Race 6 - # 12 Sheer Flattery (Final Odds 2.80) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Dead Easy (13.20) - No Selection
Race 8 - The American Oaks - # 7 Decked Out (4.50) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 12 Lucky Dolly (3.20) - "A" Selection
Lucky Dolly actually crossed the wire second in the nightcap, but got her number put up when the stewards ruled that first place finisher # 9 Jill Madden (5.80) did the more egregious bumping between the two in the stretch. Of course, as far as our play was concerned the result of the stewards' inquiry was moot; as we completely whiffed on the second leg, having no part whatsoever of any of the top three finishers in that contest.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 12 / 6 / 7 / 12 were rewarded with a payout of $571.50 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, December 31, 2016
12/31/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
So we come to the end of the line for 2016, and to send it on its way the good people at Santa Anita Park have give us a card with three Graded Stakes; one of which, The American Oaks, has found itself among the final four contests on the program. So we'll be looking at that event below, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - MSW - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 10 Irap (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 12 Sheer Flattery (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Leading Score (ML 12-1)
# 6 Blame Joe (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 2 Surfside Sunset (ML 5-1), # 3 Sonneteer (ML 8-1), # 9 Union Rebel (ML 15-1), # 13 Lucky Bode (ML 30-1), and # 14 Haskin (ML 15-1)
Irap took the Place in the Grade 1 Los Alamitos Futurity behind Mastery last time out. Sheer Flattery took the Place behind Mastery at this class level over this main track two starts back.
Surfside Sunset showed late interest in his debut last time out. Sonneteer has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last three contests. Leading Score showed some early foot in his debut last time out. Blame Joe has taken the Show at this class level in two of his three career starts.
RACE 7 - OC 40k/C - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Indavidualist (ML 3-1)
# 9 Blue Anchor (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 7 Paynes Prairie (ML 12-1)
# 10 Alley Boss (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Guy Code (ML 20-1)
# 5 My Prince Harry (ML 12-1)
Indavidualist took the Show at this approximate class level sprinting on the turf last time out, after having graduated on the main track in his debut. Blue Anchor took the Place at this approximate class level in two of his last three starts. Paynes Prairie took the Show at this approximate class level last time out. Alley Boss moves up the class ladder after a pair of convincing victories against lesser company.
Guy Code drops a step on the class ladder, and could be speed on the rail. My Prince Harry tries winners for the first time after graduating by daylight last time out.
RACE 8 - (F) The American Oaks (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Sassy Little Lila (ML 9-2)
B's
# 2 Stays in Vegas (ML 7-2)
# 5 Cheekaboo (ML 8-1)
C's
# 1 Lady Valeur (Ire) (ML 15-1)
# 7 Decked Out (ML 4-1)
# 8 Queen Blossom (Ire) (ML 9-2)
# 10 Sheeza Milky Way (ML 10-1)
# 13 Mokat (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 9 Mrs. Norris (ML 30-1)
EDIT - THE DISTANCE HAS BEEN REDUCED FROM TEN FURLONGS TO NINE FURLONGS
Despite the change in distance, I've made no adjustments to either my selections or my analysis. I'll stand by my original picks. - Jimbo
Sassy Little Lila ships in from New York after having taken the Place in The Winter Memories at Aqueduct last time out. Stays in Vegas will try to get her early speed to last all ten furlongs.
Cheekaboo, winner of the Grade 2 Honeymoon over this turf course back in June, looks like she'll do well covering the added real estate. Lady Valeur (Ire) defeated older in a listed stakes upstate last time out. Decked Out and Mokat are a pair of Graded Stakes winners that are questionable at today's distance.
Queen Blossom (Ire) is making her first North American start; note that Trainer Graham Motion tends to do well with such. Also note that Queen Blossom's career victories both came off works only. Sheeza Milky Way could be the one running best late.
RACE 9 - [S] (F) Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 12 Lucky Dolly (ML 4-1)
B's
# 4 Very Hot (ML 4-1)
# 6 Gypsy Ju Ju (ML 7-2)
# 11 Fair Escape (ML 6-1)
C's
# 3 Crowded Way (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 2 All of a Sudden (ML 8-1)
Lucky Dolly missed graduation by just a neck two starts back, the only prior time that she ran with a price tag on her head. Very Hot and Fair Escape are both dropping in for a tag for the first time in their respective careers; and both Very Hot and Fair Escape are trained by conditioners (Phil D'Amato and Gary Sherlock, respectively) who tend to do well with that move.
Gypsy Ju Ju just missed the Show at this class level in her debut last time out. Crowded Way could move up with a better beginning than what she encountered last time out.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10 with 3,9 with 6 with 12 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 10,12 with 3,7,9,10 with 2,5,6 with 4,6,11,12 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 3,9 with 6 with 12 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 1,5 with 6 with 12 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 3,9 with 1,7,8,10,13 with 12 $5.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 3,9 with 6 with 3 $1.00
Total: $59.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:00 EST / 3:00 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - MSW - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 10 Irap (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 12 Sheer Flattery (ML 4-1)
C's
# 5 Leading Score (ML 12-1)
# 6 Blame Joe (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 2 Surfside Sunset (ML 5-1), # 3 Sonneteer (ML 8-1), # 9 Union Rebel (ML 15-1), # 13 Lucky Bode (ML 30-1), and # 14 Haskin (ML 15-1)
Irap took the Place in the Grade 1 Los Alamitos Futurity behind Mastery last time out. Sheer Flattery took the Place behind Mastery at this class level over this main track two starts back.
Surfside Sunset showed late interest in his debut last time out. Sonneteer has finished in the Trifecta at this class level in each of his last three contests. Leading Score showed some early foot in his debut last time out. Blame Joe has taken the Show at this class level in two of his three career starts.
RACE 7 - OC 40k/C - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Indavidualist (ML 3-1)
# 9 Blue Anchor (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 7 Paynes Prairie (ML 12-1)
# 10 Alley Boss (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Guy Code (ML 20-1)
# 5 My Prince Harry (ML 12-1)
Indavidualist took the Show at this approximate class level sprinting on the turf last time out, after having graduated on the main track in his debut. Blue Anchor took the Place at this approximate class level in two of his last three starts. Paynes Prairie took the Show at this approximate class level last time out. Alley Boss moves up the class ladder after a pair of convincing victories against lesser company.
Guy Code drops a step on the class ladder, and could be speed on the rail. My Prince Harry tries winners for the first time after graduating by daylight last time out.
RACE 8 - (F) The American Oaks (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 6 Sassy Little Lila (ML 9-2)
B's
# 2 Stays in Vegas (ML 7-2)
# 5 Cheekaboo (ML 8-1)
C's
# 1 Lady Valeur (Ire) (ML 15-1)
# 7 Decked Out (ML 4-1)
# 8 Queen Blossom (Ire) (ML 9-2)
# 10 Sheeza Milky Way (ML 10-1)
# 13 Mokat (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 9 Mrs. Norris (ML 30-1)
EDIT - THE DISTANCE HAS BEEN REDUCED FROM TEN FURLONGS TO NINE FURLONGS
Despite the change in distance, I've made no adjustments to either my selections or my analysis. I'll stand by my original picks. - Jimbo
Sassy Little Lila ships in from New York after having taken the Place in The Winter Memories at Aqueduct last time out. Stays in Vegas will try to get her early speed to last all ten furlongs.
Cheekaboo, winner of the Grade 2 Honeymoon over this turf course back in June, looks like she'll do well covering the added real estate. Lady Valeur (Ire) defeated older in a listed stakes upstate last time out. Decked Out and Mokat are a pair of Graded Stakes winners that are questionable at today's distance.
Queen Blossom (Ire) is making her first North American start; note that Trainer Graham Motion tends to do well with such. Also note that Queen Blossom's career victories both came off works only. Sheeza Milky Way could be the one running best late.
RACE 9 - [S] (F) Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 12 Lucky Dolly (ML 4-1)
B's
# 4 Very Hot (ML 4-1)
# 6 Gypsy Ju Ju (ML 7-2)
# 11 Fair Escape (ML 6-1)
C's
# 3 Crowded Way (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 2 All of a Sudden (ML 8-1)
Lucky Dolly missed graduation by just a neck two starts back, the only prior time that she ran with a price tag on her head. Very Hot and Fair Escape are both dropping in for a tag for the first time in their respective careers; and both Very Hot and Fair Escape are trained by conditioners (Phil D'Amato and Gary Sherlock, respectively) who tend to do well with that move.
Gypsy Ju Ju just missed the Show at this class level in her debut last time out. Crowded Way could move up with a better beginning than what she encountered last time out.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10 with 3,9 with 6 with 12 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 10,12 with 3,7,9,10 with 2,5,6 with 4,6,11,12 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 3,9 with 6 with 12 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 1,5 with 6 with 12 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 3,9 with 1,7,8,10,13 with 12 $5.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 3,9 with 6 with 3 $1.00
Total: $59.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:00 EST / 3:00 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Monday, December 26, 2016
12/26/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - The San Simeon - # 11 Bettys Bambino (Final Odds 6.90) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - The La Brea - # 4 Constellation (12.50) - No Selection
Race 8 - The Malibu - # 2 Mind Your Biscuits (3.70) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - The Mathis Brothers Mile - # 4 Conquest Enforcer (1.80*) - "A" Selection
Our "A" Selection in the second leg, # 3 Finley'sluckycharm (1.80), did all the heavy lifting in The La Brea, taking the field around the track, leading the pack by a length and a half in the drive; but she got caught by Constellation in the shadow of the wire, and had to settle for the Place, a half length behind the winner. And that half length was the difference between us cashing or trashing, as a win by Finley'sluckycharm would have allowed us to collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 11 / 4 / 2 / 4 were rewarded with a payout of $756.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - The La Brea - # 4 Constellation (12.50) - No Selection
Race 8 - The Malibu - # 2 Mind Your Biscuits (3.70) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - The Mathis Brothers Mile - # 4 Conquest Enforcer (1.80*) - "A" Selection
Our "A" Selection in the second leg, # 3 Finley'sluckycharm (1.80), did all the heavy lifting in The La Brea, taking the field around the track, leading the pack by a length and a half in the drive; but she got caught by Constellation in the shadow of the wire, and had to settle for the Place, a half length behind the winner. And that half length was the difference between us cashing or trashing, as a win by Finley'sluckycharm would have allowed us to collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 11 / 4 / 2 / 4 were rewarded with a payout of $756.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/26/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
Merry Day After Christmas and Happy Boxing Day! As is tradition, December 26 marks Opening Day for Santa Anita; and, as such, it makes for an unofficial transition from the three year olds of the current year (for whom the final three contests Monday are carded) to the three year olds of the next, who will officially be of Derby and Oaks age in less than a week. To celebrate the occasion the good people of Arcadia have given us a card where each of the final four races is a Graded Stakes; so let's get to it, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - The San Simeon (Grade 3) - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 2 Hobbits Hero (Morning Line 15-1)
# 11 Bettys Bambino (ML 6-1)
B's
# 3 Stormy Liberal (ML 8-1)
# 9 He Will (ML 6-1)
# 12 Holy Lute (9-2)
C's
None
Scratch # 1 Jimmy Bouncer (ML 12-1) and # 10 Tough Sunday (ML 20-1)
Hobbits Hero has demonstrated an affinity for this course in the past, and his early foot should carry him well charging down the hill today. Bettys Bambino is a Graded Stakes winner charging down the hill; and while the extended vacation is a concern, Bettys Bambino has won off just works in the past, including his debut.
Stormy Liberal makes a sizable move up in class; but his recent efforts fit well with the contenders here. He Will could be the one running best late. Holy Lute won half of the Grade 3 Eddie D charging down the hill two starts back.
RACE 7 - (F) The La Brea (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Finley'sluckycharm (ML 5-2)
B's
# 2 Lightstream (ML 2-1)
C's
# 6 Chao Chom (ML 8-1)
# 7 Enola Gray (ML 9-2)
Finley'sluckycharm early or Lightstream late; that's pretty much how this contest shapes up, in my opinion. And while it would have been nice to see these two get at least one work over this main track, I think that these two are clearly the most talented runners in this field, and that should be sufficient to carry the day. However, should they both encounter difficulty handling the surface, Chao Chom and Enola Gray, who filled out the Exacta in the Betty Grable last time out, look to be the most likely beneficiaries.
RACE 8 - The Malibu (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Ten Blessings (ML 3-1)
# 7 Sharp Azteca (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Mind Your Biscuits (ML 5-2)
# 5 Jazzy Times (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 1 Navy Hymn (No Line)
Ten Blessings took a big step forward last time out in his fourth career start, and has been working well over this main track for Trainer Bob Baffert. Sharp Azteca is a Graded Stakes winner shipping in from the east, and his work here on the 19th suggests that he should handle this track well.
Mind Your Biscuits took the Show in The Breeders' Cup Sprint over this main track last time out. Jazzy Times could be challenging Sharp Azteca up front early, and just might be able to hold on late.
RACE 9 - The Mathis Brothers Mile (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Blackjackcat (ML 4-1)
# 4 Conquest Enforcer (ML 7-2)
B's
# 1 Mittersill (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 3 Moonlight Drive (Ity) (ML 6-1)
# 8 Frank Conversation (ML 4-1)
# 10 Defiantly (ML 15-1)
C's
# 9 Blackout (Fr) (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 5 Fabozzi (ML 20-1)
Blackjackcat should benefit from the reduced amount of real estate that he'll need to cover today. Conquest Enforcer makes his California debut for Trainer Phil D'Amato after having taken the Show against older in a pair of Graded Stakes at Woodbine.
Mittersill (Ire) and Defiantly filled out the Quinella in The Let It Ride at Del Mar last month. Moonlight Drive (Ity) may be the runner here best suited to today's distance. Frank Conversation is too talented to leave off the big ticket, but I suspect that Frank Conversation needs longer in order to show his best. Blackout (Fr) could be the one running best late.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,11 with 3 with 4,7 with 2,4 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,9,11,12 with 2,3 with 4,7 with 1,2,3,4,8,10 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,11 with 6,7 with 4,7 with 2,4 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 2,11 with 3 with 2,5 with 2,4 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 2,11 with 3 with 4,7 with 9 $2.00
Total: $82.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:31 EST / 2:31 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - The San Simeon (Grade 3) - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A’s
# 2 Hobbits Hero (Morning Line 15-1)
# 11 Bettys Bambino (ML 6-1)
B's
# 3 Stormy Liberal (ML 8-1)
# 9 He Will (ML 6-1)
# 12 Holy Lute (9-2)
C's
None
Scratch # 1 Jimmy Bouncer (ML 12-1) and # 10 Tough Sunday (ML 20-1)
Hobbits Hero has demonstrated an affinity for this course in the past, and his early foot should carry him well charging down the hill today. Bettys Bambino is a Graded Stakes winner charging down the hill; and while the extended vacation is a concern, Bettys Bambino has won off just works in the past, including his debut.
Stormy Liberal makes a sizable move up in class; but his recent efforts fit well with the contenders here. He Will could be the one running best late. Holy Lute won half of the Grade 3 Eddie D charging down the hill two starts back.
RACE 7 - (F) The La Brea (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Finley'sluckycharm (ML 5-2)
B's
# 2 Lightstream (ML 2-1)
C's
# 6 Chao Chom (ML 8-1)
# 7 Enola Gray (ML 9-2)
Finley'sluckycharm early or Lightstream late; that's pretty much how this contest shapes up, in my opinion. And while it would have been nice to see these two get at least one work over this main track, I think that these two are clearly the most talented runners in this field, and that should be sufficient to carry the day. However, should they both encounter difficulty handling the surface, Chao Chom and Enola Gray, who filled out the Exacta in the Betty Grable last time out, look to be the most likely beneficiaries.
RACE 8 - The Malibu (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Ten Blessings (ML 3-1)
# 7 Sharp Azteca (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Mind Your Biscuits (ML 5-2)
# 5 Jazzy Times (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 1 Navy Hymn (No Line)
Ten Blessings took a big step forward last time out in his fourth career start, and has been working well over this main track for Trainer Bob Baffert. Sharp Azteca is a Graded Stakes winner shipping in from the east, and his work here on the 19th suggests that he should handle this track well.
Mind Your Biscuits took the Show in The Breeders' Cup Sprint over this main track last time out. Jazzy Times could be challenging Sharp Azteca up front early, and just might be able to hold on late.
RACE 9 - The Mathis Brothers Mile (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Blackjackcat (ML 4-1)
# 4 Conquest Enforcer (ML 7-2)
B's
# 1 Mittersill (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 3 Moonlight Drive (Ity) (ML 6-1)
# 8 Frank Conversation (ML 4-1)
# 10 Defiantly (ML 15-1)
C's
# 9 Blackout (Fr) (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 5 Fabozzi (ML 20-1)
Blackjackcat should benefit from the reduced amount of real estate that he'll need to cover today. Conquest Enforcer makes his California debut for Trainer Phil D'Amato after having taken the Show against older in a pair of Graded Stakes at Woodbine.
Mittersill (Ire) and Defiantly filled out the Quinella in The Let It Ride at Del Mar last month. Moonlight Drive (Ity) may be the runner here best suited to today's distance. Frank Conversation is too talented to leave off the big ticket, but I suspect that Frank Conversation needs longer in order to show his best. Blackout (Fr) could be the one running best late.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,11 with 3 with 4,7 with 2,4 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,9,11,12 with 2,3 with 4,7 with 1,2,3,4,8,10 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,11 with 6,7 with 4,7 with 2,4 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 2,11 with 3 with 2,5 with 2,4 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 2,11 with 3 with 4,7 with 9 $2.00
Total: $82.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:31 EST / 2:31 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, December 25, 2016
Merry Christmas!
"Christmas is the spirit of giving without a thought of getting. It is happiness because we see joy in people. It is forgetting self and finding time for others. It is discarding the meaningless and stressing the true values." - Thomas S. Monson
Here's hoping that Santa rode the rail to bring you all that you desire. Merry Christmas!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Here's hoping that Santa rode the rail to bring you all that you desire. Merry Christmas!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Friday, December 23, 2016
12/23/16 Turfway Park Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 5 Prom Theme (Final Odds 2.70) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 11 Noshackleshere (3.80) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 4 Game On Bro (14.60) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 1 My Foolish Beau (13.20) - "B" Selection
We did well enough on the ends but whiffed in the middle; and a sandwich with nothing between the bread just ain't worth much.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 5 / 11 / 4 / 1 were rewarded with a payout of $5,159.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 11 Noshackleshere (3.80) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 4 Game On Bro (14.60) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 1 My Foolish Beau (13.20) - "B" Selection
We did well enough on the ends but whiffed in the middle; and a sandwich with nothing between the bread just ain't worth much.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 5 / 11 / 4 / 1 were rewarded with a payout of $5,159.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/23/16 Turfway Park Late Pick Four - Preview
Season's Greetings, one and all! With tomorrow being Christmas Eve, as well as the start of Hanukkah, it seemed like this evening was a good time to have some pre-holiday handicapping fun, and Turfway Park being as good a venue as any to have it. Besides, you didn't think that I'd go the whole week that California thoroughbred racing was dark without any plays, did you? So let's get to it, as we turn our attention to Florence, Kentucky, and take a run at The Late Pick Four at Turfway Park.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $5k N2Y - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 7 Pure Legacy (Morning Line 4-1)
B’s
# 1 Star Killer (ML 12-1)
# 5 Prom Theme (ML 5-2)
# 8 Baja Bessie (ML 7-2)
C's
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $5k N2Y - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 7 Pure Legacy (Morning Line 4-1)
B’s
# 1 Star Killer (ML 12-1)
# 5 Prom Theme (ML 5-2)
# 8 Baja Bessie (ML 7-2)
C's
# 2 Sweets N Treats (ML 6-1)
# 6 Do I Dare (ML 10-1)
# 6 Do I Dare (ML 10-1)
The conditions limit this contest to fillies and mares three years old and upward which have not won two races since July 18, 2016. Note that Star Killer gets in just under the wire for that condition, as Star Killer's two most recent victories have come on August 20 and July 17 of this year; and that's a good enough angle to give Star Killer a spot on our big ticket, even though she doesn't appear to be in top form.
Pure Legacy missed victory by less than a length at this class level last time out over this track; with Prom Theme, the Post Time Favorite in that contest, following less than a length behind her. Baja Bessie defeated open (non-conditioned) $5k Claimers at Belterra Park two starts back.
Sweets N Treats gets some much needed class relief here. Do I Dare should be forwardly placed early.
RACE 7 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 The Hans Sum One (ML 3-1)
# 8 Not E Z Beinggreen (ML 12-1)
B's
# 4 Wazzup Chuck (ML 6-1)
C's
# 2 Carmelo (ML 8-1)
# 3 Hay Net (ML 8-1)
# 10 Doggie Dawg (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 5 Run the Alley (ML 4-1)
Note that Race 7 and Race 9 are two divisions of the same contest, both being for juvenile non-claiming maidens at the identical six and a half furlong distance.
The Hans Sum One, Not E Z Beinggreen, and Wazzup Chuck are all first time starters whose breeding suggests that they should be ready to roll at first asking. Carmelo and Doggie Dawg are another pair of debut starters who could run well here, but will probably benefit from having a race under their belt. Hay Net flashed some good early foot against $30k Claimers at Churchill Downs last time out before fading, and will have a half furlong less real estate to cover tonight.
RACE 8 - Clm $15k N3L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 9 Rakeitin (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 1 Buck Benny (ML 8-1)
# 5 Shutter Speed (ML 7-2)
C's
# 3 Quality Street (ML 10-1)
# 7 Back Togetheragain (ML 8-1)
# 8 Rabanito (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 6 Stan's Old Habits (ML 5-1)
Rakeitin moves up in class after winning at the N2L level over this track last time out. Rakeitin has finished in the Trifecta in all five of his career starts over this track. Buck Benny returns to flat racing, having taken the Show the last time that he competed at tonight's distance (albeit on the grass).
Shutter Speed is making a significant class drop. Quality Street took the Show at this class level last time out. Back Togetheragain and Rabanito dueled early with each other in the early going last time out at this class level; perhaps one will get the advantage of the other tonight early enough to still have enough in the tank for the final drive.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 6 Durango Dan (ML 7-2)
B's
# 1 My Foolish Beau (ML 15-1)
# 4 Sight Line (ML 8-1)
# 9 The Big Gambler (ML 15-1)
C's
# 5 Cowboy Quinn (ML 5-1)
# 11 Capture the Glory (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 2 Masonio (ML 5-2), # 8 Whiskey Moon (ML 6-1), and # 10 West End Gambler (ML 8-1)
Note that Race 7 and Race 9 are two divisions of the same contest, both being for juvenile non-claiming maidens at the identical six and a half furlong distance.
Sweets N Treats gets some much needed class relief here. Do I Dare should be forwardly placed early.
RACE 7 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 The Hans Sum One (ML 3-1)
# 8 Not E Z Beinggreen (ML 12-1)
B's
# 4 Wazzup Chuck (ML 6-1)
C's
# 2 Carmelo (ML 8-1)
# 3 Hay Net (ML 8-1)
# 10 Doggie Dawg (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 5 Run the Alley (ML 4-1)
Note that Race 7 and Race 9 are two divisions of the same contest, both being for juvenile non-claiming maidens at the identical six and a half furlong distance.
The Hans Sum One, Not E Z Beinggreen, and Wazzup Chuck are all first time starters whose breeding suggests that they should be ready to roll at first asking. Carmelo and Doggie Dawg are another pair of debut starters who could run well here, but will probably benefit from having a race under their belt. Hay Net flashed some good early foot against $30k Claimers at Churchill Downs last time out before fading, and will have a half furlong less real estate to cover tonight.
RACE 8 - Clm $15k N3L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 9 Rakeitin (ML 3-1)
B’s
# 1 Buck Benny (ML 8-1)
# 5 Shutter Speed (ML 7-2)
C's
# 3 Quality Street (ML 10-1)
# 7 Back Togetheragain (ML 8-1)
# 8 Rabanito (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 6 Stan's Old Habits (ML 5-1)
Rakeitin moves up in class after winning at the N2L level over this track last time out. Rakeitin has finished in the Trifecta in all five of his career starts over this track. Buck Benny returns to flat racing, having taken the Show the last time that he competed at tonight's distance (albeit on the grass).
Shutter Speed is making a significant class drop. Quality Street took the Show at this class level last time out. Back Togetheragain and Rabanito dueled early with each other in the early going last time out at this class level; perhaps one will get the advantage of the other tonight early enough to still have enough in the tank for the final drive.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 6 Durango Dan (ML 7-2)
B's
# 1 My Foolish Beau (ML 15-1)
# 4 Sight Line (ML 8-1)
# 9 The Big Gambler (ML 15-1)
C's
# 5 Cowboy Quinn (ML 5-1)
# 11 Capture the Glory (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 2 Masonio (ML 5-2), # 8 Whiskey Moon (ML 6-1), and # 10 West End Gambler (ML 8-1)
Note that Race 7 and Race 9 are two divisions of the same contest, both being for juvenile non-claiming maidens at the identical six and a half furlong distance.
Durango Dan took the Place at this class level over this track last time out. My Foolish Beau, Sight Line, and The Big Gambler are all first time starters whose breeding suggests that they should be ready to roll at first asking. Cowboy Quinn took the Show behind Durango Dan last time out. Capture the Glory flashed good early speed in his debut last time out.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 7 with 1,8 with 9 with 6 $2.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,5,7,8 with 1,4,8 with 1,5,9 with 1,4,6,9 $72.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,6 with 1,8 with 9 with 6 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 2,3,10 with 9 with 6 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 7 with 1,8 with 3,7,8 with 6 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 1,8 with 9 with 5,11 $2.00
Total: $82.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 8:40 EST / 5:40 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, December 18, 2016
12/18/16 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 7 Nextdoorneighbor (Final Odds 2.30) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - The King Glorious - # 1 Ann Arbor Eddie (2.60) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Merilore (1.90*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Iliad (4.20) - "B" Selection
Ann Arbor Eddie took it to our single, # 4 California Diamond (0.40*), from right out of the gate, out-battling that one all the way around the track right to the wire; and in the process turning all our tickets into trash.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 7 / 1 / 1 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $175.50 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - The King Glorious - # 1 Ann Arbor Eddie (2.60) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Merilore (1.90*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Iliad (4.20) - "B" Selection
Ann Arbor Eddie took it to our single, # 4 California Diamond (0.40*), from right out of the gate, out-battling that one all the way around the track right to the wire; and in the process turning all our tickets into trash.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 7 / 1 / 1 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $175.50 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/18/16 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Preview
It's the final day of the Blink And You Miss It Meet at Los Alamitos, with The King Glorious Stakes for juvenile California breds serving as Sunday's featured event. We'll be looking at that contest below, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at Orange County's own Los Alamitos Race Course.
RACE 6 - Alw 12500s - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Nextdoorneighbor (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
# 1 Ultimate Luck (ML 5-2)
# 5 Accelerant (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Eleven Zip (ML 12-1)
# 3 Jackson Sundown (ML 8-1)
Note for future reference that there is no lifetime Win restriction for entrants in this contest, as is frequently the case in SoCal Starter Allowances. Rather, this one is for runners that have started for a claiming price of $12.5k or less either this year or last, and have not won a Claiming, Starter, or Optional Claiming race in excess of $12.5k since.
Nextdoorneighbor is back in Trainer Peter Miller's barn, being re-claimed after having been claimed away from Miller two starts ago. Nextdoorneighbor has won six of his last seven starts with Peter Miller as his conditioner.
Ultimate Luck missed victory by just a neck at this class level two starts back over this track. Accelerant could improve with the return to two turn racing. Eleven Zip is trained by Blaine Wright, who often enjoys success when moving his runners off the grass. Jackson Sundown has finished in the Trifecta five of the six times that he has competed over this track.
RACE 7 - [S] The King Glorious $100k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 California Diamond (1-1)
B's
None
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Mr Ability
California Diamond has yet to finish out of the Exacta in eight career races, all but his debut against stakes competition. California Diamond is Graded Stakes placed, having played second fiddle behind Mastery in the Grade 3 Bob Hope. In my opinion California Diamond is a deserving single; so if he loses, this play loses.
RACE 8 - (F) Alw 25000s - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Merilore (ML 9-2)
# 4 Lob City (ML 5-1)
# 10 Margie's Minute (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 3 Backintheacademy (ML 8-1)
C's
# 7 Melanistic (ML 12-1)
Like Race 6 above, there is no lifetime Win restriction for entrants in this contest, as is frequently the case in SoCal Starter Allowances. Rather, this one is for fillies and mares that have started for a claiming price of $25k or less either this year or last, and have not won a Claiming, Starter, or Optional Claiming race in excess of $25k since.
