Saturday is Big 'Cap Day in California, but it's also much more than that; as it's also 1/ST Saturday, where the Stronach Group owned Santa Anita Park and Gulfstream Park have carded a combined fifteen stakes races, fourteen of them Graded Stakes. And while the good people at 1/ST have also put together some tantalizing wagering options, I've decided to stick with my customary Final Four play. So with that let's get to it, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at The Great Race Place.
RACE 8 - (F) ALW N1X - Six and a Half Furlongs Downhill Turf
A's
# 6 Kalon (Morning Line 6-1)
B's
# 1 Ever Smart (ML 20-1)
# 5 Ultimate Hy (ML 5-1)
# 9 Aloha Kitten (ML 10-1)
# 11 Honey Jar (ML 7-2)
C's
# 2 Another Eddie (ML 12-1)
# 3 Mendham Mill (ML 10-1)
# 4 Zydeco Mama (ML 12-1)
# 7 Taming the Tigress (ML 6-1)
# 8 That's Amare (ML 5-1)
# 10 Xmas Surprise (ML 20-1)
# 12 Thrumps Dream (Ire) (ML 8-1)
Scratch the Also Eligible, # 13 Nu Pi Lambda (ML 8-1)
Kalon, Ultimate Hy, and Honey Jar filled out the bottom three rungs of the Superfecta at this class level back in January. Ever Smart graduated last time out; it's possible that this five year old mare has finally figured it out. Even more possible is that Ever Smart has been wanting to run in turf sprints all along.
Aloha Kitten could move up with the cutback in distance. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 9 - (F) The Beholder Mile (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 3 As Time Goes By (ML 4-5)
B's
# 6 Envoutante (ML 8-5)
C's
# 1 Varda (ML 6-1)
# 4 Founder's Day (ML 30-1)
# 5 Miss Bigly (ML 5-1)
# 5 Miss Bigly (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 2 Moonlight D'oro (No Line)
As Time Goes By because all those bills for legal fees aren't going to pay themselves. Envoutante because sometimes things don't work out as planned. All others are backup "C" Selections because you never know.
RACE 10 - The Frank E Kilroe Mile (Grade 1) - Eight Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 7 Tell Your Daddy (ML 6-1)
B's
# 6 Law Professor (ML 6-1)
# 8 Space Traveller (GB) (ML 5-1)
# 10 Flavius (ML 6-1)
# 11 Bob and Jackie (ML 20-1)
C's
# 1 Delaware (GB) (ML 20-1)
# 2 Subconscious (ML 5-1)
# 3 Beyond Brilliant (ML 8-1)
# 4 Count Again (ML 7-2)
# 5 Whisper Not (GB) (ML 15-1)
# 9 Team Merchants (ML 20-1)
Scratch # 12 Vanzzy (ML 30-1)
Tell Your Daddy finished in the Exacta in each of his last four contests; and in at least two of those contests Tell Your Daddy faced stiffer competition than that which he will be going up against today.
Law Professor, winner of a pair of Grade 2s over the main track, has won in the over this turf course. Space Traveller (GB) could move up with the cutback in distance. Flavius has proven that he can win from anywhere on the track.
Bob and Jackie could improve with the reduction in real estate. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 11 - The Santa Anita Handicap (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Dirt
A’s
# 6 Express Train (ML 8-5)
B's
# 3 Warrant (ML 4-1)
C's
# 1 Spielberg (ML 8-1)
# 2 Why Why Paul Why (ML 6-1)
# 4 Soy Tapatio (ML 20-1)
# 5 American Theorem (ML 12-1)
# 8 Stilleto Boy (ML 5-2)
Scratch # 7 Kiss Today Goodbye (ML 15-1)
Express Train looks best here, and if Express Train runs the same race that he did in last year's running of this event, then Express Train will be very difficult to beat. Warrant took the Show in the Grade 3 Louisiana last time out, and Warrant could improve with the increase in distance. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 6 with 3 with 7 with 6 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 1,5,6,9,11 with 3,6 with 6,7,8,10,11 with 3,6 $50.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,7,8,10,12 with 3 with 7 with 6 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 1,4,5 with 7 with 6 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 6 with 3 with 1,2,3,4,5,9 with 6 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 6 with 3 with 7 with 1,2,4,5,8 $2.50
Total: $61.50
Post Time for Race 8 is 6:30 EST / 3:30 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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