Juveniles dominate the latter portion of Saturday's Del Mar card, with seventy-five percent of the final four races being contested by two year olds. In addition, we expect to be looking skyward today; not just for divine guidance (though such is always welcome) but also to keep an eye out for the impending rains; so keep in mind that the two Graded Stakes scheduled for the turf today just may, may, wind up being taken off the lawn. So with the backdrop laid let's get to it, as we take another run at The Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 6 - (F) The Jimmy Durante (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Defiant Honor (Morning Line 9-2)
B's
# 6 Partyinthepaddock (ML 15-1)
# 8 With Honors (ML 7-2)
C's
None
Defiant Honor graduated on a softened lawn in New York last time out, and should therefore appreciate any impending rainfall. Partyinthepaddock closed well charging down the Santa Anita hill two starts back, which suggests that she should do well on the stretchout on the flats. With Honors was a Listed Stakes winner the last time that she competed over this turf course.
RACE 7 - (F) MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Unique Bella (ML 7-5)
# 7 Mannerly (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Top Quality (ML 15-1)
# 5 Lady Mamba (ML 3-1)
Unique Bella, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, took the Place at this class level in her debut last time out. Mannerly, trained by Doug O'Neill, broke sharply and showed good early speed in her debut last time out. Top Quality and Lady Mamba are a pair of first time starters whose sires (Quality Road and War Front, respectively) produce runners who tend to do well in their debuts.
RACE 8 - The Seabiscuit (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 What a View (ML 7-2)
B's
# 1 A Red Tie Day (ML 10-1)
# 2 Stylistics United (ML 30-1)
# 3 Om (ML 5-2)
# 4 Vyjack (ML 3-1)
# 6 Hunt (Ire) (ML 10-1)
# 7 Ring Weekend (ML 4-1)
# 8 Hi Happy (Arg) (ML 10-1)
C's
None
What a View won a pair of Graded Stakes earlier this year at Santa Anita when there was a bit of a squish beneath his hooves; perhaps the raindrops Saturday will bring about a return to that form. One thing for sure is that, be it wet or dry, What a View should be forwardly placed early.
The B's are everyone else. Even without accounting for the weather, this looks to be a wide open affair; factor in the potential chaos that may be caused by the off going and it seems that the best move is to allow for the maximum possibility of catching the unexpected in this leg.
RACE 9 - [S] Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 One I'm Running To (ML 2-1)
# 5 Sawbuck (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 3 Pampers n' Boots (ML 8-1)
# 7 Majestic Journey (ML 5-1)
Looks like a replay of our selections in the second leg, as we'll be using a pair of runners who have run well at this class level as our "A" Selections, while putting a pair of first time starters on a backup tickets as "C" Selections. Interesting how that worked out; and let's hope that a few hours from now we'll be talking about how it did indeed "work out".
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1 with 4,7 with 5 with 4,5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,6,8 with 4,7 with ALL with 4,5 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1 with 3,5 with 5 with 4,5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4,7 with 5 with 3,7 $2.00
Total: $56.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 5:59 EST / 2:59 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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