Saturday, March 28, 2020

3/28/20 Golden Gate Fields Late Pick Four - Preview

"Life is the art of living with uncertainty, without being paralyzed by fear." - Dr. W. Dillon

Hopefully all of you and those for whom you care are staying healthy and happy and sane.  Thank the good Lord horse racing carries on; albeit in a much smaller package, as Santa Anita and Turfway Park join the many other racetracks that have been forced to cease operations during this global pandemic.  But that's what's not happening; let's focus on what is going on, as I take a run at The Late Pick Four at The Bay's Best Bet.

RACE 6 - (F) Md $8k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 2 Oh What a Ride (Morning Line 7-2)

B's

# 4 Pulpit Singer (ML 2-1)
# 6 Angelin the Harbor (ML 5-2)

C's

# 1 A Will and a Way (ML 20-1)
# 3 I C Fire (ML 9-2)
# 5 Silver Script (ML 20-1)
# 8 Glace Bay Girl (ML 12-1)

Scratch # 7 Capo Vino (ML 12-1)

Oh What a Ride took the Show at this class level in her debut two starts back, and would almost certainly dominate this field if she was to run that race again.  Pulpit Singer disappointed as the Post Time Favorite at this class level last time out, but Pulpit Singer could improve today going third off the layoff.

Angelin the Harbor has taken the Show at this class level in each of her two prior starts.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 7 - (F) Clm $16k - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 3 Just Classy (ML 8-5)

B’s

# 2 Augure (ML 7-5)
# 4 Miss You Mom (ML 12-1)

C's

# 1 Rev Ree (ML 10-1)
# 5 Snow Pack (ML 6-1)
# 6 Charlie's Belle (ML 8-1)


Just Classy was victorious is each of her two prior starts, and now goes first off the claim for Trainer Genaro Vallejo, who tends to do well with such.  Augure, trained by Jonathan Wong, should move up with the class drop.  Miss You Mom, trying winners for the first time, could be the one running best late.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 8 - [S] OC 50k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 4 Indian Peak (ML 5-2)

B’s

# 3 Awesome Summer (ML 2-1)

C's

# 1 Sacred Rider (ML 7-2)
# 2 Fantasy Game (ML 8-1)
# 5 Admirably (ML 10-1)
# 6 Wine and Whisky (ML 6-1)
# 7 Prince de Prince (ML 10-1)

The conditions don't say that this contest is state bred restricted; but every runner in this field is California bred; so, for future reference, I'm going to consider this race to have been restricted to California breds.

Indian Peak took the Show last time out in the $100k El Camino Real Derby, and Indian Peak could benefit from the reduction in distance.  Awesome Summer took the Place at this approximate class level last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 9 - Clm $8k N2X - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 8 Shifty Dancer (ML 6-5)

B’s

# 1 Earnest (ML 12-1)
# 2 Toro de Toro (ML 9-2)
# 6 Zedkiah (ML 7-2)

C's

# 3 Papa Do Run (ML 15-1)
# 4 Hardly Chisel (ML 15-1)
# 5 Sooner Better (ML 8-1)
# 7 Rey Coliman (ML 10-1)

Shifty Dancer, trained by Jonathan Wong, took the Place against more expensive stock in each of his last two races, and I may later regret not making him a big ticket single.  The reason why I decided to spread here is that Shifty Dancer also took the Place the last time that he competed at this class level, giving Shifty Dancer three Place finishes in his four 2020 starts; so my concern is that Shifty Dancer may have reached the point in his career where he's willing to settle for minor awards.

Earnest goes second off the claim for Trainer Jack Steiner, who tends to do well with such.  Toro de Toro took the Show against classier competition last time out.  Zedikiah took the Place at this class level last time out.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 2 with 3 with 4 with 8 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 2,4,6 with 2,3,4 with 3,4 with 1,2,6,8 $36.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 1,3,5,8 with 3 with 4 with 8 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 2 with 1,5,6 with 4 with 8 $1.50
$0.50 P4: 2 with 3 with 1,2,5,6,7 with 8 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 2 with 3 with 4 with 3,4,5,7 $2.00

Total: $45.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 6:16 EDT / 3:16 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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