Saturday, March 23, 2013

3/23/13 GP Rainbow Six - Results

A mixed bag of results today.  Our Rainbow Six ticket at Gulfstream went down in flames right with the very first leg.  But if you were clever with the opinions, and used a little imagination, there was definitely profit to be made.

We start with Race 6 which, on the surface, seemed to anoint Gulfstream players as the smartest handicappers on the planet; as they bet # 7 Bella Castani down from a Morning Line of 20-1 to Post Time odds of 3.40, and then watched her win for fun by over four lengths.  However, in retrospect Bella Castani was a very logical horse.  Her trainer, Eddie Kenneally, was spot on in all the key Trainer Angles: 23% First Time With; 22 % First Turf; 32% Dirt-to-Turf; and 23% 31-60 Days Off.  Her Turf/Dst Tomlinson Rating was 372.  Her jockey, Jose Lezcano, has won at a 29% clip for this trainer over the past couple of years; that Winning Percentage jumps to 33% when considering just this current meet.  So, looking back, it wasn't so much that the Gulfstream Park handicappers were really smart so much as it was that the Morning Line of 20-1 was really dumb; and me not including her on our ticket was a really bad decision on my part.

But things got better in the next leg, as Race 7 saw one of our selections, first time starter # 4 Tiz Thunderful, cross the wire five and a half lengths in front of one of our other selections in this race, # 13 Cindy Carta (6.30).  If you were clever enough to throw our three selections into a one dollar Exacta Box, your six dollar investment returned $230.80.

We also had the winner in Race 8, as # 6 Street Secret (2.80) crossed the wire first in a blanket finish that saw the first seven finishers within two lengths of each other.  If you were wise enough to play our three selections in Race 7 with our two selections here in a one dollar Double, your six dollar wager brought you back $120.20.

We had absolutely nothing in Race 9, as one of our selections, # 1 Prima Zip (2.50) never threatened and finished fourth; while our other selection, # 10 Affair (2.00) was bumped early, and then failed to fire.

Race 10 - The Pan American Stakes saw our selections finish second (# 3 Ioya Bigtime (5.00)) and third (# 10 Newsdad (1.70)) behind # 9 Twilight Eclipse (5.10), who set a new World Record for a mile and a half on the grass (2:22.63).  Fourth Place went to # 5 Belo Acteon (Brz) (9.30).  Those top four finishers were the only four horses in the field with a victory at today's distance on the grass; so if you were imaginative enough to box them in a ten cent Superfecta, your $2.40 bet paid $93.08.

Race 11 was a total wipe out, as # 1 Snit Fit (2.00) finished fourth, while # 3 Lovely Dynaformer (6.70) ran eighth.  Worth noting is that nobody (no - bod - y) correctly picked the Super High Five; so there will be a carryover in that pool of $5,261.

So while creative usage of our selections today led to some profitable results, the bottom line for our Rainbow Six ticket was just two winners; to which we can only say: 

Oh well; onto the next race.

Meanwhile, those players who had the correct Rainbow Six sequence of:

RACE 6: # 7 Bella Castani (3.40)

RACE 7: # 4 Tiz Thunderful (25.50)

RACE 8: # 6 Street Secret (2.80)

RACE 9: # 2 Poised to a Tee (4.30)

RACE 10: # 9 Twilight Eclipse (5.10)

RACE 11: # 2 Cici N Red (4.50)

saw their ten cent wager return $14,904.16.  May God bless them as they spend their winnings.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

No comments: