Going for a little change of pace (well, change of venue) today by switching coasts to take a run at Gulfstream Park's Rainbow 6; the final six races on Saturday's card. To be honest, I don't have a whole lot of confidence in this ticket; even playing it for a dime, I made more cuts from the ticket than I feel comfortable about, in order to keep it affordable. So, with that caveat, here goes:
RACE 6
# 9 Form Fitting (Morning Line 5-2) just missed at this distance against open company her last time out; moving to state bred competition should only help. Note also that the one that beat her by half a length came back to win her next out. # 1 Dreaming of Lucy (ML 6-1) makes her debut in a field in which she has the best Tomlinson Rating for the distance. Trainer Kirk Ziadie are unreal in the relevant categories, albeit with the small sample size caveat.
RACE 7
# 4 Saint Pete (ML 8-1) missed by a length sprinting against this level his last out; the Tomlinsons say he should handle the distance; if he does, he could wire this bunch. # 8 Hobbs (ML 5-1) was a stakes winner bake in November and missed by less than two at this level his last time out. # 10 Tricky Hat (2-1) freaked his last time out (his turf debut) winning a key race with this field's best last out Beyer; I may regret not singling this one.
RACE 8
# 2 Doherty (ML 5-2) missed by a half length at this class level and distance his last out. Best last out Beyer in the field, tied for best Dst Tomlinson in the group, and is in the hands of the Pletcher / Johnny V partnership.
RACE 9
# 5 Burn the Mortgage (ML 4-1) won at this level his last time out, his Gulfstream turf debut. All he has to do is do it again, just for a half-length more with a price tag on his head. He has crossed the wire first at this distance on the grass, but a DQ kept him from getting his picture taken.
RACE 10
# 1 Forty Tales (ML 4-1) is the Pletcher / Johnny V combo again, this time with a horse unbeaten in his career stepping up into Graded Stakes company. His Beyers say he can compete at this level, and the over-abundance of early speed should work to his advantage. Expect # 8 Honorable Dillion (ML 8-1) to be running late as well.
RACE 11
Had # 12 Drenched (ML 7-2) drawn a position in the same zip code of the rail, he would be my single here. But the far outside is not the place to be on a grass race that starts right on the turn; so tossing in a few more as insurance: # 3 Oistin's Town (ML 5-1); # 4 Autobahn Legend (6-1); # 6 Pick of the Litter (ML 8-1); # 8 Big Henry (ML 15-1) and # 10 Reach for the Sky (ML 10-1).
So, with all that, our ticket goes:
RACE 6: 1, 9
RACE 7: 4, 8, 10
RACE 8: 2
RACE 9: 5
RACE 10: 1, 8
RACE 11: 3, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12
Again, not a ticket in which I have a great deal of faith; but if you play it for a dime, the total cost is $7.20; so, hopefully we can at least get some cheap action from it.
Post time for Race 6 is 3:05 EST / 12:05 PST. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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