We're in the middle of a three day Holiday weekend here in the USA; hopefully those of you blessed with Monday off are enjoying your mini-vacation. Unfortunately the weather throughout most of the country continues to be frightful; hopefully all of you reading this are doing so someplace safe from the elements. One place where bad weather is currently not a problem is California; and that's where we'll be turning our attentions today; specifically the Bay Area, as we take yet another run at Golden Gate's Golden Pick Six.
RACE 4 - Md $20k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 Mojave Desert (Morning Line 9-5)
# 3 Ante a Penny (ML 2-1)
# 5 Zorrito (ML 5-2)
C’s
None
# 4 Houdini's Magic (ML 30-1) has been scratched.
Mojave Desert took a big step forward last time out in his first start for Trainer Gil Matos, equaling his career best Beyer Speed Figure which he earned in his first career start back in August 2012. The question is, can Mojave Desert repeat that effort while moving up the class ladder?
Ante a Penny took the Place at this class level last time out. Ante a Penny, who does his best running late, should be flattered by the likely pace scenario in this one. Zorrito runs today for the lowest price tag of his career.
RACE 5 - (F) Alw 40000s N2L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 3 La Fiera (ML 8-5)
C’s
None
Note for future reference that this one is for horses that have never won two races (N2L), as that information won't be found in future DRF Past Performances (at least until they finally fix that flaw).
La Fiera tries winners for the first time after graduating last time out, while earning the best career Beyer Speed Figure in this field in the process. A repeat of that performance should make her an easy winner here today.
RACE 6 - Clm $12.5k N2X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 2 Dayjur Hooq (ML 2-1)
C’s
None
The only bad race Dayjur Hooq has run since joining the barn of Trainer Victor Trujillo was when Dayjur Hooq tried to go around two turns. Even in his last race, where Dayjur Hooq finished fifth, he still earned a Beyer Speed Figure virtually equal to the two that he had earned in his two prior victories for Trujillo. The drop back down the class ladder should help Dayjur Hooq find the WInner's Circle again today.
RACE 7 - Md $8k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
ALL
C’s
None
This one looks like pure chaos. Only one of the experienced runners in this field has earned a Beyer Speed Figure within nine points of par for this class level; and that one, # 5 Devil Cat, has already failed sixteen times in his attempt to graduate. Such a scenario usually suggests backing a first time starter; but the only first time starter in this field, # 2 Oui Man (ML 10-1), has some significant gaps in his workout pattern leading into this event. Maybe the Morning Line Favorite, # 6 Jack Diz (ML 9-5), overcomes the fact that he's never finished within eight lengths of the winner in any of his three prior career contests and defeats this field; but I sure wouldn't take odds of 9-5 on that happening.
RACE 8 - (F) Alw 40000s N2X - Six Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 Purims Faith (ML 4-1)
# 2 Winona Louise (ML 5-2)
# 3 Rosarita (ML 3-1)
# 4 Heads I Win (ML 7-2)
C’s
None
Note for future reference that, unlike most of the California $40k Starter Allowances (such as Race 5 above) this is an N2X, rather than an N2L. That means that this one is for horses that have never won two races EXCEPTING one (and just one) race win for $16k or less. That's why Purim Faith and Winona Louise are eligible to compete here despite having two career Wins apiece. Since those two have twice as many Wins as any other runners in this field, we'll make room for them on our ticket.
Rosarita was a convincing winner in her debut last time out, besting the rest of the field by over three lengths. Heads I Win took the Place at this class level last time out.
RACE 9 - Md $8k - Five and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 1 Badwater (ML 8-5)
# 5 Be You (ML 6-1)
# 8 Sonora Pass (ML 3-1)
C’s
None
# 6 Zarco Star (ML 30-1) has been scratched.
This one has the exact same conditions as Race 7 (above); hopefully, this one will prove to be somewhat more formful.
Badwater took the Place last time out at this class level, earning the best last out Beyer Speed Figure in the process. Be You and Sonora Pass are both running for the lowest price tag of their respective careers.
OK, that's the analysis. Everything's an "A" Selection and goes on a single ticket, because what better way to find out whether or not this is the luckiest day of our lives. So with that we get:
All A Entries
$0.20 P6: 2,3,5 with 3 with 2 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,7 with 1,2,3,4 with 1,5,8 $50.40
Total: $50.40
Post Time for Race 4 is 5:12 EST / 2:12 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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