Sunday, November 6, 2016

11/6/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview

So The Breeders' Cup has come and gone, and we now come to the final day of Santa Anita's Fall Meet.  The Grade 2 Goldikova is Sunday's featured race; we'll be looking at that contest below, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.

RACE 6 - The Goldikova (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 1 Nancy From Nairobi (GB) (Morning Line 3-1)
# 5 Zindaya (ML 2-1)

B's

None

C's

# 2 Prize Exhibit (GB) (ML 6-1)
# 6 Hillhouse High (ML 12-1)

The last four times that Nancy From Nairobi (GB) has limited her running to just eight furlongs she has scooped up three Wins and one Place; one of those three Wins being the Grade 2 Royal Heroine, contested back in May over this turf course.

Zindaya ships in from the east, having most recently taken the Place in the Grade 3 Noble Damsel at Belmont.  Zindaya's one prior try over this turf course came two years back, when she took the Show in the Grade 3 Autumn Miss.

Prize Exhibit (GB) has proven to be competitive at this class level; but her recent form suggests that she may be due for a freshening.  Hillhouse High is moving up the class ladder after taking an OC 62k/N2X last time out.  Hillhouse High could be the one leading the field early, and perhaps late as well.

RACE 7 - MSW - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 2 Eleutheros (ML 4-1)
# 3 Blabimir (ML 20-1)

B's

# 6 Seau (ML 7-2)
# 7 Cistron (ML 4-1)

C's

# 10 Royal Mo (ML 6-1)

These are juveniles, and whenever you see non-claiming juvenile maidens at this time of year, you always wonder which if any will be future Kentucky Derby contenders; especially with a solid field such as this.

Eleutheros took the Place in his debut behind a next out winner last time out.  Blabimir adds the hood for his second career start, and has definitely been sharp in his most recent works for Trainer Doug O'Neill.

Seau took the Place in his debut behind Sword Fighter, who was fourth in Saturday's Juvenile Turf Sprint.  Cistron took the Show as the Post Time Favorite in his debut last time out.  Royal Mo took the Place in his debut last time out.  The concern with Royal Mo is that he has not run since that debut, which was back in August.

RACE 8 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 9 Fantasy of Luck (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 7 Dashin Ashen (ML 6-1)
# 10 Bad Ju Ju (ML 5-1)

C's

# 1 Little Dume (ML 8-1)
# 6 Skye Diamonds (ML 4-1)

Scratch # 8 Fruity (Ire) (ML 15-1)

Fantasy of Luck has taken the Place at this class level in each of her last two starts.  Dashin Ashen should improve with the move make to one turn dirt racing.  Bad Ju Ju took the Show at this class level last time out, and now goes first off the claim for Trainer Peter Miller, who tends to do well with such.

Little Dume tries winners for the first time after graduating in the slop at Keeneland last time out.  Skye Diamonds moves up the class ladder after winning three of her last four starts against lesser stock.

RACE 9 - OC 40k/N1X - Ten Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 11 I'malreadythere (ML 9-2)

B’s

# 8 Trojan Nation (ML 4-1)
# 12 Buster Douglas (Brz) (ML 6-1)

C's

# 1 Aldrin (ML 20-1)
# 7 Pretentious (ML 10-1)
# 9 Air Pocket (ML 5-1)

Scratch # 3 Touching Rainbows (No Line) and # 14 Willing To Travel (ML 8-1)

I'malreadythere took the Place at this class level two starts back.  I'malreadythere will be blinkers free for this contest, just as she was in her only prior career Win.

Trojan won his turf debut two starts back, and could improve off the freshening.  Buster Douglas (Brz) was an Allowance winner at today's distance two starts back in his native Brazil.

Aldrin and Air Pocket look to be the pace setters here; if one fails to go, the other could be gone.  Pretentious has proven to be competitive at this class level; but the concern with Pretentious is that he has had plenty of chances to win at this level, and has come up short.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1,5 with 2,3 with 9 with 11 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,5 with 2,3,6,7 with 7,9,10 with 8,11,12 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,6 with 2,3 with 9 with 11 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1,5 with 10 with 9 with 11 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 1,5 with 2,3 with 1,6 with 11 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 1,5 with 2,3 with 9 with 1,7,9 $6.00

Total: $53.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 5:29 EDT / 2:29 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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