Saturday, September 7, 2019

9/7/19 Kentucky Downs Late Pick Four - Results

Race 7 - The Turf Sprint - # 10 Totally Boss (Final Odds 4.40) - "B" Selection
Race 8 - The Ladies Turf - # 9 Ms Bad Behavior (7.30) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - The Ladies Sprint - # 7 Morticia (5.00) - "B" Selection
Race 10 - The Kentucky Turf Cup - # 9 Zulu Alpha (2.10) - "B" Selection

Turf racing in general tends to be more difficult to handicap than thoroughbreds on the dirt.  Boutique meets are always difficult; and the unique layout of the Kentucky Downs turf course makes handicapping there even more of a challenge.  So with all those obstacles standing in the way of victory, it's very tempting to claim that superior handicapping skill was what led to Saturday's favorable result.

But, truth be told, a lot of luck and good fortune was behind Saturday's win; as the first three victors in the sequence simply rode a early speed bias, while the featured final race was perhaps the most formfully run contest on the afternoon.  But no matter; be it good handicapping or good luck, the bottom line is that Saturday was a day for me to cash instead of contribute.

For the record, here are the $0.50 Will Pays for the other two runners to which I would have cashed in the nightcap:

# 10 Arklow (1.60*) - $588.80 Finish: 2nd
# 11 Campaign (4.20) - $834.50 Finish: 3rd

But that's what might have been.  What actually came to be was a correct Late Pick Four sequence of  10 / 9 / 7 / 9  which paid $431.95 for a fifty cent wager.  That makes for a profit of $298.45 on my initial $133.50 investment; or approximate odds of 2.235-1.

I hope you all had it with me.  May God bless us as we spend our winnings.

Onto the next race!

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

No comments: