Race 6 at Hollywood Park Sunday is a Maiden Special Weight contest for two years olds, scheduled to be run at a distance of six furlongs over the main make believe dirt track. The race has drawn a field of eleven, of which all but two (# 5 Distinctiv Passion (ML 3-1) and # 11 Manando (ML 5-2)) are first time starters.
The horse I have my eye on here is # 6 Appealing Tale (Morning Line 6-1). He has the best Tomlinson Rating (395) and the best Brisnet Rating (112, tied with # 10 Belvin (ML 6-1)) for the distance in this field. Offspring of his sire, Tale of the Cat, win approximately 17% of their debuts. The tandem of Jockey Garrett Gomez and Trainer Peter Miller has been clicking for a Winning Percentage above 30% with an ROI of over three dollars. Appealing Tale also shows an unbroken string of weekly workouts beginning September 24.
Granted, Miller does better when he debuts his horses in Maiden Claimers rather than MSWs; and going up against debuting two year olds from both Baffert and O'Neill is no easy row to hoe; but I think Appealing Tale is a horse that could be live at a price.
Post Time for Race 6 at Hollywood Park is 3:06 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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