Merilore missed victory by less than a length against $25k Claimers at Churchill Downs the last time that she competed on dirt. Lob City has shown a steadily improving form since joining the barn of Trainer Gary Sherlock. Margie's Minute was victorious last time out over Lob City and next out winner Midnight Candy.
Backintheacademy certainly fits well here on class despite a penchant for settling for too many minor awards. Melanistic could contend if she can return to the form that she showed earlier this year.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Caustic (ML 5-2)
# 9 Stone Hands (ML 3-1)
B's
# 1 Momma's Baby Boy (ML 20-1)
# 2 The Party Factor (ML 10-1)
# 4 Menace the Dennis (ML 5-1)
# 5 Iliad (ML 5-1)
# 12 Kimbear (ML 8-1)
C's
RACE 6 - Alw 12500s - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 Nextdoorneighbor (Morning Line 2-1)
B’s
# 1 Ultimate Luck (ML 5-2)
# 5 Accelerant (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Eleven Zip (ML 12-1)
# 3 Jackson Sundown (ML 8-1)
Note for future reference that there is no lifetime Win restriction for entrants in this contest, as is frequently the case in SoCal Starter Allowances. Rather, this one is for runners that have started for a claiming price of $12.5k or less either this year or last, and have not won a Claiming, Starter, or Optional Claiming race in excess of $12.5k since.
Nextdoorneighbor is back in Trainer Peter Miller's barn, being re-claimed after having been claimed away from Miller two starts ago. Nextdoorneighbor has won six of his last seven starts with Peter Miller as his conditioner.
Ultimate Luck missed victory by just a neck at this class level two starts back over this track. Accelerant could improve with the return to two turn racing. Eleven Zip is trained by Blaine Wright, who often enjoys success when moving his runners off the grass. Jackson Sundown has finished in the Trifecta five of the six times that he has competed over this track.
RACE 7 - [S] The King Glorious $100k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 California Diamond (1-1)
B's
None
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Mr Ability
California Diamond has yet to finish out of the Exacta in eight career races, all but his debut against stakes competition. California Diamond is Graded Stakes placed, having played second fiddle behind Mastery in the Grade 3 Bob Hope. In my opinion California Diamond is a deserving single; so if he loses, this play loses.
RACE 8 - (F) Alw 25000s - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Merilore (ML 9-2)
# 4 Lob City (ML 5-1)
# 10 Margie's Minute (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 3 Backintheacademy (ML 8-1)
C's
# 7 Melanistic (ML 12-1)
Like Race 6 above, there is no lifetime Win restriction for entrants in this contest, as is frequently the case in SoCal Starter Allowances. Rather, this one is for fillies and mares that have started for a claiming price of $25k or less either this year or last, and have not won a Claiming, Starter, or Optional Claiming race in excess of $25k since.
Merilore missed victory by less than a length against $25k Claimers at Churchill Downs the last time that she competed on dirt. Lob City has shown a steadily improving form since joining the barn of Trainer Gary Sherlock. Margie's Minute was victorious last time out over Lob City and next out winner Midnight Candy.
Backintheacademy certainly fits well here on class despite a penchant for settling for too many minor awards. Melanistic could contend if she can return to the form that she showed earlier this year.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 8 Caustic (ML 5-2)
# 9 Stone Hands (ML 3-1)
B's
# 1 Momma's Baby Boy (ML 20-1)
# 2 The Party Factor (ML 10-1)
# 4 Menace the Dennis (ML 5-1)
# 5 Iliad (ML 5-1)
# 12 Kimbear (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 10 First Degree Burn (No Line)
Caustic is a first time starter for Trainer Phil D'Amato that has been working well over this main track. Stone Hands has finished in the Trifecta in each of his two career starts. Momma's Baby Boy, a first time starter for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, is out of a dam that has seen eight of her prior foals get their picture taken.
Caustic is a first time starter for Trainer Phil D'Amato that has been working well over this main track. Stone Hands has finished in the Trifecta in each of his two career starts. Momma's Baby Boy, a first time starter for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, is out of a dam that has seen eight of her prior foals get their picture taken.
The Party Factor has shown good early speed in each of his two career starts. Menace the Dennis flashed some early speed in his debut last time out, and has been working well over this main track.
Iliad showed good early speed for Trainer Bob Baffert in his debut last time out. Kimbear's bullet work over the Santa Anita main track last Sunday suggests that he should do well with the surface switch.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 7 with 4 with 1,4,10 with 8,9 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,5,7 with 4 with 1,3,4,10 with 1,2,4,5,8,9,12 $42.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3 with 4 with 1,4,10 with 8,9 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 7 with 4 with 7 with 8,9 $1.00
Total: $55.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:58 EST / 2:58 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, December 17, 2016
12/17/16 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 5 Forest Blue (Final Odds 0.80*) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Americanize (0.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Hoffenheim (2.80) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - The Winter Challenge - # 10 California Chrome (0.10*) - "A" Selection
When the "price" horse in the sequence is a 5-2 second choice; when three of the four winners are odds-on Favorites; well, the know it ain't gonna pay much. And so it was today, as the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 5 / 4 / 1 / 10 paid $12.90 for a fifty cent wager. Since our investment was $40.00, we cash at a loss; and while that definitely beats not cashing at all, it certainly wasn’t what we had in mind when we placed our wagers.
Oh well; onto the next race.
But to be quite honest, it's all good; because today wasn't about us. Today was a day for the fans of perhaps the greatest "Horse of the People" since Seabiscuit to say goodbye, as California Chrome made what is almost definitely his final California start; and he did so going out in style, winning at the track that he has called home for nearly his entire career by as many as he pleased, with his Chromies cheering him home every step of the way. Truly a great moment for the sport.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 4 Americanize (0.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Hoffenheim (2.80) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - The Winter Challenge - # 10 California Chrome (0.10*) - "A" Selection
When the "price" horse in the sequence is a 5-2 second choice; when three of the four winners are odds-on Favorites; well, the know it ain't gonna pay much. And so it was today, as the correct Late Pick Four sequence of 5 / 4 / 1 / 10 paid $12.90 for a fifty cent wager. Since our investment was $40.00, we cash at a loss; and while that definitely beats not cashing at all, it certainly wasn’t what we had in mind when we placed our wagers.
Oh well; onto the next race.
But to be quite honest, it's all good; because today wasn't about us. Today was a day for the fans of perhaps the greatest "Horse of the People" since Seabiscuit to say goodbye, as California Chrome made what is almost definitely his final California start; and he did so going out in style, winning at the track that he has called home for nearly his entire career by as many as he pleased, with his Chromies cheering him home every step of the way. Truly a great moment for the sport.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/17/16 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Preview
And so we come to the final Saturday of the Two Weeks Vacation Meet at Los Alamitos; more importantly, we come to the final hometown race for one of the most beloved runners in the game; as California Chrome says goodbye to California, in what is scheduled to be his final race in The Golden State. We'll be looking at that contest below, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at Orange County's own Los Alamitos Race Course.
RACE 6 - Clm $25k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Big Champion (Morning Line 7-2)
B’s
# 2 Jimmy the Juice (ML 8-1)
# 4 Tribal Roar (ML 6-1)
# 5 Forest Blue (ML 5-2)
# 6 Big Energy (ML 6-1)
# 7 Always Never (ML 8-1)
C's
RACE 6 - Clm $25k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Big Champion (Morning Line 7-2)
B’s
# 2 Jimmy the Juice (ML 8-1)
# 4 Tribal Roar (ML 6-1)
# 5 Forest Blue (ML 5-2)
# 6 Big Energy (ML 6-1)
# 7 Always Never (ML 8-1)
C's
# 3 Red Car Mac (ML 20-1)
# 8 Pete's Play Call (ML 6-1)
# 9 Zarqa Star (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 10 Blue Ridge Mtn (ML 30-1)
Everyone into the pool; or onto the ticket, as the case may be. Yeah, this one looks pretty wide open to me; mostly because the horse that looks to be clearly the best on paper, Forest Blue, seems determined to avoid the winner's circle at all costs.
Forest Blue was victorious in his debut, and has taken either the Place or Show in nine of his twelve starts since. This horse obviously did not enjoy getting his picture taken; but he's just too talented in my opinion to leave completely off our big ticket.
Big Champion graduated last time out, but this is not his first time taking on winners; as Big Champion took the Place against Starter Allowance company three starts back while still a maiden. Tribal Roar drops back into a class level where he has proven to be competitive. Big Energy took the Place against Starter Allowance company two starts back.
Red Car Mac is on the ticket because everyone else is. Always Never removes the hood; Trainer Mike Puype tends to do well when making this move. Pete's Play Call could improve going second off the freshening. Zarqa Star could get a nice tracking trip from the widest post.
RACE 7 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Americanize (ML 5-2)
B's
# 6 Gotnoquit (ML 6-1)
# 10 Lord Simba (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 1 Pageau (ML 20-1) and # 8 Blame It On Kenji (ML 20-1)
Americanize, trained by Bob Baffert, took the Place in his debut in front of a next out winner last time out. Gotnoquit has proven to be competitive at this class level on the grass; and Gotnoquit's bullet work over this track on the first suggests that the neither the surface switch nor the layoff should pose any problems for him today. Lord Simba, the "other" Baffert, took the Place at this class level over this track in his debut last time out.
