Friday, December 17, 2021

12/17/21 Remington Park Primetime Pick Four - Preview

"Our imagination is the only limit to what we can hope to have in the future." - Charles F. Kettering

It's Springboard Mile Day at Remington Park, and the fine folks in Oklahoma City have put together a wonderful program containing five stakes, featured among them the juvenile contest with Road to the Kentucky Derby points on the line.  So with that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Primetime Pick Four at Remington Park.

RACE 10 - (F) The She's All In $100k - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 Marion Francis (Morning Line 9-5)

B's

None

C's

# 1 My Bets (ML 12-1)
# 2 Lady Gwen (ML 20-1)
# 3 Island Hideaway (GB) (ML 12-1)
# 4 She's All Wolfe (ML 6-1)
# 5 Paige Anne (ML 5-1)
# 6 Casual (ML 2-1)
# 8 Content (ML 15-1)

Marion Francis ships in from Keeneland off a two month freshening for Trainer Brad Cox; and Marion Francis looks well meant here.  Well enough, in fact, that I'll be making Marion Francis my main ticket single.

For those without my confidence in Marion Francis, or who may just be shopping for a price, Island Hideaway (GB) is one that you may wish to consider.  Island Hideaway is making her first career start on real dirt in this contest; and while that would typically be a cause for concern, Island Hideaway does boast some solid main track workouts, and Trainer Karl Broberg tends to do well when moving his runners from turf to dirt.

Conversely, one that I personally would not put much faith in is the Steve Asmussen trained Casual.  Casual has disappointed in each of her last two contests as the Post Time Favorite.  Casual has also not visited the winner's circle since January 29 at Oaklawn, eight starts ago.  Finally, the last time Casual tried to go beyond seven furlongs was in last year's running of this event, when Casual ran out of gas before the wire and had to settle for fourth.  Mind you, I'm not saying that Casual can't win here; but at the low odds that Casual is expected to leave the gate, I'd just as soon let her beat me if she can.

So there you have it.  In this leg I'll be going one deep, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.

RACE 11 - (F) The Trapeze $100k - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 9 Golden Sights (ML 7-2)

B's

# 5 Ring Me Darling (ML 10-1)
# 7 Hits Pricey Legacy (ML 8-1)
# 12 Optionality (ML 5-1)

C's

# 1 Lilly's Bidness (ML 30-1)
# 2 Brodie Baby (ML 15-1)
# 4 Rollin Chrome (ML 20-1)
# 10 Morning Twilight (ML 10-1)
# 11 Diamonds N Aces (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 3 Point Two (ML 12-1); # 6 Park On the Nile (ML 3-1); and # 8 Holy Justice (ML 12-1)

Golden Sights graduated convincingly last time out at Keeneland, and Golden Sights is now part of the barn of Trainer Brad Cox.  Ring Me Darling was claimed for $50k last time out at Churchill Downs in a contest which saw Ring Me Darling win by daylight.  Ring Me Darling will be getting race day Lasix for the first time today, and that may help give her an extra boost.

Hits Pricey Legacy was a convincing winner over this main track at today's distance last time out.  Optionality, trained by Steve Asmussen, won the $60k Zia Park Princess by as many as she wanted last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 12 - The Springboard Mile $400k - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Concept (ML 5-1)

B's

# 2 Make It Big (ML 7-2)
# 3 Bye Bye Bobby (ML 4-1)
# 5 Classic Moment (ML 4-1)
# 6 Rowdy Rascal (ML 12-1)
# 8 Revenir (ML 12-1)
# 9 Osbourne (ML 6-1)

C's

None

Scratch # 4 Shamayim (ML 20-1) and # 7 Rich Strike (ML 8-1)

Note that, in addition to the Road to the Kentucky Derby points that are on the line in this contest, this event is also a "Win and You're In" for the 2022 running of the Oklahoma Derby.

So, yeah, I'm just gonna cop out and take the safe way home in this leg.  Concept and Classic Moment, the two Steve Asmussen runners, both look speedy and strong.  I gave the edge to Concept because of the rail draw.  Make it Big, trained by Saffie Joseph Jr. was a solid winner last time out despite not getting a clean trip.

Bye Bye Bobby ran well in his debut last time out once he realized that there was a race going on and that he was in it.  Rowdy Rascal and Revenir are the only two runners in this field to have won beyond seven furlongs, and they both accomplished that feat over this main track.  Osbourne's only defeat was to a next out Listed Stakes winner.

So, yeah, that's the field.  You can feel free to toss whom you will; but, as for me, I'll be punching the "ALL" button this leg.

RACE 13 - (F) [S] ALW N1X - Eight Furlongs Dirt

A's

# 5 Tasmin (ML 5-2)

B's

# 3 Seeing Double (ML 10-1)
# 6 Pearly (ML 5-1)
# 9 Beyound Dreams (ML 10-1)

C's

# 1 Magic Mindy (ML 12-1)
# 2 Gp's Amazing Grace (ML 15-1)
# 4 River Liberty (ML 20-1)
# 7 Wild Prospect (ML 7-2)
# 8 Heighten (ML 30-1)
# 10 The One for Fun (ML 12-1)

Scratch # 11 Reba Country (ML 6-1)

Tasmin is undefeated since joining the barn of Trainer Mindy Willis, with both victories coming in convincing fashion.  Seeing Double defeated open (non-state bred restricted) Claimers last time out, and Trainer Brent Davidson tends to do well when placing his last out winners.

Draw a line through Pearly's last start (where she lost the rider) and it's clear that she fits well here with the contenders.  Beyound Dreams appears to have enough tactical speed to overcome the outside draw.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 7 with 9 with 1 with 5 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 7 with 5,7,9,12 with ALL with 3,5,6,9 $56.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,4,5,6,8 with 9 with 1 with 5 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 7 with 1,2,4,10,11 with 1 with 5 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 7 with 9 with 1 with 1,2,4,7,8,10 $3.00

Total: $66.00

Post Time for Race 10 is 10:25 EST / 7:25 PST.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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