Saturday, April 20, 2019

4/20/19 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

"Don't mess with a winning streak;" or so the saying goes (though it's often stated more colorfully); and while it may be an extremely modest streak of only one, I'm going to respect the streak and stick with where it began last week.  So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 7 - (F) Clm $20k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 6  Babe Didrikson (Morning Line 8-5)

B’s

# 3 Gorgeous in Grey (ML 6-1)
# 8 Hi Skool Sweethart (ML 4-1)

C's

# 1 She's a Spy (ML 20-1)
# 2 Seaside Dancer (ML 3-1)
# 4 Orca (ML 12-1)
# 5 Secret Wind (ML 10-1)
# 7 Beautiful Creature (ML 10-1)

Babe Didrikson tries turf for the first time while getting some significant class relief.  Seaside Dancer graduated convincingly last time out, albeit while sprinting over the main track.  Gorgeous in Grey ran well enough in each of her prior two tries on the lawn to win at this class level.  Hi Skool Sweethart could get a nice stalking trip from the outermost post.  

Seaside Dancer is one that you might want to consider upgrading in your play, as Seaside Dancer did graduate convincingly last time out while sprinting over the main track.  Seaside Dancer also has the pedigree to suggest that she will do well on the lawn.  However, I'm not convinced that Seaside Dancer is ready to win while going around two turns; so for that reason, I'll be using Seaside Dancer as a backup "C" Selection, along with the rest of the field.

RACE 8 - (F) [S] MSW - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 7 Check Out (ML 7-2)

B's

# 6 A Lonna At the Top (ML 4-1)
# 9 Real Keeper (ML 8-1)
# 13 Don't Sell (ML 9-2)

C's

# 1 Jaimi James (ML 10-1)
# 2 El Bell Camp (ML 12-1)

# 3 Zahra (ML 8-1)
# 5 Oligarcy (ML 20-1)
# 8 Lis La Victoire (ML 30-1)
# 11 Rolinga (ML 20-1)
# 12 Blue Butterfly (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 4 Rebalation (ML 9-2); # 10 Aleda Lutz (ML 5-1); and # 14 Love Solution (ML 10-1)

Check Out took the Place at this class level last time out.  A Lonna At the Top took the Show against open non-claiming maidens last time out.  Real Keeper took the Place in her debut last time out, albeit while running with a price tag on her head.

Don't Sell ships in from downstate and draws in off the Also-Eligible List for Trainer Doug O'Neill.  Don't Sell could benefit from the class relief.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - Clm $40k - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 2 Tough it Out (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 3 More Power to Him (ML 6-1)
# 6 Unusually Green (ML 7-2)


C's

# 1 Malibu Alex (ML 10-1)
# 4 Harvest a Storm (ML 4-1)
# 5 Alive and Well (ML 8-1)
# 7 Secreto Primero (ML 8-1)
# 8 Rideo (ML 8-1)

Tough It Out ships in from downstate for Trainer John Sadler.  Tough It Out fits well here on class, and Tough It Out ran well in his one prior try over this turf course.

More Power to Him took the Show in each of his last two races against more expensive stock; albeit over the main track.  Unusually Green won by daylight the last time that he competed over this turf course.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 10 - (F) Clm $4k N2L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 6 Married by Now (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 3 Vonhra (ML 9-2)
# 7 Florista (Ire) (ML 3-1)

C's

# 4 Zensational Kiss (ML 6-1)
# 5 Somara (ML 10-1)
# 9 She's in Luck (ML 20-1)
# 10 Apphia (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 1 Smokinhotredhead (ML 10-1); # 2 Champ for Justice (ML 10-1); and # 8 Alta Ky (ML 30-1)

Married by Now, Vonhra, and Florista (Ire) filled out the bottom three rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are what's left of the rest of the field after all the vet scratches.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 6 with 7 with 2 with 6 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 3,6,8 with 6,7,9,13 with 2,3,6 with 3,6,7 $54.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,2,4,5,7 with 7 with 2 with 6 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 1,2,3,5,8,11,12 with 2 with 6 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 7 with 1,4,5,7,8 with 6 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 7 with 2 with 4,5,9,10 $2.00

Total: $65.50

Post Time for Race 7 is 7:00 EDT / 4:00 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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