RACE 5 - Md $25k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Chasing the Stars (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 3 Arpinella (ML 4-1)
# 6 Lil' Charlie (ML 8-1)
C's
# 7 Il Nonno (10-1)
# 8 Gran Abarrio (ML 12-1)
# 10 Lord Ruler (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 9 A B G Mostro (ML 5-1)
Chasing the Stars too the Place at this class level over this turf course last time out. Arpinella drops in for a tag for the first time. Lil' Charlie could move up with a trip a little closer to the rail than last time out.
Il Nonno and Gran Abarrio are the ones that could be running best late. Lord Ruler took the Show against slightly less expensive stock in his debut last time out.
RACE 6 - Clm $6.25k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Bama Bound (ML 8-5)
B’s
# 8 Toh's Grey Cat (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 Jaiden's Best (ML 6-1)
Bama Bound is typically the type of horse that I would single, having finished in the Exacta in each of his five races, the last two being at today's class level. The problem is that all those top two finishes came for different connections; this will be Bama Bound's first start for a trainer who visits the Winner's Circle a lot less frequently than the one that Bama Bound just left. So for that reason, we'll be using others in our play.
Toh's Grey Cat won at this class level back in September, and then disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in his next three starts with today's price tag on his head. Jaiden's Best won at today's class level two starts back, albeit for different connections.
RACE 7 - (F) Clm $8k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Rara (ML 4-1)
# 6 Cowboy's Princess (ML 7-2)
B’s
None
C's
# 4 Little Twitch (ML 5-1)
# 7 Desert Bliss (ML 10-1)
# 7 Desert Bliss (ML 10-1)
Cowboy's Princess and Rara finished one-two last time out at this class level, separated by just a nose at the wire. Little Twitch has finished in the Trifecta in six of her last seven races. Desert Bliss took the Show against more expensive stock the last time that she competed on the grass.
RACE 8 - Md $12.5k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Ceeky (ML 3-1)
# 7 Mikes Muscle Man (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 1 One Classy Dude (ML 6-1)
# 3 Thegift From Haven (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 5 American Rocket (ML 20-1) and # 8 Hezapleasantspark (ML 12-1)
Ceeky took the Place against more expensive last time out. Mikes Muscle Man drops in for a tag for his second career contest, as well as getting Lasix for the first time.
One Classy Dude is by a Forestry mare; descendants of Forestry tend to do well at seven furlongs. Thegift From Haven took the Place against more expensive two starts back. That so far has been the only time in Thegift From Haven's seven race career that he's picked up his feet. If his connections can figure out why Thegift From Haven ran on that day when he hasn't on any other, they just might find themselves with a decent horse on their hands.
RACE 9 - OC 25k/C - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 9 Incensed (ML 9-5)
B’s
# 6 Padilla (ML 10-1)
# 7 Our Independence (ML 9-2)
C's
None
Scratch # 3 Starship Thor (ML 6-1)
Incensed ships in from up north after disappointing as the Post Time Favorite in each of his last two races against pure Allowance company. Padilla missed victory by just a neck the last time that he competed over a firm turf course. Our Independence won by daylight at this approximate class level over this turf course last time out.
RACE 10 - (F) Md $10k - Seven and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 4 Convertible (ML 12-1)
# 12 Matchbook Lilly (ML 4-1)
B's
# 3 Pefectress (ML 5-1)
# 15 You Can Do Magic (ML 10-1)
C's
# 5 Asplashofanna (ML 20-1)
# 9 Ms. B V I (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 1 Song Memory (ML 9-5), # 10 Minnieminnie (ML 30-1), # 14 Shesahellcat (ML 30-1), and # 16 Honor the Madonna (ML 30-1). Bring in # 13 Serket (ML 30-1) and # 15 You Can Do Magic (ML 10-1) off The Also Eligible List, as those two will run
Convertible took the Place at this class level two starts back. Matchbook Lilly took the Show at this class level last time out. Perfectress and Asplashofanna should be forwardly placed early. You Can Do Magic took the Show at this class level last time out. Ms. B V I has proven to be competitive at this class level, but seems to settle for too many minor awards.
OK, that's the analysis. Since today is a mandatory payout day we can press our "A" Selections without fear of killing our jackpot chances. So with that, playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$0.40 P6: 4 with 5 with 5,6 with 2,7 with 9 with 4,12 $3.20
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.20 P6: 3,4,6 with 5,8 with 5,6 with 2,7 with 6,7,9 with 3,4,12,15 $57.60
A's with One C
$0.20 P6: 7,8,10 with 5 with 5,6 with 2,7 with 9 with 4,12 $4.80
$0.20 P6: 4 with 2 with 5,6 with 2,7 with 9 with 4,12 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 4 with 5 with 4,7 with 2,7 with 9 with 4,12 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 4 with 5 with 5,6 with 1,3 with 9 with 4,12 $1.60
$0.20 P6: 4 with 5 with 5,6 with 2,7 with 9 with 5,9 $1.60
Total: $72.00
Post Time for Race 5 is 2:32 EST / 11:32 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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