Race 6 - # 3 Snow Cloud (Ire) (Final Odds 41.90) - No Selection
Race 7 - # 8 Jazzy Times (1.40*) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - The Bing Crosby - # 8 Lord Nelson (1.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 12 Never Say Try (4.60) - "B" Selection
The opening leg of the sequence saw # 2 Sturdy One (5.80) gain the lead between horses in deep stretch only to be caught by Snow Cloud (Ire) at the wire; and the nose that separated Snow Cloud from Sturdy One in the photo was the difference between us cashing or trashing our tickets today.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 3 / 8 / 8 / 12 were rewarded with a payout of $1,141.65 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, July 31, 2016
7/31/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview
Speed is the key today at Del Mar, as the final four events on the program involve one turn racing, with the featured contest being the Grade 1 Bing Crosby. So let's get to it, as we take another run at the Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 6 - (F) ALW N1X - Five Furlongs Turf
A's
# 8 Deltalina (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 1 Peach Cove (NZ) (ML 4-1)
# 2 Sturdy One (ML 12-1)
# 4 Seaside Glory (ML 3-1)
# 12 Boat Drinks (ML 6-1)
C's
# 5 Candy Boss (ML 8-1)
# 6 Madame Mousse (ML 4-1)
Scratch # 9 Miss Big Stuff (ML 8-1); # 10 Hell On Heels (ML 10-1); # 11 Little Treasure (ML 8-1); # 13 Lemon de Oro (ML 20-1); and # 14 Dream Navigator (ML 20-1). Bring in # 12 Boat Drinks (ML 6-1) off the Also Eligible List.
Deltalina, trained by Wesley Ward, ships in from the east after taking the Show at this class level last time out at Churchill Downs. Peach Cove (NZ) has done quite well sprinting on the grass in her native New Zealand, and Trainer Richard Mandella tends to do well when bringing back runners from an extended vacation.
Sturdy One was victorious in her one prior flat turf sprint, which was over this turf course last Fall. Seaside Glory graduated last time out and is also trying the turf for the first time; but Seaside Glory certainly has the breeding for the lawn, and she showed enough early speed last time out that she could smoke the grass today.
Boat Drinks had a sharp work over the main track here last Sunday, and she could be the one running best late. Candy Boss may get a nice stalking trip just off Seaside Glory. Madame Mousse has shown good form charging down the hill at Santa Anita, but it's fair to wonder if that form will transfer to the flat surface at Del Mar.
RACE 7 - OC 40k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Glacken Too (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 1 Rocket Fuel (ML 7-2)
# 8 Jazzy Times (ML 5-2)
C's
# 2 Brimstoned (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 5 Schllairess (ML 6-1) and # 9 Mad Bum (ML 20-1)
Glacken Too, trained by Phil D'Amato, defeated classier stock three starts back. Rocket Fuel took the Place at this class level last time out; but it's not a good sign that Rocket Fuel was backing up in the stretch in each of his last two starts, both covering less real estate than today's contest.
Jazzy Times, trained by Bob Baffert, took the Place at this level last time out. Brimstoned took the Show at this class level two starts back (albeit while competing around two turns). Brimstoned has won two of his three career starts over this main track.
RACE 8 - The Bing Crosby (Grade 1) - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Subtle Indian (ML 5-2)
# 8 Lord Nelson (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 7 Home Run Kitten (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 6 Bluegrass Bronco (ML 20-1)
Lord Nelson defeated Subtle Indian by less than a length in the Grade 1 Triple Bend last time out. Lord Nelson and Subtle Indian each have eleven career starts. Lord Nelson has more Graded Stakes wins, but Subtle Indian has higher career earnings. Is one of these two better than the other? Perhaps; but I'd hate to have to live off the difference.
Home Run Kitten is the only legitimate closer in this field. If Home Run Kitten is ever going to come off the pace to win at this level on the main track, this is it.
RACE 9 - [S] MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Pee Wee Reese (ML 7-2)
# 10 Just a Bit Outside (ML 15-1)
B's
# 2 David's Memory (ML 12-1)
# 12 Never Say Try (ML 4-1)
C's
RACE 6 - (F) ALW N1X - Five Furlongs Turf
A's
# 8 Deltalina (Morning Line 7-2)
B's
# 1 Peach Cove (NZ) (ML 4-1)
# 2 Sturdy One (ML 12-1)
# 4 Seaside Glory (ML 3-1)
# 12 Boat Drinks (ML 6-1)
C's
# 5 Candy Boss (ML 8-1)
# 6 Madame Mousse (ML 4-1)
Scratch # 9 Miss Big Stuff (ML 8-1); # 10 Hell On Heels (ML 10-1); # 11 Little Treasure (ML 8-1); # 13 Lemon de Oro (ML 20-1); and # 14 Dream Navigator (ML 20-1). Bring in # 12 Boat Drinks (ML 6-1) off the Also Eligible List.
Deltalina, trained by Wesley Ward, ships in from the east after taking the Show at this class level last time out at Churchill Downs. Peach Cove (NZ) has done quite well sprinting on the grass in her native New Zealand, and Trainer Richard Mandella tends to do well when bringing back runners from an extended vacation.
Sturdy One was victorious in her one prior flat turf sprint, which was over this turf course last Fall. Seaside Glory graduated last time out and is also trying the turf for the first time; but Seaside Glory certainly has the breeding for the lawn, and she showed enough early speed last time out that she could smoke the grass today.
Boat Drinks had a sharp work over the main track here last Sunday, and she could be the one running best late. Candy Boss may get a nice stalking trip just off Seaside Glory. Madame Mousse has shown good form charging down the hill at Santa Anita, but it's fair to wonder if that form will transfer to the flat surface at Del Mar.
RACE 7 - OC 40k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Glacken Too (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 1 Rocket Fuel (ML 7-2)
# 8 Jazzy Times (ML 5-2)
C's
# 2 Brimstoned (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 5 Schllairess (ML 6-1) and # 9 Mad Bum (ML 20-1)
Glacken Too, trained by Phil D'Amato, defeated classier stock three starts back. Rocket Fuel took the Place at this class level last time out; but it's not a good sign that Rocket Fuel was backing up in the stretch in each of his last two starts, both covering less real estate than today's contest.
Jazzy Times, trained by Bob Baffert, took the Place at this level last time out. Brimstoned took the Show at this class level two starts back (albeit while competing around two turns). Brimstoned has won two of his three career starts over this main track.
RACE 8 - The Bing Crosby (Grade 1) - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Subtle Indian (ML 5-2)
# 8 Lord Nelson (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 7 Home Run Kitten (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 6 Bluegrass Bronco (ML 20-1)
Lord Nelson defeated Subtle Indian by less than a length in the Grade 1 Triple Bend last time out. Lord Nelson and Subtle Indian each have eleven career starts. Lord Nelson has more Graded Stakes wins, but Subtle Indian has higher career earnings. Is one of these two better than the other? Perhaps; but I'd hate to have to live off the difference.
Home Run Kitten is the only legitimate closer in this field. If Home Run Kitten is ever going to come off the pace to win at this level on the main track, this is it.
RACE 9 - [S] MSW - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Pee Wee Reese (ML 7-2)
# 10 Just a Bit Outside (ML 15-1)
B's
# 2 David's Memory (ML 12-1)
# 12 Never Say Try (ML 4-1)
C's
# 7 Elkhorn Crown (ML 6-1)
# 8 First Responder (ML 9-2)
# 8 First Responder (ML 9-2)
Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 13 Lucky Snow (ML 20-1) and # 14 Sir Studleigh (ML 12-1)
Pee Wee Reese just missed graduation by a head last time out against open non-claiming maidens last time out. Just a Bit Outside is a first time starter for Trainer Phil D'Amato. Just a Bit Outside was sired by Decarchy, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.
David's Memory showed good early speed in his debut last time out (in the same contest where Pee Wee Reese too the Place) despite being crowded at the break. Never Say Try is a first time starter trained by Jerry Hollendorfer.
Elkhorn Crown took the Place against lesser last time out, but Elkhorn Crown could move forward going second off an extended layoff. First Responder drops from open company into the state-bred ranks, and had a sharp work over this main track back on the 18th.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 8 with 3 with 2,8 with 1,10 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,4,8,12 with 1,3,8 with 2,8 with 1,2,10,12 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 5,6 with 3 with 2,8 with 1,10 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 2 with 2,8 with 1,10 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 3 with 7 with 1,10 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 8 with 3 with 2,8 with 7,8 $2.00
Total: $73.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:33 EDT / 4:33 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, July 30, 2016
7/30/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - # 7 Desert Madam (Final Odds 3.00*) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - The Clement L Hirsch - # 2 Stellar Wind (4.50) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 10 Materialistic (30.20) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 6 El Koreano (1.90*) - "A" Selection
Apparently those last out Beyer Speed Figures for Desert Madam and # 1 Take It Easyplease (3.80), who took the Show in the opening leg, were right after all. And we were right to have our doubts about # 1 Beholder's (0.10*) chances in The Clement L Hirsch; but wrong not to follow through on them. But had we corrected those errors we still would have found ourselves on the outs today, as we had no part at all of Materialistic, the winner of Race 9.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 7 / 2 / 10 / 6 were rewarded with a payout of $1,379.85 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - The Clement L Hirsch - # 2 Stellar Wind (4.50) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 10 Materialistic (30.20) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 6 El Koreano (1.90*) - "A" Selection
Apparently those last out Beyer Speed Figures for Desert Madam and # 1 Take It Easyplease (3.80), who took the Show in the opening leg, were right after all. And we were right to have our doubts about # 1 Beholder's (0.10*) chances in The Clement L Hirsch; but wrong not to follow through on them. But had we corrected those errors we still would have found ourselves on the outs today, as we had no part at all of Materialistic, the winner of Race 9.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 7 / 2 / 10 / 6 were rewarded with a payout of $1,379.85 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/30/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview
Beholder makes her return to Del Mar Saturday in the forty-sixth running of the Grade 1 Clement L Hirsch. We'll be taking a look at that contest below as we take another run at the Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Gracie Ragazza (Morning Line 6-1)
# 9 Swissarella (ML 12-1)
B’s
# 11 Big Break (ML 15-1)
# 12 Backintheacademy (ML 15-1)
C's
# 1 Take It Easyplease (ML 4-1)
# 4 Gift of a Star (ML 12-1)
# 7 Desert Madam (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 6 Savannah Sky (ML 7-2), # 10 That's a Lady (ML 3-1), and # 13 Enduring Erin (ML 5-1). Bring in # 11 Big Break (ML 15-1) and # 12 Backintheacademy (ML 15-1) off the Also Eligible List.
Gracie Ragazza won at this approximate class level three starts back at Los Alamitos, and enters this contest after a strong last out Win at the $32k Claiming level. Swissarella cold be the controlling speed in this field. Swissarella's last victory came at this class level earlier this year.
Big Break was victorious at this class level earlier this year, and Big Break recently took the Show against more expensive stock. Backintheacademy has finished in the Trifecta in each of her two starts over this main track, and Backintheacademy could be the one running best late.
Desert Madam and Take It Easyplease have the highest and second-highest (respectively) last out Beyer Speed Figure in this field. The figures are the career best for each runner, earned in the same race where Desert Madame crossed the line a little over three lengths in front of Take It Easyplease. I am, to put it mildly, extremely skeptical of those figures, and that's before factoring in that these two runners are now moving up in class and adding weight. So for those reasons, I will be using Take It Easyplease and Desert Madam as backups only.
Gift of a Star has proven herself to be competitive at this level on the grass, and Gift of a Star did reasonably well in her dirt debut last time out.
RACE 8 - (F) The Clement L Hirsch (Grade 1) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Beholder (ML 1-5)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Stellar Wind (ML 5-2)
The only question with this contest is whether or not Beholder should be a single on our big ticket. Certainly Stellar Wind, a Grade 1 winner in her own right, is capable of winning today; but do Stellar Wind's chances, factored in with her higher odds, justify doubling the cost of our big ticket by including her with Beholder? Ultimately I decided no; but I'm not one hundred percent certain that was the right decision.
RACE 9 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Bronzino (Fr) (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 8 Foray (ML 3-1)
# 9 Broken Up (ML 15-1)
C's
# 11 Cervaro (ML 10-1)
Don't bring in any of those on the Also Eligible List: # 12 Lamaan (ML 15-1); # 13 Fin de Semaine (ML 12-1); and # 14 First to the Wire (ML 20-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career (N2L), as the Daily Racing Form does not include that information in their Past Performances; at least, not at the present time.
Bronzino (Fr) has taken the Show at this class level in each of his two North American turf races, both at today's distance. Foray had an impressive debut last time out on the other side of the continent.
Broken Up took the Place at this class level in his last turf start. Cervaro returns from an extended vacation; Trainer Mike Puype tends to do well with such.
RACE 10 - Clm $16k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Suavemente (ML 5-1)
# 6 El Koreano (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 4 Concorso (ML 6-1)
# 7 Dream It Do It (ML 5-1)
# 9 Gramsson (ML 8-1)
C's
# 3 Boompa (ML 7-2)
Don't bring in either of the runners on the Also Eligible List: # 13 Gathering Evidence (ML 8-1) nor # 14 Redneck Crazy (ML 15-1)
Suavemente makes a big drop down the class ladder, moving from more expensive open claimers to this contest limited to runners with no more than one career victory. El Koreano was able to grab the early lead against more expensive last time out.
Concorso lost all chance last time out when he stumbled at the break. Dream It Do It misses by less than a length of having two career Wins at today's distance. Gramsson could improve with his second start off the layoff combined with a class drop. Boompa settles for too many minor awards to be on the big ticket; but Boompa is too talented to not use at all.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5,9 with 1 with 2 with 2,6 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,9,11,12 with 1 with 2,8,9 with 2,4,6,7,9 $30.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,4,7 with 1 with 2 with 2,6 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 5,9 with 2 with 2 with 2,6 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5,9 with 1 with 11 with 2,6 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5,9 with 1 with 2 with 3 $1.00
Total: $42.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Gracie Ragazza (Morning Line 6-1)
# 9 Swissarella (ML 12-1)
B’s
# 11 Big Break (ML 15-1)
# 12 Backintheacademy (ML 15-1)
C's
# 1 Take It Easyplease (ML 4-1)
# 4 Gift of a Star (ML 12-1)
# 7 Desert Madam (ML 9-2)
Scratch # 6 Savannah Sky (ML 7-2), # 10 That's a Lady (ML 3-1), and # 13 Enduring Erin (ML 5-1). Bring in # 11 Big Break (ML 15-1) and # 12 Backintheacademy (ML 15-1) off the Also Eligible List.
Gracie Ragazza won at this approximate class level three starts back at Los Alamitos, and enters this contest after a strong last out Win at the $32k Claiming level. Swissarella cold be the controlling speed in this field. Swissarella's last victory came at this class level earlier this year.
Big Break was victorious at this class level earlier this year, and Big Break recently took the Show against more expensive stock. Backintheacademy has finished in the Trifecta in each of her two starts over this main track, and Backintheacademy could be the one running best late.
Desert Madam and Take It Easyplease have the highest and second-highest (respectively) last out Beyer Speed Figure in this field. The figures are the career best for each runner, earned in the same race where Desert Madame crossed the line a little over three lengths in front of Take It Easyplease. I am, to put it mildly, extremely skeptical of those figures, and that's before factoring in that these two runners are now moving up in class and adding weight. So for those reasons, I will be using Take It Easyplease and Desert Madam as backups only.
Gift of a Star has proven herself to be competitive at this level on the grass, and Gift of a Star did reasonably well in her dirt debut last time out.
RACE 8 - (F) The Clement L Hirsch (Grade 1) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Beholder (ML 1-5)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Stellar Wind (ML 5-2)
The only question with this contest is whether or not Beholder should be a single on our big ticket. Certainly Stellar Wind, a Grade 1 winner in her own right, is capable of winning today; but do Stellar Wind's chances, factored in with her higher odds, justify doubling the cost of our big ticket by including her with Beholder? Ultimately I decided no; but I'm not one hundred percent certain that was the right decision.
RACE 9 - Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Bronzino (Fr) (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 8 Foray (ML 3-1)
# 9 Broken Up (ML 15-1)
C's
# 11 Cervaro (ML 10-1)
Don't bring in any of those on the Also Eligible List: # 12 Lamaan (ML 15-1); # 13 Fin de Semaine (ML 12-1); and # 14 First to the Wire (ML 20-1)
Note for future reference that this one is for horses which have not won two races in their career (N2L), as the Daily Racing Form does not include that information in their Past Performances; at least, not at the present time.
Bronzino (Fr) has taken the Show at this class level in each of his two North American turf races, both at today's distance. Foray had an impressive debut last time out on the other side of the continent.
Broken Up took the Place at this class level in his last turf start. Cervaro returns from an extended vacation; Trainer Mike Puype tends to do well with such.
RACE 10 - Clm $16k N2L - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Suavemente (ML 5-1)
# 6 El Koreano (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 4 Concorso (ML 6-1)
# 7 Dream It Do It (ML 5-1)
# 9 Gramsson (ML 8-1)
C's
# 3 Boompa (ML 7-2)
Don't bring in either of the runners on the Also Eligible List: # 13 Gathering Evidence (ML 8-1) nor # 14 Redneck Crazy (ML 15-1)
Suavemente makes a big drop down the class ladder, moving from more expensive open claimers to this contest limited to runners with no more than one career victory. El Koreano was able to grab the early lead against more expensive last time out.
Concorso lost all chance last time out when he stumbled at the break. Dream It Do It misses by less than a length of having two career Wins at today's distance. Gramsson could improve with his second start off the layoff combined with a class drop. Boompa settles for too many minor awards to be on the big ticket; but Boompa is too talented to not use at all.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5,9 with 1 with 2 with 2,6 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,9,11,12 with 1 with 2,8,9 with 2,4,6,7,9 $30.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,4,7 with 1 with 2 with 2,6 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 5,9 with 2 with 2 with 2,6 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5,9 with 1 with 11 with 2,6 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5,9 with 1 with 2 with 3 $1.00
Total: $42.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, July 24, 2016
7/24/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - # 5 Dream Team (Final Odds 0.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - The California Dreamin' - # 6 Patriots Rule (16.90) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Midnight Pleasure (20.90) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 6 Zinvor (6.40) - "C" Selection
Patriots Rule and Midnight Pleasure were each the highest priced runners on the tote board in their respective fields. You've got to be pretty good to catch two such runners in a four race sequence; and we weren't. At least, not today.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 5 / 6 / 5 / 6 were rewarded with a payout of $5,595.50 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - The California Dreamin' - # 6 Patriots Rule (16.90) - "C" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Midnight Pleasure (20.90) - No Selection
Race 10 - # 6 Zinvor (6.40) - "C" Selection
Patriots Rule and Midnight Pleasure were each the highest priced runners on the tote board in their respective fields. You've got to be pretty good to catch two such runners in a four race sequence; and we weren't. At least, not today.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 5 / 6 / 5 / 6 were rewarded with a payout of $5,595.50 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/24/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview
Alert Bay and Poshdky have their rematch in the eleventh running of The California Dreamin', Sunday's featured race at Del Mar. We'll be taking a look at that contest below as we take another run at the Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 7 - Clm $32k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Dream Team (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 9 Alex Rossi (Arg) (ML 5-1)
C's
# 8 Fly Lexis Fly (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 2 Indygo Bo (ML 8-1)
Dream Team (trained by Bob Baffert) and Alex Rossi (Arg) (trained by Doug O'Neill) are both dropping out of the Optional Claiming ranks (where they have been competitive) into this contest. Dream Team appears to be the superior runner, but Alex Rossi could steal it on the front end. Fly Lexis Fly, also trained by O'Neill, took the Place at this class level last time out.
RACE 8 - [S] The California Dreamin' $150k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Alert Bay (ML 2-1)
# 7 Poshsky (ML 5-1)
B's
# 8 Soi Phet (ML 9-2)
# 9 Avanti Bello (ML 8-1)
C's
# 3 Boozer (ML 6-1)
# 6 Patriots Rule (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 1 Magic Mark (ML 20-1)
Poshky and Alert Bay meet again after hitting the wire just a neck apart last time out in The Crystal Water, with Poshky getting the edge that day. It would not surprise me to see a similar result today. Soi Phet and Avanti Bello both ran well at this level on the main track at Santa Anita recently; runners making the dirt-to-turf surface switch don't seem to be encountering many difficulties this meet.
Boozer was over a half-dozen lengths behind Alert Bay and Poshsky at the wire in The Crystal Water; but Boozer has enjoyed success over this turf course, so perhaps he improves with the change of venue. Patriots Rule could be the one running best late.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Farley (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Orejas (ML 5-1)
# 3 Dangerfield (ML 2-1)
C's
RACE 7 - Clm $32k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Dream Team (Morning Line 5-2)
B’s
# 9 Alex Rossi (Arg) (ML 5-1)
C's
# 8 Fly Lexis Fly (ML 7-2)
Scratch # 2 Indygo Bo (ML 8-1)
Dream Team (trained by Bob Baffert) and Alex Rossi (Arg) (trained by Doug O'Neill) are both dropping out of the Optional Claiming ranks (where they have been competitive) into this contest. Dream Team appears to be the superior runner, but Alex Rossi could steal it on the front end. Fly Lexis Fly, also trained by O'Neill, took the Place at this class level last time out.
RACE 8 - [S] The California Dreamin' $150k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Alert Bay (ML 2-1)
# 7 Poshsky (ML 5-1)
B's
# 8 Soi Phet (ML 9-2)
# 9 Avanti Bello (ML 8-1)
C's
# 3 Boozer (ML 6-1)
# 6 Patriots Rule (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 1 Magic Mark (ML 20-1)
Poshky and Alert Bay meet again after hitting the wire just a neck apart last time out in The Crystal Water, with Poshky getting the edge that day. It would not surprise me to see a similar result today. Soi Phet and Avanti Bello both ran well at this level on the main track at Santa Anita recently; runners making the dirt-to-turf surface switch don't seem to be encountering many difficulties this meet.
Boozer was over a half-dozen lengths behind Alert Bay and Poshsky at the wire in The Crystal Water; but Boozer has enjoyed success over this turf course, so perhaps he improves with the change of venue. Patriots Rule could be the one running best late.
RACE 9 - MSW - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Farley (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Orejas (ML 5-1)
# 3 Dangerfield (ML 2-1)
C's
# 7 Term of Art (ML 20-1)
# 8 Surf Shack (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 4 Blue Azul (ML 5-1)
These are juveniles; and Dangerfield, making his second career start, is the only experienced runner in the field. Farley was sired by Distorted Humor, whose offspring tend to do well at first asking. Orejas had a sharp gate work over this main track on the 18th.
As already mentioned, Dangerfield is making his second career start; runners for Trainer Doug O'Neil frequently move forward with one try under their belt. Term of Art, like Dangerfield and Farley, is trained by Doug O'Neill; perhaps Term of Art will outshine his stablemates today. Surf Shack was sired by Malibu Moon, whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.
RACE 10 - Clm $40k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 10 Tribal Tribute (ML 7-2)
# 12 Image of Joplin (ML 12-1)
B’s
# 3 Professor Berns (ML 12-1)
# 8 Macro Access (Arg) (ML 5-1)
# 8 Macro Access (Arg) (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Street Moxie (ML 9-2)
# 2 Yes Yes Yes (ML 12-1)
# 2 Yes Yes Yes (ML 12-1)
# 6 Zinvor (ML 6-1)
Tribal Tribute defeated more expensive last time out. Image of Joplin was a winner the last time that he dropped in for a tag. Professor Berns drops in for a tag for the first time since graduating over this turf course last Fall.
Macro Access (Arg) moves up in class after winning for fun against cheaper in each of his last two races. Macro Access also goes first off the claim for Trainer Jeff Bonde, who tends to do well with such.
Street Moxie goes first off the claim for Trainer Hector Palma, who frequently wins with such. Yes Yes Yes gets some much needed class relief. Zinvor won for fun in his only prior try over this turf course.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5 with 5,7 with 6 with 10,12 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 5,9 with 5,7,8,9 with 1,3,6 with 3,8,10,12 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 8 with 5,7 with 6 with 10,12 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 3,6 with 6 with 10,12 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 5,7 with 7,8 with 10,12 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5 with 5,7 with 6 with 1,2,6 $3.00
Total: $63.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, July 23, 2016
7/23/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - The San Clemente - # 9 Mokat (Final Odds 7.20) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - # 8 Tooluckysupermoon (11.70) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - The San Diego - # 6 California Chrome (0.80*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 9 Shazara (5.70) - "C" Selection
If you did not see California Chrome and # 2 Dortmund (1.30) battle it out in The San Diego, you need to make sure that you watch this incredible race. And if you did watch it, you need to watch it again. Just a remarkable effort from both runners giving their all right down to the wire. When people ask you why you are a fan of horse racing, this is a race that you need to show them.
As regards our play; well, you know how this works. We had 'em all, but not all on any one ticket. And while that may sound like we just had some bad luck, honestly, we really weren't all that close to having it. Quite frankly I can't see any realistic scenario (other than completely blowing our budget) that we would have had Mokat, Tooluckysupermoon, and Shaza all on the same ticket. This was simply a day for us to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 9 / 8 / 6 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $780.80 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - # 8 Tooluckysupermoon (11.70) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - The San Diego - # 6 California Chrome (0.80*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 9 Shazara (5.70) - "C" Selection
If you did not see California Chrome and # 2 Dortmund (1.30) battle it out in The San Diego, you need to make sure that you watch this incredible race. And if you did watch it, you need to watch it again. Just a remarkable effort from both runners giving their all right down to the wire. When people ask you why you are a fan of horse racing, this is a race that you need to show them.
As regards our play; well, you know how this works. We had 'em all, but not all on any one ticket. And while that may sound like we just had some bad luck, honestly, we really weren't all that close to having it. Quite frankly I can't see any realistic scenario (other than completely blowing our budget) that we would have had Mokat, Tooluckysupermoon, and Shaza all on the same ticket. This was simply a day for us to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 9 / 8 / 6 / 9 were rewarded with a payout of $780.80 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/23/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview
The good people at Del Mar have put together another nice card for the second Saturday of their Summer Meet; a card that features a pair of Graded Stakes: The San Clemente and The San Diego. We'll be taking a look at each of those contests below, as we take another run at the Pick Four at The Place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 7 - (F) The San Clemente (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Jade Princess (Morning Line 10-1)
# 10 Stays in Vegas (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Belvoir Bay (GB) (ML 4-1)
# 3 Be Mine (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Lady Valeur (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 9 Mokat (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 7 Sweet Queen (ML 20-1)
Jade Princess, trained by Bob Baffert, looked much improved last time out in her first try on the grass. Stays in Vegas, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, misses by just a head of being a career four-for-four on the turf, all at the Listed or Graded Stakes level.
Belvoir Bay (GB), trained by Peter Miller, makes her first start of 2016 after winning The Blue Norther by the length of the stretch back in December. Be Mine seems to be an equal match for Stays in Vegas, based upon how little has separated them at the wire in each of their last two races. I give the edge here to Stays in Vegas because I believe that Be Mine needs more distance in order to show her best.
Lady Valeur (Ire) could improve with the cutback in distance. Mokat is the only runner here with a Win over this turf course, and she missed by less than a length of winning the Grade 3 Jimmy Durantee here last Fall.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $16k N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Myheartsinthecity (ML 9-2)
# 10 Katy Drama (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 B K Miss (ML 20-1)
# 3 Holidayincambodia (ML 6-1)
# 5 Ish (ML 5-1)
# 6 Push Girl (ML 20-1)
# 7 Papa's Maggie (ML 15-1)
# 8 Tooluckysupermoon (ML 12-1)
# 9 Warren's Super Cat (ML 12-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Princess Kendra (ML 7-2)
Myheartsinthecity and Katy Drama look to me to be clearly the two best runners in this contest. The problem is that they both love to settle for minor awards, as they have combined to finish in the Trifecta twenty-two times, with only two victories between them (and Katy Drama's Win came via DQ; so she's never actually crossed the wire first in any race).
Now, if Myheartsinthecity and Katy Drama are far enough in front of the field in the stretch (as I expect them to be), then one of them will have to win. But as confident as I am that these two are the two best horses in this field, I have enough doubts about them both to put everyone else on the ticket as a "B" Selection.
RACE 9 - The San Diego (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Dortmund (ML 2-1)
# 6 California Chrome (ML 4-5)
B's
None
C's
RACE 7 - (F) The San Clemente (Grade 2) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Jade Princess (Morning Line 10-1)
# 10 Stays in Vegas (ML 5-2)
B's
# 1 Belvoir Bay (GB) (ML 4-1)
# 3 Be Mine (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Lady Valeur (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 9 Mokat (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 7 Sweet Queen (ML 20-1)
Jade Princess, trained by Bob Baffert, looked much improved last time out in her first try on the grass. Stays in Vegas, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, misses by just a head of being a career four-for-four on the turf, all at the Listed or Graded Stakes level.
Belvoir Bay (GB), trained by Peter Miller, makes her first start of 2016 after winning The Blue Norther by the length of the stretch back in December. Be Mine seems to be an equal match for Stays in Vegas, based upon how little has separated them at the wire in each of their last two races. I give the edge here to Stays in Vegas because I believe that Be Mine needs more distance in order to show her best.
Lady Valeur (Ire) could improve with the cutback in distance. Mokat is the only runner here with a Win over this turf course, and she missed by less than a length of winning the Grade 3 Jimmy Durantee here last Fall.
RACE 8 - (F) Clm $16k N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Myheartsinthecity (ML 9-2)
# 10 Katy Drama (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 B K Miss (ML 20-1)
# 3 Holidayincambodia (ML 6-1)
# 5 Ish (ML 5-1)
# 6 Push Girl (ML 20-1)
# 7 Papa's Maggie (ML 15-1)
# 8 Tooluckysupermoon (ML 12-1)
# 9 Warren's Super Cat (ML 12-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 2 Princess Kendra (ML 7-2)
Myheartsinthecity and Katy Drama look to me to be clearly the two best runners in this contest. The problem is that they both love to settle for minor awards, as they have combined to finish in the Trifecta twenty-two times, with only two victories between them (and Katy Drama's Win came via DQ; so she's never actually crossed the wire first in any race).
Now, if Myheartsinthecity and Katy Drama are far enough in front of the field in the stretch (as I expect them to be), then one of them will have to win. But as confident as I am that these two are the two best horses in this field, I have enough doubts about them both to put everyone else on the ticket as a "B" Selection.
RACE 9 - The San Diego (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Dortmund (ML 2-1)
# 6 California Chrome (ML 4-5)
B's
None
C's
# 7 Win the Space (ML 8-1)
Scratch # 1 Hard Aces (ML 8-1) and # 3 Soi Phet (ML 12-1)
Obviously, I'm not going to tell you anything about Dortmund or California Chrome that you don't already know. I'm also not going to try to split hairs trying to decide which of these two will run better today. As for Win the Space, I feel that he's worth taking a flyer on as a backup selection based upon his Place finish in the Grade 1 Gold Cup last month.
RACE 10 - (F) MSW - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 10 Sassy Ashley (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 6 Whistle Pretty (ML 5-1)
# 7 Lethal Legacy (ML 10-1)
# 7 Lethal Legacy (ML 10-1)
# 9 Shazara (ML 4-1)
Scratch # 12 Prevailing (ML 10-1) as well as the Also Eligibles, # 13 Onzaway (ML 3-1) and # 14 C. C. Zipp (ML 5-1)
Sassy Ahsley missed graduation by less than a length last time out at this class level. Whistle Pretty is a first time starter for Trainer Bob Hess Jr, who shows a positive ROI with such.
Lethal Legacy didn't show much in either of her prior tries against open (rather than state-bred) company; but Lethal Legacy does seem to be significantly improved since joining the barn of Trainer Tim Yakteen. Shazara has taken the Show at this class level in each of her prior three starts, all on the main track.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5,10 with 4,10 with 2,6 with 10 $8.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,3,5,10 with ALL with 2,6 with 10 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,9 with 4,10 with 2,6 with 10 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 4,10 with 7 with 10 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 4,10 with 2,6 with 6,7,9 $12.00
Total: $62.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, July 17, 2016
7/17/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - The Sandy Blue - # 4 Barleysugar (Ire) (Final Odds 10.10) - No Selection
Race 8 - # 8 Chasing Aces (0.90*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - The Eddie Read - # 5 Midnight Storm (1.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 4 Kristi's Copilot (2.30*) - "B" Selection
We found The Eddie Read too difficult a race to figure out, so much so that we had to resort to hitting the "ALL" button; but the betting public had no such problem, as they were able to discern the winner, in the form of the Post Time Favorite. Likewise with the juvenile maiden contest that preceded it, as we used three "A" Selections only to see the odds-on Favorite not just win, but set a new track record in the process.
In addition, it was a huge mistake on our part not having any piece at all of the opening leg winner, Barleysugar (Ire); as Barleysugar is the type of runner we often recommend: a European import that showed good early speed in his races across the pond. In the final tally this is a sequence I really wish that we could have back, as several unforced errors on our part made this a day for us to contribute instead of cash.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 4 / 8 / 5 / 4 were rewarded with a payout of $126.70 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - # 8 Chasing Aces (0.90*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - The Eddie Read - # 5 Midnight Storm (1.70*) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - # 4 Kristi's Copilot (2.30*) - "B" Selection
We found The Eddie Read too difficult a race to figure out, so much so that we had to resort to hitting the "ALL" button; but the betting public had no such problem, as they were able to discern the winner, in the form of the Post Time Favorite. Likewise with the juvenile maiden contest that preceded it, as we used three "A" Selections only to see the odds-on Favorite not just win, but set a new track record in the process.
In addition, it was a huge mistake on our part not having any piece at all of the opening leg winner, Barleysugar (Ire); as Barleysugar is the type of runner we often recommend: a European import that showed good early speed in his races across the pond. In the final tally this is a sequence I really wish that we could have back, as several unforced errors on our part made this a day for us to contribute instead of cash.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 4 / 8 / 5 / 4 were rewarded with a payout of $126.70 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/17/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview
The Sandy Blue and The Eddie Read are a pair of nine furlong turf stakes being featured at Del Mar on Sunday; and they've both managed to make their way onto the final four races on the card. So with that let's get to it, as we take a run at The Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 7 - (F) The Sandy Blue $75k - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Cheekaboo (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Riri (ML 7-2)
# 9 Nine Point Nine (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 11 Kay Kay (No Line)
We had no part of Cheekaboo when she lit up the Santa Anita tote board last time out by winning the Grade 2 Honeymoon at 23-1. How much of a class drop it is from that contest into this one is uncertain at this point; but it seems pretty clear that a repeat of that effort gets Cheekaboo back into the Winner's Circle today.
Riri makes her first start of 2016 for Trainer Phil D'Amato, who tends to do well when sending out runners coming off an extended vacation. Nine Point Nine looks to be the speed of this field, and could steal it on the front end.
RACE 8 - MSW - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Law Abidin Citizen (ML 3-1)
# 4 The All Button (ML 7-2)
# 8 Chasing Aces (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 7 Blame Joe (ML 12-1)
Law Abidin Citizen, The All Button, and Chasing Aces are all making their second career start after having finished in the Trifecta in their respective debuts. Blame Joe is a first time starter that has fallen into a tough field for one making their debut; but progeny of his sire, Blame, tend to do well at first asking, so maybe Blame Joe can pull the upset today.
RACE 9 - The Eddie Read (Grade 2) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Midnight Storm (ML 5-2)
# 6 Finnegans Wake (ML 6-1)
B's
# 1 Ashleyluvssugar (ML 6-1)
# 2 Flamboyant (Fr) (ML 9-2)
# 3 Texas Ryano (ML 15-1)
# 4 Si Sage (Fr) (ML 12-1)
# 7 Ohio (Brz) (ML 8-1)
# 8 Patentar (Fr) (ML 20-1)
# 9 Bolo (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Midnight Storm early; Finnegans Wake late. The "B's" are everyone else. God bless you if you know who's going to win this race, because I sure don't.
RACE 10 - Clm $16k N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Fans On the Run (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Motoring Around (ML 15-1)
# 4 Kristi's Copilot (ML 3-1)
# 11 Que Christoso (ML 5-1)
# 12 It's Just Bob (ML 6-1)
C's
# 6 Ballado's Banker (Arg) (ML 12-1)
# 7 Steel Plank (ML 15-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 13 What We Doing (ML 30-1) and # 14 Redneck Crazy (ML 10-1)
Fans On the Run adds the hood while taking a huge class drop, as Fans On the Run is not only going for a cheaper price tag, but is also going from open to conditioned claimers.
Motoring Around could improve with the cut back in distance. Kristi's Copilot should improve with the return to dirt. Que Chistoseo and It's Just Bob are taking big class drops, though I would say that their appearances against more expensive were just overly optimistic placings by their respective connections.
Ballado's Banker (Arg) showed good early speed last time out, which was last August. Note that Trainer Mike Puype has had some success bringing runners back from an extended layoff. Steel Plank may move forward with the change in surface.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 1,4,8 with 5,6 with 3 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,4,8 with ALL with 1,3,4,11,12 $67.50
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,9 with 1,4,8 with 5,6 with 3 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 7 with 5,6 with 3 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,4,8 with 5,6 with 6,7 $6.00
Total: $86.50
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 7 - (F) The Sandy Blue $75k - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Cheekaboo (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Riri (ML 7-2)
# 9 Nine Point Nine (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 11 Kay Kay (No Line)
We had no part of Cheekaboo when she lit up the Santa Anita tote board last time out by winning the Grade 2 Honeymoon at 23-1. How much of a class drop it is from that contest into this one is uncertain at this point; but it seems pretty clear that a repeat of that effort gets Cheekaboo back into the Winner's Circle today.
Riri makes her first start of 2016 for Trainer Phil D'Amato, who tends to do well when sending out runners coming off an extended vacation. Nine Point Nine looks to be the speed of this field, and could steal it on the front end.
RACE 8 - MSW - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Law Abidin Citizen (ML 3-1)
# 4 The All Button (ML 7-2)
# 8 Chasing Aces (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 7 Blame Joe (ML 12-1)
Law Abidin Citizen, The All Button, and Chasing Aces are all making their second career start after having finished in the Trifecta in their respective debuts. Blame Joe is a first time starter that has fallen into a tough field for one making their debut; but progeny of his sire, Blame, tend to do well at first asking, so maybe Blame Joe can pull the upset today.
RACE 9 - The Eddie Read (Grade 2) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 5 Midnight Storm (ML 5-2)
# 6 Finnegans Wake (ML 6-1)
B's
# 1 Ashleyluvssugar (ML 6-1)
# 2 Flamboyant (Fr) (ML 9-2)
# 3 Texas Ryano (ML 15-1)
# 4 Si Sage (Fr) (ML 12-1)
# 7 Ohio (Brz) (ML 8-1)
# 8 Patentar (Fr) (ML 20-1)
# 9 Bolo (ML 3-1)
C's
None
Midnight Storm early; Finnegans Wake late. The "B's" are everyone else. God bless you if you know who's going to win this race, because I sure don't.
RACE 10 - Clm $16k N2L - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Fans On the Run (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Motoring Around (ML 15-1)
# 4 Kristi's Copilot (ML 3-1)
# 11 Que Christoso (ML 5-1)
# 12 It's Just Bob (ML 6-1)
C's
# 6 Ballado's Banker (Arg) (ML 12-1)
# 7 Steel Plank (ML 15-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles: # 13 What We Doing (ML 30-1) and # 14 Redneck Crazy (ML 10-1)
Fans On the Run adds the hood while taking a huge class drop, as Fans On the Run is not only going for a cheaper price tag, but is also going from open to conditioned claimers.
Motoring Around could improve with the cut back in distance. Kristi's Copilot should improve with the return to dirt. Que Chistoseo and It's Just Bob are taking big class drops, though I would say that their appearances against more expensive were just overly optimistic placings by their respective connections.
Ballado's Banker (Arg) showed good early speed last time out, which was last August. Note that Trainer Mike Puype has had some success bringing runners back from an extended layoff. Steel Plank may move forward with the change in surface.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 3 with 1,4,8 with 5,6 with 3 $6.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,4,8 with ALL with 1,3,4,11,12 $67.50
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,9 with 1,4,8 with 5,6 with 3 $6.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 7 with 5,6 with 3 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 3 with 1,4,8 with 5,6 with 6,7 $6.00
Total: $86.50
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:03 EDT / 5:03 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, July 16, 2016
7/16/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Results
Race 7 - # 12 Lucky Bryan (Final Odds 4.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 5 Morganite (8.70) - No Selection
Race 9 - The Yellow Ribbon - # 8 She's Not Here (9.20) - "C" Selection
Race 10 - # 7 Third Brigade (3.70) - No Selection
There was a reaffirmation of certain fundamental handicapping angles on display Saturday, as She's Not Here showed once again that a prior winner of a Graded Stakes is not to be underestimated in a renewal of the same event, regardless of what there recent form may show; while Third Brigade demonstrated why runners dropping in for a tag for the first time must always be respected. As regards our play, we were wise enough to leave Morning Line and Post Time Favorite # 6 Bundesliga (3.00*) off our tickets in the finale; but our failure to catch either winner of the two maiden races in the sequence doomed us to failure, and made Saturday a day for us to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 12 / 5 / 8 / 7 were rewarded with a payout of $1,136.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 8 - # 5 Morganite (8.70) - No Selection
Race 9 - The Yellow Ribbon - # 8 She's Not Here (9.20) - "C" Selection
Race 10 - # 7 Third Brigade (3.70) - No Selection
There was a reaffirmation of certain fundamental handicapping angles on display Saturday, as She's Not Here showed once again that a prior winner of a Graded Stakes is not to be underestimated in a renewal of the same event, regardless of what there recent form may show; while Third Brigade demonstrated why runners dropping in for a tag for the first time must always be respected. As regards our play, we were wise enough to leave Morning Line and Post Time Favorite # 6 Bundesliga (3.00*) off our tickets in the finale; but our failure to catch either winner of the two maiden races in the sequence doomed us to failure, and made Saturday a day for us to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 12 / 5 / 8 / 7 were rewarded with a payout of $1,136.60 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/16/16 Del Mar Pick Four - Preview
It's opening weekend for The Summer Meet at Del Mar. Sing it Bing!
Saturday's featured race is the Grade 2 Yellow Ribbon. We'll be taking a look at that contest below as we take a run at The Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 7 - OC 75k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 It's The Ice (GB) (Morning Line 7-2)
# 12 Lucky Bryan (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 5 Bombard (ML 5-1)
C's
# 6 Oscar Dominguez (Ire) (ML 20-1)
# 9 Chewy Round Town (Ire) (ML 20-1)
# 10 Lauren's Ladd (ML 8-1)
Scratch the two on the Also Eligible List: # 13 Free Rose (ML 10-1) and # 14 Mishegas (ML 15-1)
It's The Ice (GB) showed good early speed when graduating in his final race in Great Britain; such runners tend to do well when competing in the US. And, sure enough, It's The Ice has finished in the Trifecta in each of his North American contests.
Lucky Bryan has been within a length and a half of the winner at the wire in each of his last two races, both listed stakes. Bombard graduated last time out by beating Mr. Roary to the wire; Mr. Roary went on to win The Rainbow Stakes.
Oscar Dominguez (Ire) could be the one running best late. Chewy Round Town (Ire) makes his North American and turf debuts after having shown good early speed in his contests on the synthetics overseas. Lauren's Ladd seems to be rounding into top form; but the addition of blinkers is a concern, as it seems that Lauren's Ladd's improvement coincided with the removal of the hood.
RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Go Baby Run (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Champagne Room (ML 8-1)
# 3 Noted and Quoted (ML 3-1)
# 8 Holy Mosey (ML 8-1)
# 9 Lovely Linda (ML 15-1)
C's
None
These are juveniles, and Holy Mosey is the only experienced runner in the field, having twice competed at this class level. Holy Mosey took the Show in her debut.
Go Baby Run was sired by Smart Strike and is trained by Jerry Hollendorfer. Champagne Room had a sharp five furlong workout on the 7th. Noted and Quoted is trained by Bob Baffert. Lovely Linda had a sharp gate work on the 11th.
RACE 9 - (F) The Yellow Ribbon (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Nancy From Nairobi (GB) (ML 3-1)
B's
# 4 Prize Exhibit (GB) (ML 12-1)
# 9 Keri Belle (ML 8-1)
C's
# 6 Finest City (ML 7-2)
# 8 She's Not Here (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 5 Majestic Heat (ML 4-1)
Nancy From Nairobi (GB) won the Grade 2 Royal Heroine two starts back over several that will be competing against her again in this contest. Prize Exhibit (GB) is a Graded Stakes winner over this turf course. Keri Belle has been showing an improving form in her races this year.
Finest City flopped in her only prior try on the grass; but that was charging down the hill at Santa Anita, so this daughter of City Zip may take to a flat turf course. She's Not Here is the defending champ, having won this contest last year.
RACE 10 - Md $20k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Woodstock Memory (ML 8-1)
# 12 Alaskan Cruise (ML 5-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Chanito (ML 20-1)
# 9 Olimpo's Scat Cat (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 1 Hoosier Road (ML 9-2)
Woodstock Memory drops in class and cuts back in distance for his second career start. Alaskan Cruise drops in for the lowest tag in what will be his seventh career start. Alaskan Cruise has finished in the Trifecta against more expensive stock.
Chanito, who has taken the Show at this class level two and three starts back, is out to prove that the twenty-fifth time is the charm. Olimpio's Scat Cat ships in from Arizona, where he twice took the Show.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,12 with 6 with 2 with 5,12 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,5,12 with 1,3,6,8,9 with 2,4,9 with 5,12 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6,9,10 with 6 with 2 with 5,12 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,12 with 6 with 6,8 with 5,12 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 2,12 with 6 with 2 with 2,9 $2.00
Total: $58.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:10 EDT / 5:10 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday's featured race is the Grade 2 Yellow Ribbon. We'll be taking a look at that contest below as we take a run at The Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 7 - OC 75k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 It's The Ice (GB) (Morning Line 7-2)
# 12 Lucky Bryan (ML 9-2)
B’s
# 5 Bombard (ML 5-1)
C's
# 6 Oscar Dominguez (Ire) (ML 20-1)
# 9 Chewy Round Town (Ire) (ML 20-1)
# 10 Lauren's Ladd (ML 8-1)
Scratch the two on the Also Eligible List: # 13 Free Rose (ML 10-1) and # 14 Mishegas (ML 15-1)
It's The Ice (GB) showed good early speed when graduating in his final race in Great Britain; such runners tend to do well when competing in the US. And, sure enough, It's The Ice has finished in the Trifecta in each of his North American contests.
Lucky Bryan has been within a length and a half of the winner at the wire in each of his last two races, both listed stakes. Bombard graduated last time out by beating Mr. Roary to the wire; Mr. Roary went on to win The Rainbow Stakes.
Oscar Dominguez (Ire) could be the one running best late. Chewy Round Town (Ire) makes his North American and turf debuts after having shown good early speed in his contests on the synthetics overseas. Lauren's Ladd seems to be rounding into top form; but the addition of blinkers is a concern, as it seems that Lauren's Ladd's improvement coincided with the removal of the hood.
RACE 8 - (F) MSW - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Go Baby Run (ML 4-1)
B's
# 1 Champagne Room (ML 8-1)
# 3 Noted and Quoted (ML 3-1)
# 8 Holy Mosey (ML 8-1)
# 9 Lovely Linda (ML 15-1)
C's
None
These are juveniles, and Holy Mosey is the only experienced runner in the field, having twice competed at this class level. Holy Mosey took the Show in her debut.
Go Baby Run was sired by Smart Strike and is trained by Jerry Hollendorfer. Champagne Room had a sharp five furlong workout on the 7th. Noted and Quoted is trained by Bob Baffert. Lovely Linda had a sharp gate work on the 11th.
RACE 9 - (F) The Yellow Ribbon (Grade 2) - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 2 Nancy From Nairobi (GB) (ML 3-1)
B's
# 4 Prize Exhibit (GB) (ML 12-1)
# 9 Keri Belle (ML 8-1)
C's
# 6 Finest City (ML 7-2)
# 8 She's Not Here (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 5 Majestic Heat (ML 4-1)
Nancy From Nairobi (GB) won the Grade 2 Royal Heroine two starts back over several that will be competing against her again in this contest. Prize Exhibit (GB) is a Graded Stakes winner over this turf course. Keri Belle has been showing an improving form in her races this year.
Finest City flopped in her only prior try on the grass; but that was charging down the hill at Santa Anita, so this daughter of City Zip may take to a flat turf course. She's Not Here is the defending champ, having won this contest last year.
RACE 10 - Md $20k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Woodstock Memory (ML 8-1)
# 12 Alaskan Cruise (ML 5-1)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Chanito (ML 20-1)
# 9 Olimpo's Scat Cat (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 1 Hoosier Road (ML 9-2)
Woodstock Memory drops in class and cuts back in distance for his second career start. Alaskan Cruise drops in for the lowest tag in what will be his seventh career start. Alaskan Cruise has finished in the Trifecta against more expensive stock.
Chanito, who has taken the Show at this class level two and three starts back, is out to prove that the twenty-fifth time is the charm. Olimpio's Scat Cat ships in from Arizona, where he twice took the Show.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 2,12 with 6 with 2 with 5,12 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,5,12 with 1,3,6,8,9 with 2,4,9 with 5,12 $45.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6,9,10 with 6 with 2 with 5,12 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 2,12 with 6 with 6,8 with 5,12 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 2,12 with 6 with 2 with 2,9 $2.00
Total: $58.00
Post Time for Race 7 is 8:10 EDT / 5:10 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, July 10, 2016
7/10/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 1 Klimt (Final Odds 2.10*) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 9 Candy Promises (1.30*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Tribal Fighter (1.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 3 Power Jam (1.40*) - "A" Selection
Sequences don't get much more formful than that. Looks like the betting public finally has it figured out; just in time for the curtain to drop and for the show to move onto the next venue.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other three runners to which we were alive in the finale:
# 1 Distinctive B (11.80) - $158.25 Finish: 9th
# 4 Rocket Fuel (5.60) - $67.30 Finish: 2nd
# 5 Alright Alright (11.70) - $121.30 Finish: 10th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Pick Four sequence of 1 / 9 / 1 / 3 which paid $44.50 for a fifty cent wager. Since our investment was $61.50, we cash at a loss; and while that definitely beats not cashing at all, it certainly isn’t what we had in mind when we placed our wagers.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 9 Candy Promises (1.30*) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 1 Tribal Fighter (1.00*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 3 Power Jam (1.40*) - "A" Selection
Sequences don't get much more formful than that. Looks like the betting public finally has it figured out; just in time for the curtain to drop and for the show to move onto the next venue.
For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other three runners to which we were alive in the finale:
# 1 Distinctive B (11.80) - $158.25 Finish: 9th
# 4 Rocket Fuel (5.60) - $67.30 Finish: 2nd
# 5 Alright Alright (11.70) - $121.30 Finish: 10th
But that's what might have been. What actually came to be was a correct Pick Four sequence of 1 / 9 / 1 / 3 which paid $44.50 for a fifty cent wager. Since our investment was $61.50, we cash at a loss; and while that definitely beats not cashing at all, it certainly isn’t what we had in mind when we placed our wagers.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/10/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
Sunday marks the final day of the current Santa Anita meet; and it looks like everyone is trying to get out of town quick, as all of the races on the card are one turn sprints. So let's get moving ourselves, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 10 Bourque (Morning Line 6-1)
B's
# 1 Klimt (ML 4-1)
# 2 Ky. Colonel (ML 4-1)
# 3 Aqua Frio (ML 7-2)
C's
# 6 Tell Me a Story (ML 6-1)
# 11 Mystic Kid (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 9 Beantown Boys (No Line)
These are juvenile runners; no one in this field has more than one career start. Bourque and Aqua Frio both took the Place in their respective debuts; I give the edge to Bourque because runners trained by Doug O'Neill are more likely to move forward in their second start than those trained by Blaine Wright.
Klimt didn't show much in his debut, when he left the gate as the Post Time Favorite; but Klimt gets the rail this time out, and he seems to be quick enough to make that work to his advantage. Ky. Colonel had a monster work back on June 25; first time starters don't usually win for Trainer Richard Mandella, but perhaps Ky. Colonel will prove to be the exception.
Tell Me a Story is a first time starter sired by Telling, whose debuting progeny have been doing well (in a small sample size). Mystic Kid is trained by Robertino Diodoro, who tends to do well with first time starters.
RACE 7 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Candy Promises (ML 2-1)
B's
# 3 David's Memory (ML 12-1)
# 7 Blue Navy Blue (ML 7-2)
C's
RACE 6 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 10 Bourque (Morning Line 6-1)
B's
# 1 Klimt (ML 4-1)
# 2 Ky. Colonel (ML 4-1)
# 3 Aqua Frio (ML 7-2)
C's
# 6 Tell Me a Story (ML 6-1)
# 11 Mystic Kid (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 9 Beantown Boys (No Line)
These are juvenile runners; no one in this field has more than one career start. Bourque and Aqua Frio both took the Place in their respective debuts; I give the edge to Bourque because runners trained by Doug O'Neill are more likely to move forward in their second start than those trained by Blaine Wright.
Klimt didn't show much in his debut, when he left the gate as the Post Time Favorite; but Klimt gets the rail this time out, and he seems to be quick enough to make that work to his advantage. Ky. Colonel had a monster work back on June 25; first time starters don't usually win for Trainer Richard Mandella, but perhaps Ky. Colonel will prove to be the exception.
Tell Me a Story is a first time starter sired by Telling, whose debuting progeny have been doing well (in a small sample size). Mystic Kid is trained by Robertino Diodoro, who tends to do well with first time starters.
RACE 7 - MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Candy Promises (ML 2-1)
B's
# 3 David's Memory (ML 12-1)
# 7 Blue Navy Blue (ML 7-2)
C's
# 4 Pee Wee Reese (ML 4-1)
# 6 Lovely Anzi (ML 3-1)
Scratch # 1 Awe So Special (ML 30-1) and # 5 King of Leon (Arg) (ML 30-1)
As opposed to Race 6, these are older runners, three years old and upward. Candy Promises missed graduation by just a nose at this class level last time out. Blue Navy Blue took the Place in his debut at this class level. Blue Navy Blue has taken the Place charging down the hill in each of his last two starts, despite not having much turf breeding in his pedigree; so perhaps Blue Navy Blue improves with the return to dirt.
Speaking of turf pedigree, David's Memory is a debut runner sired by Vronsky out of an Unusual Heat dam; so why not save this runner for the Del Mar grass? My guess is that David's Memory has been working well enough on the dirt for Trainer Hector Palma (who tends to do well with first time runners) that it was decided to see what David's Memory can do on the main track.
Pee Wee Reese and Lovely Anzi are both making the jump up in class from state bred restricted to open company. Lovely Anzi ran well last time out in his second career start, while Pee Wee Reese has been working well in the AM for Trainer Phil D'Amato.
RACE 8 - [S] OC 20k/C - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Tribal Fighter (ML 8-5)
B’s
# 3 Follini (ML 9-5)
C's
# 4 Boy Howdy (ML 2-1)
# 7 Tiz Love (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 5 Foxy Lover (NL)
Tribal Fighter faces winners for the first time after graduating by daylight last time out. Follini won the speed duel but lost the race last time out; perhaps Follini improves with the reduction in real estate.
Boy Howdy won his debut last time out by a head. Tiz Love has been working well of late as he returns to action after spending close to eleven months on the bench.
RACE 9 - OC 40k/C - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Power Jam (ML 5-2)
# 4 Rocket Fuel (ML 4-1)
# 5 Alright Alright (ML 6-1)
# 5 Alright Alright (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 1 Distinctive B (ML 12-1)
C's
# 6 Gutsy Ruler (ML 12-1)
# 7 One More Roll (ML 6-1)
# 8 Papa Turf (ML 12-1)
# 7 One More Roll (ML 6-1)
# 8 Papa Turf (ML 12-1)
Power Jam missed victory by just a nose at this class level last time out. Rocket Fuel may not have appreciated having to break on the rail last time out. Alright Alright has been working well for this, his return to competition after a layoff of over a year and a half.
Distinctive B was within two lengths of the winner at the wire at this class level last time out. Gutsy Ruler took the Show at this class level two starts back. One More Roll took the Show at this class level last time out. Papa Turf should be closer to the leaders early with the class drop.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 10 with 9 with 1 with 3,4,5 $3.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,10 with 3,7,9 with 1,3 with 1,3,4,5 $48.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 6,11 with 9 with 1 with 3,4,5 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 4,6 with 1 with 3,4,5 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 9 with 4,7 with 3,4,5 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 10 with 9 with 1 with 6,7,8 $1.50
Total: $61.50
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:04 EDT / 4:04 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, July 9, 2016
7/9/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 2 Wildfire Kid (Final Odds 7.70) - "B" Selection
Race 7 - # 3 Minister'sadventure (3.00) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - The Santa Anita Juvenile - # 6 California Diamond (6.60) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 3 Boone Docks (3.20) - No Selection
We were correct to spread against Morning Line and Post Time Favorite # 6 Navy Hymn (0.60*) in the opening leg, as he could do no better than fourth today; and we were correct to hit the "ALL" button for the Santa Anita Juvenile, as I see no other logical way that we would have ended up on the winner, California Diamond, who was the second longest price on the board. But we were incorrect in our assessment of Races 7 and 9; and for that reason today was a day for us to contribute instead of cash.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 2 / 3 / 6 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $972.90 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 3 Minister'sadventure (3.00) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - The Santa Anita Juvenile - # 6 California Diamond (6.60) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - # 3 Boone Docks (3.20) - No Selection
We were correct to spread against Morning Line and Post Time Favorite # 6 Navy Hymn (0.60*) in the opening leg, as he could do no better than fourth today; and we were correct to hit the "ALL" button for the Santa Anita Juvenile, as I see no other logical way that we would have ended up on the winner, California Diamond, who was the second longest price on the board. But we were incorrect in our assessment of Races 7 and 9; and for that reason today was a day for us to contribute instead of cash.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 2 / 3 / 6 / 3 were rewarded with a payout of $972.90 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/9/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
We've made it to the final weekend of Santa Anita's "These Dates Used To Belong To Hollywood Park" Meet, and we've come to a card where the focus is on the juveniles. Saturday's featured events are The Landaluce and The Santa Anita Juvenile, the latter of which we will be looking at below as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - Hcp 16000s - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Navy Hymn (Morning Line 4-5)
B’s
# 2 Wildfire Kid (ML 10-1)
# 3 Too Fast to Pass (ML 5-2)
C's
# 4 Justonemorething (ML 15-1)
# 7 Sacred Ovation (ML 7-2)
Note for future reference that there are no career Win restrictions on this contest. Any runner that has started for a claiming price of $16k or less since March 1, 2015 (a little over sixteen months ago) is eligible to run in this race.
Navy Hymn is the type of horse that I may look back on later and wonder why I didn't just use him as a single. Navy Hymn defeated much classier competition last time out by nearly five lengths. Navy Hymn has yet to finish out of the Exacta in eight career starts, and he is a perfect five-for-five in his career on the Santa Anita main track. So why isn't Navy Hymn a single here?
Well, of the three loses that Navy Hymn has experienced in his career, two were today's distance. In addition, this will be Navy Hymn's first start against older horses. Now it's quite possible that once this race is over it will look rather silly that we tried to beat this runner; but right now I think it's worth spreading a bit in this leg, especially since Navy Hymn is almost certain to go off at a ridiculously low price.
Wildfire Kid took the Place behind Too Fast to Pass last time out, and could improve with the cutback in distance. Too Fast to Pass won by over five lengths last time out, and today goes first off the claim for Trainer Peter Miller, who wins with about a third of such.
Justonemorething could be the one running best late. Sacred Ovation should run well off the freshening, and Trainer Kristin Mulhall tends to do well when sending out last out winners.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Savannah Sky (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Big Break (ML 4-1)
C's
# 3 Minster'sadventure (ML 3-1)
# 5 Melanistic (ML 5-1)
Savannah Sky has finished in the Trifecta in each of his last three starts at this class level, with a series of steadily improving performances. Big Break took the Show against more expensive two starts back, and could be speed on the rail. Minster'sadventure and Melanistic were just a nose apart at the wire last time out while taking the Place and Show, respectively, at this class level.
RACE 8 - The Santa Anita Juvenile $125k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Green With Eddie (ML 3-1)
# 3 Secret House (ML 3-1)
B's
# 1 Rebel War (ML 12-1)
# 4 Silver Assault (ML 5-2)
# 5 Right Hand Man (ML 7-2)
# 6 California Diamond (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Each of these runners has exactly one career start; and, with the exception of Rebel War, each of these runners won their respective debuts by daylight. Trainer Doug O'Neill has expressed a great deal of confidence in his two runners (Green With Eddie and Secret House) so they're our "A" Selections. The "B's" are the rest of the field, because my opinion is that anyone can win this race.
RACE 9 - Clm $25k N2L - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Chasintheaces (ML 2-1)
# 7 Gramsson (ML 5-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Unbridled Rocket (ML 8-1)
# 6 Woody's Folly (ML 4-1)
Chasintheaces took the Show at this class level last time out. Gramsson could be cycling up to a big number. Unbridled Rocket took the Show against unconditioned $25k claimers two and three starts back; perhaps he can return to that level. Woody's Folly gets some class relief, as well as a turn back in distance.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: : 6 with 4 with 2,3 with 5,7 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,6 with 1,4 with ALL with 5,7 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,7 with 4 with 2,3 with 5,7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 3,5 with 2,3 with 5,7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 4 with 2,3 with 1,6 $2.00
Total: $50.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:04 EDT / 4:04 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
RACE 6 - Hcp 16000s - Five Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Navy Hymn (Morning Line 4-5)
B’s
# 2 Wildfire Kid (ML 10-1)
# 3 Too Fast to Pass (ML 5-2)
C's
# 4 Justonemorething (ML 15-1)
# 7 Sacred Ovation (ML 7-2)
Note for future reference that there are no career Win restrictions on this contest. Any runner that has started for a claiming price of $16k or less since March 1, 2015 (a little over sixteen months ago) is eligible to run in this race.
Navy Hymn is the type of horse that I may look back on later and wonder why I didn't just use him as a single. Navy Hymn defeated much classier competition last time out by nearly five lengths. Navy Hymn has yet to finish out of the Exacta in eight career starts, and he is a perfect five-for-five in his career on the Santa Anita main track. So why isn't Navy Hymn a single here?
Well, of the three loses that Navy Hymn has experienced in his career, two were today's distance. In addition, this will be Navy Hymn's first start against older horses. Now it's quite possible that once this race is over it will look rather silly that we tried to beat this runner; but right now I think it's worth spreading a bit in this leg, especially since Navy Hymn is almost certain to go off at a ridiculously low price.
Wildfire Kid took the Place behind Too Fast to Pass last time out, and could improve with the cutback in distance. Too Fast to Pass won by over five lengths last time out, and today goes first off the claim for Trainer Peter Miller, who wins with about a third of such.
Justonemorething could be the one running best late. Sacred Ovation should run well off the freshening, and Trainer Kristin Mulhall tends to do well when sending out last out winners.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Savannah Sky (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Big Break (ML 4-1)
C's
# 3 Minster'sadventure (ML 3-1)
# 5 Melanistic (ML 5-1)
Savannah Sky has finished in the Trifecta in each of his last three starts at this class level, with a series of steadily improving performances. Big Break took the Show against more expensive two starts back, and could be speed on the rail. Minster'sadventure and Melanistic were just a nose apart at the wire last time out while taking the Place and Show, respectively, at this class level.
RACE 8 - The Santa Anita Juvenile $125k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 2 Green With Eddie (ML 3-1)
# 3 Secret House (ML 3-1)
B's
# 1 Rebel War (ML 12-1)
# 4 Silver Assault (ML 5-2)
# 5 Right Hand Man (ML 7-2)
# 6 California Diamond (ML 4-1)
C's
None
Each of these runners has exactly one career start; and, with the exception of Rebel War, each of these runners won their respective debuts by daylight. Trainer Doug O'Neill has expressed a great deal of confidence in his two runners (Green With Eddie and Secret House) so they're our "A" Selections. The "B's" are the rest of the field, because my opinion is that anyone can win this race.
RACE 9 - Clm $25k N2L - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Chasintheaces (ML 2-1)
# 7 Gramsson (ML 5-1)
B’s
None
C's
# 1 Unbridled Rocket (ML 8-1)
# 6 Woody's Folly (ML 4-1)
Chasintheaces took the Show at this class level last time out. Gramsson could be cycling up to a big number. Unbridled Rocket took the Show against unconditioned $25k claimers two and three starts back; perhaps he can return to that level. Woody's Folly gets some class relief, as well as a turn back in distance.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: : 6 with 4 with 2,3 with 5,7 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,6 with 1,4 with ALL with 5,7 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4,7 with 4 with 2,3 with 5,7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 3,5 with 2,3 with 5,7 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 4 with 2,3 with 1,6 $2.00
Total: $50.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:04 EDT / 4:04 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Monday, July 4, 2016
7/4/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 2 Dynamite Charge (Final Odds 8.10) - No Selection
Race 7 - # 2 My Fiona (5.70) - No Selection
Race 8 - The Thor's Echo - # 6 Mrazek (1.40*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Junior Gilliam (19.90) - "B" Selection
We only had to go three deep on our big ticket in the finale to catch a near 20-1 shot; good for us! And while having the Post Time Favorite as an "A" Selection in the featured eighth race may not look impressive, take note that Mrazek was actually fourth choice (in a six horse field) on the Morning Line. Unfortunately for us it was all for naught, as we had no part of either of the first half winners; thus making this a day for us to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 2 / 2 / 6 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $1,942.75 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 2 My Fiona (5.70) - No Selection
Race 8 - The Thor's Echo - # 6 Mrazek (1.40*) - "A" Selection
Race 9 - # 5 Junior Gilliam (19.90) - "B" Selection
We only had to go three deep on our big ticket in the finale to catch a near 20-1 shot; good for us! And while having the Post Time Favorite as an "A" Selection in the featured eighth race may not look impressive, take note that Mrazek was actually fourth choice (in a six horse field) on the Morning Line. Unfortunately for us it was all for naught, as we had no part of either of the first half winners; thus making this a day for us to contribute instead of collect.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 2 / 2 / 6 / 5 were rewarded with a payout of $1,942.75 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/4/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
"I have never had a feeling politically that did not spring from the sentiments embodied in the Declaration of Independence. I have often pondered over the dangers which were incurred by the men who assembled here, and framed and adopted that Declaration of Independence. I have pondered over the toils that were endured by the officers and soldiers of the army who achieved that Independence. I have often inquired of myself what great principle or idea it was that kept this Confederacy so long together. It was not the mere matter of the separation of the Colonies from the motherland; but that sentiment in the Declaration of Independence which gave liberty, not alone to the people of this country, but, I hope, to the world, for all future time. It was that which gave promise that in due time the weight would be lifted from the shoulders of all men. This is the sentiment embodied in that Declaration of Independence." - President Abraham Lincoln
Happy Independence Day, America! Hopefully everyone has been enjoying this extended holiday weekend, and hopefully that enjoyment will be extended throughout today. For me, a large part of that enjoyment will be playing the card at Santa Anita; a card which has a final four selection of races that includes a stakes for California bred runners, as well as a contest featuring debuting juvenile fillies. So with that let's get to it, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Auntjenn (Morning Line 6-1)
# 10 Light of the Moon (ML 3-1)
B's
# 1 Lady Sophia (ML 20-1)
C's
# 3 Adorable (ML 5-2)
All entrants in this contest are juvenile fillies making their first ever start; so what do you look for? For me, I look primarily for sires whose progeny tend to win at first asking; trainers that tend to be successful with first out runners; and a workout pattern devoid of significant gaps. That's the criteria that guided the above four selections.
Auntjenn, trained by Kristin Mulhall, was sired by Uncle Mo. Light of the Moon, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, was sired by Malibu Moon. Light of the Moon's morning workouts at Los Alamitos have been especially notable.
Lady Sophia, trained by Victor Garcia, was sired by Eskendereya. Adorable, trained by Bob Baffert, was sired by Smart Strike. Adorable was a borderline choice between a "B" and "C" Selection, as the gap between the May 16 and June 6 work may be a cause for concern that she may not yet be in peak condition. Or it may just mean that the clockers missed one.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Revenue Virginius (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 6 Be a Lady (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Discatsonthesquare (ML 7-2)
# 7 Instant Drama (ML 10-1)
Revenue Virginius was victorious at this class level three starts back. Be a Lady missed victory by less than a length at this class level last time out.
Discatsonthesquare has proven to be competitive at this class level, but also seems to have become content with minor awards. Instant Drama may be rounding into form.
