11/9/19 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Preview

Hey, Del Mar is running!  You know, the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.  So why am I not playing that card?  Well, as much as I love following the racing at Del Mar, after careful consideration I decided that I would rather stick with Remington Park.  Post Times were a large factor in my decision, as I've really grown used to the later start times; which is another way of saying that I've become spoiled by not having to rush through these previews in order to get them online in time.  But while I will continue posting Remington Park plays, I will certainly also continue to follow the action in Southern California (as, I believe, all dedicated race fans should).  So with all that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.

RACE 6 - Clm $7.5k N2L - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 De Bird Is Da Word (Morning Line 5-2)

B’s

# 1 Bazooka (ML 3-1)
# 6 Anvil Rock (ML 20-1)
# 9 Gran Red (ML 7-2)

C's

# 1 Bazooka (ML 3-1)
# 2 Bring the Dough (ML 15-1)
# 4 Runforusrun (ML 10-1)
# 5 Proud Moments (ML 8-1)
# 7 Crafty's Last (ML 15-1)
# 8 Curandero (ML 30-1)
# 10 Dandy Van (ML 30-1)
# 11 Samurai Ranger (ML 30-1)
# 12 Indian Sun (ML 15-1)

As is typical for Claiming Races at Remington Park, the price for Oklahoma breds is higher than it is for the rest of the field.  Or, rather, it would be if there were any Oklahoma breds in this field.

De Bird Is Da Word, Bazooka, and Gran Red have all shown the ability to finish in the money at this class level; now it's just a question of which one won't hang today.  Anvil Rock could improve competing over a Fast main track.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 7 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 3 New Mexico (ML 4-1)

B's

# 1 Fallstar (ML 5-2)
# 8 Shelly's Dream (ML 9-2)

C's

# 2 Rogues Road (ML 10-1)
# 4 Insurrection (ML 7-2)
# 7 High Priority (ML 12-1)

Scratch # 5 Majestic Display (ML 6-1) and # 6 Uncle Pat (ML 30-1)

New Mexico, a debut runner for Trainer Steve Asmussen, is out of Royal Irish Lass, who also foaled Royal Mo, winner of the Grade 3 Robert B Lewis in 2017.  Fallstar returns from an extended layoff, having previously competed on both coasts.  Shelly's Dream missed graduation by less than a length at this class level at today's distance last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 8 - ALW N1X - Five Furlongs Turf

A's

# 2 Sladens Dream (ML 2-1)

B's

# 3 Exciting (ML 6-1)
# 7 Dance to My Song (ML 5-2)
# 8 Dance Doctor (ML 12-1)
# 9 No Lak of Speed (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Eurobadguy (ML 30-1)
# 4 Burtnjoe (ML 12-1)
# 5 Larch (ML 30-1)
# 6 Tale of a Storm (ML 20-1)

Sladens Drean could improve with the cutback in distance.  No Lak of Speed, Dance to My Song, and Exciting filled out the bottom three rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out.  Dance Doctor could move up going third off the layoff.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 9 - (F) Clm $5k B - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 A J's Grand (ML 5-2)

B's

# 12 Skip's Song (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Desert Madam (ML 5-1)
# 2 Eye On Harper (ML 20-1)
# 3 Konawa Kween (ML 12-1)
# 4 A Kiss Goodnight (ML 15-1)
# 5 Stalker (ML 30-1)
# 6 Flashflood Warning (ML 30-1)
# 8 Canela Caliente (ML 15-1)
# 9 Brenda's Fever (ML 3-1)
# 10 Sundance Seven (ML 15-1)
# 11 Stina (ML 15-1)

This contest is restricted to fillies and mares which have either:

1) Not won a race at a mile or longer since May 9, 2019; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as a filly or mare has fewer than four career Wins, then she's eligible to run in this race.  If a distaff runner has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come in the last six months, unless the distance was less than eight furlongs (note that races where the runner was entered for $4k or less don't count).  For the record Eye On Harper, A Kiss Goodnight, Sundance Seven, and Skip's Song are the four runners in this field with fewer than four career Wins.

Also note that, as per usual at Remington Park, Oklahoma breds cost more; $6.25k versus the $5k for all others.  Konawa Kween and Flashflood Warning are two Oklahoma breds in for the higher price tag.  A Kiss Goodnight is also an Oklahoma bred; but for reasons unbeknownst to me, A Kiss Goodnight is in for only $5k.  If anyone should know why that is, I'd be most grateful if they would share that information.

A J's Grand took the Place at this class level last time out.  Skip's Song was victorious at this class level in her last main track start.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 3 with 3 with 2 with 7 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,3,6,9 with 1,3,8 with 2,3,7,8,9 with 7,12 $60.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,4,5,7,8,10,11,12 with 3 with 2 with 7 $4.00

$0.50 P4: 3 with 2,4,7 with 2 with 7 $1.50

$0.50 P4: 3 with 3 with 1,4,5,6 with 7 $2.00

$0.50 P4: 3 with 3 with 2 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,8,9,10,11 $5.00

Total: $73.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 10:27 EST / 7:27 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo