"Panic causes tunnel vision. Calm acceptance of danger allows us to more easily assess the situation and see the options." - Simon Sinek
The Road to the Kentucky Derby passes through Florence, KY Saturday, with three years old competing in the Grade 3 Jeff Ruby Steaks. As one would expect for the biggest day of the meet, there are a plethora of wagering options from which to choose, including a quartet of Pick Fours. I've decided to go after the one consisting of all stakes, culminating with the featured race on the card (Races 8 - 11, inclusive, to be more precise). So with that let's get to it, as I take a run at The All-Stakes Pick Four at Turfway Park.
RACE 8 - The Rushaway $100k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 4 Uncork the Bottle (Morning Line 9-2)
B's
# 1 Crypto Cash (ML 7-2)
# 2 Vanzzy (ML 7-2)
# 3 Blanket of Roses (ML 5-1)
# 6 Amen Corner (ML 12-1)
# 7 Something Natural (ML 3-1)
# 8 Memorable (ML 5-1)
C's
None
Scratch # 5 Drew (ML 20-1)
I decided to go "ALL" in for this leg, as the field size is small enough to allow it, while the contest itself is competitive enough that I can't see myself using fewer than five of the eight runners on the main ticket anyway. So no matter what else may happen with the rest of the sequence, I'm guaranteed to come out of the opening stanza with the main ticket still intact.
RACE 9 - The Kentucky Cup Classic $150k - Nine Furlongs Synthetic
A’s
# 10 Somelikeithotbrown (ML 2-1)
B's
# 3 Nun the Less (ML 9-2)
# 12 Blended Citizen (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Dragon Bay (ML 50-1)
# 2 Flying Scotsman (ML 20-1)
# 4 Moon Over Montana (ML 20-1)
# 5 Peekacho (ML 20-1)
# 6 Space Mountain (ML 15-1)
# 8 Royal Mesa (ML 15-1)
# 9 Signalman (ML 5-1)
# 11 Lanier (ML 15-1)
# 13 Lo's Journey (ML 30-1)
Scratch # 7 Thirsty Betrayal (ML 50-1) and # 14 Apreciado (ML 6-1)
Somelikeithotbrown, trained by Mike Maker, was a convincing winner in a no conditions Allowance contest last time out over this track. Somelikeithotbrown's bullet five furlong work a week ago today suggests that he's in top form.
Nun the Less is the defending champ here, having won this event last year. Blended Citizen, trained by Brad Cox, took the Place in the Grade 3 Louisiana last time out; and Blended Citizen was victorious in his only prior try over this track. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 10 - (F) The Bourbonette Oaks $150k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 9 Laura's Light (ML 9-5)
B's
None
C's
# 2 Swanage (ML 12-1)
# 3 Queen of God (ML 9-2)
# 4 Oxum Power (ML 8-1)
# 5 Pass the Plate (ML 4-1)
# 6 Fashion Code (ML 20-1)
# 7 Impeccable Style (ML 4-1)
# 8 Las Ramblas (ML 50-1)
# 10 Kay Bee Gee (ML 20-1)
# 11 Baby Karats (ML 50-1)
# 12 Secretly Wicked (ML 50-1)
# 13 A Wicked Wildcat (ML 50-1)
Scratch # 1 Mama's Grey Ghost (ML 20-1)
The Peter Miller trained Laura's Light's only defeat in her four race career was when she took the Place behind Alms in the Grade 3 Jimmy Durantee at Del Mar back in November. Laura's Light was victorious in her debut at Golden Gate last Fall, so she has experience competing on a synthetic surface. So this is where I take my stand, making Laura's Light my big ticket single, with all others being used as backup "C" Selections.
RACE 11 - The Jeff Ruby Steaks (Grade 3) - Nine Furlongs Synthetic
A's
# 11 Invader (ML 3-1)
B's
# 3 Fancy Liquor (ML 8-1)
# 7 Victory Boulevard (ML 30-1)
# 12 Field Pass (ML 7-2)
C's
# 1 Dack Janiel's (ML 30-1)
# 2 Toma Todo (ML 20-1)
# 4 Unthrottled (ML 30-1)
# 5 Myamanoi (ML 4-1)
# 6 Halo Again (ML 8-1)
# 9 Austrian (ML 50-1)
# 10 The Stiff (ML 12-1)
Scratch # 8 Finnick the Fierce (ML 6-1)
Invader, trained by Wesley Ward, won the prep for this event, the John Battaglia Memorial Stakes, by as many as he wanted last time out; and the bullet five furlong work Invader had over this track on Monday suggests that he's in top form. Fancy Liquor, Victory Boulevard, and Field Pass, all trained by Mike Maker, are all trying the synthetic surface for the first time; if any take to it, they just might upset the Favorite. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 10 with 9 with 11 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: ALL with 3,10,12 with 9 with 3,7,11,12 $42.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 4 with 1,2,4,5,6,8,9,11,13 with 9 with 11 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 10 with 2,3,4,5,6,7,8,10,11,12,13 with 11 $5.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 10 with 9 with 1,2,4,5,6,9,10 $3.50
Total: $56.50
Post Time for Race 8 is 4:45 EDT / 1:45 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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