RACE 8 - [S] The Thor's Echo $100k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Raised a Secret (ML 2-1)
# 6 Mrazek (ML 4-1)
B's
# 3 Forest Chatter (ML 5- 2)
# 5 Magic Mark (ML 7-2)
C's
# 2 Love My Bud (ML 8-1)
# 4 Nardo (ML 6-1)
Raised a Secret and Mrazek both have state bred restricted stakes wins on their respective resumes, and both have recently hit the board against Graded Stakes competition. Forest Chatter moves over from the downhill turf course to the main track; judging by his recent workouts, Forest Chatter should have no problem with the surface switch.
Magic Mark won the state bred restricted Bertrando last time out. Nardo defeated open (non-state bred restricted company) last time out. Love My Bud is on the ticket because everyone else in this contest is.
RACE 9 - [S] Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Worldwide (ML 8-5)
B's
# 5 Junior Gilliam (ML 6-1)
# 6 Elkhorn Crown (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Woodie B Awesome (ML 12-1)
# 2 Martini Up (ML 20-1)
# 3 Atomic Action (ML 8-1)
Worldwide has yet to finish out of the Trifecta in six career starts; the concern, then, is why hasn't Worldwide won yet? Junior Gilliam showed nothing in his debut, but that was last October, on synthetic, against open, non-claiming maidens; so perhaps it's best to just toss that effort. Elkhorn Crown showed good early speed in his debut last time out while taking the Place behind a next out winner.
Woodie B Awesome drops in from the non-claiming state bred maiden ranks for the first time. Martini Up and Atomic Action are first time starters by sires whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5,10 with 4 with 1,6 with 9 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,5,10 with 4,6 with 1,3,5,6 with 5,6,9 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3 with 4 with 1,6 with 9 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 1,7 with 1,6 with 9 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 4 with 2,4 with 9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 4 with 1,6 with 1,2,3 $6.00
Total: $53.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:02 EDT / 4:02 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Happy Independence Day, America! Hopefully everyone has been enjoying this extended holiday weekend, and hopefully that enjoyment will be extended throughout today. For me, a large part of that enjoyment will be playing the card at Santa Anita; a card which has a final four selection of races that includes a stakes for California bred runners, as well as a contest featuring debuting juvenile fillies. So with that let's get to it, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - (F) MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Auntjenn (Morning Line 6-1)
# 10 Light of the Moon (ML 3-1)
B's
# 1 Lady Sophia (ML 20-1)
C's
# 3 Adorable (ML 5-2)
All entrants in this contest are juvenile fillies making their first ever start; so what do you look for? For me, I look primarily for sires whose progeny tend to win at first asking; trainers that tend to be successful with first out runners; and a workout pattern devoid of significant gaps. That's the criteria that guided the above four selections.
Auntjenn, trained by Kristin Mulhall, was sired by Uncle Mo. Light of the Moon, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer, was sired by Malibu Moon. Light of the Moon's morning workouts at Los Alamitos have been especially notable.
Lady Sophia, trained by Victor Garcia, was sired by Eskendereya. Adorable, trained by Bob Baffert, was sired by Smart Strike. Adorable was a borderline choice between a "B" and "C" Selection, as the gap between the May 16 and June 6 work may be a cause for concern that she may not yet be in peak condition. Or it may just mean that the clockers missed one.
RACE 7 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Revenue Virginius (ML 2-1)
B’s
# 6 Be a Lady (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Discatsonthesquare (ML 7-2)
# 7 Instant Drama (ML 10-1)
Revenue Virginius was victorious at this class level three starts back. Be a Lady missed victory by less than a length at this class level last time out.
Discatsonthesquare has proven to be competitive at this class level, but also seems to have become content with minor awards. Instant Drama may be rounding into form.
RACE 8 - [S] The Thor's Echo $100k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Raised a Secret (ML 2-1)
# 6 Mrazek (ML 4-1)
B's
# 3 Forest Chatter (ML 5- 2)
# 5 Magic Mark (ML 7-2)
C's
# 2 Love My Bud (ML 8-1)
# 4 Nardo (ML 6-1)
Raised a Secret and Mrazek both have state bred restricted stakes wins on their respective resumes, and both have recently hit the board against Graded Stakes competition. Forest Chatter moves over from the downhill turf course to the main track; judging by his recent workouts, Forest Chatter should have no problem with the surface switch.
Magic Mark won the state bred restricted Bertrando last time out. Nardo defeated open (non-state bred restricted company) last time out. Love My Bud is on the ticket because everyone else in this contest is.
RACE 9 - [S] Md $50k - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 9 Worldwide (ML 8-5)
B's
# 5 Junior Gilliam (ML 6-1)
# 6 Elkhorn Crown (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Woodie B Awesome (ML 12-1)
# 2 Martini Up (ML 20-1)
# 3 Atomic Action (ML 8-1)
Worldwide has yet to finish out of the Trifecta in six career starts; the concern, then, is why hasn't Worldwide won yet? Junior Gilliam showed nothing in his debut, but that was last October, on synthetic, against open, non-claiming maidens; so perhaps it's best to just toss that effort. Elkhorn Crown showed good early speed in his debut last time out while taking the Place behind a next out winner.
Woodie B Awesome drops in from the non-claiming state bred maiden ranks for the first time. Martini Up and Atomic Action are first time starters by sires whose progeny tend to do well at first asking.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 5,10 with 4 with 1,6 with 9 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,5,10 with 4,6 with 1,3,5,6 with 5,6,9 $36.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 3 with 4 with 1,6 with 9 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 1,7 with 1,6 with 9 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 4 with 2,4 with 9 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 5,10 with 4 with 1,6 with 1,2,3 $6.00
Total: $53.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:02 EDT / 4:02 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Sunday, July 3, 2016
7/3/16 Woodbine Pick Five - Preview
“There are no limits to the majestic future which lies before the mighty expanse of Canada with its virile, aspiring, cultured, and generous-hearted people.” - Sir Winston Churchill
As the US is celebrating its Independence Day Holiday weekend, Canada is celebrating their Canada Day Holiday weekend; and with that weekend comes the renewal of the oldest continuously run stakes race in North America, The Queen's Plate. For the occasion, the good people in Toronto have put together a splendid Sunday card, which we will try to get the most from, as we take a run at The Pick Five at Woodbine Racetrack.
RACE 6 - The Charlie Barley $100k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Conquest Enforcer (Morning Line 2-1)
# 2 Hammers Vision (ML 4-1)
B's
# 7 Conquest Daddyo (ML 20-1)
# 10 Springhouse (ML 10-1)
C's
# 9 Uncle Guy (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 8 Sky Marshal (ML 15-1)
Conquest Enforcer returned to action with a career best effort last time out in his first start of 2016. Neither the switch back to the grass nor the added furlong should affect Conquest Enforcer today.
Hammers Vision missed victory in the Grade 3 Pennine Ridge by just a length last time out. Conquest Daddyo recent works suggest that he may return to the form that won him the Grade 2 Summer Stakes as a juvenile.
Springhouse looked sharp defeating older runners last time out. Uncle Guy may improve with a clean trip today.
RACE 7 - ALW N1X - Nine Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 1 Niigon's Turn / # 1A Nipigon (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 4 Macho Brew (ML 4-1)
Our single on the ticket is a double, as we take the entry; but our primary focus is on Nipigon, who missed at this class level by just a head last time out. Macho Brew was victorious each of the last two times that he competed on this main track, and Macho Brew's win two back was comfortable enough that he may be able to handle to rise in class.
RACE 8 - The Singspiel (Grade 3) - Twelve Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Aldous Snow (ML 5-2)
# 5 Generous Kitten (ML 8-5)
B's
# 2 Danish Dynaformer (ML 6-1)
# 6 Money Talker (ML 3-1)
# 7 Hardest Core (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Aldous Snow is the defending champ here, having won this event each of the last two years. Aldous Snow's victory last time out suggests that he should be in top form. Generous Kitten won by daylight over a next out winner in OC 62k/N2X company, and looks ready to make the leap into stakes competition.
Danish Dynaformer is a prior winner at today's distance, and he gets some much needed class relief here. Money Talker was just a half length behind Aldous Snow at the wire last time out. Hardest Core may be ready to return to the form that he showed two summers back when he won the Grade 1 Arlington Million.
RACE 9 - (F) The Dance Smartly (Grade 2) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Lexie Lou (ML 4-1)
# 5 Strut the Course (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Ball Dancing (ML 12-1)
# 11 Nakuti (Ire) (ML 20-1)
Lexie Lou won the Grade 2 Nassau over this turf course two starts back, hitting the wire a length in front of Strut the Course. The added distance of today's contest may favor the latter. Ball Dancing has recently been off form, but her back class must be respected. Nakuti's best North American effort came over this turf course; perhaps a return to these surroundings will revitalize her career.
RACE 10 - [R] The Queen's Plate $1000k - Ten Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 6 Shakhimat (ML 5-1)
# 10 Amis Gizmo (ML 3-1)
B's
# 3 All On Red (ML 12-1)
# 4 Leavem in Malibu (ML 7-2)
# 13 Gamble's Ghost (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Amis Gizmo and Shakhimat filled out the Exactor in The Plate Trial last time out, and the only question today is can they handle the added distance. All On Red looked sharp in his first try on the fake stuff last time out, and as a son of Hard Spun he should still be running at the wire.
Leavem in Malibu is on the ticket because everyone else likes him and I feel as if I must be missing something. Gamble's Ghost is the only filly in this field. Gamble's Ghost is also the only multiple Graded Stakes winner in this field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$0.40 P5: 1,2 with 1 with 1,5 with 3,5 with 6,10 $6.40
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P5: 1,2,7,10 with 1 with 1,2,5,6,7 with 3,5 with 3,4,6,10,13 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P5: 9 with 1 with 1,5 with 3,5 with 6,10 $1.60
$0.20 P5: 1,2 with 4 with 1,5 with 3,5 with 6,10 $3.20
$0.20 P5: 1,2 with 1 with 1,5 with 1,11 with 6,10 $3.20
Total: $54.40
Post Time for Race 6 is 2:53 EDT / 11:53 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
As the US is celebrating its Independence Day Holiday weekend, Canada is celebrating their Canada Day Holiday weekend; and with that weekend comes the renewal of the oldest continuously run stakes race in North America, The Queen's Plate. For the occasion, the good people in Toronto have put together a splendid Sunday card, which we will try to get the most from, as we take a run at The Pick Five at Woodbine Racetrack.
RACE 6 - The Charlie Barley $100k - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Conquest Enforcer (Morning Line 2-1)
# 2 Hammers Vision (ML 4-1)
B's
# 7 Conquest Daddyo (ML 20-1)
# 10 Springhouse (ML 10-1)
C's
# 9 Uncle Guy (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 8 Sky Marshal (ML 15-1)
Conquest Enforcer returned to action with a career best effort last time out in his first start of 2016. Neither the switch back to the grass nor the added furlong should affect Conquest Enforcer today.
Hammers Vision missed victory in the Grade 3 Pennine Ridge by just a length last time out. Conquest Daddyo recent works suggest that he may return to the form that won him the Grade 2 Summer Stakes as a juvenile.
Springhouse looked sharp defeating older runners last time out. Uncle Guy may improve with a clean trip today.
RACE 7 - ALW N1X - Nine Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 1 Niigon's Turn / # 1A Nipigon (ML 2-1)
B's
None
C's
# 4 Macho Brew (ML 4-1)
Our single on the ticket is a double, as we take the entry; but our primary focus is on Nipigon, who missed at this class level by just a head last time out. Macho Brew was victorious each of the last two times that he competed on this main track, and Macho Brew's win two back was comfortable enough that he may be able to handle to rise in class.
