Saturday, November 12, 2016

11/12/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview

"Whenever the world makes you cynical; whenever you seek true humility and true selflessness, look to a veteran." - President Obama

As Veterans Day weekend continues in the US, we take another opportunity to honor and thank all who served in the United States Armed Forces.  And as Opening Weekend of The Bing Crosby Meet at Del Mar continues, we take another opportunity to increase our bankroll, as we take another run at The Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 6 - Clm $25k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 7 Sweet Daddy (Morning Line 20-1)
# 8 Buymeabond (ML 7-2)


B’s

None

C's

# 5 Infinite Magic (ML 5-1)
# 6 Indygo Bo (ML 4-1)
# 10 Tattenham (ML 9-2)

Sweet Daddy hasn't done much since shipping to SoCal from points east; but he also hasn't been in for a tag this cheap since arriving in California.  Sweet Daddy was victorious the last time that he competed at this class level.

Buymeabond took the Show at this class level last time out.  Infinite Magic took the Show against more expensive last time out; but I think Infinite Magic prefers races that cover more real estate.

Indygo Bo disappointed as the Post Time Favorite at this class level last time out.  Indygo Bo goes first off the claim for Trainer Vladimir Cerin, who tends to do well with such.  Tattenham could move up with the addition of blinkers.

RACE 7 - Clm $16k N3L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Hye I'm Jack (ML 5-1)

B’s

# 3 Pedro Cerrano (ML 9-2)
# 4 Thunder Basin (ML 6-1)
# 7 Anthonysgotgame (ML 5-1)
# 9 Majestic Kitten (20-1)

C's

# 1 Bluegrass Bronco (ML 6-1)
# 8 Senator Robert (ML 12-1)
# 10 Eddie's Turn (ML 7-2)

Hye I'm Jack took the Show at this class level last time out.  Pedro Cerrano, who defeated more expensive over this main track back in August, takes a big tumble down the class ladder.  Thunder Basin should improve with the return to one turn racing.

Anthonysgotgame has finished in the Trifecta in each of his last three dirt starts.  Majestic Kitten seems misplaced off the grass; but Majestic Kitten took the Show at this class level two starts back, and could move up with a trip less troubled than those which sandwich that effort.

Bluegrass Bronco took the Show at this class level last time out, and Bluegrass Bronco could be speed on the rail today.  Senator Robert gets some much needed class relief.  Eddie's Turn, making his second tour with Trainer Eddie Truman's barn, could improve if he can be kept away from the early pace.

RACE 8 - OC 62k/C - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 3 Crown the Kitten (ML 4-1)
# 6 Hobbits Hero (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 9 He Will (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Stormy Liberal (ML 6-1)
# 2 Banze No Oeste (Brz) (ML 8-1)
# 5 Big Bane Theory (ML 12-1)


Scratch # 7 Howdy (ML 30-1)

Crown the Kitten too the Place at this approximate class level in each of his last two starts.  Hobbits Hero did all the heavy lifting in that same contest, and could improve with the cutback in distance.

He Will moves up in class after winning at the OC40k/N1X level last time out, and has been showing steady improvement in each of his most recent outings.  Stormy Liberal has proven to be competitive at this class level, but Stormy Liberal is running out of chances to prove that he can actually win against this level of competition.

Banze No Oeste (Brz) missed by just a neck at this class level, but that was charging down the hill at Santa Anita.  Big Bane Theory may have need that last one, and could improve going second off the layoff.

RACE 9 - Md $20k - Seven Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 10 Zealous Tale (ML 7-2)

B's

# 1 The Golden Kid (ML 5-1)
# 5 Johann's Command (ML 8-1)
# 12 Gavin Streetsense (ML 10-1)

C's

# 3 King's Palace (ML 8-1)
# 4 Sunny Jade (ML 30-1)
# 6 Woodstock Memory (ML 8-1)
# 11 Strong Leader (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 9 Frosted Boss (ML 20-1); bring in # 13 Little Mustard (ML 8-1) off the Also Eligible List to take his place.

Zealous Tale has disappointed as the Post Time Favorite in each of his four career starts.  But Zealous Tale was competitive in three of those four races, and he is now in for the cheapest price tag of his career.

The Golden Kid gets off the grass while dropping in for a tag for the first time in his career.  Johann's Command took the Show at this class level last time out after doing all the heavy lifting on the front end.  Gavin Streetsense took the Place at this class level last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite.

King's Palace puts on the hood for his second career start, his first in the claiming ranks.  Sunny Jade could be quickest early.  Woodstock Memory has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last two races.  Strong Leader didn't show much in his debut charging down the hill at Santa Anita last time out; perhaps the drop in for a tag will help make him more competitive.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 7,8 with 5 with 3,6 with 10 $4.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 7,8 with 3,4,5,7,9 with 3,6,9 with 1,5,10,12 $60.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 5,6,10 with 5 with 3,6 with 10 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 7,8 with 1,8,10 with 3,6 with 10 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 7,8 with 5 with 1,2,5 with 10 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 7,8 with 5 with 3,6 with 3,4,6,11 $8.00

Total: $84.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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