS, etc., etc., works best for you.
Note that the Brisnet PP's do not contain Beyer Speed Figures, as those are proprietary to DRF; however, Brisnet does calculate their own speed figures, as well as their own pace figures. Likewise with breeding: Tomlinson Ratings are proprietary to DRF, while Brisnet offers their own ratings for turf, off tracks, etc. to guide you in your selections. A full explanation of how Brisnet PP's work is available here.
So to recap: If you're looking for free Brisnet Past Performances, feel free to check out this post that I created back in 2013. However, you're probably better off obtaining your free Brisnet Past Performances from this page over at HorseRacingNation.com, as their links seem to consistently work better than mine. And should you decide that you want to purchase Brisnet Past Performances, the place to do that is over at Brisnet.com.
Good luck!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Another reason why I know that the free Brisnet Past Performances page is still finding an audience is because I've been getting reports that some of the links are not working. I've updated and tested all of them; yet it appears that some are still not firing as they should for all users. So, rather than doing the hard and perhaps impossible work of trying to figure out why something computer related is not working properly, I've decided instead to simply direct you elsewhere; specifically, to HorseRacingNation.com
If you go on over to HorseRacingNation.com you'll find pretty much what you find on my page: links that will direct you to free Brisnet Past Performances listed by owners, trainers, and farms for any race in which one of the listed owners or trainers have an entry; or for the farms that have an entry that was sired by one of their stallions. So, for example, if you were to click the link for Doug O'Neill, you would be taken to a page from where you can download free Brisnet Past Performances for any race containing an entrant trained by O'Neill. Likewise if you were to click the link for Winstar Farm, you would be directed to a page where you could download free PPs for any race that had an entrant that was sired by a Winstar Farm stallion (such as Carpe Diem or Paynter).
Incidentally, for the sake of full disclosure, I will note here that, contrary to what was true six years ago, I personally primarily use Past Performances from Brisnet, having switched over from Daily Racing Form PPs some time ago. Without going into specifics, I simply find that the Brisnet PPs work best for me; and really, that's the most important part of choosing which brand of Past Performances you should use; determining which one, be it Brisnet, DRF, Equibase, TimeFormUS, etc., etc., works best for you.
Note that the Brisnet PP's do not contain Beyer Speed Figures, as those are proprietary to DRF; however, Brisnet does calculate their own speed figures, as well as their own pace figures. Likewise with breeding: Tomlinson Ratings are proprietary to DRF, while Brisnet offers their own ratings for turf, off tracks, etc. to guide you in your selections. A full explanation of how Brisnet PP's work is available here.
So to recap: If you're looking for free Brisnet Past Performances, feel free to check out this post that I created back in 2013. However, you're probably better off obtaining your free Brisnet Past Performances from this page over at HorseRacingNation.com, as their links seem to consistently work better than mine. And should you decide that you want to purchase Brisnet Past Performances, the place to do that is over at Brisnet.com.
Good luck!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, November 9, 2019
11/9/19 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 1 Bazooka (Final Odds 4.10) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 1 Fallstar (1.80*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 9 No Lak of Speed (2.20) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 9 Brenda's Fever (3.30) - "C" Selection
Brenda's Fever certainly fit as a contender in the nightcap based upon class, having won at this level her previous time out. But that previous time out was at a distance of just five and a half furlongs. If you wanted to find the last time that Brenda's Fever finished in the Trifecta going a mile or longer you would have had to go back more than ten races, to a time when she was traveling between the barns of Trainer Steve Asmussen and Trainer Brad Cox. So concerns about her making the distance led me to leave Brenda's Fever off my main ticket; and not having Brenda's Fever on my main ticket is what led me to contributing Saturday, instead of collecting.
Oh well; onto the next race.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the two runners to which I would have cashed in the final leg:
# 7 A J's Grand (1.40*) - $100.00 Finish: 4th
# 12 Skip's Song (4.50) - $219.85 Finish: 6th
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 1 / 1 / 9 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $137.65 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 1 Fallstar (1.80*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 9 No Lak of Speed (2.20) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 9 Brenda's Fever (3.30) - "C" Selection
Brenda's Fever certainly fit as a contender in the nightcap based upon class, having won at this level her previous time out. But that previous time out was at a distance of just five and a half furlongs. If you wanted to find the last time that Brenda's Fever finished in the Trifecta going a mile or longer you would have had to go back more than ten races, to a time when she was traveling between the barns of Trainer Steve Asmussen and Trainer Brad Cox. So concerns about her making the distance led me to leave Brenda's Fever off my main ticket; and not having Brenda's Fever on my main ticket is what led me to contributing Saturday, instead of collecting.
Oh well; onto the next race.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the two runners to which I would have cashed in the final leg:
# 7 A J's Grand (1.40*) - $100.00 Finish: 4th
# 12 Skip's Song (4.50) - $219.85 Finish: 6th
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 1 / 1 / 9 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $137.65 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
11/9/19 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Preview
Hey, Del Mar is running! You know, the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf. So why am I not playing that card? Well, as much as I love following the racing at Del Mar, after careful consideration I decided that I would rather stick with Remington Park. Post Times were a large factor in my decision, as I've really grown used to the later start times; which is another way of saying that I've become spoiled by not having to rush through these previews in order to get them online in time. But while I will continue posting Remington Park plays, I will certainly also continue to follow the action in Southern California (as, I believe, all dedicated race fans should). So with all that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.
RACE 6 - Clm $7.5k N2L - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 De Bird Is Da Word (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Bazooka (ML 3-1)
# 6 Anvil Rock (ML 20-1)
# 9 Gran Red (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Bazooka (ML 3-1)
# 2 Bring the Dough (ML 15-1)
# 4 Runforusrun (ML 10-1)
# 5 Proud Moments (ML 8-1)
# 7 Crafty's Last (ML 15-1)
# 8 Curandero (ML 30-1)
# 10 Dandy Van (ML 30-1)
# 11 Samurai Ranger (ML 30-1)
# 12 Indian Sun (ML 15-1)
As is typical for Claiming Races at Remington Park, the price for Oklahoma breds is higher than it is for the rest of the field. Or, rather, it would be if there were any Oklahoma breds in this field.
De Bird Is Da Word, Bazooka, and Gran Red have all shown the ability to finish in the money at this class level; now it's just a question of which one won't hang today. Anvil Rock could improve competing over a Fast main track. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 New Mexico (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Fallstar (ML 5-2)
# 8 Shelly's Dream (ML 9-2)
C's
# 2 Rogues Road (ML 10-1)
# 4 Insurrection (ML 7-2)
# 7 High Priority (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 5 Majestic Display (ML 6-1) and # 6 Uncle Pat (ML 30-1)
New Mexico, a debut runner for Trainer Steve Asmussen, is out of Royal Irish Lass, who also foaled Royal Mo, winner of the Grade 3 Robert B Lewis in 2017. Fallstar returns from an extended layoff, having previously competed on both coasts. Shelly's Dream missed graduation by less than a length at this class level at today's distance last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Five Furlongs Turf
A's
# 2 Sladens Dream (ML 2-1)
B's
# 3 Exciting (ML 6-1)
# 7 Dance to My Song (ML 5-2)
# 8 Dance Doctor (ML 12-1)
# 9 No Lak of Speed (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Eurobadguy (ML 30-1)
# 4 Burtnjoe (ML 12-1)
# 5 Larch (ML 30-1)
# 6 Tale of a Storm (ML 20-1)
Sladens Drean could improve with the cutback in distance. No Lak of Speed, Dance to My Song, and Exciting filled out the bottom three rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out. Dance Doctor could move up going third off the layoff. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 9 - (F) Clm $5k B - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 A J's Grand (ML 5-2)
B's
# 12 Skip's Song (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Desert Madam (ML 5-1)
# 2 Eye On Harper (ML 20-1)
# 3 Konawa Kween (ML 12-1)
# 4 A Kiss Goodnight (ML 15-1)
# 5 Stalker (ML 30-1)
# 6 Flashflood Warning (ML 30-1)
# 8 Canela Caliente (ML 15-1)
# 9 Brenda's Fever (ML 3-1)
# 10 Sundance Seven (ML 15-1)
# 11 Stina (ML 15-1)
This contest is restricted to fillies and mares which have either:
1) Not won a race at a mile or longer since May 9, 2019; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
So as long as a filly or mare has fewer than four career Wins, then she's eligible to run in this race. If a distaff runner has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come in the last six months, unless the distance was less than eight furlongs (note that races where the runner was entered for $4k or less don't count). For the record Eye On Harper, A Kiss Goodnight, Sundance Seven, and Skip's Song are the four runners in this field with fewer than four career Wins.
Also note that, as per usual at Remington Park, Oklahoma breds cost more; $6.25k versus the $5k for all others. Konawa Kween and Flashflood Warning are two Oklahoma breds in for the higher price tag. A Kiss Goodnight is also an Oklahoma bred; but for reasons unbeknownst to me, A Kiss Goodnight is in for only $5k. If anyone should know why that is, I'd be most grateful if they would share that information.
RACE 6 - Clm $7.5k N2L - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 De Bird Is Da Word (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Bazooka (ML 3-1)
# 6 Anvil Rock (ML 20-1)
# 9 Gran Red (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Bazooka (ML 3-1)
# 2 Bring the Dough (ML 15-1)
# 4 Runforusrun (ML 10-1)
# 5 Proud Moments (ML 8-1)
# 7 Crafty's Last (ML 15-1)
# 8 Curandero (ML 30-1)
# 10 Dandy Van (ML 30-1)
# 11 Samurai Ranger (ML 30-1)
# 12 Indian Sun (ML 15-1)
As is typical for Claiming Races at Remington Park, the price for Oklahoma breds is higher than it is for the rest of the field. Or, rather, it would be if there were any Oklahoma breds in this field.
De Bird Is Da Word, Bazooka, and Gran Red have all shown the ability to finish in the money at this class level; now it's just a question of which one won't hang today. Anvil Rock could improve competing over a Fast main track. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 7 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 New Mexico (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Fallstar (ML 5-2)
# 8 Shelly's Dream (ML 9-2)
C's
# 2 Rogues Road (ML 10-1)
# 4 Insurrection (ML 7-2)
# 7 High Priority (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 5 Majestic Display (ML 6-1) and # 6 Uncle Pat (ML 30-1)
New Mexico, a debut runner for Trainer Steve Asmussen, is out of Royal Irish Lass, who also foaled Royal Mo, winner of the Grade 3 Robert B Lewis in 2017. Fallstar returns from an extended layoff, having previously competed on both coasts. Shelly's Dream missed graduation by less than a length at this class level at today's distance last time out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Five Furlongs Turf
A's
# 2 Sladens Dream (ML 2-1)
B's
# 3 Exciting (ML 6-1)
# 7 Dance to My Song (ML 5-2)
# 8 Dance Doctor (ML 12-1)
# 9 No Lak of Speed (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 Eurobadguy (ML 30-1)
# 4 Burtnjoe (ML 12-1)
# 5 Larch (ML 30-1)
# 6 Tale of a Storm (ML 20-1)
Sladens Drean could improve with the cutback in distance. No Lak of Speed, Dance to My Song, and Exciting filled out the bottom three rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out. Dance Doctor could move up going third off the layoff. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 9 - (F) Clm $5k B - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 A J's Grand (ML 5-2)
B's
# 12 Skip's Song (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Desert Madam (ML 5-1)
# 2 Eye On Harper (ML 20-1)
# 3 Konawa Kween (ML 12-1)
# 4 A Kiss Goodnight (ML 15-1)
# 5 Stalker (ML 30-1)
# 6 Flashflood Warning (ML 30-1)
# 8 Canela Caliente (ML 15-1)
# 9 Brenda's Fever (ML 3-1)
# 10 Sundance Seven (ML 15-1)
# 11 Stina (ML 15-1)
This contest is restricted to fillies and mares which have either:
1) Not won a race at a mile or longer since May 9, 2019; OR
2) Which have never won four races.
So as long as a filly or mare has fewer than four career Wins, then she's eligible to run in this race. If a distaff runner has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come in the last six months, unless the distance was less than eight furlongs (note that races where the runner was entered for $4k or less don't count). For the record Eye On Harper, A Kiss Goodnight, Sundance Seven, and Skip's Song are the four runners in this field with fewer than four career Wins.
Also note that, as per usual at Remington Park, Oklahoma breds cost more; $6.25k versus the $5k for all others. Konawa Kween and Flashflood Warning are two Oklahoma breds in for the higher price tag. A Kiss Goodnight is also an Oklahoma bred; but for reasons unbeknownst to me, A Kiss Goodnight is in for only $5k. If anyone should know why that is, I'd be most grateful if they would share that information.
A J's Grand took the Place at this class level last time out. Skip's Song was victorious at this class level in her last main track start. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 3 with 2 with 7 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,3,6,9 with 1,3,8 with 2,3,7,8,9 with 7,12 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,4,5,7,8,10,11,12 with 3 with 2 with 7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2,4,7 with 2 with 7 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3 with 3 with 1,4,5,6 with 7 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 3 with 2 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,8,9,10,11 $5.00
Total: $73.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 10:27 EST / 7:27 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, November 2, 2019
11/2/19 Santa Anita All BC Late Pick Four - Results
Race 9 - The BC Mile - # 11 Uni (GB) (Final Odds 3.60) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - The BC Distaff - # 11 Blue Prize (Arg) (8.90) - "B" Selection
Race 11 - The BC Turf - # 9 Bricks and Mortar (1.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 12 - The BC Classic - # 10 Vino Rosso (4.60) - "B" Selection
In my three Breeders' Cup Pick Four plays this weekend, I identified four runners that I thought probably should have been main ticket singles; but that I was pairing up with another entrant anyway. Those four (along with their eventual finish) were:
Arizona (Ire) (2.10*) - The BC Juvenile Turf - Finish: 5th
Sistercharlie (Ire) (0.80*) - The BC Filly and Mare Turf - Finish: 3rd
Midnight Bisou (1.00*) - The BC Distaff - Finish: 2nd
Bricks and Mortar (1.00*) - The BC Turf - Finish: 1st
I'm not sure what exactly to make out of that, other than it's probably a good idea for me not to single a runner every time that I believe that I should. Which, as it turns out, was indeed the correct strategy in this sequence, at least as far as Midnight Bisou was concerned; because without Blue Prize (Arg) on the main ticket I would not have cashed.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other five runners to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:
# 5 Yoshida (Jpn) (7.40) - $586.30 Finish: 8th
# 6 Elate (9.30) - $599.65 Finish: 4th
# 8 McKinzie (2.90*) - $275.20 Finish: 2nd
# 9 Mongolian Groom (15.60) - $1,465.40 Finish: DNF
# 11 Code of Honor (3.70) - $228.90 Finish: 7th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct All BC Late Pick Four sequence of 11 / 11 / 9 / 10 which paid $440.80 for a fifty cent wager. That makes for a profit of $352.30 on my initial $88.50 investment; or approximate odds of 3.98-1.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
11/2/19 Santa Anita All BC Earlier Pick Four - Results
Race 4 - The BC F&M Sprint - # 1 Covfefe (Final Odd 1.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 5 - The BC Turf Sprint - # 12 Belvoir Bay (GB) (14.80) - "B" Selection
Race 6 - The BC Dirt Mile - # 3 Spun to Run (9.10) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - The BC F&M Turf - # 1 Iridessa (Ire) (13.20) - "C" Selection
Getting a 14-1 shot home is pretty much what you're hoping for when you punch the "ALL" button, as I did in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint. And getting a 9-1 "A" Selection home is a feather in any handicapper's hat, which is what happened in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile. But unfortunately for me it was all for naught, as Vasilika (4.60) was just a nose too slow in getting under the wire in the Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf.
Oh well; onto the next race.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the two runners to which I would have cashed in the final leg:
# 2 Sistercharlie (0.80*) - $639.85 Finish: 3rd
# 7 Vasilika (4.60) - $1,873.10 Finish: 2nd
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 1 / 12 / 3 / 1 were rewarded with a payout of $3,508.30 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 5 - The BC Turf Sprint - # 12 Belvoir Bay (GB) (14.80) - "B" Selection
Race 6 - The BC Dirt Mile - # 3 Spun to Run (9.10) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - The BC F&M Turf - # 1 Iridessa (Ire) (13.20) - "C" Selection
Getting a 14-1 shot home is pretty much what you're hoping for when you punch the "ALL" button, as I did in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint. And getting a 9-1 "A" Selection home is a feather in any handicapper's hat, which is what happened in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile. But unfortunately for me it was all for naught, as Vasilika (4.60) was just a nose too slow in getting under the wire in the Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf.
Oh well; onto the next race.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the two runners to which I would have cashed in the final leg:
# 2 Sistercharlie (0.80*) - $639.85 Finish: 3rd
# 7 Vasilika (4.60) - $1,873.10 Finish: 2nd
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 1 / 12 / 3 / 1 were rewarded with a payout of $3,508.30 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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