RACE 8 - The Singspiel (Grade 3) - Twelve Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Aldous Snow (ML 5-2)
# 5 Generous Kitten (ML 8-5)
B's
# 2 Danish Dynaformer (ML 6-1)
# 6 Money Talker (ML 3-1)
# 7 Hardest Core (ML 8-1)
C's
None
Aldous Snow is the defending champ here, having won this event each of the last two years. Aldous Snow's victory last time out suggests that he should be in top form. Generous Kitten won by daylight over a next out winner in OC 62k/N2X company, and looks ready to make the leap into stakes competition.
Danish Dynaformer is a prior winner at today's distance, and he gets some much needed class relief here. Money Talker was just a half length behind Aldous Snow at the wire last time out. Hardest Core may be ready to return to the form that he showed two summers back when he won the Grade 1 Arlington Million.
RACE 9 - (F) The Dance Smartly (Grade 2) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 3 Lexie Lou (ML 4-1)
# 5 Strut the Course (ML 5-2)
B's
None
C's
# 1 Ball Dancing (ML 12-1)
# 11 Nakuti (Ire) (ML 20-1)
Lexie Lou won the Grade 2 Nassau over this turf course two starts back, hitting the wire a length in front of Strut the Course. The added distance of today's contest may favor the latter. Ball Dancing has recently been off form, but her back class must be respected. Nakuti's best North American effort came over this turf course; perhaps a return to these surroundings will revitalize her career.
RACE 10 - [R] The Queen's Plate $1000k - Ten Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 6 Shakhimat (ML 5-1)
# 10 Amis Gizmo (ML 3-1)
B's
# 3 All On Red (ML 12-1)
# 4 Leavem in Malibu (ML 7-2)
# 13 Gamble's Ghost (ML 6-1)
C's
None
Amis Gizmo and Shakhimat filled out the Exactor in The Plate Trial last time out, and the only question today is can they handle the added distance. All On Red looked sharp in his first try on the fake stuff last time out, and as a son of Hard Spun he should still be running at the wire.
Leavem in Malibu is on the ticket because everyone else likes him and I feel as if I must be missing something. Gamble's Ghost is the only filly in this field. Gamble's Ghost is also the only multiple Graded Stakes winner in this field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$0.40 P5: 1,2 with 1 with 1,5 with 3,5 with 6,10 $6.40
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P5: 1,2,7,10 with 1 with 1,2,5,6,7 with 3,5 with 3,4,6,10,13 $40.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P5: 9 with 1 with 1,5 with 3,5 with 6,10 $1.60
$0.20 P5: 1,2 with 4 with 1,5 with 3,5 with 6,10 $3.20
$0.20 P5: 1,2 with 1 with 1,5 with 1,11 with 6,10 $3.20
Total: $54.40
Post Time for Race 6 is 2:53 EDT / 11:53 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Saturday, July 2, 2016
7/2/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Results
Race 6 - # 7 Seattle Boom (Final Odds 1.10*) - "A" Selection
Race 7 - # 3 Profound Visionary (5.60) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 4 To the Bar (5.40) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 8 Valentine Boy (25.10) - No Selection
While we had no part of either of the second half winners, our biggest mistake today may have come much earlier in the sequence; specifically in the opening leg, where we used five runners (four on our big ticket) just to bring home the 11-10 Favorite. Trying to beat legitimate Favorites just may be the quickest way to blow through your bankroll, a lesson we were taught once again today; because even though we had the winner of the opener on our tickets, spreading as wide as we did in that leg meant making our play more expensive than it needed to be, as well as denying us the opportunity to use additional runners in the more contentious races without going over budget.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 7 / 3 / 4 / 8 were rewarded with a payout of $1,343.95 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Race 7 - # 3 Profound Visionary (5.60) - "A" Selection
Race 8 - # 4 To the Bar (5.40) - No Selection
Race 9 - # 8 Valentine Boy (25.10) - No Selection
While we had no part of either of the second half winners, our biggest mistake today may have come much earlier in the sequence; specifically in the opening leg, where we used five runners (four on our big ticket) just to bring home the 11-10 Favorite. Trying to beat legitimate Favorites just may be the quickest way to blow through your bankroll, a lesson we were taught once again today; because even though we had the winner of the opener on our tickets, spreading as wide as we did in that leg meant making our play more expensive than it needed to be, as well as denying us the opportunity to use additional runners in the more contentious races without going over budget.
Oh well; onto the next race.
Meanwhile, those who had the correct Pick Four sequence of 7 / 3 / 4 / 8 were rewarded with a payout of $1,343.95 for their fifty cent wager. May God bless them as they spend their winnings.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
7/2/16 Santa Anita Late Pick Four - Preview
Saturday kicks off the three day Independence Day Holiday Weekend, and the featured race at Santa Anita is the Grade 3 Affirmed for three year olds. Unfortunately that event did not make its way into the final four races on the card. What we have instead is a quartet of contests for those bargain shopping for thoroughbreds, including $8k claimers and $20k non-winners ever. So with that let's just get to it, as we take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - Md $20k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Cheap O Charlie (Morning Line 8-1)
# 7 Seattle Boom (ML 2-1)
B's
# 1 Little Mustard (ML 5-2)
# 5 Rideo (ML 4-1)
C's
# 4 Regal Reign (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 8 Skookum Spirit (ML 5-1)
The only prior time that Cheap O Charlie donned the hood he took the Show at this class level. Yeah, it was a well beaten third; but it was also behind a next out winner. The prior race with the blinkers on was also one of the few in his career that Cheap O Charlie didn't experience a troubled trip; so perhaps he gets a smooth ride today.
Seattle Boom drops in for a tag for the first time in his career after disappointing in his last two tries as the Post Time Favorite. Little Mustard is another coming off two consecutive contests where he was the beaten Favorite; though Little Mustard's races were at this class level, as opposed to the non-claiming maidens that Seattle Boom was facing upstate.
Rideo makes his 2016 debut after having shown very little as a two year old; but Trainer Richard Mandella tends to be successful when bringing runners back from an extended vacation, and Rideo getting the juice for the first time certainly shouldn't hurt. Regal Reign returns to the class level at which he debuted, and could move forward with the added distance.
RACE 7 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Profound Visionary (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Where's Bubba (ML 8-1)
# 4 Night Badger (ML 6-1)
# 8 Angels Journey (ML 8-1)
C's
# 5 Boompa (ML 5-2)
# 9 Visibility (ML 9-2)
Profound Visionary just missed victory by a head at this class level last time out. Where's Bubba was less than a length away from the winner at the wire the last time that he competed at today's distance at this class level. Night Badger missed by just a nose at this class level two starts back.
Angels Journey took took the Show at this class level last time out, and could improve with the return to one turn racing. Boompa has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last three races; so the talent is there for Boompa, but perhaps not the desire. Visibility drops in class and adds the blinkers; in a contest without much speed, Visibility may be the one in control early.
RACE 8 - OC 25k/C - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Pioneerof the West (ML 4-1)
# 5 Rare Candy (ML 7-5)
B's
None
C's
RACE 6 - Md $20k - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Cheap O Charlie (Morning Line 8-1)
# 7 Seattle Boom (ML 2-1)
B's
# 1 Little Mustard (ML 5-2)
# 5 Rideo (ML 4-1)
C's
# 4 Regal Reign (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 8 Skookum Spirit (ML 5-1)
The only prior time that Cheap O Charlie donned the hood he took the Show at this class level. Yeah, it was a well beaten third; but it was also behind a next out winner. The prior race with the blinkers on was also one of the few in his career that Cheap O Charlie didn't experience a troubled trip; so perhaps he gets a smooth ride today.
Seattle Boom drops in for a tag for the first time in his career after disappointing in his last two tries as the Post Time Favorite. Little Mustard is another coming off two consecutive contests where he was the beaten Favorite; though Little Mustard's races were at this class level, as opposed to the non-claiming maidens that Seattle Boom was facing upstate.
Rideo makes his 2016 debut after having shown very little as a two year old; but Trainer Richard Mandella tends to be successful when bringing runners back from an extended vacation, and Rideo getting the juice for the first time certainly shouldn't hurt. Regal Reign returns to the class level at which he debuted, and could move forward with the added distance.
RACE 7 - Clm $12.5k N2L - Seven Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 Profound Visionary (ML 7-2)
B’s
# 1 Where's Bubba (ML 8-1)
# 4 Night Badger (ML 6-1)
# 8 Angels Journey (ML 8-1)
C's
# 5 Boompa (ML 5-2)
# 9 Visibility (ML 9-2)
Profound Visionary just missed victory by a head at this class level last time out. Where's Bubba was less than a length away from the winner at the wire the last time that he competed at today's distance at this class level. Night Badger missed by just a nose at this class level two starts back.
Angels Journey took took the Show at this class level last time out, and could improve with the return to one turn racing. Boompa has taken the Place at this class level in each of his last three races; so the talent is there for Boompa, but perhaps not the desire. Visibility drops in class and adds the blinkers; in a contest without much speed, Visibility may be the one in control early.
RACE 8 - OC 25k/C - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 1 Pioneerof the West (ML 4-1)
# 5 Rare Candy (ML 7-5)
B's
None
C's
# 6 Brave Act (ML 9-2)
The conditions for this one are pretty much your standard N1X but with one interesting wrinkle: runners which broke their maiden on a turf or synthetic track are eligible to run without a tag, regardless of how many career Wins they have. Personally, I'm surprised that, with that caveat, this race didn't draw more entrants, as it seems like a good contest to keep your turf horse in shape while waiting for Del Mar to open; or a possible soft spot for a runner upstate to grab a check if they've shown some ability to handle a dirt track. But it looks like only six will be leaving the starting gate for this one.
Pioneerof the West, who took the Show in the Grade 3 Sham last year, has been showing a steadily improving form in his 2016 starts. Rare Candy took the Place in the California Chrome two starts back. Brave Act is the only runner in this field besides Pioneerof the West with Win over this main track.
RACE 9 - Clm $8k - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Cant Do the Danse (ML 10-1)
B’s
# 3 Tribal Again (ML 7-2)
# 7 Lucky Shoes to Win (ML 4-1)
# 9 Misdeed (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Black Tie (ML 8-1)
# 2 Qatar's Pearl (ML 20-1)
# 11 The Gold Monkey (ML 10-1)
# 2 Qatar's Pearl (ML 20-1)
# 11 The Gold Monkey (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 4 Jonny's Choice (ML 5-2) and # 10 Bound for Heaven (ML 20-1). Bring in The Gold Monkey off the Also Eligible List.
Cant Do the Danse defeated more expensive three starts back, and (with the scratch of Bound for Heaven) could be the lone speed here. Tribal Again has finished in the Trifecta in six of his seven career tries at today's distance. Lucky Shoes to Win took the Show at this class level last time out.
Misdeed won by five lengths the last he routed on real dirt with blinkers off. Black Tie is trained by Rafael Becerra, whose runners tend to do well when going from sprints to routes. Qatar's Pearl has proven to be competitive at this class level, and should be an astronomical price. The Gold Monkey regains the services of Jockey Eddie Maldonado, who was on The Gold Monkey's back when he broke his maiden on this main track last year.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing our tickets in Crist fashion, we get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6,7 with 3 with 1,5 with 5 $4.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,5,6,7 with 1,3,4,8 with 1,5 with 3,5,7,9 $64.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4 with 3 with 1,5 with 5 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 6,7 with 5,9 with 1,5 with 5 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 6,7 with 3 with 6 with 5 $1.00
$0.50 P4: 6,7 with 3 with 1,5 with 1,2,11 $6.00
Total: $80.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 7:04 EDT / 4:04 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)