Saturday, March 21, 2020

3/21/20 Turfway Park Late Pick Four - Preview

“You shouldn’t focus on why you can’t do something, which is what most people do. You should focus on why perhaps, you could be one of the exceptions.” - Steve Case

A week after Field Pass's victory in the Jeff Ruby Steaks, races in Florence, KY return to their normal nighttime Post Times.  By the way, am I the only one who thinks nighttime tracks should stay nighttime for their biggest days?  I mean, running all your cards at night except for your biggest day strikes me as if the NFL was to decide to hold the Super Bowl on a Tuesday afternoon.  But right now there are more important things to be thinking about; for example, Saturday's sequence, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at Turfway Park.

RACE 5 - (F) Clm $12.5k - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 9 Flirty (Morning Line 5-1)

B’s

# 1 Pure Sugar (ML 3-1)
# 6 No Interest (ML 4-1)

C's

# 2 Catty Krys (ML 5-1)
# 3 Fun Sucker (ML 12-1)
# 4 Lady Leah (ML 15-1)
# 5 Maria Rose (ML 20-1)
# 7 Fashion Envy (ML 30-1)
# 8 Dance the Day Away (ML 8-1)
# 11 Vortices (ML 10-1)
# 12 Momenta Kat (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 10 Kantastic (ML 12-1); but don't bring in the Also Eligible, # 13 Cora Anne (ML 10-1), because she's scratched too.

Flirty won with a higher price tag on her head last time out, and at today's level three starts back.  Pure Sugar took the Place while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite last time out, and now goes first off the claim for Trainer Ralph Martinez, who tends to do well with such.

No Interest failed as the Post Time Favorite in each of her two most recent starts; but No Interest can certainly win at this class level.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 6 - (F) Clm $30k N2L - Eight Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 5 Winyah Bay (ML 9-5)

B’s

# 2 Stylish Kitten (ML 2-1)
# 6 She's Hot Today (ML 3-1)

C's

# 1 Baytown Vi Vi (ML 20-1)
# 4 Lake Barkley (ML 30-1)
# 7 Ascender (ML 10-1)
# 9 Be With Us (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 3 Tricky Tune (ML 12-1) and # 8 Miss Jacqueline (ML 8-1)

Winyah Bay won convincingly last time out; and Trainer Wesley Ward tends to do well when placing his last out graduates.  Stylish Kitten won by the length of the stretch last time out, albeit for different connections.

She's Hot Today could move up with the class drop.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 7 - OC 40k/N2X - Six Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 7 Unmoored (ML 8-1)

B’s

# 2 Better Watch Out (ML 8-1)
# 3 Infinite (ML 6-1)
# 9 Land Battle (ML 8-1)
# 10 Strong Yen (ML 6-1)
# 11 Hemp Hemp Hurray (ML 9-2)

C's

# 1 Jersey Agenda (ML 5-1)
# 4 Capture the Glory (ML 20-1)
# 5 Jova (ML 30-1)
# 6 Mannford (ML 12-1)
# 8 Antrim's Giant (ML 5-1)
# 13 Rocket Joe Cooper (ML 15-1)

Scratch # 12 Durango Kid (ML 20-1) and # 14 Splash for Gold (ML 15-1)

Unmoored took the Place at this class level last time out.  Better Watch Out tends to run well on the synthetic, and Better Watch Out appears to be in good form.  Infinite, trained by Wesley Ward, could benefit from the freshening.

Land Battle took the Place against classier stock two starts back, and Land Battle could improve going second off the layoff.  Strong Yen could improve with the cutback in distance.  Hemp Hemp Hurray took the Show in a listed stakes last time out.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 8 - Md $5k - Five Furlongs Synthetic

A’s

# 10 Zipaway (ML 1-1)

B's

# 2 Postimpressionist (ML 4-1)

C's

# 1 Bourbon Bryce (ML 15-1)
# 3 Button Box (ML 20-1)
# 4 Sonshine Pegasus (ML 15-1)
# 5 Ame Real Citizen (ML 20-1)
# 7 Diceman (ML 15-1)
# 8 Hey Ray (ML 15-1)

# 9 Stonetown Boy (ML 12-1)
# 11 Paul Brown (ML 50-1)
# 13 Carigan (ML 15-1)
# 14 Cincinn (ML 20-1)

Scratch # 6 Star for Betsy (ML 4-1) and # 12 Jack Sparrow (ML 50-1)

Zipaway returns to competition after a fourteen month vacation, and drops from non-Claiming Maidens to the cheapest Maiden Claimers on the premises.  Normally that's a huge red flag; but Trainer Wesley Ward tends to move when making this move, as he's just looking to grab a sure purse while almost certainly saying goodbye  to one of his chargers.

Postimpressionist took the Place against more expensive stock two starts back, and Postimpressionist could rebound going third off the layoff.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 9 with 5 with 7 with 10 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,6,9 with 2,5,6 with 2,3,7,9,10,11 with 2,10 $54.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,3,4,5,7,8,11,12 with 5 with 7 with 10 $4.00
$0.50 P4: 9 with 1,4,7,9 with 7 with 10 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 9 with 5 with 1,4,5,6,8,13 with 10 $3.00
$0.50 P4: 9 with 5 with 7 with 1,3,4,5,7,8,9,11,13,14 $5.00

Total: $69.00

Post Time for Race 5 is 8:12 EDT / 5:12 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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