RACE 8 - OC 40k/N$Y - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Indygo Holiday (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 1 Hoffenheim (ML 5-1)
# 2 Curlin Road (ML 5-1)
# 6 Ebadan (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 6 Ebadan (Ire) (ML 6-1)
C's
# 8 Terzetto (Brz) (ML 6-1)
Indygo Holiday returns to two turn racing, where he seems to do his best. Hoffenheim, trained by Bob Baffert, tries winners for the first time, having graduated last time out, in his fifth race as the Post Time Favorite.
Curlin Road took the Place at this approximate class level two starts back. Ebadan (Ire) gets some much needed class relief. Terzetto (Brz) has won multiple allowance races in his native Brazil; and besides, it must mean something that his connections are running him on the dirt here rather than waiting for the grass at Santa Anita.
RACE 9 - The Winter Challenge $180k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 10 California Chrome (ML 1-5)
B's
None
C's
# 4 Point Piper (ML 6-1)
# 7 Avanti Bello (ML 10-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles, # 11 Air Pocket (ML 30-1) and # 12 Ground Rules (ML 20-1)
In a stakes that was written specifically for him, California Chrome makes what is expected to be his final California start, as well as his only at his home base track. Looking at the rest of the field, it's my opinion that California Chrome could walk out of the gate backwards and still stand an excellent chance of winning today. But, this is horse racing, so we're tossing a couple of backups on the ticket just in case.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1 with 4 with 4 with 10 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,4,5,6,7 with 4,6,10 with 1,2,4,6 with 10 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,8,9 with 4 with 4 with 10 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 8 with 10 $0.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4 with 4 with 4,7 $1.00
Total: $40.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:58 EST / 2:58 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, December 11, 2016
12/11/16 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 1 Hot Rodin (Final Odds 2.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 4 Smack Talk (2.20*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Dadtaughtmewell (3.90) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 11 Pampers n' Boots (4.80) - "C" Selection
We started well but faded before the wire; as we got an "A" Selection home to begin the sequence, but then watched the second half of the sequence in vain, as runners that we had on our big ticket had to settle for the Place behind two of our "C" Selections.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 1 / 4 / 3 / 11 were rewarded with a payout of $312.95 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 4 Smack Talk (2.20*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 3 Dadtaughtmewell (3.90) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 11 Pampers n' Boots (4.80) - "C" Selection
We started well but faded before the wire; as we got an "A" Selection home to begin the sequence, but then watched the second half of the sequence in vain, as runners that we had on our big ticket had to settle for the Place behind two of our "C" Selections.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 1 / 4 / 3 / 11 were rewarded with a payout of $312.95 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/11/16 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Preview
We come to the Sunday card for Los Alamitos' opening weekend, and our focus turns to runners that are California bred or sired; as seventy-five percent of the final four races today are restricted to state breds only. So with that as prelude let's get to it, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at Orange County's own Los Alamitos Race Course.
RACE 6 - [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Hot Rodin (Morning Line 5-2)
# 5 Sir Studleigh (ML 3-1)
B's
# 3 Am I Blue (ML 4-1)
# 8 Mizter Kool Kat (ML 4-1)
C's
None
This contest for state bred non-claiming maidens is for older horses, those three years old and upward. The finale, also for state bred non-claiming maidens, is for juveniles.
Sir Studleigh missed graduation by just a neck last time out at this class level, back on Veterans Day, with Hot Roddin taking the Show less than a length behind him. Am I Blue and Mizter Kool Kat are a pair of first time starters trained by Mike Harrington. To be honest, I couldn't find much to separate this non-coupled entry; and, based upon the fact that they have identical Morning Line odds, I presume that at least one other person agrees.
RACE 7 - [S] OC 20k/N$Y - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 K Thirty Eight (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 2 Eddie's First (ML 5-2)
# 4 Smack Talk (ML 4-1)
C's
# 3 Ultimate Luck (ML 7-2)
# 5 Kenny Benny (ML 10-1)
K Thirty Eight has run well in the past on dirt, and is getting some tremendous class relief here. Eddie's First and Smack Talk are a pair of recent claims by Trainer Robertino Diodoro who have both run well in the past over this track.
Ultimate Luck fits well with the contenders here but settles for way too many minor awards. Kenny Benny tries winners for the first time after graduating last time out in front of our two "A" Selections in the opening leg of this sequence.
RACE 8 - Alw 25000s - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Indygo Bo (ML 5-2)
# 7 Deep Consideration (ML 3-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Mucho Besos (ML 15-1)
# 3 Dadtaughtmewell (ML 4-1)
# 4 Freddies Dream (ML 6-1)
Note for future reference that there is no lifetime Win restriction for entrants in this contest, as is frequently the case in SoCal Starter Allowances. Rather, this one is for runners that have started for a claiming price of $25k or less either this year or last, and have not won a Claiming, Starter, or Optional Claiming race in excess of $25k since.
Indygo Bo goes first off the claim for Trainer Jonathan Wong, who tends to do well with such. Deep Consideration was an easy winner versus $25k Claimers last time out, albeit for different connections.
Mucho Besos is coming back from a nearly ten month layoff; and while he may need a race, this looks like a good spot for him to be slotted. Dadtaughtmewell defeated a next out winner in a $20k Claimer last time out.
Freddies Dream, going first off the claim for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, is intriguing here. After claiming Freddies Dream out of a turf race at Del Mar in August, Hollendorfer has Freddies Dream work out on the main dirt track at Santa Anita in September and October, Freddies Dream is then shipped up north to Golden Gate, where he has been working out over the synthetic surface for the past six weeks. But instead of finding a spot for Freddies Dream to race on either the Golden Gate main track or its turf course, Hollendorfer has him shipped back down to SoCal to make his first career start on a dirt track in this race.
Why? I have no idea; but I feel that if the plan when claiming this horse was to run him or dirt, or if running him on dirt was an idea they came up with after seeing him work out, then Freddies Dream would have been left at Santa Anita to keep working there, and not sent to Golden Gate.
Now, Hollendorfer is a great trainer, and Freddies Dream fits here on class; but I'm only going to use this horse as a "C" Selection, because I have to presume that his being in this race is a stop gap measure intended to just get him some work, and that competing on dirt tracks is not what this barn ultimately has planned for this runner.
RACE 9 - [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Lil Awecim (ML 5-2)
B's
# 8 Vidaks Back (ML 6-1)
# 10 Potente Alba (ML 3-1)
C's
RACE 6 - [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Hot Rodin (Morning Line 5-2)
# 5 Sir Studleigh (ML 3-1)
B's
# 3 Am I Blue (ML 4-1)
# 8 Mizter Kool Kat (ML 4-1)
C's
None
This contest for state bred non-claiming maidens is for older horses, those three years old and upward. The finale, also for state bred non-claiming maidens, is for juveniles.
Sir Studleigh missed graduation by just a neck last time out at this class level, back on Veterans Day, with Hot Roddin taking the Show less than a length behind him. Am I Blue and Mizter Kool Kat are a pair of first time starters trained by Mike Harrington. To be honest, I couldn't find much to separate this non-coupled entry; and, based upon the fact that they have identical Morning Line odds, I presume that at least one other person agrees.
RACE 7 - [S] OC 20k/N$Y - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 K Thirty Eight (ML 4-1)
B’s
# 2 Eddie's First (ML 5-2)
# 4 Smack Talk (ML 4-1)
C's
# 3 Ultimate Luck (ML 7-2)
# 5 Kenny Benny (ML 10-1)
K Thirty Eight has run well in the past on dirt, and is getting some tremendous class relief here. Eddie's First and Smack Talk are a pair of recent claims by Trainer Robertino Diodoro who have both run well in the past over this track.
Ultimate Luck fits well with the contenders here but settles for way too many minor awards. Kenny Benny tries winners for the first time after graduating last time out in front of our two "A" Selections in the opening leg of this sequence.
RACE 8 - Alw 25000s - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Indygo Bo (ML 5-2)
# 7 Deep Consideration (ML 3-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 2 Mucho Besos (ML 15-1)
# 3 Dadtaughtmewell (ML 4-1)
# 4 Freddies Dream (ML 6-1)
Note for future reference that there is no lifetime Win restriction for entrants in this contest, as is frequently the case in SoCal Starter Allowances. Rather, this one is for runners that have started for a claiming price of $25k or less either this year or last, and have not won a Claiming, Starter, or Optional Claiming race in excess of $25k since.
Indygo Bo goes first off the claim for Trainer Jonathan Wong, who tends to do well with such. Deep Consideration was an easy winner versus $25k Claimers last time out, albeit for different connections.
Mucho Besos is coming back from a nearly ten month layoff; and while he may need a race, this looks like a good spot for him to be slotted. Dadtaughtmewell defeated a next out winner in a $20k Claimer last time out.
Freddies Dream, going first off the claim for Trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, is intriguing here. After claiming Freddies Dream out of a turf race at Del Mar in August, Hollendorfer has Freddies Dream work out on the main dirt track at Santa Anita in September and October, Freddies Dream is then shipped up north to Golden Gate, where he has been working out over the synthetic surface for the past six weeks. But instead of finding a spot for Freddies Dream to race on either the Golden Gate main track or its turf course, Hollendorfer has him shipped back down to SoCal to make his first career start on a dirt track in this race.
Why? I have no idea; but I feel that if the plan when claiming this horse was to run him or dirt, or if running him on dirt was an idea they came up with after seeing him work out, then Freddies Dream would have been left at Santa Anita to keep working there, and not sent to Golden Gate.
Now, Hollendorfer is a great trainer, and Freddies Dream fits here on class; but I'm only going to use this horse as a "C" Selection, because I have to presume that his being in this race is a stop gap measure intended to just get him some work, and that competing on dirt tracks is not what this barn ultimately has planned for this runner.
RACE 9 - [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Lil Awecim (ML 5-2)
B's
# 8 Vidaks Back (ML 6-1)
# 10 Potente Alba (ML 3-1)
C's
# 11 Pampers n' Boots (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 1 Cal Cal Li Gowchris (No Line) and # 12 Patience ofa Saint (ML 6-1)
As mentioned above, these are juveniles. Lil Awecim took the Place at this class level last time out, with Potente Alba taking the Show behind him; both runners were making their career debuts in that contest. Vidaks Back is a first time starter sired by Tannersmyman, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking. Pampers n' Boots took the Place in his debut last time out, and may have enough early speed to pull off the step up in class.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1,5 with 7 with 6,7 with 9 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,3,5,8 with 2,4,7 with 6,7 with 8,9,10 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,5 with 3,5 with 6,7 with 9 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 1,5 with 7 with 2,3,4 with 9 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 1,5 with 7 with 6,7 with 11 $2.00
Total: $49.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:58 EST / 2:58 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, December 10, 2016
12/10/16 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - The Los Alamitos Futurity - # 3 Mastery (Final Odds 0.20*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 6 Adios Cali (2.00) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Starlet - # 6 Abel Tasman (12.60) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Yodelers Way (2.60) - "A" Selection
Based upon the way he ran in the stretch and comments made afterwards by Jockey Mike Smith, don't be surprised if the hood comes back off for Mastery's next contest; as Mastery seemed a little lost coming out of the second turn, causing him to slow down to look around and get his bearings. But on the other hand it appears that any added distance should not be a problem for Mastery going forward, as Smith indicated that Mastery actually was going faster on the gallop out than he was coming to the wire. Personally, I still prefer Beach Bum as my Derby horse; but there's no doubt that, as long as he stays healthy, Mastery is one that will be in the mix.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other three runners to which we were alive in the finale:
# 1 Downside Up (2.00*) - $172.10 Finish: 6th
# 2 We Go Now (2.70) - $177.35 Finish: 3rd
# 3 Opus Dei (75.20) - $1,722.60 Finish: 8th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Pick Four sequence of 3 / 6 / 6 / 5 which paid $180.90 for a fifty cent wager. That makes for a profit of $126.90 on our $54 investment, or approximate odds of 2.35-1.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 6 Adios Cali (2.00) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The Starlet - # 6 Abel Tasman (12.60) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Yodelers Way (2.60) - "A" Selection
Based upon the way he ran in the stretch and comments made afterwards by Jockey Mike Smith, don't be surprised if the hood comes back off for Mastery's next contest; as Mastery seemed a little lost coming out of the second turn, causing him to slow down to look around and get his bearings. But on the other hand it appears that any added distance should not be a problem for Mastery going forward, as Smith indicated that Mastery actually was going faster on the gallop out than he was coming to the wire. Personally, I still prefer Beach Bum as my Derby horse; but there's no doubt that, as long as he stays healthy, Mastery is one that will be in the mix.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other three runners to which we were alive in the finale:
# 1 Downside Up (2.00*) - $172.10 Finish: 6th
# 2 We Go Now (2.70) - $177.35 Finish: 3rd
# 3 Opus Dei (75.20) - $1,722.60 Finish: 8th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Pick Four sequence of 3 / 6 / 6 / 5 which paid $180.90 for a fifty cent wager. That makes for a profit of $126.90 on our $54 investment, or approximate odds of 2.35-1.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/10/16 Los Alamitos Race Course Late Pick Four - Preview
Today's the first of two Saturdays in the Los Alamitos Advent Meet, and it's a big one, featuring two Grade 1 stakes for juveniles. We'll be taking a look at each of those contests below, comprising as they do half of the final four races on the card, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at Orange County's own Los Alamitos Race Course.
RACE 6 - The Los Alamitos Futurity (Grade 1) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Mastery (Morning Line 1-2)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Dangerfield (ML 6-1)
Mastery, having demonstrated last time out that he can win handily without blinkers, will Saturday once again be wearing the blinkers, as he did when he won his debut handily two starts back. Many have already decided that Mastery will be their Kentucky Derby horse, though it's unclear if they have done so in the hope that Trainer Bob Baffert will have figured out over the next five months whether or not Mastery runs best with or without the hood; or if they believe that the alternating blinkers on/blinkers off is the latest secret weapon in extracting peak performance from thoroughbred runners.
Somewhat more seriously, in addition to the blinkers situation, Mastery is trying two turns for the first time; so while his breeding suggests that he should handle the stretch out with no problem, it seems prudent to include at least one backup runner on our tickets.
RACE 7 - [S] (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Divine Spark (ML 8-5)
# 6 Adios Cali (ML 3-1)
B's
# 3 Crowded Way (ML 8-1)
# 4 Radish (ML 4-1)
C's
# 7 Proper Drink (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 1 Jill Madden (ML 15-1)
Divine Spark appears to be the most talented runner in this field, but I'm not one hundred percent convinced that the cutback in distance will be enough to keep her from running out of gas before the wire. Perhaps if Divine Spark had at least one workout beyond four furlongs in the past two months I might have more confidence in her ability to make it to the wire on time today; but lacking that, it seemed like a good idea to spread here.
Adios Cali and Crowded Way are a pair of first time starters that seem well meant here. Radish has finished in the Trifecta in three of her four career starts at this class level. Proper Drink showed good early speed in her debut last time out.
RACE 8 - (F) The Starlet (Grade 1) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 7 American Gal (ML 5-2)
# 9 Berned (ML 8-1)
# 9 Berned (ML 8-1)
B's
# 2 Union Strike (ML 7-2)
# 6 Abel Tasman (ML 8-1)
# 8 Fact of Life (ML 8-1)
C's
None
If the Bob Baffert trained triumvirate of Mastery, Divine Spark, and American Gal should sweep the Race 6 - 8 Pick Three, we're going to look mighty foolish for having gone so deep in the latter two races of that sequence. But while American Gal should improve with a trip today that's within the same area code of the rail, I think that there are a few here that can keep this from being a cake walk.
Berned ships in from New York after having taken the Place behind next out winner Miss Sky Warrior in the Grade 3 Tempted. Union Strike won the Grade 1 Del Mar Debutante two starts back.
Abel Tasman graduated going around two turns two starts back, and then came back to beat winners last time out, with Post Time Favorite Fact of Life a half length behind at the wire.
RACE 9 - Md $30k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Downside Up (ML 3-1)
# 5 Yodelers Way (ML 7-2)
# 5 Yodelers Way (ML 7-2)
B's
# 2 We Go Now (ML 5-2)
# 3 Opus Dei (ML 12-1)
# 3 Opus Dei (ML 12-1)
C's
None
Downside Up has been within a length of the winner at the wire in each of his last two starts, both at this approximate class level. Yodelers Way took the Place at this class level two starts back, and looks to be the quickest in this field.
We Go Now lost all chance at the start as the Post Time Favorite last time out. Opus Dei may wake up with the class drop.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 2,6 with 7,9 with 1,5 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3 with 2,3,4,6 with 2,6,7,8,9 with 1,2,3,5 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1 with 2,6 with 7,9 with 1,5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 7 with 7,9 with 1,5 $2.00
Total: $54.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:58 EDT / 2:58 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, December 4, 2016
12/4/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 3 Buzzer Beater (Final Odds 2.60) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - The Matriarch - # 12 Miss Temple City (1.60*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 1 St. Joe Bay (3.60) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 13 Soglio (4.90) - "A" Selection
We used the east coast shippers to our advantage today, as the Jockey/Trainer combo of Edgar Prado and Graham Motion win The Matriarch with Miss Temple City, and then come back to take the nightcap with Soglio, allowing us to close The Bing Crosby Meet on a high note.
For the record, here is the $0.50 Will Pay for the other runner to which we were alive in the finale:
# 1 Kona Dreams (1.30*) - $91.35 Finish: 5th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Pick Four sequence of 3 / 12 / 1 / 13 which paid $186.60 for a fifty cent wager. That makes for a profit of $127.60 on our $59 investment, or approximate odds of 2.16-1.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - The Matriarch - # 12 Miss Temple City (1.60*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 1 St. Joe Bay (3.60) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 13 Soglio (4.90) - "A" Selection
We used the east coast shippers to our advantage today, as the Jockey/Trainer combo of Edgar Prado and Graham Motion win The Matriarch with Miss Temple City, and then come back to take the nightcap with Soglio, allowing us to close The Bing Crosby Meet on a high note.
For the record, here is the $0.50 Will Pay for the other runner to which we were alive in the finale:
# 1 Kona Dreams (1.30*) - $91.35 Finish: 5th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Pick Four sequence of 3 / 12 / 1 / 13 which paid $186.60 for a fifty cent wager. That makes for a profit of $127.60 on our $59 investment, or approximate odds of 2.16-1.
I hope you all had it with me. May God bless us as we spend our winnings.
Onto the next race!
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/4/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview
Sunday is the final day of Del Mar's Bing Crosby Meet, with the Grade 1 Matriarch serving as the card's featured race. We'll be taking a look at that contest below, as for the final time in 2016 we take another run at The Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $16k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Tuscany Beauty (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 3 Buzzer Beater (ML 7-2)
# 5 Rockantharos (ML 10-1)
C's
# 2 Pragmatical (ML 3-1)
# 7 Cecile's Diamond (ML 6-1)
Tuscany Beauty shifts in from the state bred ranks to drop in for a tag for the first time in her career. In addition, Tuscany Beauty appears to be the quickest in the field, as well as being one of the few competing here who has demonstrated the ability to win coming off the pace. So why isn't Tuscany Beauty a single on our tickets? It's because Tuscany Beauty will be ridden by T J Pereira, who is winless going into the final day of this meet, having managed only two Place finishes in his forty-six mounts. In my opinion, when you have a jockey in a such an obvious slump, regardless of the reason, some caution is advised. For that reason, I thought it advisable to spread in this leg.
Buzzer Beater seems to settle for too many minor awards; but she also appears to be the most likely candidate to be running best late in a field filled with need to lead types. Rockantharos has shown the ability to win off a freshening, and is competing for the lowest tag in her career.
Pragmatical could be speed on the rail; though it's fair to question her stamina, even in a sprint such as this. Cecile's Diamond faces winners for the first time after graduating last time out; Trainer Kristin Mulhall tends to do when when placing her last out victors.
RACE 7 - (F) The Matriarch (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 11 Time and Motion (ML 5-1)
# 12 Miss Temple City (ML 3-1)
B's
# 4 Zindaya (ML 9-2)
# 7 Roca Rojo (Ire) (ML 7-2)
C's
None
Scratch # 9 Decked Out (ML 20-1)
Time and Motion, trained by Jimmy Toner, misses by half a length of entering this contest with a six race winning streak.Miss Temple City, trained by Graham Motion, defeated the boys in the Grade 1 Shadwell Turf Mile at Keeneland two starts back. Zindaya, winner of the Grade 1 Goldikova last time out, and Roca Rojo (Ire), winner of the Grade 3 Athenia in her last contest, are both trained by Chad Brown.
RACE 8 - OC 62k/N2X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Jazzy Times (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 St. Joe Bay (ML 4-1)
# 2 Who's Out (ML 3-1)
# 6 The Gomper (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Jazzy Times, trained by Bob Baffert, gets some class relief after taking the Place against stakes competition last time out. St. Joe Bay and Who's Out each took the Place in separate competitions at this class level last time out. The Gomper missed victory by a nose at this class level the last time that he competed on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 9 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Kona Dreams (ML 5-2)
# 13 Soglio (ML 7-2)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Glacier (ML 4-1)
# 4 Popular Kid (ML 20-1)
# 9 Bobby G (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 5 Marchtothemusic (ML 5-1). Bring in # 13 Soglio (ML 7-2) off The Also Eligible List.
Kona Dreams has finished in the Trifecta in each of his two prior career starts, both at this class level. Soglio, trained by Graham Motion, missed graduation by just a neck at this class level at Belmont Park two starts back.
Glacier goes first time for Trainer Bob Baffert, as well as trying the turf for the first time. Popular Kid took the Show at this class level two starts back. Bobby G competes on the lawn for the first time, and just might be the quickest in this field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 11,12 with 5 with 1,13 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,4,5 with 4,7,11,12 with 1,2,5,6 with 1,13 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,7 with 11,12 with 5 with 1,13 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 11,12 with 5 with 3,4,9 $3.00
Total: $59.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $16k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Tuscany Beauty (Morning Line 9-5)
B’s
# 3 Buzzer Beater (ML 7-2)
# 5 Rockantharos (ML 10-1)
C's
# 2 Pragmatical (ML 3-1)
# 7 Cecile's Diamond (ML 6-1)
Tuscany Beauty shifts in from the state bred ranks to drop in for a tag for the first time in her career. In addition, Tuscany Beauty appears to be the quickest in the field, as well as being one of the few competing here who has demonstrated the ability to win coming off the pace. So why isn't Tuscany Beauty a single on our tickets? It's because Tuscany Beauty will be ridden by T J Pereira, who is winless going into the final day of this meet, having managed only two Place finishes in his forty-six mounts. In my opinion, when you have a jockey in a such an obvious slump, regardless of the reason, some caution is advised. For that reason, I thought it advisable to spread in this leg.
Buzzer Beater seems to settle for too many minor awards; but she also appears to be the most likely candidate to be running best late in a field filled with need to lead types. Rockantharos has shown the ability to win off a freshening, and is competing for the lowest tag in her career.
Pragmatical could be speed on the rail; though it's fair to question her stamina, even in a sprint such as this. Cecile's Diamond faces winners for the first time after graduating last time out; Trainer Kristin Mulhall tends to do when when placing her last out victors.
RACE 7 - (F) The Matriarch (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 11 Time and Motion (ML 5-1)
# 12 Miss Temple City (ML 3-1)
B's
# 4 Zindaya (ML 9-2)
# 7 Roca Rojo (Ire) (ML 7-2)
C's
None
Scratch # 9 Decked Out (ML 20-1)
Time and Motion, trained by Jimmy Toner, misses by half a length of entering this contest with a six race winning streak.Miss Temple City, trained by Graham Motion, defeated the boys in the Grade 1 Shadwell Turf Mile at Keeneland two starts back. Zindaya, winner of the Grade 1 Goldikova last time out, and Roca Rojo (Ire), winner of the Grade 3 Athenia in her last contest, are both trained by Chad Brown.
RACE 8 - OC 62k/N2X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Jazzy Times (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 St. Joe Bay (ML 4-1)
# 2 Who's Out (ML 3-1)
# 6 The Gomper (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Jazzy Times, trained by Bob Baffert, gets some class relief after taking the Place against stakes competition last time out. St. Joe Bay and Who's Out each took the Place in separate competitions at this class level last time out. The Gomper missed victory by a nose at this class level the last time that he competed on a Fast dirt track.
RACE 9 - MSW - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Kona Dreams (ML 5-2)
# 13 Soglio (ML 7-2)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Glacier (ML 4-1)
# 4 Popular Kid (ML 20-1)
# 9 Bobby G (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 5 Marchtothemusic (ML 5-1). Bring in # 13 Soglio (ML 7-2) off The Also Eligible List.
Kona Dreams has finished in the Trifecta in each of his two prior career starts, both at this class level. Soglio, trained by Graham Motion, missed graduation by just a neck at this class level at Belmont Park two starts back.
Glacier goes first time for Trainer Bob Baffert, as well as trying the turf for the first time. Popular Kid took the Show at this class level two starts back. Bobby G competes on the lawn for the first time, and just might be the quickest in this field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 11,12 with 5 with 1,13 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,4,5 with 4,7,11,12 with 1,2,5,6 with 1,13 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,7 with 11,12 with 5 with 1,13 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 11,12 with 5 with 3,4,9 $3.00
Total: $59.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, December 3, 2016
12/3/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - The Bayakoa - # 5 Vale Dori (Arg) (Final Odds (0.50*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - The Hollywood Derby - # 11 Annals of Time (5.90) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 12 American Anthem (1.80*) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 9 Fabozzi (13.10) - "A" Selection
Our single in Race 8, # 4 Sheer Flattery (2.80), just didn't have it today, as he broke slowly and was never involved in the running, eventually finishing a well beaten fifth; and if your single doesn't fire, well, it doesn't much matter what happens in the other legs of the sequence.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 5 / 11 / 12 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $289.65 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - The Hollywood Derby - # 11 Annals of Time (5.90) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - # 12 American Anthem (1.80*) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 9 Fabozzi (13.10) - "A" Selection
Our single in Race 8, # 4 Sheer Flattery (2.80), just didn't have it today, as he broke slowly and was never involved in the running, eventually finishing a well beaten fifth; and if your single doesn't fire, well, it doesn't much matter what happens in the other legs of the sequence.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 5 / 11 / 12 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $289.65 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
12/3/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview
It's the final Saturday of Del Mar's Bing Crosby Meet, and in celebration of that fact there are a pair of Graded Stakes on the program; and they've both managed to made it into the final four races on the card. So we'll be looking at each of them below, as we take another run at The Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 6 - (F) The Bayakoa (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Gloryzapper (Morning Line 3-1)
# 5 Vale Dori (Arg) (ML 7-5)
B's
None
C's
RACE 6 - (F) The Bayakoa (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Gloryzapper (Morning Line 3-1)
# 5 Vale Dori (Arg) (ML 7-5)
B's
None
C's
# 7 Show Stealer (ML 6-1)
Gloryzapper hit the line a neck in front of Vale Dori (Arg) when these two competed over this main track back in August in Vale Dori's North American debut. I expect today's rematch to be similar to that contest, with these two battling on the front end from gate to wire without much separating them at any point of call. However, should Gloryzapper and Vale Dori duel each other into the ground, Show Stealer looks to be the one most likely to be running best late.
RACE 7 - The Hollywood Derby (Grade 1) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Free Rose (ML 5-1)
B's
# 1 Beach Patrol (ML 9-2)
# 2 Camelot Kitten (ML 7-2)
# 3 Frank Conversation (ML 8-1)
# 7 Blackjackcat (ML 8-1)
# 8 Hayabusa One (Fr) (ML 6-1)
# 11 Annals of Time (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Needless to say, I consider this contest to be pretty wide open. Camelot Kitten, Beach Patrol, and Annals of Time, all trained by Chad Brown, comprised the Trifecta in the Grade 3 Hill Prince at Belmont last time out, with all three being separated by just a length at the wire. Meanwhile, on the west coast, Frank Conversation, Free Rose, and Blackjackcat comprised the Trifecta in the Grade 2 Twilight Derby at Santa Anita last time out, with those three being separated by just a half length at the wire. In addition to those six we're also going to toss Hayabusa One (Fr) into the mix, because his trainer, Graham Motion, has been doing quite well of late with the runners that he's been shipping into Southern California.
RACE 8 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Sheer Flattery (ML 3-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Surfside Sunset (ML 6-1)
# 3 Little Juanito (ML 6-1)
# 11 Iliad (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 8 Caustic (ML 15-1). Bring in # 13 Joey Pots and Pans (ML 10-1) off The Also Eligible List to take his place.
There are several juvenile first time starters in this field that are definitely intriguing, and I would not be surprised to see at least a few of them go on to have very fine careers. But ultimately I decided to single the Jerry Hollendorfer trained Sheer Flattery off his Place finish behind Mastery last time out, because I think Sheer Flattery's experience will be the difference maker here.
Little Juanito took the Show at this class level in his debut last time out, while Surfside Sunset and the Bob Baffert trained Iliad appear to be the best of the first time starters.
RACE 9 - OC 80k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Tribal Fighter (ML 5-2)
# 9 Fabozzi (ML 8-1)
# 11 Chris and Dave (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 4 American League (ML 6-1)
# 6 Little Scotty (ML 5-1)
# 10 Top of the Game (ML 12-1)
C's
# 1 Dynamic Scoring (ML 12-1)
# 5 Champagne Charley (Fr) (ML 8-1)
# 5 Champagne Charley (Fr) (ML 8-1)
# 7 Beaumarchais (ML 15-1)
Scratch The Also Eligibles: # 13 Aztec Warrior (ML 15-1) and # 14 Nine Point Nine (ML 10-1)
Note that this contest is for three year olds only. Tribal Fighter took the Place charging down the Santa Anita Hill in each of his last two starts, both at the OC/N1X level, but with fields that included older runners. Fabozzi took the Show against older competing on the flat Santa Anita turf last time out. Chris and Dave took the Place at this approximate class level last time out, with Top of the Game taking the Show behind him.
American League defeated older $50k claimers over this turf course at today's distance two starts back. Little Scotty is getting significant class relief here.
Dynamic Scoring looked much improved while taking the Show against older last time out, which was Dynamic Scoring's second career start on the grass. Champagne Charley (Fr) disappointed as the Post Time Favorite at this approximate class level last time out. Beaumarchais took the Place behind American League two starts back, and should be forwardly placed early.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3,5 with 5 with 4 with 3,9,11 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3,5 with 1,2,3,5,7,8,11 with 4 with 3,4,6,9,10,11 $42.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 7 with 5 with 4 with 3,9,11 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 3,5 with 5 with 2,3,11 with 3,9,11 $9.00
$0.50 P4: 3,5 with 5 with 4 with 1,5,7 $3.00
Total: $61.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, November 27, 2016
11/27/16 Gulfstream Park West Rainbow Six - Results
Race 5 - # 1 General McGooby (Final Odds 6.20) - No Selection
Race 6 - # 5 Bama Bound (0.90*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 2 Who's That Chick (29.40) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 2 Ceeky (2.60) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 4 Moonwalker (8.30) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 3 Perfectress (4.80) - "B" Selection
We had a very good day, if you ignore the results of the odd-numbered races. But, unfortunately, those count too; and while our z-pattern of selections may bode well for future results, for the present time it means that today was a day for us to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Rainbow Six sequence of 1 / 5 / 2 / 2 / 4 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $27,000.76 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 6 - # 5 Bama Bound (0.90*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 2 Who's That Chick (29.40) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 2 Ceeky (2.60) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 4 Moonwalker (8.30) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 3 Perfectress (4.80) - "B" Selection
We had a very good day, if you ignore the results of the odd-numbered races. But, unfortunately, those count too; and while our z-pattern of selections may bode well for future results, for the present time it means that today was a day for us to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Rainbow Six sequence of 1 / 5 / 2 / 2 / 4 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $27,000.76 for their twenty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
11/27/16 Gulfstream Park West Rainbow Six - Preview
With significant rainfall forecast for Del Mar, I decided to switch things up a bit by shifting our focus from west coast to east. Sunday is the final day of the Gulfstream Park West (nee Calder Race Course) meet, so everything must go; meaning all wagers are subject to mandatory payouts. So with that as backdrop let's get to it, as we take a run at South Florida's Rainbow Pick Six.
RACE 5 - Md $25k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Chasing the Stars (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 3 Arpinella (ML 4-1)
# 6 Lil' Charlie (ML 8-1)
C's
# 7 Il Nonno (10-1)
# 8 Gran Abarrio (ML 12-1)
# 10 Lord Ruler (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 9 A B G Mostro (ML 5-1)
Chasing the Stars too the Place at this class level over this turf course last time out. Arpinella drops in for a tag for the first time. Lil' Charlie could move up with a trip a little closer to the rail than last time out.
Il Nonno and Gran Abarrio are the ones that could be running best late. Lord Ruler took the Show against slightly less expensive stock in his debut last time out.
RACE 6 - Clm $6.25k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Bama Bound (ML 8-5)
B’s
# 8 Toh's Grey Cat (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 Jaiden's Best (ML 6-1)
Bama Bound is typically the type of horse that I would single, having finished in the Exacta in each of his five races, the last two being at today's class level. The problem is that all those top two finishes came for different connections; this will be Bama Bound's first start for a trainer who visits the Winner's Circle a lot less frequently than the one that Bama Bound just left. So for that reason, we'll be using others in our play.
Toh's Grey Cat won at this class level back in September, and then disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in his next three starts with today's price tag on his head. Jaiden's Best won at today's class level two starts back, albeit for different connections.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $8k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Rara (ML 4-1)
# 6 Cowboy's Princess (ML 7-2)
B’s
None
C's
RACE 5 - Md $25k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Chasing the Stars (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 3 Arpinella (ML 4-1)
# 6 Lil' Charlie (ML 8-1)
C's
# 7 Il Nonno (10-1)
# 8 Gran Abarrio (ML 12-1)
# 10 Lord Ruler (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 9 A B G Mostro (ML 5-1)
Chasing the Stars too the Place at this class level over this turf course last time out. Arpinella drops in for a tag for the first time. Lil' Charlie could move up with a trip a little closer to the rail than last time out.
Il Nonno and Gran Abarrio are the ones that could be running best late. Lord Ruler took the Show against slightly less expensive stock in his debut last time out.
RACE 6 - Clm $6.25k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Bama Bound (ML 8-5)
B’s
# 8 Toh's Grey Cat (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 Jaiden's Best (ML 6-1)
Bama Bound is typically the type of horse that I would single, having finished in the Exacta in each of his five races, the last two being at today's class level. The problem is that all those top two finishes came for different connections; this will be Bama Bound's first start for a trainer who visits the Winner's Circle a lot less frequently than the one that Bama Bound just left. So for that reason, we'll be using others in our play.
Toh's Grey Cat won at this class level back in September, and then disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in his next three starts with today's price tag on his head. Jaiden's Best won at today's class level two starts back, albeit for different connections.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $8k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Rara (ML 4-1)
# 6 Cowboy's Princess (ML 7-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 4 Little Twitch (ML 5-1)
# 7 Desert Bliss (ML 10-1)
# 7 Desert Bliss (ML 10-1)
Cowboy's Princess and Rara finished one-two last time out at this class level, separated by just a nose at the wire. Little Twitch has finished in the Trifecta in six of her last seven races. Desert Bliss took the Show against more expensive stock the last time that she competed on the grass.
RACE 8 - Md $12.5k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Ceeky (ML 3-1)
# 7 Mikes Muscle Man (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 One Classy Dude (ML 6-1)
# 3 Thegift From Haven (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 5 American Rocket (ML 20-1) and # 8 Hezapleasantspark (ML 12-1)
Ceeky took the Place against more expensive last time out. Mikes Muscle Man drops in for a tag for his second career contest, as well as getting Lasix for the first time.
One Classy Dude is by a Forestry mare; descendants of Forestry tend to do well at seven furlongs. Thegift From Haven took the Place against more expensive two starts back. That so far has been the only time in Thegift From Haven's seven race career that he's picked up his feet. If his connections can figure out why Thegift From Haven ran on that day when he hasn't on any other, they just might find themselves with a decent horse on their hands.
RACE 9 - OC 25k/C - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 9 Incensed (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 6 Padilla (ML 10-1)
# 7 Our Independence (ML 9-2)
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Starship Thor (ML 6-1)
Incensed ships in from up north after disappointing as the Post Time Favorite in each of his last two races against pure Allowance company. Padilla missed victory by just a neck the last time that he competed over a firm turf course. Our Independence won by daylight at this approximate class level over this turf course last time out.
RACE 10 - (F) Md $10k - Seven and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Convertible (ML 12-1)
# 12 Matchbook Lilly (ML 4-1)
B's
# 3 Pefectress (ML 5-1)
# 15 You Can Do Magic (ML 10-1)
C's
# 5 Asplashofanna (ML 20-1)
# 9 Ms. B V I (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 1 Song Memory (ML 9-5), # 10 Minnieminnie (ML 30-1), # 14 Shesahellcat (ML 30-1), and # 16 Honor the Madonna (ML 30-1). Bring in # 13 Serket (ML 30-1) and # 15 You Can Do Magic (ML 10-1) off The Also Eligible List, as those two will run
Convertible took the Place at this class level two starts back. Matchbook Lilly took the Show at this class level last time out. Perfectress and Asplashofanna should be forwardly placed early. You Can Do Magic took the Show at this class level last time out. Ms. B V I has proven to be competitive at this class level, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.
OK, that's the analysis. Since today is a mandatory payout day we can press our "A" Selections without fear of killing our jackpot chances. So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$0.40 P6: 4 with 5 with 5,6 with 2,7 with 9 with 4,12 $3.20
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 3,4,6 with 5,8 with 5,6 with 2,7 with 6,7,9 with 3,4,12,15 $57.60
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 7,8,10 with 5 with 5,6 with 2,7 with 9 with 4,12 $4.80
$0.20 P6: 4 with 2 with 5,6 with 2,7 with 9 with 4,12 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 4 with 5 with 4,7 with 2,7 with 9 with 4,12 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 4 with 5 with 5,6 with 1,3 with 9 with 4,12 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 4 with 5 with 5,6 with 2,7 with 9 with 5,9 $1.60
Total: $72.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 2:32 EST / 11:32 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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