"Always bear in mind that your own resolution to succeed is more important than any other one thing." - Abraham Lincoln
Hopefully you all had the opportunity to catch Friday evening's John Battaglia Memorial and the Cincinnati Trophy Stakes, preparatory contests for March 14th's Grade 3 Jeff Ruby Steaks and the Bourbonette Oaks; respectively (if you haven't yet seen them, or wish to view them again, those links above lead to YouTube replays of each race). Moving on to tonight's card, while there are no stakes on the program, there is the next best thing in the form of a no conditions Allowance. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Turfway Park.
RACE 5 - MSW - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 12 Sugoi (Morning Line 10-1)
B's
# 1 Hard Target (ML 4-1)
# 9 Working Title (ML 10-1)
# 11 Bigmancan (ML 3-1)
C's
# 2 Company Clown (ML 8-1)
# 3 Unwavering (ML 15-1)
# 4 Kobe Beach (ML 15-1)
# 5 Prime Jersey Town (ML 5-1)
# 6 Drakesboro Wildcat (ML 12-1)
# 7 Judge Johnny (ML 10-1)
# 10 Indian Springs (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 8 Kitten's Man (ML 15-1) as well as the Also Eligible, # 13 Meister's Brew (ML 12-1)
First time starter Sugoi was sired by Karakontie (Jpn), whose stud fee was $10k; so the fact that Sugoi was purchased at auction as a yearling for $6k was certainly not good news to his breeder. But Sugoi, trained by Billy Morey, has shown some speed in his works; and Sugoi certainly did well to draw the outermost post for his debut. So I'm going to swing for a price and put Sugoi on the top of my contenders in this contest.
Hard Target showed some nice early speed in his debut last time out. Working Title, a debut runner sired by Honor Code, seems well meant here. Bigmancan took the Place at this class level last time out. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 6 - (F) ALW NC - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 1 Rogue Too (ML 3-1)
B's
# 8 Arch of Troy (ML 4-1)
C's
# 2 Miss Mosaic (ML 5-1)
# 3 Flash n' Dance (ML 20-1)
# 4 In the Mood (ML 5-1)
# 5 Goiaba (ML 10-1)
# 6 Red Dane (Ity) (ML 10-1)
# 7 Complicit (ML 6-1)
# 9 Melissa Jane (GB) (ML 6-1)
This is an Allowance Race with no conditions; so if you've got a filly or mare, four years old and upward, and want to run her, you're free to do so here.
Rogue Too, winner of her last four contests as well as six of her seven career tries over this track, should benefit from the rail draw, as Rogue Too projects to be the speed of the speed. Arch of Troy, going first time for the barn of Trainer William Cowans, won by as many as she wanted last time out in her first try over a synthetic surface. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 7 - (F) ALW N3L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 7 New Roo (ML 5-1)
B's
# 2 Rumandice (M 6-1)
# 5 Tip At Tapit (ML 6-1)
# 9 Jeannie's Beepbeep (ML 9-2)
# 10 Naughty Joker (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1A Tuxedo Lemon (ML 20-1)
# 3 Tiz Trish (ML 30-1)
# 4 Twin Channel (ML 8-1)
# 6 Tobago (ML 8-1)
# 8 Carina (ML 20-1)
# 11 Lessons from Avery (ML 6-1)
Scratch # 1 City Diva (ML 20-1)
New Roo appears to have a class edge over the rest of the field, and Trainer Tommy Drury tends to do well with runners returning off an extended leave. Rumandice ran well last time out in her first try for Trainer Kenny McPeek, and could move up off that effort.
Tip At Tapit could improve going third off the layoff. Jeannie's Beepbeep, victorious in each of her two prior career starts, seems to have the breeding to handle two turns. Naughty Joker, winner of 2019's Bourbonette Oaks, took the Show at this class level last time out. The backup "C" selections are everyone else.
RACE 8 - Clm $5k N2Y - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 6 Joey B (ML 5-1)
B’s
# 3 Cairn (ML 3-1)
# 9 The Other Breeze (ML 5-1)
C's
# 1 Gotsomemojo (ML 8-1)
# 2 Heart in Hand (ML 5-1)
# 4 Jennysregalman (ML 20-1)
# 5 Jingle Me This (ML 15-1)
# 7 Time Arches On (ML 30-1)
# 8 Chuckmate (ML 15-1)
# 10 Trockette (ML 12-1)
# 11 Geh Schnell (ML 6-1)
# 12 Primed for Talent (ML 20-1)
Scratch the Also Eligibles; # 13 Valycove (ML 5-1) and # 14 Runningfromthefeds (ML 3-1)
This race is restricted to runners which have not won two races since August 15, 2019; but note that races where the runner was entered for $4k or less don't count; which is why Joey B is eligible is free to contend here.
Joey B, winner last time out, is now two-for-two lifetime over this track; and Trainer James Watkins tends to do well when placing his last out winners. Carin should improve by going third off the layoff, and the class drop can only help. The Other Breeze could be the one running best late. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 12 with 1 with 7 with 6 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,9,11,12 with 1,8 with 2,5,7,9,10 with 3,6,9 $60.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,5,6,7,10 with 1 with 7 with 6 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 12 with 2,3,4,5,6,7,9 with 7 with 6 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 12 with 1 with 1,3,4,6,8,11 with 6 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 12 with 1 with 7 with 1,2,4,5,7,8,10,11,12 $4.50
Total: $75.50
Post Time for Race 5 is 8:12 EST / 5:12 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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