Saturday, November 5, 2022

11/5/22 Keeneland All BC Pick Six - Results

Race 6 - The BC F&M Turf - # 5 Tuesday (Ire) (Final Odds 4.19) - No Selection
Race 7 - The BC Sprint - # 6 Elite Power (5.55) - "C" Selection
Race 8 - The BC Mile - # 4 Modern Games (Ire) (1.38*) - "B" Selection
Race 9 - The BC Distaff - # 1 Malathaat (2.88) - "A" Selection
Race 10 - The BC Turf - # 5 Rebel's Romance (Ire) (5.96) - "B" Selection
Race 11 - The BC Classic - # 4 Flightline (0.44*) - "A" Selection

First things first: Flightline is that good.  Flightline is really that good.  Flightline is not just the horse of the year, he just may be the horse of the past twenty years.  Flightline is that good.

Moving onto other matters, specifically my bankroll, had I stuck with the Pick Four, I would have had it.  For those curious, the main Pick Four ticket would have cost twenty dollars; auxiliary tickets would have cost another eighteen dollars; so total outlay would have been thirty eight dollars.  The Pick Four paid $45.85, a profit of $6.85, or odds of 0.18-1.  So, while I may not have been right about much this weekend, at least I was right about about there being no value in playing the Pick Four.

Moving away from what might have been to what actually was, I had contemplated using # 11 In Italian (GB) (2.96) as a big ticket single in the opening leg.  I suspected, correctly, that In Italian would perform better Saturday than Morning Line (and Post Time) Favorite # 3 Nashwa (GB) (2.59*).  But I won't lie; BC F&M Turf winner Tuesday (Ire) was not on my radar.  Which was a serious whiff on my part.  Tuesday was making the move off the soft turf that she had run her two most recent races upon, onto the firm turf over which she competed Saturday; which is the exact type of move that see many of the European runners make significant improvement.  Something that I'll hopefully remember next year.

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those who correctly had all six of the All Breeders' Cup Pick Six sequence of  5 / 6 / 4 / 1 / 5 / 4  were rewarded with a payout of $2,991.49 for their one dollar wager.  Those who correctly had five of the six winners received a payout of $43.24.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

No comments: