Hopefully at least a few of you caught the action at Remington Park last night, as a trio of stakes featuring Oklahoma breds headlined what was a very fine card. Looking forward to tonight's action, while there are no stakes on the program, there are a pair of Allowance races among the final four contests on the card, as well as what looks to be a very competitive juvenile Maiden Special Weights, which is scheduled as the nightcap. So with all that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.
RACE 6 - Clm $20k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Nacogdoches (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Cha Cha Now Y'all (ML 6-1)
# 3 Officer Sid (ML 10-1)
# 5 Wil of Fortune (ML 15-1)
# 6 Clipboard Money (ML 7-2)
# 7 Jazz Music (ML 3-1)
Scratch # 1 Lons Shackleford (ML 5-1)
For those who note such things, there is no surcharge for Oklahoma breds in this contest; so if you want to claim Wil of Fortune, it will cost you the same twenty grand as it would for any of the other entrants. For the record, the conditions did contain the option to put your runner in for only $15k in exchange for getting a couple of pounds off your horse's back; but none entered checked that box.
The Steve Asmussen trained Nacogdoches closed well last time out to take the Place at Ellis Park. Nacogdoches broke his maiden in his debut in his only prior try over this main track.
Singling Nacogdoches on the main ticket may prove to be an unwise move, as Clipboard Money (who graduated last time) may prove to be too quick to catch; and Jazz Music (the "other" Asmussen) could benefit from the cutback in distance. But I think Nacogdoches is well meant here, and I want to spread in the upcoming events; so going three deep, or even just two, is out of the question. Besides, if you're going to single, the first leg is the best time to do it. So Nacogdoches will be going solo on the big ticket, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 7 - ALW N2X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Cookies Are Good (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Catdaddy (ML 3-1)
# 7 Dobbins G (ML 15-1)
# 9 Drop of Golden Sun (ML 7-2)
C's
# 3 Praetorian (ML 6-1)
# 5 Molleck (ML 8-1)
# 6 Charlie's Schiller (ML 20-1)
# 8 Itsallaboutyou (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 4 Bo Tee (ML 20-1)
Cookies Are Good closed well to win each of his last two contests. Catdaddy's lifetime record is a very unimpressive 2-for-28; but both of those Wins came over this main track, in just eleven tries.
Dobbins G could be quickest here. Drop of Golden Sun could improve competing on a drier surface. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 2 Alternative Slew (ML 2-1)
B's
# 5 North of Eden (ML 8-1)
# 7 Wild Moment (ML 7-5)
C's
# 1 Beryl's Flight (ML 20-1)
# 3 Franki D Oro (ML 20-1)
# 4 Eva's Candy (ML 30-1)
# 6 Mizz Fabulous (ML 6-1)
# 8 Baladera (ML 12-1)
# 9 Primary Cause (ML 15-1)
Alternative Slew misses by just a neck of entering this contest with a four race winning streak. North of Eden moves up in class from the claiming ranks; but Trainer Miguel Silva tends to do well when placing his last out victors.
Wild Moment took the Show behind a next out winner in an ALW N2X contest last time out, and now joins the barn of Trainer Steve Asmussen. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 9 - (F) MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Restore Harmony (ML 15-1)
B's
# 2 Gurl You Fine (ML 9-2)
# 3 Lucky Every Day (ML 5-2)
# 6 Cleverly (ML 6-1)
# 7 Lady Ave (ML 8-1)
# 10 Sailsinthesunset (ML 4-1)
# 11 Lil Red Vette (ML 10-1)
# 12 Miss Aggie Bling (ML 30-1)
C's
# 1 Dial Dish (ML 20-1)
# 4 Shot At Stardom (ML 30-1)
# 5 Triple Account (ML 20-1)
# 8 Cadi Deville (ML 20-1)
These are juvenile fillies, and only one of the half dozen experienced runners has ever finished in the Trifecta. So if you've got the budget, my best advice here is to just punch the "ALL" button. As for my play, I think I've got it right. I put Restore Harmony as my top pick because I like her chances of carrying her speed further with the cutback in distance and getting to compete on a drier track. The backup "C" Selections are those which I think have the least chance of hurting me; but, again, if it's within your budget, I strongly suggest going "ALL" in on this leg.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 9 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,2,7,9 with 2,5,7 with 2,3,6,7,9,10,11,12 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3,5,6,7 with 2 with 2 with 9 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 3,5,6,8 with 2 with 9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 1,3,4,6,8,9 with 9 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2 with 2 with 1,4,5,8 $2.00
Total: $58.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 10:27 EST / 7:27 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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