Saturday, May 29, 2021

5/29/21 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

"I have never been able to think of the day as one of mourning; I have never quite been able to feel that half-masted flags were appropriate on Decoration [Memorial] Day.  I have rather felt that the flag should be at the peak, because those whose dying we commemorate rejoiced in seeing it where their valor placed it.  We honor them in a joyous, thankful, triumphant commemoration of what they did." - Benjamin Harrison

It's Memorial Day (formerly Decoration Day) weekend in the USA, and the celebration includes a plethora of stakes being run over the next three days at Santa Anita.  Unfortunately, the Southern California stakes did not draw well; therefore I will be trying my luck today in the northern part of the state.  So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 6 - Clm $4k B - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 6 Mister Mojo (Morning Line 2-1)

B's

# 1 Olseau de Guerre (ML 8-5)
# 2 Ice Or Fire (ML 4-1)

C's

# 3 Gobsmack (ML 5-1)
# 4 Cash Limit (ML 20-1)
# 5 Manitou (ML 20-1)
# 7 Imperator (ML 10-1)

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race since March 1; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as an entrant has fewer than four career Wins, then they're eligible to run in this race.  If a runner has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come after the initial two months of 2021.  For the record Ice Or Fire, Manitou, and Imperator are the three entrants in this field with fewer than four career Wins.

Mister Mojo found his way back into the Winner's Circle last time out after a long absence, and a repeat of that performance should be enough to for Mister Mojo to get his picture taken again today (note that Mister Mojo's victory last time out was for a claiming price of under $3.5k, which is why it does not affect his eligibility to compete in this contest).  Olseau de Guerre could move up with the drop in class.

Ice Or Fire fits well at this class level, though Ice Or Fire does seem to settle for too many minor awards.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 7 - Clm $12.5k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 6 Proof of Jazz (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 1 Cold Brew Kelly (ML 6-1)
# 5 Northern Gem (ML 3-1)

C's

# 2 Malibu Jewel (ML 8-1)
# 3 Handcuffed (ML 20-1)
# 4 Made in Karoo (ML 2-1)
# 7 Where's Frankie (ML 8-1)

Proof of Jazz is the only run in this field that has multiple victories.  Cold Brew Kelly could be the one running best late.

Northern Gem took the Show at this class level last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 8 - (F) Alw 4000s - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 6 Whoa Nessie (ML 8-5)

B’s

# 4 Family Trips (ML 2-1)

C's

# 1 Back Beauty (ML 20-1)
# 2 Lady Chrome (ML 7-2)
# 5 Circulodeganadoras (ML 10-1)
# 7 Amba (ML 10-1)

Scratch # 3 Real Keeper (ML 8-1)

This is a pretty straight forward Starter Allowance, as far as conditions go, as any distaff runner that has started for a claiming price of $4k or less in 2018 or since is eligible to run here.

Whoa Nessie and Family Trips filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta versus slightly more expensive stock last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 9 - (F) Md $20k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 1 Nijah (ML 3-1)

B's

# 2 Itainteasybeingray (ML 2-1)
# 4 Quick Time (GB) (ML 4-1)
# 9 You're All Talk (ML 20-1)
# 10 Grazen Deb (ML 5-1)
# 11 Running Luck (ML 12-1)

C's

# 3 Princess Alma (ML 15-1)
# 5 Passionate Road (ML 10-1)
# 6 Life in Paradise (ML 20-1)
# 7 Wikolia (ML 50-1)
# 8 Clear Win (ML 20-1)

Nijah took the Place at this class level last time out.  Itainteasybeingray could move up with the drop in class as well as the return to the turf.  Quick Time (GB) is another that can be expected to improve with the class relief that she is receiving today.

You're All Talk took the Show at this class level two starts back.  Grazen Deb seems to have the breeding to do well when going around two turns.

Running Luck is trained by Jose Bautista, whose runners seem to do well when trying the turf for the first time.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 6 with 6 with 6 with 1 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,2,6 with 1,5,6 with 4,6 with 1,2,4,9,10,11 $54.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 3,4,5,7 with 6 with 6 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 2,3,4,7 with 6 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 6 with 1,2,5,7 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 6 with 6 with 3,5,6,7,8 $2.50

Total: $63.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 7:04 EDT / 4:04 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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