It's Pacific Classic Day in Southern California, and to honor the occasion Del Mar is presenting punters with a monster card, featuring five Graded Stakes on the program. I'll be taking a look at three of those Graded contests below, as I take another run at The Late Pick Four at the place Where The Turf Meets The Surf.
RACE 8 - (F) The Torrey Pines (Grade 3) - Eight Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 4 Hollywood Hills (Morning Line 12-1)
B's
# 6 Sneaking Out (ML 7-2)
# 7 Fighting Mad (ML 5-2)
C's
# 1 Into Chocolate (ML 10-1)
# 2 High Regard (ML 12-1)
# 3 Classic Fit (ML 3-1)
# 8 Kim K (ML 5-1)
Scratch # 5 Colonial Creed (ML 8-1)
Hollywood Hills and Sneaking Out filled out the Exacta in the Fleet Treat last time out, hitting the line just a nose apart. I think the extra furlong Saturday could favor Hollywood Hills.
Fighting Mad, trained by Bob Baffert, is trying two turns for the first time. As she shares the same sire as Maximum Security, I suspect that Fighting Mad will do just fine with the stretch out. The backup "C" Selections are everyone else.
RACE 9 - (F) The Del Mar Oaks (Grade 1) - Nine Furlongs Turf
A's
# 11 Lady Prancealot (Ire) (ML 8-1)
B's
# 1 Cambier Parc (ML 5-2)
# 10 Mucho Unusual (ML 5-1)
# 14 Hidden Message (ML 8-1)
C's
# 2 Maxim Rate (ML 20-1)
# 4 Hard Legacy (ML 12-1)
# 5 Raymundos Secret (ML 10-1)
# 6 Keeper Ofthe Stars (ML 10-1)
# 7 Dogtag (ML 8-1)
# 8 Apache Princess (ML 10-1)
# 9 Sold It (ML 30-1)
# 12 Out of Balance (ML 20-1)
# 13 Wildlife (ML 30-1)
Scratch # 3 Strike At Dawn (ML 20-1)
Lady Prancealot (Ire) winner of the Grade 3 Honeymoon last time out, projects to be the one running best late; and if she's in top form, Lady Prancealot could be running past them all in the stretch. Cambier Park, Show finisher in the Grade 1 Belmont Oaks last time out for Trainer Chad Brown, could improve with the cutback in distance.
Mucho Unusual, winner of the Grade 2 San Clemente last time out, is undefeated since moving to the turf. Kentucky bred Hidden Message is making her North American debut; and if she takes to the firmer turf, then Hidden Message could contend here. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
RACE 10 - The Pacific Classic (Grade 1) - Ten Furlongs Dirt
A's
# 3 Pavel (ML 7-2)
B's
# 2 Quip (ML 9-2)
# 5 Seeking the Soul (ML 3-1)
C's
# 1 War Story (ML 8-1)
# 4 For the Top (Arg) (ML 12-1)
# 6 Higher Power (ML 8-1)
# 7 Tenfold (ML 8-1)
# 8 Campaign (ML 6-1)
# 9 Mongolian Groom (ML 20-1)
# 10 Draft Pick (ML 20-1)
If Pavel runs his race, he wins. Indeed, if Pavel runs to the best of his ability, I'll be looking mighty foolish for having not made him a single. But the problem is that there have been too many contests where Pavel hasn't run his race; so, for that reason, I'll be combining the winner of 2018's Stephen Foster (Pavel) with the Exacta of this year's Stephen Foster (Seeking the Soul and Quip), while relegating all others to backup "C" Selection status.
RACE 11 - (F) OC 40k/N1X - Eight and a Half Furlongs Turf
A’s
# 11 An Eddie Surprise (ML 6-1)
B’s
# 1 True To Herself (Ire) (ML 8-1)
# 7 Betty F (GB) (ML 5-1)
# 8 Salsa Bella (Fr) (ML 7-2)
C's
# 2 Woodfin (ML 10-1)
# 3 Invincibella (GB) (ML 20-1)
# 5 Ruby Trust (ML 8-1)
# 6 Bornonvalentineday (ML 15-1)
# 10 Lucky Peridot (ML 9-2)
# 12 Querelle (ML 30-1)
# 14 Super Patriot (ML 10-1)
Scratch # 4 Sapphire Kid (ML 30-1); # 9 Peter's Kitten (ML 6-1); and # 13 Desert Oasis (ML 8-1)
None here are entered for a tag; so no need to concern ourselves with details regarding the reduced purse for those runners which are up for sale.
An Eddie Surprise and Salsa Bella (Fr) filled out the bottom two rungs of the Trifecta at this class level last time out. True To Herself (Ire), well back of those two at the wire in her North American debut, deserves another chance to show what she can do.
Betty F (GB) is making her first North American start for Trainer Paddy Gallagher, who tends to do well with such. The backup "C" Selections are the rest of the field.
OK, that's the analysis. Playing my tickets in modified Crist fashion, I get:
All A Entries
$1.00 P4: 4 with 11 with 3 with 11 $1.00
All A Entries with All B Entries
$0.50 P4: 4,6,7 with 1,10,11,14 with 2,3,5 with 1,7,8,11 $72.00
A's with One C
$0.50 P4: 1,2,3,8 with 11 with 3 with 11 $2.00
$0.50 P4: 4 with 2,4,5,6,7,8,9,12,13 with 3 with 11 $4.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 11 with 1,4,6,7,8,9,10 with 11 $3.50
$0.50 P4: 4 with 11 with 3 with 2,3,5,6,10,12,14 $3.50
Total: $86.50
Post Time for Race 8 is 8:40 EDT / 5:40 PDT. Good luck to all.
Peace and Love,
Jimbo
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