Saturday, June 26, 2021

6/26/21 Pleasanton Late Pick Four - Preview

“Success seems to be connected with action.  Successful people keep moving.  They make mistakes, but they don’t quit.” - Conrad Hilton

It's recently come to my attention that Google has been deleting certain posts from this blog; most recently my post detailing the results of last Saturday's Late Pick Four at Santa Anita.  I was advised that the posts were in violation of "community guidelines;" though I know not which community guidelines, as Google did not say.  So, I submitted a request to have the posts reinstated; and they were.  Yay!

But then the posts were deleted again by Google; again, with no explanation as to why, other than because they violated "community guidelines."  Perhaps the community has grown tired of reading about me trashing my tickets instead of cashing them?  Determined to find out, I wrote to Google's Blogger support.  As of this writing, I have received no reply.

Needless to say, I don't write blog posts just to have someone else delete them.  Also needless to say, I don't contact help and support just to be ignored.  So expect sometime in the coming days for this blog to have a new address.

So with that out of the way we can turn now to the more important subject of horse racing in Northern California, where Saturday's featured race is the $75k She's A Tiger, a two turn route for fillies and mares.  I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at Pleasanton.

RACE 6 - Clm $8k N2L - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 6 Time to Zoom (Morning Line 10-1)

B’s

# 5 Unusual Mischief (ML 15-1)
# 7 Lastbesthope (ML 15-1)

C's

# 2 Juggles (ML 7-2)
# 3 Runaway Kristin (ML 3-1)
# 4 Gregs City Zip (ML 9-2)

Scratch # 1 Theluteismine (ML 8-5)

The scratch of the 8-5 Morning Line Favorite has certainly changed the complexion of this contest.  Time to Zoom is young enough and lightly raced enough that improvement is likely.  Time to Zoom is also out of a Closing Argument mare, so Time to Zoom may do well in his first try on real dirt.

Unusual Mischief ran well in his one prior try on dirt.  Lastbesthope is by Haynesfield, winner of the 2010 Suburban and 2010 Jockey Club Gold Cup at Belmont Park; so it's fair to presume that Lastbesthope has solid dirt breeding.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 7 - Clm $16k N2L - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 7 Single Barrel (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 1 Big City Bane (ML 5-1)
# 4 Blood Red Moon (ML 20-1)

C's

# 2 Roaring Tiger (ML 2-1)
# 3 I Will Yeah (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 5 Awesome Dude (ML 8-1)
# 6 Balius (ML 3-1)

Single Barrel has run well in the past over this dirt track, and Single Barrel could improve going second off the layoff. Big City Bane took the Place at this approximate class level last time out, albeit on the turf.

Blood Red Moon took the Show at this approximate class level last time out, albeit on the synthetic.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 8 - (F) The She's A Tiger $75k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 5 Miss Stormy D (ML 5-2)

B's

# 3 Clockstrikestwelve (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Tiz Fake News (ML 10-1)
# 2 Time Voyage (Ire) (ML 6-1)
# 7 Blue Diva (ML 6-1)

Scratch # 4 Northwest Factor (ML 7-2) and # 6 Wise Rachel (ML 6-1)

Multiple Graded Stakes Placed Miss Stormy D looks classiest here.  Clockstrikestwelve has won in the past off a freshening.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - Clm $4k B - Eight and a Third Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 My Sunshine (ML 15-1)

B's

# 2 One Eyed Robin (ML 7-2)
# 3 Known (ML 10-1)
# 6 Desert Dude (ML 8-1)

C's

# 4 Little John (ML 4-1)
# 5 Southeast Asia (ML 9-2)
# 7 Aigle (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 8 Journey to Run (ML 5-2)

This contest is restricted to runners which have either:

1) Not won a race since April 1; OR
2) Which have never won four races.

So as long as an entrant has fewer than four career Wins, then they're eligible to run in this race.  If a runner has four career Wins or more, then none of those Wins could have come after March 31, 2021.  For the record Southeast Asia is the only runner in this field with more than three career victories.

So, like the first leg, this contest sees the scratch of the Morning Line Favorite.  My Sunshine is a reclaim by Trainer Reid France, for whom My Sunshine ran quite well earlier this year.  One Eyed Robin, a winner off the layoff back in May, could rebound off his most recent effort.

Known and Desert Dude are both prior winners over this dirt track.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 6 with 7 with 5 with 1 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 5,6,7 with 1,4,7 with 3,5 with 1,2,3,6 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,3,4 with 7 with 5 with 1 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 2,3,5,6 with 5 with 1 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 7 with 1,2,7 with 1 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 7 with 5 with 4,5,7 $1.50

Total: $43.50

Post Time for Race 6 is 8:15 EDT / 5:15 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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