Tuesday, October 2, 2012

9/29/12 STK Race 8 - The Crowd Gets It Right

On one or two occasions in this blog, I've pointed out times when the California betting public had lost its way with regards to properly predicting the outcome of a race.  That being the case, it seems only fair that I make mention of a race that the crowd absolutely nailed.

The finale at Stockton this past Saturday was a $4,000 Claiming event for three year old and upward, non-winners of two lifetime.  It was run at a distance of eight furlongs over God-made dirt, with seven horses going to post.  Jockey Russell Baze was aboard the winner (surprise, surprise) giving him his third win on the day.  

So what was it that made this race so special?  Well, take a look at the complete order of finish, along with each entrant's Final Odds:

Bespoke Suit.....................0.90
Jones Brother....................1.50
Mustang Casino...............12.80
Idoitmyway Baby..............14.00
Fishing My Way...............16.00
El Tejon...........................17.40
Heray Lucky Pulpit...........20.40

The favorite, the public's top choice according to their wagering dollars, was victorious.  The public's second choice took the Place.  The public's third choice took the Show.  And so on, all the way down the line; each of the seven horses in the race finished in the exact order of their final odds.

Well done, betting public; well done.  That just doesn't happen all that often in races where more than a half dozen entrants leave the gate.

The public's reward for being perfectly correct in predicting the outcome of the race is that a lot of people got to cash a lot of tickets for not a lot of money.  The prices for Race 8:


#.......HORSE..................WIN.........PLACE..........SHOW
8.......Bespoke Suit........$3.80.........$2.20.............$2.20
5.......Jones Brother........................$2.60..............$2.40
7.......Mustang Casino..........................................$4.00

$1 Exacta ------------------- $3.70
$2 Quinella ----------------- $4.40
$1 Trifecta ---------------- $14.00
$1 Superfecta ----------- $59.50
$1 Super High Five ---$105.10

For those interested, the Equibase chart of the race may be viewed here, while the DRF version of events is available here.  And, since it's such a special event, let's throw in a link to the Brisnet chart of the race as well, which can be found over here.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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