This is it: the big one, the final four Breeders' Cup races for 2016 at Santa Anita, culminating with the BC Challenge. For us, the big challenge will be if we can stay on budget, as we take a run at The All BC Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 9 - The Breeders' Cup Turf (Grade 1) - Twelve Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 10 Found (Ire) (Morning Line 3-1)
# 12 Highland Reel (ML 3-1)
B's
# 4 Flintshire (GB) (ML 5-2)
# 5 Ashleyluvssugar (ML 15-1)
C's
# 3 Ectot (GB) (ML 8-1)
# 6 Mondialiste (Ire) (ML 15-1)
# 9 Money Multiplier (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 13 Metaboss (ML 13-1)
Keeping it brief because of time constraints; but also because you already know most of these horses. Flintshire (GB)'s last can be forgiven due to the softer footing; for the same reason Ectot (GB) gets slightly down graded. Ashleyluvssugar is the local hero with multiple Graded Stakes wins over this course. Mondialiste (Ire) is a question mark at the distance, while Money Multiplier remains competitive but seemingly gets camera shy when moving up in class.
RACE 10 - (F) The Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (Grade 1) - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Haveyougoneaway (ML 3-1)
B's
# 6 By the Moon (ML 8-1)
# 8 Carina Mia (ML 7-2)
# 11 Irish Jasper (ML 10-1)
# 12 Finest City (ML 12-1)
C's
# 5 Wonder Gal (ML 30-1)
# 10 Wavell Avenue (ML 6-1)
I'm not sure about that big figure Wonder Gal put up two back; but Irish Jasper followed up her big number two back with a Grade 2 win. Finest City picked up a Graded Stakes win the last time she only had to go around one turn. Carina Mia might get over bet; but her tactical speed makes it tough to downgrade her to a "C".
RACE 11 - The Breeders' Cup Mile (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 8 Tepin (ML 3-1)
# 13 Midnight Storm (ML 12-1)
B's
# 2 Alice Springs (Ire) (ML 4-1)
# 6 Photo Call (Ire) (ML 15-1)
# 9 Ironicus (ML 8-1)
C's
# 4 Miss Temple City (ML 12-1)
# 5 Tourist (ML 15-1)
# 10 Limato (Ire) (ML 7-2)
# 14 Cougar Mountain (Ire) (ML 20-1)
I'm pretty sure 12-1 on Midnight Storm is going to prove to be a mirage; but we'll see. Photo Call (Ire) may have freaked last time out; or she may have been crying out for the cutback in distance all along. Ironicus will be the one running best late.
Alice Springs (Ire) may have trouble working out a trip, but must be respected because of all those Group 1 victories. Limato (Ire) is questionable at the distance.
RACE 12 - The Breeders' Cup Classic (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 California Chrome (ML 1-1)
# 10 Arrogate (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Frosted (ML 5-1)
# 9 Hoppertunity (ML 15-1)
Scratch # 8 Shaman Ghost (ML 20-1)
And that's why we're going over budget: I just could not choose between these two. California Chrome has been the best horse in training this year; but the more you look at Arrogate's win in The Travers, and the way that he has worked over this main track since, the more impossible it becomes to leave him off the big ticket. In the unlikely event that those two burn each other out, then it will be either Frosted right behind them or Hoppertunity running late to beat # 3 Keen Ice (ML 20-1) to the wire.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10,12 with 2 with 8,13 with 4,10 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,5,10,12 with 2,6,8,11,12 with 2,6,8,9,13 with 4,10 $100.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3,6,9 with 2 with 8,13 with 4,10 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 10,12 with 5,10 with 8,13 with 4,10 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 10,12 with 2 with 4,5,10,14 with 4,10 $8.00
$0.50 P4: 10,12 with 2 with 8,13 with 2,9 $4.00
Total: $134.00
Post Time for Race 9 is 6:22 EDT / 3:22 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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