4/30/22 Woodbine Late Pick Four - Preview

“Have no fear of perfection; you'll never reach it.” - Marie Curie

Saturday's featured race at Woodbine is the $125k Star Shoot, a contest for three year old fillies.  In fact, every one of the Final Four contests on Saturday's card is for distaff runners.  So with that let's get to it, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at Woodbine.

RACE 7 - (F) ALW N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 5 Guileful (Morning Line 8-1)

B's

# 6 Song of Innocence (ML 2-1)

C's

# 1 Erasmo's Girl (ML 15-1)
# 2 Bluegrass Belle (ML 8-1)
# 3 Twelfth Moon (ML 6-1)
# 4 She Makes a Point (ML 5-2)

# 7 Saratoga Vision (ML 7-2)

Guileful is getting some class relief competing against this group, so if Guileful is ready to run off the vacation then she could come away with top honors here.  Song of Innocence ships in from Florida, and Song of Innocence appears to be in good form.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 8 - (F) The Star Shoot $125k - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A's

# 2 Diabolic (Ire) (ML 2-1)

B's

# 4 Aubrieta (ML 5-2)

C's

# 1 Beautiful Empire (ML 10-1)
# 3 Miss Alacrity (ML 3-1)

# 5 Parlance (ML 6-1)

# 6 Howdyoumakeurmoney (ML 9-2)

No surprises in this leg.  Diabolic (Ire) and Aubrieta, both making their three year old debuts, look  strongest here to me, and they also certainly will to the vast majority of ticket makers.  You can pick one or the other to halve the price of your play, but I can't see myself choosing between these two without tossing a coin.  So it's two deep for me in this leg, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.

RACE 9 - (F) OC 62.5k B - Seven Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 1 No Mo Lady (ML 7-5)

B's

# 2 Above All Names (ML 15-1)

C's

# 3 Rosebud's Hope (ML 10-1)

# 4 Perseverancia (ML 7-2)

# 5 I Get It (ML 5-1)

# 6 November Fog (ML 5-2)

For the most part, this is just an OC $62.5k/N2X, but with one added restriction in the conditions requiring that runners have no victories over the previous 365 days in order to avoid being eligible to be claimed.  Note for the record that Above All Names and Rosebud's Hope are the two entrants in this field that are in for the tag; but not $62.5k, but $60k, as their respective connections have chosen to accept the lower sales price in exchange for a one pound weight allowance.

No Mo Lady really should be a big ticket single in this leg; but in my opinion Above All Names is my best chance (perhaps only chance) to catch a price in the sequence.  So as in the prior two legs I'm going two deep here, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.

RACE 10 - (F) MOC 25k - Seven Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Suspicious Minds (ML 6-1)

B’s

# 1 Classic Queen (ML 5-2)

# 2 Blue Twirlin (ML 4-1)

# 9 Lady Maeve (Ire) (ML 3-1)

C's

# 3 Hallanvaara (ML 12-1)

# 5 Moon Pool (ML 10-1)

# 6 Total Betty (ML 8-1)

# 7 Phil in Echo (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 8 Positive (ML 20-1)

For those who are into such things, take note that Suspicious Minds and Moon Pool are the only two runners in this field that won't be leaving the gate with a price tag on their head.

Suspicious Minds took the Show at this class level last time out, and Suspicious Minds' work tab suggests that she is ready to roll.  Classic Queen is dropping in for a tag for the first time.

Blue Twirlin might appreciate having to cover less ground today than in any prior race of her career.  Lady Maeve (Ire) returns to Woodbine and rejoins the barn of Trainer Kevin Attard; perhaps that will result in victory Saturday for Lady Maeve.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Boy, am I going cheap this week.  Anyway, playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 5 with 2 with 1 with 4 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.20 P4: 5,6 with 2,4 with 1,2 with 1,2,4,9 $6.40

A's with One C

$0.20 P4: 1,2,3,4,7 with 2 with 1 with 4 $1.00

$0.20 P4: 5 with 1,3,5,6 with 1 with 4 $0.80

$0.20 P4: 5 with 2 with 3,4,5,6 with 4 $0.80

$0.20 P4: 5 with 2 with 1 with 3,5,6,7 $0.80

Total: $10.80

Post Time for Race 7 is 4:10 EDT / 1:10 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo