Saturday, August 10, 2019

8/10/19 Del Mar Late Pick Four - Preview

Juveniles headline Saturday's card at Del Mar, with the Grade 2 Best Pal topping the bill as the featured race.  I'll be taking a look at that contest below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.

RACE 6 - (F) Clm $32k - Six Furlongs Dirt

A’s

# 1 Portal Creek (Morning Line 3-1)

B’s

# 4 Square Peggy (ML 4-1)
# 6 Swing Thoughts (ML 7-2)

C's

# 2 Money Inthe Stars (ML 5-1)
# 3 Be Lifted Up (ML 8-1)

# 5 Emerald Lady (ML 8-1)
# 7 Oh My Oh (ML 4-1)

Portal Creek was an open lengths winner in her last start on a fast dirt track versus comparably priced stock.  Square Peggy is another that could improve by getting off the lawn.

Swing Thoughts has won over this main track in the past, and Swing Thoughts seems to be in good form.  I decided against using Oh My Oh on my main ticket; for while Oh My Oh could move up by donning the hood and returning to one turn racing, it appears to me that Oh My Oh settles for too many minor awards.  So I'll be using Oh My Oh, along with the rest of the field, as a backup "C" Selection.

RACE 7 - (F) OC 80k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 2 K P Slickem (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 1 Gallovie (GB) (ML 4-1)
# 5 Angel Alessandra (ML 10-1)

C's

# 3 Dichotomy (ML 8-1)
# 4 All Star Cast (Ire) (ML 12-1)
# 6 Kalliniki (ML 8-1)
# 7 Zee Drop (ML 4-1)
# 8 Hollywood Girl (ML 3-1)

As is the norm in Southern California, the $80k price tag for this optional claimer is the sign that this contest is restricted to three year olds only.  For the record, none of these runners are eligible to be claimed from this contest.

K P Slickem took the Place at this class level last time out, against several that are returning in this field.  Gallovie (GB), one of those that finished behind K P Slickem last time out, could improve with the rail draw.  Angel Alessandra could move up with the return to California.  The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.

RACE 8 - The Best Pal (Grade 2) - Six Furlongs Dirt

A's

# 6 Thanks Mr. Edison (ML 6-1)

B's

# 7 Fore Left (ML 5-2)

C's

# 1 Wrecking Crew (ML 4-1)
# 2 Raging Whiskey (ML 12-1)
# 3 We're Still Here (ML 6-1)

# 5 Collusion Illusion (ML 8-1)

Scratch # 4 Schrodinger (ML 2-1)

As these are juveniles, there's really no telling who has matured more rapidly than the rest since their last start.  With that caveat, I'll say that Thanks Mr. Edison looks best here, though Thanks Mr. Edison may need to come from off the pace to win Saturday.  Fore Left is undefeated in two tries, making Fore Left the only runner in this field with multiple Wins.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

RACE 9 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Eight Furlongs Turf

A’s

# 5 Miss Hot Legs (ML 7-2)

B’s

# 1 First Screening (ML 12-1)
# 3 Smoovie (ML 8-1)
# 4 Rockin Ready (ML 3-1)
# 8 Courteous (ML 8-1)
# 9 Flower Point (ML 9-2)

C's

# 2 Magical Gray (ML 8-1)
# 6 Nomizar (ML 15-1)
# 7 Hello Bubbles (ML 5-1)

Scratch all the Also Eligibles: # 10 Andyoushallreceive (ML 6-1); # 11 Donut Girl (ML 6-1); # 12 Tiger Silk (Aus) (ML 10-1); # 13 Time for Ebby (ML 20-1)

With the scratch of Time for Ebby, none of those entering the starting gate are up for sale; so the reduced purse for those entered for a tag isn't relevant.

Miss Hot Legs took the Show at this class level last time out while disappointing as the Post Time Favorite.  First Screening is trying the turf for the first time after taking the Place at this class level last time out.

Smoovie might do well with the cutback in distance.  Rockin Ready ran well two starts back despite not being able to find an opening.  Courteous ran well last Fall in her only prior start over this turf course.  Flower Point might have needed that last race.  The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.

OK, that's the analysis.  Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:

All A Entries

$1.00 P4: 1 with 2 with 6 with 5 $1.00

All A Entries with All B Entries

$0.50 P4: 1,4,6 with 1,2,5 with 6,7 with 1,3,4,5,8,9 $54.00

A's with One C

$0.50 P4: 2,3,5,7 with 2 with 6 with 5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 3,4,6,7,8 with 6 with 5 $2.50
$0.50 P4: 1 with 2 with 1,2,3,5 with 5 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 1 with 2 with 6 with 2,6,7 $1.50

Total: $63.00

Post Time for Race 6 is 7:37 EDT / 4:37 PDT.  Good luck to all.

Peace and Love,

Jimbo

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