It's Gold Rush Weekend at Golden Gate Fields, and among the happenings are a mandatory payout of the Golden Pick Six pool. However, as seemingly happens a disproportional number of times, the Pick Six pool is empty, the jackpot having been scooped the day prior to the mandatory payout. Still, there's plenty to like about Saturday's card in Northern California, with a baker's dozen assortment of races, including a half dozen stakes. Among the stakes is the Grade 3 San Francisco Mile, which I'll be taking a look at below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.
RACE 10 - The San Francisco Mile (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A's
# 1 Bowies Hero (Morning Line 5-2)
B's
# 7 Grecian Fire (ML 15-1)
# 10 River Boyne (Ire) (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Blitzkrieg (ML 6-1)
# 3 Mithqaal (ML 20-1)
# 4 Le Ken (Arg) (ML 5-1)
# 5 Wentwood (GB) (ML 12-1)
# 6 Many Roses (ML 15-1)
# 8 Choo Choo (ML 15-1)
# 9 Souter (GB) (ML 6-1)
Bowies Hero disappointed mightily in the Grade 2 Del Mar Handicap last time out. However, Bowies Hero has been working well for this, his 2019 debut; and once you toss that last outing, Bowies Hero looks like the clear one to beat.
Grecian Fire closed very well the last time he went around two turns on the turf. River Boyne (Ire) can win from anywhere on the course.
Le Ken (Arg) fits well here with the contenders; but ultimately I decided to leave Le Ken off my main ticket, as it seems that he often runs well without being able to find the winner's circle. So I'll be using Le Ken as a backup "C" Selection, along with the rest of the field.
RACE 11 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 3 Rush (ML 5-2)
B’s
# 1 Pampers n' Boots (ML 3-1)
# 2 King Eddie (ML 6-1)
# 6 Candy Crew (ML 8-1)
C's
# 4 Zippy Groom (ML 8-1)
# 5 Zakaroff (ML 8-1)
# 7 Jump the Tracks (ML 7-2)
# 8 Sure Proof (ML 20-1)
The Past Performances that I have for this race list it as an N2L; but that's obviously wrong, as the conditions itself state that Maiden, Claiming and Starter Races for $10k or less are not considered. Note also that every runner in this field has visited the winner's circle multiple times.
Rush is moving up in class; but Trainer Jedd Josephson tends to do well when placing his last out winners. Pampers n' Boots could move up with the class drop.
King Eddie should rebound well off that non-effort last time out against more expensive stock. Candy Crew took the Show at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 12 - (F) The Camilla Urso $75k - Five Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 1 Alliford Bay (ML 7-2)
B's
# 2 Vronilla Parfait (ML 15-1)
# 3 S Y Sky (ML 9-5)
# 5 Go On Mary (ML 2-1)
C's
# 4 I Love Romance (ML 15-1)
# 6 Ima Happy Cat (ML 10-1)
# 7 Claudia Mae (ML 15-1)
# 8 Impecunious (ML 20-1)
# 9 Spring Heat (ML 20-1)
Alliford Bay misses by just three quarters of a length of entering this contest with a six race winning streak. It's fair to presume that Alliford Bay will improve going second off the layoff.
Vronilla Parfait closed very well the last time that she sprinted on the turf. S Y Sky could improve with the cutback in distance. Go On Mary could be the one that they'll have to catch to win. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 13 - (F) Md $8k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 10 Noumea (ML 3-1)
B's
# 2 Why Are U So Sweet (ML 10-1)
# 3 Tooley Tunes (ML 8-1)
# 4 Tiz a Dreamer (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Legendarybloodline (ML 5-2)
# 5 Tooclosetocall (ML 20-1)
# 6 Run for a Million (ML 5-1)
# 7 Freedom Seeker (ML 20-1)
# 8 Frosted Silver (ML 12-1)
# 9 Miss Swish (ML 15-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles, # 11 Ride Out the Storm (ML 5-2) and # 12 Belltown Belle (ML 2-1)
Noumea has thrice finished in the Trifecta against more expensive stock. Tooley Tunes and Why Are U So Sweet filled out the bottom two slots of the Trifecta the last time they went around two turns. Tiz a Dreamer could do well in her first try at routing. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 1 with 3 with 1 with 10 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,7,10 with 1,2,3,6 with 1,2,3,5 with 2,3,4,10 $96.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,5,6,8,9 with 3 with 1 with 10 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 4,5,7,8 with 1 with 10 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 3 with 4,6,7,8,9 with 10 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 3 with 1 with 1,5,6,7,8,9 $3.00
Total: $108.00
Post Time for Race 10 is 8:10 EDT / 5:10 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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