"You will never do anything in this world without courage.” - Aristotle
Saturday kicks off a three day holiday weekend in the US, and the card at Santa Anita certainly seems worthy of the occasion, featuring as it does a pair of Graded Stakes; the Daytona and the Charles Whittingham. I'll be taking a look at the latter of those two contests below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 6 - (F) Clm $12.5k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 4 Way too Sweet (Morning Line 3-1)
B’s
# 2 Sybil's Kitty (ML 7-2)
# 3 Real Good Deal (ML 5-2)
# 6 Diamond of Value (ML 6-1)
C's
# 1 Midnight Garden (ML 7-2)
# 5 At the Margin (ML 30-1)
# 7 Drop the Mic (ML 6-1)
Way too Sweet was way outclassed last time out (though she still managed to grab the early lead) and should move up with the class drop. Real Good Deal and Sybil's Kitty filled out the bottom two rungs of the Superfecta at this class level last time out.
Diamond of Value could improve with the return to one turn racing. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 7 - (F) Alw 50000s - OC 40k - Five and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 5 Vegan (ML 12-1)
B’s
# 2 Rstars and Stripes (ML 12-1)
# 4 Biddy Duke (ML 4-1)
# 7 Lovely Lilia (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Sugar Pickel (ML 6-1)
# 3 Bluegrass Sky (ML 12-1)
# 6 Too Much Heaven (ML 4-1)
# 8 Galwalksintoabar (ML 8-1)
# 9 Samurai Charm (ML 6-1)
This contest is a Starter Optional Claimer; an Optional Claimer / Starter Allowance hybrid, if you will. A three year old filly is eligible to run here tag free if she has ever started for a claiming price of $50k or less. That's the Starter Allowance provision, which must be met in order to enter. The Optional Claiming piece of the conditions is that runners with fewer than two lifetime Wins can run without fear of being claimed. Those fillies with multiple career victories are competing with a $40k price tag on their heads. Note for future reference that the runners in this field that are eligible to be claimed are: # 4 Biddy Duke; # 5 Vegan; # 6 Too Much Heaven; and # 7 Lovely Lilia.
Vegan took the Show last time out against much classier competition; albeit on the turf in a short field. But Vegan defeated classier competition three starts back; and Trainer Bill Spawr tends to do well when moving his runners from turf to dirt.
Rstars and Stripes could improve with the reduction in real estate; besides, who wants to be defeated by Rstars and Stripes on Memorial Day weekend? Biddy Duke has been staying in shape by sprinting at Los Alamitos; before that, Biddy Duke took the Place against classier competition over this main track back in March.
Lovely Lilia could improve going second off the layoff. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 8 - The Charles Whittingham (Grade 2) - Ten Furlongs Turf
A's
# 5 United (ML 6-5)
B's
# 7 Rockemperor (Ire) (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Desert Stone (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 2 Multiplier (ML 10-1)
# 4 Synthesis (ML 30-1)
# 6 Originaire (Ire) (ML 5-2)
Scratch # 3 Bold Endeavor (ML 20-1)
United and Rockemperor (Ire) look to be the two clear best here. I give the edge to United as Rockemperor has yet to find the winner's circle against Graded (or Group) Stakes competition. Indeed, I was very tempted to make United a big ticket single here; and not doing so may prove to be a decision that I will later regret. But Rockemperor is trained by Chad Brown, who does quite well when shipping his runners to the West Coast; so it's two deep in this leg, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 9 - Md $20k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 12 Salah (ML 3-1)
B's
# 2 Vodka Twist (ML 5-1)
# 4 My Journey (ML 4-1)
# 9 Dr. Hoffman (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Meadway (ML 30-1)
# 3 Fabio (ML 20-1)
# 5 Papa Lorenzo (ML 50-1)
# 6 Sharp Speaker (ML 20-1)
# 7 Mongolian Wind (ML 12-1)
# 8 Posty (ML 5-1)
# 10 Starship Chewy (ML 30-1)
# 13 Ziyanair (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 11 Beaumont Beaux (No Line) and # 14 Royally Big (ML 20-1)
Salah took the Show against more expensive stock last time out; albeit in a small field. Vodka Twist could improve dropping in for a tag for the first time, as well as moving from turf to dirt.
My Journey has taken the Show at this class level in each of his last two starts. Dr. Hoffman could move up with the drop in class. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 5 with 5 with 12 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,6 with 2,4,5,7 with 5,7 with 2,4,9,12 $64.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,5,7 with 5 with 5 with 12 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,3,6,8,9 with 5 with 12 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5 with 1,2,4,6 with 12 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 5 with 5 with 1,3,5,6,7,8,10,13 $4.00
Total: $75.00
Post Time for Race 6 is 6:12 EDT / 3:12 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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